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Partnership to Advance Clean Energy-Deployment (PACE-D) Technical Assistance Program HVAC Market Assessment and Transformation Approach for India August 5 2014

HVAC Market Researchpace-d.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/HVAC-Market... · 11 11 8 8 50 Total Sample Size 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 Quantitative Survey| Sample size and constitution

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  • Partnership to Advance Clean Energy-Deployment (PACE-D)

    Technical Assistance Program

    HVAC Market Assessment

    and

    Transformation Approach for India

    August 5 2014

  • HVAC MARKET ASSESSMENT

    2

  • Methodology

    +

    + + +

    Manufacturers’ brochures

    Industry reports Journal papers Published databases

    +

    + + +

    Market size

    Product usage Key drivers [& barriers] Future Trends

    + Growth rate

    Qualitative

    50 In-depth interviews with stakeholders

    Primary Research

    Quantitative

    90 7

    Semi-structured questionnaires for

    participants across locations

    +

    + +

    Alternate Technologies

    Barriers to EE Future Trends

    + Design Priorities +

    + +

    HVAC product preferences

    Key decision parameters Future Trends

    + Existing practices

    Secondary Research 1 2

  • Climate Zones | India Location Consultants/Architects

    Builders/Developers

    Mumbai

    Chennai

    Hyderabad

    Delhi

    Bangalore

    Kolkata

    Hot & Dry

    Composite

    Warm & Humid

    Temperate

    Cold

    Total 30 30

    6 6

    3 3

    4 4

    3 3

    77

    4 4

    3 3

    Pune

    Builders/Developers

    30

    6

    3

    4

    3

    7

    4

    3

    All Climate Zones

    Included in the Survey

  • 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

    Qualitative Interviews | Sample size and constitution

    Associations

    Facility Managers

    Manufacturers

    Distributors

    Consultants/ Architects

    Builders/ Developers

    Commercial Facilities [Malls/Hotels/ Multiplexes]

    3

    3

    6

    11

    11

    8

    8

    50 Total Sample Size

    2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

    Quantitative Survey| Sample size and constitution

    Delhi

    Mumbai

    Kolkata

    Chennai

    Hyderabad

    Pune

    Bangalore

    21

    18

    9

    12

    9

    9

    13

    Consultants/ Architects

    Builders/ Developers

    End-users

    90 Total Sample Size

    Comprehensive Survey

    90 Experts in 7 Major

    Cities

  • 6

    Mr. G.C. Modgil CEO Sterling India-Consulting Engineers

    Mr. N.C Gupta CEO Gupta Consultants and Associates

    Mr. Milind Gawde Manager - Engineering Breach Candy Hospital

    Mr. Atul DGM, Facility K. Raheja Corporation

    Mr. Krishan Kumar Manager - Maintenance Ambience Mall, Vasant Kunj

    Mr. Karan Raina Manager – Utility The Great India Place

    Mr. Vivek Gupta Architect Arvind Vivek & Associates

    Mr. Santosh Shindane Engineer Bhabha Hospital

    Mr. Nitin Joshi Senior General Manager Blue Star Limited

    Mr. S P Singh G M - Services Vipul Tech Square

    Mr. Mukesh Assistant Manager - Engineering Division

    Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd.

    Mr. Sanjay Koul Manager - CHP Proposals International Coil Ltd.

    Mr. Rohit Yadav Assistant Manager- Engineering Phoenix Marketcity

    Mr. Praveen Kumar Manager - Services Omaxe Ltd.

    Mr. Vineet Shukla Head - HVAC systems WSP Consultants

    Acknowledging Experts and Contributors

  • 7

    Mr. Vivek Maheswari General Manager ETA Engineering Pvt. Ltd.

    Mr. Rahul Buliyan Senior Manager -Commercial Projects Amrapali Group

    Mr. Dhanprakash Garg Head - Commercial Projects MVLl Limited

    Mr. Saurabh Singh Rathod AVP - Commercials Climaveneta Climate Technologies Pvt. Ltd.

