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INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICS AS – F581

Introduction to Economics Week

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INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMICSAS – F581

INTRODUCTION Background Why study economics? What to expect from this unit? What is expected of you?

Plagiarism Homework Mock Exam

WHAT IS ECONOMICS? Economics is the study of how people choose to use resources. "Economics is the study of people in the ordinary business of life."

-- Alfred Marshall, Principles of economics; an introductory volume (London: Macmillan, 1890)

"Economics is the science which studies human behaviour as a relationship between given ends and scarce means which have alternative uses."-- Lionel Robbins, An Essay on the Nature and Significance of Economic Science (London: MacMillan, 1932)

Economics is the "study of how societies use scarce resources to produce valuable commodities and distribute them among different people."-- Paul A. Samuelson, Economics (New York: McGraw-Hill, 1948)

ECONOMICS IS….. Economics is the study of how we choose to use limited resources to obtain the

maximum satisfaction of unlimited human wants.

This definition has four parts that we need to discuss:

the "study of" economics choice scarcity maximizing satisfaction

OH CHOICES!!! aa

VS

ACTIVITY 1 Make a in your own words of some of the

economic choices at Your personal level Your family level Organisational Level The country level

SCARCITY….. The reason why I didn't have a castle, or the reason why you

don't have everything that you want is because of SCARCITY. Scarcity highlights another point…….the point of demand.

Scarcity in economics doesn’t mean that something is limited in resources but it means that something in limited and is not wanted/demanded.

SCARCITY EXAMPLE Scarcity does not mean that only a little of something is available.

For example, I grew up in Multan, Pakistan . About 30 miles away from my hometown was the town of Murkaan. Just outside of town a certain type of rock exists that occurs nowhere else in the world. They have named it “Murkanite". Murkanite is only found near Murkaan, Pakistan and only a little of it has ever been found. BUT IT IS NOT SCARCE. -- WHY? - -

Because nobody wants it. For there to be scarcity things must be LIMITED and WANTED. There is plenty of MURKINITE and it IS NOT SCARCE because nobody wants it.

If I own a PS3 I would want unlimited games or the latest model of PS3.

WANTS AND NEEDS They are unlimited A need is something that can be seen as being essential to

survival, such as food, water, shelter and warmth. A want is something that we would like to have but which is

not essential to survival - a car, the latest version of the PlayStation, that new top you have seen in Top Shop, the

mobile phone with all the latest gadgets on etc.

COORDINATION PROBLEM With so many decision makers in the economy how do we coordinate

the wants and needs for all of them? How do we make them coherent? For this we need to understand the economic systems.

Market Economy Centrally Planned Economy Mixed Economy

Economy? The ways people try to fulfil their wants and needs. Incentives: Tax Breaks? Scrap car scheme? Money?

ECONOMY TYPES Market economy: Market forces are allowed to guide the allocation (distribution?)

of resources. Prices play an important role. Role of competition

Centrally Planned Economy: Government undertakes the coordination role (allocation). Administratively a costly option Soviet bloc in 1990s, North Korea, Chavez, Cuba.

Mixed Economy: Market Forces + Government Intervention Should governments be market friendly? Incentives VS. State Directives

SOME BASIC QUESTIONS. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v

=t0rvubUAc7Y&feature=related

Watch for 2 minutes.

MICRO AND MACRO Microeconomics is the study of how

households and firms make decisions in markets.

Macroeconomics is the study of issues that affect economies as a whole, i.e., unemployment, fiscal, monetary etc.

ACTIVITY 2 Divide issues you came up with in Activity one

in Micro and Macro. BBC website economics articles The Economist article

http://www.economist.com/businessfinance/economicsfocus/

Problem revolves around three Concepts

1 Scarcity2 Choice 3 Opportunity Costs

SO WHAT IS A RESOURCE? Finite, scarce or limited Renewable, Perishable, Natural, Basic Types:

Land Labour Capital Entrepreneurship/Enterprise

Resources available in an economy are called factors of production.

RESOURCES.

http://www.harpercollege.edu/mhealy/eco212i/lectures/5es/5es.htm

HOMEWORKExplain and make a mind map, poster, or

other presentation of the economic problem as it affects yourself, your family or country.

AS ECONOMICSLecture 2

RECALL - SO WHAT IS A RESOURCE? Finite, scarce or limited Renewable, Perishable, Natural, Basic Types:

Land Labour Capital Entrepreneurship/Enterprise

Resources available in an economy are called factors of production.

LAND

Land includes all of the natural physical resources – for example the ability to exploit fertile farm land, the benefits from a temperate climate or the ability to harness wind and solar power and other forms of renewable energy. Some nations are richly endowed with natural resources and then specialise in the extraction and production of these resources – for example – the development of the North Sea oil and gas in Britain and Norway or the high productivity of the vast expanse of farm land in Canada and the United States and the oil sands in Alberta, Canada. Other countries have a smaller natural factor endowment and may be more reliant on importing these resources. Japan for example is the world’s second largest economy but remains heavily dependent on imported oil.

LABOUR Labour is the human input into the production

process.  It is inevitable that some workers are more productive than others because of the education, training and work experience they have received. What matters is the size and quality of the workforce. An increase in the size and the quality of the labour force is vital if a country wants to achieve economic growth. In recent years the issue of the migration of labour has become important, can migrant workers help to solve some of the labour shortages that many countries experience? And what of the long-term effects on the countries who suffer a drain or loss of workers through migration?

