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INTEGRATED URBAN DEVELOPMENT MASTERPLAN FOR THE CITY OF NAIROBI (NIUPLAN),
2014-2030
STAKEHOLDER MEETINGSNAIROBI CITY COUNTY
January - February 2014
1
• Background• Urban Planning• Population• Urban Transport• Infrastructure
2
Study area• Size: 695 KM2
• Population – Approximately 3 million
3
Objective of Master Plan
• To develop concepts for implementation of urban development projects for sustainable urban development and improvement of living conditions based on integrated urban development plan for Nairobi city.
4
• An Integrated Urban Development Master Plan for 16 years i.e. 2014-2030,
• An implementation and management program,
• Selected priority areas and priority projects,
5
5
Methodology
• The plan preparation process has been consultative to ensure that the participation of all stakeholders. This has been be through:
Technical working groups meetings Consultative WorkshopsMediaWebsite Individual Visits/submissions
6
7
YearMonth 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2
Study contents
Sub-contracts
SEA
SEA (PreliminaryStakeholder
Meeting
SEA (StakeholderMeetings)
Reporting
2012 2013 2014
▲IT/R
▲PR/R
▲DFR
▲IC/R
▲FR
Traffic Survey
Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA)
STEP 1i) Analysis of Current Conditionsii) Comparison with Previous Studyiii) Formulation of Socio-economic
STEP 3i) Formulation of Mid and Long Team Action Planii) Formulation of Land Use Planiii) Formulation BasicConcept of Social
STEP 2i) Formulation of Development Visions and Structure Planii) Review of Sector Development Plansiii) Formulation of Sector Demand Forecast
PPP Brief
Scoping Study
Detailed SEA Study
1 2 3
Thematic Working Groups
6 TWGs were formed through consultations. They are:• Land use and Human Settlements• Population and Urban Economy• Governance and Institutional Arrangements (capacity
development)• Environment• Urban Infrastructure (Solid Waste management ;
Storm Water and Sewerage; Telecommunication; Power Supply)
• Urban Transport ( Road, Rail, Air)
8
Why Master Plan
• Urban development of the Nairobi has not had a broad guiding spatial framework. The Nairobi Metropolitan Growth Strategy prepared in 1973 had a planning timeframe of up to the year 2000.
• The Nairobi Metropolitan Growth Strategy was not fully implemented. Many government departments and agencies developed sector plans to address their individual issues. Some include:
Master Plan Study for Urban Transport in Nairobi (2005),Nairobi Metro 2030 Strategy (2008),Nairobi Mass Rapid Transit Study (2011), Water Supply and Sewerage Plan (1998, 2012)
9
Major Urban Challenges
• Uncontrolled urban development• Insufficient infrastructure• Poor living conditions• Inadequate social facilities• Transport problems• Inadequate coordination between relevant
organizations, etc.• Influx of population, High demand for Mid-low
income housings,
10
Urban Economy• Development Direction for Nairobi 2030
Industry is identified as main engine for economic development and Generating of sustainable employment
• Priority sectors1. Construction-related development businesses (construction, consulting,
planning, design, infrastructure provision and operation, low cost housing, etc.)
2. Social development businesses (education, health, etc.)3. Professional, scientific and technical businesses4. Tourism businesses5. Wholesale and retail trade6. ICT businesses 7. Financial businesses8. Transportation and logistics businesses
11
Population frame ( 2030 )
Nairobi Metropolitan Development Scenario.• In this scenario, the population forecast for 2030
of “Spatial Planning Concept for Nairobi Metropolitan Region”.
• The City population is projected to be 5,212,500 by the year 2030 at a 4.3% growth rate annually.
12
Before 1973 M/PCity Structure before 1973 M/P is
① CBD – former depot for railway② Western highland for the Westerners
③ Northern area for Indian workers④ Eastern area for Kenyan workers⑤ Farm land in the north and west
CITY STRUCTURE
13
13
After 1973 M/P
・ 1973 M/P forecast for 2000 city wide urbanization・ In addition, urbanization beyond city border towards Thika and to the northwest.
