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Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016

MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

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Page 1: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

Investor Presentation3Q 2015

JANUARY 6, 2016

Page 2: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

2January 6, 2016

DisclaimerCertain statements contained in this release are forward-looking statements and are based on future expectations, plans and prospects for Moody’s business and operations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Moody’s outlook for 2015 and other forward-looking statements in this release are made as of November 3, 2015, and the Company disclaims any duty to supplement, update or revise such statements on a going-forward basis, whether as a result of subsequent developments, changed expectations or otherwise. In connection with the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, the Company is identifying certain factors that could cause actual results to differ, perhaps materially, from those indicated by these forward-looking statements. Those factors, risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the current world-wide credit market disruptions and economic slowdown, which is affecting and could continue to affect the volume of debt and other securities issued in domestic and/or global capital markets; other matters that could affect the volume of debt and other securities issued in domestic and/or global capital markets, including credit quality concerns, changes in interest rates and other volatility in the financial markets; the level of merger and acquisition activity in the U.S. and abroad; the uncertain effectiveness and possible collateral consequences of U.S. and foreign government initiatives to respond to the current world-wide credit market disruptions and economic slowdown; concerns in the marketplace affecting Moody’s credibility or otherwise affecting market perceptions of the integrity or utility of independent credit agency ratings; the introduction of competing products or technologies by other companies; pricing pressure from competitors and/or customers; the level of success of new product development and global expansion; the impact of regulation as an NRSRO, the potential for new U.S., state and local legislation and regulations, including provisions in the Financial Reform Act and regulations resulting from that Act; the potential for increased competition and regulation in the EU and other foreign jurisdictions; exposure to litigation related to Moody’s rating opinions, as well as any other litigation, government and regulatory proceedings, investigations and inquiries to which the Company may be subject from time to time; provisions in the Financial Reform Act legislation modifying the pleading standards, and EU regulations modifying the liability standards, applicable to credit rating agencies in a manner adverse to credit rating agencies; provisions of EU regulations imposing additional procedural and substantive requirements on the pricing of services; the possible loss of key employees; failures or malfunctions of Moody’s operations and infrastructure; any vulnerabilities to cyber threats or other cybersecurity concerns; the outcome of any review by controlling tax authorities of the Company’s global tax planning initiatives; the outcome of those Legacy Tax Matters and legal contingencies that relate to the Company, its predecessors and their affiliated companies for which Moody’s has assumed portions of the financial responsibility; exposure to potential criminal sanctions or civil remedies if the Company fails to comply with foreign and US laws and regulations that are applicable in the jurisdictions in which the Company operates, including sanctions laws, anti-corruption laws and local laws prohibiting corrupt payments to government officials; the impact of mergers, acquisitions or other business combinations and the ability of the Company to successfully integrate acquired businesses; currency and foreign exchange volatility; the level of future cash flows; the levels of capital investments; and a decline in the demand for credit risk management tools by financial institutions; and other risk factors as discussed in the Company’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014 and in other filings made by the Company from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Page 3: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

3January 6, 2016

Table of Contents

1. Financial Overview

2. Moody’s Investors Service (MIS)

3. Moody’s Analytics (MA)

4. Conclusion

5. Appendix

Page 4: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

4January 6, 2016

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Overview of Moody’s Corporation

Revenue by Business*

United States57%

EMEA26%

Asia-Pacific11%

Americas6%

Revenue by Type*

Corporate Finance

32%

Structured Finance

13%

Financial Institutions

10%

Public, Project &

Infrastructure11%

MIS Other1%

Research, Data &

Analytics18%

Enterprise Risk

Solutions11%

Professional Services

4%

50%38%

74%

50%62%

26%

MCO MIS MA

Recurring Transaction

» Leading global provider of credit rating opinions, insight and tools for financial risk measurement and management

» Revenue of $3.5 billion; operating income of $1.5 billion*

» Research, data and software for financial risk analysis and related professional services

» 33% of total MCO revenue*

» 16% of total MCO operating income*

» Independent provider of credit rating opinions and related information for over 100 years

» 67% of total MCO revenue*

» 84% of total MCO operating income*

MIS MA

*All financial data is for the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2015.

