Broadband for all

Broadband as enabler for new services and economic growth

itU-D Regional Development Forum for

EUR and CIS Region

"NGN and Broadband, Opportunities

and Challenges", Chisinau (Moldova), 4-6 May 2010

Divna vuckovic, ericsson north balkans, Head of technology

Sergiu gandea, Ericsson moldova, account manager

2010-05-06

The world in 2020

2010-05-06

Vision 2020: 50 billion connections

2010-05-06

Drivers

for networked everything PeoplE

Businesses Societies

LifestyleHealthConvenienceSafety

ProductivityCost efficiency

RegulationsAssets

SustainabilitySafety

SecuritySocial cost

Broadband ubiquity Cost of connected device

Technology

Everything that benefits from a network connection will have one

2010-05-06

Technology enablers

Higher network speeds at lower cost

Thinner and cheaper displays

More powerful and less expensive mobile modules

New and low cost sensor technologies

New materials

2010-05-06

2000

x20

00x

Technology Evolution Broadband Capacity

Last mileBandwidth

CapacityIP Edge Routers

500kbps

2Mbps

10Mbps

100Mbps

1Gbps

10Gbps

240Gbps

480Gbps

ADSL

ADSL2+

SDSL

VDSL

VDSL2

FTTH

GPON

1st gen BRASEth BNG

Next-gen Eth MSER

20152015

2000

x20

00x

50x

50x

EDGE

HSPA Evol

HSPA

HSPAEvolved

LTE

LTE

1st gen GGSN

SAE Gateway

Multi-Access Edge 50

x50

x

CapacityMulti-Access EdgeFixed Mobile

19901990 20002000 201020102005200519951995

2010-05-06

Transformation to Deep Fiber Access

ADSL: up to 8 MbpsADSL2+: up to 24 Mbps

Classic DSL

3 – 4 km1 – 2 km

Common Transport

Local exchange

FTTN (VDSL2): ~20 Mbps

FTTC (VDSL2): ~50 Mbps

FTTB (VDSL2): ~100 Mbps

FTTH (GPON & P2P) : 100 - 2500 Mbps

Deep Fiber AccessCopper

Fiber

Key capabilities:Capacity growthResource controlService Priority QoSAvailability

2010-05-06

Broadband is going mobile

0500

1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Sub

scrip

tions

(milli

on)

Mobile

Fixed

Fixed and mobile broadband subscriptionsM2M connections to be added on top

80% HSPA/LTE

Mobile Broadband includes: CDMA2000 EV-DO, HSPA, LTE, Mobile WiMAX, TD-SCDMAFixed broadband includes: DSL, FTTx, Cable modem, Enterprise leased lines and Wireless Broadband

85% of Broadband subscribers are mobile in 2015

2010-05-06

3GPP family success gives economies of scale

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Rep

orte

d Su

bscr

iptio

ns (m

illio

n)

Other CDMA Mobile WiMAXGSM/GPRS/EDGE WCDMA HSPALTE

2010-05-06

Common LTE Evolution Alignment for WCDMA/HSPA, TD-SCDMA (China) and CDMA

GSM WCDMA HSPA

TD-SCDMA HSPA

LTE FDD and TDD

GSM Track (3GPP)

CDMA Track (3GPP2)CDMA One EVDO Rev A

WiMax Track (IEEE)(Fixed WiMax) Mobile WiMax

LTE

the Global standard for Next

Generation (4G)

FDD

FDD

TDD

TDD

~90%

~10%

~1%

2014

2010-05-06

2009 2010 2011

HSPA EVOLUTION

84 Mbps

LTE AND FUTURE

150 Mbps

300 Mbps

42 Mbps

21 Mbps

Mobile Broadband speed evolution

2010-05-06

Key LTE radio access features

› LTE radio access–

Downlink: OFDM–

Uplink: SC-FDMA

› Advanced antenna solutions–

Diversity–

Beam-forming–

Multi-layer transmission (MIMO)

