Lesson 1 - The Nature and Theory of War (1430, 13 JUL 09)

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    The Nature and

    Theory of War

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    Resources

    Required Readings United States Marine Corps, Warfighting,

    Marine Corps Doctrinal Publication 1, (1997):

    Chapters 1-2.

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    Overview

    The Nature of War War Defined

    Friction

    Uncertainty

    Fluidity

    Disorder

    Complexity

    The Human Dimension

    Violence and Danger

    Physical, Moral and MentalForces

    The Evolution of Warfare

    The Science, Art, andDynamic of War

    The Theory of War War as an Act of Policy

    Means in War

    The Spectrum of Conflict

    Levels of War

    Initiative and Response

    Styles of Warfare

    Combat Power

    Speed and Focus

    Surprise and Boldness

    Centers of Gravity &Critical Vulnerabilities

    Creating and ExploitingOpportunity

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    Learning Objectives

    Know: the definition of war + describe its essential

    elements. and describe the characteristics of warfare (e.g.

    friction, uncertainty, fluidity, etc.). and describe the levels of warfare.

    Comprehend: the relationship between the science, art, and human

    dynamic of war. the relationship between politics, policy, and war.

    the relationship between the offense and defense. the differences between maneuver + attrition warfare. the relationship between centers of gravity and critical

    vulnerabilities.

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    The Nature of War

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    War Defined

    War is a violent clash of interests between or among

    organized groups characterized by the use of militaryforce. MCDP-1

    Essence of war

    Violent struggle b/n two hostile,independent, irreconcilable wills, each

    trying to impose itself on the other

    Clausewitzs Zweikampf(two-struggle)

    Object of war Impose our will on the EN

    Means to this end organized application or threat ofviolence my military force

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    Friction

    The force that makes the apparently easy so difficult.

    Clausewitz

    Conduct of war is anything but simple

    Complex, countless factors

    Elements

    Mental (e.g. indecision over choice of COA)

    Physical (e.g. effective EN fire)

    External (e.g. imposed by EN, terrain, WX, chance) Internal / Self-induced (e.g. complicated plans, no

    clearly defined goal, lack of coordination)

    How does a leader cope with friction?

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    Uncertainty

    Certainty in war is impossible All actions will be based on incomplete, inaccurate,

    even contradictory information At best, possibilities and probabilities

    Nonlinearity

    Causes and effects sometimes disproportionate Minor actions/incidents can have decisive effects

    Risk Common to action and inaction Risk gambling on success of

    single improbable event

    Chance Doesnt play favorites; threat andopportunity

    How does a

    leader cope withuncertainty?

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    Fluidity

    No episode can be viewed in isolation Each episode is shapedby past events and isshapingfuture events

    Continuous, fluctuating flow of activity

    Fleeting opportunities and unforeseen events

    Success depends on leaders ability to

    adapt and react quickly to constantly

    changing conditions

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    Disorder

    Plans will go awry, instructions will be unclear

    and misinterpreted, comms will fail

    Natural disorder creates conditions ripe for

    exploitation by an opportunistic will

    Cannot impose precise, positive control, only generalframework of order; influence general flow of action

    Todays battlefield is more disorderly

    Sophisticated weapons / C2 systems

    Greater dispersion of troops Front / Rear areas no longer distinct

    Disorder can be a weapon

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    Complexity

    Belligerents not a single, homogenous will, but acomplex system of many individual parts

    System Outlook War not governed by decisions of one indiv in one

    place, but from collective behavior of all parts of sys.

    responding to local conditions + incomplete info Military action is result of near countless independentbut interrelated actions simultaneously executed

    Commanders cannot control everything Efforts to exert complete control by a single decision

    maker are inconsistent with complex nature of war

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    The Human Dimension

    War = clash b/n opposing human wills Shaped by human nature: subject to its

    complexities, inconsistencies, peculiarities

    Human dimension infuses war withintangible moral factors (e.g. effects of

    fear, exhaustion, charisma, resolve) Human will, instilled thru leadership,

    is driving force of all action in war

    No degree of tech development or

    scientific calculation will diminishhuman dimension in war

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    Violence & Danger

    War is among the greatest horrors known to humanity;

    it should never be romanticized. MCDP 1

    Means in war: force (organized violence) Violence is an essential element

    Thru violence or credible threat

    we compel our EN to do our will

    Result: blood, destruction, suffering

    Fear Contributes to corrosion of will

    Courage is not the absence of fear, but the strength toovercome it

    How does a leader cope with fear?