    Mr. Rajesh Head - Operations SK Air Conditioner

    Mr. Vikash Upadhyay Project Manager Jones Lang Lasalle (JLL)

    Mr. Amaan Managing Director Comfort Aircon

    Mr. Rana Co-Owner Vitzer Enterprises

    Mr. Wilson Project Manager Kwality Air Tech Engineering Pvt. Ltd.

    Mr. Manoj Juneja Managing Director Harmony Inc.

    Mr. Lalit Bedi Managing Director Cool Breeze Aircon Pvt. Ltd.

    Mr. Narender Gandhi Team Leader - North Trane

    Mr. Mayank Architect Shift

    Mr. Raghvendra Bisen DGM - Planning Peninsula Land Ltd.

    Mr. Saurabh Diddi Energy Economist Bureau Of Energy Efficiency (BEE)

  • 8

    Mr. Vijay Bali VP - Sales & Marketing Reynold India Private Limited

    Mr. Rama Murti Manager - Operations Updater Services (P) Ltd. (UDS)

    Mr. Amit Gulwade Sr. Engineer RS Kulkarni and Consultancy

    Mr. Naresh Engineer Vactal Engineers Pvt. Ltd.

    Mr. Satish Yadav Deputy Manager Emerson Climate Technologies (India) Ltd.

    Mr. Rajiv Managing Director Kromatics

    Mr. Abdul Aziz S A Managing Director Peace HVAC Systems Pvt. Ltd.

    Mr. Vijay Chawla Technical Head Bharti Realty

    Mr. Umesh Managing Director Bright International Bright Freezer (India)

    Mr. Aryan Kaushik Manager - Maintenance Ajnara Grace

    Mr. Joytiity Parkash Purchase Manager Ascent Group Limited

    Ms. Pallavi Priya Sr. Architect Dezlabs

    Mr. Mahesh Managing Director McD d Built Environment Research Laboratory Pvt. Ltd.

    Mr. Agnelo Rodricks Managing Director Weather Cool Sales Pvt. Ltd.

    Ms. Hemali Senior Architect KNS Architects Pvt. Ltd.

  • 9

    Mr. Karthik Managing Director Design Ttree Service Consultants Pvt. Ltd.

    Mr. Ravinder Mehata Secretary Refrigeration and Air-Conditioning Manufacturers Association of India

    Mr. Rishi Bagga Manager - Business Development Knight Frank

    Mr. Pradeep Kumar Associate Director, Building Energy Systems

    TERI (The Energy and Resources Institute)

    Mr. Sandeep Patil Manager Kolte Patil Developers Ltd.

  • Guidance Dr. Ajay Mathur

    Mr. Bhaskar Sarma

    Mr. Sanjay Seth

    Expert Review Mr. Girija Shankar

    Ms. Shammi Noor

    Peer Reviewers Dr. Nihar Shah

    Mr. G. C. Modgil

    10

  • QUANTITATIVE ASSESSMENT

    HVAC Market in India

    11

  • 20

    Building Stock in India | Categorization

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2005 2030

    Residential Residential

    Office

    Office

    Retail

    Retail

    Hospitality

    Hospitality

    M i l l

    i o n s

    q u a r e

    m e t e

    r

    2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

    City-wise Survey| Upcoming retail space

    Delhi

    Mumbai

    Kolkata

    Chennai

    Hyderabad

    Pune

    Bangalore

    22

    18

    8

    9

    11

    11

    21

    Upcoming Retail Space [in %]

  • 13

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    7000

    2005 2030

    Mil

    lio

    n m

    2

    Residential

    Office

    Retail

    Hospitality

    Hospital

    Educational

    Building Sector - Growth Estimates (2030)

