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Kantonsspital Aarau ersitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät B Die Rolle von Procalcitonin d anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis Beat Müller, M.D. 23 Juni 2011

Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

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Page 1: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Kantonsspital Aarau

Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel

Die Rolle von Procalcitoninund anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ?

Beat Müller, M.D.

23 Juni 2011

Page 2: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Why is a critically-ill medical patient “septic”?

Müller B, Crit Care Med 2000; 28: 977-83 Christ-Crain M, AJRCCM, 06; 174: 84-93

Sepsis33%

others

Cardio-Vascular

Brain

Dyspnea(AECB…)

Pneumonia67%

UTIGIT

others

?„Bacterial“ Sepsis ≈ 65% organism known, <50% pos BC„Bacterial“ CAP ≈ 30% organism known, ≈ 10% pos BC

Page 3: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Therapy Antibiotics ?

Management Prognosis ?

Diagnosis RTI ?

„Patientflow“

Outpatient

Inpatient

ICU

„Common Cold“ Bronchitis Pneumonia Sepsis

Mortality <<1% <1-3% 5-20% 30-70%

RTI

Prevalence EU ≈500Mio ≈5Mio ≈50Mio ≈0.05Mio

Emergency Room HospitalPrimary Care ICUSetting

Page 4: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

>100 infection and sepsis markers proposed

Page 5: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Why Procalcitonin?

Müller B, Crit Care Med (2000) 28:977-983

1- Specificity1- Specificity

Sen

siti

vity

Sen

siti

vity

00 1

11

00

PCT

Lactate

CRPCRP

IL-6IL-6

00 11

Sen

siti

vity

Sen

siti

vity

11

00

PCT + Clinical Diagnosis

Clinical Diagnosis alone

Harbarth S, Am J Respir Crit Care Med (2001) 164:396-402

Page 6: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Diagnosis Respiratory

Tract Infection?

History & Clinical Exam(essential!)

Family Physician ! (“Gatekeeper”)

Risk-adapted Medicine

Therapy Antibiotics ?

“Biomarker”(Grenzbereiche)

“Overruling”(High-risk, Co-Morbidities)

Signs & Symptoms

Radio-logyCulture, Serology

COPDExacerbation

CAPPneumonia

Acute Bronchitis

<0.1 0.26-0.5 ≥0.50.1-0.25

Stop/Start based onAlgorithm

STOPAntibiotics

STARTAntibiotic

70% of antibiotics for 70% viral (!)

respiratory infections!

side effects↑costs↑antibiotic resistance↑

Page 7: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

PCT guided AB treatment

Schütz et al., Exp Rev Anti Infect 2010

ERLRTI

ICU

Page 8: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Schütz et al., Exp Rev Anti Infect 2010

Procalcitonin to reduce antibiotic use

Page 9: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Safety of PCT guided antibiotic stewardship

Schütz P et al, JAMA 09

SAE n=168 (18.1%)SAE n=233 (17.2%)

Page 10: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Schütz P et al, JAMA 09

Page 11: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

PCT-guided AB-Therapy in ICU‘s?

Page 12: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Schütz et al., Exp Rev Anti Infect 2010

Procalcitonin to reduce antibiotic use

Page 13: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

The PRORATA Study

Multicenter, ICU, SepsisN = 621

23% more antibiotic free days alive

AntibioticDuration

Outcome

Bouadma et al, Lancet 2010

Page 14: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

„Common Cold“ Bronchitis Pneumonia Sepsis

Mortality <<1% <1-3% 5-20% 30-70%

RTI

Summary - Procalcitonin Guided Antibiotic Therapy

Emergency Room Hospital

AB-Initiation Duration

40% 14% 125d

75%

Primary Care ICUSetting

0% 106d

Christ-Crain et al., Lancet 04Christ-Crain et al., AJRCCM 06 & 08

Stolz et al., CHEST 07Nobre, AJRCCM 07

Briel et al., Arch Int Med 08Schütz et al., JAMA 09

Stolz et al., ERJ 2010Bouadma, Lancet 2010

44%

AB exposure 40%75% 44% 64% 40%

The less antibiotic exposure, the less antibiotic resistance!

Page 15: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

If PCT would be used in „real life“ for RTI...

Filippini M, Health Policy, 2006

PARTI - study, Briel M., Arch Int Med 2008

75%

95%?

Asia!USA!LatinAmerica!

