31
First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments as of the date of this document, which are subject to change. In preparing this document, we have relied upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of all information available from public sources. Opinions and estimates may be changed without notice and involve a number of assumptions which may not prove valid. There is no guarantee that any forecasts or opinions in this material will be realized. Information should not be construed as investment advice. Investment Products Offered: Are Not FDIC Insured May Lose Value Are Not Bank Guaranteed

First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

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Page 1: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

First Quarter 2011

Capital Markets OutlookOpportunities in the Ongoing Recovery

The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments as of the date of this document, which are subject to change. In preparing this document, we have relied upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of all information available from public sources. Opinions and estimates may be changed without notice and involve a number of assumptions which may not prove valid. There is no guarantee that any forecasts or opinions in this material will be realized. Information should not be construed as investment advice.

Investment Products Offered:

Are Not FDIC Insured May Lose Value Are Not Bank Guaranteed

Page 2: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

2AllianceBernstein.com

2.4%

2.3%

4.7%

5.0%

5.7%

-6.7%

-6.2%

5.9%

-1.3%

0.5%

2.4%

6.8%

9.6%

24.2%

23.3%

26.7%

0.0%

1.0%

2.9%

7.3%

12.8%

15.1%

7.8%

15.1%

18.9%

5.9%

2010 Returns 1H:2010 Returns

Returns in USD

Japan Gov’t

Global High Yield

US Gov’t

Euro Gov’t

EM Debt

Global Corp

Past performance does not guarantee future results.Through December 31, 2010All non-USD asset class returns are shown in hedged USD terms.Individuals cannot invest directly in an index. Please see the end of the presentation for index definitions. Source: Barclays Capital, Bloomberg, MSCI, S&P and AllianceBernstein

EAFE

US

Powerful Second-Half Performance Drove Equities

EM

2H:2010 Returns

Equities

Credit

Gov’tBonds

Macro

-13.2%

Page 3: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

3AllianceBernstein.com

3.9% 3.9%

3.5%3.5%

3.9%

3.2%

June 2010 December2010*

December2010*

AllianceBernstein Consensus

The Global Economy Didn’t Double Dip; We May See More Growth in 2011

Global Real GDP Growth Forecasts

Historical analysis and current estimates do not guarantee future results.*As of December 31, 2010**Eastern Europe, Middle East and AfricaSource: AllianceBernstein

Real GDP Growth ForecastPercent Average Annual Rate

2011E

Our GDP Forecast Has Led Consensus

2010E

Emerging Consumer and Developed-Market Stimulus Support Our Growth Forecast

1.7

1.8

1.9

4.1

6.4%

4.1

3.8

3.5

2.7

1.1

1.5

2.0

4.0

7.4%

4.1

2.7

3.2

2.3

Asia ex Japan

Latin America

EEMEA**

United States

Global

Canada

United Kingdom

Euro Area

Japan

AB 2011*

Consensus 2011*

Macro

Page 4: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

4AllianceBernstein.com

Firms Likely to Increase Investment Spending

Need to InvestAverage Age of Industrial Equipment

Ability to InvestOperating Profits and Nonfinancial Cash/Assets

Willingness to Invest ISM Mfg’s Capital Spending Plans for Next 12 Months

Incentive to Invest NOWNew US Tax Package

Historical analysis does not guarantee future results.Through December 31, 2010Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve Board, Haver Analytics, Institute for Supply Management and AllianceBernstein

5

6

7

8

70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09

Yea

rs

-20-15-10

-505

1015

90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10

Per

cent

600

900

1,200

1,500

1,800

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

US

D B

illio

n

4

5

6

7

8

Percent

Cash

Profits (Left)

1. Business Investment Incentive: Full expensing of capital investment in ’11 and 50% in ’12

2. Tax Rates: Extend Bush-era personal tax rates for two years

3. Payroll Tax: Reduces employee tax by two points for one year

Macro

Page 5: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

5AllianceBernstein.com

US Consumer Trends Pointing Upward

Historical analysis does not guarantee future results.Left: through December 17, 2010. Right: through November 30, 2010.Source: Bloomberg, Business Roundtable, Haver Analytics and AllianceBernstein