    Residential and Office

    Buildings Lead the

    Growth

  • 37% 47%

    16%

    1 2 Medium & Large Commercial + + + +

    Packaged Systems Ductable Splits Variable Refrigerant Flow

    VAM + Central Systems

    Residential & Small Commercial + + +

    Window units Room ACs Split ACs

    HVAC Systems in India | Macro-level Market Categorization

    Housing units Boutiques Shops Dispensaries

    Office complexes SEZs Airports Metro Stations Institutes Hotels Malls

    Retail Dairy Brewery Hospitality

    3 Process Refrigeration + + +

    + +

    Deep freezers Ice machines Precision cooling

    machines Bottle coolers Water dispensers

  • 20%

    Residential and Commercial Energy-use | Categorization by end-use

    35

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Residential Commercial

    7

    30

    13

    4 4 7

    31

    59

    10

    fan

    AC

    lighting

    refrigerator

    [evap cooling]

    [TV]

    others

    HVAC

    lighting

    others

    Segments Types of HVAC System Used

    Residential Predominantly window and unducted (or ductless) split systems. High end

    residential buildings have also started using VRF/ VRF systems.

    Infrastructure

    (Airports/Metros)

    Demand for water cooled chillers (centrifugal and screw chillers

    specifically) is more because of higher tonnage requirements and greater

    efficiency. VRF systems are also installed in smaller facilities and in

    buildings with some specific space conditioning needs within large

    infrastructure projects.

    Healthcare Centrifugal, screw and water cooled chillers are common.

    Education VRF systems are preferred in smaller establishments and centrifugal

    systems are more in demand in large projects.

  • Ductless Splits Ducted Splits

    LG Carrier

    Voltas Blue Star

    Samsung Voltas

    Daikin Hitachi

    Hitachi LG

    Panasonic Daikin

    Onida

    ETA

    Blue star

    500,000

    Split Units vs Window Units | Number of units sold

    1,000,000

    1,500,000

    2,000,000

    2,500,000

    2010

    3,000,000

    3,500,000

    2012 2011 2013 2014 2015

    N o o

    f U n i t s

    Window Units

    Split Units

    Leading market players in Split Systems

  • 5,000

    Variable Refrigerant Flow (VRF) Systems| Number of units sold and projected sales

    10,000

    15,000

    30,000

    2010 2012 2011 2013 2014 2015 N

    o o

    f U n i t s

    VRF Systems

    20,000

    25,000

    35,000

    2,000

    Indoor Packaged and Roof-top Units| Number of units sold and projected sales

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    2010 2012 2011 2013 2014 2015

    N o o

    f U n i t s

    Indoor Packaged

    Roof-top Unit

  • 18

    500

    Chillers| Number of units sold and projected sales by heat rejection method

    1000

    1500

    2010 2012 2011 2013 2014 2015

    N o o

    f U n i t s

    2000

    2500

    2016

    Absorption

    Centrifugal

    m i l l

    i o n U

    S d

    o l l a

    r s

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    Reciprocating Screw Scroll Standard

    Centrifugal

    Turbocor

    Centrifugal

    Absorption

    Voltas Trane Blue JCI Blue Star Thermax

    Carrier Diakin Star Carrier JCI Voltas

    Voltas Voltas Trane

    Blue Star

    JCI

    Carrier

  • 500

    Chillers| Number of units sold and projected sales

    1,000

    1,500

    2010 2012 2011 2013 2014 2015

    N o o

    f U n i t s 2,000

    2,500

    2016

    >700 kW 350-700 kW

    100-350 kW

    351 Kw

    Carrier Blue Star Carrier

    Thermax Voltas Thermax

    Blue Star Carrier Blue Star

    JCI JCI JCI

    Voltas Daikin Voltas

    Daikin Thermax Kirloskar

    Kirloskar Others Daikin

    ETA ETA

    Others CIAT

    Others

  • 20

    50

    Chillers| Number of units sold and projected sales by Compressor Type

    100

    150

    2010 2012 2011 2013 2014 2015

    N o o

    f U n i t s 2000

    2500

    2016

    Absorption Scroll Reciprocating Centrifugal Screw

    Chiller Type Capacity Range (kW)

