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    The Impossible Scheme: the Oswald Imposter Theory

    Nearly 50 years after the assassination of JFK, people are still trying to make

    sense of it. Its complexity invites speculation, raises questions, and for many, suspicions

    as well. It is fraught with so much controversy that it would be difficult to list all the

    conspiracy theories that have emerged into schools of thought--not simply because of the

    volume, but also because of how finely nuanced the theories are. Some versions argue

    about the details of an event, while others insist the same event never even occurred. A

    notable example of this contentiousness is Oswalds trip to Mexico City and the question

    of whether he was impersonated.

    Powerful evidence, primarily consisting of handwriting analysis and eyewitness

    accounts, indicates that the real Oswald was in Mexico City. Given this evidence, an

    imposter scenario seems highly improbable. However, certain actions of the CIA, the

    agency that led the governmental investigation of the assassination, are rather suspicious.

    Some people have taken them as indications of deceit and manipulation for the purpose

    of either framing Oswald or making him an unwitting accomplice, while some theorists

    have even suggested he was a recruited asset.

    Though these actions of the CIA can be seen as suspicious, they are far from

    damning, at least, in the way conspiracy theorists would have them be. These actions

    could be interpreted as machinations, but there is another possible interpretation, one that

    holds an unglamorous truth for Americans: the CIA, one of the most powerful divisions

    within the government, makes mistakes. Lots of them. Organizations such as the CIA,

    FBI, Secret Service, etc. have a certain mystique which makes people see them as

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    immune to fault. As the select few, they are looked upon with reverence by those from

    the outside. It comes as a surprise then, when they are shown to be flawed.

    The assassination investigation was full of contradicting memos, inaccurate

    reports and other confusion, and while these errors seem surprising in hindsight, they are

    far more believable as mistakes than the wildly complicated red herrings, cover ups and

    schemes that conspiracy theories generally necessitate. The CIA undoubtedly withheld

    certain information in the years following the assassination and even made false

    statements, but these practices are consistent with how it operates as an investigative

    agency. The trail of conflicting information, incorrect statements, and puzzling gaps has

    led some to believe that it all hints at something sinister. If this trail, however, is

    examined in a context that allows for human fallibility, a more plausible conclusion can

    be reached.

    Oswald traveled to Mexico City by bus, arriving on Thursday, September 26th,

    1963. Over the next two days he made several visits to the Soviet and Cuban embassies

    when the visits occurred, however, is a matter of dispute. It is certain that he visited the

    Soviet embassy twice, once on Friday and once on Saturday. It appears Oswald made

    three visits to the Cuban embassy, but some claim the visits all occurred on the same day,

    while others believe there were two visits on Friday, and one on Saturday morning. This

    issue will be revisited at a later point. Oswalds stay in Mexico City was brief, and having

    failed to obtain a visa for Cuba, he began his trip back home the morning of Wednesday,

    October 2nd.

    This is the timeline of Oswalds trip to Mexico City if one accepts that he did in

    fact travel there. Mark Lane, an extremely vocal critic of the Warren Commission,

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    believes the CIA framed Oswald. Indeed, Lane states that a a decade after the

    assassination it became apparent that the case that the CIA had so painstakingly

    constructed, placing Oswald in Mexico City at the two embassies, had fallen apart as if it

    were a house of cards. Not one material bit of evidence remained.1

    He further explains

    that the CIA charade, which evidently included employing an imposter for Oswald,

    began no later than October 1, 1963.2

    Lane promotes an elaborate theory in which not

    only was Oswald framed, but the CIA even had an impersonator laying the foundation for

    the set-up. Although Lanes theory is not endorsed by many, as there is substantial

    amount of evidence that indicates Oswald was in Mexico City, it does, nevertheless, have

    supporters.

    Lane cites a number of issues regarding the evidence of Oswalds presence in

    Mexico City. First, Silvia Duran, the employee Oswald allegedly spoke to at the Cuban

    embassy, was arrested and roughly interrogated by the Mexican authorities. According to

    Lane, she was pressured to sign a statement prepared by the CIA that identified Oswald

    as the visitor.3 While there are documents that reveal the CIAs clear instruction that her

    interrogation be kept secret, and that Duran be kept in isolation until her release, it does

    not follow that her account was total fabrication. It is quite telling that Durans statements

    did not change over the years. When she testified before the HSCA in 1978, her

    statements were essentially the same, and in fact, she was quite adamant in recalling

    certain points. Duran has been interviewed many times over the years, decades after the

    assassination, and she has never admitted to making false statements due to coercion.

    Lane also appears to overlook the other consulate employees who testified that they too

    1 Mark Lane, Plausible Denial (New York: Thunders Mouth Press, 1991), 74.2 Ibid., 64.3 Ibid., 59.

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    spoke with Oswald, most notably, the consul Eusebio Azcue. He certainly was not

    arrested and brutally interrogated, yet with the exception of when Oswalds visits

    occurred, his statements were consistent with Durans.

    Another issue Lane points to is the matter of certain photographs produced by the

    CIA that supposedly depicted Oswald outside an embassy in Mexico City.4 The man in

    the photographs, however, clearly was not Oswald and truly bore no resemblance. Of

    course, the CIAs error was obvious and quickly realized after the assassination. Some

    theorists find the absence of any photograph showing Oswald at either embassy

    compelling proof that Oswald was never there to begin with. There is, however, some

    explanation for why no cameras captured Oswald.

