Indiana Statewide June 2015 Results

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Political poll results

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  • Results of an Indiana Statewide Survey of 800 Registered Voters May 29 - June 3 Margin of Error = + 3.5% * Rounding may result in >100% 1. Gender

    48% Male 52% Female

    2. Id like to confirm you are currently registered to vote in Indiana?

    100% Yes

    3. In politics today, do you usually consider yourself to be a Republican, a Democrat or an

    Independent?

    35% Republican With leans

    28% Democrat 42% Republican 32% Democrat

    25% Independent

    7% Independent, lean Republican

    4% Independent, lean Democrat

    4. Indiana will hold primary elections for President, U.S. Senate and other offices in May of

    next year. Do you think you will vote in the

    __Republican primary election

    __Democratic primary election

    or will you probably not vote in either?

    42% Republican primary election

    32% Democratic primary election

    10% Not vote in either

    15% Dont Know

    To ensure we have a representative sample of voters in our survey

    5. Please tell me which of the following categories contains your age?

    16% 18-29

    11% 30-34

    11% 35-44

    14% 45-54

    25% 55-64

    23% 65+

    6. And is your racial or ethnic background 88% White 7% African American * Asian 3% Something else 1% Refused

  • 7. Do you consider yourself to be Hispanic or Latino?

    3% Yes 97% No

    Now Id like to ask you about some people active in politics in Indiana and, for each, please tell me if you have heard of them and, if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of them. Heard/No Never Fav Unfav Opin/neutral Heard Mike Pence 34% 43% 19% 4%

    Glenda Ritz 29% 13% 28% 30%

    John Gregg 20% 9% 31% 41%

    11. How satisfied are you with the way things in Indiana are going? Very satisfied,

    somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?

    10% Very satisfied

    44% Somewhat satisfied

    26% Somewhat dissatisfied 54% Satisfied- 44% Dissatisfied

    18% Very dissatisfied

    2% Dont Know/unsure

    12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mike Pence is doing as governor?

    13% Strongly approve

    33% Somewhat approve

    15% Somewhat disapprove 46% Approve- 46% Disapprove

    31% Strongly disapprove

    9% Dont Know/unsure

    13. If the 2016 election for President were being held today, would you vote for

    __the Republican candidate or

    __the Democratic candidate

    43% The Republican candidate

    31% The Democratic candidate 26% Dont know

    14. And do you think Mike Pence has performed well enough as governor to deserve re-

    election next year, or do you think its time to give a new person a chance to do a better

    job?

    32% Re-elect

    54% New person

    15% Not sure/dont know

  • 14A. What is the main reason youd like to see a new person as governor?

    N=428, who think it is time for a new governor.

    17% Disagree on education issues 15% Disagree on Religious Freedom Act and gay rights/marriage 11% Not doing a good job as governor 11% Need change/time for change/need new ideas 11% Want a Democrat. Dont like Republicans 5% Disagree with Pences views in general 4% Not good for the state 3% Not for the people 3% Cant get along with Glenda Ritz 2% Been in office too long 12% Dont Know

    15. If the election for governor were held today and the candidates were

    __Mike Pence, Republican

    __Glenda Ritz, Democrat

    for whom would you vote?

    38% Pence

    4% Und, lean Pence with leans

    16% Undecided/Dont Know - no lean 42% Pence- 42% Ritz

    6% Und, lean Ritz

    36% Ritz

    16. If the election for governor were held today and the candidates were

    __Mike Pence, Republican

    __John Gregg, Democrat

    for whom would you vote?

    36% Pence

    4% Und, lean Pence with leans

    19% Undecided/not sure, no lean 40% Pence- 41% Gregg

    5% Und, lean Gregg

    36% Gregg

    Now Id like to ask you a little more about Mike Pence and the job he is doing as governor. Do

    you approve or disapprove of how Mike Pence has handled

    Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly

    Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove Know

    Indianas economy 18% 35% 19% 19% 11%

    K through 12 Educ 11% 25% 16% 30% 19%

    Health Care 12% 30% 13% 23% 22%

    Taxes and spending 14% 33% 17% 20% 16%

    RFRA 14% 18% 13% 39% 17%

  • 22. Looking ahead, do you think the Religious Freedom Restoration Act will have

    37% no real impact on Indianas economy

    40% a negative impact on Indianas economy

    9% a positive impact on Indianas economy

    14% Dont know/unsure

    23. Some people say that Governor Pences handling of the Religious Freedom Restoration

    Act was an embarrassment to the state and that he doesnt deserve another term as

    governor.

    Other people say that Governor Pence may not have handled the Religious Freedom

    Restoration Act as well as he should have but, on balance, he has done a good job and

    deserves another term as governor.

    Which is closer to how you feel?

    46% Embarrassment, doesnt deserve another term

    41% On balance, deserves another term

    13% Dont Know

    Thinking about something else

    24. Indianas civil rights law makes it illegal to discriminate on the basis of gender, race,

    religion or disability. Do you support or oppose adding sexual orientation and gender

    identity to the law?

    37% Strongly support

    17% Somewhat support

    9% Somewhat oppose 54% Support- 32% Oppose

    23% Strongly oppose

    14% Dont know/unsure

    25. Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for a candidate for Governor who supports

    adding sexual orientation and gender identity to Indiana civil rights law?

    27% Much more likely

    18% Somewhat more likely

    12% Somewhat less likely 45% More likely- 32% Less likely

    20% Much less likely

    24% Dont Know

    26. As you may know, the Supreme Court is deciding whether same sex marriage is

    protected under the U.S. Constitution and if they decide it is, it would be legal in every

    state. Do you support or oppose a Supreme Court action making same sex marriage

    legal in every state?

    33% strongly support

    14% somewhat support

    6% somewhat oppose 47% Support- 41% Oppose

    35% strongly oppose

    12% Dont know/unsure

  • Now, as we finish up I just need to ask some statistical questions

    27. On the political spectrum, would you say you are conservative, liberal or moderate?

    22% Very conservative

    24% Somewhat conservative

    34% Moderate

    17% Liberal

    4% Dont Know/ref.

    28. What is your level of formal education to date?

    * Less than high school 21% High school Degree 6% Vocational, technical or professional training

    18% Some college courses 9% An Associate Degree 26% A Bachelors Degree

    18% A post-graduate Degree 2% Dont know/refused

    29. What is your religious preference? 51% Protestant Christian

    20% Roman Catholic * Jewish 11% Another religion 14% No religious affiliation 4% Dont know/refused

    30. Would you consider yourself to be an evangelical or born again Christian? N=408, who consider themselves Protestant Christians. 54% Yes

    40% No 6% Dont know/refused 28% of the sample are Evangelical Christians (54% of the Protestants)

    31. How often do you attend church, synagogue or another religious service? 43% weekly

    13% a few times a month 19% occasionally 22% rarely or never 3% Dont know/refused