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It’s all about Dunning and Kruger

It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

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Page 1: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

It’s all about Dunning and Kruger

Page 2: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Jules White, Tanbridge House School,

Horsham

Ethical leadership at

a time of maximum

pressure and

accountability

Page 3: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Some aims…

• Lessons learned from 12 years of

headship and Worth Less?

• Can we lead ethically and effectively at

the same time?

• Do our political masters lead by

example?

• Practical tips and a brighter future

Page 4: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

49,101Source: EPI April 2019

Page 5: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report
Page 6: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

A challenge for us all…

"It is shameful that last year almost 100,000 children

in England left education at 18 without proper

qualifications. It is particularly unacceptable that

children growing up in the poorest areas of the country

and children with special educational needs are most

likely to leave school without reaching basic levels of

attainment.”

Anne Longfield, the Children's Commissioner for England, Sept 2019

Page 7: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Let’s take a step back

• What are the challenges of leadership that we all face?

Page 8: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

The challenges of school leadership…

HEAD TEACHER

noun.

1. Someone who solves a problem

you didn’t know you had in a way

you don’t understand.

See also wizard, magic wand

Page 9: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

What are the issues going forward?

• Accountability / Ofsted

• Children’s wellbeing

• School funding

• Recruitment and retention

• SEND/High Needs

• Schools covering social care et al

Page 10: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

The skills of an outstanding leader

are ‘endless’.

Judgement in selecting the correct

skill or response at the right time is

the priceless asset that overrides

anything else.

Page 11: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Four popular myths about leadership

• Everyone can be a leader

• Leaders deliver results

• People who get to the top are leaders

• Leaders are great coaches

Page 12: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Who am I and what do I know?

• Tanbridge House School – 11-16 maintained

• Headteacher since January 2008

• November 2007 - previous Head graded the

school as ‘Satisfactory’, two weeks later Ofsted

graded it as ‘Good’.

• January 2008 – I graded it as “not good enough

to send my children to”

• Horsham – leafy, lovely and below average

FSM

• Graded ‘Outstanding’ in all categories

November 2012

Page 13: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

The least “relentlessly reasonable” person I know…

Page 14: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

The Kent Challenge

• Rising pupil numbers

• Rising youth unemployment across the county

• Local Authorities continue to face financial challenges

• Ageing population with more long-term health conditions

• A fragmented school system

• You know more than me…

Page 15: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

The Kent Challenge

Primary 455

Secondary 99

Page 16: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

The Kent Challenge

Primary 125,822

Secondary 83,254

Page 17: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

The Kent Challenge

Per pupil funding Primary Secondary

Kent £4005 £5242

Hackney £6018 £8000

Difference £2013 £2758

Page 18: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

TeachersTeaching

AssistantsComputers Text Books

What could £1 million additional funding do for you?

34 64 2000 40,000

Page 19: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

So what?

£485m

Source: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-funding-formula-tables-for-schools-and-high-needs-2020-to-2021

Page 20: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report
Page 21: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Social Mobility

Borough SMI Ranking

Dartford 51

Tonbridge and Malling 58

Sevenoaks 74

Tunbridge Wells 98

Maidstone 111

Dover 113

Rother 148

Canterbury 149

Ashford 150

Medway 160

Swale 172

Gravesham 204

Thanet 275

Page 22: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Ethical leadership

• Making a positive difference

and acting with honesty and

integrity

• Changing things that you

don’t like

• Personal qualities

Do I not

like that…

Page 23: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Do I not like this…

• Ofsted’s 75% EBacc target

• 3% of outstanding schools are from disadvantaged areas

• Disadvantaged P8 -0.45 vs ‘Other’ +0.2

• 45% of all Permanent Exclusions are for SEND pupils*

• 59% of all Permanent Exclusions are for PP pupils*

• 26 exams in 22 days

• Funding failures

• 1 in 3 FSM students leave without substantive qualifications

*Source: DfE ‘Permanent and fixed period exclusions in England: 2017 to 2018’

Page 24: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

How do we effect change? Leadership

•Can we lead ethically and effectively at the

same time?

•Do our political masters lead by example?

•Practical tips and a brighter future

Page 25: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Do I not like this… my own leadership

Page 26: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

The personal qualities of an effective leader

Page 27: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Who are your leadership role models?

Page 28: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Who are your leadership role models?

Page 29: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Who are your leadership role models?

Page 30: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Who are your leadership role models?

Page 31: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Do our political masters lead by example?