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    Physical, Moral, Mental Forces

    Physical muscle Tangible; easy to quantify Equipment capabilities / limitations Objectives / terrain seized or lost Body counts, # of prisoners captured

    Moral heart Intangible; impossible to quantify National and military resolve, emotion,

    courage, fear, resolve, leadership, esprit, morale

    Mental mind Ability to grasp complex battlefield situations Ability to make effective estimates, devise tactics,

    strategies and develop plans

    Moral Mental

    Physical

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    The Evolution of Warfare

    the belligerent who first exploits a development in the

    art and science of war gains a significant advantage. MCDP 1

    Basic nature of war is constant, but means and

    methods evolve

    Most changes are gradual

    Occasionally a new technology or organizational

    development will dramatically upset the equilibrium

    (e.g. rifled bore, mass conscription, railroad)

    Advancements in tech. + org. drive adaptation in

    tactical, operational, strategic realm

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    The Science, Art, and Dynamic of War

    Science Application of empirical laws of nature Ballistics, mechanics and like disciplines

    Application of fires / Effects of weapons / Rates and methodsof movement and resupply

    Art Employment of creative or intuitive skills

    Creative application of military science

    Intuitive ability to grasp essence of a unique military situation

    Development of strategies, tactics, plans to fit given situation

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    The Science, Art, and Dynamic of War

    We thus conclude that the conduct of war is fundamentally a

    dynamic process of human competition requiring both theknowledge of science and the creativity of art but driven ultimately

    by the power of the human will. MCDP 1

    Human Dynamic War is a social phenomenon

    Competitive human interaction

    Human essentials (perseverance, boldness,esprit, fortitude) not explainable by art / sci.

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    The Theory of War

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    War as an Act of Policy

    War is an extension of both policy and politics with the

    addition of military force. MCDP 1 Politics

    Refers to distribution of power thru dynamic

    interaction, both cooperative and competitive Policy Refers to conscious objectives established within the

    political process

    Warmustserve policy When policy is extreme (e.g. regime change), fewer

    political restrictions on force When policy is limited (e.g. punitive raid), political

    considerations will restrict application of military force

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    War as an Act of Policy

    Two ways to use military force to imposewill on the EN:

    (1) Strategy of annihilation

    Make EN helpless to resist by physically

    destroying his military capabilities

    Incapacitate EN as a military threat

    (2) Strategy of erosion

    Convince EN that accepting terms will be less

    painful than continued resistance

    Military force to erode EN leaderships will

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    Means in War

    At highest levels, war involves use of allelements of power that a political group

    can bring to bear

    Diplomatic, informational, military, economic

    Military force cannot be considered in isolation

    from other elements

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    The Spectrum of Conflict

    MOOTW Deter war

    Resolve conflict

    Promote peace

    Support civilauthorities

    General War Large scale Regional Sustained combat

    b/n major powers

    MORE PROBABLE LESS PROBABLE

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    Levels of War

    Strategic Wars

    Supports national policy objectives Military strategy subordinate to National

    strategy

    Operational Campaigns

    Use of tactical results to achieve strategicobjectives Deciding when, where to engage EN or refuse

    battle

    Tactical Battles

    Art + science of winning engagements/battles Concepts / Methods used to accomplish

    particular mission Combat power to defeat EN in particular time

    and place (also TTPs)

    STRATEGIC

    OPERATIONAL

    TACTICAL

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    Levels of War

    Distinctions between levels rarely delineated

    Single commander may have responsibilities at more

    than one level

    Tactical actions may have direct strategic implications

    Compression one commander operating on 2or 3 levels simultaneously

    Nuclear war

    MOOTW

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    Initiative and Response

    Two fighters action vs. reaction

    Flux of war product of continuousinteraction b/n initiative + response

    Thru initiative we impose our will on EN

    Offense striking power Most obvious way to seize and maintain

    initiative: strike first, keep striking

    Defense resisting power Negative aim resisting ENs will

    More efficient (expends less energy)

    Not always assumed out of weakness

    Culminating point Offense cannot sustain itself indefinitely

    ATK can no longer be sustained; mustrevert to defense

    OFFENSE

    DEFENSE

    The defense is not asimple shield, but a

    shield made up of well-

    directed blows.