New Job Creation Appears Likely

Retail Sales

Consumers Are Spending More

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

02 04 06 08 10

CEO Outlook Plan to Increase Employment Within Next Six Months

0

10

20

30

40

50

02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

Pe

rce

nt

Yo

Y P

erc

en

t C

ha

ng

e

Macro

Page 6: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

6AllianceBernstein.com

Global Inflation Rate**

Emerging Markets

Developed Markets

11E

Yo

Y P

erc

en

t C

ha

ng

e

Emerging Economies Going Strong, but Inflation Pressures Persist

Historical analysis and current estimates do not guarantee future results.*Through first three quarters of 2010**Actual through November 30, 2010. 2011 estimate as of December 31, 2010.Source: Haver Analytics, National Accounts, World Bank and AllianceBernstein

Total Global Investment Growth

EM Infrastructure Build-Out Driving Global Growth EM Inflation Rates Still High

Yo

Y P

erc

en

t C

ha

ng

e

Macro

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

1980s 1990s 2000–04 2005–09 2010*

Developed Economies

Emerging Markets

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

00 02 04 06 08 10

Page 7: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

7AllianceBernstein.com

EM Tightening, While US Continues to Ease Aggressively

Many EM Countries Raised Policy Rates in 2010

Historical analysis does not guarantee future results.Through December 31, 2010Source: Bloomberg, Federal Reserve Board and AllianceBernstein

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Aug 07 Apr 08 Dec 08 Aug 09 Apr 10 Dec 10

Securities Held Outright by the Federal Reserve

TaiwanThailand

Malaysia

Vietnam

PakistanChina

Peru

India

Hungary

ChileUruguay

SerbiaBosnia &

HerzegovinaAzerbaijan

Brazil

US Fed Expanded Balance Sheet While Keeping Policy Rates Low

US

D T

rillio

ns

Macro

Page 8: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

8AllianceBernstein.com

Historical analysis does not guarantee future results.Through October 31, 2010*Simple average of Spain, Greece, Portugal and Ireland **The European Financial Stability Mechanism (EFSM) is an extension of the European Union's existing balance of payments financing facility and allows the EU to raise funds on its own account to lend to countries requiring financial assistance. The EFSM has a maximum capacity of €60bn, of which €22.5bn has already been committed to Ireland.***The European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) is a new European institution which issues bonds on its own account and lends the funds to countries requiring financial assistance. The EFSF level of €440bn reflects the officially stated maximum of the facility. However, subsequent guidance from credit ratings agencies indicates that in its present form EFSF lending to countries would have to be limited to a significantly lower amount in order to maintain a AAA-rating. Source: Bloomberg, European Commission, Haver Analytics, Markit and AllianceBernstein

Euro Area: Resiliency Despite Concerns About Periphery

Unemployment Rates

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

00 02 04 06 08 10

Pe

rce

nt

Gross Financing Requirements 2011 to 2013

Current Support Facilities Available

€409 Billion

IrelandPortugal

Spain

€750 Billion

EFSF***

EFSM**

IMF€250

€60

€440

Outside Support Appears Sufficient for Weakest EconomiesThe Haves and Have Nots

Germany

Euro Periphery*

Macro

Page 9: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

9AllianceBernstein.com

US Fiscal Outlook: More Policy Changes Likely

Bi-Partisan Deficit Commission* Proposals

Raise tax revenues with combination of lower rates and fewer deductions

Reduce spending by streamlining government operations, cutting food subsidies, containing health care costs and more

Increase retirement age for Social Security benefits

Historical analysis does not guarantee future results.Through December 31, 2010*National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and ReformSource: US Office of Management and Budget, US Treasury Department and AllianceBernstein

Interest Expense and Federal Debt 2000–2010

300

320

340

360

380

400

420

440

460

00 02 04 06 08 10

Inte

rest

(U

SD

Bill

ions

)

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Debt (U

SD

Trillions)

Interest Expense

Debt Outstanding

US Surplus/Deficit (USD Billions) 1933–2010

US Budget Deficit Mushroomed Interest Growth Lags DebtBudget Improvement Measures Taking Shape

