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January – June 2013 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey 1

January – June 2013

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January – June 2013. Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey. Firm distribution based on Annual Turnover (based on responses received). July – December 2012. January – June 2013. Profile of respondents – by firm size Based on full and part time employment. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: January – June 2013

January – June 2013

Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

1

Page 2: January – June 2013

Firm distribution based on Annual Turnover(based on responses received)

Category by gross annual income

% of firms

0 – R1,5m 11.8%

R1,5m – R11,5m 53.9%

> R11,5m 34.2%

Total 100.0%

0-1.510.3%

1.5-11.555.9%

>11.533.8%

Firm distribution based on turnover

Category by gross annual income

% of firms

0 – R1,5m 10.3%

R1,5m – R11,5m 55.9%

> R11,5m 33.8%

Total 100.0%

July – December 2012 January – June 2013

0-1.511.8%

1.5-11.554.0%

>11.534.2%

Firm distribution based on turnover

2

Page 3: January – June 2013

Profile of respondents – by firm sizeBased on full and part time employment

Large (>100)

15%

Medium (20 - 100)43%

Small (10 - 20)25%

Micro (< 10)18%

3

Page 4: January – June 2013

Economic Impact CESA Membership earnings % of GDP

Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight 4

Page 5: January – June 2013

Fee earnings vs Gross Fixed Capital FormationRbn, real prices

Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight 5

Page 6: January – June 2013

Fee income, R billions Real 2000 pricesAnnualised | Deflator = CPI

Jun-96 Dec-97 Jun-99 Dec-00 Jun-02 Dec-03 Jun-05 Dec-06 Jun-08 Dec-09 Jun-11 Dec-120.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

Source: CESA BECS6

Page 7: January – June 2013

Real Fee income, Real pricesAnnual Change | Deflator = CPI

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-97

Dec-97Jun-98

Dec-98Jun-99

Dec-99Jun-00

Dec-00Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-11

Dec-10Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-12

Dec-12Jun-13

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

7

Page 8: January – June 2013

CESA Confidence Index

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-

96

Dec-9

7

Dec-9

8

Dec-9

9

Dec-0

0

Dec-0

1

Dec-0

2

Dec-0

3

Dec-0

4

Dec-0

5

Dec-0

6

Dec-0

7

Dec-0

8

Dec-0

9

Dec-1

0

Dec-1

1

Dec-1

2

Dec-1

30

20

40

60

80

100

120

-60.00%

-40.00%

-20.00%

0.00%

20.00%

40.00%

60.00%

% Change (Survey to Survey) - bar, right axis Index

8

Page 9: January – June 2013

Industry Confidence

Source: CESA BECS, BER9

Page 10: January – June 2013

Real Fee income vs Industry confidenceDeflated using CPI

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-96Jan-97

Aug-97

Mar-9

8

Oct-98

May-9

9

Dec-99Jul-0

0

Feb-01

Sep-01

Apr-02

Nov-02Jun-03

Jan-04

Aug-04

Mar-0

5

Oct-05

May-0

6

Dec-06Jul-0

7

Feb-08

Sep-08

Apr-09

Nov-09Jun-10

Jan-11

Aug-11

Mar-1

2

Oct-12

May-1

3

Dec-13

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

Confidence Fee income Rbn, Real prices - right axis

10

Page 11: January – June 2013

CESA Labour Cost IndicatorYear on Year percentage change

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-98

Jan-99

Jun-99

Jan-00

Jun-00

Dec-00

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

Dec-11

Jun-12

Dec-12

Jun-13

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

11

Page 12: January – June 2013

Employment vs REAL fee income (Rbn) (Deflated using the CPI & LCI)

