George Washington University poll

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  • 8/9/2019 George Washington University poll

    1/426

    26% 10% 65% 1001

    30% 8% 62%   195

    23% 12% 66%   181

    26% 8% 66%   235

    27% 4% 69%   96

    26% 17% 57%   83

    15% 10% 74%   70

    28% 12% 61%   141

    28% 10% 62%   89

    27% 2% 71%   58

    29% 4% 66%   71

    31% 5% 64%   56

    25% 11% 64%   727

    25% 11% 64%   217

    26% 12% 62%   320

    26% 7% 67%   464

    24% 9% 67%   405

    29% 11% 61%   366

    25% 10% 65%   230

    24% 7% 69%   241

    26% 11% 63%   760

    24% 10% 66%   480

    27% 10% 63%   521

    25% 10% 65%   324

    23% 8% 68%   157

    29% 11% 61%   281

    25% 9% 65%   240

    29% 7% 64%   133

    27% 10% 63%   605

    22% 9% 69%   252

    27% 22% 51%   11

    32% 17% 51%   200

    27% 6% 67%   280

    27% 8% 66%   310

    17% 11% 72%   200

    5% 10% 85%   10

    TOTAL

    Northeast

    Midwest

    South

    South Central

    Central Plains

    Mountain States

    West

    RG1 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS ONE

    California

    Florida

    Texas

    New York

    Rest of country

    RG2 GEOGRAPHIC

     AREAS TWO

    GOP held seat up in 2014

    DEM held seat up in 2014

    No Senate election

    SENEL U.S. SENATE

    ELECTION STATUS BY

    STATE

    GOP held seat up in 2014

    DEM held seat up in 2014

    No Gubernatorial election

    GOVEL

    GUBERNATORIAL

    ELECTION STATUS BYSTATE

    Competitive statewide

    race

    Other 

    COMPST STATES

    WITH COMPETITIVE

    STATEWIDE

    ELECTIONS

    Male

    Female

    GENDER GENDER

    Male / employed

    Male / not employed

    Female / employed

    Female / not employed

    RSEXEMP

    RESPONDENT'S SEX /

    EMPLOYMENT/C

    Not employed

    Employed

    Retired

    Refused

    EMPSTAT

    18-34

    35-44

    45-64

    65 or over 

    Unsure / refused

    RAGE RESPONDENT'S AGE/C

    RDIRECT

    Rightdirection

    Unsure Wrong track

    RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

    Page 1

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    29% 10% 60%   480

    27% 8% 66%   310

    17% 11% 72%   200

    5% 10% 85%   10

    29% 9% 62%   302

    17% 10% 73%   179

    32% 9% 59%   315

    20% 11% 70%   205

    22% 8% 70%   751

    48% 10% 42%   120

    31% 19% 50%   90

    22% 13% 64%   40

    31% 12% 57%   128

    20% 8% 72%   623

    47% 26% 27%   24

    48% 6% 46%   96

    28% 28% 44%   41

    33% 12% 55%   49

    33% 15% 52%   8

    20% 13% 67%   32

    17% 9% 75%   255

    29% 10% 61%   746

    22% 7% 71%   368

    22% 9% 69%   382

    43% 14% 43%   50

    52% 7% 41%   70

    32% 25% 42%   42

    29% 14% 56%   48

    8% 5% 87%   390

    18% 12% 70%  190

    46% 13% 41%   420

    9% 5% 86%   214

    6% 6% 88%   176

    48% 15% 37%   161

    44% 12% 44%   259

    19% 11% 71%   105

    17% 13% 70%   85

    18-44

    45-64

    65+

    Unsure / refused

    RAGEBG2 AGE/C

    Male / under 55

    Male / 55+

    Female / under 55

    Female / 55+

    RR96FL AGE / SEX

    White

    Black / African American

    Hispanic / Latino

    Other 

    RRACE

    RESPONDENT'S

    RACE/C

    White millenials 18-34

    White older voters 35+

     African American

    millenials 18-34

     African American older voters 35+

    Hispanic millenials 18-34

    Hispanic older voters 35+

    Other races millenials

    18-34

    Other races older voters

    35+

     AGE AND RACE

    White seniors

    Other 

    WHITE SENIORS

    White men

    White women

    Black men

    Black women

    Hispanic men

    Hispanic women

    GENRACE RACE BY

    GENDER

    Republican

    Independent

    Democrat

    RPARTYID PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION/C

    Male / GOP

    Female / GOP

    Male / DEM

    Female / DEM

    Male / IND

    Female / IND

    RPTYID89 SEX /

    PARTY ID

    RDIRECT

    Rightdirection

    Unsure Wrong track

    RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

    Page 2

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    9% 6% 85%   223

    6% 5% 90%   168

    52% 11% 37%   269

    35% 17% 48%   151

    21% 12% 67%   125

    13% 10% 77%   65

    8% 4% 88%   448

    14% 22% 64%   61

    43% 13% 43%   492

    7% 4% 88%   360

    7% 7% 86%   92

    21% 17% 62%   64

    26% 16% 58%   84

    47% 13% 40%   401

    12% 5% 83%   536

    16% 20% 64%   76

    46% 14% 40%   389

    8% 3% 88%   187

    14% 7% 79%   348

    41% 15% 44%   465

    8% 5% 87%   390

    18% 12% 70%  190

    35% 5% 60%   103

    49% 16% 35%   318

    50% 14% 36%   335

    30% 11% 59%   157

    14% 22% 64%   61

    18% 6% 77%   69

    6% 4% 90%   379

    7% 3% 89%   93

    3% 2% 95%   68

    30% 11% 59%   840

    28% 18% 54%   53

    19% 13% 68%   227

    25% 9% 66%   219

    29% 8% 63%   503

    27% 8% 65%   248

    21% 12% 67%   232

    30% 8% 61%   254

    24% 12% 64%   266

    Under 55 / GOP

    55 & over / GOP

    Under 55 / DEM

    55 & over / DEM

    Under 55 / IND

    55 & over / IND

    RPTY90FL AGE /

    PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION

    Republican

    Ticket splitter 

    Democrat

    RPARTY USUAL VOTE

    BEHAVIOR/C

    Hard GOP

    Soft GOP

    Ticket splitter Soft DEM

    Hard DEM

    PARTISAN PARTISAN

    Conservative

    Moderate

    Liberal

    RIDEOL

    RESPONDENT'S

    IDEOLOGY/C

    Very conservative

    Somewhat conservative

    Moderate / liberal

    RRIDEOL

    RESPONDENT'S

    IDEOLOGY/C

    Republican

    Independent

    Conservative DEM

    Mod / lib DEM

    RPTYID98 TARGET

    GROUPS

    Liberal DEM

    Mod / conservative DEM

    Independent

    Mod / liberal GOP

    Conservative GOP

    PARIDEOL PARTY /

    IDEOLOGY

    Yes / strongly

    Yes

    No / unsure

    RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY

    WITH TEA PARTY

    MOVEMENT/C

    Less than high school

    High school graduate

    Some college

    College graduate

    REDUC

    RESPONDENT'S

    EDUCATION/C

    Male college graduates

    Male non-college

    graduates

    Female college graduates

    Female non-college

    graduates

    SEXED2 GENDER AND

    EDUCATION

    RDIRECT

    Rightdirection

    Unsure Wrong track

    RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

    Page 3

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    16% 10% 74%   349

    38% 16% 46%   149

    29% 8% 63%   503

    30% 8% 63%   127

    25% 10% 65%   874

    32% 14% 54%   215

    25% 7% 67%   607

    21% 12% 67%   179

    25% 9% 67%   171

    30% 9% 61%   203

    28% 9% 64%   299

    23% 6% 71%   308

    14% 19% 67%   22

    29% 8% 63%   60

    34% 6% 60%   42

    31% 16% 53%   173

    18% 13% 69%   97

    34% 16% 49%   98

    27% 7% 66%   304

    20% 12% 68%   118

    29% 12% 58%  117

    23% 8% 69%   302

    22% 12% 66%   61

    23% 8% 70%   75

    27% 15% 58%   46

    21% 6% 72%   244

    23% 8% 69%   243

    22% 10% 68%   49

    16% 11% 73%   93

    38% 14% 48%  250

    38% 8% 54%   30

    30% 9% 61%   150

    21% 12% 67%   23

    25% 10% 65%   798

    White non-college

    graduate

    Minority non-college

    graduate

    Others

    SEXEDWH

    NON-COLLEGE

    GRADUATES

    Union household

    Non-union household

    RUNION MEMBER OF

    LABOR UNION/C

    Single

    Married

    No longer married

    RMARITAL MARITAL

    STATUS/C

    Dad

    Mom

    MOMDAD PARENTS

    Married / children

    Married / no children

    Divorced / children

    Divorced / no children

    Single / children

    Single / no children

    Other / mixed

    BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

    Single women

    Married women

    No longer married women

    Single menMarried men

    No longer married men

    GENMAR1 GENDER

     AND MARITAL

    White single men

    White single women

    White married men

    White married women

    White no longer married

    men

    White no longer married

    women

    Other 

    GENMAR2 GENDER,

    MARITAL, AND RACE

    Single mothers

    Married mothers

    No longer married

    mothers

    Non-mothers

    MOMMAR MOTHERS

    BY MARITAL STATUS

    RDIRECT

    Rightdirection

    Unsure Wrong track

    RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

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    42% 4% 54%   73

    26% 8% 66%   696

    22% 16% 62%   205

    11% 22% 68%   8

    16% 21% 63%   20

    22% 7% 71%   551

    50% 6% 44%   63

    30% 15% 55%   57

    28% 17% 55%   25

    26% 13% 60%   305

    28% 8% 64%   198

    17% 8% 75%   185

    20% 9% 71%   280

    30% 17% 53%   45

    36% 11% 53%   262

    18% 8% 74%   336

    24% 8% 68%   157

    30% 7% 63%   191

    19% 21% 60%   44

    28% 11% 61%   79

    11% 6% 83%   106

    16% 8% 76%   131

    26% 10% 64%   17

    30% 11% 60%   667

    19% 5% 76%   133

    26% 11% 62%   348

    21% 7% 72%   179

    30% 11% 58%   342

    12% 6% 82%   222

    40% 7% 53%   90

    7% 4% 88%   166

    31% 69%   51

    25% 11% 64%   55

    53% 16% 31%   39

    Upper class

    Middle class

    Low income

    Working class

    Refused

    ECONCLA2

    ECONOMIC CLASS

    Middle class whites

    Middle class African

     Americans

    Middle class Hispanics

    Middle class other races

    Other 

    CLARAC ECONOMIC

    CLASS AND RACE

    Roman Catholic

    Baptist / Evangelical

    Mainline Protestant

    Other 

    None

    RDENOM

    RESPONDENT'SCHURCH/C

     At least once a week

     At least once a month

    Infrequently

    Never 

    RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOU

     ATTEND CHURCH/C

     Active Roman Catholics

     Active Baptists /

    Evangelicals Active Mainline

    Protestants

     Active other 

    Other 

     ACTIVE ACTIVE

    CHURCH ATTENDEES

    Male born again /

    evangelicals

    Male not evangelical

    Female born again /

    evangelicals

    Female not evangelical

    SEXBORN GENDER

     AND BORN AGAIN

    White Evangelical

    Non-white Evangelical

    RACEVANG RACE /

    EVANGELICAL

    White conservative

    Christians

    Non-white conservative

    Christians

    White non-conservative

    Christians

    Non-white

    non-conservative

    Christians

    IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /

    EVANGELICAL

    CHRISTIANS

    RDIRECT

    Rightdirection

