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Investor Presentation September 15, 2020

Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

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Page 1: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Investor PresentationSeptember 15, 2020

Page 2: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Forward-Looking Statements Advisory 2

Note: All dollar amounts are stated in US dollars throughout the presentation unless otherwise noted.

Certain statements and other information included in this document constitute "forward-looking information" or "forward-looking statements" (collectively, "forward-looking statements") under applicable securities laws (such statements are often accompanied by words such as "anticipate", “forecast”, "expect", "believe", "may", "will", "should", "estimate", "intend" or other similar words). All statements in this document, other than those relating to historical information or current conditions, are forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to: expected 2020 adjusted EBITDA and Retail EBITDA and margin estimates; estimated adjusted EBITDA fertilizer price sensitivity, capital spending expectations for 2020; expectations regarding performance of our operating segments in 2020; our operating segment market outlooks and expected market conditions for 2020 and beyond, including crop and fertilizer prices, volumes and demand; and acquisitions, including the timing thereof. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements. As such, undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements.All of the forward-looking statements are qualified by the assumptions that are stated or inherent in such forward-looking statements, including the assumptions referred to below and elsewhere in this document. Although we believe that these assumptions are reasonable, this list is not exhaustive of the factors that may affect any of the forward-looking statements and the reader should not place an undue reliance on these assumptions and such forward-looking statements. The additional key assumptions that have been made include, among other things, assumptions with respect to our ability to successfully complete, integrate and realize the anticipated benefits of our already completed and future acquisitions, and that we will be able to implement our standards, controls, procedures and policies at any acquired businesses to realize the expected synergies; that future business, regulatory and industry conditions will be within the parameters expected by us, including with respect to prices, margins, demand, supply, product availability, supplier agreements, availability and cost of labor and interest, exchange and effective tax rates; the completion of our expansion projects on schedule, as planned and on budget; assumptions with respect to global economic conditions and the accuracy of our market outlook expectations for 2020 and in the future; our expectations regarding the impacts, direct and indirect, of COVID-19; the adequacy of our cash generated from operations and our ability to access our credit facilities or capital markets for additional sources of financing; our ability to identify suitable candidates for acquisitions and divestitures and negotiate acceptable terms; our ability to maintain investment grade ratings and achieve our performance targets; and the receipt, on time, of all necessary permits, utilities and project approvals with respect to our expansion projects and that we will have the resources necessary to meet the projects’ approach.Events or circumstances that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: general global economic, market and business conditions; failure to complete announced and future acquisitions or divestitures at all or on the expected terms and within the expected timeline; climate change and weather conditions, including impacts from regional flooding and/or drought conditions; crop planted acreage, yield and prices; the supply and demand and price levels for our products; governmental and regulatory requirements and actions by governmental authorities, including changes in government policy (including tariffs, trade restrictions and climate change initiatives), government ownership requirements, changes in environmental, tax and other laws or regulations and the interpretation thereof; political risks, including civil unrest, actions by armed groups or conflict and malicious acts including terrorism; the occurrence of a major environmental or safety incident; innovation and cybersecurity risks to our systems, including our costs of addressing or mitigating such risks; regional natural gas supply restrictions; counterparty and sovereign risk; delays in completion of turnarounds at our major facilities; gas supply interruptions; any significant impairment of the carrying value of certain assets; risks related to reputational loss; certain complications that may arise in our mining processes; the ability to attract, engage and retain skilled employees and strikes or other forms of work stoppages; the COVID-19 pandemic and resulting effects; and other risk factors detailed from time to time in Nutrien reports, including our 2019 annual report dated February 19, 2020, our annual information form dated February 19, 2020 for the year ended December 31, 2019 and our second quarter 2020 interim report dated August 10, 2020, filed with the Canadian securities regulators and the Securities and Exchange Commission in the United States.The purpose of our expected 2020 adjusted EBITDA and Retail EBITDA estimates and the estimated adjusted EBITDA fertilizer price sensitivity are to assist readers in understanding our expected and targeted financial results, and this information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Nutrien disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements in this document as a result of new information or future events, except as may be required under applicable Canadian securities legislation or applicable US federal securities laws.Non-IFRS Financial Measures AdvisoryThis document contains certain non-IFRS measures including adjusted EBITDA guidance and the combined historical results of Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. and Agrium Inc. for the year ended December 31, 2017. We consider non-IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial condition. Refer to the disclosure under the heading “Appendix B – Non-IFRS Financial Measures” included in our annual report dated February 19, 2020 and in our second quarter 2020 interim report dated August 10, 2020, each as filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and EDGAR at www.sec.gov under our corporate profile. We do not provide a reconciliation of forward-looking adjusted EBITDA guidance to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS due to unknown variables and the uncertainty related to future results. These unknown variables may include unpredictable transactions of significant value that may be inherently difficult to determine, without unreasonable efforts. Non-IFRS financial measures are not recognized measures under IFRS and our method of calculation may not be comparable to that of other companies. These non-IFRS financial measures should not be considered as a substitute for, or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.