CAPITAL

To an economist, investment is not the money that people put into the stock market or into bank and building society accounts. Instead, in economics the term capital means investment in capital goods that can then be used to produce other consumer goods and services in the future. Fixed capital includes machinery, plant and equipment,

new technology, factories and other buildings. Working capital refers to stocks of finished and semi-

finished goods (or components) that will be either consumed in the near future or will be made into finished consumer goods.

CAPITAL CONTINUED…Capital inputs and productivity New items of capital machinery, buildings or technology are

generally used to enhance the productivity of labour. For example, improved technology in farming has vastly increased the productivity of our agricultural sector and allowed people to move out of working on the land into more valuable jobs in other parts of the economy. And, investment in information and communication technology can increase the efficiency of workers across many industries.

Infrastructure Infrastructure is the stock of capital used to support the entire

economic system. Examples of infrastructure include road & rail networks; airports & docks; telecommunications eg cables and satellites to enable web access. The World Bank regards infrastructure as an essential pillar for economic growth in developing countries.

The Gatwick Express – the railway infrastructure is an essential part of our transport network

The global oil and gas industry uses a huge amount of capital equipment to get the product – crude oil – to the refineries and processing stages.

ENTREPRENEURSHIP

An entrepreneur is an individual who seeks to supply products to a market for a rate of return (i.e. to make a profit).

Entrepreneurs will usually invest their own financial capital in a business (for example their savings) and take on the risks associated with a business investment. The reward to this risk-taking is the profit made from running the business.

Many economists agree that entrepreneurs are in fact a specialised part of the factor input 'labour'. 

OPPORTUNITY COST The cost of next best alternative thing forgone

when a choice is made.

EXERCISE 1.1 Andrew has just started his AS courses, and

has chosen to take economics, mathematics, geography and French. Although he was certain about the first three, it was a close call between French and English. What is Andrew’s opportunity cost of choosing French?

SOLUTION 1.1

TRADE-OFFS A trade-off (or tradeoff) is a situation that

involves losing one quality or aspect of something in return for gaining another quality or aspect. It implies a decision to be made with full comprehension of both the upside and downside of a particular choice.

It is a situation that involves calculation. Same value??

Opportunity Cost and the PPC Economists love making models and assumptions.

Why? Because the world is complicated and models provide simplified versions of reality.

For example, If I am to measure how many of you would get A grades if you just take notes then I would have to make model whereby I could assume that in that model (unreal world) no book exists, no other academic help exists, no websites, you get the picture. The reason I am modelling this is because you could learn from other resources if you want to but there is no way of measuring the relationship between taking notes and getting grades if I don’t take out the other factors.

Curves Economists rely heavily on diagrams to help

in their analysis. Production possibility curve (PPC) shows the

maximum combinations of quantities between two goods or services that can be produced in a set period of time given the available resources and technology.

Production Possibility Frontiers Show the different combinations of goods and services that can

be produced with a given amount of resources No ‘ideal’ point on the curve Any point inside the curve – suggests resources are not being

utilised efficiently Any point outside the curve – not attainable with the current level

of resources Useful to demonstrate economic growth and opportunity cost

0

1

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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Units of clothing (millions)

Un

its o

f foo

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ion

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Units of food Units of clothing (millions) (millions)

8m 0.0 7m 2.2m 6m 4.0m 5m 5.0m 4m 5.6m 3m 6.0m 2m 6.4m 1m 6.7m 0 7.0m

A production possibility curveA production possibility curve

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a 8m 0.0 7m 2.2m 6m 4.0m 5m 5.0m 4m 5.6m 3m 6.0m 2m 6.4m 1m 6.7m 0 7.0m

a

A production possibility curveA production possibility curve

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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Units of clothing (millions)

Un

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Units of food Units of clothing (millions) (millions)

8m 0.0b 7m 2.2m 6m 4.0m 5m 5.0m 4m 5.6m 3m 6.0m 2m 6.4m 1m 6.7m 0 7.0m

b

A production possibility curveA production possibility curve

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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Units of clothing (millions)

Un

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Units of food Units of clothing (millions) (millions)

8m 0.0 7m 2.2mc 6m 4.0m 5m 5.0m 4m 5.6m 3m 6.0m 2m 6.4m 1m 6.7m 0 7.0m

c

A production possibility curveA production possibility curve

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Un

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Units of food Units of clothing (millions) (millions)

8m 0.0 7m 2.2m 6m 4.0m 5m 5.0m 4m 5.6m 3m 6.0m 2m 6.4m 1m 6.7m 0 7.0m

A production possibility curveA production possibility curve

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Un

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x

A production possibility curveA production possibility curve

w

Andrew has to finish his homework of 5 economics questions and 5 maths questions in limited time period----What to do? Add fig 1.1

Homework Hand ins Recap

Production Possibility Frontiers

Capital Goods

Consumer Goods

Yo

Xo

A (Xo, Yo)

BY1

X1

Assume a country can produce two types of goods with its resources – capital goods and consumer goods

If it devotes all resources to capital goods it could produce a maximum of Ym.