Reduced AB-Prescription using PCT-Guidance

PCT

Page 16: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

ProREAL-Team:Dr. W. Albrich

Dr. M. Batschwaroff

Dr. F. Dusemund

Dr. P. Schuetz

Mrs. K. Regez, RN

Mrs. U. Schild, RN

Mrs. R. Bossart, RN

Principal Investigator:

Prof. Dr. B. Müller

Study sponsor:

bioMérieux, Lyon (F)

ProREAL-Contact:

+41 79 706 3003

[email protected]

Co-InvestigatorsSwitzerland

Prof. Dr. W. Zimmerli (Liestal)PD Dr. E. Bächli (Uster)Dr. S. Meier, S. Kraljevic (Menziken)Dr. B. Bucher, A. Spillmann (Muri)Prof. Dr. S. Bassetti (Olten)Dr. R. Thomann (Solothurn)Dr. Thomas Sigrist (Klinik Barmelweid)Dr. Daniel Rodrigues (GP, Baden)

FranceDr. G. Beaune (Annecy)Dr. J. Gaillat (Annecy)Prof. Dr. P. Hausfater (Pitié Salpêtrière, Paris)Dr. P. Banel (Beaume les Dames)Dr. E. Carre (GP‘s association president)Dr. P. Chatron (GP, Clermont-Ferrand)Dr. J. Thierry (GP, Lyon)

USADr. D. Amin (Clearwater, FL)

1801 patients enrolled . . . !

Page 17: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Good compliance is feasible in real-life conditions

Over entire index presentation: algorithm-compliance 68.2%

Compliance

respiratory instab

hemodynamic instab

imminent death

chronicimmunosuppression

chronic or other infection

complication/difficult-to-treat-organism low PCT, high clinicalseverity

no predefined criteria

81%

72.4% 2.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 3.9%

19.0%

- 3.8d

- 43%

- 6.1d- 1.7d

- 18%

- 5.7d

- 79%

- 6.0d

- 76%

and leads to shorter duration of AB therapy

Page 18: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Algorithm-Compliance depends on country, treatment site, experience & diagnosis

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Bronchitis

COPD exacerbation

CAP

Influenza

experienced

naive

CH, hospital

USA, hospital

F, hospital

CH, ambulatory

F, ambulatory

dia

gn

osi

sex

per

ien

ceco

un

try,

tre

atm

ent

sit

e

Compliance

81.0%

70.1%

63.7%

81.0%

82.5%

60.1%

P<0.0001

74.5%

66%

33.5% P=0.06

P<0.0001

P<0.0001

P=0.63

87.6%

85.1%

Page 19: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Limitations of Procalcitonin

&

Reasons for „Overruling“

Page 20: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

• Cut-off range depends on clinical setting– PCT does not replace the doctor („pretest-probability“!)– Co-Morbidities? Setting? Site & Extent of Infection? Assay?

• False positives & negative values occur (≈10%)– pos: SIRS, ARDS, „cytokine storm“, malaria, newborns…– neg: early, localised, subacute, immunocompromised,

fungal...

Limitations of PCT as a marker of infection

Page 21: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Procalcitonin remains low in localised infections

75 yrs old patient with EmpyemaT: 38.1°C, CRP: 150 mg/L, Lc: 13.4x109

PCT: 0.19 ng/ml

Page 22: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

UTI

Meningitis Sepsis

Procalcitonin for antibiotic stewardship in other sites of infections?

Arthritis

Endocarditis

Abdominal infections e.g. Pancreatitis,

Diverticulitis

Respiratory tract infections

Osteomyelitis

Page 23: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

• Cut-off range depends on clinical setting– PCT does not replace the doctor („pretest-probability“!)– Co-Morbidities? Setting? Site & Extent of Infection? Assay?

• „Single“ PCT measurement is of limited value– Course & prognosis of disease?– Withhold antibiotic therapy?

• False positives & negative values occur (≈10%)– pos: SIRS, ARDS, „cytokine storm“, malaria, newborns…– neg: early, localised, subacute, immunocompromised,

fungal...

• It cannot identify the pathogen

• Cave misuse without therapeutic impact- only then possibly cost-effective

Limitations of PCT as a marker of infection

Page 24: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Is Procalcitonin testing Cost-effective?