    Scroll and Reciprocating 7 – 1600

    Screw 140 -6000

    Centrifugal 350 -35,000

    Air cooled positive displacement Upto 1500

    Water cooled positive displacement Above 1500

    Absorption chillers 140 -17,500

    Capacity Range of different chiller types

  • 10

    Fan Coil Units| Number of units sold and projected sales

    20

    30

    2010 2012 2011 2013 2014 2015

    N o o

    f U n i t s

    40

    50

    2016

    Volume

    m i l l

    i o n U

    S d

    o l l a

    r s

    35

    70

    140

    Value

    60

    105

    10

    Air Handling Units| Number of units sold and projected sales

    20

    30

    2010 2012 2011 2013 2014 2015 N

    o o

    f U n i t s

    40

    50

    2016

    Volume

    m i l l

    i o n U

    S d

    o l l a

    r s

    50

    100

    200

    150

    Value

    60

  • 2010 2011 2012E Average Average Average

    INR million Units INR

    million Units INR million Units

    MSP INR-

    2010

    MSP

    INR-

    2011

    MSP INR-

    2012E

    Chillers 11,203.80 4028 12,798.80 4335 10,662.20 3780 2,781,486 2,952,43

    0 2,820,680

    Air handling

    units 4,100.10 30829 4,606.80 39825 5,133.50 45500 132,996 115,677 112,823

    Fan coils 376.7 34333 535.7 44220 541.3 46000 10,971 12,113 11,768

    Other

    terminal units 321.6 34745 356 37524 398.8 41276 9,255 9,488 9,661

    Total 16,002.20 103935 18,297.30 125904 16,735.70 136556 153,963 145,328 122,556

    HVAC System Market, 2010-2012

  • Chillers, 4335, 3%

    Air handling

    units, 39825, 32%

    Fan coils, 44220, 35%

    Other terminal

    units, 37524, 30%

    Central Plant Air Conditioning Market (unit), 2011

    Chillers, 12798.8,

    70%

    Air handling

    units, 4606.8,

    25%

    Fan coils, 535.7, 3%

    Other terminal

    units, 356, 2%

    Central Plant Air Conditioning Market (INR Million), 2011

    Screw, 400,000 ,

    46%

    Centrifugal,

    300,000, 34%

    Scroll, 100,000,

    11%

    Absorption,

    75,000, 9%

    Chillers Market TR

  • 24 Cities with largest HVAC installed capacities (TR) (2010)

    De

    lhi/

    NC

    R

    Mu

    mb

    ai

    Ah

    me

    da

    ba

    d

    Ko

    lka

    ta

    Ch

    en

    na

    i

    Hy

    de

    rab

    ad

    Ba

    ng

    alo

    re

    Pu

    ne

    Ja

    ipu

    r

    Luc

    kn

    ow

    Su

    rat

    Ka

    np

    ur

    Ind

    ore

    Na

    gp

    ur

    -

    500,000

    1,000,000

    1,500,000

    2,000,000

    2,500,000

    3,000,000

    3,500,000

    4,000,000

    4,500,000

  • 25

    Delhi/ NCR

    27%

    Mumbai

    14%

    Ahmedabad

    10% Kolkata

    10%

    Chennai

    9%

    Hyderabad

    8%

    Bangalore

    7%

    Pune

    3%

    Jaipur

    3%

    Lucknow

    3%

    Surat

    2%

    Kanpur

    2%

    Indore

    1%

    Nagpur

    1%

    Top 7 Cities

    Account for 85% of

    Installed Air-

    Conditioning

  • 26 Energy Use for Air-Conditioning - Growth Estimates (2030)

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    Sector Energy Use (2005) (kWh) Sector Energy Use (2030) (kWh)

    Th

    ou

    sa

    nd

    s

    Hospital

    Hospitality

    Retail

    Office

    Residential

    Residences and

    Offices Dominate

    HVAC Energy Use

  • 27

    window< 5 TR (small DX) 26%

    splits< 5TR (small DX) 60%

    Large DX Systems,5-30 TR 3%

    VRF/ VRV 2%

    < 50 TR (central system) 1%

    50 - 250 TR (central system) 3% >250 TR (central system)

