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Life Satisfaction in Past, Present, and FutureLife Satisfaction in Past, Present, and FutureQ1 - Q1 - Taking all things together, would you say you are…
Q2A -Q2A - Compared to a year ago, overall are things in your life much better now, somewhat better, about the same, somewhat worse or much worse?
Q2B -Q2B - What is your expectation for how things in your life will be overall in a year from now? Will they be much better, somewhat better, about the same, somewhat worse or much worse?
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,050 (1 year ago), Valid N = 2,064 (Today), Valid N = 2,029 (In a year from now) LY11q01_q02a_q02b.HCX
Base = All Respondents
3840
77
38
46
18
810
13 4
1
12
3
1 year ago Today In a year from now0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Much better/Very goodSomewhat better/Quite good
Somewhat worse/Quite badMuch worse/Very bad
About the same
%
Standard of Living in Present and FutureStandard of Living in Present and FutureQQ33A -A - How would you judge your household’s standard of living compared with other households in your community?
QQ3B3B - - What do you expect your household’s standard of living to be in 12 months time?
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,053 (Q3a), Valid N = 1,981 (Q3b)
LY11q03a_q03b.HCX
Base = All Respondents
10
6
16
5
59
21
11
29
5
39
Now In a year from now0
10
20
30
40
50
60
A lot below averageA bit below average
AverageA bit above average
A lot above average
%
Free Choice and Control over OneFree Choice and Control over One''s Lifes LifeQQ44 - - Some people feel they have completely free choice and control over their lives, while other people feel that
they have no real effect on what happens to them.
None at all Completely freechoice
%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,029
LY11q4.HCX
3 1 2
5
14
9
1214
10
31
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Base = All Respondents
Mean Score = 7.5 Std. Deviation = 2.4
Situation in Situation in LibyaLibya - Compared to - Compared to Before the RevolutionBefore the RevolutionQQ1212 - - Compared to our country as it was before the revolution in February of this year, are things in Libya overall
much better now, somewhat better, about the same, somewhat worse or much worse?
LY11q12.HCX
Much better now34%
Somewhat better41%
About the same13%
Somewhat worse8%
Much worse3%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012N = 2,043
Base = All Respondents
Situation in Situation in LibyaLibya - Expectation in One Year’s Time - Expectation in One Year’s TimeQQ13 - 13 - What is your expectation for how things will be for Libya as a country overall a year from now? Will they be
much better, somewhat better, about the same, somewhat worse or much worse?
LY11q13.HCX
Much better79%
Somewhat better18%
About the same3%
Somewhat worse1%
Much worse1%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012N = 2,039
Base = All Respondents
RevolutionRevolution in in LibyaLibya – – Right or Wrong?Right or Wrong?QQ15 - 15 - From today’s perspective and all things considered,
was it absolutely right, somewhat right, somewhat wrong or absolutely wrong that there was a revolution in Libya?
LY11q13.HCX
Absolutely right82%
Somewhat right15%
Somewhat wrong2%
Absolutely wrong2%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012N = 2,046
Base = All Respondents
Social TrustSocial TrustQQ99 - - Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be
trusted or that you have to be very careful in dealing with people?
Most people can be trusted18%
Very careful with people82%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,020
LY11q09.HCX
Base = All Respondents
Future Structure of Future Structure of LibyaLibya
QQ2222 - - Which structure should Libya have in future?
21%
65%
14%
1%
A centralised Libya - government and ministries in TripoliA centralised Libya - government in Tripoli and ministries in other citiesA group of regional states and federal government in TripoliDividing the country into separate independent states
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,987
LY11q22.HCX
Base = All Respondents
Spending Areas – 100 Million Dinars – Mean ScoresSpending Areas – 100 Million Dinars – Mean ScoresQQ1111 - - If you were the government of Libya and had 100 million Dinars to spend, how would you share it out between health care for the people, education, telephone technology for landline and mobiles, more trees, provision of water,
roads or electricity and public offices to govern this country?
Health care34
Education27
Provision of water, roads or electricity17
Telecommunication8
More trees8
Public offices7
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,932
LYq11.HCX
Base = All Respondents
Distribution of Oil MoneyDistribution of Oil Money
QQ2323 - - As you may know, Libya produces oil which it can sell abroad. Some regions have oil but others do not. How do you think the oil money should be distributed within Libya?
0%
5%
95%
The regions that have oil should keep all the money from oil sales for themselvesThe regions that have oil should keep some of the money and distribute the rest around all of LibyaAll the oil money should be equally distributed around all of Libya
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,035
LY11q23.HCX
Base = All Respondents
Importance of TribesImportance of TribesQ1Q199 - - How important or unimportant do you think tribes will be for the political future of the new Libya?
