THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014. 1. 22. · January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL A national

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

THE GEORGE WASHINGTON

BATTLEGROUND POLL A national survey of 1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters


Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction,

or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

24%

10%

67%

Right direction Unsure Wrong track

Q1

October 27-31, 2013/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

28%

32%

28%

31%29%

32%

37%39%

34%

73%

24%

38%

32%

39%

37%

33%35%36%

31% 34%

38%

38%40%40%

41%

67%

59%

54%

57%

64%63%62%

55%

59%

72%

59%

75%

59%

56%57%

61%

56%54%55%

57%

51%

62%60%

52%54%

67%

Right Direction 38% 40% 40% 41% 39% 28% 32% 31% 38% 34% 36% 28% 31% 29% 32% 19% 18% 35% 33% 32% 37% 38% 37% 39% 34% 19% 24%

Wrong Track 57% 55% 54% 52% 54% 67% 60% 62% 51% 56% 55% 62% 63% 64% 59% 72% 75% 59% 59% 61% 57% 56% 57% 54% 59% 73% 67%

Unsure 7% 7% 9% 7% 11% 9% 9% 10% 7% 9% 9% 8% 6% 8% 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 8% 10%

Mar-

04

Jun-

04

Aug-

04

Oct-

04

Mar-

05

Oct-

05

Feb-

06

Sep-

06

Jul-

09

Dec-

09

Apr-

10

Aug-

10

Sep-

10

Oct-

10

May-

11

Sep-

11

Nov-

11

Feb-

12

May-

12

Aug-

12

Sep-

12

9/27

/12

10/1

8/12

11/5

/12

12/6

/12

10/3

1/13

1/16

/14

Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do

you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

Q1


In thinking about the past few months and leaders in Washington

solving problems, do you think that things have gotten better,

gotten worse, stayed the same over the past few months?

12%

32%

54%

2%

Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Unsure/Refused

Q2


If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to

make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate

or the Democratic candidate, in your Congressional district?

43%

16%

41%

Republican Undecided Democratic

Q3


47%

43%

45%

46%44%

41%42%43%

46%

45%

45%

16%15%

11%8%13% 13%

7%8%

13% 9% 10%

41%

44%45%46%

46%46%

47%44%

47%

44%42%

Republican 43% 45% 46% 45% 45% 44% 46% 47% 42% 41% 43%

Undecided 13% 8% 11% 13% 9% 10% 8% 7% 13% 15% 16%

Democratic 44% 47% 44% 42% 47% 46% 46% 46% 45% 44% 41%

11/9/11 2/22/12 5/3/12 8/8/12 9/20/12 9/27/12 10/18/12 11/5/12 12/6/12 10/31/13 1/16/14

If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a

choice, would you be voting for, the Republican candidate or the Democratic

candidate, in your Congressional district?

Q3


Do you think your Member of Congress has performed their job

well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it's time to

give a new person a chance?

29%

17%

54%

Deserves re-election Undecided New person a chance

Q4


How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as

President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?

41%

5%

54%

Approve Unsure Disapprove

Q5


48%

49%50%53%

41%

45%

50%

48%

49%

49%46% 45%

52%

44%

5%3%3%2%2%5%4%4%

2%3%2%5% 3% 5%

49%

54%52%

47%48%

49%

48%

49%48%

45%

51%

45%

50% 52%

Approve 46% 52% 45% 44% 53% 48% 48% 50% 49% 49% 49% 50% 45% 41%

Unsure 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 5% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 5%

Disapprove 51% 45% 50% 52% 45% 48% 49% 48% 49% 48% 49% 47% 52% 54%

10/20/10 5/12/11 9/1/11 11/9/11 2/22/12 5/3/12 8/8/12 9/20/12 9/27/12 10/18/12 11/5/12 12/6/12 10/31/13 1/16/14

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?

Q5


Whether you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is

handling his job as President, what is your impression of Barack

Obama as a person? Do you approve or disapprove of him?

61%

10%

29%


Q6


I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or

disapprove of the job that President Obama is doing on this issue.

Here is the first one:

40%

43%

40%

33%

43%

41%

3%

3%

3%

4%

3%

6%

57%

55%

56%

63%

54%

53%

The economy

Solving problems

Working with Congress

The federal budget and spending

Jobs

Taxes


Q7-12


How would you rate the job Congress is doing? Do you approve

or disapprove of the job they are doing?