Heyland KH et al, CCM 2011

Cost: around 24 USD per measurement

Page 25: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Collection of 2x2 blood cultures in 925 patients with CAP

9% positive bood cultures (n=81)

91% negative blood cultures (n=844)

What are good Predictors of Bloodculture positivity?0

.00

0.2

50

.50

0.7

51

.00

Se

ns

itiv

ity

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.001-Specificity

Age: 0.55

Temperature: 0.61

BD systolic: 0.63

PSI: 0.55

Previous AB: 0.59

CRP: 0.67Leukocytes: 0.57

PCT 0.83

Clinical predictors

Risk predictors

Biomarkers

AUC

Müller F. (in preparation)

(84% Strept. pneumoniae)

Page 26: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Efficiency versus Economic Benefitsof PCT pre-screening

All patients 0.1 0.25 0.5 1.0 1.5

Reduction in blood culture collection (%) - 12.6% 36.9% 51.5% 60.5% 67.5%

Total costs (USD) * 134’125 117’225 84’633 65’051 52’979 43’591

Missed pathogens - 1.2% 3.7% 11.1% 16.0% 18.5%

Number needed to screen to detect 1 pathogen 11.4 9.1 6.5 5.2 4.4 3.5

PCT cut off (µg/L)

Müller F. (in preparation)

*Asumming cost for 2 x 2 bottels of blood cultures of 145 USD indirect costs are not included (i.e. nurses work)

Page 27: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

PCT improves antibiotic exposureDoes PCT improve length of

hospitalisations?

Obviously not….but why?

Page 28: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Medizin: Strategie vs. Realität

proADM KSA Medizin Bettenbelegung 95-105%

Page 29: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Pneumonia severity index (PSI)

< 50 Punkte --> PSI Klasse I --> Mortalität: 0.1% --> Ambulantes Management erwägen <70 Punkte --> PSI Klasse II --> Mortalität: 0.6% --> Ambulantes Management erwägen 71-90 Punkte --> PSI Klasse III --> Mortalität: 0.9% --> Ambulantes Management erwägen 91-130 Punkte --> PSI Klasse IV --> Mortalität: 9.3% --> Hospitalisation erwägen > 130 Punkte --> PSI Klasse V --> Mortalität: 27.0% --> Hospitalisation / IPS erwägen

[Fine NEJM 1997;336:243]

Co-Morbidität: Tumor Herzinsuffizienz cerebrovask. Erkr. Nierenerkrankung Lebererkrankung

Untersuchung Verwirrung HF > 125/min AF > 30/min Bdsyst < 90 mmHg Temp < 35° / >40°

Alter m (in Jahren) f (in Jahren -10)aus Altersheim+ 30

+ 10+ 10+ 10+ 20

+ 20+ 10+ 20+ 20+ 15

Labor & Röntgen

art. pH < 7.35 P-Harnstoff > 11mmol/l P-Natrium < 130 mmol/l P-Glucose > 14 mmol/l Hämatokrit < 30% PaO2 <60mmHg (8 KPA)

Pleura-Erguss

+ 30+ 20+ 20+ 10+ 10+ 10+ 10

.......

.......+ 10

Gesamtpunkte…..... …….……… …….………

Punkte PSI Klasse Mortalität weiteres Management

Page 30: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

CAP patients are hospitalised because

of (mis)perceived medical reasons

Medical factors

Nursing factors

Patients` preference

Relatives` preference

Organisational factors

Per

cen

tag

e (%

)

Medical factors

Nursing factors

Patients` preference

Relatives` preference

Organisational factors

Per

cen

tag

e (%

)

Low risk CAP patients (n=181)

High risk CAP patients (n=215)

Physicians Nurses Patients Relatives

Prognostic Risk Assessment!

Outpatient?SAE 5%

Inpatient?SAE 25%

Bähni C, Meier S., Spreiter P, BMC Pulm Med 2010

Page 31: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

MR-proADM

Diagnostic & Prognostic Biomarkers ?

Page 32: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Diagnosis Respiratory

Tract Infection?

History & Clinical Exam(essential!)

Family Physician ! (“Gatekeeper”)

Risk-adapted Medicine

Therapy Antibiotics ?

Procalcitonin(Grenzbereiche)

“Overruling”(High-risk, Co-Morbidities)

Signs & Symptoms

Radio-logyCulture, Serology

COPDExacerbation

CAPPneumonia

Acute Bronchitis

<0.1 0.26-0.5 ≥0.50.1-0.25

Stop/Start based onAlgorithm

STOPAntibiotics

STARTAntibiotic

Management Hospitalisation?

