30
MARCH 2013 Corporate Update STRATEGY. DISCIPLINE. EXECUTION.

Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

MARCH 2013 Corporate Update

STRATEGY.

DISCIPLINE.

EXECUTION.

Page 2: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

This presentation contains “forward-looking statements”, within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and applicable Canadian securities legislation, concerning the business, operations and financial performance and condition of Goldcorp Inc. (“Goldcorp”). Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the future price of gold, silver, copper, lead and zinc, the estimation of mineral reserves and resources, the realization of mineral reserve estimates, the timing and amount of estimated future production, costs of production, capital expenditures, costs and timing of the development of new deposits, success of exploration activities, permitting time lines, hedging practices, currency exchange rate fluctuations, requirements for additional capital, government regulation of mining operations, environmental risks, unanticipated reclamation expenses, timing and possible outcome of pending litigation, title disputes or claims and limitations on insurance coverage. Generally, these forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans”, “expects” or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates” or “does not anticipate”, “believes” or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved”. Forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of Goldcorp to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, including but not limited to: risks related to the integration of acquisitions; risks related to international operations; risks related to joint venture operations; actual results of current exploration activities; actual results of current reclamation activities; conclusions of economic evaluations; changes in project parameters as plans continue to be refined; future prices of gold, silver, copper, lead and zinc; possible variations in ore reserves, grade or recovery rates; failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate as anticipated; accidents, labour disputes; delays in obtaining governmental approvals or financing or in the completion of development or construction activities and other risks of the mining industry, as well as those factors discussed in the section entitled “Description of the Business – Risk Factors” in Goldcorp’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2012 available at www.sedar.com. Although Goldcorp has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Goldcorp does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements that are included in this document, except in accordance with applicable securities laws.

All amounts are in U.S. dollars, unless otherwise stated.

2

Page 3: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

CONSISTENT STRATEGIC FOCUS

3

Peer-Leading Balance Sheet

Responsible Mining

Practices

Low Political

Risk

TOGETHER CREATING

SUSTAINABLE VALUE

Quality Growth

Cost Management

S T R A T E G Y .

Page 4: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

CHALLENGES FACING THE GOLD INDUSTRY

4

DELAYED FCF

Missed guidance Revamped planning and forecasting

Lack of growth

Poor capital allocation decisions

Operating cost escalation

Quality growth

Only N.A. senior with YoY growth

Operating for Excellence

A CLEAR PATH TO FCF

Disciplined M&A and divestitures

No writedowns

Goldcorp Industry

D I S C I P L I N E .

Page 5: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

ALL- IN SUSTAINING CASH COSTS

5

I M P R OV E D C A S H C O S T D I S C LO S U R E

D I S C I P L I N E .

OPERATING COST

$300 SUSTAINING CAPEX

$439

G&A

$105 EXPLORATION

$23

38% 20% 16% Labor Other Consumables

TOTAL $874 per oz

(US$) as at Dec. 31, 2012

Energy

17%

OTHER

$7

9% Maintenance

Page 6: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

COMMITMENT TO COST CONTAINMENT

Operating for Excellence A GLOBAL INITIATIVE

6 D I S C I P L I N E .

Page 7: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

LOW CAPITAL INTENSITY PROJECTS

(as at Dec. 31, 2012)

SPENT COMMITTED OUTSTANDING

$3.1B

$0.4 B

$2.0B

Capital Spending for Projects Contributing

to 5-Year Growth Profile

LOW CAPITAL COST / OZ OF <$240 * Contributing to 5-year growth: Pueblo Viejo, Cerro Negro, Éléonore, Cochenour and Camino Rojo 7

D I S C I P L I N E .

Page 8: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

2013 GUIDANCE

20131

Guidance 2012

Actual

G O L D P R O D U C T I O N ( m o z ) 2.55 - 2.80 2.4

C A S H C O S T S $ / o z A L L - I N S U S TA I N I N G B Y - P R O D U C T C O - P R O D U C T

$1,000 - $1,100

$525 - $575 $700 - $750

$874 $300 $638

C A P I TA L E X P E N D I T U R E S $2.8B $2.6B

E X P L O R AT I O N E X P E N D I T U R E S $225M $207M

C O R P O R AT E A D M I N I S T R AT I O N $180M $163M

D E P R E C I AT I O N / o z $335 $284

TA X R AT E 29% 25%

8 1 2013 price assumptions: Au=$1,600/oz, Ag=$30/oz, Cu=$3.50/lb, Zn=$0.90/lb, Pb=$0.90/lb

D I S C I P L I N E .