If it devotes all its resources to consumer goods it could produce a maximum of Xm

Ym

Xm

If the country is at point A on the PPF It can produce the combination of Yo capital goods and Xo consumer goods

If it reallocates its resources (moving round the PPF from A to B) it can produce more consumer goods but only at the expense of fewer capital goods. The opportunity cost of producing an extra X1 - Xo consumer goods is Yo – Y1 capital goods.

Units of clothing (millions)

Un

its o

f foo

d (

mill

ion

s)Increasing opportunity costsIncreasing opportunity costs

x

y

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

1

1

z1

2

Economic Growth Growth is triggered by investment in capital

goods.Total output in an economy in a given period is measured by its GDP (Gross Domestic Product)

Production Possibility Frontiers

Capital Goods

Consumer Goods

Yo

Xo

A

.B

CY1

X1

Production inside the PPF – e.g. point B means the country is not using all its resources

It can only produce at points outside the PPF if it finds a way of expanding its resources or improves the productivity of those resources it already has. This will push the PPF further outwards.

Fig 1.2

Scarcity

Inefficiency

Increase in one variable Increase in television productivity

Activity The car production industry in an economy is

facing increasing competition from producers elsewhere. In order to offset this, car manufacturers have developed more advanced robots to carry out production.

1. Draw PPC assuming1200 cars can be produced

2. Approximately how many more cars can be produced when the number of television sets made is 1,000?

3. How does the number of cars that can be produced change as television production falls below 1,000?

Increase in productive capacity – Both variables Productive Potential – Positive Growth

Decrease in productive capacity Productive Potential – Negative Growth

SPECIALISATION & DIVISION OF LABOUR How many workers does it take to make a pin? 18th century economist, Adam Smith suggested

that 10 people are needed to make a pin. A worker on its own produced 20 pins if he/she

carried out all the steps by himself. But, 10 workers produced 200 pins If pin process broken down into 10 different

stages then number produced shot up to 48,000. This is called Division of Labour.

COLIN AND DEBBIE’S PRODUCTION TABLE 1.1

Colin

Pots Bracelets

12 0

9 3

6 6

3 9

0 12

Debbie

Pots Bracelets

18 0

12 12

6 24

3 30

0 36What strategy (combination) be used to get the maximum productivity and avail from their respective specialisation?

ACTIVITY Calculating Opportunity cost for Debbie

To make pots; 18/36 = 0.5 To make bracelets; 36/18 = 2 Calculating Opportunity cost for Colin To make pots; 12/12 = 1 To make bracelets; 12/12 = 1

It doesn’t really matter for Colin but as Debbie is extremely good at making bracelets Colin would be better off concentrating on making pots. Resulting in 6 extra bracelets in the same time period.

MONEY AND EXCHANGE In order for a barter (exchange) to occur there has

to be a double occurrence of wants in at least two parties.

Money makes life simpler by becoming a portable medium of exchange. Money has the following characteristics; Store of Value: Money should be able to be used in

the future. Unit of account: everybody in the market should

agree on the units, dollars? Pounds? Dollar = ? Standard of deferred payment: People may need to

enter into a contract. I am paid after a month, good from a factory may be paid upon arrival or after 30 days.

HOMEWORK Essay on specialisation. How does it address

the problem of scarcity?

Would you like to go through the book? Any questions from the book? Next Week Mock Exam

AS ECONOMICSThe Nature of Demand and Supply

Administrative Functions and Learning Outcome Homework Mark sheet 5-10 minutes. Mock Exam on Wednesday. Do you need extra

time for your homework submission? Anonymous feedback questionnaire. Frontor Apology!!! Problems with Graphs?

LEARNING OUTCOMES

Introduction to the notion of demand for a good or service

Relationship between price and demand Law of demand demand curve Movement along the curve and a shift in the

curve Normal and inferior goods

WHAT IS DEMAND The quantity of a good or service that

consumers choose to buy at any possible price in a given period.

4 things influence demand for a good Price Price of other things (substitutes) Income Other personal preferences

CHOICES INDIVIDUALS CHOOSE DIFFERENT PEOPLE VALUE THINGS

DIFFERENTLY PEOPLE USE MARKETS TO EXCHANGE WHEN YOU STUDY THE MARKET, YOU

STUDY YOURSELF

DEMAND

THE AMOUNT OF A GOOD OR SERVICE THAT A CONSUMER IS WILLING AND ABLE TO BUY AT

VARIOUS POSSIBLE PRICES DURING A GIVEN TIME PERIOD

Expressed in quantity on demand curve.

QUANTITY DEMANDED

THE AMOUNT OF A GOOD OR SERVICE THAT A CONSUMER IS WILLING AND ABLE TO BUY AT EACH PARTICULAR PRICE

DURING A GIVEN TIME PERIOD

CETERIS PARIBUS Latin. other things being equal. http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/ceteris+paribus A ceteris paribus assumption is often fundamental to the

predictive purpose of scientific inquiry. In order to formulate scientific laws, it is usually necessary to rule out factors which interfere with examining a specific causal relationship. Under scientific experiments, the ceteris paribus assumption is realized when a scientist controls for all of the independent variables other than the one under study, so that the effect of a single independent variable on the dependent variable can be isolated. By holding all the other relevant factors constant, a scientist is able to focus on the unique effects of a given factor in a complex causal situation.

