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2014
Margaret G. Brier
Anjaneya Ravi Teja Golla
IE 604, Spring’14
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
1 | P a g e
Contents
Objective of the Project ................................................................................................................................ 3
Factors and Levels ........................................................................................................................................ 3
The Response Variable ................................................................................................................................. 3
Literature Review .......................................................................................................................................... 3
Design of Experiment ................................................................................................................................... 4
Experimental Procedure ............................................................................................................................ 5
Probability Test ....................................................................................................................................... 10
First Run Results ..................................................................................................................................... 10
Attainment of the Maximum R-Square (Adjusted) ................................................................................. 15
Normal Distribution ................................................................................................................................ 16
Run Results with Maximum R-square .................................................................................................... 17
Power Curve................................................................................................................................................ 22
Analysis of Results ..................................................................................................................................... 23
Main Effects Plot .................................................................................................................................... 23
Interactions Plot: ..................................................................................................................................... 24
Contour and Surface Plots: ..................................................................................................................... 25
Conclusions and Recommendations ........................................................................................................... 26
Regression Equation ................................................................................................................................... 26
References ................................................................................................................................................... 27
Figures
Figure 1: Random Distribution of the Data ................................................................................................ 10
Figure 2: Half Normal Plot for Original Data ............................................................................................. 11
Figure 3: Pareto Chart for Original Data .................................................................................................... 11
Figure 4: Residual Plots for Original Data .................................................................................................. 12
Figure 5: Residuals vs. Angle Thrown ........................................................................................................ 12
Figure 6: Residuals vs. Person Throwing ................................................................................................... 13
Figure 7: Residuals vs. Type of Fold .......................................................................................................... 13
Figure 8: Residuals vs. Size of Paper .......................................................................................................... 14
Figure 9: Residuals vs. Type of Paper ........................................................................................................ 14
Figure 10: Normal Plots for Original Data ................................................................................................. 15
Figure 11 Varying R-Square (Adjusted) values .......................................................................................... 16
Figure 12: Residual Plots of the Data for Maximum R-squared ................................................................. 17
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
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Figure 13: Half Normal Plot for the Data with Maximum R-squared ........................................................ 18
Figure 14: Pareto Chart for the Data with Maximum R-squared ................................................................ 18
Figure 15: Residual Plots for Data with Maximum R-squared ................................................................... 19
Figure 16: Residuals vs. Angle For Maximum R-Squared ......................................................................... 19
Figure 17: Residuals vs. Person Throwing for Maximum R-Squared ........................................................ 20
Figure 18: Residuals vs. Type of Fold for Maximum R-Squared ............................................................... 20
Figure 19: Residuals vs. Size of Paper for Maximum R-Squared .............................................................. 21
Figure 20: Residuals vs. Type of Paper for Maximum R-Squared ............................................................. 21
Figure 21: Estimated Effects and Coefficients for Time ............................................................................ 22
Figure 22 Power Curve ............................................................................................................................... 23
Figure 23: Main Effects Plot ....................................................................................................................... 24
Figure 24: Interaction plot for Response - Time ......................................................................................... 24
Figure 25 Contour Plot of Time .................................................................................................................. 25
Figure 26 Surface Plot of Time ................................................................................................................... 26
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
3 | P a g e
Objective of the Project
To estimate and analyze the factors effecting time of flight of a paper airplane.
To make a clear recommendation regarding the most favorable settings that will maximize the
time of flight.
Factors and Levels Below are listed the factors and their levels. They were chosen because we think they may play vital role
in the time of flight of paper airplanes. There are 5 factors and 2 levels for each factor.
a. The type of paper
i. Letter paper
ii. Résumé Paper
b. The size of paper
i. Large - 8.5 in x 11 in
ii. Medium - 7.2 in x 9.7
c. The type of fold
i. Fold A – Pointy Nose
ii. Fold B – Flat Nose
d. Person throwing airplane
i. Person A
ii. Person B
e. Angle thrown
i. 00 Parallel to ground
ii. 45° above Parallel
It is possible that other crucial factors may impact the time of flight of paper airplanes. For our purposes,
we have assumed that the effects of temperature, wind, wear of the paper, energy levels of the individuals,
and reaction time of individuals pressing start and stop on the timer are negligible. To reduce the effects
of these factors we did all testing indoors and utilized a standard countdown before throwing the
airplanes.