    In addition to the confusion about who the man in the photos actually was, there

    was some difficulty in establishing when the camera coverage of the embassies had even

    taken place. When Oswald visited Mexico City, the Cuban consulate entrance was not

    covered by cameras yet, and in fact, there had been no photographic coverage of

    consulate entrance for some two years prior to Oswalds visit.5 A camera was supposed

    to be installed on Friday, September 27th, but difficulty was experienced in the

    installation and technicians had to machine a part for the equipment.6 As a result,

    photographic coverage of the Cuban consulate did not commence until sometime in

    October.7 This information was provided by the CIA to the HSCA in 1978. In another

    response to the HSCA, however, regarding the Cuban embassy coverage, the CIA

    4 Ibid., 61.5 Draft Response to HSCA on CIA Coverage of Oswald in Mexico City, October 18, 1978. 104-10146-

    10132. http://0-www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=26111,

    3.

    6 Ibid., 3-4.7 Ibid., 4.

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    reported that there was, no evidence of technical difficulties or camera problems during

    the months of September and October. The coverage within the time and day limitation

    seems to be constant and comprehensive.8 Here, is an instance of contradicting reports,

    but that merely proves poor communication, not that Oswald was never in Mexico City

    simply because there is no photograph that shows him in an embassy there.

    While there were no photographs of Oswald entering or leaving an embassy,

    there were some photographs of him that came from Mexico City. Photographs were

    required as part of the visa application. Duran explained that Oswald or in Lanes

    scenario, whoever was impersonating him did not have photographs with him, so he

    went to have them taken after Duran suggested a nearby shop where he could do so. The

    photographs that were attached to Oswalds application depicted the real Oswald. Duran

    confirmed that she looked at the photographs when she stapled them to the application

    and compared them to the person standing before her and they did, in fact, match.9 There

    really is no plausible explanation for how a genuine photograph of Lee Harvey Oswald

    was attached to the application, other than that the real Oswald visited the embassy.

    One major obstacle to Lanes theory is the handwriting analysis done on several

    signatures from documents produced from Oswalds trip to Mexico City. In 1978, the

    Cuban government gave the United States Oswalds original application for a transit visa

    to Cuba. Handwriting analysis conducted by experts for the House Select Committee

    confirmed that the two signatures on the application were indeed written by Oswald.10

    To

    8 Summary of Photographic Surveillance of Cuban Embassy for Sep-Nov 63, 180-10142-10499. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?mode=searchResult&absPageI

    d=528089. 3.9 HSCA, Vol. III, June 6, 1978. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=954&relPageId=33. 29.10 Ibid., 172. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=954&relPageId=176.

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    fool a handwriting expert is no easy feat, but to fool more than one is an even greater

    challenge. Still, a person could argue that a highly skilled forger might be able to pull that

    off. The application, however, was not the only handwritten evidence of Oswalds

    presence in Mexico City.

    During his trip, Oswald stayed at the Hotel del Comercio, which kept a register

    with guest signatures, one of which belonged to him.11

    It seems unlikely that a person

    could forge a signature multiple times and not have even the slightest variances that an

    expert would catch. And again, it is significant to note that more than one expert

    performed the analysis and determined it belonged to Oswald. This is extremely

    compelling evidence that the real Oswald was in Mexico City. Some people, while

    acknowledging that as powerful testament, might have lingering doubts and require

    evidence of a different nature. Aside from Duran though, Lane does not examine the

    accounts of several eyewitnesses who claim they saw Oswald in Mexico City.

    Oswald traveled to Mexico City by bus, encountering quite a few other

    passengers during his travels. He crossed into Mexico at Nuevo Laredo on Thursday,

    September 26th, early in the afternoon. There, he caught the bus that would take him to

    Mexico City. On that bus, were a few other English-speaking passengers, including a

    young British couple, John and Meryl McFarland, and two Australian women, Pamela

    Mumford and Patricia Winston, who boarded the bus at a later stop in Monterrey. Oswald

    was seated in the front of the bus near the McFarlands, while Mumford and Winston

    found seats towards the rear. Oswald briefly spoke with the McFarlands, stating that he

    was traveling to Cuba and informing them of his status as the secretary of the New

    11 HSCA, Vol. IV. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=957&relPageId=261.

    257.

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    Orleans branch of Fair Play for Cuba. Later, Oswald walked to the back of the bus to

    strike up conversation with the two Australian women. It was a conversation that

    consisted of the typical small talk between strangers: where they were from, travel plans,

    etc.12

    Any person who came into Mexico through Nuevo Laredo had to have his tourist

    ticket stamped by officials. Oswald and the McFarlands had their tickets stamped, thus

    their names were placed on list of people who crossed into Mexico at Nuevo Laredo that

    day.13 This card is critically important as it not only establishes the connection between

    the other travelers and Oswald, but also because it was found among his belongings after

    his death-- a fact which makes it far more difficult to argue that an imposter Oswald was

    on that bus. Eventually, the McFarlands, the Australian women and Oswald went their

    separate ways, but that shared bus ride would prove to be important in the months to

    come. After the assassination, the McFarlands were shocked to see Oswalds picture in

    the newspaper since they instantly recognized him as the man they had met on the bus in

    Mexico. It should be noted that the McFarlands were in Liverpool when they saw the

    photo in the newspaper, but they contacted the authorities immediately.

    The McFarlands were not the only eyewitnesses to come forth. Mumford and

    Winston were watching television in their hotel in Las Vegas on the evening of

    November 22nd, when Oswalds picture came on the screen. Mumford, and Winston, too,

    immediately recognized him as the man from the bus, even noticing that Oswald was

    12 Gerald Posner, Case Closed (New York: Random House, 1993), 172-73.13 Warren Commission, Vol. XXIV.

    http://www.aarclibrary.org/publib/jfk/wc/wcvols/wh24/pdf/WH24_CE_2121.pdf. 10

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    pictured wearing the same sweater he had worn on the bus.14

    Just as the McFarlands had,

    Mumford contacted the authorities right away. Some conspiracy theorists cite the

    unreliability of eyewitnesses and give little weight to their accounts, but there are strong

    reasons to give credence to the testimony of John McFarland and Pamela Mumford.

