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Peter PangDeputy Chief Executive
Hong Kong Monetary Authority
8 May 2012Presented at Treasury Markets Association Luncheon
Hong Kong: Asia's Premier Asset Management Centre Opportunities for the Treasury Market
2
“Twin engines” to propel Hong Kong to new heights as international financial centre
Asia-Pacific Region
Premier Asset Management centre
Propelling HK’s development as
Offshore RMB centre
Fast economic growth and wealth creation
+
Financial market liberalization in China
1. Hong Kong’s asset management industry: where do we stand?
2. How far can we go?
� Favourable macro trends
� Hong Kong’s competitive edge
3. Opportunities for treasury market participants
4. Joint efforts by public and private sectors to promote Hong Kong as Asia’s premier asset management centre
Hong Kong: Asia's Premier Asset Management Centre Opportunities for the Treasury Market
3
1. Hong Kong’s asset management industry: where do we stand?
2. How far can we go?
� Favourable macro trends
� Hong Kong’s competitive edge
3. Opportunities for treasury market participants
4. Joint efforts by public and private sectors to promote Hong Kong as Asia’s premier asset management centre
Hong Kong: Asia's Premier Asset Management Centre Opportunities for the Treasury Market
4
5
Hong Kong’s strong foundation as an asset management centre
World leader in equity Initial Public Offering (IPO)
Leading hub for hedge funds investing in Asia
Second largest hub for Private Equity funds in Asia
Asia’s private banking hub
Premier offshore RMB business centre
Largest hub for QFII and QDII managers
Hong Kong and Mainland dominated global IPOs
26.2
16.3
31.4
19.2
10.7
36.1
HKEx Shenzhen Shanghai NYSE London NASDAQ
US+UK(US$61.3bn)
China(US$78.6bn)
6
IPO funds raised in 2011
Source: Exchange websites, Dealogic
7Source: AsiaHedge
� Hong Kong currently hosts the largest pool of hedge fund assets that are invested in Asia.
� No.1 in terms of number of start-up hedge funds launched in Asia in 2011.
Leading hub for hedge funds investing in Asia
38.9
31.5
2419.5
11.7 10.8
4.6 3.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Hon
g Kon
g
Austra
lia
US-b
ased
HF w
ith A
sian
stra
tegi
es
Singa
pore
UK-b
ased
HF w
ith A
sian
stra
tegi
es
Japa
n
Oth
ers
Chi
na
Asset Size of Hedge Funds invested in Asia
(by location of manager)
US$ billion
Second largest hub for private equity funds in Asia
Hong Kong ranked second in Asia with US$63 billion CuM in 2010, accounting for 21.6% of the Asia’s total, only slightly behind Mainland China's 22.6% and ahead of Japan's 14.2%.
Mainland China and Hong Kong together manage nearly half of the private equity funds in Asia.
Ongoing financial liberalization by Mainland authorities will attract more overseas PE capital into the Mainland, …
… and Mainland enterprises will also use Hong Kong PE managers to seek more PE opportunities overseas.
The strong IPO market also provides favourable exit options for PE funds.
Source: AVCJ 8
9
Growing HNWI population in Mainland China and Hong Kong
Hong Kong as preferred choice for Mainland Chinese HNWIs, given their home bias nature.
Superior private banking platform and sound investor protection framework
Political and economic stability makes Hong Kong the ideal private banking centre for clients.
Hong Kong’s stable and flexible financial platform can offer private clients a full array of capital market products.
Asia’s private banking hub
10
� Largest pool of offshore RMB liquidity
� Largest offshore RMB bond market (dim sum bond market)
� Global hub for RMB trade settlement
� Vibrant CNH market of increasing depth
� Unique RMB clearing and settlement system with a global footprint
Premier offshore RMB business centre
11
Largest hub for QFII and QDII managers
Source: CSRC
QFII
� China has granted QFII qualifications to more than 150 foreign institutional investors.
