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Presented by:
John Bai, CFA
SVP & Chief Investment Officer
Yufei Man, CFA, CAIA
Director, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy
October 26, 2020
Market Update & Outlook
NEI INVESTMENTS » 2
NEI is committed to responsible investing
Long-standing 30-year history of being Canada’s leader in responsible investing
As Ethical Funds
As NEI
Ethical Funds
merges with NW
Funds to form NEI
NEI launches
Canada’s first fossil
fuel free, resource
optimization fund
NEI decides to
apply RI strategies
across entire fund
lineup
NEI becomes part of
Aviso Wealth Group
of Companies
OceanRock
Investments merges
with NEI to create
Canada’s largest ever
RI provider
The decade
of impact
Ethical Funds –
forerunner to NEI
– launches first RI
fund in Canada
Founding member
Social Investment
Organization
(now RIA)
Product lineup
expanded to five
RI funds
First to disclose
Proxy Voting
Guidelines
Launched
shareholder action
program
Joined UN PRI
in its first year
Founding Member
of the Carbon
Disclosure Project
NEI INVESTMENTS » 3
Vertically integrated, market-leading solutions in each line of business:
• wealth management – Credential
• asset management – NEI Investments
• digital wealth – Qtrade Investor and VirtualWealth
• correspondent & institutional – Aviso Correspondent Partners
$60+ billionCombined assets
300+Financial institution partners
30+ yearsWealth management experience
The strength of one of Canada’s largest
independent wealth management firms
NEI INVESTMENTS » 4
Global, open-ended partnership structure
• Access to unique mandates,
exceptional talent and powerful
alliances that can amplify our
impact as responsible investors
• Flexibility to make changes
and innovate
18external investment
managers
$7+ trillion of AUM
100+ offices worldwide
NEI INVESTMENTS » 5
1,500
1,700
1,900
2,100
2,300
2,500
2,700
2019-Dec 2020-Jan 2020-Feb 2020-Mar 2020-Apr 2020-May 2020-Jun 2020-Jul 2020-Aug 2020-Sep
Global Stocks
Stocks surpass pre-COVID levels
Source: Bloomberg. As of October 22, 2020. Global stocks represented by the MSCI World Index.
February 19:
Previous all-time high
March 23: market bottomed
September 2:
New all-time high
NEI INVESTMENTS » 6
Long-run bull and bear market cycles
Bull and bear markets since 1960 (S&P 500)
Source: Morningstar Direct. As of September 30, 2020.
NEI INVESTMENTS » 7
NEI’s investment outlook
Short-term (<12 months):
1. Rise/second wave in virus cases will lead to regional lockdowns which will delay economic
recovery. Lack of further U.S. fiscal support also likely to weaken demand and weigh on labour
market. Both factors likely to drive volatility in the near-term.
2. November U.S. elections.
Long-term (1-3 years):
1. Ultra accommodative monetary policy continue to be supportive of risk assets such as equities
and credit.
2. Long-term government bond yields could tick higher on expectations of further fiscal measures,
but likely to remain suppressed on a secular basis.
3. Don’t be surprised if inflation surprises.
NEI INVESTMENTS » 8
US elections
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
Jun 01 Jun 15 Jun 29 Jul 13 Jul 27 Aug 10 Aug 24 Sep 07 Sep 21 Oct 05 Oct 19
Trump Biden
PredictIt.com
Source: Bloomberg. As of October 22, 2020.
NEI INVESTMENTS » 9
World GDP growth projections
World Real GDP (Year-over-Year Growth %)(Grey bars = actual, blue bars = forecast)
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Projections. As of October 2020.
3.5% 3.6% 3.5% 3.4%3.9%
3.6%
2.8%
-4.4%
5.2%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
NEI INVESTMENTS » 10
Bond yields to remain supressed
10 Year Government of Canada Bond Yield
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2020. Bond yield = yield-to-maturity.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
NEI INVESTMENTS » 11
Shift from monetary to fiscal policy
• For most developed
economies, post-pandemic
spending far exceeds their
post-GFC fiscal response
• With nearly all major central
banks anchoring rates near-
zero and pursuing ultra-
accommodative monetary
policy, fiscal policy will be the
primary economic driver
going forward
Source: BCA Research. Data as of September 30, 2020.