9% 4%

87%

14% 4%

81%


10/31/2013 1/16/2014

Q13


How would you rate the job your Member of Congress is doing?

Do you approve or disapprove of the job they are doing?

39%

11%

50% 47%

9%

44%


10/31/2013 1/16/2014

Q14


As you may already know, in December Congress passed and the

President signed a law to fund the federal government for two

years. Have you seen, read or heard anything about this federal

budget deal?

47%

2%

51%

Yes Unsure No

Q21


Thinking about what you have seen, read or heard about this

budget deal, has it made you more likely or less likely to vote for

your Member of Congress? (If “Yes” in Q21, Asked of N=479, or 47.4% of Sample)

36%

10% 12%

42%

More likely Unsure No difference Less likely

Q22


And, based on what you know, do you think this deal was more

of a step in the right direction or giving up on key principles? (If “Yes” in Q21, Asked of N=479, or 47.4% of Sample)

42%

49%

1% 7%

Step in the right

direction

Giving up on key

principles

Other Unsure/Refused

Q23


In general, do you favor or oppose the Affordable Care Act, which is also

called Obamacare?

43%

4%

53%

41%

3%

56%

Favor Unsure Oppose

1/31/2013 1/16/20142

Q24


Do you think that the Affordable Care Act, also called Obamacare, went too

far, did not go far enough, or was about right?

49%

23%

21%

49%

23%

20%

1%

2%

6%

Too far

Not far enough

Was about right

Combo/Other

None

Unsure/Refused

1/16/2014 1/16/20142

Q25


Do you think that the national economy has gotten better, worse,

or stayed the same over the past four years?

35%

42%

23%

1%

Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Unsure/Refused

Q26


Do you think that your personal economic situation has gotten

better, worse, or stayed the same over the past four years?

22%

36%

40%

1%

1%

Gotten better

Gotten worse

Stayed the same

Combo/Other

Unsure/Refused

Q27


How big of a problem would you say that income inequality is? Would you

say it is a big problem, somewhat of a problem, not much of a problem, or not

a problem at all?

49%

30%

8%

9%

4%

Big problem

Somewhat of a problem

Not much of a problem

Not a problem at all

Unsure/Refused

Q28


What do you think would be the best way to make sure that everyone can

move up economically? Would you say it is reducing the gap between the

wealthiest Americans and the rest of the country or cutting taxes and removing

unnecessary regulations?

43%

45%

4%

3%

5%

Closing the gap

Cutting taxes/removing regulations

Combo/Other

None

Unsure/Refused

Q29


What is the likelihood that you will actually watch the speech live from the

floor of the House of Representatives? Are you extremely likely, very likely,

somewhat likely, or not very likely at all to watch President Obama’s speech?

23%

24%

18%

33%

1%

Extremely Likely

Very Likely

Somewhat Likely

Not at all Likely

Unsure/Refuse

Q30


Still thinking about the State of the Union speech, how important do you think

this year’s speech will be? Would you say this will be extremely important,

very important, somewhat important or not very important speech?

18%

24%

26%

31%

2%

Extremely Important

Very Important

Somewhat Important

Not at all Important

Unsure/Refuse

Q31


And, in thinking about the State of the Union speech that President Obama will

give this year, do you think the nation needs to hear a list of detailed policy

proposals to address our problems or an inspirational speech that will bring us

together as a nation?

56%

27%

8%

4%

5%

Detailed policy proposals

Inspirational speech

Both

Neither

Unsure/Refuse

Q32


Now I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me whether you

think it is extremely important, very important, somewhat important or not very

important for President Obama to talk about that issue. Here is the first one…

85%

25%

48%

55%

83%

11%

45%

40%

24%

12%

3%

27%

11%

18%

4%

1%

3%

2%

3%

1%

The economy

The civil war in

Syria

Immigration

Income

inequality

Jobs

Very Important Somewhat Important Not at all Important Unsure

Q33-37


Now I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me whether you

think it is extremely important, very important, somewhat important or not very

important for President Obama to talk about that issue. Here is the first one…

66%

72%

66%

53%

26%

19%

19%

31%

6%

7%

13%

13%

2%

2%

2%

2%

Taxes

The Federal

deficit

The new

healthcare law

The role of

government in

our lives

Very Important Somewhat Important Not at all Important Unsure

Q38-41

Documents

THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · 2014. 1. 22. · January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL A national