Maryland Real Estate Market Activity, May 2, 2011, New Listings, Pending Sales, Days on Market

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  • 8/7/2019 Maryland Real Estate Market Activity, May 2, 2011, New Listings, Pending Sales, Days on Market

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    Monthly IndicatorsA RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BYREALESTATE BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE AN MRIS COMPANY

    March 2011 Quick Facts- 2.0%

    Change inMedian Sales Price

    - 5.7%

    Change inInventory

    - 6.6%

    Change inClosed Sales

    This month's numbers are stuck in the shadow of the spring 2010 incentive market. Anumber of factors hinder a full-scale housing recovery, yet there are positives thatsuggest improving consumer confidence. Slowing unemployment claims, strongcorporate balance sheets and 13 months of private job growth are cause for long-dormant optimism. Let's see if our local glass is half empty or half full.

    New Listin s in the Washin ton D.C. re ion decreased 19.1 ercent fromlast March to New Listings 3Pending Sales 4Closed Sales 5

    Days On Market Until Sale 6Median Sales Price 7

    Average Sales Price 8Percent of List Price Received 9Housing Affordability Index 10Inventory of Homes for Sale 11Months Supply of Inventory 12

    Annual Review 13

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    Click on desired metric to jump to that page.

    . . .18,496 new homes. Pending Sales increased 2.4 percent to land at 12,452 contractswritten. As a result, inventory levels decreased 5.7 percent from last year to reach54,485 active listings.

    Prices lost some ground the March Median Sales Price of $245,000 decreased 2.0

    percent. Negotiations moved toward buyers as Percent of Original List Price Received atSale decreased 2.5 percent to 91.9 percent. The market moved toward balance asMonths Supply of Inventory decreased to 6.1 months.

    The national interest rate is 5.11 percent on a 30-year fixed; the national unemploymentrate dropped to 8.8 percent in March. Several important changes to the mortgageindustry are on the horizon. Ensuring access to adequate mortgage capital for qualifiedbuyers is key to housing recovery. This will require substantial reforms to Fannie andFreddie.

  • 8/7/2019 Maryland Real Estate Market Activity, May 2, 2011, New Listings, Pending Sales, Days on Market

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    Market OverviewKey market metrics for the current month and year-to-date.

    Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 3-2010 3-2011 + / YTD 2010 YTD 2011 + /

    20,605 - 1.7%

    85 102

    8,935 8,344

    Days on Market Until Sale

    - 6.6% 20,954

    New Listings

    Pending Sales

    Closed Sales

    - 12.7

    12,158 12,452 + 2.4% 27,141 29,245 + 7.8%

    44,13322,869 18,496 - 19.1% 50,555

    + 20.2% 85 100 + 17.6

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

    159

    57,802

    189 + 19.1

    --

    $319,997 $306,592 - 4.2%

    $250,000 $245,000Median Sales Price

    Average Sales Price

    Percent of OriginalList Price Received

    $313,317

    94.2%

    - 4.0%

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    - 2.0% $249,900 $240,000

    - 2.5%- 2.5% 94.0% 91.6%

    Months Supplyof Homes for Sale

    $313,297 - 0.0%

    91.9%

    Housing Affordability Index

    Inventory of Homes for Sale

    6.2

    186 + 17.0%

    - 5.7%

    - 1.5%

    54,485

    6.1

    159

    --

    -- --

    --

    --

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

    3-2008 3-2009 3-2010 3-2011

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    New ListingsA count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

    MonthPrior Year

    Current Year

    + /

    April 18,479 24,237 +31.2May 18,291 16,987 -7.1%June 17,665 18,347 +3.9%

    July 17,763 17,783 +0.1% August 16,275 16,116 -1.0%September 16,891 16,501 -2.3%October 16,401 14,753 -10.0%November 12,163 11,921 -2.0%December 10,111 10,000 -1.1%January 15,060 12,735 -15.4%February 12,626 12,902 +2.2%March 22,869 18,496 -19.1%

    18,394

    22,869

    18,496

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    48,862 50,555

    44,133

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    -12.7%+24.3% -19.1% +3.5%

    12-Month Avg 16,216 15,898 -2.0%

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    18,394

    22,869

    18,496

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    9,000

    14,000

    19,000

    24,000

    29,000

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical New Listing Activity

    48,862 50,555

    44,133

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    -12.7%+24.3% -19.1% +3.5%

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    Pending SalesA count of the properties that have offers accepted on them in a given month.

