J 4974%20sunday%20times%20report%20%20sept%202013

Sunday Times /Behaviour & Attitudes September, 2013 Opinion Poll 10th – 17th September, 2013

Prepared for

Prepared by Ian McShane

J.4769

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Technical Appendix

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Technical Appendix

● The results of this opinion poll are based upon a representative sample of 934 eligible Irish voters aged 18 years +.

● As such, the results can be deemed to be accurate to within plus or minus 3.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

● Fieldwork was conducted over the period 10th – 17th September with interviewing carried out at the Behaviour & Attitudes Computer Aided Telephone Interviewing (CATI) Unit at Milltown House in Dublin.

● Interviewing was conducted across all 43 constituencies in the country with households selected for interview by way of Random Digit Dialling (RDD).

● The sample is split across RDD landline numbers and RDD mobile telephone numbers, so as to ensure that individuals living in landline only households, mobile only households, and households with both a landline and mobile telephone are represented in their correct proportions.

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Technical Appendix

● The subsequent survey results are weighted to reflect the known demographic profile of Irish adults, utilising the most recently published census population estimates from the Central Statistics Office (CSO).

● Party support levels are subsequently realigned in accordance with a technical adjustment factor, designed to smooth the effects of extreme highs and lows in support levels for individual parties as measured at a single point in time, and taking variable election day turnout levels into account.

● All aspects of the survey, including the Party Support adjustment factor, are implemented in accordance with the technical and ethical guidelines set down by the Association of Irish Market Research Organisations (AIMRO) and the European Society of Opinion & Market Research (ESOMAR).

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Charted Summary

6

Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Government and Party Leader Satisfaction Levels

12th Feb

2011 (f/w: 31st Jan – 12th Feb,

2011)

24th Aug, 2011 (f/w : 16th – 24th Aug,

2011)

2nd Oct, 2011 (f/w : 20th

Sept – 2nd Oct,

2011)

18th Oct, 2011 (f/w : 16th – 18th Oct,

2011)

12th Dec. 2011 (f/w : 7th-12th Dec,

2011)

20th Feb

2012 (f/w : 15th – 20th Feb.

2012)

17th Apr, 2012 (f/w : 11th – 17th Apr.

2012)

23rd May 2012 (f/w: 18th – 23rd May,

2012)

9th Sept. 2012 (f/w: 4th -9th Sept

2012)

13th Nov 2012 (f/w: 1st- 13th Nov

2012)

21st Jan

2013 (f/w: 15th –

21st Jan.

2013)

26th Mar

2013 (f/w: 11th -26th Mar.

2013)

24th Jun 2013 (f/w: 11th – 24th June

2013)

17th Sept 2013

(f/w 10th Sept –

17th Sept 2013)

The Government

5% 42% 34% 36% 26% 26% 29% 31% 24% 26% 22% 25% 24% 24%

Micheál Martin

43% 40% 31% 36% 40% 33% 34% 41% 34% 42% 48% 44% 43% 37%

Enda Kenny 40% 62% 51% 58% 44% 41% 47% 42% 38% 41% 39% 39% 37% 34%

Eamon Gilmore

55% 52% 43% 46% 35% 34% 37% 32% 34% 29% 26% 29% 26% 26%

Gerry Adams

40% 48% 50% 50% 48% 46% 43% 42% 39% 40% 43% 45% 43% 41%

Eamon Ryan - 34% 30% 30% 30% 25% 29% 29% 27% 27% 30% 29% 30% 30%

Q.2 Q.3

Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the manner in which the Government is running the country? Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way (…..) is doing his job as (…….)?

7

Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Core Party Support Levels

12th Feb. 2011 (f/w: 31st

Jan – 12th Feb,

2011)

24th Aug, 2011 (f/w: 16th – 24th Aug,

2011)

2nd Oct, 2011 (f/w: 20th

Sept – 2nd Oct,

2011)

18th Oct, 2011 (f/w: 16th – 18th Oct,

2011)

12th Dec. 2011 (f/w :

7th-12th Dec,

2011)

20th Feb. 2012 (f/w: 15th – 20th Feb.

2012)

17th Apr, 2012 (f/w: 11th – 17th Apr.

2012)

23rd May 2012 (f/w: 18th – 23rd May,

2012)


2012)


2012)

21st Jan

2013 (f/w: 15th – 21st

Jan. 2013)

26th Mar

2013 (f/w: 11th -26th Mar.

2013)

24th Jun

2013 (f/w: 11th – 24th June

2013)

17th Sept 2013 (f/w 10th

Sept – 17th Sept

2013)

Fianna Fáil 11% 12% 11% 11% 15% 11% 12% 12% 12% 16% 19% 19% 19% 15%

Fine Gael 26% 35% 26% 27% 22% 23% 22% 24% 23% 23% 17% 19% 19% 19%

Labour 17% 9% 10% 11% 8% 7% 7% 8% 8% 7% 7% 4% 5% 6%

Sinn Féin 10% 10% 12% 14% 15% 18% 14% 17% 13% 12% 13% 13% 13% 14%

Green Party

1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3%

Independents/Others

10% 10% 10% 9% 12% 11% 12% 10% 12% 11% 9% 15% 12% 14%

Undecided 25% 22% 28% 27% 27% 30% 30% 28% 30% 29% 33% 27% 29% 30%

Q.7 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote?

8

Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Party Support Levels (Excluding Undecideds - Unadjusted)

12th Feb, 2011 (f/w: 31st

Jan – 12th Feb,

2011)

General

Election

Result 25th Feb

24th Aug, 2011 (f/w: 16th – 24th Aug,

2011)

2nd Oct, 2011 (f/w: 20th

Sept – 2nd Oct,

2011)

18th Oct, 2011 (f/w: 16th – 18th Oct,

2011)

12th Dec. 2011 (f/w: 7th-12th Dec,

2011)

20th Feb, 2012 (f/w: 15th – 20th Feb.

2012)

17th Apr, 2012 (f/w: 11th – 17th Apr.

2012)

23rd May 2012 (f/w: 18th – 23rd May,

2012)

9th Sept. 2012 (f/w: 4th -9th

Sept 2012)

13th Nov 2012 (f/w: 1st- 13th

Nov2012)

21st Jan

2013 (f/w: 15th – 21stJan.

2013)

26th Mar

2013 (f/w: 11th -26th Mar.

2013)

24th Jun

2013 (f/w: 11th – 24th June

2013)

17th Sept 2013 (f/w 10th

Sept – 17th Sept

2013)

Fianna Fáil 15% 17% 15% 15% 15% 20% 16% 17% 17% 18% 23% 28% 27% 27% 21%

Fine Gael 34% 36% 44% 36% 37% 30% 32% 32% 33% 33% 32% 26% 26% 26% 27%

Labour 23% 19% 12% 14% 15% 11% 10% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 6% 7% 8%

Sinn Féin 14% 10% 13% 17% 19% 21% 25% 20% 23% 19% 17% 20% 17% 19% 20%

Green Party 2% 2% 2% 4% 1% 3% 2% 5% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4%

Independent/ Others

14% 16% 12% 13% 13% 15% 15% 17% 14% 17% 16% 14% 21% 17% 20%


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Party Support Adjustment Factor: Technical Note

● Predicting election results on the basis of poll data is not an exact science. All the evidence shows that support for individual parties can swing dramatically in the period between elections- very often outside the bounds of historic election results.

● What to do in these circumstances? Most polling companies in Britain and Ireland publish their raw survey results as an index of fluctuations in the emotional mood of voters. They also build in an adjustment based on a number of factors. Where we have reports of how people voted in the last general election as well as how they intend to vote in the next one we can use these data to model the likely level of swing from the last election results.

● We then add back in the forecasts of voters who have not voted last time or do not answer that particular question.

● Finally we take into account each individuals stated likelihood of voting in a forthcoming General Election.

● This is the basis of the adjusted voting forecast in Behaviour & Attitudes polls.

10

Party Support Levels (Excluding Undecided - Adjusted)

● Adjusted figures based on:

All who state they would definitely vote

Weighting of those respondents who give a definite answer as to who they would vote for in a general election and who they voted for in the last election, in line with the result of the last election.

Making no adjustment to stated voting intention of those who do not indicate how they voted in last election.

2nd Oct, 2011 (f/w: 20th Sept – 2nd Oct,

2011)

18th Oct, 2011 (f/w: 16th

– 18th Oct,

2011)

12th Dec. 2011 (f/w: 7th-12th Dec,

2011)

20th Feb, 2012 (f/w: 15th

– 20th Feb.

2012)

17th Apr, 2012 (f/w: 11th

– 17th Apr.

2012)

23rd May 2012 (f/w: 18th

– 23rd May,

2012)


2012)


2012)

21st Jan

2013 (f/w: 15th

– 21stJan.

2013)

26th Mar

2013 (f/w: 11th -26th Mar.

2013)

24th Jun

2013 (f/w: 11th – 24th June

2013)

17th Sept 2013 (f/w 10th Sept

– 17th Sept

2013)

Fianna Fáil 16% 14% 18% 16% 15% 16% 16% 22% 24% 23% 24% 21%

Fine Gael 34% 35% 29% 33% 33% 33% 31% 30% 26% 27% 27% 25%

Labour 16% 16% 12% 13% 14% 14% 14% 12% 11% 7% 7% 11%

Sinn Féin 14% 17% 19% 20% 16% 17% 18% 14% 19% 15% 16% 18%

Green Party 3% 1% 3% 2% 5% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3%

Independents/Others

17% 16% 18% 16% 18% 18% 19% 19% 18% 25% 23% 23%


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Party Support Levels x Constituency Size (Excluding Undecided - Adjusted)

TOTAL

CONSTITUENCY SIZE

5 Seat Constituencies



Fianna Fáil 21% 19% 26% 16%

Fine Gael 25% 25% 22% 28%

Labour 11% 11% 9% 13%

Sinn Féin 18% 15% 19% 20%

Green Party 3% 2% 5% 2%

Independents/Others 23% 27% 20% 21%


Fine Gael and Labour support peaks in three seat constituencies. Fianna Fáil does particularly well in the four seaters, while Sinn Féin support is highest amongst three

and four seat constituencies. Independents and smaller parties represent the strongest bloc in the five seaters, which augurs well for their electoral prospects.

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Likely Voting Intentions and Level of Understanding – Seanad Referendum

Base: All Eligible Voters Voting intention

17th Sept 2013

(f/w 10th Sept – 17th Sept 2013)

Will vote yes in favour of abolishing the Seanad

49%

Will vote no against abolishing the Seanad

33%

Don’t know 15%

Will not vote 3%

Excluding Don’t know & will not vote

Will vote yes in favour of abolishing the Seanad 60%


40%

Base: All Eligible Voters Level of Understanding

17th Sept 2013 (f/w 10th Sept – 17th Sept 2013)

Understand it very well 16%

Understand it quite well 19%

Understand it to some extent 29%

Do not understand it particularly well 16%

Do not understand it at all 19%

Q.8 As you are probably aware, on October 4th next a referendum will be held in relation to the abolition of Seanad Eireann – otherwise known as the Seanad. People will be asked to vote either in favour of or against abolishing the Seanad. Are you yourself likely to vote yes in favour of the abolition of the Seanad, or no against the abolition of the Seanad?

Q.9 And thinking of the forthcoming Seanad Eireann Referendum. On a scale of 1 to 5 where 5 is you understand it very well and 1 is you do not understand it at all, how well do you feel you understand what the Seanad Eireann referendum is about?

13

Likely Voting Intention in Seanad Referendum x Demographics


Base: All Eligible Voters

Total

Gender Age Class Region Area

Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ ABC1 C2DE F Dublin Leins ter

Munster

Conn/ Ulster

Urban Rural

Base: 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294

% % % % % % % % % % % % % % %


49 55 44 40 55 52 52 47 53 46 45 52 56 48 51


33 31 34 35 26 38 33 32 32 33 37 29 32 32 33

Don’t know 15 11 19 23 15 8 14 18 6 19 16 15 10 17 13

Will not vote 3 3 2 2 4 1 2 3 9 2 2 5 1 3 3

Support for the abolition of the Seanad is strongest amongst males, and those aged 35 years plus.

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Likely Voting Intention in Seanad Referendum x Party Support


Total

Party Support

Fianna Fail Fine Gael Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein Indep endent/ Others

Would not/ DK

Base: 934 147 170 59 25 128 126 279

% % % % % % % %


49 37 61 56 42 51 58 43


33 50 24 27 45 26 35 32

Don’t know 15 13 11 17 13 23 7 20

Will not vote 3 - 4 - - 1 - 6


Opposition to the abolition of the Seanad is greatest amongst Fianna Fáil and Green Party supporters, with many Sinn Féin voters yet to decide.