    5%

    HVAC Market Share by Technology (Installed TR 2010)

  • 28

    HVAC sales by technology (2010) The size of the bubble indicates the annual sales by cooling capacity (TR)

    window< 5 TR (small DX), 2,187,500

    splits< 5TR (small DX), 4,977,187

    Large DX Systems,5-30 TR, 271,815

    VRF/ VRV , 202,500

    < 50 TR (central system), 69,895

    50 - 250 TR (central system), 217,810

    >250 TR (central system), 409,200

    1

    10

    100

    1,000

    600 6,000 60,000 600,000 6,000,000

    Sa

    les

    (U

    S $

    Milli

    on

    )

    No. of units

    Small DX Systems

    ~ 7 Million TR Large DX Systems

    ~ 0.5 Million TR

    Central Systems

    ~ 0.6 Million TR

  • 29

    HVAC market growth forecast (2010-2030)

    Window units (thru wall)

    Split units, < 5TR

    -

    1,000,000

    2,000,000

    3,000,000

    4,000,000

    5,000,000

    6,000,000

    7,000,000

    8,000,000

    9,000,000

    2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

    Sa

    les

    by V

    olu

    me

    >250 TR (central system) 50 -250 TR (central system)

  • 30 Relative efficiencies of HVAC technologies

    6.00

    5.50

    4.50

    4.50

    4.00

    4.00

    3.00

    2.40

    2.20

    5.10

    4.60

    3.60

    3.60

    3.30

    3.00

    2.50

    2.30

    2.20

    0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00

    Centrifugal chillers

    Water Cooled Screw chillers

    Reciprocating chillers

    Scroll chillers

    Variable Refrigerant Flow Systems (VRF)

    Air cooled Screw chillers

    Multi splits

    Split air conditioners

    Window air conditioners

    Typical System EER Equipment EER

    ~ 300% Difference in Energy

    Efficiency within Current

    Technologies

  • 31

    Cumulative Energy Savings Potential for HVAC Technologies (2010-2030)

    27,672

    669,780

    32,235

    233,167

    18,784 36,398 47,494

    -

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    500,000

    600,000

    700,000

    Window units (thru wall)

    Split units, < 5TR Large DX Systems, 5-30 TR

    VRF/ VRV 255 TR (central system)

    Th

    ou

    san

    d M

    eg

    aw

    att

    Ho

    urs

    (M

    Wh

    )

    Small DX

    Systems Large DX

    Systems

    Central Systems

  • QUALITATIVE ASSESSMENT

    HVAC Market in India

    32

  • 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

    Key purchase decision makers for HVAC equipment

    Building Owners

    Design Engineers

    Consultants

    Architects

    Construction Managers

    HVAC Contractors

    Others

    48

    40

    32

    31

    27

    18

    10 90 Total Sample Size

    20%

    Survey | EE label as differentiators in the purchase process

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Architects/ Consultants

    Builders/ Developers

    End Users

    All

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    4.4

    4.2

    unwilling willing if cost neutral

    neutral willing even at higher cost

    willing whatever the cost

    Overall score [scale 1 to 5]

    willing whatever the cost willing even at higher cost neutral

    willing if cost neutral

    unwilling

    4.1

    4.2

    45

    41

    13

    50

    23

    4 7 4

    70

    23

    14

    52

    30

    7

    7

  • 20%

    Survey | The future of energy efficient HVAC systems

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Architects/ Consultants

    Builders/ Developers

    End Users

    All

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5 4.1 4.2

    not promising at all

    not too promising

    nuetral somewhat promising

    very promising

    Overall score [scale 1 to 5]

    very promising

    somewhat promising

    nuetral

    not too promising

    not promising at all

    4.0

    4.1

    20%

    Survey | Does EE label impact system purchase decision?

