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Innovative Methodologies and Technologies: The PREDICT Programme Dr Sarah Berry King’s College London Dept. Nutritional Sciences

Innovative Methodologies and Technologies: The PREDICT

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Innovative Methodologies and

Technologies: The PREDICT Programme

Dr Sarah Berry

King’s College LondonDept. Nutritional Sciences

Qualit

y &

Pre

cis

ion

Quantity

PREDICT within the current nutrition landscape – big data and novel technologies

Traditional

Randomized

Controlled Trials

Big Data

Opportunities

Epidemiological

Studies

Scale

Breadth

Depth

Precision

Digital devices

Clinical devices

Remote clinical testing

Citizen science

Largest ongoing program to measure

Individual responses to food in nutritional science

Nutrition academia

Techcompanies

Jun 2018 - May 2019 Jan 2019 - May 2019

n=1,100

PREDICT - Carbs

n=100

Healthy

60% TwinsUK

Healthy Compliant

individuals from

PREDICT 1

Postprandial

responses

Meal order

Time of day

Clinic & Home

(UK/US)

Home (UK)

STATUS:

CompleteSTATUS:

Complete

Validation of remote

study delivery

Postprandial responses

Microbiome profiling

Jun 2019 – Mar 2020

n=1,000

Healthy

Ethnicity

Home (US)

STATUS:

Complete

PREDICT - Cardio

Sep 2019 - Ongoing

n=50

High/Low CVD

risk subset of

PREDICT 1 Plus

Cardiometabolic

end-points

Liver fat

Vascular function

Clinic & Home

(UK)

Continuation of

PREDICT 1

Postprandial

responses

PREDICT 1 Plus

n=900

Jun 2019 - Ongoing

Healthy

TwinsUK

Clinic & Home

(UK)

STATUS:

n=250

Postprandial responses

Dietary assessment

Microbiome profiling

July 2020

n=30,000

Healthy

Ethnicity

Chronic disease

Home (US)

STATUS:

n=5,000

P R E D I C T 2

PREDICT 1

Postprandial

responses

P R E D I C T 3P R E D I C T 1

STATUS:

Complete

https://joinzoe.com/

The PREDICT programme measures the integrated response and interrelated

multi-directional pathways

Controlled Time (Mins)

BLO

OD

Fasting 30 6015 120 180 240 2700 300 360

BLO

OD

BLO

OD

BLO

OD

BLO

OD

BLO

OD

BLO

OD

BLO

OD

BLO

OD

BLO

OD

Questionnaires

FFQ, Lifestyle &

Medical

Anthropometry

DEXA, waist/hip &

BMI

Blood pressure and heart rate

Genetics,

Clinical assays &

Metabolomics

Metabolomics,

Saliva & Urine

SA

LIV

A

SA

LIV

A

Metabolic challenge

Other test meals

Aims

Use genetic, metabolomic, metagenomic and meal-context information to predict individuals’ postprandial responses to food.

Validation Cohort

n=100

Main Cohort

n=1,002

Home Phase (Days 2-14)

Dietary Assessment

Standardisedmeals

Blood Spot tests

Digitaldevices

Stoolsamples

Study app; weighed records; in-study support

Nutritionally varied test breakfasts and lunches

TAG, C-peptide assays

Continuous glucose, physical activity and sleep monitoring

Microbiome profiling

Clinic Day 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 10 13 1411 128

Baseline Clinic Visit (Day 1)

Jun 2018 – May 2019 IRAS 236407 IRB 2018P002078 NCT03479866

2,022,000CGM glucose readings

The scale of the PREDICT 1 study data

32,000Muffins consumed

28,000TAG readings

132,000Meals logged

750,000Metabolomic measures

75 billionMetagenomic reads

Significant variability between healthy individuals

Baseline 6h rise

CV 50% 103%

Triacylglycerol Glucose

Baseline 2h iAUC

CV 10% 68%

Clinic day data, n = 1,002

What are the multiple determinants and how do they impact outcomes?

Meal contextTime of day, Meal

sequence, Exercise, SleepMicrobiome

Glycaemic control

Inflammation

Endothelial dysfunction

Meal composition

Genetics

Microbiome

Age & Sex

Blood pressure

Serum measures

Anthropometry

Habitual diet

Metabolomics

Hunger & energy intake

Exposure Outcome

What

we eat

Who

we are

How

we eat

Serum measures

Anthropometry

Glycaemic control

The determinants differ for different outcomes

Glucose Triglycerides

How can this translate to a real life setting/ dietary advice?

Machine learning

model correlates

77% to measured

glucose responses

Machine Learning model uses test results to predict responses to new meals

Individual takes test

Pearson R = 0.77; p = 0

12

Diet-health-microbiome signature; Personalized gut ‘boosters’and ‘suppressors’

E. lenta

C. leptum

F. plautii

C. bolteae

Escherichia coli

R. lactatiformans

Collinsella intestinalis

Blautia hydrogenotrophica

Clostridium sp. CAG:58

C. symbiosum

C. bolteae CAG 59

A. colihominis

C. innocuum

C. spiroforme

R. gnavus

“Good”

bugs

“Bad”

bugs

E. eligens

B. animalis

F. prausnitzii

H. parainfluenzae

Oscillibacter sp. 57 20

Oscillibacter sp. PC13

Firmicutes bacterium CAG:95

Firmicutes bacterium CAG:170

Roseburia sp. CAG:182

Clostridium sp. CAG:167

Romboutsia ilealis

Veillonella atypica

V. infantium

V. dispar

P. copri

13

The future for the ZOE PREDICT programme

Thank you

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Dr. Sarah Berry,

King’s College London

@saraheeberry

[email protected]

Conflict of interest

Dr Sarah Berry

King’s College LondonDept. Nutritional Sciences

Research grants awarded from; Almond Board of California, Malaysian Health

Ministry, ZOE Global, UK research councils

Consultancy; ZOE Global