-2000

-1600

-1200

-800

-400

0

400

33 43 53 63 73 83 93 03 10

Macro

US

D B

illio

ns

Page 10: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

10AllianceBernstein.com

Stock Recovery Still Has Room to Run

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Oct 07 Jun 08 Dec 08 Jul 09 Feb 10 Sep 10

US

Do

llars

Since 3/9/09 Low: +93%

Since 10/31/07: –18%

Past performance does not guarantee future results.Through December 31, 2010This is a hypothetical example.Individuals cannot invest directly in an index. See the end of the presentation for index definitions. Daily returns data used October 31, 2007 to December 31, 2010. All returns in USD.Source: FactSet, MSCI and AllianceBernstein

MSCI World Index: Growth of USD 100

Equities

Page 11: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

11AllianceBernstein.com

After Risk-Averse Investors Fled Stocks, Tide May Be Turning

Historical analysis does not guarantee future results.Through December 8, 2010*Net flows include US-domiciled mutual funds and exchange-traded funds and exclude fund of funds, fund categories as defined by Lipper: Global Large Cap Core, Global Large Cap Growth, and Global Large Cap Value; figures for 2010 are through October 31, 2010Source: Simfund, Strategic Insight and AllianceBernstein

Global Mutual Fund Flows*

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

95 98 01 04 07 10

US

D B

illio

ns Fixed Income

Equity

-5

0

5

10

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

Equities

Page 12: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

12AllianceBernstein.com

Flight to “Safety” Still Overblown

World Dividend Yield vs. Global Treasury Yield*

0

4

8

12

16

70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10

Pe

rce

nt

Global Treasury Yield*

Dividend Yield*

Equity Risk Premium**

0

2

4

6

8

10

60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10

Pe

rce

nt

Average

6.4%

Historical analysis does not guarantee future results.Left hand chart: through November 30, 2010; right hand chart: as of December 31, 2010.*Dividend Yield of MSCI World Index. Global Treasury Yield: Prior to June 30, 1987, Ibbotson US IT Treasury Yield: from July 1, 1987, Barccap Govt 5–7 Year Yield**Long-term expected returns for the S&P 500 versus 10-year Treasury bond yieldSource: Barclays, Bloomberg, Ibbotson, MSCI, Shiller, S&P and AllianceBernstein

Equities

Page 13: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

13AllianceBernstein.com

Company Fundamentals Matter

Historical analysis does not guarantee future results.Through December 31, 2010*Through September 30, 2010; indexed such that 1995 level = 100; composite index weighted by 2008 nominal GDP from the following regions: US, Canada and Japan; this index also includes the European Union, Australia and the UK (including net operating surplus). The profit series for the European Union, Australia and the UK are based on the net operating surplus of corporations.**Represents the total net debt of all companies in the MSCI World Index ex Financials divided by the total equity.Source: Empirical Research Partners, Haver Analytics, MSCI, US Census Bureau and AllianceBernstein

0

50

100

150

200

250

95 98 01 04 07 10

Ind

ex*

Aggregate of Global Corporate Profits* Global Net Debt/Equity**1990–2010

Current*

All-Time High

All-Time Low

Pe

rce

nt

Strong Earnings Should Ultimately Drive Equity Values Corporate Balance Sheets Are Robust Globally

Equities

Page 14: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

14AllianceBernstein.com

Fear Trumps Fundamentals, Providing Opportunity for Active Managers

-4

0

4

8

95 98 01 04 07 10

Ma

na

ge

r A

lph

a*

(Pe

rce

nt)

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Co

rrela

tion

s (Pe

rcen

t)

Manager Alpha*(Left Scale)

Global Intra-Market Correlations vs. Global Manager Alpha

Historical analysis does not guarantee future results.Through December 31, 2010*Through September 30, 2010; Alpha is a measure of risk-adjusted performance. Six-month rolling premium of median global large-cap manager versus the MSCI World.**Intra-market correlations of returns of the MSCI World over 126 days. Correlation is a statistical measure of the degree to which two or more variables show a tendency to vary together.***The difference between the 75th-percentile company and the 25th-percentile company within the AllianceBernstein global developed universe based on year-over-year trailing earnings growthSource: eVestment Alliance, FactSet, MSCI, S&P and AllianceBernstein