    -- Clausewitz

    No clear divisionbetween offense

    and defense

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    Styles of Warfare

    Attrition Warfare

    Goal: Victory through

    cumulative destruction ofENs material assets by

    superior firepower

    Maneuver Warfare

    Goal: Victory by

    incapacitating the ENsystem

    All warfare involves both maneuver + attrition in some mix.

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    Attrition Warfare

    Focus

    Force ratios, efficient application of fires + technical proficiency

    over creativity

    Desire for volume + accuracy of fire toward centralized control

    Success ability to inflict + absorb attrition

    Measures of Effectiveness (MOEs) Body counts, terrain seized, equipment destroyed

    EN viewed as collection of targets; attrition seeks EN

    strengths as targets

    Examples WWI, Western Front

    French ops against Germans in May 1940

    US ops in Korea after 1950

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    Maneuver Warfare

    Focus

    Circumvent problem and ATK from a position of advantagerather than meet EN head on

    Understanding of EN system, speed, surprise, creativity

    Firepower + attrition are essential elements of maneuverwarfare, but they are applied to DES EN system, not

    incrementally wear down EN force (attrition) MOEs

    Incapacitation of EN system

    Unlike attrition, success often disproportionate to effort made

    Maneuver seeks EN weakness as targets

    Examples German Blitzkrieg, 1939-40 (esp invasion of France)

    MacArthurs Inchon campaign, 1950

    Operation Desert Storm

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    Combat Power

    Combat Power: Total destructive force we can bring to bear

    on our enemy at a given time

    Situationally dependent; unique product of

    variety of physical, moral, mental factors Factors

    Tangible (e.g. superior #s)

    Intangible factors (morale,

    leadership, etc.)

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    Speed and Focus

    Speed Rapidity of action; applies to time + space Tempo = speed over time; consistent ability to

    operate quickly Relative speed more important than absolute speed

    Speed provides security, prerequisite for maneuverand surprise; speed is a weapon!

    Focus Generation of superior combat power at a particular

    time and place

    Convergence of effects in time and space on someobjective

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    Surprise and Boldness

    Surprise Strike EN at a time/place or in a manner for which he

    is unprepared; based on: Speed

    Stealth deny EN knowledge of impending action

    Ambiguity EN doesnt know what to expect

    Deception offers greatest effects, but most difficult to achieve

    Can be decisive, but risky to depend on it alone forthe margin of victory

    Boldness

    Characteristic of unhesitatingly exploiting the naturaluncertainty of war to pursue major results

    Based on strong SA

    Must be tempered with judgment

    Both surprise and boldness are

    sources of combat power.

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    Centers of Gravity, Critical Vulnerabilities

    Belligerents are a complex system of

    physical, moral + mental components

    Combination determines unique character

    Many sources of strength

    Many areas of weakness

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    Centers of Gravity

    CoGs: Most important sources of strength Few in number

    Capabilities (e.g. armored forces)

    Intangible (e.g. resolve, morale) Localities (e.g. critical piece of terrain)

    Relations in an alliance

    Which factors are critical to the EN? Which can the EN not do without? Which, if eliminated, will bend him most quickly to our will?

    Answer centers of gravity

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    Critical Vulnerabilities

    CVs: Most important weaknesses

    Few in number

    Pathways to attacking a CoG

    Where is the EN most vulnerable? Which vulnerabilities, if exploited, will do the most significant

    damage to the ENs ability to resist?

    Answer critical vulnerabilities

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    Creating and Exploiting Opportunity

    As opposing wills interact, various fleeting

    opportunities are created for both foes

    By exploiting opportunities, we create

    more opportunities for exploitation

    Willingness to ruthlessly exploit these

    opportunities often generates decisive results

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    Questions?