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Ground-based remote sensing of tropospheric HDO/H 2 O ratio profiles by M. Schneider, F. Hase, and T. Blumenstock. Presentation and validation of an innovative retrieval approach PROFFIT (V9.4) : Motivation: Ground-based FTIR allows monitoring of many trace species - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Ground-based remote sensing of tropospheric HDO/H2O ratio profiles
by M. Schneider, F. Hase, and T. Blumenstock
Presentation and validation of an innovative retrieval approach PROFFIT (V9.4):Motivation: Ground-based FTIR allows monitoring of many trace speciesin the atmosphere. In addition, significant variability in isotopic compositioncan be measured for several species (e.g. O3, H2O, …). Whereas theretrieval of vertical profiles for individual species has reached a high levelof sophistication, codes still lack to support dedicated isotopic retrievalwork. published in Atmos.
Chem. Phys. Discuss., june 2006
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
The additional complication of isotopic retrieval
Target quantity: ratio of the isotopic species as function of altitude
Standard approach: the isotopic species are jointly retrieved from ameasured spectrum and the resulting profiles are compared.
Drawback: AKs of the two species can differ significantly. So the profiles are incompatible. The situation is equivalent to the case of comparing profiles of a certain species measured by different remote sensing instruments (yes, again Rodgers & Connor …).
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
How can VMR-ratios be constrained properly?
The advantages of a log-retrieval (Hase et al.,“intercomparison of retrieval codes…“, JQSRT, 2004):• exclude unreasonable (negative) VMRs• log-normal pdf is superior guess in case of large percentage variability.
These claims have been proven for H2O profile retrievals by careful intercomparison of Izaña FTIR results with sonde data (Schneider et al. ,“water vapour profiles by ground-based FTIR…“, ACP, 2006).
OE / TP methods constrain differences between components of the solution vector and the a-priori vector. Differences between log(VMR) components correspond to ratios of the VMR quantities:
log(a / b) = log(a) - log(b)
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
In the following the possibilities of the PROFFIT Ver. 9.4 isotope retrieval option will be presented:
• Theoretical estimation of precision of HDO/H2O ratios (common approach versus PROFFIT Ver. 9.4)
• Empirical validation and interpretation of HDO/H2O ratios retrieved from spectra measured at Izaña
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
The theoretical error estimation is performed in form of a full treatment (reason: important non-linearities):
1. Forward calculation of assumed HDO and H2O profile pairs
2. Introducing of errors (measurement noise, temperature profile, ILS, spectroscopic parameter, …)
3. Inversion of the simulated spectra
This „Monte Carlo“ error estimation works only if we apply a large ensemble of HDO and H2O profile pairs, which obey the real HDO/H2O statistics !
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
1110 1111 1112 1113
0
1
2
3
4
5
1117,9 1121 1122
1221
0
1
2
3
4
5
1252 1253 1325
abso
lute
radi
ance
s [W
/(cm
2 ste
rad
cm-1)]
meaurement retrieval residuum x10
H2O
x10
wavenumber [cm-1]
H2O
H2O H
2O
abso
lute
radi
ance
s [W
/(cm
2 ste
rad
cm-1)]
HDOCH
4
CH4
wavenumber [cm-1]
HDON
2O
CH4
HDO
Applied spectroscopic windows:
H2O
HDO
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Detection of atmospheric δD variabilities:
The problem:
δD variabilities are very small (σ of 7%, compared to σ of H2O or HDO of 100%) → measurements have to be very precise !
Advantage:
HDO and H2O have some errors in common → these errors are eliminated when calculating the ratio.
Here we examine if a common approach (individual OE of HDO and H2O and subsequent calculation of the ratio) already provides for a satisfactory precision, or if the PROFFIT Ver. 9.4 isotope retrieval option (OE of the ratio itself) has to be applied.