    To begin with, they lack the suspicious or glaring inconsistencies that often call

    eyewitness testimonies into question. Even in the absence of such weaknesses, however,

    there is an element to eyewitness testimony, that while less obvious than inconsistencies

    or outright deception, is just as dangerous: the power of suggestion. People have a

    capacity to embellish memories or even form completely altered ones after an idea,

    statement, or detail has been introduced. Unfortunately, many people come forth to serve

    as witnesses unaware that their memories possess that vulnerability. In the cases of

    McFarland and Mumford though, their accounts do not indicate that either party was

    prone to suggestibility.

    Oswalds trip to Mexico was reported in the newspapers three days after the

    assassination so it is possible it created associations with Mexico City in the mind of

    some witnesses. But, the McFarlands, Mumford and Winston all said that they

    immediately recognized Oswalds picture when they saw the news. Undoubtedly they

    would have seen a picture of the presidents killer at some point during the three days

    following the assassination, before Oswalds trip to Mexico City was reported.

    Furthermore, the statements of these witnesses corroborate each others in highly

    significant ways, offering details about the other passengers on the bus, where different

    people were seated, and with whom Oswald spoke. It is also important to note that

    14 Testimony of Pamela Mumford, Warren Commission, Vol. XI. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=45&relPageId=231.

    231

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    McFarland and Mumford made their reports individually, without knowledge of the

    others as they were in different countries at the time.

    In his affidavit, McFarland stated that he and his wife saw Oswald on the bus to

    Mexico City on September 26th

    . The list of travelers who crossed into Mexico at Nuevo

    Laredo is concrete documentation that places the McFarlands and Oswald in close

    proximity to each other, a fact which greatly bolsters McFarlands account. The affidavit

    includes McFarlands recollection that Oswald discussed his involvement in the New

    Orleans chapter of Fair Play for Cuba. According to McFarland, Oswald also expressed

    his intention to travel to Cuba to see Castro. These pieces of information, however, were

    known facts about Oswald and could perhaps have been read in the newspaper coverage

    of the assassination. The most important information revealed in McFarlands affidavit

    though, is the description of the passengers Oswald conversed with: two young

    Australian women who boarded the bus on the evening of September 26th at Monterrey,

    Mexico, and the elderly man who sat in the seat next to [Oswald] for a time. Here

    again, McFarlands statement provides factual details that were confirmed by others.15

    The Australian women did board the bus at Monterrey, and Mumford supported

    McFarlands statements.

    In her testimony, Mumford remembered a young English couple.and an

    elderly English gentleman in his mid-or late-sixties.16 One can safely take the young

    English couple to be the McFarlands, and the elderly gentleman to be the man the

    15 Affidavit of John Bryan McFarland and Meryl McFarland. Warren Commission, Vol. XI. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=45&relPageId=224.

    224.16 Testimony of Pamela Mumford, Warren Commission, Vol. XI. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=45&relPageId=227.

    227.

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    McFarlands described who sat beside Oswald. Random sightings are a given after any

    major crime, and, as isolated events, they typically do not have any impact because they

    either lack relevant information or are riddled with contradiction. After the assassination

    there were a number of false sightings in Dallas. However, one must consider the

    statistics.

    The reliability of sightings in a large city, such as Dallas, which in 1963 had about

    600,000 people, is always questionable given the high population. The greater the

    number of people, the greater chance there is for misidentification. Consider the bus

    population that produced multiple Oswald sightings. It was estimated there were about 50

    passengers, a fraction of the population of Dallas, which in 1963, was about 600,000.

    Only a few of the passengers were Anglo though, six including Oswald. Removing

    Oswald, 4 of the 5 others stated they had seen Oswald 80% of the Anglos present on

    the bus. Interestingly, the one who claimed he did not see Oswald was a thoroughly

    unreliable character who had given inconsistent statements to the FBI.17 The accounts of

    the McFarlands, Mumford and Winston taken together are powerful. Initially, it seems

    one could argue that a couple on a bus in Mexico easily could have been mistaken when

    they claimed they had seen Oswald. It becomes more difficult to argue, however, that

    other people, who were on the same bus, gave the same descriptions of their fellow

    passengers, and provided factual statements about Oswalds life, also produced the exact

    same false memories.

    A more complex argument is made by some theorists who allow that Oswald was

    in Mexico City, but maintain that an Oswald imposter was also there. Prominent

    17 Warren Commission Report. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=946&relPageId=329.

    305.

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    conspiracy theorist and author John Newman believes that the CIA impersonated Oswald

    over the telephone for intelligence purposes.18 The basis for this scenario is several phone

    calls placed to the Cuban and Soviet embassies, the most perplexing of which is believed

    to have taken place on Saturday, September 28th

    . There are some challenges to this

    theory, but before they can be examined it is necessary to present a more detailed

    timeline of Oswalds visit to Mexico City.

    On Thursday, September 26th 1963, Oswald arrived in Mexico City with a

    mission: obtain a transit visa to Cuba. In order to do this, he would have to visit the

    Cuban embassy. His first visit there took place on Friday morning, before noon. There he

    spoke with Silvia Duran who, realizing the difficulty of his request, felt sorry for him.