CITY STRUCTURE
14
14
POPULATION
・ High growth areas in the east, south and west
・ Also along Thika Highway Population Growth15
15
Population Density・ High-low mix in the city・ High density in the east and northeast
Hectar
POPULATION DENSITY
16
16
High DensityHigh DensityLow DensityLow Density
Medium DensityMedium Density
Population Density(Nairobi City)
17
POPULATION DENSITY
17
■ West: low density residential area ・ Detached single houses change to apartments,offices
■ East: middle/high density residential area ・ Urbanization is expanding to east・ Development guideline does not match development needs
■ Agricultural area in suburb・ Shifting to residential use. Not enough infrastructure (sprawl)
■ Slum ・ Expanding to east along rivers and to row of road and railway
DEVELOPMENT TREND
18
5 p/ha 5 p/ha Karen, MuthaigaKaren, Muthaiga 20 p/ha 20 p/ha LavintonLavinton 30 p/ha 30 p/ha KilimaniKilimani
70 p/ha Highridge70 p/ha Highridge 100 p/ha Kangemi100 p/ha Kangemi 300 p/ha Kwangware300 p/ha Kwangware
500 p/ha Eastleagh500 p/ha Eastleagh 700 p/ha Kibera700 p/ha Kibera 1,200 p/ha Mathare1,200 p/ha Mathare
Urban condition Urban condition Population density & development pattern
19
・ Individual houses to apartments
20032012
Kilimani
Argwing Khodhek Rd.
Urban condition - CHANGE IN LAND USE
20
Kasarani ・ Dandora area2003 2012
Thika Rd.
Oute
r Rin
g Rd
.Urban conditionUrban condition Land use change
21
Urban Planning
22
• Development Vision and Structure Plan• Central Business District (CBD)
Development
Development vision
■Kenya Vision 2030・ A globally competitive an
prosperous nation with a high quality of life by 2030
■Nairobi Metropolitan 2030 Vision・ To be a world class African
metropolis, supportive of the overall national agenda articulated in Kenya Vision 2030
(e.g.)A world class working environment, A world class living environment, A world class business environment, World class metropolitan governance
Metropolitan Area
23
Development Vision for Nairobi Ideas
Discussion on Vision of Nairobi by NCC・ Key Words :
World class, Attractive, Sustainable, Competitive, Liveable・ City’s Future Image :
Balance of nature and humanity to achieve a world class cityCity of champions (long distance athletes)-world class stadiums
and sports facilitiesSAFARI city through addressing related facilities.City in the Sun-City of Jua Kali (informal sector) where residents
work under the sun・ Pillars in the Vision :
Economic, Political, Governance, Socio-cultural, Environment
24
25
Development Vision for Nairobi in 2030 Economy Environment
Governance Social Culture
Globally-attractive: Vast green spaces, good air quality, efficient land use, and well-planned urban structure.Regional Integration:Convenient urban transport, balanced and coordinated urban growth (such as development of green belts) and sustainable resource management.Sustainability: Enhanced green space conservation, effective solid waste management, and sustainable resource usage.
Globally-attractive: Balanced economic growth (geographical and sectoral), and equal economic opportunities through well-planned mixed land use and urban structure.Regional Integration: Strong linkages between commercial centres with efficient transport system, linkages between land uses, and economic linkages with neighbouring regions.Sustainability: Sufficient job opportunities, creating a balance between the economy and the environment.
Globally-attractive: Secured social services, sound urban management (sub-centre, land use and economy), and safe travel and tourism.Regional Integration:Preservation of heritage and historical assets.Sustainability: Social services, tourism, sub-centre development, and cultural identity preservation and promotion.
Globally-attractive: Effective participatory management, open to stakeholders, and accountable and transparent urban management.Regional Integration: Efficient service provision by NCC and coordination with neighbouring counties (infrastructure, resources).Sustainability: Proper urban management, urban management policy, and city management structure.