    MonthPrior Year

    Current Year

    + /

    April 10,948 14,378 +31.3May 10,998 7,836 -28.8%June 10,839 9,064 -16.4%

    July 10,598 8,466 -20.1% August 9,977 8,397 -15.8%September 10,112 7,818 -22.7%October 9,966 7,903 -20.7%November 7,169 7,478 +4.3%December 6,117 6,453 +5.5%January 7,644 7,693 +0.6%February 7,339 9,100 +24.0March 12,158 12,452 +2.4%

    9,829

    12,158 12,452

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    24,63927,141

    29,245

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    +7.8%+23.7% +2.4% +10.2%

    12-Month Avg 9,489 8,920 -6.0%

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    9,829

    12,158 12,452

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    14,000

    16,000

    18,000

    20,000

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Pending Sales Activity

    24,63927,141

    29,245

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    +7.8%+23.7% +2.4% +10.2%

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    Closed SalesA count of the properties that have closed in a given month.

    MonthPrior Year

    Current Year

    + /

    April 8,423 10,579 +25.6May 9,326 11,121 +19.2June 11,173 12,508 +11.9%

    July 11,093 8,907 -19.7% August 10,114 8,954 -11.5%September 9,801 8,310 -15.2%October 10,130 7,444 -26.5%November 9,832 7,482 -23.9%December 8,404 8,231 -2.1%January 6,109 6,001 -1.8%February 5,910 6,260 +5.9%March 8,935 8,344 -6.6%

    7,683

    8,9358,344

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    19,07620,954 20,605

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    -1.7%+16.3% -6.6% +9.8%

    12-Month Avg 9,104 8,678 -3.7%

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    7,683

    8,9358,344

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    5,000

    7,000

    9,000

    11,000

    13,000

    15,000

    17,000

    19,000

    21,000

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Closed Sales Activity

    19,07620,954 20,605

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    -1.7%+16.3% -6.6% +9.8%

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    Days on Market Until SaleThe average number of days between when a property is first listed and when an offer is accepted. Sold properties only.

    MonthPrior Year

    Current Year

    + /

    April 110 78 -29.6%May 108 74 -31.5%June 100 72 -28.0%

    July 95 71 -24.9% August 92 76 -17.6%September 91 81 -10.6%October 90 83 -7.7%November 84 85 +1.2%December 85 90 +5.6%January 86 97 +13.5February 86 101 +17.5March 85 102 +20.3

    119

    85

    102

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    122

    85100

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    +17.6%-24.8% +20.2% -24.3%

    12-Month Avg 93 83 -11.4%

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    119

    85

    102

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Days on Market Until Sale

    122

    85100

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    +17.6%-24.8% +20.2% -24.3%

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    Median Sales PriceThe median sales price for all closed sales in a given month. Sold properties only. Does not account for seller concessions.

    MonthPrior Year

    Current Year

    + /

    April $252,500 $260,000 +3.0%May $270,000 $268,579 -0.5%June $280,000 $280,000 0.0%

    July $280,000 $285,000 +1.8% August $275,000 $280,180 +1.9%September $260,000 $265,000 +1.9%October $255,000 $265,000 +3.9%November $255,000 $267,950 +5.1%December $260,000 $260,000 0.0%January $245,000 $238,045 -2.8%February $250,000 $235,000 -6.0%March $250,000 $245,000 -2.0%

    $253,000 $250,000 $245,000

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    $250,000 $249,900 $240,000

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    -4.0%-1.2% -2.0% -0.0%

    12-Month Avg $263,000 $265,000 +0.8%

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    $253,000 $250,000 $245,000

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    $220,000

    $240,000

    $260,000

    $280,000

    $300,000

    $320,000

    $340,000

    $360,000

    $380,000

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Median Sales Price

    $250,000 $249,900 $240,000

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    -4.0%-1.2% -2.0% -0.0%

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    Average Sales PriceThe average sales price for all closed sales in a given month. Sold properties only. Does not account for seller concessions.

    MonthPrior Year

    Current Year

    + /

    April $313,259 $323,326 +3.2%May $328,378 $331,196 +0.9%June $346,259 $351,521 +1.5%

    July $344,930 $357,274 +3.6% August $339,520 $349,575 +3.0%September $320,558 $327,991 +2.3%October $315,343 $334,543 +6.1%November $313,265 $335,464 +7.1%December $346,290 $336,941 -2.7%January $309,610 $305,225 -1.4%February $340,856 $298,980 -12.3%March $313,317 $313,297 -0.0%

    $310,539 $313,317 $313,297

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    $306,338$319,997

    $306,592

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    - 4.2%+ 0.9% - 0.0% + 4.5%

    12-Month Avg $328,257 $332,576 +1.3%

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    $310,539 $313,317 $313,297

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    $260,000

    $280,000

    $300,000

    $320,000

    $340,000

    $360,000

    $380,000

    $400,000

    $420,000

    $440,000

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Average Sales Price

    $306,338$319,997

    $306,592

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    - 4.2%+ 0.9% - 0.0% + 4.5%

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    Percent of Original List Price ReceivedThe average percentage found when dividing a property's sales price by the original list price. Sold properties only. Does not account for seller concessions.