Prognost. Assessment(Scores, Biomarker, Pflege)

“Overruling”(Wish of patients & relatives)

Sehr tief Hoch Sehr hochTief

Short stayNLU / Rehab Home-Nursing

Out-patient

Hospital.ICU

OPTIMA OPTIMA

Page 33: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Outcome prediction in CAP

1 2 3 4 5

PSI class

36

37

38

39

40

41

42

Tem

per

atu

re (

°C)

p = ns

Te

mp

era

tur

1 2 3 4 5

PSI class

0

100

200

300

400

500

CR

P (

mg

/L)

1 2 3 4 5

PSI class

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Leu

cocy

te c

ou

nt

(x10

9)

p = ns p = ns

I II III IV V PSI Klasse

Le

uk

ozt

en

C-r

ea

kti

ve

s P

rote

in

I II III IV V PSI Klasse Christ-Crain et al., Crit Care 06

I II III IV V PSI Klasse

Mortalität 0% 30%

1 2 3 4 5

PSI class

0

4

8

12

16

20

24

Pro

CT

(n

g/m

l)

p <0.001

0% 30%

Page 34: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

p < 0.001

I II III IV V PSI Klasse

Stress hormones to predict severity of pneumonia

Christ-Crain et al., Eur J Clin Invest 07

Co

pep

tin

(p

mo

l/L

)

Mortalität

0% 30% 0% 30%

Christ-Crain et al., Am J Respir Crit Care Med 07

0

40

80

120

160

200

240

0

50

100

150

200

I II III IV V PSI Klasse

Co

rtis

ol

(nm

ol/

L)

p < 0.001

Page 35: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Cortisol predicts Mortality in CAP

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

Tota

l c

ort

iso

l (n

mo

l/L

)50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

Fre

e c

ort

iso

l (n

mo

l/L

)

Survivors Non-Survivors Survivors Non-Survivors

P<0.001 P=0.001

Christ-Crain M, AJRCCM 2007

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

0 20 40 60

Total cortisol < 960 nmol/L

Total cortisol > 960 nmol/L

Analysis time (days)

Pro

bab

ility

of

surv

ival

P < 0.0001

n=166

n=85

Page 36: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Adrenomedullin in pneumonia

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Pro

AD

M (

nm

ol/L

)

p < 0.001

250

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

Se

nsi

tivity

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.001-Specificity

Combined: 0.78

ProADM: 0.76

PSI: 0.75

p < 0.02

Page 37: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Adrenomedullin

CGRP ICT/PCT

ADM

Amylin

The CALC Gene Family

I II V'

II' III'I' IV' V' VI'

CGRP IIII' III'I' IV' V' VI'

II' III'I' IV' V' VI'

- One of the most potent vasodilating agents- Bactericidal activity- Increased in sepsis, higher in non-survivors than survivors

YRQS M

N

NH2- NFQ G

LRSFG C R F

GT

TC

VQ K L

AHQIYQ F

T

D

DK

K D N V APRS K I

SP Q G Y

O

NH2

-C

Adrenomedullin

Page 38: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Prognostic Biomarkers in LRTI Prediction of Mortality & SAE

ProHOSP, LRTI n=1359

(PSI & CURB65: validated only for mortality in CAP)

Biomarkers predict both outcomes in CAP & LRTI

Page 39: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

ProADM improves the prognostic posttest accuracy of the PSI Score to predict mortality

Fagan. NEJM 1975; 293: 257

20 %

3 %

40 %

0.2 %

CAP PSI IV-V ~ 20%

CAP PSI I-III ~ 1%

CAP overall ~ 7%

Pre-testProbability

Post-testProbability

LR

Outpatient ?

ICU ?

ProADM < 1.8 nM LR- 0.28ProADM > 1.8 nM LR+ 2.9

Page 41: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Risk-adapted Patient-ManagementObservationphase = Recommendation; Interventionphase = Implementation

Low Intermediate Very highHigh

Follow-up assessment of triage & Rehab-Potential

AdviceOutpatient

Advice• Home-nurse

• Nurse led Unit (NLU)

• Short Inpatient

AdviceICU

AdviceInpatient

Assessment of medical, nursing & social Risik and need for patient education (empowerment)

(with Scores and/or Biomarkers)

RISIK

<0.75 0.75-1.5 1.5 >2.5

„Overruling“ - Medical factors: C(U)RB65 Score, (PSI, GOLD), schwere medizinische Co-Morbidität