Typical Models of City Structure
26
CBDCBD
CBDCBDCBDCBDCBDCBD
CBDCBD
: Nairobi City Boundary
: Greater Nairobi
Mono core Development of self contained sub-centres
Development of minor settlements along transport corridors
connecting 2 centres
Development of settlements along corridor and ring.
Development of 2 level of corridor within
Nairobi city and greater Nairobi
Current
Proposed Development Vision for CBD
27
Proposals on Urban Planning -CBD Development
“Compact urban centre that is creative, livable, green, efficient, competitive and inclusive”
“Compact urban centre that is creative, livable, green, efficient, competitive and inclusive”
Development Plan
28
CBD Development
Existing network Proposed
roads Educational
Mixed Use of CI
Mixed Use of RC
Mixed Use of RC
Residential
Mixed Use of CI
Educational
RecreationalResidential
Challenge Lack of road connectivity Existence of low-utilized lands Inefficient land use (Bus terminals, high-dense small plots)
Development proposal Provide for integrated road network Enhancement of transport system Proposal of new land use plan suitable to current urban
condition Road Network Plan Land Use Plan
1. Chronic State of Traffic Congestion– Compared with the traffic condition in 2004, traffic congestion has worsened over
the time in extent and area. Since the growth in population as well as sharp increase in car ownership is inevitable in future, quick fix type of measures will not solve the problem fundamentally.
2. Radial Network System– The network system in Nairobi is mainly composed of a radial pattern focusing to
the CBD as its centre. Moreover most essential radial roads also function as the international transport axes
3. Increase in Incoming vehicles to Nairobi– Traffic flow into Nairobi City area will also grow rapidly. Most of incoming traffic
seems to have a destination in the city centre area.
4. Inefficient Public Transport– A large number of passengers awaiting bus or matatu are observed in the peak
hours, but facilities such as bus stops are inappropriate and the time table is seldom prepared. In some areas, the quality of public transport services is insufficient, which causes an extensive use of private vehicles.
29
Transport Sector – Issues of Concern
5.Inefficient Traffic Management– Evidently manual traffic control by a police officers is not efficient to achieve
the maximum capacity of intersections. Introduction of system control of signals is necessary immediately.
6.Poor Non Motorised Transport(NMT) Provision– While pedestrian crossings and pedestrian signals are not sufficiently installed
in Nairobi, NMT especially pedestrians are exposed to danger as the traffic volume increases. In the current condition, women, children and persons with disability will have difficulty of travel not only in the city centre but also in
suburban area.
30
Transport sector issues of concernTransport sector issues of concern
31
Traffic Survey Results and Analysis
No. Type of Survey Method and Survey Volume
1 Person Trip Survey Household interview: 10,000 households
2 Cordon Line Survey Roadside interview: 14 points (12hr)Roadside traffic counts: 10 points (12hr)Roadside traffic counts: 4 points (24hr) Vehicle type: 8 types including pedestrian
3 Screen Line Survey Roadside traffic counts: 10 points (12hr)Roadside traffic counts: 5 points (24hr)Vehicle type: 8types including pedestrian
4 Traffic Counts Survey Roadside traffic counts: 30 points (12hr)
Intersection traffic counts: 20 intersections (12hr)
5 Public Transport User Survey
Interview to 1,500 passengers at major terminals in Nairobi city centre
6 Vehicle Speed Survey Survey route: 15 arterial routesThree times a day (morning, afternoon and evening)
7 Stated Preference Survey Number of samples: 2,000Interview to household members at the person trip survey
Summary of Traffic Survey
32
Cordon Line Survey Results
Traffic Survey Results and Analysis
121,096
204,675
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2004 2013
Total24hrVehicles
815
64,910
5,37911,187
34,926
3,8798,052
101,750
21,355 17,755
41,900
13,863
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
Mot
orcy
cle
Priv
ate
Car
Ligh
t Tru
ck
Hea
vy T
ruck
Mat
atu
Larg
e Bu
s
2004
2013
Comparison of Total traffic with 2004 Survey (24hrs)
Comparison of Number of vehicles by Type with 2004 Survey
• Compared with 2004 traffic survey, total traffic increased by 1.69 times in 2013 (almost doubled)
33
Screen Line Survey Results
Traffic Survey Results and Analysis
251,728
418,885
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
2004 2013
Total 24hrVehicles
2,163
147,387
10,963 16,272
67,116
7,82720,381
253,298
32,929 16,411
71,967
23,900
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Mot
orcy
cle
Priv
ate
Car
Ligh
t Tru
ck
Hea
vy T
ruck
Mat
atu
Larg
e Bu
s
2004
2013
Comparison of Total traffic with 2004 Survey (24hrs)
Comparison of Number of vehicles by Type with 2004 Survey
• Compared with 2004 traffic survey, total traffic increased by 1.66 times.• Private car increased 106 thousand which occupies 63% of total increase.• Motorcycle increased 9.4 times and light truck increased 3.0 times. Increase in
private vehicles is remarkable.
