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Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref: UK EU relationship March 2013

Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

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Page 1: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU

Mike WalshEconomics Academic Course Director Coventry University

Ref: UK EU relationship March 2013

Page 2: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

(1) Introduction• The UK joined the EEC (EU from 1993) in 1973• Late: over 20 years after the EEC was formed!• Within a year the UK had built up a reputation for

being the ‘awkward partner’ ( George S, 1998)– opposed many EEC initiatives – took an independent view– was disruptive

• We will consider why the UK was considered to be the ‘awkward partner’ and why EU exit is on the agenda

Page 3: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

UK attitudes• These help explain the UK’s relationship with the

EU. Generally, the UK :– Is pragmatic– Believes in free markets– Doesn’t want to give up sovereignty– Wants widening of EU– Wants less integration. No federalism

• Relevant today– Gordon BROWN (PM) signing Lisbon Treaty 2007– EU splits some UK political parties

Page 4: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:
Page 5: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

(2) UK and Europe: The early years

Page 6: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

1945-57: Preparation• Positions of countries

– UK• 3 circles

• UK condescending?• intergovernmental approach ok

USA

Empire

Europe

Page 7: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

– France • wanted decline in German industrial power

– Germany• wanted acceptance

Page 8: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

European Coal & Steel Community (ECSC)

• Schuman Plan (9th May1950)– Monnet’s ideas

• sectoral approach– Iron & steel major sector– France - Germany

• ECSC – Treaty of Paris 1951 - est. 1952– 6 members– Supranational from beginning

• UK not want to give up sovereignty

Page 9: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

ECSC to EEC

• Messina (1955) – Extend Benelux model (Spaak)– Atomic energy cooperation (Monnet)– UK position: don’t get involved

• Treaty of Rome 1957 (effective 1958)

– EEC Treaty– Euratom Treaty

• UK: don’t get involved

Page 10: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

EEC Take off and early progress (1958-72)

• EEC economic success• EFTA (1960)

– EEC Rival– Included UK

• France vetoes UK entry to EEC• Finally, success

– Hague Summit 1969– Agreement for UK to join the EEC– UK joined 1/1/73

Page 11: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

(3) UK & The EU Budget

• A major issue for 40 years

Page 12: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

Budget 2013

CAP Cohesion

Competitiveness

Rural development

Admin

External Relations

Security & justice

Page 13: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

• 1st EU enlargement 1973• UK rebate: major issue• UK disruptive

– Veto in Council Of Ministers (pre SEA 1986)

• UK major contributor but one of poorest states in 1970’s– Reasons

• CAP• Common external tariff (CET)

– Conflicts

Page 14: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

High CAP expenditure (% budget share) when UK joined EEC in 1973

Page 15: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

• Fontainebleu Summit 1984• UK rebate

• UK rebate issue resurfaced 1998 onwards

Page 16: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:
Page 17: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

• 2005: Blair wanted CAP reform in return for UK giving up budget rebate

• UK & France fall out!• Outcome: UK gives up some of rebate

– With conditions

Page 18: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:
Page 19: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:
Page 20: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

• Budget issues still exist today– David Cameron (UK PM) in EU budget talks– 2011: Opposed large increase in EU budget• http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-11652601• 2012/13: Opposes real increase in EU budget for 2014-20

Financial Perspective• Budget rebate AGAIN

Page 21: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

(4) Economic and Monetary Union (EMU)

Page 22: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

• Monetary union ‘’launched’' 1979 – European Monetary System EMS

• EMS - 2 components – European currency unit (Ecu)– Exchange rate mechanism (ERM)

• 8/9 countries • NOT UK• UK eventually joined 1990• BUT, UK exit 1992• September 1992 ‘ERM crisis’• http://news.bbc.co.uk/player/nol/newsid_6560000/newsid_6563000/6563031.stm?bw=bb&mp=wm&news=1&bbcws=1

Page 23: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

• Maastricht Treaty 1991– UK & Denmark opt out of Euro– Only countries to do so

• UK set 5 economic tests for joining– Failed 4 out of 5 (2003) – Political device, not economic

Page 24: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

(5) Social Policy

Page 25: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

• UK generally believe in free markets, laissez faire– ‘Anglo Saxon’ approach– European interference in labour market– Social Policy raises costs for firms & makes them

uncompetitive– E.g. Working Time Directive

Page 26: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

• Approaches by selected countries below– UK, Ireland – free market– Germany, Benelux countries– collective bargaining

provides worker protection– France, Spain, Portugal, Greece- statutory

framework to protect workers rights as weak collective bargaining

Page 27: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

• Social Charter 1989– Social policy expanded– not legally binding– opt out by…

• Maastricht Treaty– Binding on EU States– Opt out by……

Page 28: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

Answer these questions relating to Spain

• Is it easy for a firm to make a worker redundant?• How much social tax (%) does a firm pay on wages• How many days holiday does the average worker

receive?• Do you think working more than 48 hours / week is

ok?• If you lose your job what benefits can you receive?

Page 29: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

(6) What does the UK want from the EU?

Page 30: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:
Page 31: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

Free Trade

• Access to the SINGLE MARKET• Very ‘Anglo Saxon’

Page 32: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

• Single European Act (SEA) 1986• All trade barriers to be eliminated• Aims include

– Bigger markets for firms– Increase efficiency of firms – Aid integration– Benefit consumers

• Generally regarded as successful

Page 33: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:
Page 34: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

(7) UK: Even more awkward?

• Exit?

David Cameron’s Europe Speech January 2013

Page 35: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

• UK renegotiate with EU?– ‘cherry pick’ policies– Drop which policies?– UK want which policies?

• Hold referendum to leave EU in 2018 if renegotiation fails

• Why?

Page 36: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

Options if UK leave EU?

• Renegotiate agreements with EU? – Like Switzerland– About 200 bilateral agreements

• Join EEA?– Access to single market – Like Norway

• Be like rest of world?• Scotland?

Page 37: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

UK in Europe

Page 38: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

(8) Conclusion

• After 40 years membership Europe still divides UK opinion & splits political parties

• UKIP is a new anti-EU party• UK is still the awkward partner

Page 39: Is the ‘awkward partner’ about to leave the EU? The UK’s relationship with the EU Mike Walsh Economics Academic Course Director Coventry University Ref:

References

• S George, ‘An Awkward Partner: Britain in the European community’

• R Baldwin & C Wyplosz, ‘The Economics of European Integration’

• http://europa.eu/