- Nursing factors: Barthel Index, Rowland Score- Social factors: Fear, Denial, Opposition, Lack of care at home

Biomarker eg proADM

Page 42: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Übergangs-

pflege

Patients with LRTI 250 / yr

250

OutpatientHome-nursing

care

Post-acute

Nursing

Nurse-led Unit

(NLU)

Traditional

Hospital (KSA)

Independent of- Medical assessment- Nursing / functional assessment- Preference of patient & relatives→ Avalilability of Beds problematic / erratic

Currently (Apr 2010)

250

Nurse-led Unit

(NLU)

150

OutpatientPost-acute

CareKSA

250

30303010

OPTIMA (Oct 10 – May 11)

Home-nursing

care

Page 43: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

«Kosten – Effizienz» oder - Defizienz in der Medizin ?

“OPTIMAL” ??

Page 44: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Conclusions Diagnosis of bacterial RTI & Antibiotic Guidance

- 11 (!) RCTs from 5 independent groups established Procalcitonin as novel „gold standard“ biomarker for antibiotic guidance in RTI & sepsis.

Prognosis & Hospital Management- Substantial medical & socio-economic impact- State-of-the-art clinical scores (PSI, CURB-65, CRB-65) NOT validated for non-pneumonia RTI & non-fatal SAEs relevant for hospitalisation- Biomarkers complement & improve the discriminatory ability of these risk scores for mortality & clinical relevant SAEs (death, ICU-admission, complications)

Interdisciplinary Approach needed - Medical (“fear”), nursing, social & community-related factors - Collaboration between institutions & creation of incentives (government, hospital, nursing home, “out-of-hospital” care)

Our health care resources are limited ! Thus, they need to be allocated to high-risk patients !!

Page 45: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

DANKE für Ihre Aufmerksamkeit

Page 46: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

• Cut-off range depends on clinical setting– PCT does not replace the doctor („pretest-probability“!)– Co-Morbidities? Setting? Site & Extent of Infection? Assay?

• „Single“ PCT measurement is of limited value– Course & prognosis of disease?– Withhold antibiotic therapy?

• False positives & negative values occur (≈10%)– pos: SIRS, ARDS, „cytokine storm“, malaria, newborns…– neg: early, localised, subacute, immunocompromised,

fungal...

• It cannot identify the pathogen

• Cave misuse without therapeutic impact- only then probably cost-effective

• Not for Escalation (broader) Antibiotic therapy

Limitations of PCT as a marker of infection

Page 47: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Jensen JU, Crit Care Med 06; 34:2596-602

High / increasing PCT Bad Sepsis-outcome ESCALATION of Antibiotic Therapy?

(do you believe that not enough antibiotics

are the problem in septic shock & MOF?)

Page 48: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Jensen JU, Crit Care Med 06; 34:2596-602

High / increasing PCT Bad Sepsis-outcome ESCALATION of Antibiotic Therapy?

PASS trialPatients: 1200 in ICU

Intervention: If PCT >1ng/ml or increasing then

- (re)-sampling & imaging - «blind» broadening of AB1° Endpoint: Reduction in mortality? Power: ARR 7.5% mortality

2° Endpoint: ressource use BUT: escalation of measures defined by the protocol

! Problem: What was tested? Effectiveness of PCT and/or of broadening of AB therapy?

Page 49: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Setting: ICU = (understandable) high baseline use of antibiotic therapy

Patients: 1200, Danish ICU, high quality of careAdmitted for failure of respiration > haemodynamic > «infection»

Intervention: If PCT >1ng/ml or increasing then- (re)-sampling & imaging recommended

- guideline-based «blind» broadening of «empirical» therapy

Research Questions:1° Endpoint: Does it help to give even more/broader antibiotic therapy? Power: ARR 7.5% mortality (no sepsis study ever reached that goal!)

2° Endpoint: Will you use more ressources? Of course you will (escalation of measures is defined by the protocol)

-What was tested? The Effectiveness of PCT and/ or of guideline recommended broadening of antibiotic therapy?

-Were the therapeutic measures taken effective? We don’t know ! - Early goal directed therapy randomized by PCT? - PCT Immunoneutralisation ?

ESCALATION of Antibiosis in worsening ICU-Pat.?The PASS Study

Page 50: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

The ProCAP Study (N = 302) Diagnostic accuracy for Bacteremia

Müller B, BMC Inf Dis 2007

ProCTCRPLcTPSIVAS

0 20 40 60 80 100

100-Specificity

100

80

60

40

20

0

Sen

sit

ivit

y

Only 11% pos. BC in ‚bacterial‘ CAPin need for AB!

