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OCTOBER 09 Deposit Evaluation Techniques Keith Whitchurch, Pt SMG Consultants

Keith Whitchurch, Pt SMG Consultantssmgc.co.id/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/Company-Presentation-of... · Simple Example Deposit OB Depth 30m Coal Thickness 5m ... Lerch Grossman Pit

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Page 1: Keith Whitchurch, Pt SMG Consultantssmgc.co.id/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/Company-Presentation-of... · Simple Example Deposit OB Depth 30m Coal Thickness 5m ... Lerch Grossman Pit

OCTOBER 09

Deposit Evaluation Techniques

Keith Whitchurch, Pt SMG Consultants

Page 2: Keith Whitchurch, Pt SMG Consultantssmgc.co.id/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/Company-Presentation-of... · Simple Example Deposit OB Depth 30m Coal Thickness 5m ... Lerch Grossman Pit

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OCTOBER 09

What questions are being asked?

• What sort of deposits is it?

• Simple

• Complex

• Single seam

• Multi seam obvious base

• Multi seam no obvious base

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OCTOBER 09

What questions are being asked?

• How big is the reserve?

• How should it be mined?

• What order should it be mined in?

• HOW DO I MAKE THE MOST MONEY?

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OCTOBER 09

Deposit Evaluation Techniques

• Strip Ratio

• Cash Margin Ranking

• Lerch Grossman Pit Optimiser

• Next Generation Technologies

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OCTOBER 09

Simple Example Deposit

OB Depth 30m

Coal Thickness 5m

Coal Ash 2%

Coal Density 1.30 T/bcm

Coal Energy 5600Kcal

OB Depth 60m

Coal Thickness 5m

Coal Ash 2%

Coal Density 1.30 T/bcm

Coal Energy 5600kcal

OB Depth 30m

Coal Thickness 5m

Coal Ash 15%

Coal Density 1.40 T/bcm

Coal Energy 4600kcal

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OCTOBER 09

Strip Ratio

OB Depth 30m

Coal Thickness 5m

Coal Ash 2%

Coal Density 1.30 T/bcm

Strip Ratio = 30/(5*1.30)

= 4.6bcm/t

OB Depth 60m

Coal Thickness 5m

Coal Ash 2%

Coal Density 1.30 T/bcm

Strip Ratio = 60/(5*1.30)

= 9.2bcm/t

OB Depth 30m

Coal Thickness 5m

Coal Ash 15%

Coal Density 1.35 T/bcm

Strip Ratio = 30/(5*1.40)

= 4.3bcm/t

)_*_(

__

DensityCoalVolumeCoal

VolumeOverburdenRatioStrip

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OCTOBER 09

Strip Ratio

• Easy but very simplistic

• No Account of Coal Quality

• No account of costs

• No Account of Revenue

• Complex in multi Seam Steep Dip

• Difficult to account for Pit Batters

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OCTOBER 09

Cash Margin Ranking

• Cash Margin = Revenue - Costs

• Accounts for complexity of variables (e.g. additional trucks with depth; variations in quality)

• In our example

• Sale Value for 5600 kcal coal = $US16

• Sale Value for 4600 kcal Coal = $US10

• Waste Mining Cost $1.50/bcm

• Coal Mining including overheads $2.50/t

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OCTOBER 09

Simple Example Deposit

OB Depth 30m

Coal Thickness 5m

Coal Ash 2%

Coal Density 1.30 T/bcm

Coal Energy 5600Kcal

Sale Value = 5*1.30*16

= $104

Costs = 30 *1.50 + 5*1.30*2.50

= $61.25

Cash Margin = 104 – 61.25

= $42.75

OB Depth 60m

Coal Thickness 5m

Coal Ash 2%

Coal Density 1.30 T/bcm

Coal Energy 5600kcal

Sale Value = 5*1.30*16

= $104

Costs = 60 *1.50 + 5*1.30*2.50

= $106.25

Cash Margin = 104 – 106.25

= -$2.25

OB Depth 30m

Coal Thickness 5m

Coal Ash 10%

Coal Density 1.40 T/bcm

Coal Energy 4600kcal

Sale Value = 5*1.30*10

= $65

Costs = 30 *1.50 + 5*1.30*2.50

= $61.25

Cash Margin = 65 – 61.25

= $3.75

CostMiningWasteCostMiningCoaliceSaleCoalDensityCoalVolumeCoalinMCash ____Pr__*_*_arg_

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OCTOBER 09

Cash Margin Ranking

• Cash Margin = Revenue - Costs

• Accounts for

• Complexity of variables

• Variations in quality

• Variations in Costs

• What about complex analysis (base for multi-seam? ; limit of highwalls in steep dip?)