Source: CESA BECS

Dec-9

7

Dec-9

8

Dec-9

9

Dec-0

0

Dec-0

1

Dec-0

2

Dec-0

3

Dec-0

4

Dec-0

5

Dec-0

6

Dec-0

7

Dec-0

8

Dec-0

9

Dec-1

0

Dec-1

1

Dec-1

2

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

8,500

10,500

12,500

14,500

16,500

18,500

20,500

22,500

24,500

Employment Revised (right axis) Income: CPI 2000 prices

Income : CESA LCI 2005 prices

• CPI: Consumer price index• LCI : Labour Cost Indicator

12

Page 13: January – June 2013

Employment vs Salary & Wage bill

Source: CESA BECS

Dec-9

7

Dec-9

8

Dec-9

9

Dec-0

0

Dec-0

1

Dec-0

2

Dec-0

3

Dec-0

4

Dec-0

5

Dec-0

6

Dec-0

7

Dec-0

8

Dec-0

9

Dec-1

0

Dec-1

1

Dec-1

2

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

Salary/Wage bill (Rbn, Real prices) Employment - right axis

13

Page 14: January – June 2013

Discounting

Source: CESA BECS

JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN130%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

A B C D0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00By firm category: Jun-13

14

Page 15: January – June 2013

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareJune 2013

Agricultural

Architecture

Mechanical building Services

Civil

Electrical / Electronic

Environmental

Facilities

Geotechnical

Industrial Process / Chemical

GIS

Hydraulics

Information Systems / Tech-nology

Marine

Mechanical

Mining

Project Management

Quantity Surveying

Structural

Town planning

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Source: CESA BECS15

Page 16: January – June 2013

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareChange in market share in the last 12 months

Agricultural

Architecture

Mechanical building Services

Civil

Electrical / Electronic

Environmental

Facilities

Geotechnical

Industrial Process / Chemical

GIS

Hydraulics

Information Systems / Technology

Marine

Mechanical

Mining

Project Management

Quantity Surveying

Structural

Town planning

-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Source: CESA BECS16

Page 17: January – June 2013

Fee income earned by TOP THREE disciplines: R bn Real 2000 pricesMoving average (2 survey period): 2002 – June 2013

Source: CESA BECS

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Jun-13

Structural 0.475 0.465 0.551 0.574 0.801 1.233 1.459 1.26389

1.555 1.8711 1.30291

1.124

Proj Mang 0.461 0.32 0.283 0.356 0.442 0.495 0.663 0.7831 0.814 1.31624

1.3356 0.813

Civil - right axis 1.926 1.745 1.869 2.041 2.392 3.234 5.576 4.76046

3.751 3.3487 4.51279

5.172

0.1

0.3

0.5

0.7

0.9

1.1

1.3

1.5

1.7

1.9

0.5

1.5

2.5

3.5

4.5

5.5

Structural Proj Mang Civil - right axis

17

Page 18: January – June 2013

Fee income earned by economic sectorPercentage market share December 2011 – June 2013

Source: CESA BECS

Water

Transportation

Energy

Mining / Quarrying

Education

Health

Tourism/Leisure

Housing

Commercial

Agriculture / Forestry / Fishing

Other

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%

Jun-13 Dec-12 Jun-12 Dec-11

18

Page 19: January – June 2013

Fee earnings by selected sectorR billions, Real 2000 prices | Smoothed |2 survey average

DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN13

Water 1.260837227177

37

1.269555065604

23

1.267757149479

46

1.523770461585

27

1.850202863397

34

1.857434277417

84

1.581489519809

07

1.287593543319

59

1.244089302424

27

1.072 1.073 1.433 1.37 1.18

Transporta-tion

1.575108297427

52

1.825542644735

42

1.974222947277

62

2.944136742853

41

3.646032169337

63

3.037888761381

54

2.819041801453

37

3.113684008404

16

3.055383601478

24

2.506 2.378 2.811 2.672 2.729

Energy 0.439913377245

271

0.370728856985

092

0.325951192261

022

0.302604640991

086

0.432849370393

367

0.462874693302

059

0.275372653166

938

0.191351567206

801

0.239002604314

996

0.522 1.085 1.329 0.932 0.876

Housing 0.451593263420

059

0.503117736716

976

0.689816995169

426

0.836111008667

676

0.710115150524

567

0.801322720776

857

1.058851306995

86

1.087230902247

68

1.286933195373

56

1.303 0.971 0.684 0.579 0.675

Commercial 1.302687580181

86

1.240049716876

27

1.730634545045

95

1.827915665168

15

2.124135187345

56

2.056829057407

98

1.970152329202

04

2.210910013457

85

1.750397418514

78

1.808 1.812 1.642 1.607 1.308

0.3

0.8

1.3

1.8

2.3

2.8

3.3

3.8

Source: CESA BECS19

Page 20: January – June 2013

Fee earnings by sectorR bn Real 2000 prices (smoothed, 2 survey average)