Revenue by Geography*US Non-US

Page 5: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

5January 6, 2016

Financial Overview1

Page 6: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

6January 6, 2016

Secular Trends Continue to Provide Long-term Growth Opportunities

Potential Operating Income Margin Expansion

Ongoing Share Repurchases*

Long-Term EPS Growth Opportunity: Low-Teens to High-Teens % (on average)**

Long-Term Revenue Growth Opportunity: High Single-Digit to Low Double-Digit % (on average)

*Subject to market conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions.**Assumes no material change in effective tax rate, foreign exchange rates, leverage profile and/or capital allocation policy.

Debt market issuance drivenby global GDP growth

~2-4%

Disintermediationof credit markets in both developed and emerging economies driving both issuance and demand for new products and services

~2-3%

MA and MIS pricing initiatives aligned with value; affected by business volumes and mix

~3-4%

Growth in Moody’s Analytics driven by further penetration of MA’s client base and expansion of bank and insurance risk regulatory requirements

~2-3%

Potential Selective Acquisitions*

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Page 7: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

7January 6, 2016

*2010-2014 represents non-GAAP EPS. 2015F represents GAAP EPS, which includes a $0.03 legacy tax benefit from 3Q15. See appendix for reconciliation of non-GAAP EPS to GAAP EPS. **Guidance as of November 3, 2015.***Adjusted Operating Margin is a non-GAAP measure. See appendix for reconciliation from non-GAAP to GAAP.**** As of August 2015, over last five available fiscal years. Free Cash Flow is a non-GAAP financial measure. Source: FactSet.*****Includes CLGX, DNB, EXPN, FDS, IHS, MHFI, MORN, MSCI, TRI, VRSK.

Moody’s has Consistently Delivered Strong Performance

Operating Margin Performance

EPS*Revenue

$0.0

$1.0

$2.0

$3.0

$4.0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F**

$ Bi

llions

Mid-single-digit

% growth

$1 ofRevenue

$2.13$2.46

$2.99

$3.65

$4.21$4.55

to $4.65

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

$4.00

$4.50

$5.00

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F**

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

38.0% 39.0% 39.5%41.5%

43.2%41.3%

42.4% 43.3%44.7%

46.0%

35%

40%

45%

50%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F**

Operating Margin Adj. Operating Margin***

~46.0%

~43.0%

$0.10

$0.21

$0.29

S&P 500

Select Peers*****

Moody's

5-year Average Free Cash Flow Conversion****

Page 8: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

8January 6, 2016

Moody’s has a Disciplined Approach to Capital Allocation

Investing in Growth Opportunities Return of CapitalReinvestment Acquisitions Dividends Share Repurchases

» Invest in existing businesses to support organic growth

» Aligned with strategy

» Opportunistic; ideally able to use offshore cash

» Payout ratio* potential is 25% - 30%, at current leverage**

» Average annual potential is $1 billion - $1.25 billion, at current leverage**

*Dividend payout ratio is defined as dividends per share/EPS.**Assumes continued balance of return of capital between dividends and share repurchases.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Page 9: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

9January 6, 2016

Moody’s Continues to Return Capital to Shareholders

*Guidance as of November 3, 2015. Subject to market conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions.**Reflects MCO closing price of $97.22 on January 4, 2016.

Share Repurchases and Dividends Paid

$224$334

$197

$893

$1,221

$906

$99$121

$143

$197

$236

$205

175

185

195

205

215

225

235

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD3Q15

Milli

ons

of S

hare

s

$ M

illion

s

Share Repurchases (L) Dividends Paid (L) Share Count (R)

$323$455

$1,090

$340

$1,457

$1,111

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

» Share count declined an average of 3%, annually, from 2010 to YTD 3Q15» Moody’s expects 2015 share repurchases to be approximately $1 billion*» Current annualized dividend rate of $1.48 per share (YTD 3Q15 payout of 28% of net income)» Current dividend yield of 1.5%**

Annualized Dividend Per Share(Last 5 Years)

$0.40

$0.60

$0.80

$1.00

$1.20

$1.40

$1.60

Dec

-10

Mar

-11

Jun-

11Se

p-11

Dec

-11

Mar

-12

Jun-

12Se

p-12

Dec

-12

Mar

-13

Jun-

13Se

p-13

Dec

-13

Mar

-14

Jun-

14Se

p-14

Dec

-14

Mar

-15

Jun-

15Se

p-15

Dec

-15

$1.48

Page 10: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

10January 6, 2016

*MIS recurring revenue is typically billed annually and recognized ratably over 12 months. Recurring revenue can also be billed upfront and recognized over the life of the security. MA recurring revenue is recognized over the contract period.

