GFS17 - Feed Survey 2017_FINALv2

2017 | GLOBAL FEED SURVEY


2017 | GLOBAL FEED SURVEY2017 | GLOBAL FEED SURVEY

World Feed Production Exceeds

1 billionMetric Tons



Global Feed Growth(Million Metric Tons)

1.6%UP

per annum


Most Comprehensive Survey Yet • Estimates compound feed production

• 141 countries

• Over 30,000 feed mills

• Feed industry associations

• Most complete & robust evaluation of the state of animal feed production ever

*Varying definitions by country, forage not included; feed production varies day to day, week to week


Top 2 Countries Produce 1/3 of all Animal Feed


Top 10 Countries Produce almost 2/3 of Feed


China 6000 187.200

USA 5970 169.689

Brazil 1554 68.930

Mexico 498 33.877

Spain 820 31.854

India 909 31.359

Russia 500 29.090

Germany 330 24.490

Japan 115 23.992

France 300 23.450

Top 30 Countries Produce 86%Canada 500 21.455

South Korea 89 19.320

Turkey 452 18.974

Vietnam 207 18.695

Thailand 128 18.630

Indonesia 92 18.390

Argentina 900 16.636

UK 268 15.060

Netherlands 55 14.500

Italy 340 13.732

Philippines 3000 13.670

South Africa 72 11.736

Iran 575 10.100

Poland 130 9.600

Australia 155 9.113

Belarus 87 7.535

Belgium 160 7.500

Colombia 250 7.497

Pakistan 140 7.151

Saudi Arabia 11 6.950


Regions Africa, 39.5

Asia Pacific 367.6

Europe, 249.4

Latin America,

157.5

Middle East, 27.1

North America,

191.1


Asia-Pacific Region Leads

• Asia region #1

• 5% growth

• China largest market367.7 mmt


NigeriaAlgeriaTunisiaKenyaZambia

Africa: The Fastest Growing Region

Regionally

13% 30%

39.5 mmt


INCREASE FROM LAST YEAR

31.9MILLION

METRIC TONS 8%

EU Led by Spain

249.4 mmt


• Most substantial growth in estimated feed production

• 33.9 mmt• Evident in dairy & layers • Now 20% of total Latin

America’s feed production

Mexico: The Latin American Leader

157.5 mmt in region


• Fastest growing at 21%• 18.7 mmt• Primarily pig & broiler

The Rising Star of Vietnam


Major Species Pigs27%

Ruminants21%

Poultry44%

Other8%


Brakes on Broiler Feed Production?

• 287 mmt• Broiler feed declined 0.67%

– Outbreaks of avian influenza in Europe– Improved feed conversions – Consolidating poultry production

0.67%


Turkey Feed Tapping Out• Global turkey feed production decreased

4.6% to 14.62 mmt• Brazil, Germany & Russia all reported

significantly lower turkey feed production • Global switch from turkey consumption

toward broiler meat, specifically in the EU, are likely reasons for the lower statistics

4.6%


Dropping Ducks & Other Poultry Plunders

• Sharp decrease in feed production, most notably in France, the UK, Taiwan, Turkey & Thailand

• A bird flu outbreak in France extended into early 2016 & affected the decline in this country’s numbers

• 6.6 mmt


1 China 75.49

2 USA 41.58

3 Brazil 16.52

4 Spain 14.74

5 Vietnam 10.84

Pig Production Prospers6 Russia 9.60

7 Germany 9.50

8 Canada 9.02

9 Philippines 7.68

10 Thailand 6.42

Top 10 countries in terms of pig feed tonnage (mmt)


• Growth flat: 116.4 mmt• U.S. & India are top countries• Other prominent producers showed

sharp declines such as Turkey, Germany & France down roughly 1.5, 3.4 & 0.3 million tons, respectively

Dairy Delivers, but regional shifts


Not Fed Up with Beef Just Yet!

• U.S. leading producer by far• 82 mmt• China, Spain, Turkey & Mexico all show

substantial increases in feed production

• Lower meat prices causing consumption rebound


Affirming Aqua’s Ambitions

• The aqua feed industry has seen 6 years of growth, in line with growth in consumption of farmed fish & this year’s trend continues

• 12% increase in production to 39.9 mmt• Europe increased the most


Regional Aqua ProductionAF1%

AP74%

ER9%

LA10%

ME1%

NA5%

Sum of Aqua 2015


Primary Aqua Species

Carp, 32%

Tilapia, 12%

Catfish, 8%

Shrimp (marine &

fresh), 21%

Salmon, 11%

Others, 16%


Top Aqua Producing Countries

TROUT: Peru 74%

CARP: China 62%

CATFISH: U.S. 40%Vietnam 36%Bangladesh 35%

SHRIMP: India 66%Thailand 42%Indonesia 33%

SALMON: Norway 94%Canada 86%Chile 85%


Pushing Pet Production

• 25 mmt• Leader by volume & value has historically

been the U.S.• Other countries report higher pet food

production, particularly in Europe & AP regions

• EU production volume approaching U.S.


Global Pet Food Players

Mars Inc, 13.6

Nestle SA, 12.8

Colgate-Palmolive, 3.30

P+G, 3.27DelMonte, 1.78

Agrolimen SA, 0.72

Uni-Charm Corp, 0.37

Nutriara Alimentos Ltda, 0.34

Total Alimentos SA, 0.32

Nisshin Seifun, 0.23

Others, 16.3

U.S est $62.75 billion

*Information courtesy of APPA & WATT


7.8 mmt

Equine Feed Production

•Relatively flat •Predominantly U.S. then…

ArgentinaBrazil

Canada


• Feed represents 70% of the cost of production of meat (pork, beef & chicken), milk & eggs

Feed Prices Critical Factor in Competitiveness of Animal Protein Sector


Valuing the Feed Industry: $460 Billion


Thank you for joining us!

• The webinar recording & results booklet are available at www.alltechfeedsurvey.com

• For media requests, please contact us via email at [email protected]

• For further enquiries about the survey, please contact Alexa Potocki ([email protected])

http://www.alltechfeedsurvey.com/


THE DISRUPTORS

Join us May 21–24, 2017, in Lexington, Kentucky.ONE.alltech.com



Documents

GFS17 - Feed Survey 2017_FINALv2