Total traffic of all the cordon line survey points
Total traffic on A104 and A2
46,000 vehicles are passing through city area. 84,000 vehicles are coming into city area and 86,0000 vehicles are going out of city area.
34
Cordon Line Survey Results
Traffic Survey Results and Analysis
35
Cordon Line Survey Results
Traffic Survey Results and Analysis
0.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.0
10.0
6.0
-7.0
7.0
- 8.
0
8.0
- 9.
0
9.0
- 10
.0
10.0
- 1
1.0
11.0
- 1
2.0
12.0
- 1
3.0
13.0
- 1
4.0
14.0
- 1
5.0
15.0
- 1
6.0
16.0
- 1
7.0
17.0
- 1
8.0
18.0
- 1
9.0
19.0
- 2
0.0
20.0
- 2
1.0
21.0
- 2
2.0
22.0
- 2
3.0
23.0
- 2
4.0
24.0
- 1
.0
1.0
- 2.
0
2.0
- 3.
0
3.0
- 4.
0
4.0
- 5.
0
5.0
- 6.
0
Perc
enta
ge
Hourly Variation in 2013
To Nairobi
From Nairobi
0.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.0
10.0
6.0
-7.0
7.0
- 8.
0
8.0
- 9.
0
9.0
- 10
.0
10.0
- 1
1.0
11.0
- 1
2.0
12.0
- 1
3.0
13.0
- 1
4.0
14.0
- 1
5.0
15.0
- 1
6.0
16.0
- 1
7.0
17.0
- 1
8.0
18.0
- 1
9.0
19.0
- 2
0.0
20.0
- 2
1.0
21.0
- 2
2.0
22.0
- 2
3.0
23.0
- 2
4.0
24.0
- 1
.0
1.0
- 2.
0
2.0
- 3.
0
3.0
- 4.
0
4.0
- 5.
0
5.0
- 6.
0
Per
cent
age
Hourly variation in 2004
To Nairobi
From Nairobi
Hourly variation in 2013
Hourly variation in 2004
Morning peak hours and evening peak hours expanded to early morning and late evening.
Morning Peak Hour
Evening Peak Hour
Vehicle speed does not slow down much on the international road (A104, A2). But vehicle speed slow down much on radial road crossing the A104 and A2.
36
Vehicle Speed Survey Results
Traffic Survey Results and Analysis
37
Person Trip Survey Results – Car Ownership
Traffic Survey Results and Analysis
3.1% 2.3%7.0% 6.2%
2.5%7.4% 5.2% 3.4%
1.5% 1.9%
2.9% 2.9%
1.1%
4.7%2.6%
1.9%3.7% 4.6%
7.0% 7.9%
4.6%
41.9%
8.6%17.1%
0.2% 0.0%
0.3% 0.1%
0.4%
2.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2% 0.1%
0.1% 0.3%
0.4%
0.6%
0.0%
0.2%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Large Zone
OthersTruckCar/4WDMotorcycleBicycle
Car Ownership Rate by Large Zone
Car Ownership Rate by Household Income
• Car ownership rate increased to 0.290 from 0.233 in 2004.• Ownership rate varies by large zone , and ownership rate in zone 6
(Westlands) is highest.
