Manpower Employment Outlook Survey: United States - Q2, 2003

8/9/2019 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey: United States - Q2, 2003

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MANPOWER INC.

EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK SURVEY

SECOND QUARTER 2003


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MODEST INCREASE IN HIRINGACTIVITY OVER PREVIOUS YEAR

While many of the sectors showmoderately lower expectations

than those issued three months

ago, seven out of 10 sectors

indicate that hiring activity will

be higher than intentions voiced

for the second quarter of 2002.

However, eight of the categories

envision softer staffing scenes

than were projected three

months ago. Mining andConstruction are the only cate-

gories that foresee increases

over both last year and last

quarter. The healthiest increase

in hiring from the previous year

is foreseen in the key Durable

Goods Manufacturing sector.

Non-Durable Goods Manufac-

turers and Services employers

anticipate fair increases instaffing activity this quarter

compared to a year ago.

Minimal increases from the

previous year are forecast in

Wholesale & Retail Trades and

Finance, Insurance & Real

Estate. Lower expectations

from the previous year are

voiced in Transportation &

Public Utilities, Education andPublic Administration.

PUBLIC ADMINISTRATIONSERVICES

FINANCE, INSURANCE & REAL ESTATE EDUCATION - PUBLIC & PRIVATE

WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADESTRANSPORTATION & PUBLIC UTILITIES

MANUFACTURING - NON-DURABLE GOODSMANUFACTURING - DURABLE GOODS

MINING CONSTRUCTION

THE OUTLOOK BY INDUSTRY 1988-2003

NET HIRING STRENGTH, SEASONALLY ADJUSTEDNET HIRING STRENGTH, UNADJUSTED


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CONNECTICUTMAINEMASSACHUSETTSNEW HAMPSHIRENEW JERSEYNEW YORKPENNSYLVANIARHODE ISLANDVERMONT

THE NORTHEAST OUTLOOK 1988-2003

Employers in the Northeast foresee

modest job growth for the years second

quarter. The picture is slightly brighter

than the outlook issued last year at thistime, but not as vigorous as three months

ago. The most active hiring plans are

voiced by the Construction industry, while

Durable Goods Manufacturers foresee

marked improvement over the plans

reported last year. Projections in

Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing are

slightly better than those voiced 12

months ago, but down moderately from

the first quarter. Transportation & PublicUtilities firms anticipate the most negative

conditions in seven years. The second

quarter outlook in Public Administration

is the softest in 11 years, although

prospects are brighter than they were

three months ago. Education employers

report the lowest reading since 1997.

Hiring in Wholesale & Retail Trades is

expected to match last years forecast,

but is off from last quarter.

NET HIRING STRENGTH, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

NET HIRING STRENGTH, UNADJUSTED

NORTHEASTBY INDUSTRY CATEGORY% % no % % dont net % seasonally

INDUSTRY CATEGORIESincrease change decrease know +/- adjusted

MINING 25 75 0 0 25 23

CONSTRUCTION 29 56 9 6 20 14

MFG.DURABLE GOODS 21 64 10 5 11 9

MFG.NON-DURABLE GOODS 22 61 11 6 11 9

TRANS. & PUBLIC UTILITIES 14 66 13 7 1 1

WHOLESALE & RETAIL TRADES 25 56 14 5 11 14

FINANCE, INS. & REAL ESTATE 18 65 11 6 7 4

EDUCATION - PUBLIC & PRIVATE 8 82 7 3 1 4

SERVICES 23 66 6 5 17 14

PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION 14 64 16 6 -2 -4

ALL INDUSTRIES 21 63 11 5 10 9

net % +/-


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ILLINOISINDIANAIOWAKANSASMICHIGANMINNESOTAMISSOURI

NEBRASKANORTH DAKOTAOHIOSOUTH DAKOTAWISCONSIN

THE MIDWEST OUTLOOK 1988-2003

The Midwest anticipates a slight decline

in hiring since last quarter, but expecta-

tions are edging up from 12 months ago.

While Durable Goods Manufacturersforesee a moderate increase in job

openings compared to last year, this is

the only region to register a cutback from

last quarter. Services employers in the

Midwest are the only ones that did not

improve their outlook from last year.