September 15, 2020

Page 3: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

3

Stability andGrowth

Retail Ag Solutions provides earnings stability & exposure to multiple growth

platforms

Stable and Growing Returns

Top tier, attractive & secure dividend

Nutrient Upside

Fertilizer markets are expected to recover providing significant earnings upside

potential

Strong Financial Position

Nutrien has a solid balance sheet with ample liquidity

Nutrien’s Key Message

September 15, 2020

Page 4: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Retail Business Continues to Deliver Growth and is Becoming Increasingly Diversified

Retail EBITDAUS Billions

Source: Nutrien

4

Industrial

September 15, 2020

Non-US RetailUS Retail

~30%

~20%

14%

20101

$0.5

2020F220151

$1.0

$1.4-$1.5• Delivering earnings growth

through the cycle, from organic growth (incl. investments in technology, private label) & accretive acquisitions

• Non-US Retail now accounts for ~30% of total Retail earnings

• Australian 2019 EBITDA margins at ~9%. More than double 2014 levels & Ruralco margins.

8%

7.5%margins

8.5%margins

1. 2010 & 2015 Retail EBITDA and Retail EBITDA margin for Agrium Inc.. 2. Based on Retail EBITDA guidance as provided on August 10, 2020.

Page 5: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Retail is Differentiated On Multiple Fronts That Will Help Unlock Organic Growth And Value Creation

5

September 15, 2020

Leading Online Platform

45%Total Share of Digital Sales of

Available Product Lines in Q2’201,2

>$700MTotal Digital Platform Sales

through June 20202

EBITDA Growth and Performance

$971MRecord first-half EBITDA in 2020

11.5%Record first-half US Retail EBITDA Margin in 2020

1. North American digital Retail sales as a proportion of North American Retail sales that are available for purchase online.2. Represents North America results.3. Post close of the TecAgro acquisition.

Brazil Growth Strategy3

~$500MExpected Annual Normalized

Run-Rate Revenue

>10%Expected EBITDA

Margins

Page 6: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Several Factors are Improving Market Conditions and Providing Stability to Global Crop Prices

Source: CRU, Bloomberg, Nutrien

September 15, 2020

6

We see a number of positive Ag developments emerging:• Corn prices have seen recent strength,

due to lower US yield & stocks-to-use expectations from the market, and high demand out of China.

• Continued improvement in ethanol blending margins, end-use demand, and utilization rates since Q2 lows.

• Brazil experiencing strong export volume and historically high sales prices for major crops.

• US farm support programs expected to add $0.36/bu for corn and $0.45/bu for soybeans.

Crop PricesIndex: 2005 = 100

0

100

200

300

400

500

2005 2010 2015 Today

Corn Soybean

Page 7: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Fertilizer PricesIndex: 2005 = 100

Fertilizer Prices Near Historical Lows With Multiple Catalysts Emerging That Could Lead To Recovery

Source: CRU, Bloomberg Nutrien

September 15, 2020

7

Several positive fertilizer developments are emerging:• Favorable US growing conditions this

summer have led to an expected early harvest season, which should be supportive for fall fertilizer application rates.