Right: Ownership rateLeft: Total number of owned car
38
2004
2013
• Person trip of east-west direction increased larger than north south direction.
• Concentration of person trip into city center will increase more.
Person Trip Survey Results – Trip Distribution
Traffic Survey Results and Analysis
(0.000)
(0.500)
(1.000)
(1.500)
(2.000)
(2.500)
(3.000)
(3.500)
2013 2018 2023 2030
Population
Number of Household
Number of Private Car
Car Ownership Rate perHousehold
Comparison of Increase rate of Indices
Source: JICA Study Team (JST)39
Methodology of Future Demand Forecast
Future Framework
40
Transport Network
Existing Road Network
Functional Class
Road Class
Functional Class
Alternative Descriptive Term
ARTERIAL OR TRUNK
S - Super HighwayA International Major ArterialB National Minor Arterial
ARTERIALH Major Arterial HighwayJ Minor Arterial Principal Arterial
COLLECTORK Major Collector Primary DistributorL Minor Collector District Distributor
LOCAL
M Major Local Shopping / Local street
N Minor LocalNon-residential access (industrial / government / commerce, etc)
P Local Access Residential access
Road Network proposed in 2006 M/P (NUTRANS)
Legend201020152025New DevelopmentWidening
41
Transport Network
Progress of Road Improvement after 2006 M/P (NUTRANS)
42
Transport Network
• Road development in short term plan of 2006 M/P has not been completed.
• Road development outside urbanized area has made progress.
43
Proposed 9 corridors for Mass Rapid Transport Plans
Legend
Bus Rapid TransitLight Rail TransitMetro RailCommuter RailTransit HubTransit TerminalTransit Interchange
Issues for infrastructure
・ Infrastructure plans exist but many are not implemented due to lack of budget, poor coordination among agencies and lack of information sharing (population, land use plan)
Water supply・ Lack of measures for improvement of UFW (Unaccounted for Water)・ Old facilities (most is constructed in 1950s and 1960s)
Sewerage/drainage・ Lack of capacity (treatment volume/quantity)
Infrastructure – Water & Sewerage
44
45
Proposals on Infrastructure
Water Supply ChallengesMaster plan of water supply for Nairobi City with the target for
completion in 2035 has been prepared by AWSB supported by WB and AFD. This plan didn’t consider assumption on the water loss.
Development Policies The development of water supply is carried out as per the master
plan. Water resources and the facilities are located outside Nairobi City.
Thus, an agreement of counties on the development of water supply facilities for Nairobi City is necessary.
Depending on the improvement level of the water loss, the revising the master plan of the development needs to be studied.
Infrastructure Cont’d - Storm Water Drainage and Sewerage
46
Storm Water Drainage Challenge:The development of storm water drainage
in Nairobi City is likely to focus on the localized drainage network.
Development policy : The storm water drainage should be developed in the manner of integrating the river and localized drainage networks as a system.
Sewerage Water Challenge 1: the water quality data of the effluent from
the STW indicate that the values of BOD, COD and TSS do not meet the effluent standards of Kenya.
Challenge 2: A sewerage collection rate is regarded as 35% of city area.
Development policy: the sewerage water system should be developed in view of above.