    Unsure Wrong track

    RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

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    51% 13% 36%   453

    20% 30% 50%   62

    3% 5% 93%   487

    37% 12% 51%   135

    30% 5% 65%   228

    46% 10% 45%   99

    15% 4% 81%   78

    16% 11% 73%   116

    16% 17% 67%   76

    19% 12% 69%   268

    11% 7% 82%   71

    15% 6% 79%   126

    28% 12% 60%   203

    42% 10% 48%   132

    25% 11% 64%   98

    21% 20% 59%   41

    42% 15% 43%   101

    9% 5% 86%   65

    21% 6% 72%   141

    42% 2% 56%   11

    6% 17% 78%   12

    31% 5% 63%  352

    22% 11% 67%   571

    27% 12% 61%   48

    21% 37% 42%   30

    10% 6% 84%   318

    25% 10% 65%   405

    45% 13% 41%   214

    43% 13% 44%   56

      42% 58%   1

    36% 34% 30%   8

    48% 10% 42%   245

    29% 30% 42%   63

    18% 8% 75%   693

    36% 12% 52%   510

    23% 20% 57%   85

    14% 5% 82%   406

     Approve

    Unsure

    Disapprove

    RBHOJA BARACK

    OBAMA JOB

     APPROVAL/C

    Jobs

    Economy

    Health care

    Illegal immigration

    Foreign threats

    Deficit

    Other 

    RMIIP MOST

    IMPORTANT ISSUE

    FOR NEXT

    PRESIDENT/C

    Cutting taxes

    Reducing deficitCreating jobs

    Increase wages

    Healthcare costs

    Retirement

    Higher education

    Regulations

    Combination

    None

    Unsure

    MEIP ECONOMIC

    ISSUE NEXT

    PRESIDENT SHOULDFOCUS ON

    Views close to own

    Most effective person

    Both

    Unsure

    CAND2016 VIEW ON

    VOTE FOR

    PRESIDENTIAL

    CANDIDATE

    Very worried

    Somewhat worried

    Not too worried

    Not at all worried

    Combination

    Unsure

    ECONW WORRY

     ABOUT US ECONOMY

    SUFFERING

    DOWNTURN

    Yes

    Unsure

    No

    RECONFUT NEXT

    GENERATION BETTER

    OFF

    ECONOMICALLY/C

     Approve

    Unsure

    Disapprove

    RISAPP US EFFORTS

     AGAINST ISIS/C

    RDIRECT

    Rightdirection

    Unsure Wrong track

    RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

    Page 6

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    7/426

    8% 6% 86%   112

    14% 7% 79%   283

    31% 10% 59%   341

    40% 13% 47%   258

      100% 1

    49% 15% 37%   7

    27% 6% 67%   645

    23% 16% 61%   356

    48% 9% 43%   295

    15% 19% 66%   45

    9% 2% 89%   306

    33% 10% 57%   628

    12% 8% 81%   245

    17% 10% 73%   128

    70% 6% 24%   26

    64% 11% 25%   112

    46% 11% 43%   221

    20% 14% 65%   214

    5% 7% 88%   427

    7% 2% 91%   150

    12% 3% 84%   96

    11% 6% 84%  91

    20% 8% 72%   87

    24% 15% 61%   164

    41% 13% 46%   413

    26% 10% 65% 1001

    Very worried

    Somewhat worried

    Not too worried

    Not at all worried

    Combination

    Unsure

    TERRW WORRY

     ABOUT TERRORIST

     ATTACK

    Yes

    No

    RIDEAL SRH ABOUT

    IRAN NUCLEAR

     AGREEMENT/C

     Approve

    Unsure

    Disapprove

    RAPPR US SENATE

    VOTE ON IRAN

    NUCLEAR DEAL/C

    YesNo

    Not sure

    SAMEA ATTEND SAMESEX MARRIAGE

    CEREMONY

    4 of 4

    3 of 4

    2 of 4

    1 of 4

    0 of 4

    DEMCON WILLING TO

    CONSIDER

    DEMOCRATIC

    PRESIDENTIAL

    CANDIDATE

    5-7 of 7

    4 of 7

    3 of 7

    2 of 7

    1 of 7

    0 of 7

    GOPCON WILLING TO

    CONSIDER

    DEMOCRATIC

    PRESIDENTIAL

    CANDIDATE

    TOTAL

    RDIRECT

    Rightdirection

    Unsure Wrong track

    RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

    TOTAL

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

    Page 7

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    9/426

    42% 6% 51%   302

    37% 5% 58%   179

    53% 7% 40%   315

    44% 6% 50%   205

    37% 6% 57%   751

    90% 3% 7%   120

    57% 12% 32%   90

    46% 8% 46%   40

    43% 10% 47%   128

    35% 5% 60%   623

    84% 10% 6%   24

    92% 1% 7%   96

    57% 16% 27%   41

    56% 8% 36%   49

    63% 6% 31%   8

    42% 8% 50%   32

    34% 6% 61%   255

    49% 6% 45%   746

    34% 5% 61%   368

    39% 6% 54%   382

    86% 14%   50

    93% 5% 2%   70

    47% 14% 39%   42

    64% 10% 26%   48

    9% 6% 85%   390

    35% 8% 57%   190

    84% 5% 11%   420

    10% 6% 85%   214

    8% 7% 85%   176

    87% 5% 9%   161

    82% 5% 13%   259

    32% 8% 60%   105

    39% 9% 52%   85

    11% 8% 82%   223

    6% 4% 89%   168

    85% 5% 11%   269

    82% 6% 12%   151

    35% 9% 56%   125

    34% 8% 58%   65

    Male / under 55

    Male / 55+

    Female / under 55

    Female / 55+

    RR96FL AGE / SEX

    White

    Black / African American

    Hispanic / Latino

    Other 

    RRACE

    RESPONDENT'S

    RACE/C

    White millenials 18-34

    White older voters 35+

     African American

    millenials 18-34

     African American older voters 35+

    Hispanic millenials 18-34

    Hispanic older voters 35+

    Other races millenials

    18-34

    Other races older voters

    35+

     AGE AND RACE

    White seniors

    Other 

    WHITE SENIORS

    White men

    White women

    Black men

    Black women

    Hispanic men

    Hispanic women

    GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

    Republican

    Independent

    Democrat

    RPARTYID PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION/C

    Male / GOP

    Female / GOP

    Male / DEM

    Female / DEM

    Male / IND

    Female / IND

    RPTYID89 SEX /

    PARTY ID

    Under 55 / GOP

    55 & over / GOP

    Under 55 / DEM

    55 & over / DEM

    Under 55 / IND

    55 & over / IND

    RPTY90FL AGE /

    PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION

    RBHOJA

     Approve Unsure Disapprove

    RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL/C

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

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    9% 5% 86%   448

    25% 18% 56%   61

    80% 6% 14%   492

    8% 5% 87%   360

    8% 8% 84%   92

    31% 18% 50%   64

    66% 5% 29%   84

    85% 5% 10%   401

    22% 5% 73%   536

    38% 12% 50%   76

    79% 6% 15%   389

    17% 3% 80%   187

    25% 6% 69%   348

    72% 7% 21%   465

    9% 6% 85%   390

    35% 8% 57%   190

    74% 5% 21%   103

    87% 5% 8%   318

    86% 5% 9%   335

    68% 8% 25%   157

    25% 18% 56%   61

    23% 10% 68%   69

    7% 4% 89%   379

    8% 4% 88%   93

    6% 2% 91%   68

    52% 7% 41%   840

    42% 12% 46%   53

    41% 7% 52%   227

    45% 6% 50%   219

    48% 5% 47%   503

    42% 6% 52%   248

    38% 6% 56%   232

    53% 5% 42%   254

    47% 8% 46%   266

    29% 7% 64%   349

    75% 6% 19%   149

    48% 5% 47%   503

    57% 6% 38%   127

    44% 6% 50%   874

    Republican

    Ticket splitter 

    Democrat

    RPARTY USUAL VOTE

    BEHAVIOR/C

    Hard GOP

    Soft GOP

    Ticket splitter 

    Soft DEM

    Hard DEM

    PARTISAN PARTISAN

    Conservative

    Moderate

    Liberal

    RIDEOL

    RESPONDENT'S

    IDEOLOGY/C

    Very conservative

    Somewhat conservative

    Moderate / liberal

    RRIDEOL

    RESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

    Republican

    Independent

    Conservative DEM

    Mod / lib DEM

    RPTYID98 TARGET

    GROUPS

    Liberal DEM

    Mod / conservative DEM

    Independent

    Mod / liberal GOP

    Conservative GOP

    PARIDEOL PARTY /

    IDEOLOGY

    Yes / strongly

    Yes

    No / unsure

    RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY

    WITH TEA PARTY

    MOVEMENT/C

    Less than high school

    High school graduate

    Some college

    College graduate

    REDUC

    RESPONDENT'S

    EDUCATION/C

    Male college graduates

    Male non-college

    graduates

    Female college graduates

    Female non-college

    graduates

    SEXED2 GENDER AND

    EDUCATION

    White non-college

    graduate

    Minority non-college

    graduate

    Others

    SEXEDWH

    NON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

    Union household

    Non-union household

    RUNION MEMBER OF

    LABOR UNION/C

    RBHOJA

     Approve Unsure Disapprove

    RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL/C

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

    Page 10

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    63% 9% 28%   215

    38% 6% 57%   607

    50% 5% 46%   179

    31% 9% 60%   171

    51% 6% 43%   203

    40% 8% 53%   299

    36% 4% 61%   308

    39% 61%   22

    59% 1% 40%   60

    62% 5% 33%   42

    63% 10% 27%   173

    46% 8% 46%   97

    68% 13% 19%   98

    44% 5% 52%   304

    49% 6% 45%   118

    59% 5% 36%   117

    31% 7% 62%   302

    50% 2% 48%   61

    52% 4% 44%   75

    50% 15% 34%   46

    26% 6% 67%   244

    37% 4% 59%   243

    45% 3% 52%   49

    39% 7% 54%   93

    71% 7% 22%   250

    73% 3% 23%   30

    49% 6% 44%   150

    36% 3% 62%   23

    44% 6% 50%   798

    54% 1% 45%   73

    43% 5% 52%  696

    51% 8% 41%   205

    38% 22% 40%   8

    39% 29% 32%   20

    35% 5% 60%   551

    92% 2% 6%   63

    57% 9% 34%   57

    59% 3% 38%   25

    50% 8% 41%   305

    Single

    Married

    No longer married

    RMARITAL MARITAL

    STATUS/C

    Dad

    Mom

    MOMDAD PARENTS

    Married / children

    Married / no children

    Divorced / children

    Divorced / no children

    Single / children

    Single / no children

    Other / mixed

    BUNDY MARITAL

    STATUS / CHILDREN

    Single women

    Married women

    No longer married women

    Single men

    Married men

    No longer married men

    GENMAR1 GENDER AND MARITAL

    White single men

    White single women

    White married men

    White married women

    White no longer marriedmen

    White no longer married

    women

    Other 

    GENMAR2 GENDER,

    MARITAL, AND RACE

    Single mothers

    Married mothers

    No longer married

    mothers

    Non-mothers

    MOMMAR MOTHERS

    BY MARITAL STATUS

    Upper class

    Middle class

    Low income

    Working class

    Refused

    ECONCLA2

    ECONOMIC CLASS

    Middle class whites

    Middle class African

     Americans

    Middle class Hispanics

    Middle class other races

    Other 

    CLARAC ECONOMIC

    CLASS AND RACE

    RBHOJA

     Approve Unsure Disapprove

    RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL/C

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

    Page 11

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  • 8/9/2019 George Washington University poll