Correlations**

25

50

75

100

95 98 01 04 07 10

Growth More

Divergent

GrowthLess

DivergentP

erc

en

tag

e

Percentage Difference Between Highest and Lowest Company Earnings Growth***

Stocks Have Traded in Tandem… …Despite Historic Gap Between Growth Rates

LessStock-

Specific

More Stock-

Specific

Equities

Page 15: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

15AllianceBernstein.com

Current analysis does not guarantee future results.Top and bottom right through September 30, 2010. Bottom left through May 30, 2010.*Stock prices from one day before announcement to three months after, adjusted for dividends; stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ.**Absolute valuations chart shows 5th–95th percentile range of historical valuations over the 10 years ended September 30, 2010.Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Bloomberg, Capital IQ, MSCI, Russell Investment Group, S&P, Thomson I/B/E/S and AllianceBernstein

Many Attractive Opportunities to Add Return via Active Management

Find Misvalued Growth Companies

Evaluate Globalization of SMid-Cap Sales RevenuesIdentify Long-Term Growth Catalysts

13×

Price-to-Forward-Earnings

Current

10-Year Avg.

Absolute Valuations Emerging Markets**3.6%

2.3%

DividendIncrease

Stock Buyback

Outperformance vs. S&P 500 Three Months After Announcement of Action*

Identify Likely Cash Returns to Shareholders

Which companies will capitalize on the ways cloud computing changes our lives?

What we buy online

Where we store our music, movies and memories

How we share our medical history

How we meet people

9.115.7

19.3

11.617.3

23.1

1990 2000 2009

Russell 2000 Russell 2500

US Small and SMid-Cap Stocks: Foreign Sales as a Percentage of Total Sales

Equities

Page 16: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

16AllianceBernstein.com

109%

84%

64%

12%

Equity Payoff Could Be Substantial

Potential Cumulative ReturnOver Next Five Years

Global Treasury yield to maturity*

Assumptions

Earnings grow 8% annually, P/E and dividend payout ratios rise toward their long-term norms***

Same as above + 3% annual active management premium†

Earnings grow 8% annually, current dividend yield persists**

Asset Class

Global Bonds

Global Equity

Global Equity

Global Equity

Current analysis does not guarantee future results.As of December 31, 2010*Assumes annualized returns of 2.21%, based on the current yield on the Barclays Capital Global 5–7 Year Treasury Index.**Assumes annualized returns of 10.36%, based on an assumed 8% earnings growth plus the current 2.36% dividend yield on the MSCI World Index.***Assumes annualized returns of 12.92%, based on the above 10.36% plus a 2.14% return from the price/earnings ratio rising from its current level of 14.4x to 16.0x (the median trailing price/earnings ratio for the MSCI World since 1970 is 17.7x); and a 0.42% return from the dividend payout ratio rising from its current 34% to 40% (the median trailing dividend payout ratio for the MSCI World since 1970 is 47%).†Assumes annualized returns of 15.92%, based on the above 12.92% plus a 3% active management premium.There is no guarantee that the assumptions will prove valid. No representation is being made that any AllianceBernstein-managed portfolio will experience returns similar to those presented above.Source: Barclays Capital, MSCI and AllianceBernstein

Equities

Page 17: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

17AllianceBernstein.com

Today’s Equity Market Environment: The Coiled Spring

Today

An Equity Market

Rebound?

Possible Catalysts

Reduced Risk Aversion

Pickup in Job Growth

Capital Spending/Exports Pickup

Sustained Pricing Power

Stimulus

Time

Uncertain GovernmentRegulations

Uncertain GovernmentRegulations

Deferred SpendingDeferred Spending

Fearful InvestorsFearful Investors

Equities

Page 18: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

18AllianceBernstein.com

US Yields Climbed with Economic News, with Further to Go

Short-Term Interest Rates:* US, UK, Europe and Japan Bond Returns and Interest Rate Sensitivity