Moody’s Recurring Revenue also Provides Stability

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

$1,800

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 TTM3Q15

$ M

illio

ns

Corporate Finance Structured FinanceFinancial Institutions Public, Project, & Infrastructure FinanceMIS Other Moody's Analytics

» Growth in RD&A

» Growth in ERS maintenance and subscription revenue

» Select elements of pricing

MA Drivers

» Growth in monitoring fees

» Select elements of pricing

MIS Drivers

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Recurring Revenue*

Page 11: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

11January 6, 2016

Moody’s Investors Service2

Page 12: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

12January 6, 2016

TTM 3Q15 Revenue: $2.4 billion

Moody’s Investors Service Financial Profile

Public, Project, &

Infrastructure Finance

16%

Financial Institutions

15%

CorporateFinance

48%

StructuredFinance

19%

MIS Other 1%

39%

61%

Recurring Transaction

63%

37%

US Non-US

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

» 40% recurring revenue

» 64% recurring revenue

» 36% recurring revenue

2015 Revenue Guidance as of November 3, 2015Global mid-single-digit % range

US low-double-digit % range

Non-US mid-single-digit % range

Corporate Finance – approximately flat

Structured Finance mid-single-digit % range

Financial Institutions low-single-digit % range

Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance high-single-digit % range

» 31% recurring revenue

Page 13: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

13January 6, 2016

Favorable Context for Global Issuance Remains in Place in the Near-term

Annual Default Rates for Global Corporate Rated Issuance*

Global Long-Term Interest Rates

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014

10 yr. US Treasury Yield %10 yr. German Bund Yield %10 yr. Japanese Government Bond Yield %10 yr. UK Gilt Yield %

*Includes all Moody’s rated non-financial corporate investment grade and high-yield bond issues. Source: Moody’s Investors Service.

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%Investment Grade High Yield

Source: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. Data through to October 2015.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

High Yield Historical Avg. = 4.5%

Page 14: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

14January 6, 2016

Non-Financial Corporates have Refunding Needs of Approximately $3 Trillion*

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

*Amount reflects total maturities identified in the above sourced reports.** As of February 2015, totals for US Moody’s-rated corporate bonds and loans due to mature in 2015 were $121 billion for investment grade bonds, $14 billion for speculative grade bonds and $4 billion speculative grade bank loans.

Investment Grade Bonds Speculative Grade Bonds Speculative Grade Bank Loans

Debt Maturities: US Moody’s-Rated Corporate Bonds and Loans**

$151 $172 $151 $164

$25 $47$89

$139

$30

$86

$146

$210

$0$50

$100$150$200$250

2016 2017 2018 2019

$ Bi

llions Source: Moody’s

Investors Service, February 2015.

Debt Maturities: EMEA Moody’s-Rated Corporate Bonds and Loans

$167$189 $173

$147

$35 $35$58 $65

$30 $40 $40 $50

$0$50

$100$150$200$250

2016 2017 2018 2019

$ Bi

llions Source: Moody’s

Investors Service, July 2015.

Debt Maturities: Asia Pacific Moody’s-Rated Corporate Entities

$105 $122$97 $82

$14 $17 $18 $20

$0$50

$100$150$200$250

2016 2017 2018 2019

$ Bi

llions

Sources: Moody’s Investors Service and Bloomberg, July 2015. Note: Data represents rated and unrated bonds of rated corporate entities in Asia ex-Japan, Australia and New Zealand. Data does not include loans.

Page 15: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

15January 6, 2016

Recently, M&A Activity has Increased as a Stated Use of Proceeds, While Refinancing has Fallen

Source: Moody’s Investors Service.*Reflects both high yield bonds and rated bank loans.

62%

35%28%

20%12% 15%

19%

14%18%

13%

21%18%

16%

36% 41% 65% 63% 61%

3%

15% 13%2% 4% 7%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Uses of Proceeds forUS Investment Grade Debt

79%

57% 53% 50% 53%43%

4%

23% 27%

25%28%

41%

17%16% 16%

20%14% 11%

0%4% 4% 5% 5% 5%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Uses of Proceeds forUS Speculative Grade Debt*

Refinancing

M&A/LBO/MBO

General Corporate Purposes/Other

Dividends/Share Repurchases

Page 16: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

16January 6, 2016

Reverse Yankee Issuance has also Increased

» Reverse Yankee activity has picked up recently after going through a mid-year lull» The differential in absolute rates currently favors euro debt» Issuers also have the opportunity to diversify their investor bases and/or maturity profiles

$0

$15

$30

$45

$60

$75

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 3Q15

$ Bi

llions

Source: Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group; excludes financial issuance.