    13/426

    35% 3% 62%   71

    20% 10% 70%   126

    51% 7% 42%   203

    79% 5% 16%   132

    35% 6% 59%   98

    53% 4% 42%   41

    72% 2% 26%   101

    12% 4% 85%   65

    36% 9% 55%   141

    63% 37%   11

    5% 10% 85%   12

    46% 4% 49%   352

    45% 7% 48%   571

    43% 4% 52%   48

    39% 17% 44%   30

    26% 6% 68%   318

    45% 5% 50%   405

    69% 9% 22%   214

    61% 3% 36%   56

    100% 1

    65% 5% 30%   8

    69% 7% 25%   245

    53% 12% 35%   63

    36% 5% 58%   693

    59% 7% 34%   510

    57% 15% 28%   85

    25% 3% 72%   406

    25% 4% 71%   112

    34% 7% 58%   283

    46% 4% 50%   341

    65% 7% 28%   258

      100%   1

    49% 21% 31%   7

    44% 4% 51%   645

    47% 10% 44%   356

    76% 6% 18%   295

    40% 6% 54%   45

    14% 2% 84%   306

    Cutting taxes

    Reducing deficit

    Creating jobs

    Increase wages

    Healthcare costs

    Retirement

    Higher education

    Regulations

    Combination

    None

    Unsure

    MEIP ECONOMIC

    ISSUE NEXT

    PRESIDENT SHOULD

    FOCUS ON

    Views close to own

    Most effective person

    Both

    Unsure

    CAND2016 VIEW ON

    VOTE FORPRESIDENTIAL

    CANDIDATE

    Very worried

    Somewhat worried

    Not too worried

    Not at all worried

    Combination

    Unsure

    ECONW WORRY

     ABOUT US ECONOMY

    SUFFERING

    DOWNTURN

    Yes

    Unsure

    No

    RECONFUT NEXT

    GENERATION BETTEROFF

    ECONOMICALLY/C

     Approve

    Unsure

    Disapprove

    RISAPP US EFFORTS

     AGAINST ISIS/C

    Very worried

    Somewhat worried

    Not too worried

    Not at all worried

    Combination

    Unsure

    TERRW WORRY

     ABOUT TERRORIST

     ATTACK

    Yes

    No

    RIDEAL SRH ABOUT

    IRAN NUCLEAR

     AGREEMENT/C

     Approve

    Unsure

    Disapprove

    RAPPR US SENATE

    VOTE ON IRAN

    NUCLEAR DEAL/C

    RBHOJA

     Approve Unsure Disapprove

    RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL/C

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

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    55% 7% 38%   628

    25% 4% 71%   245

    37% 6% 57%   128

    96% 4% 26

    94% 5% 1%   112

    79% 5% 16%   221

    52% 9% 39%   214

    8% 5% 86%   427

    8% 2% 90%   150

    8% 7% 85%   96

    18% 2% 80%   91

    37% 6% 57%   87

    48% 8% 44%   164

    74% 8% 18%   413

    45% 6% 49% 1001

    Yes

    No

    Not sure

    SAMEA ATTEND SAME

    SEX MARRIAGE

    CEREMONY

    4 of 4

    3 of 4

    2 of 4

    1 of 4

    0 of 4

    DEMCON WILLING TO

    CONSIDER

    DEMOCRATIC

    PRESIDENTIAL

    CANDIDATE

    5-7 of 7

    4 of 7

    3 of 7

    2 of 7

    1 of 7

    0 of 7

    GOPCON WILLING TO

    CONSIDER

    DEMOCRATIC

    PRESIDENTIAL

    CANDIDATE

    TOTAL

    RBHOJA

     Approve Unsure Disapprove

    RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB APPROVAL/C

    TOTAL

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

    Page 14

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    13% 23% 10% 8% 12% 8% 27% 1001

    11% 24% 12% 4% 11% 9% 30%   195

    14% 22% 8% 7% 12% 8% 30%   181

    16% 18% 14% 6% 14% 9% 24%   235

    6% 31% 7% 11% 10% 3% 33%   96

    18% 25% 9% 8% 14% 2% 23%   83

    20% 28% 1% 14% 7% 10% 20%   70

    11% 22% 9% 12% 11% 10% 25%   141

    15% 18% 5% 17% 11% 11% 22%   89

    20% 18% 11% 2% 11% 9% 29%   58

    1% 37% 6% 11% 8% 4% 33%   71

    10% 36% 6% 1% 17% 4% 26%   56

    14% 21% 11% 7% 12% 8% 27%   727

    10% 24% 11% 9% 11% 8% 26%   217

    13% 26% 12% 7% 13% 5% 24%   320

    16% 20% 8% 8% 11% 9% 29%   464

    13% 23% 9% 10% 11% 8% 26%   405

    13% 25% 8% 7% 13% 7% 28%   366

    15% 20% 15% 5% 11% 7% 27%   230

    14% 20% 11% 5% 15% 7% 28%   241

    13% 24% 9% 9% 11% 8% 26%   760

    14% 22% 8% 8% 10% 9% 29%  480

    13% 23% 12% 8% 13% 6% 25%   521

    13% 23% 8% 7% 10% 10% 28%   324

    15% 20% 7% 10% 9% 8% 30%   157

    14% 25% 13% 6% 13% 8% 21%   281

    12% 21% 12% 10% 13% 4% 29%   240

    13% 25% 13% 8% 10% 4% 27%   133

    14% 24% 10% 7% 12% 9% 25%   605

    14% 18% 8% 11% 13% 6% 31%   252

    6% 25% 16% 5% 5% 18% 25%   11

    12% 26% 7% 5% 12% 13% 23%   200

    13% 29% 12% 5% 10% 6% 25%   280

    15% 20% 11% 9% 13% 6% 27%   310

    13% 17% 8% 12% 12% 6% 32%   200

    30% 7% 18% 6% 40%   10

    13% 28% 10% 5% 11% 9% 24%   480

    15% 20% 11% 9% 13% 6% 27%   310

    13% 17% 8% 12% 12% 6% 32%   200

    30% 7% 18% 6% 40%   10

    TOTAL

    Northeast

    Midwest

    South

    South Central

    Central Plains

    Mountain States

    West

    RG1 GEOGRAPHIC

     AREAS ONE

    California

    Florida

    Texas

    New York

    Rest of country

    RG2 GEOGRAPHIC

     AREAS TWO

    GOP held seat up in 2014

    DEM held seat up in 2014

    No Senate election

    SENEL U.S. SENATE

    ELECTION STATUS BY

    STATE

    GOP held seat up in 2014

    DEM held seat up in 2014

    No Gubernatorial election

    GOVEL

    GUBERNATORIAL

    ELECTION STATUS BY

    STATE

    Competitive statewide

    race

    Other 

    COMPST STATES

    WITH COMPETITIVE

    STATEWIDE

    ELECTIONS

    Male

    Female

    GENDER GENDER

    Male / employed

    Male / not employed

    Female / employed

    Female / not employed

    RSEXEMP

    RESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

    Not employed

    Employed

    Retired

    Refused

    EMPSTAT

    18-34

    35-44

    45-64

    65 or over 

    Unsure / refused

    RAGE RESPONDENT'S

     AGE/C

    18-44

    45-64

    65+

    Unsure / refused

    RAGEBG2 AGE/C

    RMIIP

    Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration

    Foreignthreats

    Deficit Other  

    RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C   TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

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    14% 26% 7% 6% 10% 10% 27%   302

    13% 17% 8% 11% 10% 9% 32%   179

    13% 28% 14% 6% 13% 8% 18%   315

    14% 16% 9% 10% 13% 4% 35%   205

    12% 21% 10% 8% 13% 8% 27%   751

    20% 33% 13% 3% 3% 5% 23%   120

    15% 20% 7% 8% 14% 8% 28%   90

    9% 34% 9% 10% 5% 3% 29%   40

    11% 25% 9% 4% 17% 15% 19%   128

    13% 20% 10% 9% 12% 7% 29%   623

    20% 43% 16% 20%   24

    20% 30% 16% 4% 4% 2% 24%   96

    13% 18% 4% 12% 5% 9% 38%   41

    16% 21% 9% 4% 22% 7% 20%   49

    6% 45% 15% 6% 29%   8

    10% 32% 8% 12% 7% 2% 29%   32

    13% 16% 8% 12% 13% 6% 32%   255

    14% 25% 11% 6% 11% 8% 25%   746

    14% 21% 7% 8% 10% 10% 30%   368

    11% 21% 13% 9% 16% 6% 24%   382

    22% 30% 12% 6% 6% 4% 20%   50

    19% 34% 13% 1% 2% 5% 25%   70

    6% 25% 10% 2% 17% 10% 30%   42

    23% 15% 4% 13% 12% 6% 27%   48

    9% 19% 6% 12% 18% 9% 26%   390

    10% 23% 7% 7% 11% 12% 32%   190

    19% 26% 15% 4% 6% 4% 26%   420

    12% 19% 3% 12% 15% 11% 28%   214

    7% 19% 9% 13% 23% 7% 23%   176

    21% 26% 14% 3% 4% 4% 28%   161

    18% 26% 16% 5% 7% 4% 24%   259

    8% 23% 7% 7% 10% 13% 33%   105

    12% 23% 6% 7% 11% 10% 30%   85

    10% 24% 6% 9% 19% 11% 22%   223

    9% 13% 6% 17% 18% 7% 31%   168

    18% 30% 16% 4% 6% 6% 20%   269

    20% 19% 15% 4% 5% 2% 35%   151

    10% 25% 9% 6% 10% 11% 29%   125

    9% 20% 2% 8% 12% 13% 36%   65

    Male / under 55

    Male / 55+

    Female / under 55

    Female / 55+

    RR96FL AGE / SEX

    White

    Black / African American

    Hispanic / Latino

    Other 

    RRACE

    RESPONDENT'S

    RACE/C

    White millenials 18-34

    White older voters 35+

     African American

    millenials 18-34

     African American older voters 35+

    Hispanic millenials 18-34

    Hispanic older voters 35+

    Other races millenials

    18-34

    Other races older voters

    35+

     AGE AND RACE

    White seniors

    Other 

    WHITE SENIORS

    White men

    White women

    Black men

    Black women

    Hispanic men

    Hispanic women

    GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

    Republican

    Independent

    Democrat

    RPARTYID PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION/C

    Male / GOP

    Female / GOP

    Male / DEM

    Female / DEM

    Male / IND

    Female / IND

    RPTYID89 SEX /

    PARTY ID

    Under 55 / GOP

    55 & over / GOP

    Under 55 / DEM

    55 & over / DEM

    Under 55 / IND

    55 & over / IND

    RPTY90FL AGE /

    PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION

    RMIIP

    Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration

    Foreignthreats

    Deficit Other  

    RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C   TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

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    8% 20% 5% 13% 17% 11% 26%   448