• Strong demand for out of India has provided a catalyst for the urea price recovery seen in 2H20 so far.

• US phosphate prices have increased $100 since May lows, due to strong demand out of Brazil and the impact from Mosaic’s countervailing duties petition.

• The majority of new potash capacity is now online and being absorbed in the market. No significant new nameplate capacity expected in the near term.0

100

200

300

400

500

2005 2010 2015 Today

NOLA Urea US DAP Brazil Potash

Page 8: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

10.9-11.53

2019 2020 2021

Nutrien Expects To Benefit From A Cyclical Recovery In Market Prices And Higher Sales Volumes 8

Global Urea Cost CurveUS$/tonne

September 15, 2020Source: CRU, Fertecon, Nutrien

At current pricing levels, a sizeable portion of production is at negative margins; Nutrien further expects to benefit in 2020 from its investment in new capacity

Operational Capability (Mmt)

2020 2019

0 40

300

200

100

0180120

250

150

80

350

20 160

50

60 140100

1. Reported spot prices as of September 10, 2020.2. Refers to manufactured product only.3. Based on Nitrogen sales volume guidance as provided on August 10, 2020.4. Additional operational capacity completed in 2020 & 2021.

US Nola FOB ($/mt)1

NTR Nitrogen Sales Volumes2

Million Tonnes

10.3Offshore

2020F Range

N.A.

Expect ~350Kmtof additional operational

capacity by end of 20214

Page 9: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Strong free cash flow generation supports a stable & growing dividend, which at a current yield of 4.5%1 provides a stable rate of return while shareholders wait for price recovery

Strong Free Cash Flow And Stable & Growing Dividend 9

September 15, 2020Source: Nutrien

1. Dividend yield calculated as dividend per share ($1.80/sh annualized) divided by the closing share price on the NYSE as at September 11, 2020.2. Based on internal forecasts aligned with annual guidance provided in our news release dated August 10, 2020. Interest and taxes are disclosed on a cash basis.3. Based on 569M shares outstanding multiplied by an annualized dividend per share of $1.80.4. Assumes the mid-point of 2020F Adjusted EBITDA guidance as provided on August 10, 2020.

Dividends PaidUS$/Share

2020 Capital Allocation2

US$ Billions

“A robust buffer exists to support our dividend

payment, even at the bottom of the Ag cycle”

2020F Adj. EBITDA2

Sustaining Capex2

Dividends3 Remaining Capital4

Interest and Taxes2

0.9

2020F Range3.8

3.5

Apr’18 - Oct’18 Jan’19 - Jul’19 Oct’19 - Aug’20

$0.40$0.43

$0.45

Horizontal axis represents the length of time at each dividend level

Page 10: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Nutrien Providing Sector-leading Returns Of Capital

Share Repurchases and Dividends as a % of Market Cap3

(Percent)

MOSYAR

SDFDE ICL CFADM

AGCO

18.0

BG

11.0 11.0

FMC INGRCTVA Nutrien

2.0

5.0

9.08.08.010.09.0

15.0

23.0

29.0

NTR Peers

Segment size represents percentage of returns made to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases paid as reported from January 1, 2018 to September 4, 2020

Source: CapitalIQ

NTR returned $6.4B1 to shareholders by way of dividends and share repurchases and possesses one of the highest dividend yields among its peers at 4.5%2

1. Dividend and share repurchases paid as reported from Jan 1, 2018 to Sep 4, 20202. Dividend yield calculated as dividend per share ($1.80/sh annualized) divided by the closing share price on the NYSE as at September 11, 2020.3. Represents cash paid from share repurchases and dividends per the cash flow statement as reported from January 1, 2018 to September 4, 2020 divided by the

respective market capitalization as of September 4, 2020.