� More than 100 of them have offices in Hong Kong already.
R-QFII
� Since Dec 2011, China has granted R-QFII qualifications to 21 managers located in Hong Kong.
QDII
� More than 30 mainland fund managers have been awarded with QDII qualifications.
� More than 15 of them have set up offices in Hong Kong since 2009.
1. Hong Kong’s asset management industry: where do we stand?
2. How far can we go?
� Favourable macro trends
� Hong Kong’s competitive edge
3. Opportunities for treasury market participants
4. Joint efforts by public and private sectors to promote Hong Kong as Asia’s premier asset management centre
Hong Kong: Asia's Premier Asset Management Centre Opportunities for the Treasury Market
12
Still far behind London and New York
63
1,100
63
26
71
442
1.3
Hong Kong
10
53
4
28
220
1.1
Singapore
400
11,500 (New York)
799 (New York)
891
10,867
26.2
U.S.
4,900Domestically sourced (US$ billion) 2010
343 (London)Hedge funds AuM(US$ billion)*
67ETF AuM 2010 (US$ billion)
173
7,000 (London)
PE/VC funds Capital Under Management (2010) (US$ billion)
employment by PE/VCs
935Mutual funds AuM 2010 (US$ billion)
7.4Asset under management(US$ trillion) 2010
U.K.
13Source: Black Rock, BVCA, Cerulli Associates, MAS,
SFC, The City of New York, TheCityUKNote: Hedge Fund AUM: Hong Kong and Singapore are 2010 figures; UK and US are 2011 figures
14
Hong Kong’s asset management industry needs to increase diversity and value-add
Source: TheCityUK, Investment Company Institute (U.S.),
Investment Management Association (U.K.), SFC
10%Core asset managementactivities
Sales & marketing
Fund administration
Others
27% 28%
Hong Kong U.K.
Job functions in asset management industry
(% of industry employment)
Note: Figures of HK are employment in fund management business. Figures of the U.K. are based on staffs directly-employed by the asset management industry, and exclude employment from outsourced services. Figures of the U.S. are based on staffs employed by the mutual
fund industry (i.e. mutual funds, closed-end funds, ETFs, unit investment trusts and their service providers).
U.S.
Core asset management activities include fund management, research and trading/dealing.
1. Hong Kong’s asset management industry: where do we stand?
2. How far can we go?
� Favourable macro trends
� Hong Kong’s competitive edge
3. Opportunities for treasury market participants
4. Joint efforts by public and private sectors to promote Hong Kong as Asia’s premier asset management centre
Hong Kong: Asia's Premier Asset Management Centre Opportunities for the Treasury Market
15
Source: 2011 Asia-Pacific Wealth Report, Capgemini and
Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management16
3.3 2.8 3.13.4
3.3
3.1
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
North America Asia-Pacific Europe
2007 2010People (million)
3% growth 18% growth0% growth
Pool of high net worth individuals (HNWI) in Asia growing
Growing need for quality
asset management services
230
176
154137
7868
54 50
27 22 175
0
50
100
150
200
250
US
Japa
nEur
ope
Austra
liaKor
eaTai
wan
Brazi
lM
alay
sia
Indi
aTha
iland
Chi
naR
ussi
a
% of GDP Institutionalized assets
(2010)
Number of HNWIs by region
Note 1: “Institutional asset” is defined to include pension funds, insurance assets and mutual fundsNote2 : HNWI are defined as those having investable assets of US$1 million or more, excluding primary residence, collectibles, consumables ,and consumer durables
Source: Goldman Sachs
17Source: Deloitte and Oxford Economics
Hong Kong benefits from China’s phenomenal growth and home bias of Mainland investors
118515
3,758
390
1,198
7,298
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
1990 2000 2011
Trade and Foreign Direct Investment GDP
US$ billion
Growth in HNWI population and wealth
(Mainland China and Hong Kong)Growth in Trade and FDI
2.0
4.23.7
13.9
Number of HNWI (million) Wealth of HNWI (US$ trillion)
2010 2020 projection
Source: IMF, HKMA
Note: “Institutional asset” is defined to include pension funds, insurance assets and mutual funds
18
Demand for quality financial advice rises along with higher income
0
50
100
150
200
250
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000
GDP per capita (US$, 2010)
Institutionalized funds
(% of GDP, 2010)
US
JapanEurope
Australia
Korea
TaiwanBrazil
Malaysia
Russia
China
Thailand
India
• In 2011, China’s GDP per capita reached US$5,400
• The amount of institutionalized assets is less than 20% of GDP (as of 2010)
• The IMF predicts China’s GDP per capita will reach US$9,153 by 2017.