Reverse Yankee Issuance*

* Reverse Yankee Issuance refers to euro debt issuance by US companies.Note: MIS revenue is recognized on the basis of the domicile of the issuer.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Page 17: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

17January 6, 2016

Disintermediation of Capital Markets: Europe and US

» European companies have historically relied more on banks than their American counterparts, but are increasingly turning to the bond market

» YTD 3Q15 Moody’s rated European high yield bond and bank loan issuance was split approximately 60% / 40%, respectively

Sources: ECB, Federal Reserve, BarCap Indices. Europe bank loan data includes Eurozone and UK bank loans. Europe bond data includes euro and sterling denominated bonds. Data is through August 2015.

European Non-Financial Corporate Bonds vs. Bank Loans Outstanding

48%

€0

€1,000

€2,000

€3,000

€4,000

€5,000

€6,000

€7,000

€B

illion

s

Loans Bonds

US Non-Financial Corporate Bonds vs. Bank Loans Outstanding

48%

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$ Bi

llions

Loans Bonds

20%

80%

52%

48%

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Page 18: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

18January 6, 2016

Moody’s New Rating Mandates

0

400

800

1,200

2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD3Q14

YTD3Q15

# of

new

man

date

s

EMEA United States Rest of World

Global New Rating Mandates*

Source: Moody’s Investors Service. *Rated by Moody’s Investors Service.

» In the US, there has been less leveraged loan activity in 2015 than in 2014, which previously accounted for a significant percentage of new mandates

» In EMEA, QE is mainly helping established issuers tap the market, crowding out new issuers

» The Rest of World has been impacted from China’s slowdown and increased volatility and macroeconomic risk

875 854

1,026990

627

798

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Page 19: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

19January 6, 2016

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 3Q15

$ B

illio

ns

Rated* Unrated** » Unfavorable market conditions combined with adherence to the US Shared National Credit (SNC) guidelines led to a decline in bank loan volumes in 3Q15

» Continued CLO formation year-to-date has counterbalanced some of the headwinds in the market

US Non-Financial Corporate Speculative-Grade Bank Loans

Bank Loan Issuance has Decelerated

*Rated bank loan issuance represents Moody’s rated non-financial corporate speculative-grade bank loans. It includes term loan B syndicated loans sold to investors.**Unrated bank loan issuance includes term loan A (retained by the lender) and revolvers.Sources: Moody’s Investors Service.

Europe Bank Loan Market:» The rated bank loan market in Europe is approximately one-fifth the size of the rated bank loan

market in the US» 2014 European rated bank loan issuance totaled $119 billion, a 47% increase over $81 billion in

2013» YTD 3Q15 rated issuance totaled $51 billion, a 51% decline from $99 billion in YTD 3Q14

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Page 20: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

20January 6, 2016

$1.4$1.6

$1.9$2.1

$2.3

$1.7 $1.8

$0.0

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

$0.0

$1.0

$2.0

$3.0

$4.0

$5.0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 3Q14 YTD 3Q15

Rev

enue

$ B

illio

ns

Issu

ance

$ T

rillio

ns

Global Non-Financial Bonds and US HY Bank Loans (L) Global Financial Bonds (L)

Global Structured Finance (L) U.S. Municipal Bonds (L)

MIS Revenue (R)

Issuance is not the Only Factor Driving MIS Revenue

» In addition to issuance activity levels, MIS revenue is impacted by (i) the mix of issuance activity, (ii) pricing and (iii) growth in monitored credits

*Rated global investment grade bonds, global high yield bonds, US high yield bank loans, global structured finance, and US municipal issuance.Source: Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group, Dealogic, AB Alert, CM Alert, Thomson SDC. US High Yield Bank Loans represent Moody’s rated new US bank loan programs.