15

How well do you understand the Seanad Referendum x Demographics



Total



Munster

Conn/ Ulster

Urban Rural

Base: 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294

% % % % % % % % % % % % % % %

Understand it very well

16 22 12 6 16 28 21 15 7 20 17 13 16 19 13

Understand it quite well

19 24 15 14 23 20 23 16 24 18 20 23 14 17 22

Understand it to some extent

29 25 33 29 30 27 29 28 36 29 25 30 33 29 30

Do not understand it particularly well

16 14 18 22 15 10 16 15 22 12 17 14 22 15 17

Do not understand it at all

19 15 23 28 16 15 12 27 12 20 21 20 15 20 18

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How well do you understand Seanad Referendum x Party Support


Total

Party Support

Fianna Fail

Fine Gael Labour Green Party


Would not/ DK

Base: 934 147 170 59 25 128 126 279

% % % % % % % %


16 18 18 23 7 11 23 13


19 16 24 17 28 18 23 16


29 36 32 27 24 26 30 26


16 17 14 23 12 20 9 17


19 13 12 9 28 25 15 28


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Likely Voting Intentions and Level of Understanding – Court of Appeal Referendum

Base: All Eligible Voters Voting intention

17th Sept 2013

(f/w 10th Sept – 17th Sept 2013)

Will vote yes to allow for these changes

59%

Will vote no, not to allow for these changes

16%

Don’t know 22%

Will not vote 3%

Excluding Don’t know & will not vote

Will vote yes to allow for these changes 78%


22%

Base: All Eligible Voters Level of Understanding

17th Sept 2013 (f/w 10th Sept – 17th Sept 2013)

Understand it very well 6%

Understand it quite well 9%

Understand it to some extent 30%

Do not understand it particularly well 21%

Do not understand it at all 33%

Q.11 And still thinking of that Court of Appeal Referendum. On a scale of 1 to 5 where 5 is you understand it very well and 1 is you do not understand it at all, how well do you feel you understand what the Court of Appeal Referendum is about?

Q.10 On October 4th next, a Court of Appeal Referendum will also be held in which people will be asked to vote on whether or not to allow for:

The establishment of a Court of Appeal, and A change in how the Supreme Court issues decisions in cases where it is asked to decide whether or not a law is constitutional – the ‘one judgement ‘ rule

People will be asked to vote yes or no to this entire proposal. Are you likely to vote yes, to allow for the establishment of a Court of Appeal and a change in how the Supreme Court issues decisions, or no, not to allow for the establishment of a Court of Appeal and a change in how the Supreme Court issues decisions?

18

Likely Voting Intention in Court of Appeal Referendum x Demographics Base: All Eligible Voters

Total



Munster

Conn/ Ulster

Urban Rural

Base: 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294

% % % % % % % % % % % % % % %


59 65 54 67 55 57 59 60 55 63 60 57 57 60 57


16 16 17 16 15 18 13 20 10 14 15 18 18 16 17

Don’t know 22 16 27 15 26 22 26 17 28 21 23 20 23 21 23

Will not vote 3 3 2 2 4 2 2 3 7 1 2 5 2 2 3


The establishment of a Court of Appeal, and A change in how the Supreme Court issues decisions in cases where it is asked to decide whether or not a law is constitutional – the ‘one judgement ‘ rule


Support for the proposed changes in the Court of Appeal Referendum is high across all demographic groupings.

19

Likely Voting Intention in Court of Appeal Referendum x Party Support


Total

Party Support

Fianna Fail



Would not/ DK

Base: 934 147 170 59 25 128 126 279

% % % % % % % %


59 64 60 75 84 61 56 52


16 17 19 13 5 22 20 12

Don’t know 22 20 19 12 11 15 23 30

Will not vote 3 - 3 - - 2 1 6


The establishment of a Court of Appeal, and A change in how the Supreme Court issues decisions in cases where it is asked to decide whether or not a law is constitutional – the ‘one judgement ‘ rule.


20

How well do you understand the Court of Appeal Referendum x Demographics



Total



Munster

Conn/ Ulster

Urban Rural

Base: 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294

% % % % % % % % % % % % % % %


6 8 4 6 6 7 7 7 - 9 5 6 4 7 5


9 11 7 9 8 9 11 7 8 13 6 9 7 10 8


30 32 29 31 28 33 26 33 33 33 30 29 30 33 27


21 20 23 22 22 20 21 22 18 16 23 24 22 19 25


33 29 36 31 36 31 35 31 40 29 35 32 36 32 35

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How well do you understand Court of Appeal Referendum x Party Support


Total

Party Support

Fianna Fail



Would not/ DK

Base: 934 147 170 59 25 128 126 279

% % % % % % % %


6 5 6 14 3 6 7 5


9 12 10 16 12 10 5 6


30 33 32 24 26 30 34 29


21 21 23 34 43 22 13 20


33 29 29 11 17 32 42 39


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Commentary

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Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Opinion Poll Series

Background

Fieldwork for today’s poll was conducted over the period Tuesday, 10th September – Tuesday, 17th September. As such, it represents the traditional ‘back to school’ post summer recess poll, which traditionally registers lower than average ratings for the various party leaders as a result of their having fallen off the public radar during the summer months.

The socio-political context leading up to this month’s survey was, however, somewhat atypical for the time of year, for a number of reasons.

Firstly, the date of the announcement of the 2014 Budget has been brought forward this year from its traditional mid December slot to October 14th next. The effect of this scheduling has been a period of quite intense debate around the likely content of the budget over the last couple of months, with the electorate’s mind likely to have been more focused on financial and political matters to a greater extent than they ordinarily would have been during these traditionally fallow months.

At a macro level, it could be argued that the Government has managed to play to public sentiment by way of holding out the hope, or indeed expectation, that next year’s budget will not be as harsh as originally envisaged, with adjustments of between 2.5 and 2.8 billion euro being mooted, rather than the originally targeted 3.1 billion.

24


Background

While the average voter will find it difficult to gauge the practical benefit of the potentially less austere budget on their own financial wellbeing, the underlying message emanating from Government quarters of late has been quite consistent; employment is slowly increasing, house prices are edging upwards again, consumer and business confidence is improving significantly, and we are about to exit the IMF/EU/ECB bailout in a couple of months time on the back of our last austerity budget of the programme.

This is not, of course, to say that voters feel the economy, and hence their household wellbeing, has improved dramatically of late, with the great majority of individuals remaining under severe financial and emotional pressure.

All eyes are on the likely nature and scale of cuts looming in next month’s Budget, with noticeable cracks appearing between Fine Gael and Labour cabinet colleagues as to precisely where the axe should fall.

25


Background

The second great area of debate over the last couple of months has of course been around the forthcoming referendum concerning the potential abolition of the Seanad.

At the time of polling, the official Yes and No camp campaigns had just been launched, with many voters likely to decide how they will vote between now and the day of polling – Friday 4th October.

While Fine Gael in particular have downplayed the potential political fall-out from a defeat of the Referendum proposal, a No vote would undoubtedly damage the credibility of Enda Kenny, and bolster the standing of Fianna Fáil and Micheál Martin especially.

Today’s poll focuses on the current state of play in relation to both the Seanad and Appeals Court Referenda, and includes the crucial reading on the extent to which they are understood by the electorate at this stage of the campaign.

26


Party Support and Leader Satisfaction Levels

The results of the last Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Poll in June registered little or no shifts in party support from the previous poll carried out three months prior to that.

At that stage, Fine Gael remained the most popular party in the country, albeit with just a three point lead over Fianna Fáil in second place. Sinn Féin and Independents support levels remained on 16% and 23% respectively, with Labour at an all time low of 7%.

Fast forward to this week’s poll, and we see that Fianna Fáil support has dropped three points since June to 21%, Fine Gael is down by an insignificant two percentage points to 25%, while Labour’s support has settled back to the 11% it registered in January of this year.

Sinn Féin, meanwhile has edged up by two points to 18%, with Independent and other candidates sitting on 23% - no change from June.

All in all, therefore, the combined Government coalition party vote now sits at 36% - a resilient performance in comparison with the 33% registered three months ago. Indeed, Government satisfaction, at 24%, is identical to that measured in June.

With regard to the main opposition parties, the combined Fianna Fáil/ Sinn Féin vote of 39% in this month’s Poll is practically identical, to the 40% garnered by the two parties in June. The race is still very much on between Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin for the title of main opposition party, with both well positioned to make advances in next year’s European and Local Elections.

27



For the first time, Behaviour & Attitudes has run a special analysis of its polling data, whereby party support levels are analysed by type of constituency, i.e. all three seater constituencies combined, compared with all four seater constituencies, and all five seater constituencies combined. The rationale for instigating this analysis relates to the fact that the fate of so many parties at the 2016 election is likely to be decided upon based on which candidate manages to clamber over the line during the last counts in five seater constituencies in particular.

The results of this analysis make interesting reading, and suggest that support for Fine Gael and Labour peaks in three seat constituencies, Fianna Fáil does particularly well in the four seaters, while Sinn Féin support is highest amongst three and four seat constituencies.

The greatest threat to the coalition partners within five seat constituencies is in fact from Independents and members of smaller parties, with over a quarter of the support across these largest constituencies currently going to such candidates.

With regard to party leader satisfaction levels, the last four Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Polls prior to today’s have positioned Micheál Martin as leader of Fianna Fáil and Gerry Adams as leader of Sinn Féin as the most popular party leaders.

28



Today’s poll consolidates this trend, with Gerry Adams (41%) and Micheál Martin (37%) the most popular party leaders. As is usually the case in post summer recess polls, the satisfaction levels for all party leaders, with in this instance the exception of Eamon Gilmore, are all down on the most recent poll.

29


Seanad Eireann & Court of Appeal Referenda

Of the two Referenda being held on October 4th next, it is clear that the Court of Appeal Referendum has yet to register with a significant proportion of the population. Thus, with 25% undecided as to how they will vote in that Referendum, and 54% professing little or no understanding of its content, there is some way to go before a final call can be made on the precise outcome of that vote.

At a broad level, however, the fact that 59% suggest they are likely to vote yes, and just 16% No would suggest that this Referendum is likely to be passed with a comfortable majority.

With regard to the Seanad Eireann referendum, just 18% remain undecided, with 49% suggesting that they will vote Yes in favour of the abolition of the Seanad, and 33% No against its abolition.

Excluding the undecideds, the current state of play indicates that the electorate is veering towards voting to abolish the Seanad by a ratio of about 60/40.

Behaviour & Attitude’s analysis of levels of understanding of previous Referenda in its Opinion Polls suggests that in or around 30% of the electorate should understand the Treaty very/quite well, and no more than 15% to 20% should indicate that they do not understand it at all by voting day if it is to have a reasonable chance of being passed.

30


Seanad Eireann & Court of Appeal Referenda

Today’s Poll indicates that 35% understand the Seanad Referendum very/quite well, with 19% indicating they do not understand it at all.

This pattern of response would suggest that the most likely outcome will be that the Referendum will be passed, albeit with a majority of less than the current 20%.

Tabular Data

August TeleBar 2012 Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Opinion Poll

J4974

Page 1Table 1

Q1 Are you eligible to vote in Irish General Elections, or not?

All Irish Adults 18+ Total Gender Age Class Region Area Party Support Likelihood Seanad Referendum Understandi

ng

Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ ABC1 C2DE F Dublin

Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

UNWTD 978 477 501 296 381 301 453 474 51 277 260 267 174 672 306 152 174 62 26 131 130 303 814 688 126 52 108 321 657

Yes, eligible 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

95% 94% 96% 89% 96% 100% 94% 95% 98% 93% 96% 97% 93% 94% 96% 96% 98% 94% 92% 98% 97% 91% 97% 98% 96% 88% 84% 92% 96%

No – not eligible 143 99 44 94 49 - 70 69 4 55 31 21 36 101 42 17 16 11 - 7 13 80 65 48 16 22 49 67 76

4% 6% 3% 8% 4% - 5% 4% 2% 6% 3% 2% 5% 5% 3% 3% 2% 6% - 1% 3% 7% 2% 2% 3% 11% 13% 5% 3%

Don’t know (DO NOT READ OUT)

33 9 23 29 3 - 9 24 - 9 4 5 14 20 13 1 - - 8 3 - 21 12 8 5 2 12 29 4

1% 1% 1% 3% 0% - 1% 1% - 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% - - 8% 1% - 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 3% 2% 0%


J4974

Page 2Table 1

Q1 Are you eligible to vote in Irish General Elections, or not?

All Irish Adults 18+ Total Court of Appeal

Referendum Understandi

ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

UNWTD 978 523 455 322 362 294

Yes, eligible 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

95% 95% 94% 95% 93% 96%

No – not eligible 143 68 75 45 66 32

4% 4% 5% 4% 5% 3%


33 18 15 8 17 8

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%


J4974

Page 3Table 2

Q2 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the manner in which the Government is running the country?