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Architects/ Consultants

    Builders/ Developers

    End Users

    All

    No

    Yes

    83 93

    10

    90

    11

    89

    17 7

  • 20%

    Survey | Relevance of Energy Efficiency

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Architects/ Consultants

    Builders/ Developers

    End Users

    All

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5 4.2

    4.1

    4.2 4.2

    very irrelevant

    somewhat irrelevant

    neither/ nor

    somewhat relevant

    very relevant

    Overall score [scale 1 to 5]

    very relevant

    somewhat relevant

    neither/nor

    somewhat irrelevant

    very irrelevant

  • 20%

    Survey | Willingness to promote energy efficient HVAC systems

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Architects/ Consultants

    Builders/ Developers

    End Users

    All

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5 4.1

    4.0

    very unlikely

    somewhat unlikely

    nuetral somewhat likely

    very likely

    Overall score [scale 1 to 5]

    very likely

    somewhat likely

    nuetral

    somewhat unlikely

    very unlikely

    3.9

    4.0

    20

    53

    27

    20

    53

    24

    3 3 2 10

    57

    20

    17

    58

    23

    20%

    Survey | Willingness to pay for energy efficient HVAC systems

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    Architects/ Consultants

    Builders/ Developers

    End Users

    All

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    4.0

    unwilling willing if cost neutral

    neutral willing even at higher cost

    willing whatever the cost

    Overall score [scale 1 to 5]

    willing whatever the cost willing even at higher cost neutral

    willing if cost neutral

    unwilling

    3.9

    4.0

    10

    40

    43

    46

    37

    7

    10 13 11

    10

    33

    17

    41

    38

    10 7 4.1

  • Ove

    rall

    sati

    sfact

    ion

    highly satisfied

    Quantitative Survey| Satisfaction with

    current HVAC usage [Base= 90] [all figures in percentage]

    32

    5

    9

    9

    2

    1

    3

    4

    5

    20

    8

    70

    2

    21

    4

    50

    21

    2

    50

    30

    7

    44

    30

    4

    52

    23

    4

    57

    21

    23

    5

    0

    7

    58

    21

    21

    50

    26

    2

    54

    9

    13

    2

    1 2

    22

    7

    18

    2

    Perf

    orm

    an

    ce

    Eff

    icie

    ncy

    Ele

    ctri

    city

    con

    sum

    pti

    on

    Desi

    gn

    an

    d

    typ

    e o

    f

    du

    ctw

    ork

    Air

    flo

    w

    Wh

    ole

    -ho

    me

    deh

    um

    idif

    iers

    Qu

    iet

    op

    era

    tio

    n

    Valu

    e f

    or

    mo

    ney

    No

    n-p

    ollu

    tin

    g

    refr

    igera

    nts

    Main

    ten

    an

    ce

    satisfied

    neutral

    dissatisfied

    highly dissatisfied

  • Ove

    rall

    sati

    sfact

    ion

    4.2

    4

    2

    1

    3

    4

    5

    4.3

    4.1

    3.9

    4

    3

    .6 4

    4.2

    4

    4 4.1

    4 4.1

    3.7

    3.9

    4

    2

    3.9

    3.9

    Perf

    orm

    an

    ce

    Eff

    icie

    ncy

    Ele

    ctri

    city

    co

    nsu

    mp

    tio

    n

    Desi

    gn

    an

    d

    typ

    e o

    f

    du

    ctw

    ork

    Air

    flo

    w

    Wh

    ole

    -ho

    me

    deh

    um

    idif

    iers

    Qu

    iet

    op

    era

    tio

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    Valu

    e f

    or

    mo

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    No

    n-p

    ollu

    tin

    g

    refr

    igera

    nts

    Main

    ten

    an

    ce

    4.4

    4.1

    4

    .1

    4

    4 4.1

    3

    .9

    4

    4

    3.9

    4.3

    4

    3.9

    4

    3.9

    4

    4.1

    4.1

    3

    .6

    3.9

    3.9

    4

    3.9

    4 4.2

    Quantitative Survey| Stakeholder satisfaction [Mean Scores]