› Spectrum flexibility–

Flexible bandwidth–

New and existing bands–

Duplex flexibility: FDD and TDD

20 MHz1.4 MHz

SC-FDMA

OFDMA

TX TX

2010-05-06

– early LTE

TDDBand “Identifier” Frequencies (MHz)33,34 TDD 2000 1900-1920

2010-202535,36 TDD 1900 1850-1910

1930-199037 PCS Center Gap (1915) 1910-193038 IMT Extension Center

Gap2570-2620

39 China TDD 1880-192040 2.3 TDD 2300-2400

Additional (FDD&TDD)3.5 GHz 3400-3600

3.7 GHz 3600-3800

FDDBand “Identifier” Frequencies (MHz)1 IMT Core Band 1920-1980/2110-21702 PCS 1900 1850-1910/1930-19903 GSM 1800 1710-1785/1805-18804 AWS (US & other) 1710-1755/2110-21555 850 824-849/869-8946 850 (Japan) 830-840/875-8857 IMT Extension 2500-2570/2620-26908 GSM 900 880-915/925-9609 1700 (Japan) 1750-1785/1845-188010 3G Americas 1710-1770/2110-217011 UMTS1500 1428-1453/1476-150112, US 700 698-716/728-74613, 776-788/746-75814 788-798/758-76817 704-716/734-746

1880-1920China TDD 39

2570-2620IMT Extension Center Gap

38

2.3 TDD

PCS Center Gap

TDD 1900

TDD 2000“Identifier”

TDD

2300-240040

(1915) 1910-193037

1850-19101930-1990

35,36

1900-19202010-2025

33,34Frequencies (MHz)Band

Additional (FDD&TDD)

704-716/734-74617788-798/758-76814776-788/746-75813

1428-1453/1476-1501UMTS1500111710-1770/2110-21703G Americas101750-1785/1845-18801700 (Japan) 9

US 700

GSM 900IMT Extension850 (Japan)850AWS (US & other)GSM 1800PCS 1900IMT Core Band“Identifier”

FDD

698-716/728-74612

880-915/925-96082500-2570/2620-26907830-840/875-8856824-849/869-89451710-1755/2110-215541710-1785/1805-188031850-1910/1930-199021920-1980/2110-21701Frequencies (MHz)Band

Current 3GPP bands

LTE in new and existing bands

2010-05-06

Today

>4B subscribersPersonal services, Mobility, Interoperable

Subscriber scale optimized

Mobile Fixed

>400M subscribersPer household

Cost/bit optimized

full service broadband networks The base for the future

Full Service BroadbandTomorrow

50B connectionsPersonal, Mobility, Interoperable

Subscriber, device & cost/bit optimized

Mobile excellence -

the base for personalized services, interoperability and scale

2010-05-06

Full Service Broadband

Multimedia

Full ServiceBroadband

Users

2010-05-06

1% increase in broadband penetration can increase employment by 0.2-0.3%

per year (US)

Smart use of ICT can offset global CO2 emissions by 15% by 2020

Broadband has positive effects on the environment and

the economy

2010-05-06

Field operations

Broadband on the move

Connecting the unconnected Medical services

Anywhere Internet access & Entertainment

Reporting traffic situation

Supporting the local police

Supporting Firefighting

A flavor of Services & Applications

Broadband to all and everywhere Not only at home or work

2010-05-06

Mobile and Fixed Broadband services spur positive growth circle

Infrastructures

Offer

Demand

Innovation

BB everywhereHigh Speeed

IntegratedFixed / Mobile

Vertical vsHorizontal

Virtous cycleConnectivity-Services

R&DVenture capital

Clear Regulatory& Fiscal Policies

Low Consumer TaxesHealthy Competition

Enables Broadband

Affordability

IncreasedEmployment

EnablesBroadband

Industry Growth

GDP Boost

Good Governance

2010-05-06

An All Communicating WorldMedia anywhereanytime

Televisionary in everyday life

Sustainable operations

Everything Connected

World’s Creativity

Tool

Telecommunications -

The World’s growth engine

2010-05-06

Conclusions› Broadband benefits society and economy enhancing efficiency, productivity,

sustainability as well as social and personal life

–

Additional spectrum needed to enable broadband everywhere and for all–

Actions needed to stimulate investments: Holistic policies/regulations, less and fair regulation, more certainties

› Broadband proliferation is at an inflection point, poised to bring radical improvements for:

–

Individuals, Enterprises, Governments–

Social, Economic, Environmental

› We are moving towards a converged broadband enabled world with connectivity embedded into all kinds of devices

› Driven by the tremendous success of the mobile ecosystem, we envision most device connectivity to be based on 3GPP technologies

› Engaging in connecting new types of devices brings significant profit potential to operators and service providers