September 15, 2020

10

Page 11: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Investing At The Bottom: Positioned To Capitalize On A Fertilizer Price Rebound

September 15, 2020

11

Nutrien’s wholesale business has significant leverage to fertilizer prices, which is expected to provide a catalyst for earnings growth as prices rebound from bottom of the cycle levels

Commodity prices have recovered ~20% from their March 2020 lows1

Many potash and nitrogen producers are experiencing negative margins at current prices

Fertilizer prices have recently started to climb out of the historically low levels seen in 1H20

Price Drivers and Earnings Sensitivity

+$650MEstimated annualized impact

to Nutrien EBITDA from a $25/mtincrease in fertilizer prices

Sources: Bloomberg, Nutrien

1. Bloomberg commodity index price comparison between Mar 18, 2020 to Sep 8, 2020.

Page 12: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Nutrien’s Sustainability Strategy

“Our integrated sustainability strategy is addressing our most material ESG risks and providing solutions for a growing world.”

Nutrien President and CEO, Chuck Magro

September 15, 2020

12

Source: Nutrien

Page 13: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Appendix

Page 14: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

14

LEGEND:

RETAIL

POTASH

NITROGEN

PHOSPHATE

ESN®

OFFICES

North and South America

GRANULATION LOVELAND PRODUCTS AND AFFILIATED FACILITIESAGRICHEM

TEC AGRO

INVESTMENTS AND JV’S

Source: Nutrien

Australia

Nutrien has a unique global footprint and well positioned assets

Leading Global Integrated Ag Solutions Provider

1. North American digital Retail sales as a proportion of North American Retail sales that are available for purchase online.

>500,000Grower accounts worldwide

45% Digitally enabled Retail sales

in Q2’201

6.5 MmtRecord first-half potash sales

volumes in 2020

~6.0 MmtAvailable Potash Capacity

>3,400Agronomists serving growers

around the world

September 15, 2020

Page 15: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Grower Cash Margins Have Improved on Strong Global Demand and Supply Concerns 15

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

-300

100

500

900

1,300

1,700

2,100

2,500

2,900

Key Crop Grower Cash MarginsLocal Currency Margin/Acre

US Corn US Soybean US Wheat US Cotton CDN Canola Brazil Soybean

Reduced expectations for corn output in the US have resulted in recent price increases. Record profit (‘19/’20) and record pre-sold product (‘20/’21) due to strong Chinese demand

and favorable Brazilian FX.

September 15, 2020Source: USDA, IMEA, Doane, Nutrien

Page 16: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Key Crop PricesUS$/bushel (unless otherwise indicated)

Global Crop Price Trends

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00 Chicago Corn

7.50

8.00

8.50

9.00

9.50Chicago Soybeans

1,600

2,000

2,400

2,800

3,200Palm Oil (MYR/tonne)

50

70

90

110

130

150

Mato Grosso Soybeans (BRL/sack )1

Source: Bloomberg, ICE, USDA

1. Based on a 60kg sack of soybeans.

16

Crop prices are improving as the market gains clarity on US crop production and improved market conditions for palm oil

September 15, 2020

Page 17: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Brazil: Strong Grower Economics 17

Brazilian Harvested AcreageMillions of Hectares

A devaluation of the Brazilian real in 2020 has led to strong domestic crop prices. We expect a ~5% increase in acreage this year, driving crop input demand in 2H20.

September 15, 2020

Source: USDA, Bloomberg, CONAB, Nutrien

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E2020F

Corn Soybeans

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15 Jan-17 Jan-19

Soybeans

Corn

Mato Grosso Cash Soybean & Corn PricesReal/Sack

Page 18: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Wheat Barley Canola Oats Others

18

Australia Winter Crop AcreageMillion Acres

Difference in Feb-Jul Rainfall 2020 vs 2019mm

Key growing areas circled in red.