All Irish Voters Total Gender Age Class Region Area Party Support Likelihood Seanad Referendum Understandi

ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Satisfied 771 492 279 213 258 300 322 353 95 173 203 247 148 435 336 85 385 72 13 31 56 128 704 585 119 44 23 184 586

24% 31% 17% 20% 21% 30% 25% 21% 38% 21% 23% 27% 23% 22% 26% 17% 61% 39% 16% 7% 12% 13% 26% 26% 26% 24% 7% 16% 28%

Dissatisfied 2,410 1,051 1,359 792 938 680 953 1,308 148 615 653 670 472 1,485 925 403 224 105 66 411 400 801 1,974 1,656 318 135 296 917 1,493

74% 67% 81% 76% 77% 68% 73% 76% 59% 76% 74% 73% 73% 75% 72% 82% 36% 58% 79% 90% 87% 83% 72% 73% 68% 74% 89% 80% 71%

No opinion 84 35 49 43 21 20 26 50 8 20 29 4 31 63 21 5 19 6 4 13 2 35 67 39 27 3 14 51 33

3% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 0% 5% 3% 2% 1% 3% 3% 5% 3% 0% 4% 2% 2% 6% 2% 4% 4% 2%


J4974

Page 4Table 2

Q2 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the manner in which the Government is running the country?

All Irish Voters Total Court of Appeal


ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Satisfied 771 362 408 267 229 274

24% 20% 27% 24% 20% 26%

Dissatisfied 2,410 1,357 1,052 785 878 747

74% 76% 71% 71% 78% 72%

No opinion 84 55 29 48 20 17

3% 3% 2% 4% 2% 2%


J4974

Page 5Table 3

Q3 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Kenny is doing his job as Taoiseach?


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Satisfied 1,094 626 467 366 371 357 474 502 118 274 257 318 245 640 454 115 478 69 34 65 85 248 982 807 175 52 60 299 795

34% 40% 28% 35% 30% 36% 36% 29% 47% 34% 29% 34% 38% 32% 35% 23% 76% 38% 40% 14% 19% 26% 36% 35% 38% 29% 18% 26% 38%

Dissatisfied 2,032 904 1,128 598 812 622 782 1,120 130 482 580 574 396 1,222 810 370 129 107 46 375 351 653 1,668 1,418 250 113 247 750 1,282

62% 57% 67% 57% 67% 62% 60% 65% 52% 60% 65% 62% 61% 62% 63% 75% 21% 58% 55% 83% 77% 68% 61% 62% 54% 62% 74% 65% 61%

No opinion 139 46 93 84 34 20 45 89 4 52 48 30 9 122 17 8 22 7 4 14 22 62 95 55 40 16 28 103 36

4% 3% 5% 8% 3% 2% 3% 5% 2% 6% 5% 3% 1% 6% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 3% 5% 6% 3% 2% 9% 9% 8% 9% 2%


J4974

Page 6Table 3

Q3 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Kenny is doing his job as Taoiseach?



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Satisfied 1,094 564 530 372 381 341

34% 32% 36% 34% 34% 33%

Dissatisfied 2,032 1,101 931 688 694 650

62% 62% 62% 63% 62% 63%

No opinion 139 110 28 40 52 47

4% 6% 2% 4% 5% 5%


J4974

Page 7Table 4

Q4 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Gilmore is doing his job as Tanaiste?


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Satisfied 849 418 431 272 272 305 328 449 72 202 203 292 152 472 377 90 364 77 17 62 63 176 762 609 153 45 42 299 549

26% 26% 26% 26% 22% 31% 25% 26% 28% 25% 23% 32% 23% 24% 29% 18% 58% 42% 20% 14% 14% 18% 28% 27% 33% 25% 13% 26% 26%

Dissatisfied 2,182 1,069 1,113 641 873 668 915 1,091 176 545 594 572 471 1,326 856 372 249 95 57 362 368 679 1,815 1,564 251 117 245 677 1,505

67% 68% 66% 61% 72% 67% 70% 64% 70% 67% 67% 62% 72% 67% 67% 75% 40% 52% 68% 80% 80% 70% 66% 69% 54% 65% 73% 59% 71%

No opinion 234 90 143 135 72 26 58 171 4 60 89 58 27 185 48 31 16 10 10 30 27 109 168 107 60 20 46 176 58

7% 6% 8% 13% 6% 3% 4% 10% 2% 7% 10% 6% 4% 9% 4% 6% 3% 6% 12% 7% 6% 11% 6% 5% 13% 11% 14% 15% 3%


J4974

Page 8Table 4

Q4 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Gilmore is doing his job as Tanaiste?



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Satisfied 849 425 424 263 284 302

26% 24% 28% 24% 25% 29%

Dissatisfied 2,182 1,166 1,016 750 761 671

67% 66% 68% 68% 68% 65%

No opinion 234 184 49 87 81 65

7% 10% 3% 8% 7% 6%


J4974

Page 9Table 5

Q5 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Martin is doing his job as leader of Fianna Fail?


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Satisfied 1,206 676 530 290 469 447 458 663 84 279 327 351 248 729 477 351 256 48 22 145 169 215 1,079 916 164 54 72 368 838

37% 43% 31% 28% 39% 45% 35% 39% 33% 35% 37% 38% 38% 37% 37% 71% 41% 26% 27% 32% 37% 22% 39% 40% 35% 30% 22% 32% 40%

Dissatisfied 1,704 757 947 613 629 462 702 854 148 430 446 476 351 1,030 674 114 312 115 50 289 252 572 1,386 1,148 238 91 222 613 1,091

52% 48% 56% 59% 52% 46% 54% 50% 59% 53% 50% 52% 54% 52% 53% 23% 50% 63% 59% 64% 55% 59% 50% 50% 51% 50% 67% 53% 52%

No opinion 355 145 210 145 119 91 140 195 20 99 112 94 51 224 131 28 61 20 12 21 37 177 279 217 63 37 39 171 184

11% 9% 12% 14% 10% 9% 11% 11% 8% 12% 13% 10% 8% 11% 10% 6% 10% 11% 14% 5% 8% 18% 10% 10% 13% 20% 12% 15% 9%


J4974

Page 10Table 5

Q5 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Martin is doing his job as leader of Fianna Fail?



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Satisfied 1,206 663 543 405 408 393

37% 37% 36% 37% 36% 38%

Dissatisfied 1,704 895 809 563 606 535

52% 50% 54% 51% 54% 52%

No opinion 355 217 138 133 112 110

11% 12% 9% 12% 10% 11%


J4974

Page 11Table 6

Q6 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Adams is doing his job as leader of Sinn Fein?


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Satisfied 1,347 760 587 468 511 367 530 737 80 328 341 411 268 842 505 209 218 55 36 408 152 270 1,174 943 231 58 115 513 833

41% 48% 35% 45% 42% 37% 41% 43% 32% 41% 39% 45% 41% 42% 39% 42% 35% 30% 43% 90% 33% 28% 43% 41% 50% 32% 34% 45% 39%

Dissatisfied 1,483 658 826 439 528 516 604 744 135 346 425 405 307 809 674 249 351 90 35 35 245 478 1,226 1,058 168 92 161 409 1,074

45% 42% 49% 42% 43% 52% 46% 43% 54% 43% 48% 44% 47% 41% 53% 50% 56% 49% 42% 8% 53% 50% 45% 46% 36% 51% 48% 35% 51%

No opinion 434 159 275 141 178 116 167 231 37 134 119 106 75 332 103 35 60 38 13 12 61 215 344 279 65 31 58 230 204

13% 10% 16% 13% 15% 12% 13% 13% 15% 17% 13% 12% 12% 17% 8% 7% 10% 21% 15% 3% 13% 22% 13% 12% 14% 17% 18% 20% 10%


J4974

Page 12Table 6

Q6 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Adams is doing his job as leader of Sinn Fein?



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Satisfied 1,347 718 629 431 444 472

41% 40% 42% 39% 39% 45%

Dissatisfied 1,483 780 703 531 536 416

45% 44% 47% 48% 48% 40%

No opinion 434 276 158 138 147 150

13% 16% 11% 13% 13% 14%


J4974

Page 13Table 7

Q7 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Ryan is doing his job as leader of The Green Party?


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Satisfied 965 511 454 361 299 305 380 535 50 265 273 253 174 644 321 174 199 51 58 171 140 173 874 735 139 54 37 289 677

30% 32% 27% 34% 25% 31% 29% 31% 20% 33% 31% 27% 27% 32% 25% 35% 32% 28% 69% 38% 31% 18% 32% 32% 30% 30% 11% 25% 32%

Dissatisfied 1,497 660 837 474 598 425 631 737 129 318 409 475 295 833 665 217 261 75 18 200 206 521 1,185 1,005 180 99 209 528 970

46% 42% 50% 45% 49% 43% 48% 43% 51% 39% 46% 52% 45% 42% 52% 44% 41% 41% 22% 44% 45% 54% 43% 44% 39% 55% 63% 46% 46%

No opinion 802 406 396 213 320 269 290 439 72 224 204 193 181 506 296 102 169 57 8 84 112 270 686 540 146 29 87 336 466

25% 26% 23% 20% 26% 27% 22% 26% 29% 28% 23% 21% 28% 26% 23% 21% 27% 31% 10% 18% 24% 28% 25% 24% 31% 16% 26% 29% 22%


J4974

Page 14Table 7

Q7 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Ryan is doing his job as leader of The Green Party?



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Satisfied 965 457 508 342 356 267

30% 26% 34% 31% 32% 26%

Dissatisfied 1,497 833 665 509 468 520

46% 47% 45% 46% 42% 50%

No opinion 802 485 317 250 302 250

25% 27% 21% 23% 27% 24%


J4974

Page 15Table 8

Q8 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote?


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Fianna Fail 493 234 259 144 187 163 189 266 39 115 142 147 89 326 167 493 - - - - - - 444 405 38 21 28 148 345

15% 15% 15% 14% 15% 16% 14% 16% 15% 14% 16% 16% 14% 16% 13% 100% - - - - - - 16% 18% 8% 12% 8% 13% 16%

Fine Gael 629 360 269 143 255 231 251 286 93 134 124 224 147 287 342 - 629 - - - - - 604 475 129 19 7 163 466

19% 23% 16% 14% 21% 23% 19% 17% 37% 17% 14% 24% 23% 14% 27% - 100% - - - - - 22% 21% 28% 10% 2% 14% 22%

Labour 183 102 81 68 63 51 104 78 - 70 60 31 21 140 43 - - 183 - - - - 180 153 27 - 3 59 124

6% 6% 5% 7% 5% 5% 8% 5% - 9% 7% 3% 3% 7% 3% - - 100% - - - - 7% 7% 6% - 1% 5% 6%

Green Party 84 46 38 44 35 5 34 46 4 51 6 25 2 69 15 - - - 84 - - - 72 51 20 - 12 34 50

3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 0% 3% 3% 2% 6% 1% 3% 0% 3% 1% - - - 100% - - - 3% 2% 4% - 4% 3% 2%

Sinn Fein 455 262 193 207 139 109 178 270 6 140 106 109 100 332 123 - - - - 455 - - 418 349 69 7 29 204 251

14% 17% 11% 20% 11% 11% 14% 16% 2% 17% 12% 12% 15% 17% 10% - - - - 100% - - 15% 15% 15% 4% 9% 18% 12%

Independent/Other 458 226 232 104 145 208 187 228 43 105 144 95 113 259 199 - - - - - 458 - 404 381 23 27 26 110 348

14% 14% 14% 10% 12% 21% 14% 13% 17% 13% 16% 10% 17% 13% 16% - - - - - 100% - 15% 17% 5% 15% 8% 10% 16%

Don’t know 712 241 471 289 259 165 291 384 37 155 195 237 125 433 280 - - - - - - 712 587 439 148 66 59 305 407

22% 15% 28% 28% 21% 16% 22% 22% 15% 19% 22% 26% 19% 22% 22% - - - - - - 74% 21% 19% 32% 37% 18% 26% 19%

Would not vote 251 108 144 48 135 68 68 154 30 37 108 53 53 138 113 - - - - - - 251 37 26 11 41 170 129 122

8% 7% 9% 5% 11% 7% 5% 9% 12% 5% 12% 6% 8% 7% 9% - - - - - - 26% 1% 1% 2% 22% 51% 11% 6%


J4974

Page 16Table 8




ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Fianna Fail 493 247 246 171 206 117

15% 14% 17% 16% 18% 11%

Fine Gael 629 327 302 197 214 218

19% 18% 20% 18% 19% 21%

Labour 183 83 99 63 54 66

6% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6%

Green Party 84 50 34 25 35 24

3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2%

Sinn Fein 455 246 209 123 168 164

14% 14% 14% 11% 15% 16%

Independent/Other 458 248 209 190 134 134

14% 14% 14% 17% 12% 13%

Don’t know 712 441 271 212 238 262

22% 25% 18% 19% 21% 25%

Would not vote 251 133 119 120 78 54

8% 7% 8% 11% 7% 5%


J4974

Page 17Table 9


All Irish VotersAll voters excluding undecided

Total Gender Age Class Region Area Party Support Likelihood Seanad Referendum Understandi

ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 2,301 1,229 1,073 711 823 767 943 1,174 185 615 582 632 472 1,412 889 493 629 183 84 455 458 2,121 1,816 306 75 105 718 1,583