JUN07

DEC07

JUN08

DEC08

JUN09

DEC09

JUN10

DEC10

JUN11

DEC11

JUN12

DEC12

JUN13

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

OtherAgriculture / Forestry / FishingCommercialHousingTourism/LeisureHealthEducationMining / QuarryingEnergyTransportationWater

Source: CESA BECS20

Page 21: January – June 2013

Fee income (Rm, Real prices) earned by key economic sectorsJune 2005 – June 2013

Jun-

05

Mar

-06

Dec-0

6

Sep-

07

Jun-

08

Mar

-09

Dec-0

9

Sep-

10

Jun-

11

Mar

-12

Dec-1

20

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Housing

Jun-

05

Mar

-06

Dec-0

6

Sep-

07

Jun-

08

Mar

-09

Dec-0

9

Sep-

10

Jun-

11

Mar

-12

Dec-1

20

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000

Water

Jun-0

5

Jun-0

6

Jun-0

7

Jun-0

8

Jun-0

9

Jun-1

0

Jun-1

1

Jun-1

2

Jun-1

30

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

Transportation

Jun-

05

Mar

-06

Dec-0

6

Sep-

07

Jun-

08

Mar

-09

Dec-0

9

Sep-

10

Jun-

11

Mar

-12

Dec-1

20

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,600

Energy

Jun-

05

Mar

-06

Dec-0

6

Sep-

07

Jun-

08

Mar

-09

Dec-0

9

Sep-

10

Jun-

11

Mar

-12

Dec-1

20

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Commercial

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-

05

Mar

-06

Dec-0

6

Sep-

07

Jun-

08

Mar

-09

Dec-0

9

Sep-

10

Jun-

11

Mar

-12

Dec-1

20

50

100

150

200

250

300

Health

21

Page 22: January – June 2013

E-Cape W-Cape

N-Cape F State N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l E-Cape W-Cape

N-Cape F State N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l

% Share

8.9 11 1.8 2.4 1.7 1.7 40.1 4.3 21.2 5.1 1.8

Change last 12 months

1.9 -3.6 -0.09999999999999

99

-2.1 0.7 -1 1.7 1.4 6.1 -4.6 -0.5

2.50

7.50

12.50

17.50

22.50

27.50

32.50

37.50

42.50

-5

-3

-1

1

3

5

7

% Share Change last 12 months

% S

hare

(b

ar)

Provincial Market Share: June 2012Vs change in market share from June 2012

GAI

N

mar

ket s

hare

Source: CESA BECS22

Page 23: January – June 2013

Fee income earned by province (Rbn, real prices)High Capacity economies |TREND Annualised smoothed, average over 2 past surveys