Very important33%
Quite important23%
Quite unimportant11%
Entirely unimportant34%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,996 LY11q19.HCX
Base = All Respondents
Interest in PoliticsInterest in PoliticsQ1Q166 - - How interested would you say you are in politics?
Very interested35%
Somewhat interested41%
Not very interested16%
Not at all interested8%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,058
LY11q16.HCX
Base = All Respondents
Changes in Changes in Interest in PoliticsInterest in PoliticsQ1Q177 - - Over the past 12 months, would you say your interest in political matters has increased, stayed the same or
decreased?
Has increased79%
Stayed the same17%
Has decreased4%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,006
LY11q17.HCX
Base = All Respondents
Involvement in the Political ProcessInvolvement in the Political ProcessQ1Q188 - - I'm going to read out some different forms of political action that people can take, and I'd like you to tell me, for
each one, whether you have actually done any of these things, whether you might do it or would never, under any circumstances, do it.
LY11q18.HCX
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = Variable (1,939 to 2,024)
Base = All Respondents
%0 20 40 60 80 100
Talking politics with others
Demonstrating
Using violence or force
Joining a political party or citizens' action group
Voting
83
31
7
3
2
6
31
16
42
83
10
38
78
55
15
Have done Might do Would never do
Role of Political MovementsRole of Political MovementsQQ2020 - - There are different political movements in Libya. Of the following movements which do you believe should play a
role in the political future of Libya and which ones should not.
LY11q20.HCXNational Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = Variable (1,936 to 1,967)
Base = All Respondents
%0 20 40 60 80 100
Democratic Patriotic Stream
17th February Alliance
National Front for the Salvation of Libya (NFSL)
Libyan Revolutionary Union (ATHALL)
Muslim Brotherhood
9
12
18
24
57
27
66
51
58
27
64
23
31
18
16
Should not pay a role Should pay a role I have not heard of this movement
People and Organisations – AwarenessPeople and Organisations – AwarenessQQ21A21A - - I am going to read a number of people and organisations. For each one, could you please tell me if you have
heard of them or not?
%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,087 LY11q21a.HCX
Base = All RespondentsMultiple Response Set
99
98
94
93
91
90
89
89
86
84
69
67
66
62
0 20 40 60 80 100
The NTC
NATO
The new interim government
The Revolutionary Army
The Imams in the mosques
The United Nations
TV that broadcasts for Libya
Libyan politicians who came from abroad
The press
The European Union (EU)
Ministries in Tripoli
Local leaders in your community\tribe
The police in your area
Political parties
People andPeople and Organisations Organisations – Trust – TrustQ2Q21B1B - - How much confidence do you have in [organisation]: is it a great deal of confidence, quite a lot of confidence,
not very much confidence or none at all?
LYq21b.HCX
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = Variable (1,156 to 2,010)
Base = Respondents who have heard of people/organisation
%0 20 40 60 80 100
The NTC
The Imams in the mosques
The Revolutionary Army
The new interim government
The police in your area
TV that broadcasts for Libya
NATO
Local leaders in your community\tribe
Ministries in Tripoli
Libyan politicians who came from abroad
The press
The United Nations
The European Union (EU)
Political parties
53
40
37
35
29
27
27
26
22
19
17
14
10
5
28
32
31
36
35
35
26
36
36
30
33
29
29
22
16
25
25
24
30
33
28
30
36
38
42
39
42
49
4
4
7
4
7
5
20
8
6
13
8
18
19
24
A great deal Quite a lot Not very much None at all
People andPeople and Organisations Organisations – Trust – Trust- - Mean Scores Mean Scores - -
Q2Q21B1B - - How much confidence do you have in [organisation]: is it a great deal of confidence, quite a lot of confidence, not very much confidence or none at all?
LY11q21b_ms.HCX
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = Variable (1,156 to 2,010) Base = All Respondents
A Great Deal(+1.5)
None at all(-1.5)
Mean Scores(In brackets = Std. Deviation)
-1 -0,8 -0,6 -0,4 -0,2 0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1
The NTC
The Imams in the mosques
The new interim government
The Revolutionary Army
The police in your area
TV that broadcasts for Libya
Local leaders in your community\tribe
Ministries in Tripoli
NATO
The press
Libyan politicians who came from abroad
The United Nations
The European Union (EU)
Political parties
0,79
0,576
0,529
0,49
0,341
0,337
0,294
0,243
0,088
0,082
0,044
-0,112
-0,196
-0,413
(.87)
(.89)
(.88)
(.92)
(.94)
(.89)
(.87)
(1.08)
(.92)
(.87)
(.94)
(.94)
(.89)
(.82)
Religion and PoliticsReligion and PoliticsQQ2727 - - How would you place your views on this scale? ‘1’ means you “agree completely” with the statement on the left;
‘10’ means you “agree completely” with the statement on the right; and if your views fall somewhere in between, you can choose any number in between.