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,301 1,229 1,073 711 823 767 943 1,174 185 615 582 632 472 1,412 889 493 629 183 84 455 458 2,121 1,816 306 75 105 718 1,583

UNWTD 655 350 305 185 246 224 313 306 36 196 163 177 119 456 199 147 170 59 25 128 126 607 535 72 17 31 186 469

Fianna Fail 493 234 259 144 187 163 189 266 39 115 142 147 89 326 167 493 - - - - - 444 405 38 21 28 148 345

21% 19% 24% 20% 23% 21% 20% 23% 21% 19% 24% 23% 19% 23% 19% 100% - - - - - 21% 22% 13% 28% 27% 21% 22%

Fine Gael 629 360 269 143 255 231 251 286 93 134 124 224 147 287 342 - 629 - - - - 604 475 129 19 7 163 466

27% 29% 25% 20% 31% 30% 27% 24% 50% 22% 21% 35% 31% 20% 38% - 100% - - - - 28% 26% 42% 25% 6% 23% 29%

Labour 183 102 81 68 63 51 104 78 - 70 60 31 21 140 43 - - 183 - - - 180 153 27 - 3 59 124

8% 8% 8% 10% 8% 7% 11% 7% - 11% 10% 5% 4% 10% 5% - - 100% - - - 8% 8% 9% - 3% 8% 8%

Green Party 84 46 38 44 35 5 34 46 4 51 6 25 2 69 15 - - - 84 - - 72 51 20 - 12 34 50

4% 4% 4% 6% 4% 1% 4% 4% 2% 8% 1% 4% 0% 5% 2% - - - 100% - - 3% 3% 7% - 12% 5% 3%

Sinn Fein 455 262 193 207 139 109 178 270 6 140 106 109 100 332 123 - - - - 455 - 418 349 69 7 29 204 251

20% 21% 18% 29% 17% 14% 19% 23% 3% 23% 18% 17% 21% 23% 14% - - - - 100% - 20% 19% 22% 10% 28% 28% 16%

Independent/Other 458 226 232 104 145 208 187 228 43 105 144 95 113 259 199 - - - - - 458 404 381 23 27 26 110 348

20% 18% 22% 15% 18% 27% 20% 19% 23% 17% 25% 15% 24% 18% 22% - - - - - 100% 19% 21% 8% 37% 25% 15% 22%


J4974

Page 18Table 9


All Irish VotersAll voters excluding undecided

Total Court of Appeal


ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 2,301 1,201 1,100 769 810 722

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,301 1,201 1,100 769 810 722

UNWTD 655 336 319 218 235 202

Fianna Fail 493 247 246 171 206 117

21% 21% 22% 22% 25% 16%

Fine Gael 629 327 302 197 214 218

27% 27% 27% 26% 26% 30%

Labour 183 83 99 63 54 66

8% 7% 9% 8% 7% 9%

Green Party 84 50 34 25 35 24

4% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3%

Sinn Fein 455 246 209 123 168 164

20% 20% 19% 16% 21% 23%


20% 21% 19% 25% 17% 19%


J4974

Page 19Table 10

Adjusted Party Support : Q8 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote?

All voters excluding undecidedWill definitely vote


ng

Court of Appeal


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 1,793 967 826 495 630 668 780 881 132 514 481 458 340 1,127 665 372 443 191 55 322 410 1,793 1,793 414 1,378 856 937

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 1,793 967 826 495 630 668 780 881 132 514 481 458 340 1,127 665 372 443 191 55 322 410 1,793 1,793 414 1,378 856 937

UNWTD 535 287 248 127 207 201 268 241 26 168 135 139 93 373 162 120 143 51 14 98 109 535 535 112 423 254 281

Fianna Fail 372 194 177 83 146 143 146 189 36 94 106 101 71 233 139 372 - - - - - 372 372 78 294 180 192

21% 20% 21% 17% 23% 21% 19% 21% 28% 18% 22% 22% 21% 21% 21% 100% - - - - - 21% 21% 19% 21% 21% 21%

Fine Gael 443 240 203 91 169 184 183 193 66 84 103 159 98 201 242 - 443 - - - - 443 443 89 354 223 221

25% 25% 25% 18% 27% 27% 24% 22% 50% 16% 21% 35% 29% 18% 36% - 100% - - - - 25% 25% 21% 26% 26% 24%

Labour 191 107 84 65 65 62 105 86 - 87 68 31 5 156 36 - - 191 - - - 191 191 48 144 79 113

11% 11% 10% 13% 10% 9% 13% 10% - 17% 14% 7% 1% 14% 5% - - 100% - - - 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 12%

Green Party 55 24 31 25 26 3 24 31 - 37 6 11 - 50 5 - - - 55 - - 55 55 8 47 24 31

3% 2% 4% 5% 4% 0% 3% 4% - 7% 1% 2% - 4% 1% - - - 100% - - 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3%

Sinn Fein 322 189 133 137 95 91 132 191 - 102 79 78 63 231 91 - - - - 322 - 322 322 108 214 148 175

18% 20% 16% 28% 15% 14% 17% 22% - 20% 16% 17% 19% 20% 14% - - - - 100% - 18% 18% 26% 16% 17% 19%

Independent/Other 410 213 197 94 129 186 190 191 29 109 119 78 104 256 153 - - - - - 410 410 410 84 325 203 206

23% 22% 24% 19% 21% 28% 24% 22% 22% 21% 25% 17% 31% 23% 23% - - - - - 100% 23% 23% 20% 24% 24% 22%


J4974

Page 20Table 10

Adjusted Party Support : Q8 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote?

All voters excluding undecidedWill definitely vote

Total Constituency

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 1,793 610 656 527

100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 1,793 610 656 527

UNWTD 535 179 197 159

Fianna Fail 372 118 169 85

21% 19% 26% 16%

Fine Gael 443 152 144 147

25% 25% 22% 28%

Labour 191 66 57 68

11% 11% 9% 13%

Green Party 55 15 30 10

3% 2% 5% 2%

Sinn Fein 322 93 124 106

18% 15% 19% 20%

Independent/Other 410 166 132 111

23% 27% 20% 21%


J4974

Page 21Table 11

Q8 As you are probably aware, on October 4th next a referendum will be held in relation to the abolition of Seanad Eireann – otherwise known as the Seanad.


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637


1,613 863 749 420 670 523 673 806 134 375 397 475 365 955 658 184 383 102 36 231 266 411 1,403 1,207 196 63 147 417 1,196

49% 55% 44% 40% 55% 52% 52% 47% 53% 46% 45% 52% 56% 48% 51% 37% 61% 56% 42% 51% 58% 43% 51% 53% 42% 35% 44% 36% 57%


1,064 490 574 362 322 381 431 554 80 263 328 264 209 640 424 245 151 49 37 117 160 306 895 745 150 68 101 323 741

33% 31% 34% 35% 26% 38% 33% 32% 32% 33% 37% 29% 32% 32% 33% 50% 24% 27% 45% 26% 35% 32% 33% 33% 32% 37% 30% 28% 35%

Don’t know 500 175 325 241 176 82 177 308 16 153 141 138 68 335 165 64 70 32 11 104 32 188 405 311 94 44 51 361 140

15% 11% 19% 23% 15% 8% 14% 18% 6% 19% 16% 15% 10% 17% 13% 13% 11% 17% 13% 23% 7% 20% 15% 14% 20% 24% 15% 31% 7%

Will not vote 87 48 39 25 49 13 21 45 22 16 19 45 8 52 35 - 25 - - 3 - 59 42 18 24 7 35 52 36

3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 1% 2% 3% 9% 2% 2% 5% 1% 3% 3% - 4% - - 1% - 6% 2% 1% 5% 4% 10% 4% 2%


J4974

Page 22Table 11




ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284


1,613 852 761 566 548 499

49% 48% 51% 51% 49% 48%


1,064 547 517 374 348 342

33% 31% 35% 34% 31% 33%

Don’t know 500 329 172 143 206 151

15% 19% 12% 13% 18% 15%

Will not vote 87 48 40 17 23 46

3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4%


J4974

Page 23Table 12


All Irish VotersExcluding DK &Will not vote


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 2,677 1,353 1,323 782 991 904 1,104 1,359 214 639 725 739 574 1,595 1,082 429 534 151 73 348 426 716 2,298 1,952 346 131 248 740 1,937

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,677 1,353 1,323 782 991 904 1,104 1,359 214 639 725 739 574 1,595 1,082 429 534 151 73 348 426 716 2,298 1,952 346 131 248 740 1,937

UNWTD 778 393 385 199 306 273 368 366 44 214 206 214 144 525 253 127 151 50 21 102 117 210 675 585 90 32 71 189 589


1,613 863 749 420 670 523 673 806 134 375 397 475 365 955 658 184 383 102 36 231 266 411 1,403 1,207 196 63 147 417 1,196

60% 64% 57% 54% 68% 58% 61% 59% 63% 59% 55% 64% 64% 60% 61% 43% 72% 68% 49% 66% 63% 57% 61% 62% 57% 48% 59% 56% 62%


1,064 490 574 362 322 381 431 554 80 263 328 264 209 640 424 245 151 49 37 117 160 306 895 745 150 68 101 323 741

40% 36% 43% 46% 32% 42% 39% 41% 37% 41% 45% 36% 36% 40% 39% 57% 28% 32% 51% 34% 37% 43% 39% 38% 43% 52% 41% 44% 38%


J4974

Page 24Table 12





ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 2,677 1,398 1,279 940 896 840

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,677 1,398 1,279 940 896 840

UNWTD 778 399 379 263 276 239


1,613 852 761 566 548 499

60% 61% 60% 60% 61% 59%


1,064 547 517 374 348 342

40% 39% 40% 40% 39% 41%


J4974

Page 25Table 13

Q9 And thinking of the forthcoming Seanad Eireann Referendum. On a scale of 1 to 5 where 5 is you understand it very well and 1 is you do not understand it at all, how well do you feel you understand what the Seanad Eireann referend


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

1. Do not understand it at all

634 239 395 296 190 147 150 454 30 160 187 189 99 403 231 64 73 17 24 115 70 271 416 249 167 61 153 634 -

19% 15% 23% 28% 16% 15% 12% 27% 12% 20% 21% 20% 15% 20% 18% 13% 12% 9% 28% 25% 15% 28% 15% 11% 36% 33% 46% 55% -

2. Do not understand it particularly well

518 223 296 232 184 102 204 259 55 101 151 126 141 297 221 85 90 42 10 89 39 162 411 300 111 57 51 518 -

16% 14% 18% 22% 15% 10% 16% 15% 22% 12% 17% 14% 22% 15% 17% 17% 14% 23% 12% 20% 9% 17% 15% 13% 24% 31% 15% 45% -

3. Understand it to some extent

948 399 549 305 369 274 378 480 90 238 221 273 217 568 379 176 203 50 20 118 135 246 844 712 132 38 66 - 948

29% 25% 33% 29% 30% 27% 29% 28% 36% 29% 25% 30% 33% 29% 30% 36% 32% 27% 24% 26% 30% 26% 31% 31% 28% 21% 20% - 45%

4. Understand it quitewell

628 376 252 150 283 195 299 270 59 147 179 213 90 347 281 80 148 32 24 80 106 158 578 540 38 19 30 - 628

19% 24% 15% 14% 23% 20% 23% 16% 24% 18% 20% 23% 14% 17% 22% 16% 24% 17% 28% 18% 23% 16% 21% 24% 8% 10% 9% - 30%

5. Understand it very well

537 340 196 65 191 281 271 249 17 163 149 121 104 367 170 89 114 42 6 52 107 126 496 479 17 7 33 - 537

16% 22% 12% 6% 16% 28% 21% 15% 7% 20% 17% 13% 16% 19% 13% 18% 18% 23% 7% 11% 23% 13% 18% 21% 4% 4% 10% - 25%


J4974

Page 26Table 13

Q9 And thinking of the forthcoming Seanad Eireann Referendum. On a scale of 1 to 5 where 5 is you understand it very well and 1 is you do not understand it at all, how well do you feel you understand what the Seanad Eireann referend



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284


634 521 112 197 202 235

19% 29% 8% 18% 18% 23%


518 368 151 195 180 144

16% 21% 10% 18% 16% 14%


948 471 477 294 341 312

29% 27% 32% 27% 30% 30%


628 225 403 173 235 219

19% 13% 27% 16% 21% 21%


537 189 348 241 168 128

16% 11% 23% 22% 15% 12%


J4974

Page 27Table 14

Q10 Are you likely to vote yes, to allow for the establishment of a Court of Appeal and a change in how the Supreme Court issues decisions, or no, not to allow for the establishment of a Court of Appeal and a change in how the Supreme


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Will vote yes, to allowfor these changes

1,935 1,029 906 699 665 571 766 1,030 139 512 530 524 369 1,199 736 313 377 138 70 277 257 502 1,681 1,417 264 86 168 593 1,342