    She attempted to expedite the application process for him by asking her superior, Eusebio

    Azcue to look it over immediately. Azcue did so, but informed them that in order to issue

    the transit visa, the embassy would need the permission of the Cuban government which

    would take a few weeks. Oswald filled out an application with Durans assistance, but

    applicants were required to include photographs, so she directed Oswald to a nearby shop

    where he could get his pictures taken.19

    Oswald returned shortly with his photographs, which were stapled to his

    completed application. Duran told him that he would get a transit visa faster if he had a

    Soviet visa already. That, however, could take up to four months to process. Frustrated

    and disappointed by this, he argued this point. Azcue explained that if Oswald had a visa

    to Russia, then it would not be necessary to contact the Cuban government and a transit

    18 John Newman, Oswald and the CIA (New York: Carroll & Graf Publishers, Inc., 1995), 373.19 Posner, 181.

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    visa could be issued immediately. Without the visa to Russia, however, Oswald would

    have to wait the few weeks for permission from Cuba.

    Thus informed, Oswald walked the short distance to the Soviet embassy where

    once again, he was told that the application for a visa would take about four months.

    Oswald left the Soviet embassy furious, but, before he gave up all together, he would

    visit each embassy once more. His final visit to the Soviet embassy took place on

    Saturday, September 28th. The day of Oswalds final visit to the Cuban embassy is

    disputed; according to some, Duran, for example, it took place September 27th, Friday

    afternoon. Others, such as author Gerald Posner and Azcue, believe his final visit was the

    morning of September 28th Regardless of when it occurred the third visit was marked by

    peculiar circumstances. Oswald, upset at this point, returned to the Cuban embassy and

    demanded a visa. When Azcue repeated the requirements, Oswald became angry and

    argued with Azcue, accusing him of being a bureaucrat. Azcue, too, became angered and

    ordered Oswald to leave, which he did. After this fight, Duran20 and Azcue21 both said

    they did not see or speak to Oswald again.

    Newman is convinced an Oswald imposter was the man speaking during the

    mysterious phone call that was placed from the Cuban embassy to the Soviet embassy,

    which the CIA had tapped. The transcript describes a female employee of the Cuban

    embassy calling on behalf of a man who is there with her, believed to be Oswald, and

    moments later he comes on the line and speaks to the Soviet employee himself. There are

    three possible scenarios this phone call could fit into: it truly is Oswald speaking, it is a

    20Testimony of Silvia Duran, HSCA Report, Vol. III. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=954&relPageId=54. 50.21 Testimony of Eusebio Azcue, HSCA Report, Vol. III. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=954&relPageId=137.

    133.

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    CIA impersonator speaking as Oswald, or it is a call completely unrelated to Oswald. As

    the transcript below reveals, however, it is quite brief and raises far more questions than

    it answers:

    SILVIA DURAN: There is an American here who says he has been to the Russianconsulate.

    RUSSIAN CONSULATE: Wait a minute.

    [Silvia Duran is then heard to speak in English to someone apparently sitting at

    her side. This conversation goes as follows:]DURAN: He said wait. Do you speak Russian?

    OSWALD: Yes.

    DURAN: Why dont you speak with him then?OSWALD: I dont know...

    [The person who was at the side of Silvia Duran and who admitted to speaking

    some Russian then gets on the line and speaks what is described as terrible,hardly recognizable Russian. This person is later identified as Lee Harvey

    Oswald.

    OSWALD: I was in your embassy and spoke to your Consul.

    RUSSIAN EMBASSY: What else do you want?OSWALD: I was just now at your embassy and they took my address.

    RUSSIAN EMBASSY: I know that.

    OSWALD: I did not know it then. I went to the Cuban Embassy to ask them for myaddress, because they have it.

    RUSSIAN EMBASSY: Why dont you come by and leave it then, were not far.OSWALD: Well, Ill be there right away.]22

    Consider the first possibility, that the real Oswald did visit the Cuban embassy

    and spoke on the phone. The female and male speakers were each identified after the

    transcription took place. The transcriber of the tape that captured this phone call did not

    immediately recognize the womans voice as that of Silvia Duran.23 Some might consider

    it strange that the transcriber, who would certainly have heard Durans voice before in

    other calls, could not identify it right away? But, perhaps it is not as strange as one might

    22 NARA, CIA Transcript: Cuban Embassy, Mexico City, September 9, 1963. 104-10422-10143. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?mode=searchResult&absPageI

    d=227817. 2.23 Newman, 368.

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    initially think. The Lopez Report stated that the conversation became incoherent.24

    Was

    that a reference to the garbled Russian that was being spoken or perhaps the actual

    connection the transcriber had was poor, making it difficult to fully grasp what was being

    discussed.

    Given that the transcriber noted that the caller spoke in terrible, barely

    recognizable Russian, is it such a stretch to believe that there may have been some slight

    miscommunication in this conversation? Perhaps Oswald was trying to say something

    about his address, but struggled to articulate what exactly he meant. Many people have

    made much of the fact that Oswald lived in Russia for a time and was married to a

    Russian woman, and assume that therefore he must have had a decent, if not strong

    command of the language. Several people who encountered Oswald at various points in

    his life, however, noticed his weak understanding of Russian, despite his having lived in

    Russia for two and a half years when he defected.

    Richard Snyder, the embassy consul Oswald met with in Moscow early in his

    defection, stated that he did not know very much Russian. I dont think he could have

    gotten along on his own in Russian society. I dont think he could have done more than

    buy a piece of bread, maybe.25 Although he had been in Moscow only a short time,

    Oswald had been independently studying Russian for two years prior. Of course, ones

    language skills dramatically improve during immersion, but certainly one should be

    beyond food items after two years of diligent study. Correspondent Priscilla Johnson

    24 Lopez Report. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?mode=searchResult&absPageI

    d=68718. 90.25 Testimony of Richard Snyder, Warren Commission, Vol. V. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=40&relPageId=301.

    301.

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    given more credence? Duran, with whom Oswald had more exchanges, or Azcue, the

    man he argued with so vehemently that he was ordered to leave the building?