Dec-98

Jun-99

Dec-99

Jun-00

Dec-00

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

Dec-11

Jun-12

Dec-12

Jun-13

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

Eastern Cape Western Cape Gauteng Kwazulu Natal

Source: CESA BECS23

Page 24: January – June 2013

Fee income earned by provinceJune 2005 – June 2013| Rm real prices

Dec-9

8

Apr-0

0

Aug-

01

Dec-0

2

Apr-0

4

Aug-

05

Dec-0

6

Apr-0

8

Aug-

09

Dec-1

0

Apr-1

20

100200300400500600700800900

1,000

Eastern Cape

Source: CESA BECS

Dec-9

8

Apr-0

0

Aug-

01

Dec-0

2

Apr-0

4

Aug-

05

Dec-0

6

Apr-0

8

Aug-

09

Dec-1

0

Apr-1

20

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,800

Western Cape

Dec-9

8

Apr-0

0

Aug-

01

Dec-0

2

Apr-0

4

Aug-

05

Dec-0

6

Apr-0

8

Aug-

09

Dec-1

0

Apr-1

20

50

100

150

200

250

Northern Cape

Dec-9

8

Apr-0

0

Aug-

01

Dec-0

2

Apr-0

4

Aug-

05

Dec-0

6

Apr-0

8

Aug-

09

Dec-1

0

Apr-1

20

50100150200250300350400450

Free State

Dec-9

8

Apr-0

0

Aug-

01

Dec-0

2

Apr-0

4

Aug-

05

Dec-0

6

Apr-0

8

Aug-

09

Dec-1

0

Apr-1

20

50100150200250300350400450

North West

Dec-9

8

Apr-0

0

Aug-

01

Dec-0

2

Apr-0

4

Aug-

05

Dec-0

6

Apr-0

8

Aug-

09

Dec-1

0

Apr-1

20

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Limpopo

24

Page 25: January – June 2013

Fee income earned by provinceJune 2005 – June 2013| Rm real prices

Dec-9

8

May

-00

Oct-0

1

Mar

-03

Aug-

04

Jan-

06

Jun-

07

Nov-0

8

Apr-1

0

Sep-

11

Feb-

130

5001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500

Gauteng

Source: CESA BECS

Dec-9

8

Apr-0

0

Aug-

01

Dec-0

2

Apr-0

4

Aug-

05

Dec-0

6

Apr-0

8

Aug-

09

Dec-1

0

Apr-1

20

100

200

300

400

500

600

Mpumalanga

Dec-9

8

Apr-0

0

Aug-

01

Dec-0

2

Apr-0

4

Aug-

05

Dec-0

6

Apr-0

8

Aug-

09

Dec-1

0

Apr-1

20

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000

Kwazulu Natal

Dec-9

8

Apr-0

0

Aug-

01

Dec-0

2

Apr-0

4

Aug-

05

Dec-0

6

Apr-0

8

Aug-

09

Dec-1

0

Apr-1

20

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Africa

Dec-9

8

Apr-0

0

Aug-

01

Dec-0

2

Apr-0

4

Aug-

05

Dec-0

6

Apr-0

8

Aug-

09

Dec-1

0

Apr-1

20

100

200

300

400

500

600

International

Dec-9

8

May

-00

Oct-0

1

Mar

-03

Aug-

04

Jan-

06

Jun-

07

Nov-0

8

Apr-1

0

Sep-

11

Feb-

130

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Total Fee Earnings

25

Page 26: January – June 2013

Fee income earned (Real 2000 prices)High Capacity vs lower capacity provincial economies |Smoothed

Dec-98

Jun-99

Dec-99

Jun-00

Dec-00

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

Dec-11

Jun-12

Dec-12

Jun-13

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

200.00

250.00

300.00

Lower Capacity High CapacityIndex Dec-98=100

High Capacity: Gauteng, Western Cape, Eastern Cape, Kwazulu NatalLow capacity: North West, Free State, Northern Cape, Limpopo, Mpumalanga

84% of fees were earned in high capacity provinces

Source: CESA BECS26

Page 27: January – June 2013

Provincial profile by economic sectorwhere fee earnings >50% of total earnings

Water (Full water cycle)

Transportation (land, air, road, rail, ports)

Energy (electricity, gas, hydro)

Mining / Quarrying

Education

Health

Tourism/Leisure

Housing (residential inc. land)

Commercial

Agriculture / Forestry / Fishing

Other

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Western Cape

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

Gauteng

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Kwazulu Natal

0% 5% 10%15%20%25%30%35%

Eastern Cape

Source: CESA BECS27

Page 28: January – June 2013

Fee income earned : RSA vs EX-RSAR mill, Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed

Dec-98Jun-99

Dec-99Jun-00

Dec-00Jun-01

Dec-01Jun-02

Dec-02Jun-03

Dec-03Jun-04

Dec-04Jun-05

Dec-05Jun-06

Dec-06Jun-07

Dec-07Jun-08

Dec-08Jun-09

Dec-09Jun-10

Dec-10Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-12

Dec-12Jun-13

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

Ex-RSA - left axis RSA - right axis

93% of fees were earned in South Africa

Source: CESA BECS28

Page 29: January – June 2013

Fee income earned by type of clientPercentage share as at June 2013

Central5% Provincial

10%

Local21%

Parastatals20%

Private44%

Source: CESA BECS29

Page 30: January – June 2013

Fee income earned by type of clientPercentage share

Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private

Dec-09 15.7 9.9 27.4 12.8 34.2

Jun-10 16.37 13.91 20.42 12.69 36.61

Dec-10 14.8 12 18.14 11.7 43.4

Jun-11 13.6 11.8 19.8 12.1 42.7

Dec-11 5.3 7.5 26 14.3 46.9

Jun-12 8.1 14.3 22.8 20.5 34.3

Dec-12 2.8 5.3 31.2 15.2 45.5

Jun-13 5 10 21 20 44

2.5

7.5

12.5

17.5

22.5

27.5

32.5

37.5

42.5

47.5

Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-12 Dec-12 Jun-13

Source: CESA BECS30

Page 31: January – June 2013

Fee income earned by type of clientR billion Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - avg over 2 survey periods

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

Dec-11

Jun-12

Dec-12

Jun-13

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private

Source: CESA BECS31

Page 32: January – June 2013

Fee income earned by type of clientR billions Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - average over 2 survey periods

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

Dec-11

Jun-12

Dec-12

Jun-13

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

Public Private

Source: CESA BECS32

Page 33: January – June 2013

Competition in tendering

DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN130%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Very Low Low Keen Very Keen Fierce

Source: CESA BECS33

Page 34: January – June 2013

Competition in tenderingPercentage of respondents that reported Keen to Fierce competition

Jun-0

0

Dec-0

0

01-Jun

01-Dec

02-Jun

02-Dec

03-Jun

03-Dec

04-Jun

04-Dec

05-Jun

05-Dec

06-Jun

06-Dec

07-Jun

07-Dec

08-Jun

08-Dec

09-Jun

09-Dec

10-Jun

01-Dec

2

Jun-1

1

Dec-1

1

Jun-1

2

Dec-1

2

Jun-1

386%

88%

90%

92%

94%

96%

98%

100%

102%

Source: CESA BECS34

Page 35: January – June 2013

% of Firms wanting to increase staff

Eng O Tech Technologist Technicians Support staff

Jun'10 16.6 11.9 11.9 1.7 0.4

Dec'10 81.5 10.07 18.3 18.34 5.8

Jun'11 66 8.3 51.8 52.75 6.6

Dec'11 74 4.8 36 22 6.9

Jun'12 86.5 17.5 38.2 22.2 6.6

Dec'12 61.2 12.5 19.9 18.1 7.5

Jun'13 50.8 20.9 46.2 30.5 24.2

5.0

15.0

25.0

35.0

45.0

55.0

65.0

75.0

85.0

95.0

Source: CESA BECS35

Page 36: January – June 2013

Engineering Skills Shortfall

Dec-97Jun-98

01-Dec

01-Jun

01-Dec2

Jun-00

Dec-00

01-Jun2

01-Dec3

02-Jun

02-Dec

03-Jun

03-Dec

04-Jun

04-Dec

05-Jun

05-Dec

06-Jun

06-Dec

07-Jun

07-Dec

08-Jun

08-Dec

09-Jun

09-Dec

10-Jun

10-Dec

Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-12

Dec-12Jun-13

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

% Wanting to increase engineers % of firms experiencing difficulties in recruiting engineers% of firms experiencing difficulties in recruiting (PDI) engineers

Source: CESA BECS36

Page 37: January – June 2013

Recruitment problems

Eng Technolo-gist

Technician Other Tech-nologist

Other PDI Eng PDI Tech-nologist

PDI Techni-cian

Jun'10 52.7 15.6 41.2 28.8 42.9 60.9 27.8 60.5

Dec'10 86.7 17 25 10 0.4 98 48 35

Jun'11 62.4 56 27.5 31.5 10.8 83 79 68.8

Jun'12 88 59 55 10.7 1.7 95 96.2 32.2

Dec'12 70.8 46.7 42.5 10.7 18.2 78 52.9 45.4

Jun'13 41.8 38.2 11.7 3.6 1.9 52.6 35.4 28.7

10.0

30.0

50.0

70.0

90.0

110.0

Source: CESA BECSNote: Data for December 2011 not available due to changes in questionnaire37