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

Jan Apr Jun SepDec

0

2

4

6

8

10

92 95 98 01 04 07 10

US Two-Yr. Yields

UK Two-Yr. Yields

Germany Two-Yr. Yields

Japan Two-Yr. Yields

Rat

es

Historical analysis does not guarantee future results.Through December 31, 2010*Represented by two-year US Treasury yields for each region. Germany’s yields are used as the proxy for euro yields.Source: Barclays Capital, Bloomberg, FactSet and AllianceBernstein

Return

Sensitivity of

Bond Prices to1% Rate Increase

US Treasuries

2-Year 1.14% 0.60% 2.35% –0.13% –1.99%

5-Year 2.68 2.01 7.02 –2.70 –4.81

10-Year 3.84 3.30 8.01 –5.57 –8.94

Sector

Corporates 4.73% 4.02% 9.00% –1.61% –6.53%

High Yield 9.06 7.51 15.12 3.22 –4.32

EM (USD) 6.17 5.52 12.12 –2.04 –7.01

12/31/10 2010 4Q

Yield

12/31/09

Fixed Income

Page 19: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

19AllianceBernstein.com

Euro Area1.0

US5.9

Japan2.9

UK7.2

Australia0.3

Canada5.6

Japan1.4

UK–1.6

US–3.6

Euro Area4.1

Australia–5.9

Canada–1.9

2009

Australia1.2

Canada4.6

Euro Area1.8

Japan5.3

US3.1

UK0.9

2006 2007

UK4.7

Euro Area3.1

Australia2.0

US9.0

Japan7.8

Canada5.7

2008

UK10.4

Euro Area8.4

Australia15.1

US13.8

Japan6.7

Canada11.7

4.4 7.0 8.4 10.0

…Creating Opportunities for Active Fixed-Income Investors, Especially in Global Bonds

Country Returns Vary Significantly Across Cycles

BestPerformer

Worst Performer

Global Bond Returns (Hedged to USD)*: Percent

Gap between

bestand worst

2010

6.9

A Multi-Country Strategy May Reduce Portfolio Risk

1

2

3

4

5

94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10

Per

cent

Rolling Volatility**3-Years Ending December 31, 2010

US Bonds

Hedged Global Bonds

Past performance does not guarantee future results. These returns are for illustrative purposes only and do not reflect the performance of any fund. Diversification does not eliminate the risk of loss. *As of December 31, 2010, Barclays Capital Global Treasury Indices **As of December 31, 2010, Barclays Capital Global and US Aggregate Indices An investor cannot invest directly in an index or average and they do not include sales charges or operating expenses associated with an investment in a mutual fund, which would reduce total returns. Source: Barclays Capital and AllianceBernstein

Fixed Income

Page 20: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

20AllianceBernstein.com

Past performance does not guarantee future results.Left: through September 30, 2010. Right: through October 31, 2010.*Median is for period shown. Based on the Barclays Capital US High Yield Index 2% Issuer Constrained. The median is the middle number in a series arranged from lowest to highest, and thus separates the highest half of a series from the lowest.**Default rates are par-weighted.Source: Barclays Capital, Bond Investors Association, CSI High Yield Research, JPMorgan Chase, Moody’s Investor Service and AllianceBernstein

US High Yield Still Attractive…

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

94 98 02 06 10

Ba

sis

Po

ints

Median*

0

3

6

9

12

15

18

21

24

89 92 95 98 01 04 07 10P

erc

en

t

…and Defaults Have Subsided

Opportunities Remain in High Yield

US High-Yield Spreads over Treasuries* Global High-Yield Par Default Rate** Trailing 12 Months

Fixed Income

Page 21: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

21AllianceBernstein.com

Municipal Yields Rose…but Fundamentals Are Improving

Historical analysis and current estimates do not guarantee future results.Left: through December 20, 2010. Right: through September 30, 2010.*Uses AllianceBernstein forecast for last two weeks of December.**Forecast uses consensus yearly supply forecast, adjusted for seasonality and for shift of issuance from 2011 first quarter into 2010 fourth quarter.***30-year yields as of quarter-end; 30-year Municipal Yield is represented by the 30-year maturity spot on the AAA Municipal Market Data Curve.Source: Bond Buyer, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Municipal Market Data Corp., Yield Book and AllianceBernstein

40

60

80

100

Q1:10 Q2:10 Q3:10 Q4:10E*Q1:11E**3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