    In her testimony, Duran admitted that she felt sorry for Oswald.32 As Posner

    points out, she gave Oswald some special treatment, even if minor, in trying to get his

    application reviewed that day by Azcue. Is it possible that she allowed Oswald in on

    Saturday to help him make one last attempt to get his visa? Considering that she was

    working that day, and that Oswald had visited the day before during closed hours, it does

    not seem far-fetched to believe he could have gained entrance once more. If that is the

    case, though, that would mean Duran either lied about a Saturday visit, perhaps to

    distance herself from an assassin, which any person might wish to do, (especially one

    with her Communist sympathies), or she could have simply been mistaken about the

    visits all occurring on the same day.

    Some believe Durans statements suggest there was an imposter scheme.

    According to Newman, the CIA, knowing that the real Oswald had visited the Cuban and

    Soviet embassies, impersonated both Duran and Oswald on the phone, and had the duo

    call the Soviet embassy to garner whatever intelligence they could. The imposters placed

    a call to the Soviets, and from there, the man pretending to be Oswald had to improvise.

    The imposter figured Oswald had probably given his address during his visit to the Soviet

    embassy and uses that as an opener, but it failed. That tactic having backfired, the

    imposter simply agreed to come by and ends the conversation.

    Newmans theory is creative and logical from a certain perspective, but it has its

    weaknesses. To begin with, the broken Russian is, again, an issue. The possibility of

    32 Testimony of Silvia Duran, HSCA Report, Vol. III. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=954&relPageId=53. 49.

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    Oswald struggling with Russian has already been discussed, but there is no consensus on

    Oswalds fluency, however, so consider the phone call with the assumption that Oswald

    was proficient. If so, then it certainly would not make sense that Oswald was the caller

    who spoke such poor Russian. Does that suggest it was an imposter? If the CIA had

    decided to impersonate Oswald, given that they employ linguists, wouldnt it have been

    quite easy for them to use an imposter who was fluent in Russian?

    If the language matter allows for too much doubt, there is a more concrete

    argument to be made against Newmans imposter theory. After the assassination, the CIA

    scrambled to retrace Oswalds movements, and the station in Mexico City exchanged

    many memos and cables with the CIA headquarters in Washington, D.C. These memos

    are extremely valuable as they offer a detailed look at the nature of investigation, and its

    inherent features: profuse communication and coordination, errors, speculation, and

    confusion to name a few. A cable sent from the Mexico station to the CIA Director office

    the day after the assassination is one of many examples of the constant information

    sharing, but it also shows how the CIA had to try to make sense of the assassination

    puzzle with limited pieces. This cable, regarding any photographic evidence of Oswalds

    visits to the Cuban embassy, states that there is no evidence of Oswald visit. Only visit

    we know he made was to Cub. Embassy on Sept. 28, Saturday on which day the embassy

    was closed and no coverage.33

    That sentence creates a problem for Newmans scenario. The cable says that there

    is no photographic evidence of Oswalds visit to the Cuban embassy. But it indicates

    certainty in saying they know he made a visit to the Cuban embassy on Saturday,

    33 Cable: Complete Recheck Photos All Visitors to Cuban Emb., November 23, 1963. 104-10422-10092.

    http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=5048&relPageId=2. 2.

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    September 28th

    . With no cameras having captured this visit how did the CIA know it had

    happened? They must have had another means of confirming this visit, something

    reliable, such as a phone conversation taped and transcribed by the CIA. If the CIA had

    indeed arranged for an imposter to call as Oswald, they obviously would remember their

    own ruse. So, if the real Oswald never visited the Cuban embassy on September 28 th, and

    the phone call from that day was actually a CIA imposter, what allowed the CIA to say

    definitively that they knew he had made a visit on Saturday, September 28 th? One logical

    explanation would be that the CIA stated this as fact because they had a recorded phone

    call from the Cuban embassy, placed by Oswald (or a man the CIA believed to be

    Oswald) on September 28th.

    Whether Oswald did visit the Cuban embassy on Saturday has not been proven,

    but the CIA certainly appeared to believe he had. In addition to the cable above, there

    were several references to this visit in other documents. In a log the CIA compiled of

    Oswalds calls and visits to the Cuban embassy, a visit is listed for Saturday, September

    28th.34 Also, in a 1964 report, the CIA listed a number of confirmed results its

    investigation had produced, one of which was that Silvia Duran was again visited at the

    Cuban embassy in Mexico City by the American seeking a Cuban transit visa on

    Saturday.35 If the CIA regarded that phone call as evidence of a visit from the real

    Oswald, and references it as fact, that would seem to eliminate the possibility of it being a

    CIA ploy to gather intelligence.

    34Chronology of Oswalds Visits and Calls to Cuban and Soviet Embassies, Mexico City 27 Sept- 4 Oct,

    1963, October 4, 1963. 104-10414-10074. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=5824&relPageId=6. 6.35 Information Developed by CIA on the Activity of Lee Harvey Oswald in Mexico City, 28 September- 3

    October, 1963, January 31, 1964. 104-10150-10141. 8.

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    Furthermore, the CIA was baffled by Oswalds reference to his address, as can be

    seen in a report from February, 1964.36 They guessed that while moving his family from

    New Orleans to Texas, Oswald might have acquired a new Texas forwarding address

    which he gave to the Cuban consulate, but then either lost or forgot it, and had to call

    them back so he would have it to give to the Soviet consulate. Or, they suggested,

    perhaps he was talking about his Mexico City hotel address which might have slipped his

    mind while at the Soviet consulate. This bit of conjecture from the CIA seems

    inconsistent with an imposter scenario. Again, the CIA would not need to analyze its own

    call.