Page 38: January – June 2013

BursariesPercentage of Salary and Wage bill

Jun-00

Dec-00

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

Dec-11

Jun-12

Dec-12

Jun-13

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

Source: CESA BECS

Trend line – 2 year average

38

Page 39: January – June 2013

BursariesR mill Real 2000 prices (Annualised)

Source: CESA BECS

Rm

Jun-0

0

Dec-0

0

01-Jun

01-Dec

02-Jun

02-Dec

03-Jun

03-Dec

04-Jun

04-Dec

05-Jun

05-Dec

06-Jun

06-Dec

07-Jun

07-Dec

08-Jun

08-Dec

09-Jun

09-Dec

10-Jun

10-Dec

11-Jun

11-Dec

12-Jun

Dec-1

2

Jun-1

3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Trend line – 2 year average

39

Page 40: January – June 2013

Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Percentage of Payroll

Jun'05 Dec'05 Jun'06 Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09 Jun'10 Dec'10 Jun'11 Dec'11 Jun'12 Dec'12 Jun'130%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

e

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

e

Source: CESA BECS

Trend line – 2 year average

40

Page 41: January – June 2013

Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Rbn, Real 2000 prices

Jun'05

Dec'05

Jun'06

Dec'06

Jun'07

Dec'07

Jun'08

Dec'08

Jun'09

Dec'09

Jun'10

Dec'10

Jun'11

Dec'11

Jun'12

Dec'12

Jun'13

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

e

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

e

Source: CESA BECS

Trend line – 2 year average

41

Page 42: January – June 2013

Training (Direct costs)Percentage of Payroll

Dec-9

7

Dec-9

8

Dec-9

9

Dec-0

0

Dec-0

1

Dec-0

2

Dec-0

3

Dec-0

4

Dec-0

5

Dec-0

6

Dec-0

7

Dec-0

8

Dec-0

9

Dec-1

0

Dec-1

1

Dec-1

20.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

Source: CESA BECS

Trend line – 2 year average

42

Page 43: January – June 2013

Training (Direct costs)Rand millions, Real 2000 prices

Dec-97Jun-98

Dec-98Jun-99

Dec-99Jun-00

Dec-00Jun-01

Dec-01Jun-02

Dec-02Jun-03

Dec-03Jun-04

Dec-04Jun-05

Dec-05Jun-06

Dec-06Jun-07

Dec-07Jun-08

Dec-08Jun-09

Dec-09Jun-10

Dec-10Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-12

Dec-12Jun-13

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

Source: CESA BECS

Trend line – 2 year average

43

Page 44: January – June 2013

Jun-99

Dec-99Jun-00

Dec-00Jun-01

Dec-01Jun-02

Dec-02Jun-03

Dec-03Jun-04

Dec-04Jun-05

Dec-05Jun-06

Dec-06Jun-07

Dec-07Jun-08

Dec-08Jun-09

Dec-09Jun-10

Dec-10Jun-11

Dec-11Jun-12

Dec-12Jun-13

-40.0

-20.0

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Net % Change of respondents expecting an increase in capacity utilisationAverage Utilisation Rate

Net

% C

hang

e

Util

isati

on

Industry Capacity UtilisationOf existing technical staff

Source: CESA BECS44

Page 45: January – June 2013

Total fee income outstanding for longer than 90 daysPercentage of total fee income earned

Dec-99

Jun-00

Dec-00

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

Dec-11

Jun-12

Dec-12

Jun-13

%7.9 11.5

11.7

6.8 9.5 7.9 8.4 15.5

15.6

14.6

16.6

15.8

13.3

12.5

11.2

10.3

11.25

11.09

13.7

9.5 18.5

23.4

15.5

18 24 9.4 8.3 9.94

2.5

7.5

12.5

17.5

22.5

27.5Including foreign clientsExcluding foreign clients

Source: CESA BECS

Trend line – 2 year average

45

Page 46: January – June 2013

Escalation trendsYear-on-Year Percentage Change

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

% 8.7 6.9 5.8 5.3 5.7 9.2 5.9 1.4 3.4 4.6 6.6 11.6 7.13 4.3 5 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.7