NEI INVESTMENTS » 12
Fiscal shift creates once-in-a-generation
transition opportunity: “Green New Deal”
• “Green New Deal” roots go back to social and economic reforms and public works
projects following the 1930’s Great Depression
• Canada: fall fiscal update to focus on a “strong, inclusive, and green recovery”
• US: Green New Deal gaining strong traction since 2018 but ultimately hinges on 2020
election outcomes; many objectives part of Biden’s “Build Back Better” agenda
• Eurozone: “Green New Deal for Europe” key component of €750 billion European
recovery fund and €1 trillion multiannual budget
• UK: proposed “Green Recovery Act” with recommendations from European Green Deal
• China: aims to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060 with ¥3.4 trillion yuan for New
Infrastructure
WELCOME TO THE ‘DECADE OF IMPACT’
IS IT POSSIBLE FOR AN OIL & GAS COMPANY TO BELIEVE IN CLIMATE CHANGE?
Why NEI Now?
NEI INVESTMENTS » 16
SMART Transition to the Digital Economy From physical to digital world
CLEAN Transition to the Sustainable Economy From high carbon to low carbon world
RESILIENT Transition to a Durable EconomyFrom vulnerabilities to ability to withstand increased exogenous shocks
FAIR Transition to an Inclusive EconomyFrom inequalities to a better distribution of wealth
WE ARE UNDERGOING 4 TRANSITIONS.THE FUTURE IS…
MAJOR ACTORS ACROSS THE INVESTMENT SPECTRUMARE RESPONDING
Source: Network for Greening the Financial System.
CENTRAL BANKERS ARE RESPONDING
66 Central bank
Over 60 central banks and
regulators plus 13 observers
have formed Central Banks and
Supervisors’ Network for
Greening the Financial System,
defining best practices in
climate risk management.
Source: UN PRI regulation map.
REGULATORS ARE RESPONDING
730 Policy revisions
There have been over 730 hard
and soft policy revisions across
some 500 policy instruments in
the largest 50 economies in the
world, which support investors
to consider long-term value
drivers, including ESG factors.
Source: UN PRI membership.
ASSET MANAGERS ARE RESPONDING
US$100 Trillion
There are now more than 3,100
UN PRI signatories, with over
US$100 trillion in AUM.
Signatories are required to
report on their responsible
investment activities. NEI has
been a Canadian RI leader from
the beginning.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
PRI signatories within Canada (cumulative count)
Source:The Business Roundtable Statement on the Purpose of a Corporation; Image: New York Times
CORPORATIONS ARE RESPONDING
181 CEOs
The Business Roundtable,
comprised of 181 CEOs of large
U.S. companies, declared that
the purpose of a corporation is
not just to serve shareholders
(their official position since
1997), but “to create value for
all our stakeholders.”
INVESTORS ARE RESPONDING
US$1 TrillionGlobal RI Fund assets
For the first time ever, global
sustainable mutual fund and
ETF assets topped US$ 1 trillion
in second quarter of 2020 driven
by strong investor interest in
ESG issues. Global inflows
surged 72% in Q2 to record
US$71 billion.
Record
Q2 2020
+72% to
US$71 Bn
Source: Morningstar Global Sustainable Fund Flows Q2 2020.
1,000
800
600
400
200
Q3 Q4 Q4Q3Q2Q1 Q4Q3Q2Q1 Q2Q1201920182017 2020
YOUR PORTFOLIO CAN HAVE POSITIVE IMPACT ON ENVIROMENTAL, SOCIAL AND GOVERNANCE ISSUES
A THREE-DIMENSIONAL INVESTMENT APPROACH
• What rates of return are you seeking?
• What risk are you willing to take?
• What future real-world impact do you want to achieve?