• This is nearing to Malaysia’s GDP per capita in 2011 (US$9,700), where the institutionalized assets as share of GDP is around 50%.
• According to Cerulli Associates, Mainland China’s mutual fund industry’s AUM will reach US$716 billion by 2015, from just over US$400 billion in 2011.
Source: IMF, Goldman Sachs
19Source: Goldman Sachs
Emerging Asia to attract more global capital, as economy size grows
Asia-ex-Japan’s market share of the world
% of world total
16%
21%
8.00%
27%31%
13%
37%40%
22%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
GDP Equity Market Cap MSCI World Wgt
2010 2020E 2030E
rising share in global economydeeper capital markets
more portfolio allocation
The rise of emerging markets, especially Asia, is changing asset allocations globally.
1. Hong Kong’s asset management industry: where do we stand?
2. How far can we go?
� Favourable macro trends
� Hong Kong’s competitive edge
3. Opportunities for treasury market participants
4. Joint efforts by public and private sectors to promote Hong Kong as Asia’s premier asset management centre
Hong Kong: Asia's Premier Asset Management Centre Opportunities for the Treasury Market
20
21
Hong Kong’s fundamental strengths
Fundamental strengths
Rule of lawOpenness
Simple tax systemRobust regulatory regime
Deep talent poolAdvanced financial
infrastructure
First mover advantage
Developing Renminbibusiness
since 2004
Uniqueadvantage
Mainland China as a hinterland
Source: CSRC, SAFE 22
HK stands at the doorway of capital flows between China andthe rest of the world
QF
II
QD
II
As of March 2012:96 QDII’s granted
Approved QDII: US$75 billion
As of March 2012: 158 QFII’s granted
Approved QFII: US$24.5 billion
As of January 2012:21 RQFII’sgranted
Approved RQFII:RMB20 billion
R-Q
FII
MAINLAND CHINA
REST OF THE WORLD
• Three main bridges to drive capital flows with the rest of the world:
1. Trade, 2. Direct Investments 3. Portfolio Investments
• On portfolio investments:• QFII• RMB-QFII• QDII
Net RMB trade Net RMB trade
inflows enlarge RMB inflows enlarge RMB
liquidity poolliquidity pool
Investment Investment
opportunities opportunities
encourage RMB trade encourage RMB trade
settlementsettlement
RMB trade settlement centre
RMB wealth management
centre
RMB financing centre
Diversification of Diversification of
RMB financial RMB financial
productsproducts
Expanded Trade Settlement Scheme
RQFII & Mainland interbank bond market FDI
23
Three bridges forming a virtuous circle of RMB flows
Next phase is to build critical mass for HK’s RMB capital market.