1.0

3.0

5.0

7.0

9.0

11.0

13.0

• CPI Basket Revised in January 2013• Forecasts based on latest Treasury estimates

(Budget 2013/14)

Source: Treasury estimates Budget 201346

Page 47: January – June 2013

Labour unit cost indicatorYear-on-Year % Change (Smoothed)

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-

98

Dec-9

8

Jun-

99

Dec-9

9

Jun-

00

Dec-0

0

01-Ju

n

01-D

ec

02-Ju

n

02-D

ec

03-Ju

n

03-D

ec

04-Ju

n

04-D

ec

05-Ju

n

05-D

ec

06-Ju

n

06-D

ec

07-Ju

n

07-D

ec

08-Ju

n

08-D

ec

09-Ju

n

09-D

ec

10-Ju

n

10-D

ec

11-Ju

n

11-D

ec

12-Ju

n

Dec-1

2

Jun-

13-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

47

Page 48: January – June 2013

Labour unit cost indicatorAnnual Average Year-on-Year Percentage Change

Source: CESA BECS

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

48

Page 49: January – June 2013

Typical Employment BreakdownJanuary – June 2013

Professional Engineer Pr.Eng

Professional Architects

Professional Quantity Surveyors

Professional Other

Technologists Pr TEchENg

Technicians PrTechni

Unregistered technical staff: Engineer

Unregistered technical staff: Technologist

Unregistered technical staff: Technician

Unregistered technical staff: Other

Technical Assistants

Draughtspersons

Laboratory / Survey Assistants

Administration / Support staff

Total

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Black Coloured Asian White

Source: CESA BECS49

Page 50: January – June 2013

Typical Employment profile as at June 2013

Total employment 24,356

Source: CESA BECS

Skill Dec-12 Jun-12%

ChangeAdministration 5,343 6,424 20.2%

Draughts person 1,216 1,500 23.3%

Lab Assistant 386 367 -5.0%

Prof Arch 33 36 8.6%Prof Eng 2,750 3,209 16.7%Prof Other 566 593 4.7%

Prof QS 43 96 123.5%

Tech Assistant 1,727 1,425 -17.5%Technician 274 317 15.6%Technologist 747 998 33.7%Unreg Eng 2,463 2,994 21.6%