    15% 14% 6% 6% 10% 4% 45%   61

    18% 27% 15% 4% 7% 5% 25%   492

    8% 19% 6% 13% 19% 9% 26%   360

    10% 16% 4% 10% 15% 15% 31%   92

    17% 29% 2% 7% 8% 6% 32%   64

    10% 26% 12% 2% 8% 13% 29%   84

    19% 26% 16% 4% 6% 4% 25%   401

    12% 21% 7% 10% 15% 9% 26%   536

    16% 18% 8% 7% 6% 9% 36%   76

    15% 26% 15% 4% 8% 6% 26%   389

    13% 13% 7% 12% 15% 11% 29%   187

    11% 25% 6% 10% 15% 8% 24%   348

    15% 25% 14% 5% 7% 6% 28%   465

    9% 19% 6% 12% 18% 9% 26%   390

    10% 23% 7% 7% 11% 12% 32%   190

    22% 24% 15% 8% 5% 4% 23%   103

    18% 27% 15% 3% 6% 4% 27%   318

    16% 28% 16% 3% 7% 5% 26%   335

    23% 24% 12% 6% 7% 5% 23%   157

    15% 14% 6% 6% 10% 4% 45%   61

    9% 25% 5% 15% 11% 9% 27%   69

    8% 19% 5% 12% 18% 11% 26%   379

    13% 19% 1% 15% 15% 6% 32%   93

    10% 23% 10% 19% 15% 23%   68

    14% 23% 12% 7% 11% 7% 26%   840

    27% 19% 7% 7% 13% 4% 22%   53

    13% 15% 10% 10% 15% 7% 30%   227

    13% 24% 9% 10% 12% 8% 24%   219

    12% 26% 11% 6% 10% 8% 27%   503

    13% 22% 12% 6% 8% 10% 29%   248

    15% 22% 3% 11% 13% 8% 29%   232

    12% 29% 9% 6% 13% 6% 24%   254

    14% 17% 15% 9% 13% 6% 25%   266

    12% 18% 9% 11% 15% 8% 27%   349

    21% 24% 9% 7% 9% 4% 26%   149

    12% 26% 11% 6% 10% 8% 27%   503

    18% 17% 6% 6% 15% 6% 33%   127

    13% 24% 11% 8% 11% 8% 26%   874

    Republican

    Ticket splitter 

    Democrat

    RPARTY USUAL VOTE

    BEHAVIOR/C

    Hard GOP

    Soft GOP

    Ticket splitter 

    Soft DEM

    Hard DEM

    PARTISAN PARTISAN

    Conservative

    Moderate

    Liberal

    RIDEOL

    RESPONDENT'S

    IDEOLOGY/C

    Very conservative

    Somewhat conservative

    Moderate / liberal

    RRIDEOL

    RESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

    Republican

    Independent

    Conservative DEM

    Mod / lib DEM

    RPTYID98 TARGET

    GROUPS

    Liberal DEM

    Mod / conservative DEM

    Independent

    Mod / liberal GOP

    Conservative GOP

    PARIDEOL PARTY /

    IDEOLOGY

    Yes / strongly

    Yes

    No / unsure

    RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY

    WITH TEA PARTY

    MOVEMENT/C

    Less than high school

    High school graduate

    Some college

    College graduate

    REDUC

    RESPONDENT'S

    EDUCATION/C

    Male college graduates

    Male non-college

    graduates

    Female college graduates

    Female non-college

    graduates

    SEXED2 GENDER AND

    EDUCATION

    White non-college

    graduate

    Minority non-college

    graduate

    Others

    SEXEDWH

    NON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

    Union household

    Non-union household

    RUNION MEMBER OF

    LABOR UNION/C

    RMIIP

    Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration

    Foreignthreats

    Deficit Other  

    RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C   TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

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    17% 30% 8% 5% 8% 7% 25%   215

    13% 22% 10% 8% 13% 8% 26%   607

    13% 18% 11% 9% 11% 7% 31%   179

    12% 19% 7% 8% 10% 10% 34%   171

    11% 27% 15% 6% 15% 7% 19%   203

    11% 22% 11% 8% 14% 8% 26%   299

    14% 21% 10% 9% 12% 8% 27%   308

    13% 10% 35% 21% 22%   22

    17% 17% 8% 12% 13% 3% 30%   60

    12% 33% 7% 3% 9% 4% 32%   42

    18% 30% 8% 5% 8% 8% 23%   173

    10% 20% 8% 10% 13% 6% 33%   97

    21% 30% 8% 5% 7% 5% 24%   98

    11% 24% 12% 8% 16% 7% 23%   304

    12% 16% 15% 9% 12% 5% 31%   118

    13% 31% 8% 5% 9% 9% 25%   117

    14% 19% 8% 9% 10% 9% 30%   302

    14% 21% 4% 10% 10% 10% 31%   61

    13% 26% 10% 5% 6% 10% 31%   75

    23% 34% 6% 4% 9% 2% 21%   46

    14% 18% 8% 9% 11% 10% 30%   244

    11% 22% 12% 8% 17% 7% 22%   243

    14% 23% 11% 12% 12% 27%   49

    7% 12% 18% 11% 14% 6% 32%   93

    17% 28% 10% 6% 8% 6% 26%   250

    13% 33% 10% 4% 7% 5% 29%   30

    11% 26% 14% 7% 18% 7% 17%   150

    8% 23% 33% 4% 3% 9% 21%   23

    14% 22% 9% 8% 11% 8% 29%   798

    5% 41% 17% 6% 4% 3% 24%   73

    13% 23% 9% 8% 12% 9% 26%  696

    17% 18% 13% 6% 13% 4% 29%   205

    22% 11% 68%   8

    18% 14% 2% 14% 7% 13% 32%   20

    13% 21% 9% 9% 14% 10% 25%   551

    14% 36% 13% 4% 2% 4% 27%   63

    12% 19% 4% 11% 14% 12% 28%   57

    7% 35% 12% 4% 5% 3% 34%   25

    14% 23% 13% 7% 10% 4% 29%   305

    Single

    Married

    No longer married

    RMARITAL MARITAL

    STATUS/C

    Dad

    Mom

    MOMDAD PARENTS

    Married / children

    Married / no children

    Divorced / children

    Divorced / no children

    Single / children

    Single / no children

    Other / mixed

    BUNDY MARITAL

    STATUS / CHILDREN

    Single women

    Married women

    No longer married women

    Single men

    Married men

    No longer married men

    GENMAR1 GENDER AND MARITAL

    White single men

    White single women

    White married men

    White married women

    White no longer marriedmen

    White no longer married

    women

    Other 

    GENMAR2 GENDER,

    MARITAL, AND RACE

    Single mothers

    Married mothers

    No longer married

    mothers

    Non-mothers

    MOMMAR MOTHERS

    BY MARITAL STATUS

    Upper class

    Middle class

    Low income

    Working class

    Refused

    ECONCLA2

    ECONOMIC CLASS

    Middle class whites

    Middle class African

     Americans

    Middle class Hispanics

    Middle class other races

    Other 

    CLARAC ECONOMIC

    CLASS AND RACE

    RMIIP

    Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration

    Foreignthreats

    Deficit Other  

    RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C   TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

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    15% 18% 11% 11% 14% 9% 22%   198

    9% 18% 8% 9% 15% 6% 35%   185

    14% 22% 10% 8% 13% 10% 22%   280

    14% 27% 7% 10% 6% 36%   45

    16% 30% 11% 6% 5% 5% 26%   262

    13% 19% 10% 10% 16% 8% 25%   336

    9% 25% 9% 4% 14% 10% 30%   157

    13% 22% 10% 10% 11% 8% 26%   191

    24% 9% 15% 7% 5% 2% 38%   44

    15% 13% 10% 13% 21% 10% 17%   79

    10% 19% 7% 9% 18% 7% 31%   106

    14% 21% 12% 10% 12% 8% 24%   131

    10% 26% 12% 10% 14% 27%   17

    14% 25% 10% 7% 10% 7% 28%   667

    10% 19% 5% 12% 14% 12% 29%   133

    15% 24% 9% 7% 9% 8% 29%   348

    10% 19% 13% 10% 13% 6% 28%   179

    15% 26% 11% 6% 13% 6% 23%   342

    7% 17% 10% 11% 17% 9% 29%   222

    19% 23% 9% 10% 6% 7% 27%   90

    5% 16% 8% 12% 18% 12% 29%   166

    19% 19% 11% 13% 4% 2% 32%   51

    12% 22% 17% 8% 12% 2% 28%   55

    18% 28% 6% 7% 9% 13% 20%   39

    18% 27% 15% 4% 8% 4% 24%   453

    17% 19% 4% 6% 12% 17% 26%   62

    8% 19% 6% 12% 15% 10% 30%   487

    Roman Catholic

    Baptist / Evangelical

    Mainline Protestant

    Other 

    None

    RDENOM

    RESPONDENT'S

    CHURCH/C

     At least once a week

     At least once a month

    Infrequently

    Never 

    RDENOMFR HOW

    OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND CHURCH/C

     Active Roman Catholics

     Active Baptists /

    Evangelicals

     Active MainlineProtestants

     Active other 

    Other 

     ACTIVE ACTIVE

    CHURCH ATTENDEES

    Male born again /

    evangelicals

    Male not evangelical

    Female born again /

    evangelicals

    Female not evangelical

    SEXBORN GENDER

     AND BORN AGAIN

    White Evangelical

    Non-white Evangelical

    RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

    White conservative

    Christians

    Non-white conservative

    Christians

    White non-conservative

    Christians

    Non-white

    non-conservative

    Christians

    IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /

    EVANGELICAL

    CHRISTIANS

     Approve

    Unsure

    Disapprove

    RBHOJA BARACK

    OBAMA JOB

     APPROVAL/C

    RMIIP

    Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration

    Foreignthreats

    Deficit Other  

    RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C   TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

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    20/426

    14% 25% 4% 11% 18% 2% 26%   71

    7% 17% 3% 11% 19% 26% 17%   126

    24% 30% 10% 8% 9% 3% 17%   203

    23% 28% 16% 3% 5% 4% 22%   132

    5% 15% 25% 14% 13% 4% 24%   98

    8% 17% 10% 9% 30% 1% 25%   41

    11% 26% 14% 4% 15% 11% 19%   101

    13% 20% 9% 12% 12% 14% 20%   65

    7% 17% 2% 4% 3% 4% 63%   141

    2% 41% 18% 39%   11

    3% 12% 2% 16% 17% 5% 46%   12

    13% 22% 11% 9% 13% 8% 24%   352

    14% 23% 10% 8% 11% 7% 27%   571

    6% 34% 3% 2% 9% 5% 41%   48

    15% 10% 15% 3% 11% 6% 40%   30

    13% 19% 8% 9% 12% 8% 31%   318

    12% 24% 9% 8% 14% 7% 25%   405

    17% 24% 14% 6% 9% 7% 23%   214

    8% 31% 13% 6% 6% 14% 22%   56

    58% 42%   1

    3% 2% 96%   8

    18% 26% 11% 7% 10% 6% 22%   245

    9% 29% 3% 4% 9% 4% 42%   63

    12% 21% 10% 9% 13% 9% 27%   693

    14% 27% 13% 6% 9% 8% 22%   510

    15% 26% 10% 3% 6% 8% 32%   85

    12% 17% 6% 11% 16% 7% 31%   406

    13% 12% 11% 13% 9% 8% 34%   112

    11% 19% 7% 10% 18% 6% 29%   283

    15% 26% 10% 7% 12% 8% 23%   341

    15% 29% 13% 5% 6% 9% 24%   258

      100%   1

      9% 91%   7

    14% 24% 8% 8% 14% 7% 25%   645

    12% 21% 14% 7% 7% 9% 30%   356

    18% 28% 11% 3% 9% 6% 24%   295

    27% 12% 9% 4% 9% 7% 33%   45

    9% 21% 5% 14% 20% 8% 25%   306

    Cutting taxes

    Reducing deficit

    Creating jobs

    Increase wages

    Healthcare costs

    Retirement

    Higher education

    Regulations

    Combination

    None

    Unsure

    MEIP ECONOMIC

    ISSUE NEXT

    PRESIDENT SHOULD

    FOCUS ON

    Views close to own

    Most effective person

    Both

    Unsure

    CAND2016 VIEW ON

    VOTE FORPRESIDENTIAL

    CANDIDATE

    Very worried

    Somewhat worried

    Not too worried

    Not at all worried

    Combination

    Unsure

    ECONW WORRY

     ABOUT US ECONOMY

    SUFFERING

    DOWNTURN

    Yes

    Unsure

    No

    RECONFUT NEXT

    GENERATION BETTEROFF

    ECONOMICALLY/C

     Approve

    Unsure

    Disapprove

    RISAPP US EFFORTS

     AGAINST ISIS/C

    Very worried

    Somewhat worried

    Not too worried

    Not at all worried

    Combination

    Unsure

    TERRW WORRY

     ABOUT TERRORIST

     ATTACK

    Yes

    No

    RIDEAL SRH ABOUT

    IRAN NUCLEAR

     AGREEMENT/C

     Approve

    Unsure

    Disapprove

    RAPPR US SENATE

    VOTE ON IRAN

    NUCLEAR DEAL/C

    RMIIP

    Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration

    Foreignthreats

    Deficit Other  

    RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C   TOTAL

    (cont.)

