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U.S. Shale Gas From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies John B. Curtis Potential Gas Agency Colorado School of Mines

From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

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Page 1: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

U.S. Shale GasFrom Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies

John B. CurtisPotential Gas AgencyColorado School of Mines

Page 2: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Major U.S. Basins and Shale Plays c. 2007(Where are the Haynesville and Marcellus???)

Page 3: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Shale Gas Annual Production and Energy Information Administration (EIA) Forecast

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2019

2021

2023

2025

2027

2029

Ann

ual P

rodu

ctio

n, B

cf

CUMEIA Projection

EnCana

Page 4: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

U.S. Shale Gas Annual Production from Five Classic Plays to 2007

Modified and updated from Hill and Nelson, 2000

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

Ann

ual P

rodu

ctio

n, B

cf

New AlbanyLewisBarnettAntrimOhio

Expiration ofSection 29 Tax Credit

EnCana

Page 6: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Acquisitions – >$8 Billion

Source: Trollart.com – Ray Troll

Page 7: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Resource Development – >$15 Billion

Source:devonenergy.com

Source:devonenergy.com

Source:AAPG

Source:AAPG

Source:chiefoiland gas.com

Page 8: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Hydrocarbons From Shale – Never Say Die

Growth in Barnett Shale - Ft. Worth Basin

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

Ann

ual P

rodu

ctio

n, B

cf

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Prod

ucin

g W

ells

Gas Production Well Count

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Low-magnification view exhibits darker, more carbonaceous mudstone texture. Thinly laminated siliceous/argillaceous matrix hosts a mix of organic material, microcrystalline clay, silica, angular to subrounded silt, micromicas, phosphatic debris, and microfossil fragments. White, patchy chert is primarily recrystallized biotic components, especially forams and radiolarians (arrows). Magenta epoxy highlights an induced, layer-parallel microfracture. (Plane-polarized light. Scale bar = 0.5 mm)
Page 9: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Exploration Considerations

• Natural fractures - Friend or Foe?• Facies changes - greater permeability• Kerogen type - I,II,IIS,III• Microbial or thermogenic gas?• Thermal maturation history• MWD - especially w/ gas isotopes

Page 10: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Geochemical Properties of Gas Shales

Modified from Hill and Nelson, 2000

Page 11: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Modified from original work by Ira Pasternack

Evolution of Antrim Shale Gas

Page 12: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Some Elements of a Successful Shale Gas Play

Productivity

Gas-In-PlaceThickness

Organic Richness Maturation

Brittleness

Mineralogy Permeability

Pore Pressure

Page 13: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Potential Supply of Natural Gas in the United States

Report of thePotential Gas Committee(December 31, 2008)

Presenter
Presentation Notes
The PGC consists of 145 volunteer geologists and engineers who assess the amount of remaining U.S. natural gas resources every two years. The Committee has been completing these assessments since 1964. The (December 31, 2008) refers to the last data collected, i.e., drilling, production, geologic and geophysical data were used that were available up to that date. The analyses are then completed and the report is published the following year. The members that complete the assessment use public and private data and appropriate methodologies to provide a geological look at our natural gas endowment. They are selected for their expertise in working the appropriate geological basins.
Page 14: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Proved Reserves vs Resources

• Known gas reservoirs

• Existing economic conditions

• Existing operating conditions

• Discovered

• Undiscovered

• Effects of technology

• Effects of economics

POTENTIAL GAS AGENCY

COLORADO SCHOOL OF MINES

Presenter
Presentation Notes
The Potential Gas Committee reports technically recoverable resources - a geological look at our remaining natural gas endowment. We assume neither a time schedule nor a specific market price for the discovery and production of future gas supply. Our assessment is separate from and does not include Proved Reserves, which are reported annually by the EIA of US DOE.
Page 15: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Regional Resource Assessment

Data source: Potential Gas Committee (2009)

Traditional 1,673.4 TcfCoalbed 163.0 TcfTotal U.S. 1,836.4 Tcf

353.517.3

455.23.4

24.016.6

193.857.0

51.32.6

274.97.5

374.451.9

Page 16: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

PGC Resource Assessments, 1990-2008

Data source: Potential Gas Committee (2009)