The Response Variable As stated before, the objective of the study is to determine the desired settings for each factor in order to
achieve the maximum time of flight of paper airplanes. Hence, the response variable is time represented
by the variable Z (in Contour and Surface Plots) and expressed in units of seconds.
Literature Review The experiment which we conduct will be based on the research made by Daniel Z. Meyer and Allison
Antink Meyer in their work “Two Paper Airplane Design Challenges: Customizing for Different
Learning Objectives.” We are looking at factors the factors they did not consider, like the type of paper
used, type of fold and also the length of the wings, as we conduct Design of Experiments and also
perform ANOVA and regression.
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
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Design of Experiment There are 5 factors with 2 levels, so we have a 2
5 factorial design, which translates into a full factorial
experiment with 32 responses. To ensure that the data is good we took 2 replications each and did the
experiments in a random order to eliminate any bias. The following is a table showing the experiments
conducted and the random order they were conducted in.
Standard Run
Order
Random Run
Order
Type of
Paper
Size of
Paper
Type of
Fold
Person
throwing
airplane
Angle
thrown
1 1 Letter Large A A 0
2 28 Letter Large A A 45°
3 4 Letter Large A A 0
4 41 Letter Large A A 45°
5 24 Letter Large A B 0
6 14 Letter Large A B 45°
7 33 Letter Large A B 0
8 21 Letter Large A B 45°
9 35 Letter Large B A 0
10 56 Letter Large B A 45°
11 64 Letter Large B A 0
12 10 Letter Large B A 45°
13 46 Letter Large B B 0
14 20 Letter Large B B 45°
15 52 Letter Large B B 0
16 16 Letter Large B B 45°
17 2 Letter Medium A A 0
18 29 Letter Medium A A 45°
19 45 Letter Medium A A 0
20 25 Letter Medium A A 45°
21 12 Letter Medium A B 0
22 39 Letter Medium A B 45°
23 32 Letter Medium A B 0
24 18 Letter Medium A B 45°
25 38 Letter Medium B A 0
26 50 Letter Medium B A 45°
27 58 Letter Medium B A 0
28 63 Letter Medium B A 45°
29 7 Letter Medium B B 0
30 36 Letter Medium B B 45°
31 23 Letter Medium B B 0
32 15 Letter Medium B B 45°
33 62 Résumé Large A A 0
34 11 Résumé Large A A 45°
35 9 Résumé Large A A 0
36 6 Résumé Large A A 45°
37 43 Résumé Large A B 0
38 34 Résumé Large A B 45°
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
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39 60 Résumé Large A B 0
40 37 Résumé Large A B 45°
41 48 Résumé Large B A 0
42 47 Résumé Large B A 45°
43 57 Résumé Large B A 0
44 3 Résumé Large B A 45°
45 42 Résumé Large B B 0
46 17 Résumé Large B B 45°
47 31 Résumé Large B B 0
48 51 Résumé Large B B 45°
49 44 Résumé Medium A A 0
50 55 Résumé Medium A A 45°
51 53 Résumé Medium A A 0
52 40 Résumé Medium A A 45°
53 30 Résumé Medium A B 0
54 19 Résumé Medium A B 45°
55 13 Résumé Medium A B 0
56 61 Résumé Medium A B 45°
57 8 Résumé Medium B A 0
58 27 Résumé Medium B A 45°
59 5 Résumé Medium B A 0
60 22 Résumé Medium B A 45°
61 49 Résumé Medium B B 0
62 54 Résumé Medium B B 45°
63 26 Résumé Medium B B 0
64 59 Résumé Medium B B 45°
Table 1: Order of Experiments
Experimental Procedure
To conduct the experiment we first selected the factors and made the airplanes.
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
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Fold A was found from http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8qxExknDSw.
Fold B was found from http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JiqjxgBQH_Y.
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
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After our planes were ready to fly, we brought them to the Campus Centre Atrium to test and successfully
conducted the experiments as per the random run order generated. After running the experiments we
entered our data into Minitab and did an analysis of a 2-factorial DOE. The following is a table showing
the results from the experiments conducted.