Yie

ld (%

)

Issuance and Treasury Yields Lifted Muni Yields

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10

Tax Revenues Are Much Healthier

Muni Yield***

Bond Yields and Tax-Exempt Municipal Bond Issuance

State and Local Government Tax Collections

Treasury Yield***

Fixed Income

Y0

Y P

erc

en

t C

ha

ng

e

Issu

an

ce (

US

D B

illio

ns)

Page 22: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

22AllianceBernstein.com

While Crowd Worries, Active Managers See Reality Behind the Uproar

Historical analysis does not guarantee future results.Left: through November 30, 2010. Right: through December 31, 2010.*Illinois made its pension contribution but issued bonds to pay for it.**Credit spreads shown are for 10-year municipal securities.***Estimates are produced by Municipal Market Data Corp.†Market represented by Barclays Capital Municipal IndexSource: Barclays Capital Municipal Market Data Corp., Center on Budget and Policy Priorities’ July 15, 2010, report, The Fiscal Survey of States, June 2010, National Governors Association and National Association of State Budget Officers, Pension plan comprehensive annual financial reports, state comprehensive annual financial reports, state offering statements and AllianceBernstein

Municipal Market Sector Distribution†

Budget Situations Vary Widely Across States

Thousands of Issuers in Fragmented Muni Market

Muni Credit Spreads Offer Opportunity**

0

4

8

12

16

20

IL* CT FL NJ MD CA NY VA TX

Actual Contribution

Debt Service

Unfunded Part of Required Contribution

2009 Debt Service and Annual Required Pension Contribution Percent of Operating Expenditures

Yield Advantage of BBB-Rated Debtover AAA-Rated Debt***

0

1

2

3

4

83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09

Per

cent

1.86%Dec 31, 2010

Apr 1, 2009 3.54%

0.35% Jun 30, 2007

Average

Fixed Income

Special Tax10%

9% GO27%

Education6%

Other6%

8%

Lease5%

Health Care8%

Electric6%

Transportation15%

Water & Sewer

Pre-Refunded

Page 23: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

23AllianceBernstein.com

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

05 06 07 08 09 10

YO

Y C

PI

Rising Global Inflation Supportive of Real Assets

1.8%

3.8%

11.8%

Global CPI MSCI ACWI Real Assets

Accelerations

Historical analysis does not guarantee future results.Through November 30, 2010CPI = Consumer Price Index—An inflationary indicator that measures the change in the cost of a fixed basket of products and services, including housing, electricity, food and transportation.Global CPI is represented by IMF Global Inflation Index, Real Assets are represented by equally weighted index of MSCI Commodity Producers Equity Index, FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Global Developed Market Total Return Index, DJ-UBS Total Return Commodity Index. Individuals cannot invest directly in an index. Please see the end of the presentation for index definitions. Source: Bloomberg, IMF and Factset

Recent Accelerations in Global InflationAverage Change During Last Three Inflation Accelerations

Fixed Income

Page 24: First Quarter 2011 Capital Markets Outlook Opportunities in the Ongoing Recovery The information herein reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgments

24AllianceBernstein.com

Heightened Volatility Tests Investors’ Resolve

Returns Have Been Volatile…

Past performance does not guarantee future results.Through December 31, 2010*The Index is represented by a 60% allocation to the MSCI World Index and 40% allocation to the Lipper Short/Intermediate Blended Municipal Fund Average. Performance is calculated monthly using a weighted sum of each component’s return. Individuals cannot invest directly in an index. Please see the end of the presentation for index definitions. **Stocks represented by MSCI World. Bonds represented by Barclays Capital Global Aggregate.This is a hypothetical example.Source: Barclays Capital, Lipper, MSCI and AllianceBernstein

Average

…But a Consistent Portfolio Has Largely Recovered from the Worst Market in 70 years

-40

-20

0

20

40

83 86 89 92 95 98 01 04 07 10

Pe

rce

nt

6

7

8

9

10

Oct 07 Apr 08 Oct 08 Apr 09 Oct 09 Apr 10 Oct 10U

S D

olla

r (0

00

)