    MonthPrior Year

    Current Year

    + /

    April 91.3% 94.7% +3.7%May 92.2% 94.9% +2.9%June 92.9% 94.8% +2.0%

    July 93.4% 94.3% +0.9% August 93.8% 93.6% -0.2%September 94.1% 93.0% -1.2%October 94.1% 92.8% -1.4%November 94.4% 92.5% -2.0%December 93.9% 92.0% -2.0%January 93.6% 91.5% -2.3%February 93.9% 91.4% -2.7%March 94.2% 91.9% -2.5%

    90.4%94.2% 91.9%

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    90.2%94.0% 91.6%

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    -2.5%+4.1% -2.5% +4.1%

    12-Month Avg 93.5% 93.4% -0.1%

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    90.4%94.2% 91.9%

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    88.0%

    90.0%

    92.0%

    94.0%

    96.0%

    98.0%

    100.0%

    102.0%

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Percent of Original List Price Received

    90.2%94.0% 91.6%

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    -2.5%+4.1% -2.5% +4.1%

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    Housing Affordability Index

    Month Prior Year

    Current Year

    + /

    April 157 153 -2.5%May 143 149 +4.3%

    June 138 147 +6.4%July 139 148 +6.2%

    August 145 152 +5.3%September 153 160 +4.5%October 156 161 +3.3%November 159 161 +1.3%December 151 163 +8.0%January 162 190 +17.6February 159 191 +20.5

    This index measures housing affordability for the r egion. An index of 120 would mean the median household income was 120% of what's necessaryto qualify for the median priced home under prevailing interest rates. The higher the number, the more affordable our housing is.

    156 159

    186

    March

    157 159

    189

    Year To Date

    +19.1%+2.0% +17.0% +1.0%March 159 186 +17.012-Month Avg 152 164 +7.6%

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    156 159

    186

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    90

    110

    130

    150

    170

    190

    210

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Housing Affordability Index

    157 159

    189

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    +19.1%+2.0% +17.0% +1.0%

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    Inventory of Homes for SaleThe number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of the month.

    MonthPrior Year

    Current Year

    + /

    April 69,099 62,354 -9.8%May 69,408 65,240 -6.0%June 68,732 67,188 -2.2%

    July 67,656 68,367 +1.1% August 66,915 69,388 +3.7%September 65,509 68,740 +4.9%October 65,071 68,846 +5.8%November 63,404 66,453 +4.8%December 60,916 62,614 +2.8%January 56,337 57,249 +1.6%February 57,449 55,872 -2.7%March 57,802 54,485 -5.7%

    68,713

    57,802 54,485

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    -5.7%-15.9%

    12-Month Avg 64,025 63,900 -0.2%

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    68,713

    57,802 54,485

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    70,000

    80,000

    90,000

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale

    -5.7%-15.9%

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    Months Supply of InventoryCompares the number of active listings available to the average monthly pending sales for the last 12 months.

    MonthPrior Year

    Current Year

    + /

    April 8.1 6.6 -19.3%May 8.1 6.7 -17.9%June 8.0 7.1 -11.3%

    July 7.7 7.3 -5.7% August 7.6 7.6 -0.4%September 7.4 7.6 +3.2%October 7.2 7.8 +7.8%November 6.9 7.6 +11.4%December 6.6 7.2 +9.6%January 6.1 6.5 +7.8%February 6.2 6.4 +3.8%March 6.2 6.1 -1.5%

    8.2

    6.2 6.1

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    -1.5%-24.0%

    12-Month Avg 7.2 7.0 -1.8%

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    8.2

    6.2 6.1

    2009 2010 2011

    March

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Months Supply of Inventory

    -1.5%-24.0%

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    Annual ReviewHistorical look at key market metrics for the overall region.

    142,188

    113,11998,539

    107,372 104,490

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Closed Sales

    63

    93

    114100

    80

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Days on Market Until Sale

    -20.4% -12.9% +9.0% -2.7% +47.5 +21.9 -12.2% -20.2%

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    142,188

    113,11998,539

    107,372 104,490

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Closed Sales

    63

    93

    114100

    80

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Days on Market Until Sale

    $347,000 $339,900 $290,900

    $263,000 $265,000

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Median Sales Price

    96.6% 94.8%92.0% 92.8% 93.8%

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Percent of Original List Price Received

    -20.4% -12.9% +9.0% -2.7% +47.5 +21.9 -12.2% -20.2%

    -2.0% -14.4% -9.6% +0.8% -1.9% -2.9% +0.9% +1.1%