Current state Future state
Risk
Retu
rn
2 Dimensional
Risk
Retu
rn 3 Dimensional
RESPONSIBLE INVESTMENT POLICY
How we define responsible investing
Responsible investing incorporates ESG analysis of company performance into the
investment decision-making process, and seeks to generate sustainable value for
investors, shareholders, for other company stakeholders and for society as a whole.
Our responsible investment thesis
NEI’s approach to responsible investing incorporates the thesis that companies can
mitigate risk and take advantage of emerging business opportunities by integrating
best ESG practices into their strategies and operations.
NEI: THE HIGHEST COMMITMENT TO RESPONSIBLE INVESTING.
Consideration
ESG is a consideration.
Screens
Certain types of stocks are
excluded, such as tobacco
or weapons.
Integrated
ESG is a factor in the stock
selection process.
Impact
Creating a measurable positive
impact on the world while
earning a financial return.
Our continued commitment to responsible investing also includes:
Advocacy
NEI engages with government and industry regulators
for policy changes to affect more wide-reaching change.
Engagement
NEI drives change through deep, persistent dialogues with
companies as well as shareholder proposals and proxy voting.
Lowest Commitment Highest Commitment
» IMPACT INVESTING » 27
NEI Environmental Leaders Fund
Challenge:• Feeding a world population rising to 9.6 billion by 2050.
• Pollution from the production and overuse of fertilizer.
• Farming uses 70% of the world’s fresh water.
Investment:Agricultural productivity and reducing the use of resources has never been
more important. Technology is the answer. IMPAX has invested in a U.S.
manufacturer of GPS, sensors and communications equipment, which
created an innovative technology that allows more precise application of
fertilizers. This reduces pollution and the amount of resources used while
increasing crop yield. The technology will be used for other applications,
such as precision irrigation, which will save water.
CASE STUDY: OLD MACDONALD HAD A DRONE, A REMOTE-CONTROLLED TRACTOR AND FARM MANAGEMENT SOFTWARE.
The examples shown are presented for illustrative purposes only and are not to be viewed as representative of actual holdings. It should not be assumed that any client is invested in the (or similar) examples, nor should it be assumed that
an investment in the examples have been or will be profitable. Actual holdings will vary for each client and there is no guarantee that a particular client’s account will hold the examples presented.
Impact:
8.7 milliontonnes of CO2 annually
through precision fertilization
equivalent to taking 1.9
million cars off the road.
HOW DO YOU CONVINCE AN ENERGY COMPANY TO USE LESS ENERGY?
The Goal: Help Suncor make a successful transition to a low carbon economy
What we talked about: To maintain their long-term viability, oil and gas companies need to re-define their roles and
businesses for a low carbon economy. We’re talking to Suncor about the company's future and helping them undertake
the strategic steps necessary to remain a sustainable business.
The results:
In 2017, Suncor set a new goal of reducing emissions intensity 30% by 2030
Other energy companies such as Exxon Mobil, Cenovus, Occidental and Teck Resources have since followed Suncor’s
lead, publishing their own reports addressing climate-related financial disclosures
The UN SDG:
UN GOAL (SDG) #13: CLIMATE ACTION
INVESTMENT GOAL: RISK MITIGATION AND VALUE CREATION
RESPONSIBLE INVESTING: INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SUPPORT CONTINUES TO GROW
ESG conviction amongst institutional investor investors continues to grow
75%
84%
67%
INCORPORATED ESG
principals into their
investment strategy
Believe RETURNS on
ESG-integrated portfolios
will be same or better
than those that do not
Agree that applying ESG
factors into their
investments can help to
reduce RISK.
94%
89%
72%
65%
Europe
Canada
Asia
USA
97%
96%
93%
74%
Canada
Europe
Asia
USA
96%
94%
93%
78%
Europe
Canada
Asia
USA
Source: 2020 RBC Global Asset Management Responsible Investment Survey
It is no longer about sustainabilityversus profitability…
… it’s about the opportunity to create a smarter, more sustainable, resilient and inclusive future
» IMPACT INVESTING » 33
QUESTIONS?