September 15, 2020

After two seasons of drought in Australia, moisture through the first half of 2020 has significantly improved growing conditions, leading to a forecast 23% increase in winter crop area vs 2019

Source: ABARES, Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Australia: Growing Conditions Improve

+23%

Page 19: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

India: A Bright Spot for Nutrient Demand 19

India Fertilizer Import ProfileMillion Tonnes

3.8

6.6

4.34.55.5

4.04.76.3 6.0

4.1

9.7

5.3

0

3

6

9

12

15

MOP DAPUrea

4.5-5.0

9.0-9.5

6.0-6.5

2020F2016 20192017 2018

September 15, 2020

The increase in crop prices and the early monsoon rains have supported the Kharif plantings, which in supports demand for fertilizers

Source: CRU, Katana, India Meteorological Department, Nutrien

600

0100200

500

300400

Paddy Rice Corn Soybeans Cotton

+3% +5%

+5%

+5%2018/19 2019/20 2020/21

Minimum Support Prices for Kharif CropsRs./tonne

India Monsoon in 2020 (as of Sep 11) vs NormalDaily Mean Rainfall (mm)

02468

10121416

1-Jun

7-Jun

13-Jun

19-Jun

25-Jun

1-Jul

7-Jul

13-Jul

19-Jul

25-Jul

31-Jul

6-Aug

12-Aug

18-Aug

24-Aug

30-Aug

5-Sep

11-Sep

Actual Normal (1961-2010)

Page 20: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20F

Sales Volumes Gross Margin % of Net Sales

Strong potash margins supported by our low-cost mines and extensive distribution network

Potash: Historically Strong Margins And Volume Growth Throughout The Nutrient Cycle

Sales Volume Gross Margin1

Million Tonnes KCl Percent

1. 1998 to 2016 potash gross margin as a percentage of net sales based on PotashCorp financial information.2. Based on potash sales volume guidance provided on August 10, 2020.

20

Source: Nutrien

2

September 15, 2020

20

Page 21: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

0

5

10

15

20

16 17 18 19 20F 16 17 18 19 20F 16 17 18 19 20F 16 17 18 19 20F 16 17 18 19 20F 16 17 18 19 20F

Million Tonnes KCl

2020

Fo

reca

st21

We project improved global potash demand of 65 to 67 million tonnes in 2020, up from ~64 million tonnes in 2019

Global Potash Deliveries by Region

Source: CRU, Fertecon, IFA, Nutrien

September 15, 2020

India Other Asia North America Latin America China Other4.5 – 5.0Mmt

• Expect increased shipments supported by normal monsoon rains in 2020 and increased minimum support prices and production for key crops

8.5 – 10.0Mmt• Despite volatile palm

oil prices, we expect improved affordability and supportive prices for a wide range of other crops, such as rice to support increased demand

9.5 – 10.0Mmt• Rebound in corn and

soybean acreage combined with more normal application weather expected to support a rebound in potash consumption

13.0 – 14.0Mmt• Strong corn and

soybean fundamentals and record-high grower margins, combined with lower inland potash inventory, expected to support demand

14.5 – 15.5Mmt• Expect reduced

shipments driven by inventory build in 2019, while domestic consumption remains supported by tightened crop supplies and government subsidies

13.5 – 14.0Mmt• Improved affordability

and growing demand for NPK fertilizers, particularly in Africa and FSU countries, are expected to boost potash demand

Page 22: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Global Potash Producer Sales

Source: CRU, Fertecon, Company Reports, Nutrien

Global Potash Producer Shipment Changes(Million Tonnes KCl)

0.8

0.4

0.8

0.2

Former Soviet UnionProducers

Nutrien2019Shipments

Other North American

Producers

Rest of the World

2020FShipments

63.8

66.0

22

September 15, 2020

Nutrien well-positioned to meet an increase in global potash demand

Page 23: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Tightening Global Nitrogen Supply & Demand

Global Nitrogen S&DMillion Tonnes Nitrogen

Global Utilization Rate1

Percent

Expect improved global demand and limited new capacity lead to a tighter supply/demand balance in 2020 and over the medium-term

23

Source: Source: CRU, Nutrien

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180 Demand* Operational Capability