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Smoothing error
Correlation between real profiles and retrieved profiles in the absence of measurement noise and parameter errors:
5 10 15
5
10
15
real atmosphere [km]
retri
eved
atm
osph
ere
[km
]
-0,64-0,52-0,400,400,520,640,760,881,00
D profiles: real vs. retrieved
5 10 15
5
10
15
real atmosphere [km]
retri
eved
atm
osph
ere
[km
]
-0,64-0,52-0,400,400,520,640,760,881,00
common approach PROFFIT v9.4
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
5 10 15
5
10
15
real atmosphere [km]
retri
eved
atm
osph
ere
[km
]
-0,64-0,52-0,400,400,520,640,760,881,00
D profiles: real vs. retrieved
5 10 15
5
10
15
common approach PROFFIT v9.4
real atmosphere [km]
retri
eved
atm
osph
ere
[km
]
-0,64-0,52-0,400,400,520,640,760,881,00
Total error
Correlation between real profiles and retrieved profiles for a realistic error scenario:
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Theoretical random error estimation (summary)
error source total column 2.3-4.3km 5.3-8.3km 6.4-10.0km
smoothing 2 (2) 4 (8) 31 (66) 52 (76)
measurement noise
2 (3) 3 (23) 17 (74) 12 (75)
phase error (ILS)
0 (0) 0 (1) 0 (1) 1 (4)
T profile 0 (0) 0 (8) 1 (22) 1 (14)
γ (correlated) 0 (1) 2 (9) 13 (17) 5 (11)
γ (inconsistent) 2 (2) 14 (51) 44 (92) 34 (63)
total 3 (4) 15 (57) 50 (99) 61 (100)
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Total error
5
10
15
0 50 100
5
10
15
0 50 100
common approach PROFFIT v9.4
random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
total random errors
random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
Precision of common approach only allows us to retrieve the δD variability in the boundary layer.
The PROFFIT Ver. 9.4 isotope retrieval option improves the precision of δD in the boundary layer and enables the retrieval of the δD variability in the middle/upper troposphere.
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Comparison of mean δD profiles as obtained by Ehhalt (1974) and by our measurements
5
10
15
-500 -400 -300 -200 -100
Ehhalt 1974 FTIR FTIR with assumed
line shape error
D [o/oo
]
altit
ude
[km
]
We find indications of an inconsistency in the line shape of HDO and H2O !
→ improving the quality of the spectroscopic data would further improve the precision of the retrieved δD values
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
single measurement 3 months running mean
D [0 / 00
]
2005 2006
lower troposphere (2.3-5.3km)
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M
D [0 / 00
]
middle/upper troposphere (5.3-8.8km)
higher latitude or strongly descending airmasses
tropical airmasses
Remote sensing of water vapour isotope ratios above Izaña Observatory:
middle/upper tropospheric δD is a good tracer for origin of airmass
annual cycle in lower troposphere is correlated to sea surface temperature
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Middle/upper tropospheric trajectories for 15th July and 17th September 2005:
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Middle/upper tropospheric trajectories for 10th August and 30th November 2005:
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Typical middle/upper tropospheric trajectories (3rd July 2005):
Conclusion of validation:
1. The PROFFIT Ver. 9.4 isotope retrieval option yields middle/upper tropospheric δD values with a precision of 50%
2. Middle/upper tropospheric δD gives us information about the static stability of the atmosphere where the airmass comes from (see also Gedzelman, 1988)
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
-400 -300 -200 -100 0-400
-300
-200
-100
0
IFS
125
HR
D [0 / 00
]
IFS 120M D [0/00
]
Comparison of measurements performed within 1 h
D(125HR)-D(120M): 10 +/- 28 0/00
-> empirically obtained error due to measurement noise: 19 0/
00
Consistency for measurements performed side-by-side with two different FTIR spectrometer:
for the middle/upper troposphere (5.3-8.8km)
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
IFS 120M IFS 125HR mean + std of JJA
D (5
.3-8
.8km
)
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
7 year time series of middle/upper tropospheric δD in the subtropical eastern Atlantic:
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Summary and outlook:• PROFFIT Ver. 9.4 isotope retrieval option allows for the detection of middle/upper tropospheric δD (common approach doesn’t) !
• Middle tropospheric δD can also be retrieved from lower situated sites (not limited to mountain observatories)
• Method has a wide range of application: isotope ratios for O3, CH4, CO2 (among others); adaptation to satellite codes
• still to do: detailed interpretation of δD time series:
middle tropospheric δD as index for low static stability in the troposphere, correlation with NAO, ENSO ?
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Thank You !!!!!
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
The additional complication of isotopic retrieval
Possible practical approaches:• Accept profiles as given, apply full intercomparison formalism when
comparing deduced ratios to model predictions.Elaborate post processing, no stand-alone FTIR data product!
• Iterative scheme: main isotope result serves as a-priori for the others.Scatter in ratios is reduced, but no reliable scheme, as main
isotope AKs imprinted on updated a-priori. Only partial back propagation of the full solution state to the main isotope!
(Forget about cycling back and forth: beware of “Rodgers trap”)
• Optimal scheme: Retrieve the full solution state, add expected correlation between isotopes as additional constraint!
Individual sensitivities of the isotopes are fully exploited in construction of the full solution state, OE solution for ratio results!
