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1 Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009 Matthew K. Rose Chairman, President and CEO Transportation for Tomorrow

Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

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Transportation for Tomorrow. Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009 . Matthew K. Rose Chairman, President and CEO. BNSF in Texas. 2. BNSF in Houston. 3. Running a railroad through recession to recovery – Volumes. Percent change Year over Year. 2008. 2009. 2006. 2007. 4. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

1

Houston Economic ClubMay 18, 2009

Matthew K. RoseChairman, President and CEO

Transportation for Tomorrow

Page 2: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

2

BNSF in Texas

Page 3: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

3

BNSF in Houston

Page 4: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

4

Running a railroad through recession to recovery – Volumes

2006 2007 2008

Percent change Year over Year

0.9%

3.5% 3.3%

0.9%

-2.9% -3.6% -3.3%-2.2% -2.2% -2.4% -2.5%

-8.9%

-14.4%-16.0%

-14.0%-12.0%

-10.0%

-8.0%

-6.0%-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%4.0%

6.0%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2009

Page 5: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

U.S. infrastructure supports millions of supply chains

Miles of Supply Chain:46,837 miles of Interstate Highways

173,000+ miles of railroad tracks

Daily Supply Chain Volume:•43 million tons of goods•Valued at $29 billion•12 billion ton-miles

Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Let’s Rebuild America

Class 1 RailroadsInterstate Highways

Page 6: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

And keeps the economy running

Page 7: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

We know the future will bring more… 2030 Growth Projections

Source: Global Insights, AASHTO, FHWA

U.S. population expected to grow to 364 million VMT to grow by 150 percent Freight rail to increase by 92 percent

Page 8: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

Capacity is shrinking

US Highway and Rail Networks System Miles and Volumes

5060708090

100110120130140150160170180190200210

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005Highway - VMT Highway - Lane-miles Rail - RTM Rail - Track-miles

Source: National Rail Freight Infrastructure Capacity and Investment Study September 2007 and AAR

Page 9: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

Year

600

Gap to Maintain = $50 Billion per year (through 2015)

100

200

300

400

500

2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030

Year

-of-E

xpen

ditu

re D

olla

rs (i

n B

illio

ns)

Gap to Improve = $107 Billion per year (through 2015)Revenue

Cost toMaintain

Cost toImprove

Source: U.S. Chamber of Commerce

We have a national funding gap for all surface transportation

Page 10: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

10

Railroad Spending on Way & Structures vs. State Highway Agency Spending

Total (billions)1. Texas $7.572. Florida $5.693. California $4.19 Union Pacific $4.17

BNSF Railway $3.894. New York $3.595. Pennsylvania $3.306. Illinois $3.30

CSX $2.627. Michigan $2.618. North Carolina $2.489. Ohio $2.14

Norfolk Southern $2.1210. Georgia $1.88

Page 11: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

11

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, AAR

Capital Expenditures as % of Revenue: Avg. 1997-2006

Railroads: Far More Capital Intensive Than Other Industries

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

Class I RRs All Mfrg. Nonmet.Min. Prod.

Computers Paper Plastics &Rubber

Chemicals WoodProducts

MotorVehicles

Petr. & CoalProd.

Page 12: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Engineering Expansion Mechanical Other Locomotive

Capital CommitmentsCapital Commitments with ROIC$ Millions

$2,258

$2,520$2,265

$1,763$1,608 $1,505

$1,726

$1,988$2,179

$ Millions

ROIC

6.2% 6.2%

7.6%

9.6%9.5% 9.7% 9.4%

7.2%

8.8% $2,670 $2,593

10.8%10.0%

$2,850

2002-2007: ROIC is restated to reflect the change in methodology for discounting operating leases.

10.7%

Page 13: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

13

Class I RR Cost of Capital vs. Return on Investment

0%2%4%6%8%

10%12%14%16%18%20%

'81 '83 '85 '87 '89 '91 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07

RR Cost of Capital

RR Return on Investment

Note: In 2006, the Surface Transportation Board significantly changed the method by which it calculates the rail industry cost of capital. Source: STB

Page 14: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

14

Rational regulation works

Page 15: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

15

'81 '83 '85 '87 '89 '91 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07*Average revenue per ton-mile, Class I railroads. Source: AAR

Inflation-Adjusted RR Rates* Down 54% Since 1981

Railroads Keep Goods Affordable for America

Page 16: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

16

Freight Rail Works

Page 17: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

17

Railroads reduce highway congestion

One BNSF intermodal train removes more than 280 long-haul trucks from our nation’s highways

Page 18: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

18

Rail is 2-5 times more fuel efficient than trucks

Ag

Indust. Prod.

Intermodal

*Based on a 1,500 mile truck haul

5.5x

4.3x

2.3x

Page 19: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

19

Rail emits a fraction of total U.S. greenhouse gas emissions

Rail = 2.6% of GHG emissions Trucks = 21% of GHG emissions

In 2008, BNSF moved 4.7 million containers and trailers, reducing GHG emissions by more than 7 million metric tons

The rail industry moved 11.5 million containers and trailers, reducing GHG emissions by more than 17.2 million metric tons

Page 20: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009

20

Call to action

Achieve a state of “good repair” Mode neutral Increase funding from all sources - federal, local, state

and private - to meet $225-$349 billion a year in needs Shippers, states, federal government, all transportation

sources must work together to sustain our leadership in surface transportation

Page 21: Houston Economic Club May 18, 2009