    The identification of the male caller as Oswald is questionable when one

    considers how it was made. A couple days after the Saturday call, on Tuesday, October

    1st, another call came in to the Soviet embassy during which the caller identified himself

    as Oswald. The transcriber noted that it was the same man who had called a few days

    earlier on Saturday.37 Presumably, he concluded this because of a similarity in voices.

    This method of identification makes it rather difficult to readily accept the Saturday call

    as Oswald. It all relies on the opinion of one person who may or may not have had a good

    ear and memory for voices. The possibility that it was a man other than Oswald cannot be

    eliminated.

    There are still a few other points to examine when trying to ascertain the

    legitimacy of the September 28th

    call. Rather than focus on what the caller says, one

    might consider what the caller does not say: he never identifies himself as Lee Harvey

    36Info Developed by CIA on Oswald Activity in Mexico City September 28 to October 3, 1963, February

    13, 1963. 104-10054-10271. 3.37 Cable: Transcripts of Oswald Calls to Sov Emb 28 Sept and 1 Oct, November 23, 1963. 104-10527-

    10279. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=45331&relPageId=3. 3.

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    Oswald. Duran testified that after Oswalds argument with Azcue on September 27th

    , she

    never spoke to him again, in person or by telephone. She was asked if she recalled any

    problem with him not knowing his address, and she said she did not. Oswald mentioned

    that he was staying at a hotel, but it was not necessary for her to know his address in

    Mexico City so they never discussed it.38 If Duran had indeed had a conversation about

    an address with Oswald whether in person or by telephone presumably she would

    have acknowledged that during her testimony. Oswald gave his New Orleans address on

    his visa application so clearly he did not forget that address.39

    Suppose then that the Saturday caller was a completely different man who simply

    happened to visit both the Russian and Cuban embassies which were, after all, located

    next to each other? Certainly it would be a coincidence, but would it be completely

    beyond the realm of possibility for a traveler besides Oswald to have visited both the

    embassies? Even if this seems unlikely, the fact of the matter is that one can only reject

    this possibility on the grounds that such coincidences seem rare, not because there is any

    actual proof to show that it was not the real Oswald calling. Again, the identification of

    the Saturday caller was simply based on the transcribers note, from the October 1st call,

    that said the caller was the same man who had called a few days earlier on Saturday.

    We have addressed many details of the imposter theory, but in order to evaluate

    the different scenarios, it would be helpful to examine how they originated-- not by

    exploring the reasons of why JFKs assassination could have benefited certain countries

    or organizations or understanding the political reasoning behind the various conspiracy

    38 Testimony of Silvia Duran, HSCA Report, Vol. III. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=954&relPageId=35. 31.39 Oswald Cuban Visa Application, September 27, 1963.

    http://www.maryferrell.org/wiki/images/d/d3/Photo_hsca_ex_407.jpg.

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    plots, but rather, by examining the evidence for these claims, putting aside all the theories

    and looking at the facts. The difficulty for the conspiracy theorists is that the burden of

    proof rests with them. In order to prove their claims, they need to produce actual

    evidence that reveals a plot. For those who reject claims of a conspiracy, their case is

    built on the absence of evidence since there will never be any positive piece of evidence

    that proves there was no conspiracy.

    There is, however, evidence that strongly suggests no conspiracy existed, and the

    majority of this evidence involves mistakes made by the CIA; the specifics of these

    mistakes do much themselves to dispel the idea of a CIA plot, but if one disputes this and

    maintains that a plot did exist, he must ask himself whether these CIA errors were real or

    intentional. If one believes them to be genuine mistakes, then it makes it rather difficult

    to believe that the CIA could pull off a conspiracy cover-up without a single truly

    damaging mistake coming to light, while other mistakes continually surface.

    Alternatively, if one believes these mistakes were intentional, then the CIA managed an

    absolutely brilliant feat in coordinating and planting these red herrings that would

    mislead investigators, and withstand intense scrutiny for decades to come.

    Not surprisingly, the CIA was often forced to work with limited information,

    which requires investigators to speculate and guess. It is surprising though when the

    guesses somehow become facts. A prime example of this is the discussion of the

    September 28th

    phone call in a summary of the agencys pre-assassination knowledge of

    Oswalds activities in Mexico City. The CIA listed that on Saturday, Oswald went to the

    Soviet embassy, but he apparently could not recall his new Texas address so he went to

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    the Cuban embassy where he had registered it in his visa application the day before.40

    This, however, is not correct because again, the address on Oswalds visa application was

    his New Orleans address. The summary continues to say that Oswald secured the

    address from Silvia Duran and she called the Soviet Consulate presumably to permit him

    to give them the address over the phone.41 The CIA appears to have made several

    significant assumptions based on the phone call. Not only did they piece together a

    sequence of events without confirmation, but they also assumed the caller was in fact

    Oswald.

    Aside from the fact that the phone call did not produce the callers identity, there

    is another interesting point to note regarding the CIA tapping and transcribing of phone

    calls: there was not always meticulous record keeping of what date and times calls had

    come in. Even before the JFK assassination, this problem existed. In an exchange

    between the CIA Chief of WH Division and the Mexico station regarding coverage of the

    Cuban embassy, it was acknowledged that due to occasional lack of logging it was not

    always possible to ascertain the exact date a particular conversation took place. Perhaps

    that only occurred rarely, but it is difficult to know exactly how occasional the lack of

    logging truly was. One wonders whether phone calls were ever mistakenly attributed to

    incorrect dates by guessing in the absence of a definitive date.

    In reviewing the Saturday phone call, Silvia Durans account, and the subsequent

    reporting of it, is very telling. In a CIA report dated January 31st, 1964, it was stated that

    on September 27th Oswald visited the Cuban consulate and spoke with Duran. It

    40 Summary of Agency Knowledge of Oswalds Activities in Mexico City Before 22 November 1963, May

    2, 1975. 104-1042810021. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=6513&relPageId=3. 3.41 Ibid.