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    13% 28% 11% 6% 11% 7% 23%   628

    12% 13% 8% 13% 13% 7% 34%   245

    17% 15% 9% 7% 12% 10% 30%   128

    21% 42% 15% 5% 17%   26

    20% 23% 22% 2% 4% 6% 23%   112

    15% 33% 14% 4% 6% 4% 25%   221

    19% 16% 9% 8% 15% 9% 25%   214

    7% 20% 5% 12% 16% 10% 30%   427

    9% 16% 2% 12% 22% 11% 27%   150

    4% 20% 6% 11% 10% 15% 34%   96

    10% 21% 10% 11% 17% 10% 22%   91

    12% 17% 9% 14% 11% 5% 32%   87

    18% 22% 11% 8% 13% 10% 19%   164

    17% 28% 13% 4% 6% 4% 28%   413

    13% 23% 10% 8% 12% 8% 27% 1001

    Yes

    No

    Not sure

    SAMEA ATTEND SAME

    SEX MARRIAGE

    CEREMONY

    4 of 4

    3 of 4

    2 of 4

    1 of 4

    0 of 4

    DEMCON WILLING TO

    CONSIDER

    DEMOCRATIC

    PRESIDENTIAL

    CANDIDATE

    5-7 of 7

    4 of 7

    3 of 7

    2 of 7

    1 of 7

    0 of 7

    GOPCON WILLING TO

    CONSIDER

    DEMOCRATIC

    PRESIDENTIAL

    CANDIDATE

    TOTAL

    RMIIP

    Jobs Economy Health care Illegalimmigration

    Foreignthreats

    Deficit Other  

    RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C   TOTAL

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    7% 13% 20% 13% 10% 4% 10% 7% 14%

    9% 15% 16% 15% 10% 3% 10% 4% 17%

    7% 12% 22% 7% 9% 6% 10% 8% 16%

    7% 8% 23% 14% 9% 4% 7% 10% 15%

    11% 17% 15% 13% 11% 2% 13% 1% 12%

    2% 10% 27% 18% 13% 2% 8% 4% 14%

    9% 18% 16% 15% 12% 7% 7% 4% 11%

    4% 15% 20% 13% 8% 4% 17% 9% 10%

    5% 18% 22% 10% 8% 4% 14% 7% 11%

    9% 4% 18% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 22%

    9% 13% 13% 12% 12% 3% 14% 2% 16%

    15% 13% 12% 12% 10% 3% 11% 22%

    6% 13% 22% 14% 10% 4% 9% 7% 13%

    8% 13% 19% 16% 9% 3% 9% 6% 14%

    6% 12% 27% 12% 11% 4% 10% 7% 10%

    8% 13% 16% 13% 9% 5% 11% 6% 17%

    9% 11% 18% 14% 11% 4% 9% 5% 15%

    6% 13% 23% 11% 8% 4% 10% 8% 16%

    5% 14% 20% 15% 10% 4% 11% 8% 10%

    8% 11% 24% 14% 9% 5% 6% 8% 14%

    7% 13% 19% 13% 10% 4% 11% 6% 14%

    8% 16% 20% 10% 8% 4% 9% 8% 14%6% 10% 20% 16% 11% 4% 11% 5% 14%

    10% 17% 18% 13% 8% 4% 6% 9% 12%

    6% 13% 25% 6% 7% 3% 14% 7% 19%

    5% 10% 18% 20% 12% 5% 10% 6% 11%

    7% 9% 22% 11% 11% 4% 13% 3% 17%

    8% 7% 18% 9% 2% 4% 25% 7% 19%

    7% 14% 18% 16% 10% 5% 8% 8% 12%

    6% 13% 26% 9% 13% 3% 7% 4% 17%

    5% 1% 13% 4% 22% 34% 5% 15%

    4% 16% 18% 12% 8% 5% 22% 4% 9%

    10% 9% 17% 18% 9% 4% 8% 8% 15%

    7% 12% 20% 13% 10% 4% 8% 8% 15%

    5% 16% 26% 9% 12% 3% 6% 4% 16%

    4% 5% 16% 10% 11% 5% 5% 14% 22%

    8% 12% 18% 15% 9% 4% 14% 6% 12%

    7% 12% 20% 13% 10% 4% 8% 8% 15%

    5% 16% 26% 9% 12% 3% 6% 4% 16%

    4% 5% 16% 10% 11% 5% 5% 14% 22%

    TOTAL

    Northeast

    Midwest

    South

    South Central

    Central Plains

    Mountain States

    West

    RG1 GEOGRAPHIC

     AREAS ONE

    California

    Florida

    Texas

    New York

    Rest of country

    RG2 GEOGRAPHIC

     AREAS TWO

    GOP held seat up in 2014

    DEM held seat up in 2014

    No Senate election

    SENEL U.S. SENATE

    ELECTION STATUS BY

    STATE

    GOP held seat up in 2014

    DEM held seat up in 2014

    No Gubernatorial election

    GOVEL

    GUBERNATORIAL

    ELECTION STATUS BY

    STATE

    Competitive statewide

    race

    Other 

    COMPST STATES

    WITH COMPETITIVE

    STATEWIDE

    ELECTIONS

    Male

    Female

    GENDER GENDER

    Male / employed

    Male / not employed

    Female / employed

    Female / not employed

    RSEXEMP

    RESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

    Not employed

    Employed

    Retired

    Refused

    EMPSTAT

    18-34

    35-44

    45-64

    65 or over 

    Unsure / refused

    RAGE RESPONDENT'S

     AGE/C

    18-44

    45-64

    65+

    Unsure / refused

    RAGEBG2 AGE/C

    MEIP

    Cutting taxes Reducingdeficit

    Creating jobs Increasewages

    Healthcarecosts

    Retirement Higher education

    Regulations Combination

    MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON

    (cont.)

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    10% 16% 17% 12% 8% 3% 10% 9% 13%

    5% 15% 26% 8% 8% 4% 7% 8% 17%

    6% 8% 19% 19% 9% 5% 15% 6% 11%

    6% 12% 21% 11% 15% 3% 7% 3% 19%

    7% 15% 19% 12% 11% 4% 8% 7% 14%

    6% 4% 29% 23% 2% 2% 17% 4% 11%

    8% 7% 19% 13% 9% 6% 16% 2% 19%

    10% 4% 19% 13% 9% 5% 8% 7% 17%

    4% 21% 17% 12% 12% 7% 18% 4% 3%

    8% 14% 19% 12% 11% 3% 7% 8% 16%

      10% 20% 11% 39% 10% 11%

    8% 2% 31% 26% 2% 3% 11% 3% 11%

    7% 8% 17% 11% 4% 4% 24% 24%

    9% 6% 22% 14% 13% 8% 10% 4% 15%

    10% 24% 11% 27% 6% 11%

    10% 5% 17% 13% 11% 6% 4% 7% 19%

    5% 14% 23% 9% 12% 4% 7% 6% 17%

    8% 12% 19% 15% 9% 4% 11% 7% 13%

    7% 19% 19% 10% 9% 3% 7% 10% 14%

    7% 12% 19% 13% 13% 5% 10% 5% 13%

    12% 3% 31% 11% 6% 12% 3% 16%

    2% 5% 27% 31% 3% 20% 5% 7%

    10% 12% 18% 14% 9% 9% 22% 7%

    6% 3% 21% 12% 9% 4% 11% 4% 30%

    10% 20% 16% 4% 12% 3% 6% 12% 15%

    7% 14% 17% 9% 13% 5% 12% 5% 15%

    5% 5% 26% 24% 6% 5% 13% 2% 13%

    11% 21% 16% 4% 9% 4% 4% 15% 15%

    8% 18% 16% 4% 16% 3% 9% 9% 14%

    6% 8% 30% 21% 4% 4% 11% 2% 12%

    4% 3% 23% 26% 8% 5% 13% 3% 13%

    7% 16% 15% 7% 13% 4% 13% 5% 16%

    6% 12% 19% 11% 13% 5% 11% 4% 15%

    12% 18% 11% 6% 11% 3% 8% 14% 13%

    6% 22% 22% 2% 13% 3% 4% 9% 17%

    6% 6% 25% 26% 4% 5% 14% 3% 10%

    4% 4% 27% 19% 10% 5% 11% 1% 17%

    5% 16% 15% 10% 13% 6% 17% 5% 12%

    9% 11% 21% 7% 14% 3% 4% 4% 23%

    Male / under 55

    Male / 55+

    Female / under 55

    Female / 55+

    RR96FL AGE / SEX

    White

    Black / African American

    Hispanic / Latino

    Other 

    RRACE

    RESPONDENT'S

    RACE/C

    White millenials 18-34

    White older voters 35+

     African American

    millenials 18-34

     African American older voters 35+

    Hispanic millenials 18-34

    Hispanic older voters 35+

    Other races millenials

    18-34

    Other races older voters

    35+

     AGE AND RACE

    White seniors

    Other 

    WHITE SENIORS

    White men

    White women

    Black men

    Black women

    Hispanic men

    Hispanic women

    GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

    Republican

    Independent

    Democrat

    RPARTYID PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION/C

    Male / GOP

    Female / GOP

    Male / DEM

    Female / DEM

    Male / IND

    Female / IND

    RPTYID89 SEX /

    PARTY ID

    Under 55 / GOP

    55 & over / GOP

    Under 55 / DEM

    55 & over / DEM

    Under 55 / IND

    55 & over / IND

    RPTY90FL AGE /

    PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION

    MEIP

    Cutting taxes Reducingdeficit

    Creating jobs Increasewages

    Healthcarecosts

    Retirement Higher education

    Regulations Combination

    MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

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    4% 10% 22% 15% 5% 4% 20% 5% 11%