Page 9: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

5 YEAR PRODUCTION GUIDANCE

2012A 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E

2.4

2.55 - 2.8

3.2 - 3.5

3.5 - 3.8 3.8 - 4.0

4.0 - 4.2

9

Gold production (Moz)

Increasing Production ~70%

D I S C I P L I N E .

Page 10: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

STRONG CASH FLOW GROWTH (13E – 15E)

10 Source: Bloomberg consensus (as of Mar. 12, 2013) Dollar figures are cash flow per share estimates 2013E – 2015E

D I S C I P L I N E .

-8%

-1% 8%

14% 16%

51%

Kinross Newmont Barrick Yamana Agnico Goldcorp

$3.13

$4.26 $4.73

2013E 2014E 2015E

Page 11: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

FINANCIAL POSITION – EXCELLENT LIQUIDITY

11

(US$) as at Dec. 31, 2012 with pro-forma reflection of US$1.5B notes

1 Moody’s: Baa2; S&P: BBB+; Fitch: BBB.

INVESTMENT GRADE BALANCE SHEET1

CASH & CASH EQUIVALENTS

AVAILABLE DEBT FACILITY - UNDRAWN

CONVERTIBLE SENIOR NOTES – DUE 2014

$918.0 M

$2.0 B

$862.5 M

~$4.4 B LIQUIDITY

Balance Sheet

D I S C I P L I N E .

$1.5 B SENIOR UNSECURED NOTES – DUE 2018 & 2023

Page 12: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

RETURNING SHAREHOLDER VALUE

$0.18 $0.21

$0.41

$0.54 $0.60

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E

12

Dividend ($ per share) Dividend up 233%

since 2009 Dividend ($ per share)1

1Dividend increases (annual): Oct. 27, 2010 - $0.36/share; Feb. 24, 2011 - $0.40/share; Dec. 5, 2011 - $0.54/share; Jan. 7, 2013 - $0.60/share 2Source: Bloomberg consensus (as of Mar. 12, 2013)

D I S C I P L I N E .

11% 14% 14%

19%

25%

10% 12% 12%

14%

21%

KGC ABX AUY GG NEM2013E 2014E

Dividend as % of Operating Cash Flow2

Significant return of

capital to shareholders

Page 13: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

43,400

46,300

48,800

60,060

64,700

67,100

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

13

(Thousands of ounces)

Ninth Consecutive Year of Reserve Growth

4% on a per share basis

QUALITY RESERVE GROWTH

D I S C I P L I N E .

1 See Appendix D for the 2012 proven and probable gold mineral reserves including tonnage, grade and ounces by property

1

Page 14: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

FOCUS IN LOW RISK JURISDICTIONS

14

Canada 38%

US 6%

Mexico 30%

Argentina 5%

Dominican Republic 14%

Guatemala 7%

2013E GOLD

PRODUCTION

ARGENTINA

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

GUATEMALA

CHILE

Operating Mines Development Projects

MEXICO

USA

CANADA

E X E C U T I O N .

Page 15: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

CANADA

Red Lake Musselwhite

Porcupine

Éléonore

Cochenour

RED LAKE

Gold production

2012A: 507,700 oz

2013E: 475,000 - 510,000 oz

Robust, low cost gold production

Single de-stress slot for late-2013 at the 46/47 level 15

Cornerstone Asset

Strong exploration potential

5 drills to test and extend NXT Zone

Focus on newly discovered structure off of 4699 ramp at the High Grade Zone

E X E C U T I O N .