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

1. Based on estimated operational capabilityNote: Demand growth based on 20-year CAGR 2002 to 2022

September 15, 2020

Page 24: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

13.8Mmt

8.9Mmt

4.7Mmt

2.5Mmt

4.9Mmt 4.0-5.0Mmt

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F

Urea Exports Anthracite Coal based ProductionBituminous Coal based Production Urea Price (fob China)

Chinese Urea Exports Respond to Market Signal 24

Chinese urea exporters have not been aggressive in 2020, however we expect exports to be supported by strong Indian demand in the second half

Chinese Urea FundamentalsPrice/Cost (US$/tonne)

1

September 15, 2020Source: CRU, Nutrien

1. Represents the estimated production cost of Chinese urea producers using Bituminous and Anthracite feedstocks.

1

Page 25: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Retail Network Optimization – Tuck-ins, Targeted Builds & Closures

1. Excludes Actagro, Ruralco and other acquisitions not considered tuck-ins.2. 2010 cumulative closures represents the period of 2006 to 2010.3. 2011 to 2017 data is from Agrium Inc.

0

200

400

600

800

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Cumulative Store Closures U.S. Canada Australia South America

2

Global Tuck-in Acquisitions1,3

Cumulative Global Store Closures & Consolidations

Source: Nutrien

38 Major ‘Hub’ Locations Across the US

September 15, 2020

25

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total

# of Locations Acquired1 33 59 22 32 26 76 44 53 64 409

Annual Sales1 $210 $477 $128 $192 $190 >$500 ~$300 ~$400 ~$450 >$2,800

(US millions)Annual EBITDA1

$27 $49 $12 $32 $20 ~$35 ~$23 ~$40 ~$40 >$270(US millions) (Year 1)

Page 26: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Nutrien is Strengthening its Retail Business: Strategic Transactions

42nd largest US Ag retailer 11 locations 5,000 customers

Environmentally sustainable soil and plant health and tech

US $55M1 EBITDA

Actagro is aligned with Nutrien’s strategy to invest in higher-margin proprietary products that provide strong value for growers.

Van Horn has built a strong ag retail business, with a track record of providing high value products and service for growers in Illinois.

3rd largest Ag retailer in AUS Purchase closed Sep 30, 2019 US $70M1 EBITDA

The combined business will further strengthen the service and innovation that Nutrien Ag Solutions delivers to Australian growers.

Nutrien is growing its geographic footprint and Ag solutions offerings

September 15, 2020

26

1. Expected run-rate annual EBITDA

30 years experience in Brazilian crop input market

12 farm centers US $60M annual sales

The Agrosema acquisition is an excellent fit as we continue to build our Ag retail business in the important and growing Brazilian agricultural market.

Source: Nutrien

25 years experience in Brazilian crop input market

8 retail branches US $200M annual sales Largest branded soybean seeds business

in Brazil

This acquisition fits with our strategy to bring whole farm solutions to our Brazilian customers.

Page 27: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Helena, 7%

Simplot Retail, 6%

Growmark, 5%

Wilbur-Ellis, 4%CHS, 3%

Significant Opportunity for Further US Retail Acquisitions

Expect to execute on roll-up opportunity & target to expand business to 25%-30%

Independents, 24%

Co-ops, 30%

21%

NTR has ~21% market share with only 10% of the facilities

27

Source: CropLife, NutrienSeptember 15, 2020

27

Page 28: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Proprietary Seed

Proprietary Nutritional Products

Proprietary Crop Protection Products

Retail: A Leading Agricultural Solutions Provider

Gross Margin (2019)US$ Billions

Crop Nutrients 32%

Crop Protection 36%

Seed 11%

Services/Other 18%

$3.2B

Crop inputs & services for over 100 different crops

Corn, 27%

Fruits and Vegetables,

18%Wheat,

16%

Soybean, 14%

Canola, 7%

Cotton, 7%

All Other, 11%

Providing everything growers need to maximize yields. > 3,400 crop

advisors

Broad Crop Diversity Complete Ag Solutions Offering

Merchandise 3%

Proprietary Products

Consistent growth platform of higher margin products valued by growers

Gross Margin1

US$ MillionsRevenue by Crop (2019)Percent

28

Source: Nutrien

1. 2012-2016 data is based upon Agrium Inc. financials. Excludes Dalgety animal health products. September 15, 2020