Such assumptions are also relevant to the descriptive purpose of modeling a theory. In such circumstances, analysts such as physicists, economists, and behavioral psychologists apply simplifying assumptions in order to devise or explain an analytical framework that does not necessarily prove cause and effect but is still useful for describing fundamental concepts within a realm of inquiry.

THE DEMAND CURVE

The demand curve is the downward-sloping line that shows in graph form the quantities demanded at each possible price.

DEMAND AND THE PRICE OF A GOOD

• Inversely proportional

LAW OF DEMAND

AN INCREASE IN A GOODS PRICE CAUSES A DECREASE IN THE QUANTITY DEMANDED AND A DECREASE IN PRICE CAUSES

AN INCREASE IN THE QUANTITY DEMANDED

FACTORS THAT EFFECT DEMAND

INCOME EFFECT – Any increase or decrease in consumer’s purchasing power caused by a change in price

SUBSTITUTION EFFECT – The substitution of similar, lower priced products.

DIMINISHING MARGINAL UTILITY – Satisfaction declines as more is consumed

DETERMINANTS OF DEMAND CONSUMER TASTES AND PREFERENCES MARKET SIZE INCOME PRICE OF RELATED GOODS

SUBSTITUTE AND COMPLEMENTARY

CONSUMER EXPECTATIONS

HOMEWORK Mock Exam

http://www.bized.co.uk/educators/16-19/economics/markets/activity/demandsupply.htm

SHIFT AND MOVEMENT ALONG THE DEMAND CURVE

Change in priceChange

in quantity

DEMAND AND CONSUMER INCOMES Normal Goods

Goods where the quantity demanded increases in response to an increase in consumer incomes e.g. foreign holidays.

Inferior Goods Goods where the quantity demanded

decreases in response to an increase in consumer incomes, e.g. bus journeys

DEMAND AND CONSUMER INCOME

If you have more income, you could then demand certain things more, such as more of holidays.

Notice that demand curve shifts to the right because of the change in the quantity demanded.

DEMAND AND CONSUMER INCOME But then there are certain

goods or service that you would demand less if your income rises.

If you can afford a car then you would probably travel less by bus.

Such goods are known as inferior goods.

Notice the shift towards the left in the curve.

DRAWING A GRAPH BETWEEN INCOME AND QUANTITY DEMANDED For a normal good demand and income are directly

proportional For an inferior good the demand and income are inversely

proportional

SNOB EFFECT Pointed out by Thorstein Veblen at the end of

nineteenth century. Conspicuous (attracting special attention)

consumption The argument is that some people would regard

some goods highly simply because they are expensive. Rolex Watches, Luxusry Cars etc.

It is to do with the joy people get when other people around them notice them wearing those goods.

DEMAND AND THE PRICE OF OTHER GOODS Substitutes

Two goods are said to be substitutes if the demand for one good is likely to rise if the price of the other good rises.

CONSUMER SURPLUS The extra amount that a consumer is willing to

pay for a product above the price that is actually paid.

Lets look at the Supply Side of Things. Supply

Quantity Supplied by a firm Firm

An organisation that brings together the factors of production to in order to produce output.

Sole proprietor, partnership, public, private, limited etc. Competitive Market

A market in which individual market can not influence the price of good or service they are selling because of competitions from other firms.

Price war, price aggression discussed leter

SUPPLYTHE QUANTITY OF GOODS

AND SERVICES THAT PRODUCERS ARE WILLING

TO OFFER AT VARIOUS POSSIBLE PRICES DURING A

GIVEN TIME PERIOD

QUANTITY SUPPLIED

THE AMOUNT OF A GOOD OR SERVICE THAT A PRODUCER IS

WILLING TO SELL AT A PARTICULAR PRICE

The Supply Curve A graph showing the

quantity supplied at any given price.

The Supply Curve is the upward-sloping line that shows in graph form the quantities supplied at each possible price.

LAW OF SUPPLYPRODUCERS SUPPLY MORE GOODS

AND SERVICES WHEN THEY CAN SELL THEM AT HIGHER PRICES AND

FEWER GOODS AND SERVICES WHEN THEY MUST SELL THEM AT

LOWER PRICES

PROFIT

THE AMOUNT OF MONEY REMAINING AFTER

PRODUCERS HAVE PAID ALL OF THEIR COSTS

Exercise 3.1

Determinants (Influences) of Supply Production Cost The technology of production Taxes and subsidies Price of related goods Firms’ expectations about future prices

COSTS OF PRODUCTION WAGES AND SALARIES

RENT INTEREST ON LOANS

BILLS RAW MATERIALS

ANY OTHER GOODS AND SERVICES

Fixed Costs VS Variable Costs

Supply curve shift to the left Shifts to the

left when production costs increase.

Technology Firms are there to

maximise profits Improved

technology means firms can produce more cost effectively i.e. cheaper

Taxes and Subsidies VAT The price paid by consumers will be higher than the

revenue received by the firms.

Prices of other goods Substitution in firm’s factors of production i.e.

a firm may be able to produce a range of different products. For example, a farmer may switch to growing swedes from potatoes if there is no price difference between potatoes and swedes.

Expected Prices Production is time consuming that is why

firms take supply decisions on the basis of expected future prices.