Standard
Run Order
Random
Run Order
Type of
Paper
Size of
Paper
Type of
Fold
Person
throwing
airplane
Angle
thrown
Time in
the Air
(sec)
1 1 Letter Large A A 0 1.56
17 2 Letter Medium A A 0 1.13
44 3 Résumé Large B A 45° 1.53
3 4 Letter Large A A 0 1.63
59 5 Résumé Medium B A 0 0.52
36 6 Résumé Large A A 45° 1.89
29 7 Letter Medium B B 0 0.91
57 8 Résumé Medium B A 0 0.76
35 9 Résumé Large A A 0 1.56
12 10 Letter Large B A 45° 1.42
34 11 Résumé Large A A 45° 1.45
21 12 Letter Medium A B 0 1.72
55 13 Résumé Medium A B 0 1.8
6 14 Letter Large A B 45° 1.42
32 15 Letter Medium B B 45° 2.3
16 16 Letter Large B B 45° 1.8
46 17 Résumé Large B B 45° 2
24 18 Letter Medium A B 45° 1.8
54 19 Résumé Medium A B 45° 1.3
14 20 Letter Large B B 45° 1.53
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
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8 21 Letter Large A B 45° 1.93
60 22 Résumé Medium B A 45° 0.75
31 23 Letter Medium B B 0 2.28
5 24 Letter Large A B 0 2.33
20 25 Letter Medium A A 45° 2
63 26 Résumé Medium B B 0 2.02
58 27 Résumé Medium B A 45° 1.23
2 28 Letter Large A A 45° 0.99
18 29 Letter Medium A A 45° 0.99
53 30 Résumé Medium A B 0 1.39
47 31 Résumé Large B B 0 1.84
23 32 Letter Medium A B 0 1.34
7 33 Letter Large A B 0 2.25
38 34 Résumé Large A B 45° 2.1
9 35 Letter Large B A 0 1.15
30 36 Letter Medium B B 45° 2.21
40 37 Résumé Large A B 45° 2
25 38 Letter Medium B A 0 0.79
22 39 Letter Medium A B 45° 1.72
52 40 Résumé Medium A A 45° 0.91
4 41 Letter Large A A 45° 1.4
45 42 Résumé Large B B 0 1.93
37 43 Résumé Large A B 0 2.03
49 44 Résumé Medium A A 0 0.8
19 45 Letter Medium A A 0 1.12
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
9 | P a g e
13 46 Letter Large B B 0 1.53
42 47 Résumé Large B A 45° 1.48
41 48 Résumé Large B A 0 1.39
61 49 Résumé Medium B B 0 1.34
26 50 Letter Medium B A 45° 0.84
48 51 Résumé Large B B 45° 1.93
15 52 Letter Large B B 0 1.93
51 53 Résumé Medium A A 0 1.03
62 54 Résumé Medium B B 45° 2.36
50 55 Résumé Medium A A 45° 0.92
10 56 Letter Large B A 45° 1.2
43 57 Résumé Large B A 0 1.42
27 58 Letter Medium B A 0 0.85
64 59 Résumé Medium B B 45° 2.04
39 60 Résumé Large A B 0 1.75
56 61 Résumé Medium A B 45° 1.5
33 62 Résumé Large A A 0 1.63
28 63 Letter Medium B A 45° 1.53
11 64 Letter Large B A 0 0.99
Table 2: Experimental Results
To conduct the DOE successfully we have converted the levels of the factors into their respective numeric
terms by assigning the following values.
Factor Levels
Numeric
Levels
Type of Paper Letter Paper 1
Resume
Paper -1
Size of Paper Large 1
Medium -1
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
10 | P a g e
Type of Fold A 1
B -1
Person
Throwing
A 1
B -1
Angle thrown 0° 0°
45° 45°
Table 3: Numeric Values Assigned
Probability Test
Before running the experiments in MINITAB 15 we conducted the probability test, just to make sure that
our Data is randomly distributed. It was confirmed by the following graph, with shows that the P-Value is
0.244, which clearly means that the data is Normally Distributed.
Figure 1: Random Distribution of the Data
First Run Results
The following are plots generated in the first run, which included all the factors and their interactions
without any of them removed.