Water Environment Capacity for environment management should be
enhanced
Challenges and Development PoliciesNairobi River
Ruiruak River
CBD
SewerSewer (Planned)
DrainDrain (Planned)
Nairobi River and Tributaries
Localized Drainage Network
Infrastructure Cont’d - Power Supply
47
Challenges The land of transmission line needs to
be utilized effectively. It may be necessary to share mapping
data for infrastructure management. High tariff (tariff for street lights is
higher for the tariff for industry use) Need to investigate power supply
capacity for railway development Development Policies
Appropriate Planning for renewable energy Sector
Development based on the Concept of Sub-Centres
Current Wide Wayleaves of Transmission Line
48
Infrastructure Cont’d - Solid Waste Management Challenges
Insufficient collection system and recycle system Negative effect to surrounding area because of opened dumping site Insufficient disposal management framework
Development Policies Implementation of environmental, social, economic and technical friendly
disposal management Construction of framework for related management organizations Capacity development of disposal management
Upgrading of Local Access
Network
Upgrading of Nairobi Metro
Trunk Communication
Network
National Backbone Communication
Network
Mobile
Office Building
Residence
: Main Exchange
: Local Exchange
: Fiber Optic Ring
【Legend】
Challenges・ Local access network from local exchange
is not expanded to all end users・ Capacity of metro trunk communication
network is insufficient
Telecommunication Development Concept
Infrastructure - Telecommunications
49
50
Infrastructure Cont’d -Telecommunications
Features High penetration rate of mobile phone and internet Environmental concerns because of individual development of telecom
infrastructure by telecom companies Development Policies
Stable high speed telecommunication network and accessibility Network between government and telecom companies (e.g. development of
common infrastructure) Improvement of regulations and laws Promotion of e-government
Governance & Institutional Arrangements
57
Institutions• Issues of 1973 Nairobi Strategic Plan
Recommendation has not been realized Measures for private fund promotion is not clear Capacity of Nairobi City Council (then) was not fully utilized in terms of
number and skills Legal framework was not developed Lack of commitment and political will
• Institutional issues Development control: Linkage (coordination) between building
control and development control is not clear for development control Urban development management: Spatial development and
infrastructure development are weak Private sector promotion: private sector investment scheme and
incentive is weak Public participation: public awareness/understanding of urban
development is weak
58
Basic Policy for Institutional Strengthening
59
Integrate Urban Development Master Plan for Nairobi
Development Control Urban (spatial) Development
Projects
Infrastructure management
Private Sector Promotion
Community Awareness
Urban Management Mechanism
Management support mechanism
Strategy1 : Strengthening of Development Control
• Comprehensive development control mechanism
60
Land Development Control
•Land use zoning regulation•Building facility, floor area ratio, building coverage ratio•Relation between site and roads•Restriction in fire protection zone
Building Control•Safety: structure, fire prevention, building equipment•Rules related to zoning regulation
Technical Standard•Facility requirement•Development condition
Development Control
Mechanism
Strategy 2: Facilitation of urban development schemes
• Urban development schemes for CBD and sub-centre development Land re-adjustment project, land re-development project
Key features• Change and improvement of land condition, Securing necessary public space,
Designation of the land re-adjustment project in urban planning, Fair and transparent legal procedure, Preservation of private land rights, Consensus building among land right holders, Fair sharing of profit and cost
61
Before After
Land Re-plotting
Land Re-plotting
Reserve LandReserve Land
Road
Park
Land ContributionLand Contribution
A
B
CD
E
FG H
I J K
A
BCD
EF
G H
J KI
G G
Basic Model of LR
Strategy 3: Infrastructure development management
mechanism• Coordination management
Streamline approvals for utilities according to a common system
Enforce the current two-year infrastructure audit requirement
Manage the costs of maintaining infrastructure by cost sharing among users
Agree on affordable charges for infrastructure provisionEnsure quality control and reinstatements
• Information sharingPolicies for data base management by GIS
62
Strategy 4: Private sector promotion scheme
Development control: For effective execution of development control, private sector including developers has to understand the rule. Control mechanism proposed in (i) above has to be disseminated to developers for understanding of the rule.
Urban development: A PPP framework is often used for urban development. Regulation for private sector development promotion including an incentive for development, clear definition of the government role in supporting private sector development has to be developed
63
Strategy 5: Information dissemination scheme
Master Plan, control measures and development mechanism
Website managementCivil education to promote awareness on
urban development management rules
64
Thank you
65