    All

    Consultants/ Architects

    Builders/ Developers

    End-users

  • Parameters All Consultants/

    Architects

    Builders/

    Developers End Users

    Ran

    kin

    g*

    R1

    R1+

    R2

    R1+

    R2+

    R3

    R1

    R1+

    R2

    R1+

    R2+

    R3

    R1

    R1+

    R2

    R1+

    R2+

    R3

    R1

    R1+

    R2

    R1+

    R2+

    R3

    Base 90 30 30 30

    Reduced energy

    costs 50 66 76 57 63 67 47 63 77 47 73 83

    Reduced maintenance costs

    19 55 66 27 53 63 13 43 57 17 70 77

    Environmental awareness

    11 31 45 5 37 53 10 37 50 17 20 33

    Increase reliability-

    fewer malfunctions 11 14 36 12 13 27 10 17 40 10 13 40

    Improved occupant

    health 8 15 25 3 10 13 13 27 40 7 9 23

    Benefits of going

    green 11 10 18 15 13 30 7 7 7 17

    Increased economic benefits through job

    creation

    7 12 28 - - 27 7 13 30 - 10 27

    Motivators for

    Promoting Energy

    Efficient HVAC

    Systems [Figure in percentage]

  • 40

    Barriers in

    Accepting/Promoti

    ng Energy Efficient HVAC Systems

  • 41

    Expectations from Energy Efficient HVAC Systems [Figures in percentage]

  • 42

    Energy

    Efficiency

    Technologies

    most likely to

    be popular in

    the near-future [Figures in percentage]

  • Owners

    Brand name Price

    Past experience

    with the brand

    Peer

    recommendation

    Opinion of architects

    and consultants

    Consultants

    Technology

    Cost

    Proven Track

    After sales

    Service

    Operating cost

    / Energy

    efficiency

    Relatively less

    important

    Performance

    Specs

    Warranty

    Product

    Appearance

    Maintenance

    Place of

    purchase

    Value for Money

    Environmental impact

    Critical Factors for HVAC Purchase Decisions

  • LEARNINGS FROM MARKET

    RESEARCH

    44

  • • High level of awareness, but false notion of having

    adequately addressed EE in HVAC decision making

    – Energy efficiency considerations are already perceived as being

    factored in HVAC purchase decisions my most stakeholders

    – Most of the survey respondents felt that they have adequately

    incorporated energy efficiency considerations into the decision

    making process.

    – Yet, most of them also felt that they were not certain if they were

    actually getting the appropriate performance gains and

    savings benefit in actual operations.

    45

    Key Findings of Market Research

  • • Key decision makers don’t have the most reliable

    information on Energy Performance of HVAC Systems

    – The demand of high efficiency and new technology is being led by

    end users more than any other stakeholder in the process.

    – Decisions on HVAC purchases are heavily influenced by

    vendors and contractors.

    – End-users are wary of potentially prejudiced sources of

    information, but they have limited access to objective

    information.

    46

  • • There is no clear understanding of cost benefit of

    energy efficiency in HVAC.

    – Uncertainty about the total cost of ownership.

    – Energy efficient HVAC systems often don't show savings as

    advertised.

    – Product efficiency vs system efficiency is still not understood by

    most end-users, and they tend to make decisions based on

    individual equipment performance.

    47

  • • Brand driven approach still predominates the large

    HVAC market.

    – Advertising and branding appear to play an important role in

    market perception of energy use, which may not be substantiated

    by actual performance.

    – Product driven approach rather than system efficiency

    perspective

    – Most manufacturers have a range of products with varying energy

    efficiency, but certain brands are automatically associated with

    high performance, even though a low efficiency system may be

    selected.

    48

  • • ‘Good cooling capability’ seems to be the most

    important factor for system selection amongst end-users

    and developers.

    – This translates to over sizing of equipment as well as a perceived

    down-side of energy efficiency in HVAC.

    – The market perception is that energy efficiency in HVAC system

    may come at a cost to comfort.

    • There is a clear split incentive for developer and even

    amongst end-users there is insufficient information

    about the total cost of ownership of HVAC systems.

