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What is it?• Think tank• Doing policy analysis and
research• It is non partisan…no political
or any party affiliation• It is a membership
organization
Budget Information Programme Focuses on analysing the
national budget
Regulation programme Focuses on the legal framework
governing economic activity
Trade Information Programme Focuses on regional and
international trade relations
Futures Programme Focuses on Utilization of futures
methodologies for research and policy analysis
Kenya’s youth bulge 0-14 = 42% 15 – 35 = 38%
Characterized by a high proportion of children, a rapid rate of population growth and a low proportion of older people
This type of age structure + low levels of development implies 26% likelihood of experiencing civil conflict if youth are relatively well educated and unemployed
2007 = 3 million unemployed young people 2010 = 4.5 million!
• Inter-connection of systems, their interaction and causal relationships rather than as independent facets and snapshots that require independent strategies.
Mazingira Scenarios
Research Topics• Disaster management• Climate change and desertification• Wildlife• Energy• Forests and ecosystem• Agriculture and Industrialization• Water and sanitation• Pollution and waste management• Environmental planning & Governance• Social concerns (population, urbanization)
• Compile a fact book• Research• Scenarios Building• Policy Advocacy
FactsForestryForest cover < 3%Annual deforestation = 0.3%80% depend on wood fuel and charcoal for cookingHydrological cycle•Recycling rate = 0%•Renewable fresh water is 647m3
•Expected to fall to 235m3 in 2025Pollution •Doubled since 1980•Kenya’s suspended particulate matter is said to be 7 times that of StockholmWildlife •Decline due to loss of natural habitat•113 species are endangered
Current & Looming Crisis
Arable land Area per capita declined from0.23 ha in 1980 – 0.14 in 1998
Population will be 60 million by 2030