Total Potential Gas Resources (mean values)

Page 17: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Possible Constraints on Future Gas Supply

Sufficient Supply toMeet Demand

TechnologyResourceBase

EnvironmentalConcerns

Skilled Workforce

Regulatory &Land Issues

Gas Price PipelineCapacity

Rig Availability

Page 18: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Gas Character Anomalies Found in Highly Productive Shale Gas Wells

John E. Zumberge1

Kevin A. Ferworn1

John B. Curtis2

1GeoMark Research Ltd., Houston, Texas USA2Colorado School of Mines, Golden, Colorado USA

Page 19: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Pres enta tion Outline

• Background: carbon isotope fractionation; gas wetness and wellsite sample collection during drilling;

• I. Ethane isotope “rollover,” suggestive of in situ gas cracking and more productive wells;

• II. Mud gas isotope “reversals,” indicative of overpressured shales;

• III. Permeability markers from differences in methane isotopic composition between mud (free) and cuttings (adsorbed) gases.

Page 20: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Background

Page 21: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Dry Gas and Wet Gas Compos itions

Page 22: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Wells ite Sampling for Gas Is o topes

mud gas sampling manifold

IsoTube for mud gases

IsoJar for cuttings gases

Page 23: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Mud Gas and Cuttings Sampling

Page 24: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Changes in Carbon Is o tope Ra tios with Thermal Matura tion (afte r M. Schoell)

After M. Schoell

Page 25: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

I. Barne tt Sha le Ethane Is o tope “Rollover”

C2 isotope “rollover”

Normal increasing maturity trend

Ethane isotope reversals in

mature eastern Barnett gases

Page 26: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Barne tt Ethane Is o tope “Rollover”

Normal maturity trendEthane isotope reversal

Page 27: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Stabilized Produc tion vs Wetnes sStabilized Production vs. Gas Wetness

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

0 5 10 15 20 25

Gas Wetness (C2+)

Stab

ilize

d Pr

oduc

tion

(msc

f/mon

th)

C2 Isotope“Rollover”C2 Isotope“Rollover”

Wells without isotope “rollover”are never the best producers.

Poorly producing “rollover” wells are often earlier completions. Low TOC and rock properties are also important issues.

Page 28: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Summary - Ethane Is o tope “Rollover”

• Ethane (and propane) isotope “rollover” occurs in increasingly high-maturity shale-gas wells.

• Behavior is also observed in numerous other gas shales in other basins.

• These wells appear to be among the most productive shale-gas wells:• ? In situ cracking increases the number of smaller

molecules, increasing fluid pressure.• ? Organic material becomes more brittle, leading to

increased kerogen porosity and permeability.

Page 29: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

II. Mud Gas Ethane Is o tope “Revers a ls ”

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

13,000

14,000

15,000-40 -35 -30 -25 -20

Ethane Carbon Isotope, δ13C (‰ )

Mea

sure

d D

epth

, MD

(ft)

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

13,000

14,000

15,0000 4 8 12

Wetness, (C2 - nC5) / (C1 - nC5)

Mea

sure

d D

epth

, MD

(ft)

Bossier / Cotton ValleyHaynesville top of overpressure

Haynesville Example

“normal” maturity isotopic trend

Page 30: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Barne tt Sha le S tra tigraphy

Page 31: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Haynesville

Eas t Texas /North La . Oil Dis tribu tion

Jurassic Carbonate SourceJurassic/Cretaceous Reservoirs

Cretaceous Shale SourceCretaceous Reservoirs

Tertiary Shale Source & Reservoir

East Texas Field

Haynes ville -Bos s ie r

Page 32: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

III. Sha le Gas Is o topes asPermeability Markers

4,200

4,300

4,400

4,500

4,600

4,700

4,800

4,900-50 -45 -40 -35 -30

Mea

sure

d D

epth

Headspace Gas - IsoJars

Mud Gas - IsoTubes

MoreFreeGas

More AdsorbedGas

Methane Carbon Isotope

A clear isotopic difference existsbetween methane from mud gases(black squares) and methane fromheadspace gases (red squares).