Year-over-Year Percent Change 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 - 2014

CAGR YTD 3Q15

Issuance -16% 2% 11% 1% 5% 5% -3%Revenue 15% 12% 20% 9% 9% 13% 5%

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

MIS Revenue vs. Rated Issuance*

Page 21: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

21January 6, 2016

Historically, Rising Rates have not had a Significant Impact on Moody’s Revenue

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

+200bps

+120bps

+100bps

+180bps

5.8%

7.8%

4.7%

6.5%

2.3%

3.3%

1.8%

3.0%

2.1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 TTM3Q15

$ M

illio

ns

MIS Revenue MA Revenue MCO Revenue 10-yr U.S. Treasury Yield (R)*

*10-yr Treasury Yields are represented by the rate at the end-of-period. Source: www.treasury.gov

MCO Revenue and Interest Rates

Page 22: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

22January 6, 2016

Moody’s Analytics3

Page 23: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

23January 6, 2016

Operating Margin

TTM 3Q15 Revenue: $1.1 billion

Moody’s Analytics Financial Profile

74%

26%

Recurring Transaction

46%

54%

US Non-US

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

» ~95% recurring revenue » 96% retention rate

» ~62% recurring revenue

» Combination of one-off contracts and semi-recurring revenue

19.5%

17.5%

15.3%

18.1%

19.5%

0.0% 7.0% 14.0% 21.0%

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

» Expect operating margin to grow to the mid-20’s percent range over the next several years

2015 Revenue Guidance as of November 3, 2015

Global mid-single-digit % range

US low-double-digit % range

Non-US – approximately flat

Research, Data & Analytics high-single-digit % range

Enterprise Risk Solutions mid-single-digit % range

Professional Services low-double-digit % range

Research, Data and Analytics

54%Enterprise

Risk Solutions

33%

Professional Services

13%

Page 24: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

24January 6, 2016

ERS TTM Revenue by TypeERS: Year-over-Year Revenue Growth by Quarter

ERS’ Renewable Book Growing, but Revenue Remains Dependent on Project Timing

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

-5%

5%

15%

25%

35%

45%

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$ M

illion

s

License and Services Subscriptions Maintenance

» ERS revenue is driven by (1) regulation and accounting standards increasing in complexity; (2) evolution of risk management culture among customers; and (3) customers seeking return on investment and cost efficiencies

» ERS saw operating income improvements in 2014 and is on track for similar performance in 2015

– Investments in product quality and configurability facilitate continued margin expansion

– Focus on higher-value, more profitable business supports margin expansion, with some offset to revenue growth rate possible

» Reminder: While ~2/3 of ERS’ revenue base is renewable, results are affected by large projects, the timing of which may impact sales, revenue and margin in any one period

Revenue CAGR = 17%

Recurring

Revenue

Page 25: MCO 3Q 2015 Investor Presentation vFINAL2...Investor Presentation 3Q 2015 JANUARY 6, 2016 January 6, 2016 2 Disclaimer Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking

25January 6, 2016

Core Markets Extensions Adjacent Markets Total

$3.5bnERS share2015: 10%

$2.6bn

>$8bn

annual spend

» ~2,100 customers and ~4,300 contracts

» Existing software and analytic tools sold to primarily to larger institutions

» Many market segments with diverse characteristics

» Take expertise to new market segments --smaller institutions, other credit professionals

» New modules to enhance value proposition

» New market segments where Moody’s brand and capabilities offer unique position

» Market opportunities may warrant significant R&D investment

» Potential for acquisitions

ERS has an Attractive Market Opportunity

$2.1bn

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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26January 6, 2016

Professional Services OverviewIntroduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

» Leading provider of offshore research and analytic services

» 2,400 employees; 9 delivery centers

» 200+ institutional clients in global financial and corporate sectors

Knowledge process outsourcing

» Canada’s leading provider of financial services education and designations

» 270+ courses taken by 800,000+ financial professionals

» Endorsed by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC), Canada’s stock exchanges and Canada’s securities regulatory commissions

Certificates, designations & accreditations

» Provider of global learning capabilities to banks, asset managers, regulators and non-bank financial institutions

» Multiple delivery channels, including classroom instruction, web classes and e-learning

» Signature Commercial Lending program available in universal and IFRS; translated and localized for several regions

Financial services training

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27January 6, 2016

Conclusion4

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28January 6, 2016

Why Invest in Moody’s?» We strive to be the world’s most respected authority serving risk-sensitive

financial markets

» We have had strong revenue and earnings growth, as well as strong cash flow conversion

– 2010 – TTM 3Q15 Revenue CAGR of 12%

– 2010 – TTM 3Q15 non-GAAP EPS* CAGR of 18%

– 2010 – TTM 3Q15 free cash flow conversion rate of ~30%

» We are committed to returning capital to our shareholders

– Current annualized dividend of $1.36

– Anticipate total 2015 share repurchases of approximately $1.0 billion**

» We will selectively invest in strategic growth opportunities

– Leverage brand to extend our relevance in financial markets

– Expand our product offerings and geographic influence

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

*See appendix for reconciliation of non-GAAP EPS to GAAP EPS.**Guidance as of November 3, 2015. Subject to market conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions.