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
11 | P a g e
Figure 2: Half Normal Plot for Original Data
Figure 3: Pareto Chart for Original Data
9876543210
98
95
90
85
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Absolute Standardized Effect
Pe
rce
nt
A Ty pe of Paper
B Size of Paper
C Ty pe of Fold
D Person Throw ing
E A ngle
Factor Name
Not Significant
Significant
Effect Type
CE
BE
AB
D
B
Half Normal Plot of the Standardized Effects(response is Time (s), Alpha = 0.05)
ABCDEACDE
ABCAEADDE
ACDBCEADE
ABCDBDECDEACE
ABDEC
BCDEAC
ABDE
ABCEBCBD
BCDABECDCEBEAB
BD
9876543210
Te
rm
Standardized Effect
2.037
A Ty pe of Paper
B Size of Paper
C Ty pe of Fold
D Person Throw ing
E A ngle
Factor Name
Pareto Chart of the Standardized Effects(response is Time (s), Alpha = 0.05, only 30 largest effects shown)
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
12 | P a g e
Figure 4: Residual Plots for Original Data
Figure 5: Residuals vs. Angle Thrown
0.80.40.0-0.4-0.8
99.9
99
90
50
10
1
0.1
Residual
Pe
rce
nt
2.52.01.51.00.5
0.8
0.4
0.0
-0.4
-0.8
Fitted Value
Re
sid
ua
l
0.60.40.20.0-0.2-0.4-0.6
24
18
12
6
0
Residual
Fre
qu
en
cy
605550454035302520151051
0.8
0.4
0.0
-0.4
-0.8
Observation Order
Re
sid
ua
l
Normal Probability Plot Versus Fits
Histogram Versus Order
Residual Plots for Time (s)
50403020100
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
Angle
Re
sid
ua
l
Residuals Versus Angle(response is Time (s))
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
13 | P a g e
Figure 6: Residuals vs. Person Throwing
Figure 7: Residuals vs. Type of Fold
1.00.50.0-0.5-1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
Person Throwing
Re
sid
ua
l
Residuals Versus Person Throwing(response is Time (s))
1.00.50.0-0.5-1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
Type of Fold
Re
sid
ua
l
Residuals Versus Type of Fold(response is Time (s))
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
14 | P a g e
Figure 8: Residuals vs. Size of Paper
Figure 9: Residuals vs. Type of Paper
1.00.50.0-0.5-1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
Size of Paper
Re
sid
ua
l
Residuals Versus Size of Paper(response is Time (s))
1.00.50.0-0.5-1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
-0.8
Type of Paper
Re
sid
ua
l
Residuals Versus Type of Paper(response is Time (s))
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
15 | P a g e
Figure 10: Normal Plots for Original Data
Attainment of the Maximum R-Square (Adjusted)
After removing the interactions one by one in the order of the least value, and continuously running the
DOE and observing the variations of the R-Square Adjusted values, which was increasing as we proceed.
We finally got the maximum R-Square Adjusted value and which can be observed from the results shown
below.
5.02.50.0-2.5-5.0-7.5
99
95
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
5
1
Standardized Effect
Pe
rce
nt
A Ty pe of Paper
B Size of Paper
C Ty pe of Fold
D Person Throw ing
E A ngle
Factor Name
Not Significant
Significant
Effect Type
CEBE
AB
D
B
Normal Plot of the Standardized Effects(response is Time (s), Alpha = 0.05)
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
16 | P a g e
Figure 11 Varying R-Square (Adjusted) values
Normal Distribution
After maximizing the R-squared we needed to check that our data was still normally distributed. We did
this by looking at the 4-in-1 Residual Plots for Time(s), Figure 12. The bottom left plot shows the
histogram of the residuals. Because the plot is a bell curve, the data is normally distributed.