3% Lower than Initial Investment

52% Increasefrom Trough

Rolling 12-Month Returns 60% Stocks/40% Bonds Index*

Growth of USD 10,00060% Stocks/40% Bonds**

Asset Allocation

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Historical and Implied Equity Volatility*

20 21

29

26

21%

29%

S&P 500 MSCI EAFE FTSE 100

Actual over Past Decade Implied for Next Decade

Historical analysis and current forecasts do not guarantee future results.Through December 17, 2010*Implied volatility on long-dated index optionsIndividuals cannot invest directly in an index. Please see the end of the presentation for index definitions.Source: FTSE, JP Morgan, MSCI, Option Metrics, S&P, and AllianceBernstein

Investors Are Pricing In Persistent Long-Term Turmoil

Asset Allocation

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Asset Allocation Tools: A Systematic Process for Weighing Risk and Return

Key Factors in Weighing Expected Risk and Return

SpreadsSentimentValuations

Interest RatesExpected Risk Expected Return

VolatilityCorrelations

Historical analysis and current forecasts do not guarantee future results.As of December 31, 2010Source: AllianceBernstein

Asset Allocation

Asset ClassExpected Volatility

Expected Return

Stocks Above Average Above Average

Bonds Below Average Below Average

Real Assets Above Average Above Average

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate as the prices of the individual securities in which they invest fluctuate, so that shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost.

Value investing does not guarantee a profit or eliminate risk. Not all companies whose stocks are considered to be “value” stocks are able to turn their business around or successfully employ corrective strategies that would result in stock prices that rise as initially expected.

Investments in foreign securities may magnify fluctuations due to changes in foreign exchange rates and the possibility of substantial volatility due to political and economic uncertainties in foreign countries. Investing in emerging markets and in developing countries also has the risk that market changes or other factors affecting emerging markets and developing countries, including political instability and unpredictable economic conditions, may have a significant effect on an investment’s performance.

Investing in non-US securities may be more volatile because of political, regulatory, market and economic uncertainties associated with such securities. These risks are magnified in securities of emerging or developing markets.

As interest rates rise, bond prices fall and vice versa—long-term securities tend to rise and fall more than short-term securities.

A Word About Risk

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Index Descriptions

Standard & Poor's Index (S&P 500) Widely regarded as the best single gauge of the US equities market, this world-renowned index includes a representative sample of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the US economy. Although the S&P 500 focuses on the large-cap segment of the market, with more than 80% coverage of US equities, it is also an ideal proxy for the total market. The S&P 500 is part of a series of US indices that can be used as building blocks for portfolio construction. With close to $1 trillion in indexed assets, the S&P US indices have earned a reputation of being not only leading market indicators, but also investable portfolios designed for cost-efficient replication or the creation of index-linked products. (represents US on slide 1)

Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World Index is a market capitalization–weighted index that measures the performance of stock markets in 23 countries.

MSCI EAFE Index (Europe, Australasia, Far East) is a free float–adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure developed market equity performance, excluding the US and Canada. As of April 2002, the MSCI EAFE Index consisted of the following 21 developed market country indices: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hong Kong, Ireland, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Singapore, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. (represents EAFE on slide 1)

MSCI Emerging Market Index is a free float–adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure equity market performance in the global emerging markets. It consists of 26 emerging market country indices. (represents EM on slide 1)

TOPIX Index measures stock prices on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE).

Barclays Capital US Dollar Emerging Market Index includes USD-denominated debt from emerging markets in the following regions: Americas, Europe, Middle East, Africa and Asia. As with other fixed-income benchmarks provided by Barclays Capital, the index is rules-based, which allows for an unbiased view of the marketplace and easy replicability. (represents EM Debt on slide 1)

Barclays Capital Global Aggregate–Corporate Bond Index tracks the performance of investment-grade corporate bonds publicly issued in the global market found in the Global Aggregate. (represents Global Corp on slide 1)

Barclays Capital Global High-Yield Index provides a broad-based measure of the global high-yield fixed-income markets. The Global High-Yield Index represents that union of the US High-Yield, Pan-European High-Yield, US Emerging Markets High-Yield, CMBS High-Yield, and Pan-European Emerging Markets High-Yield Indices. (represents Global High Yield on slide 1)

Following is a description of the indices referred to in this presentation. It is important to recognize that all indices are unmanaged and do not reflect fees and expenses associated with the active management of a mutual fund portfolio. Investors cannot invest directly in an index, and its performance does not reflect the performance of any AllianceBernstein mutual fund.