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    continues to say that the same afternoon, Oswald had come back again.42

    Only two

    weeks later though, on February 13th, 1964 another CIA report said that from all

    evidence on hand we deduce that Oswald visited the Cuban consulate in Mexico City on

    the afternoon of 27 September 1963 and again some time on 28 September 1963, but

    there is no evidence that he visited more than once on the days mentioned.43

    Duran testified that Oswald made three visits to the consulate and that she was

    positively sure44 his visits occurred all on the same day. In each of the reports, the CIA

    wrote that Duran was visited by Oswald on Saturday, September 28th, but she denied that

    there was any chance he was there after Friday. These reports not only contradict what

    Duran said, but they also contradict each other. In the January 31 st, report, the CIA listed

    several confirmed results its investigation had produced, but clearly the Saturday visit

    to the Cuban consulate should have been in question. Duran denied it ever happened and

    there was no other witness who claimed it did happen. And, of course, there was no

    photographic evidence that confirmed an Oswald visit on Saturday or any day. Again,

    from these reports, it seems evident that the CIA was relying on the Saturday phone call

    as proof that Oswald had visited the consulate that day.

    Obviously, the September 28th phone call was a critical component of the CIAs

    investigation of Oswalds time in Mexico City not only for determining what he was

    doing there, but also in attempting to establish a chronological order of events. As can be

    plainly seen though, the CIA erred in depending so greatly on the phone call as nothing

    42 Information Developed by CIA on the Activity of Lee Harvey Oswald in Mexico City, 28 September- 3

    October, 1963, January 31, 1964. 104-10150-10141. 5.43 Info Developed by CIA on Oswald Activity in Mexico City September 28 to October 3, 1963, February

    13, 1963. 104-10054-10271. 2.44 Testimony of Silvia Duran, HSCA Report, Vol. III. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=954&relPageId=35. 31.

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    about it was concrete; the caller did not claim to be Oswald and there was no

    identification, Duran denied a visit from Oswald on Saturday, and the Soviet embassy

    confirmed that there were only two visits from Oswald, not three as the CIA believed

    there had been (again, a belief that appears to be solely based on what the Saturday caller

    shared). Yet information derived from that call is repeatedly referenced and incorporated

    as fact following the assassination.

    Another major source of confusion in the CIAs investigation of Oswald was the

    misidentification of him in several photos. On October 9th, 1963, the Mexico CIA station

    sent a cable to the CIA director stating that a man in a certain photo was possibly

    Oswald.45 The next day, the Mexico station sent another cable declaring, American male

    Sov.Emb. photo identified as Oswald.46

    The short span in which the mans identity was

    confirmed is perhaps a little surprising, considering the limited technology of the 1960s,

    but this identification becomes truly surprising when another cable sent that day contains

    a very inaccurate physical description of Oswald. This cable sent from the CIA to the

    State Department, explained, reliable CIA source says American visited Sov.Emb. and

    identified himself as Oswald. American is described as 35, 6, receding hairline.47 The

    real Oswald was 24, 5 9 and did not have a receding hairline. Here, the CIA clearly

    identified the wrong man from the Soviet embassy as Oswald, and based on that

    inaccurate description they wrongly confirmed the man in the photo as Oswald.

    45 Cable Re Photo Taken Mexico City of Unknown Man (Possibly Oswald), October 9, 1963. 104-10005-

    10178.46

    Cable Re American Male Identified as Oswald at Soviet Embassy in Mexico City, October 10, 1963.

    104-10005-10392.47 Cable from CIA to Department of State Re American Male Identified Himself as Oswald, October 10,

    1963. 104-10413-10003. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=5671&relPageId=2. 2.

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    The confusion over the photo and physical description could have been a mistake

    of short duration. Two days later, October 11th, the Director sent a cable to the Mexico

    station with the proper physical description of Oswald.48 Eight days later, however, the

    Mexico station sent a cable to the Director using the wrong description again.49

    An initial

    mistake in the identification of the photo and Soviet embassy visitor could be understood,

    but in this case, the CIA Director had corrected the error within a few days, and yet the

    Mexico station made the same error again. It appears that it was not until November 23,

    the day after the assassination, that the Mexico station realized its error with the photo

    identification. They had sent their photos of the misidentified Oswald to the Dallas

    authorities, but when the photos of the real Oswald were shown on television, the Mexico

    station sent a cable to the Director saying saw photos on T.V., obvious photos sent to

    Dallas dont match Oswald held in Dallas.50 This seems like rather poor processing of

    information, especially considering the fact that the assassination happened six weeks

    after the misidentification had been corrected by the director, and still the photos of the

    wrong man were sent.

    The day after the assassination the Mexico station said that it had completely re-

    checked photos of all visitors to the Cuban embassy and there was no evidence of

    Oswald visit.51 Also, it is important to note that they discovered there was a similar

    blank against all Soviet embassy from September 1st. A few years later, in 1967, the

    48

    Cable Re Lee Oswald Who Called SovEmb 1 October, October 11, 1963. 104-10015-10305. http://0-www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=50270&relPageId=3. 3.49 Cable on Oswalds Appearance at USSR Embassy in Mexico City, October 19, 1963. 104-10088-10140.

    http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=33370&relPageId=2. 2.50

    CIA Cable Mexico City to Director Re Dallas Photos, November 23, 1963. 104-10262-10000. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=37976&relPageId=2. 2.51 Cable: Complete Recheck Photos All Visitors to Cuban Emb, November 23, 1963. 104-10422-10092.

    http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=5048&relPageId=2. 2.