    9% 13% 20% 12% 11% 4% 6% 8% 15%

    6% 14% 18% 14% 13% 5% 10% 4% 14%

    11% 17% 18% 10% 9% 4% 4% 9% 13%

    7% 7% 19% 18% 8% 6% 11% 8% 14%

    11% 12% 19% 15% 10% 4% 5% 8% 14%

    7% 14% 22% 9% 11% 3% 8% 7% 16%

    5% 21% 3% 36% 6% 10% 5% 14%

    7% 7% 16% 17% 12% 5% 15% 1% 18%

    2% 4% 19% 3% 3% 6% 30% 6% 12%

    5% 11% 23% 18% 5% 4% 18% 5% 11%

    6% 16% 22% 8% 15% 3% 10% 6% 12%

    5% 6% 25% 15% 6% 4% 27% 1% 12%

    8% 10% 20% 15% 11% 4% 8% 7% 14%

    2% 13% 16% 18% 17% 5% 9% 4% 13%

    4% 13% 20% 16% 4% 5% 15% 9% 10%

    9% 17% 20% 9% 10% 4% 5% 9% 15%

    13% 15% 21% 7% 5% 4% 13% 5% 17%

    3% 16% 17% 17% 6% 3% 12% 12% 11%

    3% 7% 18% 16% 11% 7% 19% 17%

    8% 19% 20% 8% 11% 3% 4% 10% 16%

    9% 11% 21% 13% 13% 4% 8% 6% 11%

    10% 18% 18% 9% 5% 3% 16% 6% 13%

    3% 16% 14% 14% 16% 7% 9% 5% 16%

    7% 5% 24% 17% 5% 4% 15% 4% 15%

      27% 9% 42% 18%

    10% 7% 19% 20% 11% 5% 6% 7% 14%

      18% 4% 30% 6% 9% 6% 18% 9%

    7% 14% 21% 12% 10% 4% 10% 6% 14%

    7% 7% 23% 19% 8% 17% 9% 9%

    7% 14% 21% 11% 9% 4% 10% 8% 14%8% 8% 17% 18% 12% 7% 10% 3% 15%

    8% 32% 60%

    20% 29% 10% 10% 10% 3% 1% 17%

    7% 17% 21% 10% 10% 4% 7% 8% 14%

    7% 2% 26% 18% 3% 2% 22% 8% 7%

    2% 8% 20% 13% 8% 4% 20% 2% 23%

    6% 4% 17% 16% 9% 12% 8% 19%

    8% 9% 19% 17% 11% 5% 11% 4% 14%

    Single

    Married

    No longer married

    RMARITAL MARITAL

    STATUS/C

    Dad

    Mom

    MOMDAD PARENTS

    Married / children

    Married / no children

    Divorced / children

    Divorced / no children

    Single / children

    Single / no children

    Other / mixed

    BUNDY MARITAL

    STATUS / CHILDREN

    Single women

    Married women

    No longer married women

    Single men

    Married men

    No longer married men

    GENMAR1 GENDER AND MARITAL

    White single men

    White single women

    White married men

    White married women

    White no longer marriedmen

    White no longer married

    women

    Other 

    GENMAR2 GENDER,

    MARITAL, AND RACE

    Single mothers

    Married mothers

    No longer married

    mothers

    Non-mothers

    MOMMAR MOTHERS

    BY MARITAL STATUS

    Upper class

    Middle class

    Low income

    Working class

    Refused

    ECONCLA2

    ECONOMIC CLASS

    Middle class whites

    Middle class African

     Americans

    Middle class Hispanics

    Middle class other races

    Other 

    CLARAC ECONOMIC

    CLASS AND RACE

    MEIP

    Cutting taxes Reducingdeficit

    Creating jobs Increasewages

    Healthcarecosts

    Retirement Higher education

    Regulations Combination

    MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON

    (cont.)

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    10% 11% 25% 10% 10% 4% 10% 7% 12%

    6% 12% 21% 11% 7% 5% 11% 7% 20%

    8% 16% 21% 10% 14% 4% 7% 8% 12%

    9% 16% 15% 19% 3% 8% 5% 2% 18%

    5% 11% 17% 20% 9% 2% 15% 4% 12%

    7% 15% 23% 10% 8% 5% 9% 9% 13%

    9% 11% 18% 12% 13% 3% 10% 7% 16%

    10% 12% 21% 12% 10% 5% 8% 5% 15%

    1% 6% 24% 18% 16% 4% 3% 1% 22%

    6% 13% 29% 9% 8% 9% 13% 7% 6%

    9% 14% 19% 11% 7% 3% 11% 9% 15%

    6% 16% 25% 8% 10% 3% 4% 12% 14%

    14% 24% 1% 11% 10% 10% 25%

    7% 11% 19% 15% 10% 4% 11% 5% 14%

    17% 14% 18% 8% 4% 5% 7% 13% 14%

    5% 16% 21% 11% 9% 3% 9% 7% 15%

    5% 12% 22% 13% 13% 4% 8% 6% 16%

    6% 8% 19% 17% 11% 5% 13% 4% 13%

    12% 16% 18% 6% 11% 5% 5% 10% 16%

    6% 5% 26% 22% 4% 3% 14% 7% 13%

    14% 20% 16% 5% 9% 4% 4% 12% 15%

    10% 5% 30% 19% 3% 4% 9% 7% 13%

    5% 4% 26% 12% 18% 6% 8% 2% 18%

    2% 6% 20% 26% 6% 1% 19% 6% 14%

    5% 6% 23% 23% 8% 5% 16% 2% 11%

    4% 21% 22% 11% 10% 3% 3% 4% 20%

    9% 18% 18% 4% 12% 4% 5% 11% 16%

    7% 7% 35% 22% 4% 2% 8% 6% 7%

    8% 10% 27% 16% 6% 3% 11% 6% 11%

    3% 4% 20% 21% 24% 4% 14% 6% 3%

    10% 17% 20% 4% 18% 5% 5% 10% 7%

    11% 20% 15% 6% 11% 10% 13% 7% 3%

    2% 43% 9% 7% 5% 1% 15% 12% 7%

    7% 8% 13% 11% 9% 4% 7% 5% 33%

    Roman Catholic

    Baptist / Evangelical

    Mainline Protestant

    Other 

    None

    RDENOM

    RESPONDENT'S

    CHURCH/C

     At least once a week

     At least once a month

    Infrequently

    Never 

    RDENOMFR HOW

    OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND CHURCH/C

     Active Roman Catholics

     Active Baptists /

    Evangelicals

     Active MainlineProtestants

     Active other 

    Other 

     ACTIVE ACTIVE

    CHURCH ATTENDEES

    Male born again /

    evangelicals

    Male not evangelical

    Female born again /

    evangelicals

    Female not evangelical

    SEXBORN GENDER

     AND BORN AGAIN

    White Evangelical

    Non-white Evangelical

    RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

    White conservative

    Christians

    Non-white conservative

    Christians

    White non-conservative

    Christians

    Non-white

    non-conservative

    Christians

    IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /

    EVANGELICAL

    CHRISTIANS

     Approve

    Unsure

    Disapprove

    RBHOJA BARACK

    OBAMA JOB

     APPROVAL/C

    Jobs

    Economy

    Health care

    Illegal immigration

    Foreign threats

    Deficit

    Other 

    RMIIP MOSTIMPORTANT ISSUE

    FOR NEXT

    PRESIDENT/C

    MEIP

    Cutting taxes Reducingdeficit

    Creating jobs Increasewages

    Healthcarecosts

    Retirement Higher education

    Regulations Combination

    MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

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    7% 14% 17% 19% 9% 4% 7% 10% 11%

    7% 11% 23% 11% 11% 4% 12% 5% 15%

    13% 15% 14% 8% 3% 7% 8% 30%

    1% 20% 7% 21% 8% 13% 4% 15%

    8% 13% 20% 10% 9% 3% 6% 7% 17%

    8% 14% 21% 11% 9% 6% 12% 7% 12%

    5% 8% 20% 21% 12% 3% 12% 4% 13%

    1% 21% 18% 18% 9% 2% 11% 9% 8%

      100%

    8% 28% 24% 2% 38%

    8% 8% 20% 21% 7% 6% 13% 4% 12%

    9% 7% 22% 3% 11% 2% 16% 6% 18%

    7% 15% 20% 11% 11% 4% 8% 7% 15%

    7% 12% 20% 16% 10% 5% 12% 4% 13%

    13% 4% 22% 7% 10% 4% 16% 4% 18%

    6% 15% 20% 11% 10% 3% 7% 10% 15%

    10% 11% 20% 8% 12% 5% 5% 7% 19%

    8% 14% 21% 8% 11% 5% 8% 8% 14%

    9% 10% 23% 9% 9% 5% 10% 8% 15%

    3% 15% 17% 27% 8% 2% 14% 3% 10%

     

    9% 31% 60%

    6% 15% 21% 15% 10% 3% 8% 8% 13%

    8% 9% 20% 10% 10% 5% 14% 5% 16%

    2% 11% 21% 27% 9% 5% 11% 1% 11%

    7% 11% 28% 1% 6% 1% 9% 7% 29%

    11% 18% 19% 5% 11% 3% 6% 14% 12%

    6% 11% 21% 15% 10% 4% 14% 5% 12%

    8% 17% 22% 10% 10% 3% 4% 9% 15%

    10% 12% 16% 9% 8% 5% 3% 11% 24%

      10% 13% 49% 4% 8% 17%

    2% 6% 20% 36% 9% 2% 14% 1% 9%

    7% 5% 28% 14% 8% 4% 18% 2% 12%

    5% 9% 27% 11% 10% 7% 11% 3% 15%

    10% 20% 14% 6% 11% 3% 5% 12% 16%

    Views close to own

    Most effective person

    Both

    Unsure

    CAND2016 VIEW ON

    VOTE FOR

    PRESIDENTIAL

    CANDIDATE

    Very worried

    Somewhat worried

    Not too worried

    Not at all worried

    Combination

    Unsure

    ECONW WORRY

     ABOUT US ECONOMY

    SUFFERING

    DOWNTURN

    Yes

    Unsure

    No

    RECONFUT NEXT

    GENERATION BETTER

    OFF

    ECONOMICALLY/C

     Approve

    Unsure

    Disapprove

    RISAPP US EFFORTS

     AGAINST ISIS/C

    Very worried

    Somewhat worried

    Not too worried

    Not at all worried

    Combination

    Unsure

    TERRW WORRY

     ABOUT TERRORIST

     ATTACK

    Yes

    No

    RIDEAL SRH ABOUTIRAN NUCLEAR

     AGREEMENT/C

     Approve

    Unsure

    Disapprove

    RAPPR US SENATE

    VOTE ON IRAN

    NUCLEAR DEAL/C

    Yes

    No

    Not sure

    SAMEA ATTEND SAME

    SEX MARRIAGE

    CEREMONY

    4 of 4

    3 of 4

    2 of 4

    1 of 4

    0 of 4

    DEMCON WILLING TO

    CONSIDER

    DEMOCRATIC

    PRESIDENTIALCANDIDATE

    MEIP

    Cutting taxes Reducingdeficit

    Creating jobs Increasewages

    Healthcarecosts

    Retirement Higher education

    Regulations Combination

    MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON

    (cont.)

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    14% 20% 14% 0% 11% 4% 3% 16% 16%

    9% 29% 12% 2% 4% 3% 3% 15% 18%

    6% 24% 23% 3% 13% 3% 6% 9% 10%

    8% 14% 21% 7% 15% 2% 11% 4% 16%

    6% 8% 24% 11% 8% 5% 17% 5% 11%

    5% 5% 22% 25% 10% 5% 12% 2% 14%

    7% 13% 20% 13% 10% 4% 10% 7% 14%

    5-7 of 7

    4 of 7

    3 of 7

    2 of 7

    1 of 7

    0 of 7

    GOPCON WILLING TO

    CONSIDER

    DEMOCRATIC

    PRESIDENTIAL

    CANDIDATE

    TOTAL

    MEIP

    Cutting taxes Reducingdeficit

    Creating jobs Increasewages

    Healthcarecosts

    Retirement Higher education

    Regulations Combination

    MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON

    (cont.)