This area of the country is also the only

region not to show an improvement in

Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing.

A slight increase is anticipated in PublicAdministration. In the Wholesale & Retail

Trades sector, prospects rose slightly

over last year, but registered the greatest

decline from last quarter of all the regions.

Conversely, the Midwest is the only part

of the country to forecast an increase in

job opportunities in Education over the

second quarter of 2002. Construction

fell slightly from last quarter, but a modest

increase in prospects from last yearis reported.



MIDWESTBY INDUSTRY CATEGORY% % no % % dont net % seasonally

INDUSTRY CATEGORIESincrease change decrease know +/- adjusted

MINING 14 57 29 0 -15 -21








SERVICES 22 66 7 5 15 12

PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION 22 65 9 4 13 5


net % +/-


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MARYLANDMISSISSIPPINORTH CAROLINAOKLAHOMASOUTH CAROLINA

TENNESSEETEXAS

VIRGINIAWEST VIRGINIA

THE SOUTHERN OUTLOOK 1988-2003

While expectations here are lower than

three months ago, the South shows the

greatest improvement in hiring prospects

of all regions over a year ago. Both thekey Durable Goods and Non-Durable

Goods Manufacturing industries antici-

pate more activity than they did last year.

Also painting the most optimistic pictures

in the country are the Finance, Insurance

& Real Estate, Wholesale & Retail Trades

and Services sectors. But Transportation

& Public Utilities employers foresee the

weakest job market in seven years. The

outlook remains steady in Constructionand Education compared to last year

and slightly better than three months ago.

On the other hand, prospects in Public

Administration remain the same as three

months ago, but less than a year ago.

A modest decrease in hiring is foreseen

in Mining since last quarter, but expecta-

tions are brighter than they were last year.



SOUTH

ALABAMAARKANSASDELAWAREDISTRICT

OF COLUMBIAFLORIDAGEORGIA

KENTUCKYLOUISIANA

BY INDUSTRY CATEGORY

% % no % % dont net % seasonallyINDUSTRY CATEGORIES

increase change decrease know +/- adjusted

MINING 15 67 10 8 5 5








SERVICES 25 63 5 7 20 17



net % +/-


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ALASKAARIZONACALIFORNIACOLORADOHAWAIIIDAHOMONTANANEVADANEW MEXICOOREGONUTAHWASHINGTONWYOMING

THE WESTERN OUTLOOK 1988-2003

Overall prospects in the West have

declined compared to last quarter,

but represent a modest upturn from

last year. Non-Durable Goods Manufac-turers have issued the countrys most

optimistic plans, with a moderate

increase anticipated over last year.

Durable Goods Manufacturers predict

a substantial increase compared to last

year and a modest one from last quarter.

Transportation & Public Utilities

employers in this region are the only

ones in the country to forecast more

opportunities than last year. However,prospects were stronger three months

ago. The greatest declines among all

the regions are expected in the West

in Finance, Insurance & Real Estate,

Education and Public Administration.

Small increases in hiring activity for the

April through June period are anticipated

in Construction and Services.



WESTBY INDUSTRY CATEGORY% % no % % dont net % seasonally

INDUSTRY CATEGORIES increase change decrease know +/- adjusted

MINING 28 60 6 6 22 21








SERVICES 28 55 8 9 20 18



net % +/-


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INTERNATIONAL HEADQUARTERS

5301 North Ironwood Road

Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53217

www.us.manpower.com

The quarterly Employment Outlook

Survey has been conducted as a

public service of Manpower Inc. for

27 years. The survey was designed

and is administered by Manpowers

Market Research and Analysis

Department, utilizing a statistically

representative sample of nearly 16,000

public and private employers from

among ten industrial sectors in 468

U.S. markets.

The second quarter 2003 survey

is a measurement of employment

plans for the permanent workforce.

The survey results reflect the intentions

of the sample employers interviewed.

Some of these intentions may change

unexpectedly upon the conclusion of

this survey.

Copyright. Manpower Inc. 2003. All rights reserved.

Documents

Manpower Employment Outlook Survey: United States - Q2, 2003