With greater time period comes higher risk therefore higher returns e.g. commodity, oil, wine, bonds, financial instruments.

Movements along and shifts of the supply curve If price changes there

would be a movement along the curve

However, as with demand curve, a change with any other influences (tax, cost & technology etc.) would cause a shift in the curve. As firms decisions to supply would depend on these influences (determinants)

GROUP DISCUSSION The Heatwave of 2003 During the summer of 2003, the UK experienced record temperatures as a heatwave

swept across the country. The hot weather encouraged people to visit coastal regions for the weekend, to take short break holidays in the UK rather than abroad and to get outside to enjoy the sunny weather. Such a scenario is likely to have an impact on the demand and supply of a number of different items.

Look at the items below: Ice creams Pimms Beer Wheat Hotel rooms Lettuce Barley Barbeque charcoal Beef burgers Maize Garden swings Explain what you think is likely to happen to the demand and the supply of these items.

Try to offer some ideas as to how far the demand and supply would change and why. What would you expect to happen to the price of these items? Explain your answer

fully.

Now you have made some predictions, let's look at some facts:

Sales of ice cream doubled in some parts of the country. Hardware stores reported sharp increases in the sales of

garden swings and barbeque charcoal. Sales of Pimms rose by 300% compared to the same

period the year before; beer sales also rose dramatically. Sales of salad items and barbeque food rose by around

40%. Hotel bookings at many resorts were significantly up on last

year and in many places a reservation was hard to find! Supply of wheat, rice, maize and barley look as though they

could be hit badly as predictions for harvests look gloomy. The price of most ice creams, salad items and so on did not

rise in general during the heat wave although there may have been some differences on a regional basis. The likes of Tesco and Sainsbury would almost certainly not have raised prices but some local ice cream sellers may well have done. How would you explain this?

The price of grain following the summer was predicted to rise. What impact might this increase in price of wheat, barley and maize have on other markets?

HOMEWORK Lets play!! Know your group. Check Fronter. Exchange email contact

details. Here are the rules:

No group would have more than 12 minutes of presentation.

It is up to you to determine how many slides you want to go through.

Every one in the group would have to take part in the group presentation.

If any member of the group is not contributing, let me know.

GROUP PRESENTATION COMPETITION I want you to give me a group presentation on any

of the topics that we have gone through so far. Winner Decision:

Content of the presentation Delivery of the presentation. Popular/democratic vote. Weightage of my assessment. Presentation due next Wednesday!!

Winner group would get a ‘commendation statement on their profile on centime’. This would prove extremely useful in your university references.

DEMAND AND SUPPLY MODELChapter 4

AS Economics

108

Equilibrium: Putting Supply and Demand Together When a market is in equilibrium

Both price of good and quantity bought and sold have settled into a state of rest

The equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity are values for price and quantity in the market but, once achieved, will remain constant Unless and until supply curve or demand curve shifts

The equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity can be found on the vertical and horizontal axes, respectively At point where supply and demand curves cross i.e. Qd = Qs

109

Figure 1: Market Equilibrium

E

HJ1.00

£3.00

D

S

50,000 75,00025,000

Excess Demand

4. until price reaches its equilibrium value of £3.00

.

2. causes the price to rise . . .

3. shrinking the excess demand . . .

1. At a price of £1.00 per bottle an excess demand of 50,000 bottles . . .

Number of Bottles per Month

Price per Bottle

110

Excess Demand

Excess demand At a given price, the excess of quantity demanded

over quantity supplied Price of the good will rise as buyers compete

with each other to get more of the good than is available

111

Figure 2: Excess Supply and Price Adjustment

3. shrinking the excess supply . . .

K L

E3.00

D

S

£5.00

50,00035,000 65,000

Excess Supply at £5.00

2. causes the price to drop,

4. until price reaches its equilibrium value of £3.00.

Number of Bottles per Month

Price per Bottle

1. At a price of £5.00 per bottle an excess supply of 30,000 bottles . . .

112

Excess Supply

Excess Supply At a given price, the excess of quantity supplied

over quantity demanded Price of the good will fall as sellers compete

with each other to sell more of the good than buyers want

113

Solve for Equilibrium Algebraically Suppose that demand is given by the

equation , where is quantity demanded, P is the price of the good. Supply is given by where is quantity supplied.

What is the equilibrium price and quantity?

PQD 10140

PQS 580

DQ

sQ

114

Income Rises: What Happens When Things Change Income rises, causing an increase in demand

Rightward shift in the demand curve causes rightward movement along the supply curve

Equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity both rise

Shift of one curve causes a movement along the other curve to new equilibrium point

115

Figure 3

1. An increase in demand . . .E

F'

3.00

D1

D2

S

£4.00

50,000 60,000

3. to a new equilibrium.

5. and equilibrium quantity increases too.

2. moves us along the supply curve . . .