Unreg Tech other 1,386 2,448 76.6%

Unreg Technician 1,902 2,876 51.2%Unreg technologist 1,127 1,073 -4.9%

Grand Total 19,964 24,356 22.0%

50

Page 51: January – June 2013

Employment profile based on sample of surveys received

Source: CESA BECS

Race / GenderPercentage Change

Jun13 vs Dec12

Percentage Share Jun-13

Percentage Share Dec-12

Change in market share

Asian 4.8% 6.9% 7.4% 0.5%

Female 29.7% 2.7% 2.3% -0.4%

Male -6.6% 4.2% 5.0% 0.8%

Black 16.6% 30.9% 29.8% -1.1%

Female 15.5% 11.9% 11.5% -0.3%

Male 17.3% 19.1% 18.3% -0.8%

Coloured 17.4% 7.4% 7.1% -0.3%

Female 15.0% 3.0% 3.0% -0.1%

Male 19.1% 4.4% 4.1% -0.2%

White 10.4% 54.8% 55.7% 1.0%

Female 11.3% 15.5% 15.7% 0.2%

Male 10.1% 39.2% 40.0% 0.8%

Grand total 22.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0%

51

Page 52: January – June 2013

07-Dec

08-Jun

08-Dec

09-Jun

09-Dec

10-Jun

10-Dec

11-Jun

11-Dec

12-Jun

Dec-12

Jun-13

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Black Asian Coloured White

Overall Employment Breakdown, by raceDecember 2007– June 2013

Source: CESA BECS52

Page 53: January – June 2013

Colum

n1

Dec-9

9

Jun-

00

Dec-0

0

01-Ju

n

01-D

ec

02-Ju

n

02-D

ec

03-Ju

n

03-D

ec

04-Ju

n

04-D

ec

05-Ju

n

05-D

ec

06-Ju

n

06-D

ec

07-Ju

n

07-D

ec

08-Ju

n

08-D

ec

09-Ju

n

09-D

ec

10-Ju

n

10-D

ec

11-Ju

n

11-D

ec

12-Ju

n

Dec-1

2

Jun-

130%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Employment profileBlack only (excluding Asian / Coloureds) representation of total employment % Share of total employment

Source: CESA BECS53

Page 54: January – June 2013

Changing profile of female engineers

54

Page 55: January – June 2013

Equity Distribution by firm type

Source: CESA BECS

JUN06 DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN13

Pty Ltd

0.875 0.862 0.83 0.911 0.831 0.908 0.862 0.9138

0.837 0.892 0.872 0.848 0.866 0.893 0.859

CC 0.118 0.118 0.147 0.083 0.147 0.076 0.1188

0.0831000000000

001

0.065 0.081 0.056 0.137 0.122 0.078 0.112

Part-ner-ship

0.00800000000000001

0.02 0.023 0.006 0.022 0.016 0.019 0.0031

0.098 0.027 0.072 0.015 0.0122

0.029 0.029

10.0%

30.0%

50.0%

70.0%

90.0%

110.0%

55

Page 56: January – June 2013

Ownership / Equity: % Share of total employmentPTY, CC & Partnerships

African: Including black, coloured and asianSource: CESA BECS

JUN06 DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN130.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

Trend Line

56

Page 57: January – June 2013

Black Ownership & Equity: (including Asian and Coloured)% Share of total ownership and employment

African: Including black, coloured and asianSource: CESA BECS

JUN06 DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC11 JUN12 DEC12 JUN130%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

0%

1%

2%

3%

Black equity as % of total equity Black equity as % of total employment - right axis

57

Page 58: January – June 2013

African (Black) ownership / equity as % of total ownership / equity by type of company | December 2008 – June 2013

Source: CESA BECS

Pty_exec Pty_nonexec Member of CC Partner

Dec-08 0.135 0.815 0.368 0

Dec-09 0.196 0.889 0.518 0

Dec-10 0.152 0.359 0.455 0.125

Jun-11 0.153 0.552 0.37 0.222

Dec-11 0.208 0.857 0.365 0.143

Jun-12 0.197 0.796 0.36 0.2

Dec-12 0.226 0.75 0.62 0.111

Jun-13 0.263 0.9 0.709 0.125

5.0%

15.0%

25.0%

35.0%

45.0%

55.0%

65.0%

75.0%

85.0%

95.0%

58

Page 59: January – June 2013

Quality Management System

Source: CESA BECS

Large Medium Small Micro Total

Dec-10 1 0.93 1 1 0.974

Jun-11 0.92 1 1 0.87 0.95

Dec-11 1 0.931 0.92 0.773 0.899

Jun-12 0.945 0.926 0.923 0.842 0.911

Dec-12 1 0.926 1 0.8235 0.933

Jun-13 1 0.93 1 0.83 0.94

10%

30%

50%

70%

90%

110%

59

Page 60: January – June 2013

ISO 9001:2008 Certificate

Source: CESA BECS

Large Medium Small Micro Total

Dec-09 0.909 0.421 0.143 0.167 0.452

Dec-10 0.923 0.25 0 0.2 0.45

Jun-11 0.538 0.556 0.571 0.125 0.478

Dec-11 0.846 0.379 0.292 0.091 0.352

Jun-12 0.889 0.393 0.346 0.053 0.407

Dec-12 0.867 0.4 0.2 0.059 0.378

Jun-13 0.888888888888889

0.379310344827586

0.176470588235294

0 0.328358208955224

5%

15%

25%

35%

45%

55%

65%

75%

85%

95%

60

Page 61: January – June 2013

Thank youwww.cesa.co.za

Tel: 011 463 2022

61