Delay? Sensitivity??Gold standard ???

AUC 0.86AUC 0.69AUC 0.60

0.25ug/L0.5

1.0

Page 51: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

PCT as a marker of infection in UTI?• Prospective observational study in 30 women

with uncomplicated acute pyelonephritis

• Measurement of PCT, CRP at inclusion, at day 4 and every day until normalization (PCT < 0,25, CRP < 10) & at the end of antibiotic treatment

Abstract kindly provided by S.Harbarth, C. Delémont et al. SFMU & SAEM 2011

• At inclusion: - PCT>0.25ug/L: 37% (median 0.16) - CRP>10 mg/L: 90% (median 96)

• At day 5: - PCT<0.25ug/L: 80% - CRP<10 mg/L: 17%

• Median days to normalization: PCT: 5 days CRP: 8 days

Page 52: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

PCT as a marker of infection in UTI?

Abstract kindly provided by S.Harbarth, C. Delémont et al, SFMU & SAEM 2011

• → PCT: with this cutoff little help for antibiotic discontinuation in APN due to small portion of patients with abnormal PCT at diagnosis. → CRP: frequently elevated at diagnosis, but long time to normalization

→ None of these markers useful to guide AB treatment discontinuation in APN

Other cutoffs? Cave: PCT>0.25 ≠ CRP>10

Page 53: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Septic or non-septic Arthritis?

Page 54: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

PCT as a marker of infection in localized orthopaedic infections?

Uckay et al., Swiss med wkly 2010

- Retrospective study comparing PCT & CRP in patients with localised non-bacteremic orthopaedic infections- 60 infected patients, tx with AB, surgery to cure infection- Postoperative PCT were rarely elevated despite continued

infection; PCT not better than less expensive CRP

Page 55: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

• Cut-off range depends on clinical setting– Co-Morbidities? Setting? Site & Extent of Infection? Assay?– PCT does not replace the doctor („pretest-probability“!)

• False negative & positive values occur (≈10%)– neg: very early, localised, subacute, immunocompromised,

fungal... – pos: SIRS, ARDS, „cytokine storm“, malaria, newborns…

Limitations of PCT as a marker of infection

Page 56: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

PCT to guide duration of AB therapy in surgical ICU patients: a randomized controlled trial

Hochreiter et all, CC 2009

Choice and Duration of Antibiotic therapy

110 Surgical ICU patients with suspicion of sepsisStopp AB if clinical signs improved and PCT <1 ng/ml or the PCT value was >1 ng/ml, but had dropped to 25 to 35% of the initial value over three days.Similar outcomes (SOFA & mortality)Conclusion: Monitoring of PCT is a helpful tool for guiding AB treatment in surgical intensive care patients.

Page 57: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

CRP for RCTs?• is frequently used in Europe (>> US)

- Low cost, easy availability, „historic practice“

• improves the „routine“ diagnosis of LRTI– as compared to signs & symptoms, Temp, WBC– severe bacterial infection is unlikely if CRP<50ug/L (SMW 06)

• has, like every biomarker, diagnostic pitfalls– hsCRP = marker of „chronic, subtle inflammation“

helpful for assessment of cardiovascular risk (US)– Less wide „diagnostic range“ (CRP: 102, PCT: 105)– more „unspecific“ increase in SIRS, trauma alone (CCM 00)

Not prognostic in severe infections (CAP, sepsis; Crit Care 06) – delayed increase during the course (peak 2-3d, Infection 07)

limiting its use during the initial work-up & guidance of AB-duration– hepatic production is largely IL-6 dependent

falsely low levels with steroids (COPD!, J Leukoc Biol 02)

• may therefore be less safe to guide antibiotic therapy

Lots of Refs available upon request!