A new Libyan governmentwhich follows the idea that
religion and politics aremuch the same thing
A new Libyan governmentwhich follows the idea that
there is a distinction betweenpolitics and religion
%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,990
LY11q27.HCX
49
64 4
7
2 23 3
21
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100
10
20
30
40
50
Base = All Respondents
Mean Score = 4.1 Std. Deviation = 3.7
Decision MakingDecision MakingQQ3434 - - Libya is at an important point in its history. Do you think that …
69%
31%
Ordinary citizens should have a say in how the country will developThe leaders of this country should decide a way ahead
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,026
LY11q34HCX
Base = All Respondents
Influence on Political Decisions by Ordinary CitizensInfluence on Political Decisions by Ordinary CitizensQQ3535 - - In the current circumstances, do you think there is scope for ordinary citizens like yourself to influence
political decisions in your local area or at the national level?
Yes, at the national level13%
Yes, at the local level18%
Yes, both at national and local levels62%
No, not really8%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,354 LY11q35HCX
Base = Respondents who answered "Ordinary citizens should have a say in how the country will develop" in Q34
Type of Government – NowType of Government – NowQQ31A31A - - People have different ideas about what Libya needs at this time. How about you? How much do you agree or
disagree with the following statements?
LYq31a.HCX
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = Variable (1,799 to 1,982)
Base = All Respondents
%0 20 40 60 80 100
The NTC
A (single) strong Libyan leader
A government made up of experts and\or managers
A Libyan-style democracy
A group of strong Libyan leaders
A Western-style democracy
A government made up mainly of religious leaders
A government made up mainly of Libyan military leaders
60
54
48
45
39
25
23
20
26
16
27
28
28
23
29
27
9
14
17
17
21
31
30
31
5
15
7
10
12
21
18
23
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree
Type of Government – NowType of Government – Now- - Mean Scores Mean Scores - -
QQ31A31A - - People have different ideas about what Libya needs at this time. How about you? How much do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
LY11q31a_ms.HCX
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = Variable (1,799 to 1,982) Base = All Respondents
Stronglyagree(+1.5)
Strongly disagree
(-1.5)
Mean Scores(In brackets = Std. Deviation)
-1 -0,8 -0,6 -0,4 -0,2 0 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1
The NTC
A government made up of experts and\or managers
A (single) strong Libyan leader
A Libyan-style democracy
A group of strong Libyan leaders
A government made up mainly of religious leaders
A Western-style democracy
A government made up mainly of Libyan military leaders
0,91
0,66
0,59
0,58
0,44
0,06
0,02
-0,07
(.85)
(1.14)
(.96)
(1.01)
(1.03)
(1.04)
(1.09)
(1.05)
Type of Government – In the FutureType of Government – In the FutureQQ31B31B - - What do you think Libya needs in 12 months time? QQ31C31C - - What do you think Libya needs in five years time?
29
21
17
13
9
6
4
2
25
23
5
10
17
12
5
3
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
A (single) strong Libyan leader
A government made up of experts and/or managers
The NTC
A group of strong Libyan leaders
A Libyan-style democracy
A Western-style democracy
A government made up mainly of religious leaders
A government made up mainly of Libyan military leaders
In 12 months time In 5 years time
%
Base = All respondentsLY11q31b_q31c.HCX
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,906 (Q31B), Valid N=1,807 (Q31C)
Priorities in the Next 12 MonthsPriorities in the Next 12 MonthsQQ32A32A - - I am going to read some ideas about priorities for the next 12 months.
Please tell me which one is your first priority, your second priority and your third priority.
%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,017 (1st), N = 2,014 (2nd), N = 1,991 (3rd) LY11q32A.HCX
(Total)
Base = All Respondents
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Fighting crime, disorder
Rebuilding infrastructure
Create jobs
Rebuilding education system
Ensuring that people make a decent living
Insist on rule of law for all
Increase national income from oil
Holding a national election
Encouraging people to work harder
Improving efficiency of government and bureaucracy
Making sure we live peacefully with our neighbours
Dealing with members of previous government
51
9
8
6
6
6
5
5
2
1
2
1
11
15
17
11
11
9
14
4
3
3
2
1
8
15
14
14
12
11
7
6
4
3
3
1
First prioritySecond priorityThird priority
(25.5)
(39.6)
(14.6)
(28.2)
(30.5)
(39.3)
(69.8)
(25.5)
(8.6)
(7.9)
(6.4)
(2.5)
Priorities in the Next 12 Months – No Priority at AllPriorities in the Next 12 Months – No Priority at AllQQ3232B -B - Also, please tell me which one you think is no priority at all.