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OCTOBER 09

Lerch Grossman Pit Optimiser

• Algorithm created in the 1960s

• Common in Metals

• Used in Complex Coal – Indonesia

• KPC

• Adaro

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

• Fill deposit with valued 3D blocks.

• Costs vary with depth etc

• Revenue varies with grade & yield (recovery) etc

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

Simple geology one seam

Ore

Topography

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

Simple geology

Ore

Topography

Cost $3/block

Revenue $20/block

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OCTOBER 09

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$3 -$3 $17 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$3 -$3 -$3 $17 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 $17 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 $17 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 $17 -$3 -$3

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 $17 -$3

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 $17

Optimisation Theory

Waste mining cost = - $3 Block profit

Air blocks

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

Step 1: Sum the cells vertically

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

Maximum value vertical pit

Value = 14+11+8+5+2=$40

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

Bigger pit has less value

Value = 14+11+8+5+2-1=$39

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

Smaller pit has less value

Value = 14+11+8+5=$38

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

But pit is not vertical it is inclined.

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

Assume a 45o slope

Value is $-3+14+11-6-3=$13

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

Assume a 45o slope

Value is $-3 +14 –3 =$8

Page 23: Keith Whitchurch, Pt SMG Consultantssmgc.co.id/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/Company-Presentation-of... · Simple Example Deposit OB Depth 30m Coal Thickness 5m ... Lerch Grossman Pit

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

Assume a 45o slope

Value is $-3+14+11+8-9-6-3=$12

Page 24: Keith Whitchurch, Pt SMG Consultantssmgc.co.id/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/Company-Presentation-of... · Simple Example Deposit OB Depth 30m Coal Thickness 5m ... Lerch Grossman Pit

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

Optimum pit has maximum value

$12

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

$13

$8

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

$13

$8

Optimum pit has maximum value

A smaller pit is less profitable

A bigger pit is less profitable.

$12

$13

$8

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

$13

$8

Optimum pit is maximum

value pit

$12

$13

$8

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OCTOBER 09

Optimisation Theory

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

-$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3 -$3

-$6 -$6 $14 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6 -$6

-$9 -$9 $11 $11 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9 -$9

-$12 -$12 $8 $8 $8 -$12 -$12 -$12 -$12

-$15 -$15 $5 $5 $5 $5 -$15 -$15 -$15

-$18 -$18 $2 $2 $2 $2 $2 -$18 -$18

-$21 -$21 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$1 -$21

-$24 -$24 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4 -$4

$13

$8

Optimum pit is break even

at its limits

$12

$13

$8

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OCTOBER 09

One example

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OCTOBER 09

$4 sale price

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OCTOBER 09

$6 sale price

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OCTOBER 09

$8 sale price

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OCTOBER 09

$10 sale price

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OCTOBER 09

$12 sale price

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OCTOBER 09

$14 sale price

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OCTOBER 09

$16 sale price

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OCTOBER 09

$18 sale price

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OCTOBER 09

$20 sale price

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OCTOBER 09

$22 sale price

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OCTOBER 09

Sale price & strip ratio

Sale Price & strip ratio

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

$- $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00 $25.00

Sale Price

Str

ip R

ati

o

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OCTOBER 09

Sale price & pit size

Sale Price & pit Size

-

10,000,000

20,000,000

30,000,000

40,000,000

50,000,000

60,000,000

70,000,000

$4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 $16 $18 $20 $22

Sale price

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OCTOBER 09

Sale Price & pit Size

-

10,000,000

20,000,000

30,000,000

40,000,000

50,000,000

60,000,000

70,000,000

$4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 $16 $18 $20 $22

Sale price

$14

Understand geology

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OCTOBER 09

Sale Price & pit Size

-

10,000,000

20,000,000

30,000,000

40,000,000

50,000,000

60,000,000

70,000,000

$4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 $16 $18 $20 $22

Sale price

$14

$16

Understand geology

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OCTOBER 09

Pit Optimiser Block Ranking

C 5 -

C 6 -

L 6 -

U 7 -

C 7 -

C 8 -

L 8 -

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OCTOBER 09

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OCTOBER 09

Shortcoming of LG Optimiser

oCannot consider Blending

oCannot consider Time

oCannot consider practicalities and effects of spoil dumps

Next Generations Tools Exist to

This problem

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OCTOBER 09

Summary

oManual Method Essential first step – Really don’t answer the questions

oStrip ratio Simple , easy significant traps

oBlock Ranking Allows complex cost/revenue considerations – Difficult to handle complex geometry

oPit Optimisation Well proven tool for multi seam deposits – not a substitute but an aid for good

engineering

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OCTOBER 09

oThank You