Page 58: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

CRP dynamics predict AB appropriateness in VAP

Lisboa et al, Crit Care Med 2008

- Prospective observational study in 68 patients with suspected VAP; CRP measured on diagnosis & 96 hours after start of AB

- Aim: to evaluate value of CRP for antibiotic response

- Conclusion: Serial CRP measurements after VAP onset may help to evaluate effectiveness of AB treatment

CRP ratio (follow-up/baseline) of 0.80 = useful indicator of AB appropriateness

Page 59: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

CRP velocity following Antibiotics

Justo et al, Eur J Int Med 2009

- Aim: to study whether CRP on admission and delta CRP following initiation of AB provide a tool for distinguishing CAP from COPD exacerbation

- Conclusion: CRP velocity can be used to distinguish CAP from COPD exacerbation → Intervention studies needed

Page 60: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Cals JWL, et al, BMJ 09; 338: 1374

-42% -51% -66%

CRP for antibiotic stewardship in primary care

Page 61: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

AB tx Control group: 31%, CRP group 37%, p=ns

139 Patients presenting to the ED with acute cough randomized to control or CRP-group control group: recommendations for chest X-ray and ABCRP group: same algorithm plus CRP testing.

Gonzales et al., J Emerg Med 2008

CRP to reduce AB in the ED?

Page 62: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Biomarkers for antibiotic stewardship: anything beyond PCT?

suPAR

sTREM-1

Page 63: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Multimarker-ApproachN

o in

fect

ion

Bac

teria

l

Vira

lPa

rasi

tic

No

infe

ctio

nB

acte

rial

Vira

lPa

rasi

tic

No

infe

ctio

nB

acte

rial

Vira

lPa

rasi

tic

Kofoed et al., Crit Care 2007

CR

P (

mg

/L)

PC

T (

ug

/L)

Neu

tro

ph

ils

x10

9 c

ells

/L

suP

AR

(u

g/L

)

sTR

EM

-1 (

ug

/L)

MIF

(u

g/L

)

Page 64: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Multimarker-Approach

Kofoed et al., Crit Care 2007

AUC‘s for detection of a bacterial cause of inflammation:

0.50 (0.40-0.60)0.61 (0.52-0.71)0.63 (0.53-0.72) 0.74 (0.73-0.81)0.72 (0.63-0.79)0.81 (0.73-0.86)0.84 (0.71-0.91)0.88 (0.81-0.92)

Page 65: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Combination of PCT & BPW (biphasic transmittance waveform) from the activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT)

for prediction of sepsis in 200 adults admitted to ICU

Zakariah et al., Crit Care Med 2008

Page 66: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Combination of CRP and IL-8 to reduce AB

Franz et al., Pediatrics 2004

AB treatment in IL-8 & CRP group: 36.1%Standard group: 49.6% p<0.001

Similar % of infections missed at initial evaluation (~ 15%)

The number of newborns who received postnatal antibiotic therapy could be safely reduced with a diagnostic algorithm

that includes measurement of IL-8 & CRP

Page 67: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Conclusion• > 100 different biomarkers for infection & sepsis proposed• RCT‘s very limited !

• Procalcitonin: best & most frequently studied biomarker, 11 RCT‘s!→ 35-70% reduction in antibiotic use without apparent negative impact on patient outcome→ Tested in primary care & hospital setting (ED, ICU)→ limitations:

- usefulness in other infections (e.g. UTI)?- too expensive- false positive & negatives occur - lacks necessary accuracy to be used without

clinical judgement

Page 68: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Anything beyond PCT?• C-reactive protein:

proved to be useful for AB stewardship in primary care, probably better marker in localised infections → limitations:

• rather unspecific • delayed increase• No RCT‘s in ER, ICU in adults!

• New biomarkers? → many tested in observational studies no intervention studies available

What should we achieve by 2020?• Test new biomarkers in intervention studies• Combine promising markers & test in intervention studies

→ challenge to find the most cost-effective markers & to include in daily practice

Page 69: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Other

Diagnosis ?

Start AB

Therapy

Accurate Diagnosis of Sepsis is Important for Rapid Initiation of Antibiotics

Really Sepsis?

<0.5ng/ml

Question

Procalcitonin cut off* >2.0ng/ml

Sepsis Very

Unlikely

Sepsis Very

LikelyClinical Interpretation

*Guidelines from the German Sepsis Society

On admission Intubated & comatoseTemperature: 38.6 °CBP 90/55; P 113Rales in both lungs

Consequence for physician

Page 70: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Monitoring PCT Gives you Important Information about Patients’ Prognosis

Question

Procalcitonin

Clinical Interpretation

*Guidelines from the German Sepsis Society

Day 3 of ICU stayStill intubatedTemperature subfebrileNeed for Vasoactiva

Consequence for physicianContinue AB

Therapy

Other

Diagnosis?

Prognosis

Decrease No Decrease

Responding Not Responding

Page 71: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Endotoxin ivEndotoxin iv

h

ug/ml

Dynamics of Biomarkers upon Infection

Page 72: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Pneumonia - How long to treat?

