LES MÉTROPOLES EN EUROPE –quelles perspectives?

Les forces motrices dans les mega-régions

Quelques questions et réflexions

Jeremy SmithAdvocacy International Ltd

Diminishing economic fruit harvest?

2010 2011 20120

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

Some EU GDP projectionsfrom IMF WEO 2011

DEFRITEA

% a

nnua

l GDP

incr

ease

What future for EU bananas and grapes?

Oops, here’s the right one

Economies of Mega-regions

• What are the drivers of our economic activity and growth?

• Mainly Endogenous or Exogenous?• Supply-side or demand-side?

Impact of financial and economic crisis (1)

• EU and national austerity programmes• Combined effects• Impact of sovereign debt problems • Future of Euro

Impact of financial and economic crisis (2)

• Renationalisation?• Enhanced national government controls over

regional finances• Less autonomy for regional and local

governments?• More regulation of financial flows?

Demographic flows

• German and Italian population going down• French and British population going up

• What differential regional impacts?

Vers un Verdissement?

• Car-bon?• Car-mauvais?• Energie?• Green new deal?

The future of Europe’s mega-regions

Case 1

• Influencing the context for even faster flows in an ultra-globalised economy

The future of Europe’s mega-regions

Case 2

• Influencing and managing controlled flows in a more regulated semi-globalisation

The future of Europe’s mega-regions

Case 3

• Managing a return to European, national and local economies