%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,681
LY11q32b.HCX
Base = All Respondents
75
8
4
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Dealing with members of previous government
Making sure we live peacefully with our neighbours
Encouraging people to work harder
Holding a national election
Increase national income from oil
Improving efficiency of government and bureaucracy
Rebuilding infrastructure
Fighting crime, disorder
Create jobs
Ensuring that people make a decent living
Rebuilding education system
Insist on rule of law for all
Supporters and Members of the Previous RegimeSupporters and Members of the Previous RegimeQQ33A33A - - For Supporters but not members of the previous regime, please tell me if you think they could be
welcomed back into the society of the new Libya, or not?QQ33B33B - - For actual members of the previous regime, please tell me if you think they could be
welcomed back into the society of the new Libya, or not?
51
14
7
6
5
6
11
69
5
3
3
2
12
6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
They need to go to a fair trial in a court of law
They should apologise for what they have done
Nothing needs to happen
Libya needs a stable government before
More time will have to pass
They can never be welcomed into Libyan society again
They always have been and always will be part of Libyan society
Supporters Members
%
Base = All respondentsLY11q33.HCX
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,006 (Q33A), Valid N=1,999 (Q33B)
Learning about PoliticsLearning about PoliticsQQ3636 - - In the current circumstances, do you think there is scope for ordinary citizens like yourself to influence
political decisions in your local area or at the national level?
79
15
2
1
1
0
0
3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
TV
Talking with other people
Radio
Through the Imams in the mosques
Through local leaders such as Sheikhs
Newspapers and magazines
Through political parties / organisations
I feel there is no need to learn about politics
%
Base = All respondentsLY11q36.HCX
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,033
Libya Needs in 12 Months TimeLibya Needs in 12 Months TimeA Strong Libyan Leader/Group of Strong Libyan LeadersA Strong Libyan Leader/Group of Strong Libyan Leaders
Exploratory Model – Logistic Regression; 1 = A strong leader/Group of strong leaders, 0 = OtherExploratory Model – Logistic Regression; 1 = A strong leader/Group of strong leaders, 0 = Other
StrongLeader(s)
CrimeFighting crime compared
to Other
ß Scores, Standard Error in Brackets (α=-0.50 [0.18])National Survey of Libya 2011-2012N=2,087
Age45+ compared
to 15-24
TVLearn about Politics
TV compared to Other
GenderFemale compared
to Male Age25-44 compared
to 15-24
HH IncomeHigh compared
to Low
HH IncomeMiddle compared
to Low
EducationHigh compared
to Low
EducationMiddle compared
to Low
+0.37 (0.10)
-0.49 (0.15)
Libya Needs in 5 Years TimeLibya Needs in 5 Years TimeA Strong Libyan Leader/Group of Strong Libyan LeadersA Strong Libyan Leader/Group of Strong Libyan Leaders
Exploratory Model – Logistic Regression; 1 = A strong leader/Group of strong leaders, 0 = OtherExploratory Model – Logistic Regression; 1 = A strong leader/Group of strong leaders, 0 = Other
StrongLeader(s)
CrimeFighting crime compared
to Other
ß Scores, Standard Error in Brackets (α=-0.81 [0.19])National Survey of Libya 2011-2012N=2,087
Age45+ compared
to 15-24
TVLearn about Politics
TV compared to Other
GenderFemale compared
to Male Age25-44 compared
to 15-24
HH IncomeHigh compared
to Low
HH IncomeMiddle compared
to Low
EducationHigh compared
to Low
EducationMiddle compared
to Low
+0.36 (0.10)
-0.42 (0.14)
Libya Needs in 12 Months TimeLibya Needs in 12 Months TimeA Western-Style or Libyan-Style DemocracyA Western-Style or Libyan-Style Democracy
Exploratory Model – Logistic Regression; 1 = A strong leader/Group of strong leaders, 0 = OtherExploratory Model – Logistic Regression; 1 = A strong leader/Group of strong leaders, 0 = Other
DemocracyCrime
Fighting crime comparedto Other
ß Scores, Standard Error in Brackets (α=-2.28 [0.28])National Survey of Libya 2011-2012N=2,087
Age45+ compared
to 15-24
TVLearn about Politics
TV compared to Other
GenderFemale compared
to Male Age25-44 compared
to 15-24
HH IncomeHigh compared
to Low
HH IncomeMiddle compared
to Low
EducationHigh compared
to Low
EducationMiddle compared
to Low
-0.57 (0.15)
+0.51 (0.19)
Libya Needs in 5 Years TimeLibya Needs in 5 Years TimeA Western-Style or Libyan-Style DemocracyA Western-Style or Libyan-Style Democracy
Exploratory Model – Logistic Regression; 1 = A strong leader/Group of strong leaders, 0 = OtherExploratory Model – Logistic Regression; 1 = A strong leader/Group of strong leaders, 0 = Other
DemocracyCrime
Fighting crime comparedto Other
ß Scores, Standard Error in Brackets (α=-1.82 [0.22])National Survey of Libya 2011-2012N=2,087
Age45+ compared
to 15-24
TVLearn about Politics
TV compared to Other
GenderFemale compared
to Male Age25-44 compared
to 15-24
HH IncomeHigh compared
to Low
HH IncomeMiddle compared
to Low
EducationHigh compared
to Low
EducationMiddle compared
to Low
-0.58 (0.12)
+0.79 (0.15)
+0.55 (0.16)
+0.54 (0.15)
+0.27 (0.12)
Model for Libya – Top TenModel for Libya – Top TenQQ2525 - - Considering everything, which country could serve as a model for Libya in the coming years?