Page 16: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

RED LAKE - HIGH GRADE ZONE DRILLING Exploration Success – NXT Zone

16 E X E C U T I O N .

Page 17: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

MEXICO

PEÑASQUITO

Gold production

2012A: 411,300 oz

2013E: 360,000 - 400,000 oz

Long term water management study underway – completion expected in 1H’13

17

Mexico’s Largest Gold Producer

Focus on efficiencies & cost reductions

Largest cash flow generator in 2012

22-year mine life

District potential opportunities

PEÑASQUITO

Los Filos

El Sauzal

E X E C U T I O N .

Page 18: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

PUEBLO VIEJO New Source of Gold Production

18

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

Pueblo Viejo

1 Goldcorp interest 40%

First gold production achieved

2012A: 44,700 oz1

2013E: 330,000 - 435,000 oz1

Commercial production declared

E X E C U T I O N .

Annual output 415,000 to 450,000 ounces per year1 in first five years

Life of mine +25 years

Power plant to commence operations in 2013

Page 19: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

ROBUST DEVELOPMENT PIPEL INE

CAMINO ROJO

(SULPHIDES)

PEÑASQUITO UG

El MORRO U/G

CAMINO ROJO

(OXIDES) (2016)

EL MORRO

AGUA RICA

CERRO BLANCO

CERRO NEGRO (2013)

ÉLÉONORE (2014)

COCHENOUR (2015)

PUEBLO VIEJO (2012)

PEÑASQUITO (2010)

LOS FILOS (2008)

MARLIN (2006)

RED LAKE & OTHER

OPERATING MINES*

19

SCOPING

FEASIBILITY

CONSTRUCTION

PRODUCTION

Growth in High Quality Ounces

* PORCUPINE, MUSSELWHITE, EL SAUZAL, ALUMBRERA, MARIGOLD, WHARF

E X E C U T I O N .

Page 20: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

CERRO NEGRO

20

Developing our Next Cornerstone Mine

ARGENTINA

Alumbrera

El Morro

Cerro Negro

E X E C U T I O N .

Updated economics:

525 koz Au annually (1st 5 years)

<$350/oz cash costs (1st 5 years)

Initial capital expenditure of $1.35B

First production late-2013

High grade vein system

Outstanding reserve growth potential

Development & construction advancing

Eureka decline advanced over 2,200m

Mariana Central and Mariana Norte ramp development progressing

Page 21: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

CANADA

ÉLÉONORE

Development plan:

Upper/lower mine concept; 7 ktpd

~ 600,000 oz Au / annually

Initial capital expenditure: $1.75B

First production late-2014

21

Pure Gold in a Safe Jurisdiction

Red Lake

Musselwhite

Porcupine

Éléonore

Cochenour

E X E C U T I O N .

Gaumond exploration shaft completed

Exploration ramp extended over 2,500m; 6 drills underway

Production shaft sinking commenced; depth of 140m

Page 22: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

CANADA

Red Lake

Musselwhite

Porcupine

Éléonore

COCHENOUR

22

Key Growth Driver in Red Lake District

Cochenour

Development plan:

225,000 - 250,000 oz Au / annually

Initial capital expenditure: $540M

First production 1H’15

Shaft widening advancing

E X E C U T I O N .

Haulage drift 70% complete

Exploration advancing

Two u/g drills targeting unexplored potential

Plan to drill ore body at depth by year-end

Page 23: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

CHILE

EL MORRO

23

Long Term Strategic Asset

Cerro Negro

Alumbrera

El Morro

Goldcorp interest 70%

E X E C U T I O N .

Large, under-explored land position

Construction deferred pending:

Reinstatement of permits

Project optimization

Power solution

Page 24: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

WHY GOLD?

24

516%

Central bank buying

Flat mine supply

Stable investment

demand

Safe haven/ asset class Inflation

hedge

Currency protection

Growing physical demand

China factor

Continued debasement of international

currencies

increase over 2000

E X E C U T I O N .

Dec. 31, 2000 – Dec. 31, 2012

12 Consecutive Years of Gold Price Growth - Gold price (per ounce)

2000 2012

Page 25: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

GOLDCORP ADVANTAGE

25

FOCUS ON QUALITY OUNCES

COST MANAGEMENT

PEER-LEADING BALANCE SHEET

RESPONSIBLE MINING PRACTICES

LOW POLITICAL RISK

S U P E R I O R INVESTMENT PROPOSITION

E X E C U T I O N .