59% 65% 54% 67% 55% 57% 59% 60% 55% 63% 60% 57% 57% 60% 57% 64% 60% 75% 84% 61% 56% 52% 61% 62% 57% 47% 50% 51% 64%


536 245 290 169 181 185 174 338 24 113 134 170 119 319 217 83 117 24 4 102 93 113 448 370 78 26 62 226 309

16% 16% 17% 16% 15% 18% 13% 20% 10% 14% 15% 18% 18% 16% 17% 17% 19% 13% 5% 22% 20% 12% 16% 16% 17% 14% 19% 20% 15%


705 248 457 161 322 222 337 297 71 172 202 183 149 417 289 97 117 21 9 68 105 288 574 471 103 64 68 286 419

22% 16% 27% 15% 26% 22% 26% 17% 28% 21% 23% 20% 23% 21% 23% 20% 19% 12% 11% 15% 23% 30% 21% 21% 22% 35% 20% 25% 20%

Will not vote (WILL NOT VOTE)

89 54 35 18 48 22 24 47 18 11 18 46 13 48 40 - 18 - - 8 3 60 42 23 20 6 36 47 42

3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 2% 2% 3% 7% 1% 2% 5% 2% 2% 3% - 3% - - 2% 1% 6% 2% 1% 4% 3% 11% 4% 2%


J4974

Page 28Table 14




ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284


1,935 724 1,211 630 728 576

59% 41% 81% 57% 65% 56%


536 332 204 208 150 178

16% 19% 14% 19% 13% 17%


705 659 46 242 225 238

22% 37% 3% 22% 20% 23%

Will not vote (WILL NOT VOTE)

89 60 29 20 23 45

3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4%


J4974

Page 29Table 15




ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 2,471 1,274 1,196 868 847 756 940 1,368 163 625 664 693 488 1,518 953 396 495 161 74 379 349 615 2,129 1,787 342 112 230 819 1,652

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,471 1,274 1,196 868 847 756 940 1,368 163 625 664 693 488 1,518 953 396 495 161 74 379 349 615 2,129 1,787 342 112 230 819 1,652

UNWTD 698 360 338 216 260 222 307 354 37 196 185 194 123 477 221 117 135 52 20 104 95 175 606 517 89 27 65 211 487


1,935 1,029 906 699 665 571 766 1,030 139 512 530 524 369 1,199 736 313 377 138 70 277 257 502 1,681 1,417 264 86 168 593 1,342

78% 81% 76% 81% 79% 76% 82% 75% 85% 82% 80% 76% 76% 79% 77% 79% 76% 85% 94% 73% 73% 82% 79% 79% 77% 77% 73% 72% 81%


536 245 290 169 181 185 174 338 24 113 134 170 119 319 217 83 117 24 4 102 93 113 448 370 78 26 62 226 309

22% 19% 24% 19% 21% 24% 18% 25% 15% 18% 20% 24% 24% 21% 23% 21% 24% 15% 6% 27% 27% 18% 21% 21% 23% 23% 27% 28% 19%


J4974

Page 30Table 15





ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 2,471 1,056 1,415 838 878 754

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,471 1,056 1,415 838 878 754

UNWTD 698 286 412 230 258 210


1,935 724 1,211 630 728 576

78% 69% 86% 75% 83% 76%


536 332 204 208 150 178

22% 31% 14% 25% 17% 24%


J4974

Page 31Table 16

Q11 And still thinking of that Court of Appeal Referendum. On a scale of 1 to 5 where 5 is you understand it very well and 1 is you do not understand it at all, how well do you feel you understand what the Court of Appeal Referendum is about?


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637


1,079 464 615 326 439 313 449 529 101 230 313 299 236 628 451 145 185 21 14 144 190 380 816 656 160 101 157 595 484

33% 29% 36% 31% 36% 31% 35% 31% 40% 29% 35% 32% 36% 32% 35% 29% 29% 11% 17% 32% 42% 39% 30% 29% 34% 56% 47% 52% 23%


696 312 384 233 266 196 272 378 46 132 202 218 143 375 320 103 142 63 36 101 58 193 601 461 139 30 65 295 401

21% 20% 23% 22% 22% 20% 21% 22% 18% 16% 23% 24% 22% 19% 25% 21% 23% 34% 43% 22% 13% 20% 22% 20% 30% 17% 19% 26% 19%


996 500 496 322 339 335 343 569 84 266 267 267 196 648 347 161 202 44 22 135 155 277 863 764 100 48 84 208 787

30% 32% 29% 31% 28% 33% 26% 33% 33% 33% 30% 29% 30% 33% 27% 33% 32% 24% 26% 30% 34% 29% 31% 33% 21% 26% 25% 18% 37%


292 175 116 99 103 89 147 124 21 106 56 81 48 194 98 58 63 29 10 48 24 59 286 242 44 - 6 32 260

9% 11% 7% 9% 8% 9% 11% 7% 8% 13% 6% 9% 7% 10% 8% 12% 10% 16% 12% 10% 5% 6% 10% 11% 9% - 2% 3% 12%


202 127 76 67 69 66 91 112 - 73 46 56 27 138 65 27 38 26 2 27 30 53 179 157 22 2 22 23 180

6% 8% 4% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% - 9% 5% 6% 4% 7% 5% 5% 6% 14% 3% 6% 7% 5% 7% 7% 5% 1% 6% 2% 9%


J4974

Page 32Table 16

Q11 And still thinking of that Court of Appeal Referendum. On a scale of 1 to 5 where 5 is you understand it very well and 1 is you do not understand it at all, how well do you feel you understand what the Court of Appeal Referendum is about?



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284


1,079 1,079 - 394 334 351

33% 61% - 36% 30% 34%


696 696 - 216 235 245

21% 39% - 20% 21% 24%


996 - 996 323 401 272

30% - 67% 29% 36% 26%


292 - 292 99 79 114

9% - 20% 9% 7% 11%


202 - 202 67 78 57

6% - 14% 6% 7% 5%


J4974

Page 33Table 17

Q11 How likely would you be to vote if there was a General Election tomorrow?


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Would definitely vote 2,280 1,098 1,182 620 838 822 988 1,125 167 592 613 630 445 1,394 886 405 475 153 51 349 381 465 2,280 2,280 - - - 549 1,732

70% 70% 70% 59% 69% 82% 76% 66% 66% 73% 69% 68% 68% 70% 69% 82% 76% 84% 61% 77% 83% 48% 83% 100% - - - 48% 82%

Would probably vote 464 254 210 224 188 53 164 256 44 124 85 157 99 293 172 38 129 27 20 69 23 159 464 - 464 - - 278 186

14% 16% 12% 21% 15% 5% 13% 15% 18% 15% 10% 17% 15% 15% 13% 8% 20% 15% 24% 15% 5% 16% 17% - 100% - - 24% 9%

Might/might not vote 182 79 103 83 60 39 49 129 4 19 94 42 27 92 90 21 19 - - 7 27 107 - - - 182 - 117 64

6% 5% 6% 8% 5% 4% 4% 8% 2% 2% 11% 5% 4% 5% 7% 4% 3% - - 2% 6% 11% - - - 100% - 10% 3%

Would probably not vote

183 76 107 73 71 40 52 113 18 55 40 39 49 127 56 16 7 3 7 29 10 112 - - - - 183 109 74

6% 5% 6% 7% 6% 4% 4% 7% 7% 7% 5% 4% 8% 6% 4% 3% 1% 2% 8% 6% 2% 12% - - - - 55% 10% 3%

Would definitely not vote

151 70 81 48 56 46 49 84 18 17 53 50 31 73 78 12 - - 6 - 16 117 - - - - 151 94 56

5% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 7% 2% 6% 5% 5% 4% 6% 2% - - 7% - 4% 12% - - - - 45% 8% 3%

Don’t know 4 - 4 - 4 - - 4 - - - 4 - 4 - - - - - - - 4 - - - - - 4 -

0% - 0% - 0% - - 0% - - - 0% - 0% - - - - - - - 0% - - - - - 0% -

Mean 4.39 4.42 4.37 4.24 4.39 4.56 4.53 4.30 4.29 4.51 4.32 4.39 4.35 4.42 4.35 4.64 4.71 4.80 4.25 4.62 4.62 3.77 4.83 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.55 3.94 4.64

Minimum 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.00 2.00 1.00 2.00 1.00 1.00 4.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Maximum 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 5.00 5.00

Standard deviation 1.11 1.08 1.15 1.14 1.11 1.06 1.01 1.16 1.24 0.98 1.19 1.11 1.15 1.08 1.17 0.90 0.57 0.51 1.21 0.81 0.95 1.45 0.37 - - - 0.50 1.30 0.91


J4974

Page 34Table 17

Q11 How likely would you be to vote if there was a General Election tomorrow?



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Would definitely vote 2,280 1,118 1,163 786 798 697

70% 63% 78% 71% 71% 67%

Would probably vote 464 299 165 124 137 204

14% 17% 11% 11% 12% 20%

Might/might not vote 182 132 50 76 66 40

6% 7% 3% 7% 6% 4%

Would probably not vote

183 112 71 50 65 68

6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 7%

Would definitely not vote

151 110 41 64 61 26

5% 6% 3% 6% 5% 3%

Don’t know 4 4 - - - 4

0% 0% - - - 0%

Mean 4.39 4.24 4.57 4.38 4.37 4.43

Minimum 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Maximum 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00

Standard deviation 1.11 1.21 0.96 1.16 1.16 1.01


J4974

Page 35Table 18

Q12 And finally, to which party or independent candidate did you give your first preference vote in last February’s General Election?


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Fianna Fail 469 199 270 104 186 178 195 225 49 96 139 127 107 251 218 262 22 2 13 43 77 50 397 366 31 48 24 140 328

14% 13% 16% 10% 15% 18% 15% 13% 19% 12% 16% 14% 16% 13% 17% 53% 3% 1% 16% 9% 17% 5% 14% 16% 7% 26% 7% 12% 16%

Fine Gael 965 509 456 203 423 339 412 412 141 172 217 338 237 472 492 58 510 13 13 83 89 198 872 743 128 25 68 232 733

30% 32% 27% 19% 35% 34% 32% 24% 56% 21% 25% 37% 36% 24% 38% 12% 81% 7% 15% 18% 19% 21% 32% 33% 28% 14% 20% 20% 35%

Labour 357 222 135 85 132 140 156 198 3 127 125 52 54 271 86 31 21 125 6 25 53 98 330 298 32 2 25 89 268

11% 14% 8% 8% 11% 14% 12% 12% 1% 16% 14% 6% 8% 14% 7% 6% 3% 68% 7% 5% 11% 10% 12% 13% 7% 1% 7% 8% 13%

Green Party 49 10 39 7 32 10 8 27 14 28 3 3 14 32 17 10 - 1 20 - - 17 34 30 4 - 15 19 30

1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 6% 3% 0% 0% 2% 2% 1% 2% - 1% 24% - - 2% 1% 1% 1% - 5% 2% 1%

Sinn Fein 246 126 120 103 90 53 79 167 - 79 42 75 50 174 71 6 1 16 - 176 34 12 222 188 34 10 14 119 127

8% 8% 7% 10% 7% 5% 6% 10% - 10% 5% 8% 8% 9% 6% 1% 0% 9% - 39% 7% 1% 8% 8% 7% 5% 4% 10% 6%

Independent/Other 304 164 140 90 136 78 154 132 18 63 103 76 62 168 136 38 11 14 - 48 122 71 290 256 34 9 1 89 216

9% 10% 8% 9% 11% 8% 12% 8% 7% 8% 12% 8% 10% 8% 11% 8% 2% 8% - 11% 27% 7% 11% 11% 7% 5% 0% 8% 10%

Don’t know 467 128 339 196 129 142 178 279 10 108 143 122 95 308 159 44 28 7 - 42 43 304 382 301 81 44 41 218 249

14% 8% 20% 19% 11% 14% 14% 16% 4% 13% 16% 13% 15% 16% 12% 9% 4% 4% - 9% 10% 32% 14% 13% 17% 24% 12% 19% 12%

Did not vote 407 218 189 260 87 60 119 272 17 134 113 129 31 305 102 45 36 4 31 38 39 214 219 98 121 43 146 246 161

12% 14% 11% 25% 7% 6% 9% 16% 7% 17% 13% 14% 5% 15% 8% 9% 6% 2% 37% 8% 9% 22% 8% 4% 26% 24% 44% 21% 8%


J4974

Page 36Table 18




ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Fianna Fail 469 263 205 162 156 151

14% 15% 14% 15% 14% 15%

Fine Gael 965 523 442 298 321 346

30% 29% 30% 27% 28% 33%

Labour 357 169 188 122 146 89

11% 10% 13% 11% 13% 9%

Green Party 49 22 27 31 15 3

1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 0%

Sinn Fein 246 129 117 93 92 61

8% 7% 8% 8% 8% 6%


9% 8% 11% 9% 9% 9%

Don’t know 467 241 226 163 149 156

14% 14% 15% 15% 13% 15%

Did not vote 407 279 128 131 143 134

12% 16% 9% 12% 13% 13%


J4974

Page 37Table 19


All Irish VotersAll Voters Excluding did not vote (Last Gen Election)