Number of Bottles of Maple Syrup per Period

Price per Bottle

4. Equilibrium price increases

116

An Ice Storm Hits: What Happens When Things Change

An ice storm causes a decrease in supply Weather is a shift variable for supply curve

Any change that shifts the supply curve leftward in a market will increase the equilibrium price And decrease the equilibrium quantity in that market

117

Figure 4: A Shift of Supply and A New Equilibrium

E'

E3.00

D

£5.00

50,00035,000

S2 S1

Number of Bottles

Price per Bottle

118

Using Supply and Demand: The Invasion of Kuwait Why did Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait cause the

price of oil to rise? Immediately after the invasion, United States led

a worldwide embargo on oil from both Iraq and Kuwait

A significant decrease in the oil industry’s productive capacity caused a shift in the supply curve to the left Price of oil increased

119

Figure 5: The Market For Oil

P2

D

E'

P1E

Q2 Q1

S2

S1

Barrels of Oil

Price per Barrel of Oil

120

Using Supply and Demand: The Invasion of Kuwait Why did the price of natural gas rise as well?

Oil is a substitute for natural gas Rise in the price of a substitute increases demand

for a good Rise in price of oil caused demand curve for

natural gas to shift to the right Thus, the price of natural gas rose

121

Figure 6: The Market For Natural Gas

Cubic Feet of Natural Gas

Price per Cubic Foot of Natural

Gas

P4

P3

F

Q3 Q4

S

D2

F'

D1

122

Figure 7: Changes in the Market for Handheld PCs

1. An increase in supply . . .

2. and a decrease in demand . . .

5. and quantity decreased as well.

A

B£400

D2003

S2002

S2003

D2002

£500

2.45 3.33 Millions of Handheld PCs per Quarter

Price per Handheld

PC

4. Price decreased . . .

3. moved the market to a new equilibrium.

123

Both Curves Shift

When just one curve shifts (and we know the direction of the shift) we can determine the direction that both equilibrium price and quantity will move

When both curves shift (and we know the direction of the shifts) we can determine the direction for either price or quantity—but not both Direction of the other will depend on which curve shifts by

more

124

The Three Step Process

Key Step 1—Characterize the Market Decide which market or markets best suit problem being

analyzed and identify decision makers (buyers and sellers) who interact there

Key Step 2—Find the Equilibrium Describe conditions necessary for equilibrium in the

market, and a method for determining that equilibrium Key Step 3—What Happens When Things Change

Explore how events or government polices change market equilibrium

Examples of MarketsThe Labour Market Firms demand labour and employees supply

labour The demand for labour is derived demand. Derived Demand:

Firms want labour not for themselves but for the output it produces

125

Labour market Firms would demand more

if the price for labour is low More people would tend to

offer themselves for work when the wages are high

Price of labour = wages Demand for labour is

downward sloping Supply for labour is

upward sloping

126

Labour Market - Unemployment

If the wage rate is set above the equilibrium level at w1 employers would only demand Ld.

At this point there are people who are offering themselves for work but can not find employment. i.e. There is unemployment in the market. Which is caused here by the higher wage rate.

127

The Foreign Exchange (FX) Market

There is a market where ‘buying’ (transaction) is going on.

When you go to Spain for holidays, you need to buy Euros. Similarly, when Spanish want to come to UK they need to buy pounds.

So the demand for £s (by Spanish) or Euros (by British) is dependent upon the exchange rate between Euros and Pounds.

When the exchange rate for pounds is high, people would have fewer Euros to buy pounds, i.e. Demand would be relatively low.

128

FX Similarly, when the pound is

weak against Euros foreigners would be able to afford more pounds. Demand would increase.

We could also derive from here the fact that when pound is strong, UK exports would not be that competitive and vice versa ceteris paribus.

Pounds are supplied by Britishers wanting to buy Euros. When Euro/Pound rate is high, Britishers get more euro goods for their pounds and will tend to supply more.

e* is the equilibrium point.

129

The Money Market People have a demand for money due to operations of

markets. Think of functions of money,

Medium of exchange Store of value Unit of account Standard of deferred payment

Demand for money predominantly depends upon income which influences the number of transactions people are willing to take.

Is there a price of money? The price of money can be viewed in terms of opportunity

cost. When people choose to hold money they incur an

opportunity cost. Why? Rate of interest? Return? Pleasure?130

Money Money Money Supply of Money

Discussed in detail later in the course

BOE takes charge of supply Assume for now that supply of

money doesn't depend on the interest rate.

Greater the interest rate, greater will be the sacrifice by holding money. Hence the downward sloping demand curve.

At r* money market is at equilibrium

131

AS F581 MARKETS IN ACTIONWeek 5

COMPARATIVE STATICS Comparative static analysis examines the effect on equilibrium

of a change in the external conditions affecting a market. As opposed to ceteris paribus where factors are kept constant,

comparative static analysis looks at the before and after affects of a factor.

A MARKET FOR DRIED PASTA Let us consider a

simple basic staple foodstuff obtainable in any food store.

Consider the graph as the ‘before’ position.

We shall now measure the effect of different factors by disturbing the equilibrium.

A CHANGE IN CONSUMER PREFERENCES

Suppose a new study proposes that Pasta is the next best food to caviar and this study is further strengthened by marketing campaign.

People would buy more demand curve to the right market adjusts to new equilibrium both prices and quantity have increased.

Movement along the supply curve

CHANGE IN THE PRICE OF SUBSTITUTE If substitute (fresh pasta?)

goes cheaper people would probably start buying more fresh pasta demand curve would shift towards left.

Movement along supply curve.

Market would reach a new equilibrium with lower price and lower quantity.

IMPROVEMENT IN PASTA TECHNOLOGY

With improved technology, cost is lowered.