Base = All RespondentsLY11q25.HCX
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,018
21,8
8,6
4,6
4,1
3,3
3,2
3,1
3,0
3,0
1,8
5,6
37,7
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
UAE
Qatar
United States
Saudi Arabia
Britain
France
Turkey
Switzerland
Malaysia
Germany
Other
Libya needs no model
%
Who Should Influence?Who Should Influence?QQ26A26A - - Which of the following countries and organisations should have most influence on the future of Libya, which
one is second and which one is third?
%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 2,018 (Most influence), N = 403 (2nd), N = 384 (3rd) LY11q26a.HCX
Base = All Respondents
(Total)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
France
United States
Qatar
Britain
Arab League
NATO
Germany
Italy
United Nations
Tunisia
Egypt
African Union
Algeria
No influence, people in Libya will decide 80
Most influence2nd3rd
(14)
(6)
(4)
(3)
(4)
(10)
(10)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(1)
(0)
(In brackets = Total)
No Influence at All No Influence at All QQ2626B -B - Also, please tell me which one you think should have no influence at all.
%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 381
LY11q26b.HCX
Base = Respondents who mentioneda country/organisation in Q26A
42
26
10
6
5
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Algeria
African Union
United States
Egypt
NATO
Tunisia
Qatar
Germany
France
Arab League
Britain
Italy
United Nations
Ousting the Old Regime from Power – ContributionOusting the Old Regime from Power – ContributionQQ28A28A - - Please rank the following countries according to their contribution in helping to oust the old regime from power.
%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,998 (Most influence), N = 1,995 (2nd), N = 1,967 (3rd)
LY11q28a.HCX
Base = All Respondents
(Total)
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Qatar
France
United States of America
Britain
Russia
Tunisia
Egypt
Italy
Germany
Algeria
Other
42
39
7
5
5
2
0
19
40
13
16
2
5
2
2
14
10
25
29
2
7
3
6
1
Choice 1Choice 2Choice 3
(14)
(49)
(45)
(9)
(15)
(74)
(89)
(8)
(6)
(2)
(1)
(1)
Ousting the Old Regime from Power – Least HelpfulOusting the Old Regime from Power – Least HelpfulQQ2828B -B - Also, please tell me which country was least helpful in ousting the old regime from power.
%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,859
LY11q28b.HCX
Base = All Respondents
60
14
6
6
5
2
2
2
2
1
1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Algeria
Russia
China
Niger
Chad
Egypt
Germany
Tunisia
Italy
United States of America
Other
Role of Germany in the Libyan RevolutionRole of Germany in the Libyan RevolutionQQ2929 - - Which was the role of Germany in the Libyan Revolution? Germany was …
32%
38%
15%
14%
part of the NATO campaign and is supporting the new Libyapart of the NATO campaign but is not supporting the new Libyanot part of the NATO campaign but is supporting the new Libyaneither part of the NATO campaign nor supporting the new Libya
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012Valid N = 1,525
LY11q29.HCX
Base = All Respondents
View of GermanyView of GermanyQQ3030 - - Has your view of Germany changed compared with the time before the Libyan Revolution?
LY11q30.HCX
Yes, it has improved39%
Yes, it has worsened10%
No, it has remained the same51%
National Survey of Libya 2011-2012N = 1,624
Base = All Respondents