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 2,390 1,230 1,159 592 1,000 798 1,004 1,161 225 566 630 671 524 1,369 1,021 405 566 171 52 375 375 446 2,144 1,881 263 94 148 688 1,702

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,390 1,230 1,159 592 1,000 798 1,004 1,161 225 566 630 671 524 1,369 1,021 405 566 171 52 375 375 446 2,144 1,881 263 94 148 688 1,702

UNWTD 694 355 339 145 303 246 335 316 43 195 177 190 132 468 226 123 159 56 14 103 105 134 627 560 67 23 43 178 516

Fianna Fail 469 199 270 104 186 178 195 225 49 96 139 127 107 251 218 262 22 2 13 43 77 50 397 366 31 48 24 140 328

20% 16% 23% 18% 19% 22% 19% 19% 22% 17% 22% 19% 20% 18% 21% 65% 4% 1% 25% 11% 21% 11% 19% 19% 12% 51% 16% 20% 19%

Fine Gael 965 509 456 203 423 339 412 412 141 172 217 338 237 472 492 58 510 13 13 83 89 198 872 743 128 25 68 232 733

40% 41% 39% 34% 42% 43% 41% 35% 63% 30% 34% 50% 45% 35% 48% 14% 90% 8% 25% 22% 24% 44% 41% 40% 49% 27% 46% 34% 43%

Labour 357 222 135 85 132 140 156 198 3 127 125 52 54 271 86 31 21 125 6 25 53 98 330 298 32 2 25 89 268

15% 18% 12% 14% 13% 18% 16% 17% 1% 22% 20% 8% 10% 20% 8% 8% 4% 73% 12% 7% 14% 22% 15% 16% 12% 2% 17% 13% 16%

Green Party 49 10 39 7 32 10 8 27 14 28 3 3 14 32 17 10 - 1 20 - - 17 34 30 4 - 15 19 30

2% 1% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 6% 5% 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% - 1% 39% - - 4% 2% 2% 1% - 10% 3% 2%

Sinn Fein 246 126 120 103 90 53 79 167 - 79 42 75 50 174 71 6 1 16 - 176 34 12 222 188 34 10 14 119 127

10% 10% 10% 17% 9% 7% 8% 14% - 14% 7% 11% 10% 13% 7% 2% 0% 9% - 47% 9% 3% 10% 10% 13% 10% 10% 17% 7%

Independent/Other 304 164 140 90 136 78 154 132 18 63 103 76 62 168 136 38 11 14 - 48 122 71 290 256 34 9 1 89 216

13% 13% 12% 15% 14% 10% 15% 11% 8% 11% 16% 11% 12% 12% 13% 9% 2% 8% - 13% 33% 16% 14% 14% 13% 10% 1% 13% 13%


J4974

Page 38Table 19


All Irish VotersAll Voters Excluding did not vote (Last Gen Election)



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 2,390 1,254 1,136 807 835 749

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,390 1,254 1,136 807 835 749

UNWTD 694 360 334 224 258 212

Fianna Fail 469 263 205 162 156 151

20% 21% 18% 20% 19% 20%

Fine Gael 965 523 442 298 321 346

40% 42% 39% 37% 38% 46%

Labour 357 169 188 122 146 89

15% 13% 17% 15% 17% 12%

Green Party 49 22 27 31 15 3

2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 0%

Sinn Fein 246 129 117 93 92 61

10% 10% 10% 12% 11% 8%


13% 12% 14% 12% 13% 13%


J4974

Page 39Table 20

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Male 1,577 1,577 - 521 596 459 614 814 149 448 425 422 282 1,043 534 234 360 102 46 262 226 348 1,352 1,098 254 79 146 461 1,115

48% 100% - 50% 49% 46% 47% 48% 59% 55% 48% 46% 43% 53% 42% 48% 57% 56% 54% 58% 49% 36% 49% 48% 55% 43% 44% 40% 53%

Female 1,688 - 1,688 527 621 540 687 898 103 360 460 500 368 940 748 259 269 81 38 193 232 615 1,392 1,182 210 103 188 691 997

52% - 100% 50% 51% 54% 53% 52% 41% 45% 52% 54% 57% 47% 58% 52% 43% 44% 46% 42% 51% 64% 51% 52% 45% 57% 56% 60% 47%


J4974

Page 40Table 20

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Male 1,577 775 802 540 568 469

48% 44% 54% 49% 50% 45%

Female 1,688 1,000 688 560 558 569

52% 56% 46% 51% 50% 55%


J4974

Page 41Table 21

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

18-34 1,048 521 527 1,048 - - 498 503 47 305 280 313 150 782 266 144 143 68 44 207 104 337 844 620 224 83 121 528 520

32% 33% 31% 100% - - 38% 29% 19% 38% 32% 34% 23% 39% 21% 29% 23% 37% 53% 46% 23% 35% 31% 27% 48% 46% 36% 46% 25%

35-54 1,217 596 621 - 1,217 - 505 575 137 270 316 362 269 646 571 187 255 63 35 139 145 394 1,026 838 188 60 127 374 843

37% 38% 37% - 100% - 39% 34% 55% 33% 36% 39% 41% 33% 45% 38% 41% 35% 42% 30% 32% 41% 37% 37% 40% 33% 38% 32% 40%

55+ 999 459 540 - - 999 298 634 67 232 289 247 231 554 445 163 231 51 5 109 208 233 874 822 53 39 86 250 750

31% 29% 32% - - 100% 23% 37% 27% 29% 33% 27% 36% 28% 35% 33% 37% 28% 6% 24% 45% 24% 32% 36% 11% 21% 26% 22% 35%


J4974

Page 42Table 21

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

18-34 1,048 560 488 303 369 376

32% 32% 33% 28% 33% 36%

35-54 1,217 706 511 394 439 384

37% 40% 34% 36% 39% 37%

55+ 999 509 490 403 319 278

31% 29% 33% 37% 28% 27%


J4974

Page 43Table 22

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

ABC1 1,301 614 687 498 505 298 1,301 - - 394 345 321 241 862 439 189 251 104 34 178 187 358 1,152 988 164 49 101 354 947

40% 39% 41% 47% 41% 30% 100% - - 49% 39% 35% 37% 43% 34% 38% 40% 57% 40% 39% 41% 37% 42% 43% 35% 27% 30% 31% 45%

C2DE 1,712 814 898 503 575 634 - 1,712 - 410 509 482 311 1,098 614 266 286 78 46 270 228 538 1,382 1,125 256 129 197 713 999

52% 52% 53% 48% 47% 63% - 100% - 51% 57% 52% 48% 55% 48% 54% 45% 43% 55% 59% 50% 56% 50% 49% 55% 71% 59% 62% 47%

F 252 149 103 47 137 67 - - 252 4 31 119 98 23 229 39 93 - 4 6 43 67 212 167 44 4 36 85 167

8% 9% 6% 5% 11% 7% - - 100% 1% 3% 13% 15% 1% 18% 8% 15% - 5% 1% 9% 7% 8% 7% 10% 2% 11% 7% 8%


J4974

Page 44Table 22

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

ABC1 1,301 721 580 418 468 415

40% 41% 39% 38% 42% 40%

C2DE 1,712 907 805 611 597 504

52% 51% 54% 56% 53% 49%

F 252 147 105 72 61 119

8% 8% 7% 7% 5% 11%


J4974

Page 45Table 23

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Dublin 808 448 360 305 270 232 394 410 4 808 - - - 808 - 115 134 70 51 140 105 193 716 592 124 19 73 261 547

25% 28% 21% 29% 22% 23% 30% 24% 2% 100% - - - 41% - 23% 21% 38% 61% 31% 23% 20% 26% 26% 27% 10% 22% 23% 26%

Lein-ster 885 425 460 280 316 289 345 509 31 - 885 - - 484 401 142 124 60 6 106 144 303 698 613 85 94 93 337 548

27% 27% 27% 27% 26% 29% 27% 30% 12% - 100% - - 24% 31% 29% 20% 33% 7% 23% 31% 31% 25% 27% 18% 52% 28% 29% 26%

Mun-ster 922 422 500 313 362 247 321 482 119 - - 922 - 503 418 147 224 31 25 109 95 290 787 630 157 42 88 315 607

28% 27% 30% 30% 30% 25% 25% 28% 47% - - 100% - 25% 33% 30% 36% 17% 29% 24% 21% 30% 29% 28% 34% 23% 26% 27% 29%

Conn/Ulster 650 282 368 150 269 231 241 311 98 - - - 650 187 463 89 147 21 2 100 113 178 544 445 99 27 79 240 410

20% 18% 22% 14% 22% 23% 19% 18% 39% - - - 100% 9% 36% 18% 23% 12% 3% 22% 25% 18% 20% 20% 21% 15% 24% 21% 19%


J4974

Page 46Table 23

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Dublin 808 363 445 182 447 179

25% 20% 30% 17% 40% 17%

Lein-ster 885 516 369 533 156 197

27% 29% 25% 48% 14% 19%

Mun-ster 922 517 404 101 398 423

28% 29% 27% 9% 35% 41%

Conn/Ulster 650 379 271 284 126 240

20% 21% 18% 26% 11% 23%


J4974

Page 47Table 24

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Urban 1,983 1,043 940 782 646 554 862 1,098 23 808 484 503 187 1,983 - 326 287 140 69 332 259 571 1,687 1,394 293 92 200 700 1,282

61% 66% 56% 75% 53% 55% 66% 64% 9% 100% 55% 55% 29% 100% - 66% 46% 77% 82% 73% 57% 59% 61% 61% 63% 51% 60% 61% 61%

Rural 1,282 534 748 266 571 445 439 614 229 - 401 418 463 - 1,282 167 342 43 15 123 199 393 1,058 886 172 90 134 452 830

39% 34% 44% 25% 47% 45% 34% 36% 91% - 45% 45% 71% - 100% 34% 54% 23% 18% 27% 43% 41% 39% 39% 37% 49% 40% 39% 39%


J4974

Page 48Table 24

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Urban 1,983 1,003 979 589 836 557

61% 57% 66% 54% 74% 54%

Rural 1,282 771 510 511 290 481

39% 43% 34% 46% 26% 46%


J4974

Page 49Table 25

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Fianna Fail 493 234 259 144 187 163 189 266 39 115 142 147 89 326 167 493 - - - - - - 444 405 38 21 28 148 345

15% 15% 15% 14% 15% 16% 14% 16% 15% 14% 16% 16% 14% 16% 13% 100% - - - - - - 16% 18% 8% 12% 8% 13% 16%

Fine Gael 629 360 269 143 255 231 251 286 93 134 124 224 147 287 342 - 629 - - - - - 604 475 129 19 7 163 466

19% 23% 16% 14% 21% 23% 19% 17% 37% 17% 14% 24% 23% 14% 27% - 100% - - - - - 22% 21% 28% 10% 2% 14% 22%

Labour 183 102 81 68 63 51 104 78 - 70 60 31 21 140 43 - - 183 - - - - 180 153 27 - 3 59 124

6% 6% 5% 7% 5% 5% 8% 5% - 9% 7% 3% 3% 7% 3% - - 100% - - - - 7% 7% 6% - 1% 5% 6%

Green Party 84 46 38 44 35 5 34 46 4 51 6 25 2 69 15 - - - 84 - - - 72 51 20 - 12 34 50

3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 0% 3% 3% 2% 6% 1% 3% 0% 3% 1% - - - 100% - - - 3% 2% 4% - 4% 3% 2%

Sinn Fein 455 262 193 207 139 109 178 270 6 140 106 109 100 332 123 - - - - 455 - - 418 349 69 7 29 204 251

14% 17% 11% 20% 11% 11% 14% 16% 2% 17% 12% 12% 15% 17% 10% - - - - 100% - - 15% 15% 15% 4% 9% 18% 12%

Independent/Others 458 226 232 104 145 208 187 228 43 105 144 95 113 259 199 - - - - - 458 - 404 381 23 27 26 110 348

14% 14% 14% 10% 12% 21% 14% 13% 17% 13% 16% 10% 17% 13% 16% - - - - - 100% - 15% 17% 5% 15% 8% 10% 16%

Would not/Don't Know

963 348 615 337 394 233 358 538 67 193 303 290 178 571 393 - - - - - - 963 624 465 159 107 229 434 529

30% 22% 36% 32% 32% 23% 28% 31% 27% 24% 34% 31% 27% 29% 31% - - - - - - 100% 23% 20% 34% 59% 69% 38% 25%


J4974

Page 50Table 25

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Fianna Fail 493 247 246 171 206 117