Firms would be willing to supply more.

Now the supply curve would shift to the right.

Comparative static analysis will show that new equilibrium reached is lower than the original one.

AN INCREASE IN LABOUR COST Pasta Worker Union

negotiates a higher wage or H&S regulations have become stricter.

Both would raise production costs.

Which means firms would be willing to supply less pasta.

Shift to the left New equilibrium Greater price but lower quantity

GROUP EXERCISE Ex 4.3 printoffs

ELASTICITY Elasticity is a measure of responsiveness Many elasticities can be measured: price

elasticity of demand, cross price elasticity of demand, income elasticity of demand, and elasticity of supply

Elasticity measures are measures of proportionate responsiveness and are unit free

WHAT IS ELASTICITY? If my firm wants to raise revenue, should we

decrease or increase the price? The answer relies on elasticity “Elasticity” is similar to “responsiveness” Price Elasticity of Demand – a measure of how

responsive quantity demanded is to a price change

Price Elasticity of Supply – a measure of how responsive quantity supplied is to a price change

PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND

Mathematically…

pricein change Percentage

demandedquantity in change Percentage demand of elasticity Price

2/)'(

'

2/)'(

' demand of elasticity Price

pp

pp

qq

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EXAMPLE

What is the price elasticity of demand for CDs?

At a price of $14 per CD, there are 10,000 CDs sold

When the price is decreased to $12 per CD, 11,000 CDs are sold

Pri

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Thousands of CDs

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KEEP THIS IN MIND… Because price and quantity are inversely

related, the price elasticity of demand will be negative

This is because a price decrease will cause an increase in quantity demanded (and vice versa)

Most of the time, then, I will refer to the absolute value of the elasticity

The magnitude is most important

CATEGORIES OF PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND

1. Inelastic Demand – a change in price has very little effect on the quantity demanded (-1 < ED < 0)

• These goods are often necessities

2. Elastic Demand – a change in the price has a relatively large effect on the quantity demanded (ED < -1)

• These are often more “unnecessary”

3. Unit-Elastic Demand – the percentage change in quantity demanded equals the percentage change in price (ED = -1)

0-1

InelasticUnit-ElasticElasti

c

Elasticity of Demand

ELASTICITY…

1. Varies along the demand curve for the same product

• You respond differently if the price changes from 1 cent to 2 cents, than you do if the price changes from $5 to $10 (both are 100% increases)

2. Varies across products• Regardless of where we are on the demand

curve, you might expect the demand for milk to be less elastic than the demand for BMWs

Demand Curve

More Elastic

More InelasticP

Q

ELASTICITY AND TOTAL REVENUE

Total Revenue – the amount of money a firm collects through sales

TR = Price * Quantity How is Total Revenue related to Elasticity? Recall that a lower price leads to an increase in

quantity demanded… Whether Total Revenue increases or decreases

change (due to a price decrease) will depend on whether the percentage increase in the quantity demanded is less than or greater than the price decrease

Unit Elastic

Inelastic

ElasticP

Q

TR

Q

WHAT DOES THIS GRAPH SHOW? Should you increase or decrease price to

increase Total Revenue??? In the elastic portion of the demand curve, the %

change in quantity demanded is greater than the % change in price, so you should decrease price in order to increase total revenue

In the inelastic portion of the demand curve, the % change in quantity demanded is less than the % change in price, so you should increase price in order to increase total revenue

Total revenue is maximized at the unit elastic point

CONSTANT-ELASTICITY DEMAND CURVES For a downward sloping linear demand curve, the

price elasticity changes as you move along the demand curve

Some demand curves have an elasticity that does NOT vary along the demand curve

1. Perfectly Elastic Demand Curve – an increase in price reduces the quantity demanded to zero (horizontal demand curve)

2. Perfectly Inelastic Demand Curve – price changes have no effect on the quantity demanded (vertical demand curve)

Q

P P

Q

D

D

Perfectly Elastic Demand

Perfectly Inelastic Demand

DETERMINANTS OF THE PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND Availability of Substitutes – the more

substitutes are available for a good, the more elastic the demand (if the price increases, you might be likely to switch to another good)

Proportion of a Consumer’s Budget Spent on the Good – the larger the percentage of a consumer’s budget, the greater the price sensitivity (ex. comparison shopping for cars)

Time – the longer you have to make your choice, the more elastic your demand will be (ex. what if your refrigerator breaks down?)

Price Elasticity of Supply

Mathematically…

pricein change Percentage

suppliedquantity in change Percentage supply of elasticity Price

2/)'(

'

2/)'(

' supply of elasticity Price

pp

pp

qq

qq

Categories of Price Elasticity of Supply

1. Inelastic Supply – a change in price has very little effect on the quantity supplied (0 < ES < 1)

2. Elastic Supply – a change in the price has a relatively large effect on the quantity supplied (ES > 1)

3. Unit-Elastic Supply – the percentage change in quantity supplied equals the percentage change in price (ES = 1)

0 1

ElasticUnit-ElasticInelastic

Elasticity of Supply

ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY ALSO VARIES…

Just as the elasticity of demand varied both along the demand curve and across products, so does the elasticity of supply

Supply Curve

More Elastic

More InelasticP

Q

Constant-Elasticity Supply Curves

• For an upward sloping linear supply curve, the price elasticity changes as you move along the supply curve