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    Warren Commission Report received photos, one taken in front of the Cuban embassy,

    the other taken in front of the Soviet. The CIA knew within twenty four hours of

    Kennedys assassination though that they had no photographs of Oswald from either

    embassy. But years later, those photographs of a man who looked nothing like Oswald

    were still being used. Again, the dissemination of information and the adjustment to the

    inaccuracies seems poor, particularly for a matter of misidentification which was

    glaringly obvious.

    Of course, conflicting information is not surprising in an investigation, but

    generally confusion of this significance stems from a lack of information, the leads have

    not all been investigated or a critical piece of information is missing. In this case,

    however, the information needed for answering the question of photographic coverage

    was readily available. The camera log for the Cuban embassy revealed there was no

    coverage on weekends, and, again, there was the malfunctioning camera that had to be

    repaired. So, it seems a simple answer to obtain either the camera was operating that

    day or not yet the incorrect report stating that there was comprehensive coverage was

    passed along to another group of investigators. One might point out that the HSCA did

    not come along until thirteen years after the assassination and that trying to ascertain

    minor details years later is no small task. That certainly is true, but the details in this case,

    that is, the history of photographic coverage, were known within a few years of the

    assassination. The CIA had a camera operation log for the Cuban embassy in their files

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    by 1968. In this log, the dates of Oswalds visits are included, and for September 27th

    there is a note that simply reads camera down.52

    Clearly, there was some difficulty in establishing the dates of photographic

    coverage, not only in learning when the cameras were operating, but also when certain

    photographs were taken. We have already noted that Oswald was linked to pictures that

    depicted a man who was obviously not him, but he was, additionally, listed as the

    possible subject of photographs that were taken on a day when he was not even in

    Mexico City. This was not limited to photographs, as a phone call from October 3 rd, the

    day after Oswald left Mexico City, was attributed to him. In this call, the caller speaks in

    broken Spanish and inquires about a visa to Russia.53 There are two good reasons to

    doubt this call was from Oswald. First, he did not speak Spanish and even broken

    Spanish would likely have been beyond his capacity he did not understand the menus

    he ordered from in Mexico City, and, despite his wish to assist his fellow travelers on the

    bus with their luggage, he was unable to because he thought they only spoke Spanish. 54

    Secondly, Oswald could have made the call to the Soviet embassy from a bus stop

    somewhere along the route back home, but it makes little sense to leave Mexico City, and

    continue calling about a visa if he would not be able to be there to obtain it.

    After the assassination the CIA was quick to focus on Oswalds trip to Mexico

    City and what his purpose there was exactly. In a memo dated November 24 th, 1963,

    52Camera Operation Log, Cuban Emb, Mexico City, 27 Sept- 4 Oct 1963, October 4, 1968. 104-10414-

    10073. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=5823&relPageId=2. 2.53 Cable: Transcripts of Additional Calls to Soviet Consulate by Oswald, November 23, 1963. 104-10414-

    10253. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=6000&relPageId=4. 4.54 Testimony of Pamela Mumford, Warren Commission, Vol. XI. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=45&relPageId=229.

    229.

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    regarding Oswalds visit to Mexico City, the CIA admitted that they were still perplexed

    about Oswalds plans for the Soviet Union and Cuba. They stated that although it

    appears he was then only thinking about a peaceful change of residence to the Soviet

    Union, it is possible he was getting documented to make a quick escape after

    assassinating the President.55 Oswalds whole purpose in traveling to Mexico City was

    to get a visa to Cuba. He had been quite vocal about his support of Castro to his co-

    workers and friends, and his wife certainly knew of his desire and intention to get to

    Cuba. He also was proud about his position in the local chapter of the Fair Play for Cuba

    Committee, even participating in a radio broadcast debate as Secretary for the New

    Orleans chapter. There were also CIA documents from September56 and October57 of

    1963 about Oswalds involvement with Communist and Cuban interests. It is puzzling

    then how the CIA came to believe Oswalds primary interest was moving to the Soviet

    Union rather than a visa to Cuba. Even months later, the CIA appeared to still be

    confused, wondering if Oswald was perhaps a Cuban agent.58

    Weve examined only portions of the Oswald imposter theories, but, even within

    that limited scope, the complexity of the JFK assassination is evident. The specifics of

    that particular theory are strongly challenged by the handwriting analysis, eyewitness

    accounts, and items such as the tourist card and visa photo. Those factors, along with the

    CIA documentation of reports and cables show that this is a puzzle with innumerable

    55Cable: Poses a Number of Possibilities as to why Oswald was in Mexico City, November 24, 1963. 104-

    10088-10236. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=27742&relPageId=2. 2.56 Report on Lee Harvey Oswald with Background, Connections with Communists and Cuba, September

    10, 1963. 104-10055-10078.57 Report on Lee Harvey Oswald with his Background, Arrest, Affiliation with Fair Play for Cuba

    Committee, and Emergency Civil Liberties Committee, October 31, 1963. 104-10055-10088.58 Proposed Questions on Oswald Case, May 1, 1964. 104-10052-10065. http://0-

    www.maryferrell.org.libus.csd.mu.edu/mffweb/archive/viewer/showDoc.do?docId=39252&relPageId=2. 2.

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    pieces. Putting aside their value as evidence, those pieces are important because they

    raise questions in the rational mind. If there were a conspiracy, how could it have gone

    undetected and remained undetected for so long? How many people would a conspiracy

    of that magnitude require to succeed? And what are the chances that not a single person

    involved ever came forward to share his story and offer the proof? Even a half century

    later, when nearly every key player or minor player for that matter has died, no one

    has admitted to having knowledge of a cover-up or provided evidence of one.

    Supposition, creativity, and possibility, though intriguing and exciting, cannot stand in

    place of proof. Conspiracy theorists then must take the approach of historians and work

    with the facts as they are and not what they could be, lest their theories remain merely

    that.