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Index Descriptions (continued)

Barclays Capital US Corporate High Yield Index–2% Issuer Constrained covers the USD-denominated, non-investment-grade, fixed-rate taxable corporate bonds that are classified as high yield in the middle rating of Moody’s, Fitch and S&P is Ba1/BB+/BB+ or below. Excludes Emerging Markets. Caps issuers at 2%.

Barclays Capital US Treasury Index includes fixed-rate, local currency sovereign debt that make up the US Treasury sector of the Global Aggregate Index. (represents US Gov’t on slide 1)

Barclays Capital Japan Treasury Index includes fixed-rate, local currency sovereign debt that make up the Japanese Treasury sector of the Global Aggregate Index. (represents Japan Gov’t on slide 1)

Barclays Capital Euro Treasury Index includes fixed-rate, local currency sovereign debt that make up the Euro Treasury sector of the Global Aggregate Index. (represents Euro Gov’t on slide 1)

Barclays Capital Canada Treasury Index includes fixed-rate, local currency sovereign debt that make up the Canadian Treasury sector of the Global Aggregate Index.

Barclays Capital Euro Area Treasury Index includes fixed-rate, local currency sovereign debt that make up the Euro Area Treasury sector of the Global Aggregate Index.

Barclays Capital Canada Treasury Index includes fixed-rate, local currency sovereign debt that make up the Canadian Treasury sector of the Global Aggregate Index.

Barclays Capital United Kingdom Treasury Index includes fixed-rate, local currency sovereign debt that make up the United Kingdom Treasury sector of the Global Aggregate Index.

Barclays Capital Australia Treasury Index includes fixed-rate, local currency sovereign debt that make up the Australian Treasury sector of the Global Aggregate Index.

Barclays Capital US Aggregate represents securities that are SEC-registered, taxable and dollar denominated. The index covers the US investment-grade fixed-rate bond market, with index components for government and corporate securities, mortgage pass-through securities and asset-backed securities.

Barclays Capital Euro Aggregate consists of bonds issued in the euro or the legacy currencies of the 16 sovereign countries participating in the European Monetary Union (EMU).

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Index Descriptions (continued)

Barclays Capital Global Aggregate Index provides a broad-based measure of the global investment-grade fixed-income markets. The three major components of this index are the US Aggregate, the Pan-European Aggregate and the Asian-Pacific Aggregate indices.

Barclays Capital Global 5–7 Year Treasury Index tracks fixed-rate local currency sovereign debt of investment-grade countries in the 5–7 year maturity range.

Barclays Capital Municipal Bond Index is a rules-based, market-value-weighted index engineered for the long-term tax-exempt bond market.

MSCI World Commodity Producers Index is a free float–adjusted market-capitalization index designed to track the performance of global listed commodity producers.

FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Index is a free float–adjusted, liquidity, size and revenue screened index designed to track the performance of listed real estate companies and REITS worldwide.

DJ-UBS Total Return Commodity Index is an index made up of exchange-traded futures on 19 physical commodities, that are weighted to account for economic significance and market liquidity.

IMF Global Inflation Index is provided in the IMF’s monthly World Economic Outlook outlining their views on global inflation growth.

The Global Purchasing Managers’ Index is an indicator of the economic health of the manufacturing sector. It is based on five major indicators: new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries and the employment environment.

Russell 2500 Index measures the performance of the small to mid-cap segment of the US equity universe, commonly referred to as “smid” cap. The Russell 2500 Index is a subset of the Russell 3000® Index. It includes approximately 2,500 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership.

Russell 2000 Index measures the performance of the small-cap segment of the US equity universe. The Russell 2000 Index is a subset of the Russell 3000® Index representing approximately 8% of the total market capitalization of that index. It includes approximately 2,000 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership.

FTSE 100 Index comprises the 100 most highly capitalized blue chip companies, representing approximately 81% of the UK market.

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