0.1

1

10

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 days on ICU

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

PCT (ng/mL)

CRP (mg/mL)

0.01"Normal" Reference range

100 T1/2 ProCT: 24h (log-linear)

J.C.E., 28yrs

Antibiotics ivAntibiotics iv

Page 73: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Severe Sepsis

PCT-guided Antibiotic Therapy

Sepsis

Healthy

Septic Shock

Pneumonia

ProCT (g/L)

0.1

1

10

0.01

100

0.25

0.5

2

BronchitisCOLD

Diagnosis

LU

MIt

es

t® P

CT

LIA

PC

T-Q

®

Assay?Antibiotic (AB) use?

YES!

Yes

No

NO!

ERRTI

ICUTrauma

YES

No

NO!

GPsCOPD

Christ-Crain M, Eur Resp J, 07Schuetz P, Curr Opin Crit Care, 07

YES!

Yes

No

NO! PC

T K

RY

PT

OR

® /

VID

AS

®

Page 74: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Time Course PCT & CRP after Heart Surgery

adapted fromSponholz C, Crit Care 06; 10:R145

Page 75: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

CRP for antibiotic stewardship in primary care

Cals et al., Ann Fam Med 2010; 8: 124-133

- RCT with 258 patients of 32 GP‘s. - Randomization to usual care or CRP assistance- Primary outcome: antibiotic use after index consultation - Secondary outcomes: patient satisfaction, clinical

recovery

Page 76: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

PCT guided antibiotic stewardship in “Real Life”• Question: Is the use of PCT safe & efficient outside controlled study conditions?• Quality control Survey in patients with LRTI in different hospitals• Switzerland (11 hospitals), France (3), USA (1)

• Patients with LRTI included in registry via website, where the recommended algorithm was displayed• 1°endpoint: AB duration within 30 days 2° endpoint: adherence to algorithm

• 1810 patients enrolled

Albrich et al, in preparation

Page 77: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

PCT guided antibiotic stewardship in “Real Life”• Overall compliance with algorithm on presentation 72.4%, + 8.6% overrulings based on prespecified criteria = 81.0%• Most important overruling criteria high clinical severity

• Antibiotic duration significantly shorter in LRTI if PCT algorithm was followed (6.2 vs 8.4 days)

Albrich et al, in preparation

Page 78: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

PCT guided antibiotic stewardship in “Real Life”

Schuetz P et al, Eur J of Clin Microbiology and Inf Disease, 2010

• Duration of antibiotic treatment was significantly lower as compared to“pre-PCT” time & similar to PCT groups in studies • 18% of overrulings based on prespecified criteria• 10% of overrulings without prespecified criteria

Decision of the treating physician

2%2%

Immuno-suppression

Anticipated complications

High risk patientsICU admission

Not overruled

Overruled with prespecified reason

Overruled withoutprespecified reason

Page 79: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

Outcome and complicationsOutcome (in LRTI) (no.(%))

In-hospital mortality 79 (5.2%)

Need for ICU admission 159 (10.5%)

In-hospital overall complications 293 (19.3%)

30-day-mortality 109/1425 (7.6%)

30-day-recurrence rate 32/1425 (2.2%)

30 day complications OR 95% CI P

CURB65 1.35 1.07-1.72 0.01

CAP (vs. bronchitis) 6.81 2.97-15.61 <0.0001

Multilobar pneumonia 5.25 1.62-17.02 0.006

History of stroke 0.25 0.08-0.77 0.015 Compliance with the algorithm was not associated with risk of complication (p=0.26)

Risk factors for complications

Page 80: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

The PRORATA Study – Subgroups

Bouadma et al, Lancet 2010

AntibioticDuration

Outcome

Page 81: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

PCT-guided AB-Therapy in Sepsis on the ICU

Nobre V et al, AJRCCM 07

6d 10d

Shorter Antibiotic Duration

Page 82: Kantonsspital Aarau Universitätsklinik der Medizinischen Fakultät Basel Die Rolle von Procalcitonin und anderen Biomarkern in der Sepsis ? Beat Müller,

As a clinician, I used to diagnose bacterial infections and prescribe antibiotics easily & accurately.

Now, after 20 yrs of research, I am no longer so ignorant.

2 Confessions

I received funding from vendors of biomarker assays.I never received funding from companies selling antibiotics.

So, yes, I might be biased.