    49

  • • Lack of expertise in correct sizing and selection

    • Thumb rules used for many decisions

    • Concerns about ODS and future of certain chillers

    • Lack of standardization of energy efficiency

    performance across different HVAC systems types

    makes it very difficult to compare different system options

    • Office, Healthcare, Educational and Industrial Buildings

    show large HVAC market potential in the coming years.

    50

  • • Most common complaint is that the running cost is very

    high, even in cases the HVAC system was selected for

    efficiency

    – No monitoring of claims of efficiency

    • Lack of expertise in O&M is the most common reason for

    higher than expected energy use by the HVAC systems

    51

  • • The perceived risks of changing technology,

    disrupting occupants, incurring debt, or entering into

    complicated agreements outside of core business areas

    for many owners and developers.

    • The HVAC system is not updated or enhanced as long as

    there are no major complaints from the facility.

    • The cost of energy is not clearly allocated to different

    end-uses in self occupied buildings.

    52

  • • Inadequate knowledge of performance of non-

    traditional HVAC systems. This includes hybrid cooling

    systems, high efficiency equipment, as well as new types

    of cooling systems like radiant, and under-floor systems.

    • Knowledge of energy performance does not come from

    credible sources.

    53

  • • Even though there is a good awareness of the latest

    innovation through trade shows and international

    magazines, local experience and expertise is scant

    • Even though cooling is acknowledged as the biggest

    concern, most utilities in India have not done anything

    actively to reduce HVC energy demand.

    54

  • HVAC MARKET TRANSFORMATION -

    APPROACH FOR INDIA

    55

  • • Information barrier

    – Information on appropriate comfort standards and other design factors

    – Information on appropriate design and LCC for HVAC systems

    – information on actual performance of installed systems

    – Information on high performance HVAC system design (considering variability and seasonality of usage)

    – Information on correct installation and commissioning

    – Information on operation and management practices

    – Information on actual performance of conventional as well as new systems

    • Cost Barrier

    – High capital cost of EE equipment

    – Additional apace, water, or ancillary requirements of EE systems

    – Split Incentive

    • Policy

    – Expanding the coverage of the Mandatory EE standard

    – Information on high performance system through branding and Labeling

    56

    BARRIERS TO MARKET TRANSFORMATION

  • Market Transformation

    Consumer & Manufacturer Engagement

    Conducive Market Conditions

    Supporting Public Policy

    Enabling Technology

  • • Fostering an ethic of integrated design and

    performance-based design/build activities in the country

    • A bigger market for EE products and technologies

    – providing substantive incentives for development,

    implementation and import of energy efficient

    products/technologies

    • Performance Testing and Communication of System

    Performance to End-users

    58

    APPROACH TO MARKET TRANSFORMATION

  • Key Market Transformation Strategies

    •Capacity building of independent institutions to assess and

    disseminate HVAC domain knowledge

    – Focus on whole system based approach to design rather than

    equipment based as practiced currently.

    – Periodic HVAC system performance surveys and benchmarking

    – Training program and certification for working professionals

    – Training programs for Operators & Maintenance teams

    59

  • • Developing an HVAC application based test and demonstration

    facility for engineers, end-users

    • Mandatory Enforcement of HVAC equipment efficiencies

    specified in the Energy Efficiency Building Codes

    • Benchmarking and Labeling of Energy Efficient HVAC equipment

    • Large Energy Efficient HVAC Demonstration Projects

    • Energy Efficient Design For HVAC Systems In All New Public And

    Government Buildings

    • UTILITY DRIVEN ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND DSM PROGRAMS IN

    KEY CITIES

    – Delhi NCR, Mumbai, Chennai, Kolkata, Hyderabad, and Bangalore

    60

  • • Targeted Energy Efficiency Programs for Residential and

    Small HVAC systems

    • Incentive for Upgradation and Replacement of Industrial

    and Large Commercial systems

    • Promoting Super Efficient HVAC technologies in the

    medium to long term

    61

  • Thanks

    62

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