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29January 6, 2016

Appendix5

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30January 6, 2016

Full-Year 2015 Guidance as of November 3, 2015

*Amount is a non-GAAP measure. See Appendix for a reconciliation of this non-GAAP measure to its comparable US GAAP measure.

» Revenue: Mid-single-digit % growth range

» Operating Expenses: Mid-single-digit % growth range

» Operating Margin: Approximately 43%

» Adjusted Operating Margin*: Approximately 46%

» Effective Tax Rate: Approximately 31% - 32%

» GAAP Earnings Per Share: $4.55 - $4.65

» Share Repurchases: Approximately $1 billion (subject to available cash, market conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions)

» Capital Expenditures: Approximately $90 million

» Depreciation & Amortization: Approximately $120 million

» Free Cash Flow*: Approximately $1 billion

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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31January 6, 2016

Corporate Finance: Revenue and Issuance

*Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.**Other includes: monitoring, CP, MTNs, and ICRA.***Sources: Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group, Dealogic; US Speculative-Grade Bank Loan Origination represents Moody’s rated new US bank loan programs. Note: Debt issuance categories do not directly correspond to Moody’s revenue categorization.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Rev

enue

$ M

illio

ns

Historical Revenue* Mix: By Year

Other Investment Grade Speculative Grade Bank Loans

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Rev

enue

$ M

illio

ns

Historical Revenue* Mix: By Quarter

Other Investment Grade Speculative Grade Bank Loans

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Issu

ance

$ B

illio

ns

Global Rated Non-Financial Bonds and US Speculative Grade Bank Loans (Annually)***

US Speculative-Grade Bank Loan OriginationGlobal Non-Financial Speculative-Grade Bond IssuanceGlobal Non-Financial Investment-Grade Bond Issuance

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Issu

ance

$ B

illio

ns

Global Rated Non-Financial Bonds and US Speculative Grade Bank Loans (Quarterly)***

US Speculative-Grade Bank Loan OriginationGlobal Non-Financial Speculative-Grade Bond IssuanceGlobal Non-Financial Investment-Grade Bond Issuance

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32January 6, 2016

42% 36% 36% 37% 33% 40% 43% 38% 35% 34%43%

21%23% 19% 18% 20%

15%30%

21% 29% 26%25%

18% 23% 23% 20% 24% 21%

13%

20%21%

19%13%

18% 18% 21% 25% 24% 24%14% 22% 15% 21% 19%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Other Investment Grade Speculative Grade Bank Loans

71% 74% 73% 71% 74% 69% 67% 70% 72% 73% 65%

29% 26% 27% 29% 26% 31% 33% 30% 28% 27% 35%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Revenue* Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction

Transaction Recurring

Corporate Finance: Revenue Diversification

*Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.**Other includes: monitoring, CP, MTNs, and ICRA.Percentages have been rounded and my not total to 100%.

35% 34% 38% 35% 43% 37% 36% 38% 36% 32% 30%

65% 66% 62% 65% 57% 63% 64% 62% 64% 68% 70%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Revenue* Distribution: Geography

Non - US US

Revenue* Distribution: Product

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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33January 6, 2016

Structured Finance: Revenue and Issuance

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Rev

enue

$ M

illio

ns

Historical Revenue* Mix: By Quarter

ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit Other

*Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.**Sources: AB Alert, CM Alert, Moody’s Corporation. Debt issuance categories do not directly correspond to Moody’s revenue categorization.Notes: ABS (Asset Backed Securitization) includes asset-backed commercial paper and long-term asset-backed securities. RMBS (Residential Mortgage Backed Securitization) includes covered bonds. CREF (Commercial Real Estate Finance) includes commercial mortgage-backed securities, real estate finance, and commercial real estate CDOs. Structured Credit includes CLOs and CDOs.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Rev

enue

$ M

illio

ns

Historical Revenue* Mix: By Year

ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit Other

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Issu

ance

$ B

illio

ns

Global Rated Structured Finance(Annually)**

ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Issu

ance

$ B

illio

ns

Global Rated Structured Finance(Quarterly)**

ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit

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34January 6, 2016

Structured Finance: Revenue DiversificationIntroduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

52% 58% 60% 58% 63% 59% 66% 62% 61% 66% 62%

48% 42% 40% 42% 37% 41% 34% 38% 39% 34% 38%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Revenue* Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction

Transaction Recurring

53% 46%36% 34% 34% 31% 35% 34% 30% 28% 30%

47% 54%64% 66% 66% 69% 65% 66% 70% 72% 70%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Revenue* Distribution: Geography

Non - U.S. U.S.