28

Page 29: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Crop Planning ToolAbility to place digital orders directly from the plan

Nutrien FinancialSeamlessly apply for financing/credit for purchases from Nutrien Ag Solutions

Field-specific Seed Recommendation ToolField by field multi-brand seed selling solution

Fertility Management ToolSoil and tissue data driven fertility insights

International ExpansionPlanning phase underway to roll out platform in Australia and South America

Nutrien Ag Solutions Digital Platform:“Progress Update and Future Plans” 29

September 15, 2020Source: Nutrien

Purchasing of key crop protection, fertilizer and seed products, order online or have your agronomist do it on your behalf

Pay bills online, look up past purchases, see account balances, notifications of new statements

Farm insight app current spray conditions, radar for rain & temperature, last 24 hours of rainfall, and national rainfall layers

Sustainability calculator and reporting linked to applied inputs and agronomic practices

Digital crop plans created tailor-made with your agronomist

Current Functionality Planned Additions for 2020

Page 30: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Pathway to ESG Improvement 30

Our strategy is expected to enable material improvements to Nutrien’s ESG performance in the areas that rank most important to shareholders

Environmental

Social

Governance

Assessing ESG Risks 3rd-Party ESG Research, Ratings & Rankings

Improved ESGDisclosure &

Associated Metrics

Evaluating industry risk, listening to stakeholders and benchmarking best practices

Improving our ESG performance and profileAssessing reporting landscape

and frameworks. Revised approach to 2020 ESG

reporting

September 15, 2020Source: Nutrien

Page 31: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Nutrien: Focused on Sustainable Agriculture

What have we done? Developed baseline 2018 scope 1 & 2 GHG emissions and obtained limited external

assurance from KPMG

Assessing our scope 3 GHG emissions inventory and are continuing to evaluate

Developing a comprehensive ESG and climate strategy including KPIs and targets, which is expected to roll out within the next year

Nutrien Ag Solutions Digital Platform, Echelon precision Ag solutions, 4R stewardship

Invested in technology, partnerships and products, some recent examples:

+ Acquisitions of Agrible, Waypoint, Actagro and Agbridge driving grower data analytics and solutions

+ ESN(~0.5 mmt) ~50% less N2O emissions vs. urea, DEF(0.6 mmt) ~90% NOx reduction

+ 1.2mmt of annual captured CO2, 250kt annual carbon capture GHG offset at Redwater nitrogen facility through the Alberta Trunk Line with potential to increase in the future

September 15, 2020

31

Source: Nutrien

Page 32: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

Explaining the Gap: Why is NTR’s D&A Higher Than Sustaining CapEx?

September 15, 2020

32

Source: Nutrien

Sustaining CapEx (2019)

A number of factors contribute to Nutrien’s D&A being higher than sustaining capex, however core1 depreciation is in line with sustaining CapEx of ~$1.0B.

Nitrogen

Retail

Potash

PhosphateCorporate

$1.0B

Normal course amortization for assets such as intangibles do not require regular cash outlays to maintain them in a safe and reliable manner.

The adoption of IFRS 16 resulted in $1.1B of leased assets being capitalized, and increased depreciation expense.

The merger resulted in certain balance sheet items written up to fair value, contributing to higher D&A for a number of assets such as intangible assets and PP&E.

D&A (2019)

Core Depreciation

Amortization

PPA

Leases

$1.8B

1

2

3

1. Core represents depreciation related to tangible assets excluding leased assets and impact of fair value adjustments from the merger.

$1.1B

Page 33: Investor Presentation · We consider non- IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial

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