Halcon Apollo Case Study

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Outlines the Halcon / Apollo deal in the TMS.

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  • Halcn Resources Corporation

    Comparable Analysis

    Geography

    Management Questions

    Liquidity

    Halcn represents a buy opportunity due to near-term value from positive operational results in the Bakken and

    El Halcn generating stable growth and attractive returns, which will de-lever the balance sheet, as well as

    longer-term value with the addition of drilling inventory in the prospective TMS.

    Your well results are regularly out-performing your type curve assumptions. Would you say your type curve guidance is conservative? How do you think about revisions to these assumptions?

    You have indicated that target leverage is between 3.0x 3.5x, however Halcn is currently at 5.1x. In light of this, could you tell us how you think about the time frame for reducing leverage, financing plan for growth spending, and if you see leverage as an impediment?

    Halcn has a balanced portfolio of core assets from a stable, mature, major basin in the Bakken, to a young, highly prospective position in the TMS. Could you let us know how you think about allocating resources across this portfolio (or outside this portfolio), and where you see future growth coming from?

    EBITDAX Firm Value

    Share Shares EV FV 2014E 2015E 2014E 2015E

    Company Price (mm) ($mm) ($mm) ($MM) ($MM) EBITDA (x) EBITDA (x)

    Ha lc on Re sourc e s $6.22 420.477 $3,032 $6,271 $786 $943 8.0x 6.7x

    Gulfport Ene rgy 63.21 85.427 5,434 5,224 466 757 11.2 6.9

    Goodric h Pe trole um 27.79 44.281 1,586 2,085 156 267 13.4 7.8

    SM Ene rgy 76.28 67.058 5,162 6,525 1,650 1,765 4.0 3.7

    Peer Mean $757 $930 9.5x 6.1x

    Peer Median 466 757 11.2 6.9

    Ha lc on Ta rge t $ 8 .0 7 420.477 $3,392 $6,632 $786 $943 9.5x 6.1x

    Comps selected for size and geographic comparability

    Gulfport is most indicative of a mature Halcn (takeout target for larger player looking for turnkey investment)

    Significant inventory of drillable locations, with 90% of capex invested in type curve areas producing IRRs of 50% or more

    Premier acreage in mature basins which consistently outperforms type curve assumptions due to efficiencies in completion optimization and downspacing

    ~316,000 acres in the TMS represents potential upside if proven

    Operating synergies with El Halcn due to the proximity and reservoir similarity

    Short distance from El Halcn and the TMS to the Gulf Coast reduces transportation costs to a premium commodity hub

    Halcn currently trades at a discount to NAV

    While at present over levered, effectively no maturities until 2020

    Recent Apollo JV shows capacity for flexible financing that does not further burden the balance sheet

    Oil weighted asset portfolio and active hedging program limits effect of swings in commodity price on liquidity

    Woodbine sale was a step in the right direction, but hard to let go of EBITDA

    Biggest risk to HK is drop in commodity price

    Lower price not only slows EBITDA growing into debt, but also leads to redetermination of borrowing base

  • Strategic Actions

    Divestment of Non-core Utica Acreage

    Halcn / Apollo Joint Venture

    Risk / Preferred Return

    Play Delineation / Royalty Upside

    8% Preferred Dividend

    4% ORI in 75 TMS wells

    $150mm of development capital

    Halcn Rationale Apollo Rationale

    Transfers the capital risk of delineating a new play away from the Company

    The financing structure does not burden the balance sheet with additional debt, nor does it dilute current common shareholders

    After initial exploration capital is spent on single well drilling, Halcon will have established windows in which to invest its own development capital

    Potential to unlock a third core area with a significant number of drilling locations

    Further divestment in 2014 highly unlikely as Halcn has already completed ~$500mm in divestments this year

    135,000 140,000 acres targeting the Utica / Point Pleasant shales in North East Ohio and North West Pennsylvania

    Currently six producing wells with production of 328 boe/d, and only 0.1 MMboe of proved reserves which makes the borrowing base impact insignificant

    While Halcn considered the Utica a core assets not long ago, their initial well results there have been disappointing, while the Core focus has shifted much farther south

    Northern Utica is nothing more than prospective, a position which the TMS already occupies Halcns portfolio with much greater potential based on initial well results

    Assuming $5,000 per acre and given the large acreage position, there is significant value locked in the Utica which could be more efficiently invested

    Other contemplated divestments: non-op Bakken production and Austin Chalk gas assets

    Halcns acreage in

    Trumbull &

    Mahoning

    Apollos assumption of risk is compensated by a guaranteed return with the preferred dividend of 8%

    In addition, the 4% overriding royalty interest represents an attractive upside to participate in the TMS

    Option to upsize investment to $400mm and 2% overriding royalty on 200 TMS wells, contingent upon satisfactory initial results