15% 14% 17% 16% 18% 11%

Fine Gael 629 327 302 197 214 218

19% 18% 20% 18% 19% 21%

Labour 183 83 99 63 54 66

6% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6%

Green Party 84 50 34 25 35 24

3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2%

Sinn Fein 455 246 209 123 168 164

14% 14% 14% 11% 15% 16%

Independent/Others 458 248 209 190 134 134

14% 14% 14% 17% 12% 13%


963 573 390 332 316 316

30% 32% 26% 30% 28% 30%


J4974

Page 51Table 26

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Would vote 2,745 1,352 1,392 844 1,026 874 1,152 1,382 212 716 698 787 544 1,687 1,058 444 604 180 72 418 404 624 2,745 2,280 464 - - 827 1,918

84% 86% 83% 81% 85% 87% 89% 81% 84% 89% 79% 86% 84% 85% 83% 90% 96% 98% 85% 92% 88% 65% 100% 100% 100% - - 72% 91%

Might/might not 182 79 103 83 60 39 49 129 4 19 94 42 27 92 90 21 19 - - 7 27 107 - - - 182 - 117 64

6% 5% 6% 8% 5% 4% 4% 8% 2% 2% 11% 5% 4% 5% 7% 4% 3% - - 2% 6% 11% - - - 100% - 10% 3%

Would not Vote 334 146 188 121 127 86 101 197 36 73 93 88 79 200 134 28 7 3 12 29 26 229 - - - - 334 204 130

10% 9% 11% 12% 10% 9% 8% 12% 14% 9% 11% 10% 12% 10% 10% 6% 1% 2% 15% 6% 6% 24% - - - - 100% 18% 6%

Mean 4.39 4.42 4.37 4.24 4.39 4.56 4.53 4.30 4.29 4.51 4.32 4.39 4.35 4.42 4.35 4.64 4.71 4.80 4.25 4.62 4.62 3.77 4.83 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.55 3.94 4.64

Minimum 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.00 2.00 1.00 2.00 1.00 1.00 4.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Maximum 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 5.00 5.00

Standard deviation 1.11 1.08 1.15 1.14 1.11 1.06 1.01 1.16 1.24 0.98 1.19 1.11 1.15 1.08 1.17 0.90 0.57 0.51 1.21 0.81 0.95 1.45 0.37 - - - 0.50 1.30 0.91


J4974

Page 52Table 26

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Would vote 2,745 1,417 1,328 909 935 900

84% 80% 89% 83% 83% 87%

Might/might not 182 132 50 76 66 40

6% 7% 3% 7% 6% 4%

Would not Vote 334 222 111 114 126 94

10% 13% 7% 10% 11% 9%

Mean 4.39 4.24 4.57 4.38 4.37 4.43

Minimum 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Maximum 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00



J4974

Page 53Table 27

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,577 1,688 1,048 1,217 999 1,301 1,712 252 808 885 922 650 1,983 1,282 493 629 183 84 455 458 963 2,745 2,280 464 182 334 1,152 2,112

UNWTD 934 451 483 267 366 301 432 452 50 261 249 260 164 640 294 147 170 59 25 128 126 279 793 674 119 46 94 297 637

Single 980 521 459 636 234 109 372 516 92 263 225 314 177 696 284 177 162 73 40 160 112 255 805 599 207 60 114 404 576

30% 33% 27% 61% 19% 11% 29% 30% 36% 33% 25% 34% 27% 35% 22% 36% 26% 40% 48% 35% 25% 26% 29% 26% 44% 33% 34% 35% 27%

Married 1,655 766 889 194 779 683 726 787 142 362 468 423 402 910 745 238 375 73 29 168 265 507 1,435 1,267 168 81 135 486 1,169

51% 49% 53% 18% 64% 68% 56% 46% 56% 45% 53% 46% 62% 46% 58% 48% 60% 40% 35% 37% 58% 53% 52% 56% 36% 44% 40% 42% 55%

Co-habiting 295 167 128 195 94 6 110 166 18 106 78 95 16 194 101 13 49 15 14 76 22 104 242 181 61 11 42 162 133

9% 11% 8% 19% 8% 1% 8% 10% 7% 13% 9% 10% 2% 10% 8% 3% 8% 8% 17% 17% 5% 11% 9% 8% 13% 6% 12% 14% 6%

Widowed 142 23 119 - 18 124 12 130 - 25 60 40 17 62 80 31 26 5 - 23 29 28 111 105 6 19 12 54 88

4% 1% 7% - 1% 12% 1% 8% - 3% 7% 4% 3% 3% 6% 6% 4% 3% - 5% 6% 3% 4% 5% 1% 10% 4% 5% 4%

Divorced/seperated 175 83 93 16 86 73 71 105 - 49 53 39 35 104 71 34 12 16 - 28 31 55 137 114 23 10 28 47 128

5% 5% 5% 2% 7% 7% 5% 6% - 6% 6% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 2% 9% - 6% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% 4% 6%

Refused 17 17 - 8 6 4 9 8 - 4 - 10 3 17 - - 4 - - - - 14 14 14 - - 3 - 17

1% 1% - 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% - 0% - 1% 1% 1% - - 1% - - - - 1% 1% 1% - - 1% - 1%


J4974

Page 54Table 27

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,264 1,775 1,490 1,100 1,126 1,038

UNWTD 934 502 432 308 342 284

Single 980 462 518 296 324 359

30% 26% 35% 27% 29% 35%

Married 1,655 927 728 617 560 478

51% 52% 49% 56% 50% 46%

Co-habiting 295 179 116 49 134 112

9% 10% 8% 4% 12% 11%

Widowed 142 99 43 69 39 34

4% 6% 3% 6% 3% 3%

Divorced/seperated 175 96 80 69 55 51

5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5%

Refused 17 12 5 - 14 3

1% 1% 0% - 1% 0%


J4974

Page 55Table 28

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

UNWTD 978 477 501 296 381 301 453 474 51 277 260 267 174 672 306 152 174 62 26 131 130 303 814 688 126 52 108 321 657

Male 1,685 1,685 - 598 628 459 672 864 149 494 447 439 306 1,117 569 253 370 111 46 265 234 406 1,403 1,132 271 103 178 504 1,181

49% 100% - 51% 49% 46% 49% 48% 58% 57% 49% 46% 44% 53% 43% 49% 57% 57% 50% 57% 50% 38% 50% 48% 56% 50% 45% 40% 54%

Female 1,755 - 1,755 573 642 540 707 941 107 378 473 509 394 987 768 259 274 83 46 199 236 657 1,418 1,204 214 103 217 744 1,011

51% - 100% 49% 51% 54% 51% 52% 42% 43% 51% 54% 56% 47% 57% 51% 43% 43% 50% 43% 50% 62% 50% 52% 44% 50% 55% 60% 46%


J4974

Page 56Table 28

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

UNWTD 978 523 455 322 362 294

Male 1,685 819 866 563 626 496

49% 44% 55% 49% 52% 46%

Female 1,755 1,041 714 590 583 582

51% 56% 45% 51% 48% 54%


J4974

Page 57Table 29

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

UNWTD 978 477 501 296 381 301 453 474 51 277 260 267 174 672 306 152 174 62 26 131 130 303 814 688 126 52 108 321 657

18-34 1,171 598 573 1,171 - - 544 580 47 354 311 323 184 873 298 160 158 68 52 214 111 408 892 652 240 99 173 607 565

34% 36% 33% 100% - - 39% 32% 19% 41% 34% 34% 26% 42% 22% 31% 25% 35% 57% 46% 24% 38% 32% 28% 49% 48% 44% 49% 26%

35-54 1,269 628 642 - 1,269 - 537 591 141 286 320 378 285 677 593 189 255 74 35 141 151 423 1,055 862 193 69 136 392 878

37% 37% 37% - 100% - 39% 33% 55% 33% 35% 40% 41% 32% 44% 37% 40% 38% 38% 30% 32% 40% 37% 37% 40% 33% 34% 31% 40%

55+ 999 459 540 - - 999 298 634 67 232 289 247 231 554 445 163 231 51 5 109 208 233 874 822 53 39 86 250 750

29% 27% 31% - - 100% 22% 35% 26% 27% 31% 26% 33% 26% 33% 32% 36% 26% 5% 23% 44% 22% 31% 35% 11% 19% 22% 20% 34%


J4974

Page 58Table 29

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

UNWTD 978 523 455 322 362 294

18-34 1,171 628 543 352 422 398

34% 34% 34% 31% 35% 37%

35-54 1,269 723 546 398 469 402

37% 39% 35% 35% 39% 37%

55+ 999 509 490 403 319 278

29% 27% 31% 35% 26% 26%


J4974

Page 59Table 30

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

UNWTD 978 477 501 296 381 301 453 474 51 277 260 267 174 672 306 152 174 62 26 131 130 303 814 688 126 52 108 321 657

ABC1 1,380 672 707 544 537 298 1,380 - - 423 356 331 270 917 463 197 261 110 41 185 191 394 1,194 1,018 176 66 118 385 994

40% 40% 40% 46% 42% 30% 100% - - 48% 39% 35% 39% 44% 35% 39% 41% 57% 45% 40% 41% 37% 42% 44% 36% 32% 30% 31% 45%

C2DE 1,805 864 941 580 591 634 - 1,805 - 445 533 494 332 1,164 641 276 291 84 46 273 236 599 1,412 1,147 265 136 241 778 1,027

52% 51% 54% 49% 47% 63% - 100% - 51% 58% 52% 48% 55% 48% 54% 45% 43% 50% 59% 50% 56% 50% 49% 55% 66% 61% 62% 47%

F 256 149 107 47 141 67 - - 256 4 31 123 98 23 233 39 93 - 4 6 43 71 215 171 44 4 36 85 171

7% 9% 6% 4% 11% 7% - - 100% 0% 3% 13% 14% 1% 17% 8% 14% - 5% 1% 9% 7% 8% 7% 9% 2% 9% 7% 8%


J4974

Page 60Table 30

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

UNWTD 978 523 455 322 362 294

ABC1 1,380 746 634 443 515 422

40% 40% 40% 38% 43% 39%

C2DE 1,805 968 837 638 633 533

52% 52% 53% 55% 52% 49%

F 256 147 109 72 61 123

7% 8% 7% 6% 5% 11%


J4974

Page 61Table 31

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

UNWTD 978 477 501 296 381 301 453 474 51 277 260 267 174 672 306 152 174 62 26 131 130 303 814 688 126 52 108 321 657

Dublin 872 494 378 354 286 232 423 445 4 872 - - - 872 - 125 142 77 51 143 111 223 757 617 139 27 88 293 579

25% 29% 22% 30% 23% 23% 31% 25% 2% 100% - - - 41% - 24% 22% 40% 56% 31% 24% 21% 27% 26% 29% 13% 22% 23% 26%

Lein-ster 920 447 473 311 320 289 356 533 31 - 920 - - 504 416 145 127 60 6 113 146 323 710 620 90 94 114 362 558

27% 27% 27% 27% 25% 29% 26% 30% 12% - 100% - - 24% 31% 28% 20% 31% 7% 24% 31% 30% 25% 27% 19% 46% 29% 29% 25%

Mun-ster 948 439 509 323 378 247 331 494 123 - - 948 - 515 433 147 224 31 25 109 97 314 793 635 157 50 96 325 623

28% 26% 29% 28% 30% 25% 24% 27% 48% - - 100% - 24% 32% 29% 35% 16% 27% 23% 21% 30% 28% 27% 32% 24% 24% 26% 28%

Conn/Ulster 700 306 394 184 285 231 270 332 98 - - - 700 212 488 94 152 25 10 100 116 204 562 463 99 35 96 269 431

20% 18% 22% 16% 22% 23% 20% 18% 38% - - - 100% 10% 37% 18% 24% 13% 11% 22% 25% 19% 20% 20% 20% 17% 24% 22% 20%


J4974

Page 62Table 31

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

UNWTD 978 523 455 322 362 294

Dublin 872 398 474 199 494 179

25% 21% 30% 17% 41% 17%

Lein-ster 920 535 385 551 161 208

27% 29% 24% 48% 13% 19%

Mun-ster 948 530 418 101 408 439

28% 29% 26% 9% 34% 41%

Conn/Ulster 700 396 303 302 147 251

20% 21% 19% 26% 12% 23%


J4974

Page 63Table 32

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

UNWTD 978 477 501 296 381 301 453 474 51 277 260 267 174 672 306 152 174 62 26 131 130 303 814 688 126 52 108 321 657

Urban 2,104 1,117 987 873 677 554 917 1,164 23 872 504 515 212 2,104 - 339 303 151 69 338 269 636 1,743 1,433 310 109 240 760 1,344

61% 66% 56% 75% 53% 55% 66% 65% 9% 100% 55% 54% 30% 100% - 66% 47% 78% 76% 73% 57% 60% 62% 61% 64% 53% 61% 61% 61%

Rural 1,336 569 768 298 593 445 463 641 233 - 416 433 488 - 1,336 172 342 43 22 127 202 428 1,079 903 175 97 155 488 849