The development path is multi-dimensional –
24
Locality
Capital markets
Key players Fund raisers, investors, intermediaries
Bond market, bank loans, equity market, wealth management products
Activities within HK and its interface with the restof the world
Deepening Hong Kong’s RMB capital market
1. Hong Kong’s asset management industry: where do we stand?
2. How far can we go?
� Favourable macro trends
� Hong Kong’s competitive edge
3. Opportunities for treasury market participants
4. Joint efforts by public and private sectors to promote Hong Kong as Asia’s premier asset management centre
Hong Kong: Asia's Premier Asset Management Centre Opportunities for the Treasury Market
25
Role: To bring the demand and the supply sides together
26
Asset management industry and treasury markets are intertwined
� Seek value assets from the market to grow their asset base
� Manage the asset-liability balance, risk-hedging functions and cash flows for their companies
Asset Managers Treasurers
Common need: deep and efficient capital market in HK
Intermediaries
27
Being the premier asset management centre in Asia brings tremendous benefits to the treasury industry
↑↑↑↑ Portfolio investment inflows
↑↑↑↑ Size and liquidity of capital markets
↑↑↑↑ Investment products
↑↑↑↑ Financial products and hedging instruments
↑↑↑↑ Financial intermediaries activities
Asset-liability management
Investment/trading
Funding/cash management
Risk management
Interest rate
liquidity
Forex
Support clients’ treasury operations
Premier Asset Management Centre
Treasury Market Operations
1. Hong Kong’s asset management industry: where do we stand?
2. How far can we go?
� Favourable macro trends
� Hong Kong’s competitive edge
3. Opportunities for treasury market participants
4. Joint efforts by public and private sectors to promote Hong Kong as Asia’s premier asset management centre
Hong Kong: Asia's Premier Asset Management Centre Opportunities for the Treasury Market
28
29
“Two-pronged” strategy
Platform Building
OutreachCampaign
HKMA has been taking a proactive “two-pronged” strategy:
� Outreach campaigns: to promote Hong Kong's strengths as an international asset management centre
� Platform building: to address issues impeding Hong Kong’s development
30
Service Providers
Framework of marketing strategy
End Investors -Asset Owners
Intermediariesand Managers
Private WealthPension FundsEndowments/ FoundationsInsurance Sovereign Wealth FundsCentral Bank
Investment AdvisorsConsultantsFund of FundsMoney ManagersHedge FundsPrivate Equity
Fund AdministratorCustodian BanksDealer BrokersLawyersAccountantsTrust Services
We are constantly refining our outreach strategies, taking into account the latest market trends and the feedback from our discussions with the industry
In particular, we have categorized our marketing targets into three broad groups:
Asset allocation process:
End Investors-asset owners dictate business flows for asset managers
Service providers follow the capital flows of the other players
31
Ongoing enhancement of our platform
Tax
Hong Kong has a simple, reliable and low tax system
Only three direct taxes on profits, salaries and property
No sales / withholding / capital gain / dividend / estate taxes
Rapidly expanding Double Tax Treaties network
Modernization of trust law
FSTB just launched a 2-month consultation on the detailed legislative proposals on Trust Law reform in March 2012
Review of private banking regulations
HKMA/SFC are reviewing the regulations with a view to adopting requirements that are more compatible with the conduct of private wealth management business
32
Ongoing enhancement of soft infrastructure
Increase in supply of international schools
With recent allocation of greenfield sites to four international schools, additional 3,500 school spaces expected from school year 2012-2013 onwards*
Pipeline of new office spaces gradually coming through
Kowloon East under development into another central business district
Air quality
*Legislative Council Panel on Education: Provision of international school places [LC Paper No. CB(2)968/11-12(03)]
Role of the private sector:
Contribute to the policy discussion by providing feedback
Diversify product innovation while maintaining high investor protection standards
Train talents to ensure strong pipeline of financial professionals to meet growing demand
TMA can play a key role in enhancing Hong Kong’s competitiveness as an international financial centre
e.g. launched spot USD/CNY(HK) fixing in 2011, standardization of documentation for RMB trade-related activities etc
Working groups: RMB market development, ETF etc.
New working group on corporate treasury industry developments
Continuous teaching programs to train local talents
33
Promoting and Enhancing HK’s competitive edge as Asia’s Premier Asset Management Centre
Thank you
34