31% 29% 26% 24% 22% 23% 19% 22% 21% 21% 18%

20% 25% 30% 31% 27% 26% 30% 28% 33% 27% 33%

26% 22% 19% 19%18% 18% 17% 18% 18%

18% 17%

23% 24% 25% 26% 34% 33% 34% 32% 28% 34% 32%

0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

ABS CREF RMBS Structured Credit Other

Revenue* Distribution: by Product

*Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.Percentages have been rounded and my not total to 100%.Notes: ABS (Asset Backed Securitization) includes asset-backed commercial paper and long-term asset-backed securities. RMBS (Residential Mortgage Backed Securitization) includes covered bonds. CREF (Commercial Real Estate Finance) includes commercial mortgage-backed securities, real estate finance, and commercial real estate CDOs. Structured Credit includes CLOs and CDOs.

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35January 6, 2016

Financial Institutions: Revenue and Issuance

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Rev

enue

$ M

illio

ns

Historical Revenue* Mix: By Quarter

Banking Insurance Managed Investments Other

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Rev

enue

$ M

illio

ns

Historical Revenue* Mix: By Year

Banking Insurance Managed Investments Other

$0

$400

$800

$1,200

$1,600

$2,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Issu

ance

$ B

illio

ns

Global Rated Financial Bonds(Annually)**

Global Spec Grade Corporate Bond IssuanceGlobal Inv Grade Corporate Bond Issuance

*Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue. **Sources: Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group, Dealogic. Note: Debt issuance categories do not directly correspond to Moody’s revenue categorization.

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Issu

ance

$ B

illio

ns

Global Rated Financial Bonds(Quarterly)**

Global Speculative Grade Financial Corporate Bond IssuanceGlobal Investment Grade Financial Corporate Bond Issuance

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36January 6, 2016

Financial Institutions: Revenue Diversification

*Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.Percentages have been rounded and my not total to 100%.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

34% 37% 35% 34% 35% 38% 32% 35% 40% 36% 35%

66% 63% 65% 66% 65% 62% 68% 65% 60% 64% 65%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Revenue* Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction

Transaction Recurring

60% 59% 58% 59% 62% 59% 60% 60% 56% 58% 55%

40% 41% 42% 41% 38% 41% 40% 40% 44% 42% 45%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Revenue* Distribution: Geography

Non - US US

69% 70% 69% 67% 69% 66% 70% 68% 67% 69% 65%

25% 24% 26% 25% 26% 30% 23% 26% 27% 23% 29%

6% 6% 5% 8% 5% 4% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4%0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Banking Insurance Managed Investments Other

Revenue* Distribution: Product

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37January 6, 2016

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Rev

enue

$ M

illio

ns

Historical Revenue* Mix: By Year

Public Finance and SovereignProject & Infrastructure FinanceOther

*Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue. **Sources: Thomson SDC, Moody’s Corporation. Note: Debt issuance categories do not directly correspond to Moody’s revenue categorization.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Issu

ance

$ B

illio

ns

Long-Term Rated US Municipal Bond Issuance(Quarterly)**

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Issu

ance

$ B

illio

ns

Long-Term Rated US Municipal Bond Issuance(Annually)**

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Rev

enue

$ M

illio

ns

Historical Revenue* Mix: By Quarter

Public Finance and SovereignProject & Infrastructure FinanceOther

Public, Project and Infrastructure: Revenue and Issuance

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38January 6, 2016

*Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.Percentages have been rounded and my not total to 100%.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

58% 61% 60% 53%63% 58% 59% 58% 64% 62% 56%

42% 39% 40% 47%37% 42% 41% 42% 36% 38% 44%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Revenue* Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction

Transaction Recurring

36% 35% 37% 41% 37% 35% 34% 37% 35% 32% 36%

64% 65% 63% 59% 63% 65% 66% 63% 65% 68% 64%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Revenue* Distribution: Geography

Non - US US

56% 56% 51% 51% 45% 49% 53% 49% 56% 54% 51%

44% 44% 49% 49% 55% 51% 47% 51% 44% 46% 49%

0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Public Finance and Sovereign Project & Infrastructure Finance Other