Terms
DeletedS Press R-squared R-squared (predicted) R-squared (adjusted)
0.298415 11.3986 79.39 17.56 59.42
ABCDE 0.293869 10.719 79.39 22.47 60.65
ACDE 0.289538 10.0993 79.38 26.96 61.8
ABC 0.285503 9.53922 79.37 31.01 62.86
AE 0.281796 9.035 79.32 34.65 63.82
DE 0.278283 8.57298 79.28 37.99 64.71
AD 0.274913 8.14643 79.23 41.08 65.56
ACD 0.271697 7.75291 79.18 43.93 66.36
BCE 0.268646 7.39027 79.12 46.55 67.11
ADE 0.26582 7.05915 79.05 48.94 67.8
ABCD 0.263387 6.76549 78.93 51.07 68.39
BDE 0.26126 6.50186 78.77 52.97 68.9
CDE 0.259279 6.25808 78.61 54.74 69.37
ACE 0.257371 6.0293 78.44 56.39 69.82
ABDE 0.256115 5.84081 78.18 57.76 70.11
BCDE 0.255961 5.70964 77.73 58.7 70.15
AC 0.257425 5.65484 76.99 59.1 69.8
ABD 0.260174 5.65836 76.01 59.08 69.16
ABCE 0.266041 5.79814 74.4 58.06 67.75
BC 0.273067 5.98864 72.5 56.69 66.02
BD 0.280284 6.18803 70.45 55.24 64.2
BCD 0.287321 6.37996 68.35 53.86 62.38
ABD 0.294367 6.5727 66.16 52.46 60.52
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
17 | P a g e
Figure 12: Residual Plots of the Data for Maximum R-squared
Run Results with Maximum R-square
The following are plots describing the data after removing the non-significant effects, resulting in the
maximum R-squared (adjusted) value.
0.50.0-0.5-1.0
99.9
99
90
50
10
1
0.1
Residual
Pe
rce
nt
2.01.51.00.5
0.5
0.0
-0.5
Fitted Value
Re
sid
ua
l0.60.40.20.0-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.8
20
15
10
5
0
Residual
Fre
qu
en
cy
605550454035302520151051
0.5
0.0
-0.5
Observation Order
Re
sid
ua
l
Normal Probability Plot Versus Fits
Histogram Versus Order
Residual Plots for Time (s)
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
18 | P a g e
Figure 13: Half Normal Plot for the Data with Maximum R-squared
Figure 14: Pareto Chart for the Data with Maximum R-squared
1086420
98
95
90
85
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Absolute Standardized Effect
Pe
rce
nt
A Ty pe of Paper
B Size of Paper
C Ty pe of Fold
D Person Throw ing
E A ngle
Factor Name
Not Significant
Significant
Effect Type
BCDABE
CE
CD
BE
BD
AB
D
B
Half Normal Plot of the Standardized Effects(response is Time (s), Alpha = 0.05)
A
C
AC
ABD
E
ABCE
BC
BD
BCD
ABE
CD
CE
BE
AB
B
D
1086420
Te
rm
Standardized Effect
2.01
A Ty pe of Paper
B Size of Paper
C Ty pe of Fold
D Person Throw ing
E A ngle
Factor Name
Pareto Chart of the Standardized Effects(response is Time (s), Alpha = 0.05)
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
19 | P a g e
Figure 15: Residual Plots for Data with Maximum R-squared
Figure 16: Residuals vs. Angle For Maximum R-Squared
50403020100
0.50
0.25
0.00
-0.25
-0.50
-0.75
Angle
Re
sid
ua
l
Residuals Versus Angle(response is Time (s))
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
20 | P a g e
Figure 17: Residuals vs. Person Throwing for Maximum R-Squared
Figure 18: Residuals vs. Type of Fold for Maximum R-Squared
1.00.50.0-0.5-1.0
0.50
0.25
0.00
-0.25
-0.50
-0.75
Person Throwing
Re
sid
ua
l
Residuals Versus Person Throwing(response is Time (s))
1.00.50.0-0.5-1.0
0.50
0.25
0.00
-0.25
-0.50
-0.75
Type of Fold
Re
sid
ua
l
Residuals Versus Type of Fold(response is Time (s))
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
21 | P a g e
Figure 19: Residuals vs. Size of Paper for Maximum R-Squared
Figure 20: Residuals vs. Type of Paper for Maximum R-Squared
1.00.50.0-0.5-1.0
0.50
0.25
0.00
-0.25
-0.50
-0.75
Size of Paper
Re
sid
ua
l
Residuals Versus Size of Paper(response is Time (s))
1.00.50.0-0.5-1.0
0.50
0.25
0.00
-0.25
-0.50
-0.75
Type of Paper
Re
sid
ua
l
Residuals Versus Type of Paper(response is Time (s))
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
22 | P a g e
Figure 21: Estimated Effects and Coefficients for Time
Power Curve In order to determine the power of the experiment conducted we have run the Power curve test. The
following is the result of our power curve test.
Power and Sample Size 2-Level Factorial Design
Alpha = 0.05 Assumed standard deviation = 0.255961
Factors: 5 Base Design: 5, 8
Blocks: none
Number of terms omitted from model: 6
Including a term for center points in model.