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
5
10
15
-0,9 -0,8 -0,7 -0,6 -0,5 -0,4 -0,3 -0,2 -0,1 0,0
D [0/00
]
ln([D/1000]+1)
altit
ude
[km
]
Ehhalt, 1974 (Queen Air)
Ehhalt, 1974 (Sabreliner)
applied in this work
-600 -500 -400 -300 -200 -100 0
Measurements of HDO/H2O ratios are rare. Most extensive dataset is from Ehhalt (1974):
5 10 15
5
10
15
altitude [km]
altit
ude
[km
]
-0,64-0,52-0,400,400,520,640,760,881,00
D interlevel correlations
median δD profile: inter-level correlation of δD values:
→ we derive HDO/H2O statistics from Ehhalt (1974) measurements and simulate an ensemble of 500 profile pairs
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
HDO/H2O ratio is commonly expressed in form of δD, which is the relative difference of the actual HDO/H2O ratio to a standard ratio (Rs= 3.1152 x 10-4):
2
s
[HDO]/H O]δD = 1000 -1R
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Consistency for measurements performed within 6h
A pair of measurements performed within several hours is only partly representative for the highly variable atmospheric conditions encountered on different days or months. This consistency check should underestimate the overall precision.
lower troposphere: 31% precision → in disagreement with theoretical estimation of 15% ! Reason: in boundary layer exist large variabilities of δD on small time scales
middle/upper troposphere: 37% precision → in agreement with theoretical estimation of 50%
-500 -400 -300 -200 -100-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
-500 -400 -300 -200 -100-500
-400
-300
-200
-100N=57=30.9 % (est.:<15%)
D u
p to
6h
late
r [0 / 00
]
D [0/00]
lower troposphere (2.3-5-3km) middle/upper troposphere (5.3-8.8km)
D u
p to
6h
late
r [0 / 00
]
D [0/00]
N=57=37 % (est.:<50%)
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
-500 -400 -300 -200 -100 0-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
-500 -400 -300 -200 -100-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
^slope:x/x
^xx
retri
eved
D [0 / 00
]
real D [0/00
]
erro
r [0 / 00
]
retrieved D [0/00
]
-600 -400 -200 0 200-600
-400
-200
0
200
-600 -400 -200 0 200
-200
-100
0
100
200^
D re
triev
ed w
ith e
rror
[0 / 00]
D retrieved without error [0/00
]
offset: x-x
xx^
slope: x/x
^___
offs
et c
orre
cted
err
or [0 / 00
]
offset corrected D [0/00
]
Error estimation by means of linear least squares fit
Smoothing error:
no mean error (no offset) → no systematic error ?No ! Systematic sensitivity error (slope of regression line < 1) !
Spectroscopic pressure broadening coefficient error:
mean and systematic error
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Errors are estimated by least squares fits between real and retrieved δD:
random error component:scattering around the regression curve:
_ 21reg
x
Smoothing error
5
10
15
0 50 100
5
10
15
0 50 100
random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
common approach PROFFIT v9.4
smoothing errors (random)
^random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
systematic error component:
difference of regression curve from diagonal: offset (mean error) and slope (sensitivity error)
Smoothing error
5
10
15
-25 0 25
5
10
15
-25 0 25
5
10
15
-100 -50 0 50
5
10
15
-100 -50 0 50
common approach PROFFIT v9.4
mean error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
smoothing error (systematic)
mean
mean error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
sensitivity error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
sensitivity
sensitivity error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Measurement noise error
5
10
15
0 50 100
5
10
15
0 50 100
common approach PROFFIT v9.4measurement noise (random)
random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
This error is not common for HDO and H2O → error is not eliminated in the ratio when common retrieval is applied
Inter-species constraint forces common response of HDO and H2O → reduced error in the ratio
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Measurement noise error
Common approach no OE of δD → random error source produces systematic error!
PROFFIT isotope retrieval option provides for OE of δD → random error source produces only random errors
5
10
15
-25 0 25
5
10
15
-25 0 25
5
10
15
-50 0 50
5
10
15
-50 0 50
mean
measurement noise (systematic)
mean error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
common approach PROFFIT v9.4
mean error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
sensitivity
sensitivity error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
sensitivity error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Temperature error
5
10
15
0 50
5
10
15
0 5
common approach PROFFIT v9.4temperature profile (random)
random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
Systematic error of the common approach below 5%
Error in HDO and H2O similar → already in common approach δD error below 25%
Isotope retrieval option further equalises error responses of HDO and H2O → very small error in δD
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
ILS (instrumental line shape) error
5
10
15
0 5
5
10
15
0 5
common approach PROFFIT v9.4
phase error (random)
random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
Systematic error of the common approach below 1%
Error in HDO and H2O common → already in common approach negligible δD error
Isotope retrieval option further equalises error responses of HDO and H2O → even smaller error in δD
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Correlated errors of line shape of H2O and HDOThis systematic error source leads to random errors in δD due to non-linearities.