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    1% 1% 1001

    1% 1%   195

    2% 1%   181

    0% 1%   235

    4% 1%   96

    1% 1%   83

      2%   70

    0% 0%   141

      89

      2%   58

    5% 1%   71

      2%   56

    1% 1%   727

    2% 1%   217

    1% 1%   320

    1% 1%   464

    2% 1%   405

    1% 1%   366

    1% 2%   230

      1%   241

    1% 1%   760

    2% 1%  480

    1% 2%   521

    2% 1%   324

    0% 1%   157

    0% 2%   281

    1% 2%   240

    1% 0%   133

    1% 1%   605

    1% 2%   252

    2% 11

    1% 200

    1% 1%   280

    1% 2%   310

    1% 2%   200

      8%   10

    1% 0%   480

    1% 2%   310

    1% 2%   200

      8%   10

    TOTAL

    Northeast

    Midwest

    South

    South Central

    Central Plains

    Mountain States

    West

    RG1 GEOGRAPHIC

     AREAS ONE

    California

    Florida

    Texas

    New York

    Rest of country

    RG2 GEOGRAPHIC

     AREAS TWO

    GOP held seat up in 2014

    DEM held seat up in 2014

    No Senate election

    SENEL U.S. SENATE

    ELECTION STATUS BY

    STATE

    GOP held seat up in 2014

    DEM held seat up in 2014

    No Gubernatorial election

    GOVEL

    GUBERNATORIAL

    ELECTION STATUS BY

    STATE

    Competitive statewide

    race

    Other 

    COMPST STATES

    WITH COMPETITIVE

    STATEWIDE

    ELECTIONS

    Male

    Female

    GENDER GENDER

    Male / employed

    Male / not employed

    Female / employed

    Female / not employed

    RSEXEMP

    RESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

    Not employed

    Employed

    Retired

    Refused

    EMPSTAT

    18-34

    35-44

    45-64

    65 or over 

    Unsure / refused

    RAGE RESPONDENT'S

     AGE/C

    18-44

    45-64

    65+

    Unsure / refused

    RAGEBG2 AGE/C

    MEIP

    None Unsure

    MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE 

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

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    2% 1%   302

    1% 1%   179

    1% 1%   315

    1% 2%   205

    1% 1%   751

    3% 120

      90

    5% 3%   40

    1% 128

    1% 2%   623

      24

    3% 96

      41

      49

    10% 8

    3% 4%   32

    1% 2%   255

    1% 1%   746

    1% 1%   368

    1% 2%   382

    6% 50

      70

      42

      48

    1% 2%   390

    1% 2%   190

    1% 0%   420

    1% 0%   214

    1% 3%   176

    2% 0%   161

    1% 0%   259

    1% 2%   105

    1% 3%   85

    1% 1%   223

    0% 2%   168

    2% 269

    1% 1%   151

    1% 2%   125

    2% 3%   65

    Male / under 55

    Male / 55+

    Female / under 55

    Female / 55+

    RR96FL AGE / SEX

    White

    Black / African American

    Hispanic / Latino

    Other 

    RRACE

    RESPONDENT'S

    RACE/C

    White millenials 18-34

    White older voters 35+

     African American

    millenials 18-34

     African American older voters 35+

    Hispanic millenials 18-34

    Hispanic older voters 35+

    Other races millenials

    18-34

    Other races older voters

    35+

     AGE AND RACE

    White seniors

    Other 

    WHITE SENIORS

    White men

    White women

    Black men

    Black women

    Hispanic men

    Hispanic women

    GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

    Republican

    Independent

    Democrat

    RPARTYID PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION/C

    Male / GOP

    Female / GOP

    Male / DEM

    Female / DEM

    Male / IND

    Female / IND

    RPTYID89 SEX /

    PARTY ID

    Under 55 / GOP

    55 & over / GOP

    Under 55 / DEM

    55 & over / DEM

    Under 55 / IND

    55 & over / IND

    RPTY90FL AGE /

    PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION

    MEIP

    None Unsure

    MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE 

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

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    0% 2%   448

    4% 1%   61

    1% 0%   492

    0% 2%   360

    2% 3%   92

    1% 64

    1% 2%   84

    1% 0%   401

    0% 1%   536

    2% 2%   76

    2% 1%   389

    0% 2%   187

    0% 1%   348

    2% 1%   465

    1% 2%   390

    1% 2%   190

      0%   103

    2% 0%   318

    2% 0%   335

      0%   157

    4% 1%   61

      4%   69

    0% 2%   379

    1% 2%   93

      3%   68

    1% 1%   840

      5%   53

    2% 2%   227

    1% 1%   219

    1% 0%   503

    2% 0%   248

    1% 1%   232

    0% 1%   254

    1% 2%   266

    1% 2%   349

    1% 1%   149

    1% 0%   503

    2% 3%   127

    1% 1%   874

    Republican

    Ticket splitter 

    Democrat

    RPARTY USUAL VOTE

    BEHAVIOR/C

    Hard GOP

    Soft GOP

    Ticket splitter 

    Soft DEM

    Hard DEM

    PARTISAN PARTISAN

    Conservative

    Moderate

    Liberal

    RIDEOL

    RESPONDENT'S

    IDEOLOGY/C

    Very conservative

    Somewhat conservative

    Moderate / liberal

    RRIDEOL

    RESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

    Republican

    Independent

    Conservative DEM

    Mod / lib DEM

    RPTYID98 TARGET

    GROUPS

    Liberal DEM

    Mod / conservative DEM

    Independent

    Mod / liberal GOP

    Conservative GOP

    PARIDEOL PARTY /

    IDEOLOGY

    Yes / strongly

    Yes

    No / unsure

    RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY

    WITH TEA PARTY

    MOVEMENT/C

    Less than high school

    High school graduate

    Some college

    College graduate

    REDUC

    RESPONDENT'S

    EDUCATION/C

    Male college graduates

    Male non-college

    graduates

    Female college graduates

    Female non-college

    graduates

    SEXED2 GENDER AND

    EDUCATION

    White non-college

    graduate

    Minority non-college

    graduate

    Others

    SEXEDWH

    NON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

    Union household

    Non-union household

    RUNION MEMBER OF

    LABOR UNION/C

    MEIP

    None Unsure

    MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE 

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

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    3% 1%   215

    1% 2%   607

    1% 1%   179

    3% 1%   171

    0% 2%   203

    0% 1%   299

    1% 2%   308

      22

    2% 60

    12% 3%   42

    1% 173

    0% 1%   97

      1%   98

    1% 2%   304

    1% 1%   118

    5% 117

    0% 1%   302

    1% 61

    3% 75

      3%   46

    0% 1%   244

    1% 2%   243

    1% 49

    0% 1%   93

    2% 0%   250

      4%   30

    1% 2%   150

      23

    1% 1%   798

      1%   73

    1% 1%  696

    1% 2%   205

      8

    1% 20

    1% 1%   551

    5% 63

      57

    6% 4%   25

    1% 1%   305

    Single

    Married

    No longer married

    RMARITAL MARITAL

    STATUS/C

    Dad

    Mom

    MOMDAD PARENTS

    Married / children

    Married / no children

    Divorced / children

    Divorced / no children

    Single / children

    Single / no children

    Other / mixed

    BUNDY MARITAL

    STATUS / CHILDREN

    Single women

    Married women

    No longer married women

    Single men

    Married men

    No longer married men

    GENMAR1 GENDER AND MARITAL

    White single men

    White single women

    White married men

    White married women

    White no longer marriedmen

    White no longer married

    women

    Other 

    GENMAR2 GENDER,

    MARITAL, AND RACE

    Single mothers

    Married mothers

    No longer married

    mothers

    Non-mothers

    MOMMAR MOTHERS

    BY MARITAL STATUS

    Upper class

    Middle class

    Low income

    Working class

    Refused

    ECONCLA2

    ECONOMIC CLASS

    Middle class whites

    Middle class African

     Americans

    Middle class Hispanics

    Middle class other races

    Other 

    CLARAC ECONOMIC

    CLASS AND RACE

    MEIP

    None Unsure

    MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE 

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

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    1% 1%   352

    1% 1%   571

    2% 1%   48

    2% 9%   30

    3% 2%   318

    0% 1%   405

    1% 1%   214

    2% 1%   56

      1

      8

    0% 1%   245

    5% 2%   63

    1% 1%   693

    1% 1%   510

    2% 0%   85

    1% 2%   406

    2% 2%   112

    2% 1%   283

    0% 1%   341

    1% 0%   258

      100%   1

      7

    1% 1%   645

    1% 1%   356

    2% 0%   295

    1% 1%   45

    0% 2%   306

    1% 1%   628

    1% 1%   245

      2%   128

      26

    2% 112

    2% 0%   221

    2% 0%   214

    0% 2%   427

    Views close to own

    Most effective person

    Both

    Unsure

    CAND2016 VIEW ON

    VOTE FOR

    PRESIDENTIAL

    CANDIDATE

    Very worried

    Somewhat worried

    Not too worried

    Not at all worried

    Combination

    Unsure

    ECONW WORRY

     ABOUT US ECONOMY

    SUFFERING

    DOWNTURN

    Yes

    Unsure

    No

    RECONFUT NEXT

    GENERATION BETTER

    OFF

    ECONOMICALLY/C

     Approve

    Unsure

    Disapprove

    RISAPP US EFFORTS

     AGAINST ISIS/C

    Very worried

    Somewhat worried

    Not too worried

    Not at all worried

    Combination

    Unsure

    TERRW WORRY

     ABOUT TERRORIST

     ATTACK

    Yes

    No

    RIDEAL SRH ABOUTIRAN NUCLEAR

     AGREEMENT/C

     Approve

    Unsure

    Disapprove

    RAPPR US SENATE

    VOTE ON IRAN

    NUCLEAR DEAL/C

    Yes

    No

    Not sure

    SAMEA ATTEND SAME

    SEX MARRIAGE

    CEREMONY

    4 of 4

    3 of 4

    2 of 4

    1 of 4

    0 of 4

    DEMCON WILLING TO

    CONSIDER

    DEMOCRATIC

    PRESIDENTIALCANDIDATE

    MEIP

    None Unsure

    MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE 

    TOTAL

    (cont.)

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      2%   150

    1% 3%   96

      3%   91

    0% 1%   87

    3% 2%   164

    1% 0%   413

    1% 1% 1001

    5-7 of 7

    4 of 7

    3 of 7

    2 of 7

    1 of 7

    0 of 7

    GOPCON WILLING TO

    CONSIDER

    DEMOCRATIC

    PRESIDENTIAL

    CANDIDATE

    TOTAL

    MEIP

    None Unsure

    MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE 

    TOTAL

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

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    43% 52% 5% 1%   302

    37% 58% 3% 2%   179

    59% 38% 3% 315

    45% 51% 3% 0%   205

    40% 57% 3% 1%   751

    82% 13% 4% 1%   120

    61% 28% 12% 90

    48% 48% 4% 40

    48% 51% 1% 1%   128

    39% 58% 3% 1%   623

    80% 10% 11% 24

    83% 13% 2% 1%   96

    65% 18% 17% 41

    57% 36% 8% 49

    79% 21% 8

    40% 55% 5% 32

    34% 62% 3% 1%   255

    52% 44% 4% 0%   746

    36% 61% 3% 1%   368

    44% 53% 3% 0%   382

    76% 14% 8% 3%   50

    87% 12% 1% 70

    46% 39% 15% 42

    73% 18% 9% 48

    11% 86% 2% 0%   390

    39% 51% 8% 1%   190

    84% 12% 3% 0%   420

    12% 85% 2% 1%   214

    11% 87% 2% 176

    83% 11% 5% 1%   161

    85% 13% 2% 0%   259

    34% 56% 7% 2%   105

    45% 46% 9% 85

    14% 83% 2% 223

    7% 90% 2% 1%   168

    84% 12% 3% 1%   269

    85% 12% 3% 0%   151

    44% 46% 9% 1%   125

    29% 62% 7% 2%   65

    Male / under 55

    Male / 55+

    Female / under 55

    Female / 55+

    RR96FL AGE / SEX

    White

    Black / African American

    Hispanic / Latino

    Other 

    RRACE

    RESPONDENT'S

    RACE/C

    White millenials 18-34

    White older voters 35+

     African American

    millenials 18-34

     African American older voters 35+

    Hispanic millenials 18-34

    Hispanic older voters 35+

    Other races millenials

    18-34

    Other races older voters

    35+

     AGE AND RACE

    White seniors

    Other 

    WHITE SENIORS

    White men

    White women

    Black men

    Black women

    Hispanic men

    Hispanic women

    GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

    Republican

    Independent

    Democrat

    RPARTYID PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION/C

    Male / GOP

    Female / GOP

    Male / DEM

    Female / DEM

    Male / IND

    Female / IND

    RPTYID89 SEX /

    PARTY ID

    Under 55 / GOP

    55 & over / GOP

    Under 55 / DEM

    55 & over / DEM

    Under 55 / IND

    55 & over / IND

    RPTY90FL AGE /

    PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION

    RHRCID

    Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heardof 

    RHRCID HILLARY CLINTON NAME ID/C   TOTAL

    (cont.)

