04/20/23

INFORMATION SOCIETY

M. Gams

Three worlds with different properties Intelligent systems - integration of the three

Collapse of time, space.

 

Definition: information society

More than 50% of GDP related to information/knowledge.More than 50% of employees active in the information economy (immaterial labour).

Economy based on transition from material goods to information/knowledge (primary and secondary sector, e.g. OECD 1981, 1986).

IS started 1970-1980? Constantly growing!Slovenian growth

BASIC I.S. LAWS Moore’s law (exponential growth of chip capabilities) Metcalf’s law: value(network) = square(no. of nodes) or

n*logn (size of network is very important; internet) Sidg(e)more’s law (exponential growth of net traffic, of

transmission capabilities) Andreesen Lewis Fleming... net capitalism = frictionless

economy, information economy, Internet economy, new economy (global, liberal, without rectrictions, regulations)

BASIC I.S. LAWS Moore’s law (exponential growth of chip capabilities) Makimoto’s law (10-year cycle of semiconductors) Metcalf’s law: value(network) = square(no. of nodes) or

n*logn /Odlyzko (size of network is very important) Sidgemor’s law (exponential growth of net traffic,

capabilities) Groschs’law (cost equals sq. root (speed)) Amdahl’s law (T=S/R + P/(M*R)) Andreesen Lewis Fleming... net capitalism = frictionless

economy, information economy, Internet economy, new economy (global, liberal, without rectrictions, regulations)

Computer Laws revisited, Computer, December 2013, vol. 46, no. 12

Laws

mMetcalfe's Law - value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of nodes

Moore's LawMetcalfe's Law - value of a network is proportional to the square of the

number of nodes – social networks - InternetSidg(e)more's Law - traffic doubles every three monthsAndreesen's Law - cost of bandwidth is dropping Disk capacity (+electronic basic properties) also grows exponential Lewis/Flemig's Law - friction-free economy, booming,

self-regulating (Greenspan) Gilder’s Law (The Law of Telecoms) - Total telecommunications system

capacity (b/s) triples every three yearsPut on the Internet all your information and activities FB:mail

The cyber-world doubles fortune (real or fictive?? – current crises)Side effect of information society is information overloadInformation society demands intensive information knowledge for successful leadershipInformation society belongs to all of usThe Internet is the most democratic and free media in the worldThe Internet and information society are our hope for the future

Za Obamovo zmago odločilen internet; vir Finance 1.6.2009

David Plouffe, vodja digitalne kampanje Baracka Obame, Gradec, maj 2009. Nove tehnologije, zlasti internet, so eden glavnih razlogov, da je Obama postal 44. predsednik ZDA.Od začetka kampanje, ko je bila verjetnost za zmago skoraj enaka nič, so veliko tvegali; vedeli so, da nimajo drugega kot odličnega kandidata in jasno vizijo, ob tem pa pravilno ocenili, da je prav tehnologija pot za dosego ciljev.***Internet kot glavni kanal kampanje so uporabili za zbiranje denarja (pol milijarde dolarjev), promoviranje (3 milijone prijateljev na Facebooku, na desetine profilov na omrežjih), organiziranje in predvsem samoorganiziranje ljudi na terenu ter nenehno pošiljanje sporočil neposredno do ljudi ***ter tako pometli z močnimi tekmeci, ki so kljub veliki prednosti na začetku kampanje igrali "po starih pravilih igre".

Moore’s Law

1K

1 0K

10 0K

1M

10M

1 9 7 5

5 0 0

2 5

1 ,0

0 ,1

0 ,0 1

1 9 8 0 1 9 9 0 1 9 9 5 2 0 0 01 9 8 5

1 0 0M

T ra n s is to r s M IP S

8 0 4 86

4 0 4 0

P e n tiu m P r o ce sso r

M icro 2 0 0 0

8 0 3 868 0 2 86

8 0 8 08 0 8 6

1. Electronic world

Saturation – When?

Generation no. Generation name Main object

I. Agrarian Food

II. Industrial Production

III. Post-industrial Services

IV. Information s. Information

Human Generations

Generation no. Generation name Status

I. Machine-level Slave

II. Programming Slave

III. Tools Slave

IV.Information society

Assistant / AGENTS

Computer Generations

Generation name

Duration Comm. Speed

Agrarian 3000-5000 years 3-5 km/h human

Industrial 300-500 30-50 horse, car

Post-industrial 30-50 300-500 airplane

Information 30?3000-5000 network

IS Impact on Humans (Lewis)

Human Saturation Info clock >> biological clock

Terminal velocity Conflict between biological and information clock Humans can’t cope with information overflow Solution:

WE NEED

INTELLIGENT ASSISTANTS

Discussion

Information society - technological, human, social Intelligent systems - SW generation with some degree of

intelligence Intelligence (human, artificial, technical) is essential True intelligent revolution decades away Incredible possibilities ahead of us (first technical

intelligent systems, later true AI) that may prevent saturation of human civilisation (overcrowded, shortage of oil and recources …) and jump ahead

THE FUTURE WILL BE INTELLIGENT