The error source is common for HDO and H2O, but HDO and H2O lines have different sensitivities, responses → error is not completely eliminated in ratio when common retrieval is applied
Inter-species constraint forces common response of HDO and H2O → reduced δD error for unsaturated H2O lines
For saturated lines sensitivities of HDO and H2O are too different → also large error when inter-species constraint is applied
5
10
15
0 50 100
5
10
15
0 50 100
common approach PROFFIT v9.4
random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
correlated error (random)
random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Correlated errors of line shape of H2O and HDO
Systematic errors are larger for common approach
5
10
15
-50 0 50
5
10
15
-50 0 50
5
10
15
-50 0 50
5
10
15
-50 0 50
meancorrelated error (systematic)
mean error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
common approach PROFFIT v9.4
mean error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
sensitivity
sensitivity error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
sensitivity error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Inconsistency in line shape of H2O and HDO (γ(HDO) 2% increased)
This systematic error source leads to random errors in δD due to non-linearities.
The error source is not common for HDO and H2O → large error when common retrieval is applied
Inter-species constraint forces common response of HDO and H2O → reduced error in ratio for unsaturated H2O lines, but still large
5
10
15
0 50 100
5
10
15
0 50 100
common approach PROFFIT v9.4
random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
inconsistencies in (random)
random error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
Inconsistency in line shape of H2O and HDO (γ(HDO) 2% increased)
Systematic errors are larger for common approach
5
10
15
-100 -50 0 50 100
5
10
15
-100 -50 0 50 100
5
10
15
-100 0 100 200
5
10
15
-100 0 100 200
mean
inconsistencies in (systematic)
mean error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
common approach PROFFIT v9.4
mean error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
sensitivity
sensitivity error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
sensitivity error [%]
altit
ude
[km
]
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
5 10 15
5
10
15
H2O profiles: sonde vs. FTIR
sonde atmosphere [km]
FTIR
atm
osph
ere
[km
]
-0,64-0,52-0,400,400,520,640,760,881,00
5 10 15
5
10
15
sonde atmosphere [km]
FTIR
atm
osph
ere
[km
]-0,64-0,52-0,400,400,520,640,760,881,00
5 10 15
5
10
15
sonde atmosphere [km]
FTIR
atm
osph
ere
[km
]
-0,64-0,52-0,400,400,520,640,760,881,00
5 10 15
5
10
15
common approach PROFFIT v9.4
LT s
lant
< 5
x1021
cm-2
L
T sl
ant <
2.5
x1022
cm-2
sonde atmosphere [km]
FTIR
atm
osph
ere
[km
]
-0,64-0,52-0,400,400,520,640,760,881,00
Empirical validation of H2O profiles: ptu-sonde vs. FTIR:
Inter-species constraint not only improves quality of δD profiles but also quality of H2O profile:
H2O retrieval benefits from additional information present in HDO lines
Detection of UT/LS H2O with the proposed lines ?For a definitive conclusion we need a larger ensemble of compared profiles (the correlation shown here bases on only 7 profiles) !
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
120M ↔ 125HR intercomparison (January, March, and April 2005)
Lower troposphere: for measurements within 1h 12% error → in slight disagreement with theoretical estimation of 3%.
Middle/upper troposphere: for measurements within 3h 21% error → in best agreement with theoretical estimation of 17%
-500 -400 -300 -200 -100-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
-500 -400 -300 -200 -100-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
lower troposphere (2.3-5-3km) middle/upper troposphere (5.3-8.8km)
D 1
20H
R [0 / 00
]
D 120M [0/00]
(N=33)N=17=12 % (est.: 3%)
D 1
20H
R [0 / 00
]
D 120M [0/00]
N=33=20.7% (est.: 17%)
This intercomparison allows an empirical assessment of the error due to measurement noise !
It confirms that the boundary layer δD value varies strongly on small timescales.
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhein der Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft
NDACC H2O workshop, Bern, July 2006
0 5 10 15 20 25 30-400
-350
-300
-250
-200
-150
JJA
mea
n +
std
of D
in M
T at
Izan
a [0 / 00
]
number of days with hurricane, trop. storm, or trop. depression south of 25°N and east of 50°W
Is there a correlation with hurricane activity ??