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    11% 86% 3% 0%   448

    35% 49% 12% 3%   61

    82% 14% 4% 1%   492

    9% 88% 2% 0%   360

    14% 82% 3% 0%   92

    41% 46% 9% 4%   64

    66% 23% 10% 0%   84

    86% 11% 3% 1%   401

    25% 72% 3% 1%   536

    46% 48% 6% 76

    79% 16% 4% 0%   389

    15% 81% 4% 1%   187

    30% 66% 3% 1%   348

    74% 22% 4% 0%   465

    11% 86% 2% 0%   390

    39% 51% 8% 1%   190

    74% 19% 6% 1%   103

    88% 10% 2% 0%   318

    87% 10% 3% 0%   335

    72% 21% 5% 1%   157

    35% 49% 12% 3%   61

    20% 74% 5% 1%   69

    9% 89% 2% 0%   379

    19% 76% 4% 1%   93

    7% 91% 2% 68

    54% 42% 4% 1%   840

    52% 36% 10% 3%   53

    45% 47% 7% 1%   227

    45% 52% 2% 1%   219

    49% 49% 2% 0%   503

    42% 55% 3% 1%   248

    39% 53% 6% 1%   232

    56% 43% 1% 254

    51% 44% 5% 0%   266

    36% 60% 3% 1%   349

    68% 20% 11% 1%   149

    49% 49% 2% 0%   503

    55% 41% 4% 127

    46% 49% 4% 1%   874

    Republican

    Ticket splitter 

    Democrat

    RPARTY USUAL VOTE

    BEHAVIOR/C

    Hard GOP

    Soft GOP

    Ticket splitter 

    Soft DEM

    Hard DEM

    PARTISAN PARTISAN

    Conservative

    Moderate

    Liberal

    RIDEOL

    RESPONDENT'S

    IDEOLOGY/C

    Very conservative

    Somewhat conservative

    Moderate / liberal

    RRIDEOL

    RESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

    Republican

    Independent

    Conservative DEM

    Mod / lib DEM

    RPTYID98 TARGET

    GROUPS

    Liberal DEM

    Mod / conservative DEM

    Independent

    Mod / liberal GOP

    Conservative GOP

    PARIDEOL PARTY /

    IDEOLOGY

    Yes / strongly

    Yes

    No / unsure

    RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY

    WITH TEA PARTY

    MOVEMENT/C

    Less than high school

    High school graduate

    Some college

    College graduate

    REDUC

    RESPONDENT'S

    EDUCATION/C

    Male college graduates

    Male non-college

    graduates

    Female college graduates

    Female non-college

    graduates

    SEXED2 GENDER AND

    EDUCATION

    White non-college

    graduate

    Minority non-college

    graduate

    Others

    SEXEDWH

    NON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

    Union household

    Non-union household

    RUNION MEMBER OF

    LABOR UNION/C

    RHRCID

    Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heardof 

    RHRCID HILLARY CLINTON NAME ID/C   TOTAL

    (cont.)

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    62% 31% 5% 2%   215

    41% 55% 3% 0%   607

    51% 46% 3% 179

    36% 59% 5% 171

    58% 38% 4% 203

    44% 51% 4% 299

    38% 59% 2% 1%   308

    73% 21% 6% 22

    54% 42% 4% 60

    63% 33% 5% 42

    62% 31% 5% 2%   173

    44% 54% 3% 97

    71% 26% 3% 1%   98

    49% 49% 3% 304

    52% 43% 5% 118

    55% 36% 7% 3%   117

    34% 62% 4% 1%   302

    48% 51% 1% 61

    51% 45% 2% 2%   75

    56% 41% 2% 1%   46

    29% 67% 3% 1%   244

    42% 56% 2% 243

    46% 53% 1% 49

    44% 51% 5% 93

    69% 24% 7% 1%   250

    68% 25% 7% 30

    55% 41% 3% 150

    61% 33% 6% 23

    45% 51% 4% 1%   798

    56% 42% 2% 73

    45% 52% 2% 1%  696

    52% 39% 8% 1%   205

    60% 40% 8

    45% 44% 11% 20

    37% 60% 2% 1%   551

    86% 10% 1% 2%   63

    66% 27% 7% 57

    60% 38% 2% 25

    53% 40% 7% 0%   305

    Single

    Married

    No longer married

    RMARITAL MARITAL

    STATUS/C

    Dad

    Mom

    MOMDAD PARENTS

    Married / children

    Married / no children

    Divorced / children

    Divorced / no children

    Single / children

    Single / no children

    Other / mixed

    BUNDY MARITAL

    STATUS / CHILDREN

    Single women

    Married women

    No longer married women

    Single men

    Married men

    No longer married men

    GENMAR1 GENDER AND MARITAL

    White single men

    White single women

    White married men

    White married women

    White no longer marriedmen

    White no longer married

    women

    Other 

    GENMAR2 GENDER,

    MARITAL, AND RACE

    Single mothers

    Married mothers

    No longer married

    mothers

    Non-mothers

    MOMMAR MOTHERS

    BY MARITAL STATUS

    Upper class

    Middle class

    Low income

    Working class

    Refused

    ECONCLA2

    ECONOMIC CLASS

    Middle class whites

    Middle class African

     Americans

    Middle class Hispanics

    Middle class other races

    Other 

    CLARAC ECONOMIC

    CLASS AND RACE

    RHRCID

    Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heardof 

    RHRCID HILLARY CLINTON NAME ID/C   TOTAL

    (cont.)

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    34% 47% 13% 5%   302

    34% 54% 8% 4%   179

    43% 33% 16% 9%   315

    43% 45% 9% 3%   205

    34% 50% 11% 5%   751

    65% 15% 13% 7%   120

    41% 28% 21% 11%   90

    41% 47% 8% 4%   40

    38% 36% 17% 10%   128

    33% 53% 10% 4%   623

    46% 6% 37% 11%   24

    70% 17% 6% 7%   96

    42% 29% 25% 4%   41

    40% 26% 17% 17%   49

    63% 31% 6%   8

    36% 51% 10% 3%   32

    34% 55% 9% 3%   255

    40% 40% 13% 7%   746

    32% 55% 9% 4%   368

    37% 44% 14% 5%   382

    52% 17% 20% 11%   50

    75% 13% 7% 5%   70

    38% 33% 23% 5%   42

    43% 23% 18% 16%   48

    10% 73% 14% 3%   390

    34% 48% 12% 6%   190

    68% 14% 11% 7%   420

    11% 75% 11% 3%   214

    8% 70% 18% 4%   176

    65% 16% 12% 7%   161

    69% 13% 10% 7%   259

    34% 51% 10% 5%   105

    34% 44% 13% 9%   85

    9% 70% 16% 5%   223

    11% 76% 11% 2%   168

    65% 13% 14% 8%   269

    72% 16% 6% 6%   151

    35% 44% 12% 8%   125

    32% 54% 10% 3%   65

    Male / under 55

    Male / 55+

    Female / under 55

    Female / 55+

    RR96FL AGE / SEX

    White

    Black / African American

    Hispanic / Latino

    Other 

    RRACE

    RESPONDENT'S

    RACE/C

    White millenials 18-34

    White older voters 35+

     African American

    millenials 18-34

     African American older voters 35+

    Hispanic millenials 18-34

    Hispanic older voters 35+

    Other races millenials

    18-34

    Other races older voters

    35+

     AGE AND RACE

    White seniors

    Other 

    WHITE SENIORS

    White men

    White women

    Black men

    Black women

    Hispanic men

    Hispanic women

    GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

    Republican

    Independent

    Democrat

    RPARTYID PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION/C

    Male / GOP

    Female / GOP

    Male / DEM

    Female / DEM

    Male / IND

    Female / IND

    RPTYID89 SEX /

    PARTY ID

    Under 55 / GOP

    55 & over / GOP

    Under 55 / DEM

    55 & over / DEM

    Under 55 / IND

    55 & over / IND

    RPTY90FL AGE /

    PARTY

    IDENTIFICATION

    RJOEBID

    Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heardof 

    RJOEBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C   TOTAL

    (cont.)

    THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted TablesMay 3-6, 2015

    Page 44

  • 8/9/2019 George Washington University poll

    45/426

    11% 74% 12% 3%   448

    22% 36% 25% 17%   61

    66% 16% 11% 7%   492

    8% 74% 14% 3%   360

    16% 75% 6% 4%   92

    34% 36% 19% 12%   64

    56% 28% 12% 4%   84

    68% 13% 11% 8%   401

    20% 65% 10% 5%   536

    27% 37% 23% 14%   76

    67% 15% 13% 6%   389

    12% 72% 11% 5%   187

    24% 61% 10% 4%   348

    60% 19% 14% 7%   465

    10% 73% 14% 3%   390

    34% 48% 12% 6%   190

    50% 27% 12% 11%   103

    73% 10% 11% 6%   318

    73% 11% 11% 5%   335

    50% 28% 10% 12%   157

    22% 36% 25% 17%   61

    24% 45% 24% 7%   69

    9% 79% 10% 2%   379

    11% 77% 5% 7%   93

    10% 86% 3% 1%   68

    44% 36% 14% 6%   840

    32% 33% 16% 19%   53

    33% 42% 14% 11%   227

    38% 48% 9% 5%   219

    43% 43% 12% 2%   503

    37% 49% 12% 2%   248

    31% 51% 11% 7%   232

    48% 37% 13% 2%   254

    38% 38% 14% 11%   266

    28% 52% 11% 8%   349

    50% 24% 14% 12%   149

    43% 43% 12% 2%   503

    46% 35% 11% 7%   127

    38% 45% 12% 5%   874

    Republican

    Ticket splitter 

    Democrat

    RPARTY USUAL VOTE

    BEHAVIOR/C

    Hard GOP

    Soft GOP

    Ticket splitter 

    Soft DEM

    Hard DEM

    PARTISAN PARTISAN

    Conservative

    Moderate

    Liberal

    RIDEOL

    RESPONDENT'S

    IDEOLOGY/C

    Very conservative

    Somewhat conservative

    Moderate / liberal

    RRIDEOL

    RESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

    Republican

    Independent

    Conservative DEM

    Mod / lib DEM

    RPTYID98 TARGET

    GROUPS

    Liberal DEM

    Mod / conservative DEM

    Independent

    Mod / liberal GOP

    Conservative GOP

    PARIDEOL PARTY /

    IDEOLOGY

    Yes / strongly

    Yes

    No / unsure

    RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY

    WITH TEA PARTY

    MOVEMENT/C

    Less than high school

    High school graduate

    Some college

    College graduate

    REDUC

    RESPONDENT'S

    EDUCATION/C

    Male college graduate