• Mud gas ~ Free / solution / lost gas

• Headspace gas ~ Adsorbed gas

Larger differences between IsoTube And IsoJar isotopes correlate with increased permeability.

Page 33: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Well Log Evidence for Poros ity/Permeability Detec tion from Sha le Gas Is o topes

1 2 3 4GR

dt

DEPTH(AT10_) ISOJARS

ISOTUBESAT20CHMN -20

-20-50

-50

2000

2000

0.2

0.2

0.45SPMV-500 -300 0.45

-0.15

-0.15

NPOR LM

V/V

V/VDPHI LM

GAP0 150

Zones of maximum porosity /

permeability

Page 34: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Shale Gas Analys es as Permeability Markers – Poorer Permeability

4,200

4,300

4,400

4,500

4,600

4,700

4,800

4,900-50 -45 -40 -35 -30

Mea

sure

d D

epth

Headspace Gas - IsoJars

Mud Gas - IsoTubes

MoreFreeGas

More AdsorbedGas

Methane Carbon Isotope

Poorer permeability:Gas eventually evolving off cuttings has more free gas, making methane isotopes more negative.

Headspace Gas

Mud Gas

Free Gas (more negative isotopes)

Adsorbed Gas (more positive isotopes)

Page 35: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Shale Gas Analys es as Permeability Markers – Bette r Permeability

4,200

4,300

4,400

4,500

4,600

4,700

4,800

4,900-50 -45 -40 -35 -30

Mea

sure

d D

epth

Headspace Gas - IsoJars

Mud Gas - IsoTubes

MoreFreeGas

More AdsorbedGas

Methane Carbon Isotope

Free Gas (more negative isotopes)

Adsorbed Gas (more positive isotopes)

Better permeability:Gas eventually evolving off cuttings is mostly adsorbed gas.

Headspace Gas

Mud Gas

Page 36: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Conclus ions

• Shale-gas well performance can be correlated to gas character anomalies seen in produced, mud and headspace gas isotopic analyses:– Ethane and propane isotope “rollovers”

indicate in situ cracking at high maturities. – Ethane isotope “reversals” within a single well

demonstrate overpressure/effective seals.– Mud (free) and headspace (adsorbed)

methane isotopic signatures can be used as permeability markers.

Page 37: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Potential Gas Agency

Page 38: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’sResources Resources Resources Proportion

PGC Area (Mean, Tcf) (M.L., Tcf) (Tcf) of Total L48

Regional Resource Assessment Summary

Gulf Coast 455.2 3.4 458.5 28.1%Rocky Mountain 374.4 51.9 426.3 26.1%Atlantic 353.5 17.3 370.8 22.7%Mid-Continent 274.9 7.5 282.4 17.3%Pacific 51.3 2.6 53.8 3.3%North Central 24.0 16.6 40.6 2.5%Total Lower 48* 1,484.9 99.2 1,632.5

Alaska 193.8 57.0 250.8Total U.S. (means)* 1,673.4 163.0 1,836.4

Data source: Potential Gas Committee (2009) * Separately aggregated total, not arithmetically additive.

Presenter
Presentation Notes
The next three slides summarize the information for the 89 geological provinces into seven areas. The individual province values may be found in the Advance Summary.
Page 39: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

Regional Resource Comparison

Data source: Potential Gas Committee (2009)

Page 40: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

PGC Resource Assessment 2008

Data source: Potential Gas Committee (2009)

ProbableResources Possible

Resources

SpeculativeResources

Probable (existing fields) 441.4 TcfPossible (new fields) 736.9 TcfSpeculative (frontier) 500.7 TcfTotal 1,673.4 Tcf

Total Traditional Resources (mean values) by category

Page 41: From Resources and Reserves to Carbon Isotope Anomalies · 2015. 12. 16. · Traditional Coalbed Gas Total Pot. Region’s Resources Resources Resources Proportion PGC Area (Mean,

PGC Resource Assessment 2008

Data source: Potential Gas Committee (2009)

ProbableResources

PossibleResources

SpeculativeResources

Probable (existing fields) 14.2 TcfPossible (new fields) 49.8 TcfSpeculative (frontier) 98.9 TcfTotal 163.0 Tcf

Total Coalbed Gas Resources (mean values) by category