Page 26: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

APPENDIX A - 2013 MINE BY MINE GUIDANCE

2013 Guidance

2012 Actual

R e d L a k e 475,000 - 510,000 507,700

P e ñ a s q u i t o 360,000 - 400,000 411,300

L o s F i l o s 340,000 - 350,000 340,400

P u e b l o V i e j o ( 4 0 . 0 % ) 330,000 - 435,000 44,700

P o r c u p i n e 270,000 - 280,000 262,800

M u s s e l w h i t e 250,000 - 260,000 239,200

M a r l i n 185,000 - 200,000 207,300

A l u m b r e r a ( 3 7 . 5 % ) 120,000 - 125,000 136,600

M a r i g o l d ( 6 6 . 7 % ) 95,000 - 100,000 96,300

E l S a u z a l 70,000 - 80,000 81,800

W h a r f 55,000 - 60,000 68,100

To t a l 2,550,000 – 2,800,000 2,396,200 26

Page 27: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

APPENDIX B - 2013 SENSITIVITIES

27

Base Price Change

Increments CFPS

($/share)

By Product Cash Costs

($/oz)

FCF ($mm)

Gold Price ($/oz) $1,600 $100 $0.25 $1 $205

Silver Price ($/oz) $30.00 $3.00 $0.06 $27 $52

Copper Price ($/lb) $3.50 $0.50 $0.04 $17 $32

Zinc Price ($/lb) $0.90 $0.10 $0.03 $11 $21

Lead Price ($/lb) $0.90 $0.10 $0.01 $5 $10

Canadian Dollars 1.00 10% $0.05 $19 $152

Mexican Peso 12.75 10% $0.04 $15 $39

Diesel ($/barrel) $100.00 10% $0.02 $9 $16

Electricity ($/kWh) $0.09 10% $0.02 $11 $20

Page 28: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

28

22%

16%

8% 11%

9%

15%

2%

5%

5% 7%

Labour Contractors Fuel Costs Power Maintenance Parts Consumables Tires Explosives Site Costs Others

38%

17% 6%

5%

8%

11%

2% 3%

6% 4%

CANADA / USA MEXICO CSA

13%

18%

10%

11% 10%

18%

3%

6%

4% 7%

17%

9%

8%

18% 12%

15%

2%

4%

4%

11%

APPENDIX C - OPERATING COSTS BREAKDOWN CONSOLIDATED

Page 29: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

APPENDIX D - GOLD MINERAL RESERVES

29

1. Mineral Reserves are estimated using appropriate recovery rates and US$ commodity prices of $1,350 per ounce of gold, $24 per ounce of silver, $3.00 per pound of copper, $0.80 per pound of lead, and $0.85 per pound of zinc, unless otherwise stated below:

1. Alumbrera $1,400/oz gold and $3.20/lb copper 2. Pueblo Viejo, Dee $1,500/oz gold, $28/oz silver, $3.00/lb copper

GOLDCORP MINERAL RESERVES

(as of December 31, 2012) PROVEN PROBABLE PROVEN & PROBABLE

Ownership Tonnage Grade Contained Tonnage Grade Contained Tonnage Grade Contained