Page 32: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report
Page 33: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Do I not like this…DfE Waste

• In 2014 £4 million was spent on Regional School

Commissioners, in 2018 it has risen to £31 million.

• Salaries and pensions for the DfE’s 11,000 employees, which

includes those employed in quangos (NDPBs) was £535

million.

• In the financial year 2018/19, the Department for Education

running costs are estimated at £477.2 million, of which

administrative costs are £281.5 million.

• A recent event…

Page 34: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

DfE Waste

Page 35: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Do our political masters lead by example?

Page 36: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Do our political masters lead by example?

Page 37: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Do our political masters lead by example?

Page 38: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Who is the leader?

Page 39: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Who is the leader?

Page 40: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

A different type of leader

Page 41: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report
Page 42: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Top tips and what I have learned

• Cogent arguments

• Relentlessly reasonable – pick your arguments

• Stick to the facts

• Remind yourself why you are doing the job

• Openness and transparency

• Recognise and acknowledge your own failures and weaknesses

• Rigorous and accessible plans

• Self improvement

Page 43: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Has it worked?

•A happy staff

•Very ‘low churn’

•440 first choice preferences

•96% attendance

•The LGBT Alliance Group

Page 44: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Has it worked?

“We feel very proud and personally gratefulto belong to a community which does notjust pay lip service to values of diversity andto slogans such as every child matters, butgoes out of its way to ensure that a cultureexists in which students can safely exploretheir identity and are expertly supported atcrucial times.”

Page 45: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Has it worked?

• 75 Local Authorities

• 3.5 million families

• £7 billion “I have to say that Worth Less? has been

a lifeline for me. I was feeling very isolated

and under huge pressure from my LA to

make massive cuts that would decimate

my school. Reading that other Heads are

in the same position has given me the

strength to carry on and fight back.”

Page 46: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

What are the issues going forward?

• Accountability / Ofsted

• Children’s wellbeing

• School funding

• Recruitment and retention

• SEND/High Needs

• Schools covering social care et al

Page 47: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future

• The National Funding Formula must be adequately funded for all schools – vast funding differentials persist

across various LAs and boroughs and upcoming funding changes will see many disadvantaged areas lose out on

real terms per pupil funding

• SEND/High Needs provision is in crisis – legal obligations, rising demand and expectations mean that significant

further investment is required. This is an urgent priority.

• Dedicated Grants for Schools (DSGs) should not be used in order to prop up High Needs budgets.

• Post 16 per pupil funding is inadequate – a minimum level of per pupil funding is needed. Raise the Rate

suggest that currently £4760 is required. The current base is approximately £4000 rising to £4188 from April 2020.

• Many small schools are at significant risk of closure – This is partly because of the reduction in ‘lump sum’

funding and the fact the lump sum itself is used as part of the calculation for per pupil funding calculations.

• Anti-social behaviour, mental health, social work…What are schools responsible for – social care, policing,

counselling? Analysis (including associated costs) is required in relation to the wider support services that schools

are currently having to cover / provide by default.

Page 48: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future

• Recent Education Select Committee recommendations – a crucial element of the ESC’s report into school

funding is the introduction of a 10 Year funding plan. This is strongly supported by ‘Worth Less?’.

• Schools require clarity over future costs, as well as future revenue streams. The cost of any salary

increases, for example, must be provided.

• Against a background of severe teacher shortages in many parts of the country recently proposed salary

increases will be welcomed but they must be fully funded with ‘new’ money.

• Independent statistical analysis relating to school funding is required. Currently, there is an over reliance

on groups such as the Institute for Fiscal Studies and Educational Policy Institute to provide accurate and

unvarnished funding analysis.

• ‘Worth Less?’ calls for an independently verified benchmarking tool for school funding. This has become a

necessity since Government claims have proved unreliable: funding increases are frequently portrayed as

generous but lag behind inflation and, often, disregard increases in pupil numbers.

• Nursery schools / settings require a long-term funding settlement to further support the government’s recent

funding announcement https://www.gov.uk/government/news/funding-boost-to-support-childcare-and-early-

education

Page 49: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report
Page 50: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Dunning and Kruger

“Those who are incompetent, for lack

of a better term, should have little

insight into their incompetence—an

assertion that has come to be known

as the Dunning–Kruger effect"

Page 51: It’s all about Dunning and Kruger · Worth Less? - Priorities for now and the future •Recent Education Select Committee recommendations –a crucial element of the ESC’s report

Contact Details

[email protected]

• https://www.facebook.com/WorthLessWestSussex/

• https://twitter.com/WorthLessFF