Center Total
Points Reps Runs Power Effect
1 2 17 0.95 0.496886
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
23 | P a g e
0.500.250.00-0.25-0.50
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
Effect
Po
we
r
A lpha 0.05
StDev 0.255961
# Factors 5
# C orner P ts 8
# Blocks none
# Terms O mitted 6
C enter Points Yes
Terms Included In Model
A ssumptions
2, 1
Ctr Pts Per Blk
Reps,
Power Curve for 2-Level Factorial Design
Figure 22 Power Curve
Analysis of Results
Main Effects Plot
In order to analyze the impact of the factors on the response, we have run the Main Effects Plot and have
got the following results. It can be clearly interpreted that the factors Size of Paper and Person throwing
have a significant impact on the response, time of flight, whereas type of Paper and Type of Fold have no
effect on it.
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
24 | P a g e
Figure 23: Main Effects Plot
Interactions Plot:
As we have observed the presence of interactions while running the DOE, we wanted to know how the
factors interacted with each other and so we ran the interactions test. We have observed that the Type of
Paper and Person throwing had the strongest interactions. Also, Type of Paper made relatively strong
interactions with all the factors.
Figure 24: Interaction plot for Response - Time
1-1
1.80
1.65
1.50
1.35
1.20
1-1 1-1
1-1
1.80
1.65
1.50
1.35
1.20
450
Type of Paper
Mea
n
Size of Paper Type of Fold
Person Throwing Angle
Main Effects Plot for Time (s)Data Means
1-1 1-1 1-1 450
2.0
1.5
1.02.0
1.5
1.02.0
1.5
1.02.0
1.5
1.0
Type of Paper
Size of Paper
Type of Fold
Person Throwing
Angle
-1
1
Paper
Type of
-1
1
Paper
Size of
-1
1
of Fold
Type
-1
1
Throwing
Person
Interaction Plot for Time (s)Data Means
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
25 | P a g e
Contour and Surface Plots: In order to maximize the response, i.e., the time of flight of the paper airplanes, we have to find the
optimum settings of the significant factors, which can be obtained by the following Contour and Surface
Plot Graphs. From both the graphs, we can interpret that the response is maximum when Person B is
throwing an airplane made of a large paper.
Figure 25 Contour Plot of Time
Person Throwing
Siz
e o
f P
ap
er
1.00.50.0-0.5-1.0
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
>
–
–
–
–
–
< 0.6
0.6 0.9
0.9 1.2
1.2 1.5
1.5 1.8
1.8 2.1
2.1
Time (s)
Contour Plot of Time (s) vs Size of Paper, Person Throwing
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
26 | P a g e
Figure 26 Surface Plot of Time
Conclusions and Recommendations From the above tests, we can now conclude that the factors which are crucial for the maximum time of
flight are Person B throwing a large paper airplane. It can also be observed that other factors such as Type
of Paper, Type of fold and Angle Thrown are not as significant as we thought at the beginning of the
experiment.
Regression Equation The final part of the experiment is to generate a valid equation for the response involving all the
significant factors and their interactions. For doing so, we use the coefficients of the significant terms
obtained from the run results of maximum R-square (adjusted) values, which can be observed in the
Figure 20, which shows the values of estimated effects and coefficients for time. All the terms which have
p-value less than 0.05 are considered significant and are used in generating the regression equation.
The Coded equation is
X1 : Type of Paper
X2 : Size of Paper
1
0.5 0
1.0
1.5
2.0
-10 -1
1
Time (s)
Size of Paper
Person Throwing
Surface Plot of Time (s) vs Size of Paper, Person Throwing
DOE on Time of Flight of Paper Airplanes
27 | P a g e
X3 : Type of Fold
X4 : Person Throwing
X5 : Angle Thrown.
The un-coded equation is
( ) ( )
( ) ( )
( ) (
) ( )
( ) (
) (
) (
)
References
“Two Paper Airplane Design Challenges: Customizing for Different Learning Objectives” by
Daniel Z. Meyer and Allison Antink Meyer
Douglas C. Montgomery. Design and Analysis of Experiments, 8th Edition. John Wiley & Sons:
2013.
Slides and notes by Prof. Golgen Bengu
Minitab 15
Videos in YouTube for making the paper airplanes