• Some supply curves have an elasticity that does NOT vary along the supply curve

1. Perfectly Elastic Supply Curve – at the right price, any amount of the product will be supplied (horizontal supply curve)

2. Perfectly Inelastic Supply Curve – price changes have no effect on the quantity supplied, which is likely a fixed amount (vertical supply curve)

Q

P P

Q

S

S

Perfectly Elastic Supply

Perfectly Inelastic Supply

Determinants of the Price Elasticity of Supply

Both depend on how easy it is to alter output when price changes

• Cost of Supplying Additional Output – if it is costly to increase output, then a price increase won’t cause the firm to expand output significantly (therefore, supply is inelastic)

• Time – how long does the firm have to make the output change? The longer the time, the more elastic the supply

OTHER ELASTICITY MEASURES Income Elasticity of Demand – a measure

of the responsiveness of demand to changes in income

Cross-Price Elasticity of Demand- a measure of how responsive one good’s quantity demanded is to a change in the price of another good (i.e. how do brand X’s sales respond to changes in the price of brand Y)

INCOME ELASTICITY OF DEMAND Normal Good – a good with an income

elasticity greater than zero Why is the elasticity greater than zero? Because

the demand curve shifts out with income increases Most goods are normal goods

Inferior Good – a good with an income elasticity less than zero Why is the Income Elasticity of Demand negative?

Because the demand curve shifts in with income increases

CROSS-PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND

Substitutes – if an increase in the price of one good leads to an increase in the demand for another good, they are substitutes The Cross-Price Elasticity is POSITIVE Example: Coke and Pepsi have a positive cross-

price elasticity

Complements – if an increase in the price of one good leads to a decrease in the demand for another good, they are complements The Cross-Price Elasticity is NEGATIVE Example: Peanut butter and jelly or hot dogs and

buns

ELASTICITY EXAMPLES

To help us think about elasticity concepts, we are going to look at four different industries/products: Cars, soft drinks, cereal, and beer Your book has a ton of other examples

When you look at the elasticities, try to explain the differences among brands and products Substitutability, proportion of income spent on

the item, and time to make your decision

ELASTICITY OF AUTOMOBILES

Price elasticity of demand: BMW 735i = -9.376 Honda Accord = -51.637 Ford Escort = -106.497

Cross-price elasticity of demand: BMW 735i & Lexus LS400 = 0.336 BMW 735i & Honda Accord = 0.203 BMW 735i & Ford Escort = 0.009

Which cars are close substitutes? What role does income play? Which consumers are most price sensitive?

ELASTICITY OF BREAKFAST CEREAL

Price elasticity of demand: Kellogg’s Corn Flakes = -3.379 Lucky Charms = -2.536 Rice Krispies = -2.340

Cross-price elasticity of demand: Corn Flakes & Wheaties = 0.242 Corn Flakes & Lucky Charms = 0.019 Corn Flakes & Cinnamon Toast Crunch = 0.026 Lucky Charms & Cin. Toast Crunch = 0.102

ELASTICITY OF SOFT DRINKS

Price elasticity of demand: Coke (2-liter bottle) = -3.89 7-Up (2-liter bottle) = -4.25 Mountain Dew (2-liter bottle) = -3.75

Cross-price elasticity of demand: Coke & Pepsi = 0.63 Coke & Mountain Dew = 0.12 Coke & Diet Coke = 0.81

ELASTICITY OF BEER

Price elasticity of demand: Miller Lite = -2.10 Budweiser = -3.80 Heineken = -0.42

Cross-price elasticity of demand: Miller Lite & Bud Light = 1.26 Miller Lite & Heineken = 0.12 MGD & Bud = 1.68

QUESTIONS TO THINK ABOUT?

Why is the price elasticity of the Ford Escort lower than the BMW?

Why is the price elasticity of cereal less than the price elasticity of cars?

Why is the cross-price elasticity greater for Corn Flakes & Wheaties than it was for Corn Flakes & Lucky Charms?

Are Miller Lite and Bud Light closer substitutes than Miller Lite and Heineken?

Income IncomeProduct Elasticity Product Elasticity

Private education 2.46 Physicians’ services 0.75

Automobiles 2.45 Coca-Cola 0.68

Wine 2.45 Beef 0.62

Owner-occupied housing 1.49 Food 0.51

Furniture 1.48 Coffee 0.51

Dental service 1.42 Cigarettes 0.50

Restaurant meals 1.40 Gasoline and oil 0.48

Shoes 1.10 Rental housing 0.43

Chicken 1.06 Beer 0.27

Spirits (“hard” liquor) 1.02 Pork 0.18

Clothing 0.92 Flour –0.36

Selected Income Elasticities of Demand

IN-CLASS PROBLEM TO SOLVE

Last year, Homer had an income of $40,000 from his job at the Springfield Nuclear Power Plant. At that level of income, Homer consumed 15 units of Good X. This year, Homer received a $15,000 raise. After his raise, he consumed 18 units of Good X.

a. Using the above information, please calculate Homer’s income elasticity of demand.

b. Is Good X a normal or inferior good?

c. If Homer’s boss gave him an additional 10% raise, what would happen to Homer’s consumption of Good X?

SOLUTIONS

Normal good => EI > 0

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