GOLD mt g Au/t m oz mt g Au/t m oz mt g Au/t m oz

Alumbrera 37.5% 78.75 0.36 0.91 2.51 0.23 0.02 81.26 0.36 0.93

Camino Rojo 100.0% - - 66.76 0.76 1.63 66.76 0.76 1.63

Cerro Blanco 100.0% - - - - - -

Cerro Negro 100.0% 0.04 11.08 0.01 18.87 9.43 5.72 18.91 9.43 5.74

Cochenour 100.0% - - - - - -

Dee 40.0% - - 20.42 1.44 0.95 20.42 1.44 0.95

El Morro 70.0% 233.95 0.56 4.24 215.56 0.36 2.49 449.51 0.47 6.73

El Sauzal 100.0% 4.42 1.52 0.22

Eleonore 100.0% - - 12.48 7.56 3.03 12.48 7.56 3.03

Los Filos 100.0% 72.61 0.96 2.25 224.10 0.72 5.18 296.71 0.78 7.43

Marigold 66.7% 23.37 0.68 0.51 173.06 0.50 2.77 196.43 0.52 3.28

Marlin 100.0% 3.52 3.37 0.38 3.91 4.91 0.62 7.44 4.18 1.00

Musselwhite 100.0% 5.26 6.79 1.15 5.97 5.94 1.14 11.23 6.34 2.29

Noche Buena 100.0% - - - - - -

Penasquito Heap Leach 100.0% 32.34 0.15 0.16 87.41 0.13 0.36 119.75 0.13 0.52

Penasquito Mill 100.0% 577.90 0.55 10.27 484.71 0.31 4.90 1,062.60 0.44 15.17

Porcupine 100.0% 27.79 1.57 1.40 80.98 1.13 2.94 108.78 1.24 4.35

Pueblo Viejo 40.0% 13.88 3.49 1.56 96.06 2.74 8.45 109.94 2.83 10.01

Red Lake 100.0% 2.00 11.85 0.76 8.49 9.04 2.47 10.48 9.57 3.23

San Nicolas 21.0% - - - - - -

Wharf 100.0% 10.32 0.81 0.27 11.80 0.82 0.31 22.12 0.82 0.58

Totals 23.87 42.99 67.08

Page 30: Goldcorp Corporate Update-Mar 2013

Endnotes 1. The Company has included non-GAAP performance measures, performance measures, total cash cost per gold ounce and all-in sustaining cash cost per gold ounce,

throughout this presentation. The Company reports both of these measures on a sales basis.

Total cash cost per gold ounce in the gold mining industry is a common performance measure but does not have any standardized meaning, and is a non-GAAP measure.

The Company follows the recommendations of the Gold Institute standard. All-in sustaining cash costs include by-product cash costs, sustaining capital, corporate

general & administrative expenses and exploration expense.

The Company believes that, in addition to conventional measures, prepared in accordance with GAAP, certain investors use this information to evaluate the Company’s

performance and ability to generate cash flow. Accordingly, they are intended to provide additional information and should not be considered in isolation or as a

substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with GAAP.

Production costs in 2013 are allocated to each co-product based on the ratio of actual sales volumes multiplied by budget metals prices of $1,600 per ounce of gold, $30

per ounce of silver, $3.50 per pound of copper, $0.90 per pound of lead and $0.90 per pound of zinc, rather than realized sales prices.

2. All Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources have been estimated as at December 31, 2012 in accordance with the standards of the Canadian Institute of Mining,

Metallurgy and Petroleum and National Instrument 43-101 (“NI 43-101”), or the AusIMM JORC equivalent. These estimates, as well as all other scientific and technical

information relating to Goldcorp’s mineral properties contained herein, have been prepared by employees of Goldcorp, its joint venture partners or its joint venture

operating companies, as applicable, and have been reviewed and approved by Maryse Belanger, P. Geo., Senior Vice-President, Technical Services of Goldcorp, a

“qualified person” for the purposes of NI 43-101. These estimates incorporate current and/or expected mine plans and cost levels at each property. Varying cut-off

grades have been used depending on the mine and type of ore. Goldcorp’s normal data verification procedures have been employed in connection with these estimates.

For a breakdown of Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources by category and for a more detailed description of the key assumptions, parameters and methods used in

calculating Goldcorp’s Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources, please refer to Goldcorp’s most recently filed Annual Information Form/ Form 40-F filed with Canadian

provincial securities regulatory authorities and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

3. Cautionary Note to United States Investors Concerning Estimates of Measured, Indicated and Inferred Resources: United States investors are advised that while such

terms are recognized and required by Canadian regulations, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission does not recognize them. “Inferred Mineral

Resources” have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an Inferred

Mineral Resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of Inferred Mineral Resources may not form the basis of feasibility or other

economic studies. United States investors are cautioned not to assume that all or any part of Goldcorp’s Measured or Indicated Mineral Resources will ever be converted

into Mineral Reserves. United States investors are also cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an Inferred Mineral Resource exists, or is economically or legally

mineable.

30