39% 34% 44% 25% 47% 45% 34% 35% 91% - 45% 46% 70% - 100% 34% 53% 22% 24% 27% 43% 40% 38% 39% 36% 47% 39% 39% 39%


J4974

Page 64Table 32

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

UNWTD 978 523 455 322 362 294

Urban 2,104 1,070 1,034 628 910 566

61% 57% 65% 54% 75% 53%

Rural 1,336 791 545 525 299 512

39% 43% 35% 46% 25% 47%


J4974

Page 65Table 33

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

UNWTD 978 477 501 296 381 301 453 474 51 277 260 267 174 672 306 152 174 62 26 131 130 303 814 688 126 52 108 321 657

Fianna Fail 511 253 259 160 189 163 197 276 39 125 145 147 94 339 172 511 - - - - - - 452 412 40 31 28 158 353

15% 15% 15% 14% 15% 16% 14% 15% 15% 14% 16% 16% 13% 16% 13% 100% - - - - - - 16% 18% 8% 15% 7% 13% 16%

Fine Gael 645 370 274 158 255 231 261 291 93 142 127 224 152 303 342 - 645 - - - - - 620 483 136 19 7 166 479

19% 22% 16% 14% 20% 23% 19% 16% 36% 16% 14% 24% 22% 14% 26% - 100% - - - - - 22% 21% 28% 9% 2% 13% 22%

Labour 194 111 83 68 74 51 110 84 - 77 60 31 25 151 43 - - 194 - - - - 187 159 29 4 3 61 133

6% 7% 5% 6% 6% 5% 8% 5% - 9% 7% 3% 4% 7% 3% - - 100% - - - - 7% 7% 6% 2% 1% 5% 6%

Green Party 91 46 46 52 35 5 41 46 4 51 6 25 10 69 22 - - - 91 - - - 79 59 20 - 12 41 50

3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 0% 3% 3% 2% 6% 1% 3% 1% 3% 2% - - - 100% - - - 3% 3% 4% - 3% 3% 2%

Sinn Fein 465 265 199 214 141 109 185 273 6 143 113 109 100 338 127 - - - - 465 - - 425 352 72 7 33 214 251

14% 16% 11% 18% 11% 11% 13% 15% 2% 16% 12% 11% 14% 16% 9% - - - - 100% - - 15% 15% 15% 4% 8% 17% 11%

Independent/Others 470 234 236 111 151 208 191 236 43 111 146 97 116 269 202 - - - - - 470 - 417 394 23 27 26 113 357

14% 14% 13% 9% 12% 21% 14% 13% 17% 13% 16% 10% 17% 13% 15% - - - - - 100% - 15% 17% 5% 13% 7% 9% 16%


1,064 406 657 408 423 233 394 599 71 223 323 314 204 636 428 - - - - - - 1,064 642 477 165 118 287 494 570

31% 24% 37% 35% 33% 23% 29% 33% 28% 26% 35% 33% 29% 30% 32% - - - - - - 100% 23% 20% 34% 57% 73% 40% 26%


J4974

Page 66Table 33

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

UNWTD 978 523 455 322 362 294

Fianna Fail 511 262 249 173 217 122

15% 14% 16% 15% 18% 11%

Fine Gael 645 330 315 203 224 218

19% 18% 20% 18% 19% 20%

Labour 194 91 103 63 61 70

6% 5% 7% 5% 5% 6%

Green Party 91 50 41 32 35 24

3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2%

Sinn Fein 465 253 212 126 171 167

14% 14% 13% 11% 14% 15%

Independent/Others 470 257 214 198 136 136

14% 14% 14% 17% 11% 13%


1,064 618 445 358 364 342

31% 33% 28% 31% 30% 32%


J4974

Page 67Table 34

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

UNWTD 978 477 501 296 381 301 453 474 51 277 260 267 174 672 306 152 174 62 26 131 130 303 814 688 126 52 108 321 657

Would vote 2,821 1,403 1,418 892 1,055 874 1,194 1,412 215 757 710 793 562 1,743 1,079 452 620 187 79 425 417 642 2,821 2,336 485 - - 856 1,965

82% 83% 82% 77% 84% 87% 87% 79% 84% 87% 77% 84% 81% 83% 81% 88% 96% 97% 87% 91% 89% 61% 100% 100% 100% - - 70% 90%

Might/might not 206 103 103 99 69 39 66 136 4 27 94 50 35 109 97 31 19 4 - 7 27 118 - - - 206 - 133 73

6% 6% 6% 8% 5% 4% 5% 8% 2% 3% 10% 5% 5% 5% 7% 6% 3% 2% - 2% 6% 11% - - - 100% - 11% 3%

Would not Vote 395 178 217 173 136 86 118 241 36 88 114 96 96 240 155 28 7 3 12 33 26 287 - - - - 395 241 154

12% 11% 12% 15% 11% 9% 9% 13% 14% 10% 12% 10% 14% 11% 12% 6% 1% 2% 13% 7% 5% 27% - - - - 100% 20% 7%

Mean 4.34 4.35 4.33 4.12 4.36 4.56 4.47 4.24 4.30 4.45 4.26 4.36 4.28 4.36 4.31 4.61 4.70 4.77 4.31 4.60 4.63 3.66 4.83 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.56 3.87 4.60

Minimum 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.00 2.00 1.00 2.00 1.00 1.00 4.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Maximum 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 5.00 5.00

Standard deviation 1.16 1.14 1.18 1.23 1.14 1.06 1.06 1.21 1.23 1.03 1.23 1.14 1.23 1.13 1.20 0.91 0.57 0.55 1.18 0.83 0.94 1.49 0.38 -1.#IND

- - 0.50 1.33 0.96


J4974

Page 68Table 34

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

UNWTD 978 523 455 322 362 294

Would vote 2,821 1,444 1,377 941 971 909

82% 78% 87% 82% 81% 85%

Might/might not 206 144 62 76 79 51

6% 8% 4% 7% 7% 5%

Would not Vote 395 255 140 134 153 108

12% 14% 9% 12% 13% 10%

Mean 4.34 4.20 4.51 4.34 4.29 4.39

Minimum 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Maximum 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00



J4974

Page 69Table 35

Analysis of Sample


ng


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Do Not Understand

Understand

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 872 920 948 700 2,104 1,336 511 645 194 91 465 470 1,064 2,821 2,336 485 206 395 1,248 2,192

UNWTD 978 477 501 296 381 301 453 474 51 277 260 267 174 672 306 152 174 62 26 131 130 303 814 688 126 52 108 321 657

Single 1,080 581 500 728 243 109 411 578 92 300 245 324 211 759 322 193 175 73 48 170 119 303 845 626 220 76 147 477 604

31% 34% 28% 62% 19% 11% 30% 32% 36% 34% 27% 34% 30% 36% 24% 38% 27% 38% 53% 37% 25% 28% 30% 27% 45% 37% 37% 38% 28%

Married 1,694 790 905 208 803 683 753 796 146 372 477 434 411 940 754 240 375 77 29 168 271 534 1,459 1,287 171 85 146 494 1,200

49% 47% 52% 18% 63% 68% 55% 44% 57% 43% 52% 46% 59% 45% 56% 47% 58% 40% 32% 36% 58% 50% 52% 55% 35% 41% 37% 40% 55%

Co-habiting 321 183 139 208 108 6 124 179 18 114 85 100 22 213 108 13 53 17 14 76 22 126 247 184 63 16 58 173 149

9% 11% 8% 18% 8% 1% 9% 10% 7% 13% 9% 11% 3% 10% 8% 3% 8% 9% 15% 16% 5% 12% 9% 8% 13% 8% 15% 14% 7%

Widowed 142 23 119 - 18 124 12 130 - 25 60 40 17 62 80 31 26 5 - 23 29 28 111 105 6 19 12 54 88

4% 1% 7% - 1% 12% 1% 7% - 3% 7% 4% 2% 3% 6% 6% 4% 3% - 5% 6% 3% 4% 4% 1% 9% 3% 4% 4%

Divorced/seperated 184 92 93 19 92 73 71 113 - 58 53 39 35 113 71 34 12 22 - 28 31 58 146 120 26 10 28 50 134

5% 5% 5% 2% 7% 7% 5% 6% - 7% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5% 7% 2% 11% - 6% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 4% 6%

Refused 17 17 - 8 6 4 9 8 - 4 - 10 3 17 - - 4 - - - - 14 14 14 - - 3 - 17

1% 1% - 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% - 0% - 1% 0% 1% - - 1% - - - - 1% 0% 1% - - 1% - 1%


J4974

Page 70Table 35

Analysis of Sample



ng

Constituency

Do Not Understand

Understand

5 Seats

4 Seats

3 Seats

Total 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,860 1,580 1,153 1,209 1,078

UNWTD 978 523 455 322 362 294

Single 1,080 517 564 332 362 387

31% 28% 36% 29% 30% 36%

Married 1,694 941 753 631 573 490

49% 51% 48% 55% 47% 45%

Co-habiting 321 190 131 52 157 112

9% 10% 8% 5% 13% 10%

Widowed 142 99 43 69 39 34

4% 5% 3% 6% 3% 3%

Divorced/seperated 184 101 83 69 64 51

5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5%

Refused 17 12 5 - 14 3

1% 1% 0% - 1% 0%

1

The Questionnaire

BEHAVIOUR & ATTITUDES POLL QUESTIONNAIRE – SEPTEMBER 2013

Good Morning/afternoon/evening my name is ………………… (Name) and I am calling from

Behaviour and Attitudes, the independent market research company based in Dublin.

We are currently conducting a study on a number of issues. The study will take less than 10

minutes to complete.

The interview will be conducted in accordance with Market Research Society guidelines - all

results will be shown in aggregate form and for quality control purposes this call may be

monitored by a supervisor.

ASK ALL ADULTS 18YRS+

Q.1 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the manner in which the

Government is running the country?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.2 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Kenny is doing his job

as Taoiseach?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.3 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Gilmore is doing his

job as Tanaiste?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.4 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Martin is doing his job

as leader of Fianna Fail?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

J.4974

Q.5 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Adams is doing his job

as leader of Sinn Fein?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.6 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Ryan is doing his job

as leader of The Green Party?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.7 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate

would you give your first preference vote? DO NOT READ OUT

Fianna Fail 1

Fine Gael 2

Labour Party 3

Green Party 4

Workers Party 5

Sinn Fein 6

Independent 7

Other specify _________________ 8

Don’t know 9

Would not vote 10

Q.8 As you are probably aware, on October 4th next a referendum will be held in relation

to the abolition of Seanad Eireann – otherwise known as the Seanad. People will be

asked to vote either in favour of or against abolishing the Seanad. Are you yourself

likely to vote yes in favour of the abolition of the Seanad, or no against the abolition

of the Seanad?

Will vote yes in favour of abolishing the Seanad 1

Will vote no against abolishing the Seanad 2

Don’t know 3

Will not vote 4

Q.9 And thinking of the forthcoming Seanad Eireann Referendum. On a scale of 1 to 5

where 5 is you understand it very well and 1 is you do not understand it at all, how

well do you feel you understand what the Seanad Eireann referendum is about? PROBE

TO APPROPRIATE CODE

Understand it

very well

Understand it

quite well

Understand it to

some extent

Do not

understand it

particularly well

Do not

understand it at

all

5 4 3 2 1

Q.10 On October 4th next, a Court of Appeal Referendum will also be held in which people

will be asked to vote on whether or not to allow for:

o The establishment of a Court of Appeal, and o A change in how the Supreme Court issues decisions in cases where it is asked

to decide whether or not a law is constitutional – the ‘one judgement ‘ rule.


Q.11 And still thinking of that Court of Appeal Referendum. On a scale of 1 to 5 where 5 is

you understand it very well and 1 is you do not understand it at all, how well do you

feel you understand what the Court of Appeal Referendum is about? PROBE TO

APPROPRIATE CODE

Understand it

very well

Understand it

quite well

Understand it to

some extent

Do not

understand it

particularly well

Do not

understand it at

all

5 4 3 2 1

Will vote yes, to allow for these changes 1

Will vote no, not to allow for these changes 2

Don’t know 3

Will not vote 4

Q.12 How likely would you be to vote if there was a General Election tomorrow? PROBE TO APPROPRIATE CODE

Would definitely vote 1

Would probably vote 2

Might/might not vote 3

Would probably not vote 4

Would definitely not vote 5

Don’t know 6

Q.13 And to which party or independent candidate did you give your first preference vote in

the last General Election? DO NOT READ OUT

Q.14 Are you eligible to vote in Irish General Elections, or not?

Yes, eligible 1

No – not eligible 2

Don’t know 3

Q.15 And are you an Irish citizen, or not?

Yes 1

No 2

Don’t know 3

Fianna Fail 1

Fine Gael 2

Labour 3

Green Party 4

Workers Party 5

Sinn Fein 6

Independent 7

Other specify _________________ 8

Don’t know 9

Did not vote 10

Documents

J 4974%20sunday%20times%20report%20%20sept%202013