Revenue* Distribution: Product

Public, Project and Infrastructure: Revenue Diversification

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39January 6, 2016

Moody’s Analytics: Financial Overview

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Rev

enue

$ M

illio

ns

Historical Revenue* Mix: By Quarter

*Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.Percentages have been rounded and my not total to 100%.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Rev

enue

$ M

illio

ns

Historical Revenue* Mix: By Year

Professional ServicesEnterprise Risk SolutionsResearch, Data and Analytics

20% 23% 23% 23% 24% 28% 31% 27% 23% 24% 25%

80% 77% 77% 77% 76% 72% 69% 73% 77% 76% 75%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15Transaction Recurring

58% 57% 55% 54% 56% 56% 57% 56% 51% 52% 55%

42% 43% 45% 46% 44% 44% 43% 44% 49% 48% 45%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

Revenue* Distribution: Geography

Non-US US

63% 58% 58% 58% 57% 53% 48% 54% 57% 56% 55%

28% 29% 29% 25% 27% 30% 39% 31% 29% 30% 32%

9% 13% 13% 17% 16% 17% 14% 16% 14% 14% 13%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11FY12FY131Q142Q143Q144Q14FY141Q152Q153Q15

Revenue* Distribution: Product

Revenue* Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction

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40January 6, 2016

We Continue to Invest for the Future in High Growth Markets

China India Latin America

Recent Investments MIS Shanghai office, Greater China team

Majority control of ICRA

Acquisition of 100% of Equilibrium

MIS Offices Beijing, Hong Kong, Shanghai

Mumbai + 8 ICRA offices in India

Buenos Aires, Mexico City, Sao Paulo, Lima,

Panama City

Moody’s Joint Ventures CCXI (49%) ICRA (50.1%)Market Cap ~$610mm*

None

MIS Rates Cross-Border Bond Issuance

MIS Rates Domestic Bond Issuance

Moody’s Participates in Domestic Bond Market via Joint Venture

Approximate Annual Revenue** ~$95mm ~$40mm ~$65mm

*ICRA market capitalization as of 09/22/2015.**Approximate Annual Revenue includes both MIS revenue and that from Moody’s affiliates CCXI, ICRA and Equilibrium in 2014, some of which was not consolidated in our financial statements.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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41January 6, 2016

Oil & Gas Bond Issuance and Debt Maturities

* Source: Dealogic, Moody’s Analytics. ** Source: FactSet. As of November 2015. Includes the following FactSet industry groups: Contract Drilling, Integrated Oil, Oil & Gas Pipelines, Oil & Gas Production, Oil Refining/Marketing, Oilfield Services/Equipment.

$23

$39 $42 $48 $43

$8 $14 $16

$31 $40

$0

$20

$40

$60

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

$ B

illio

ns

Investment Grade High Yield

$103 $97

$73

$49 $58

$46

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

$ B

illio

ns

Investment Grade (L) High Yield (L) Crude Oil (WTI) Average Price per Barrel (R)

Global Oil and Gas Bond Issuance*

Debt Maturities: Global Moody’s Rated Oil and Gas Bonds **

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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42January 6, 2016

Moody’s Analytics Global Banking Regulatory RadarEMEA

20152016201720182019 and beyond 2016 2017 2018 2019 and beyond

BoE/PRA ST

LCR

SA-CCR3

G-SIB Surcharge2

Leverage Ratio

Leverage Ratio

B3 ratios

Basel 3 buffers

Reporting fin. conglomerates

CA res. mortgage

D-SIB framework4

LCRFSB Data Gap Initiative5

BoE/PRA ST

BCBS 239

Concentration Large Exposures

IFRS 9

TLAC2

NSFR

New securitization framework

PRA CAD/Pillar 2

IRRBB review

CVA review FRTB

Revised SA approach CR

EU-wide ST

Reg cap CCP exposures

FSB Data Gap Initiative5

Leverage Ratio

FRTB

BoE/PRA ST

BoE/PRA ST

LCR1

Concentration & Large Exposures

IFRS 9

TLAC2

NSFR New securitization framework

IRRBB review

CVA review Revised SA approach CR

ECB Anacredit

Basel 2CRD IV/ CRR

CCAR /DFAST

CRDIVB3 (IRB)

Global systemic risk report

UK FDSF

FBO STCOREP/FINREP

LCR1

LCR

LCR1

LCR1

PRA / IMF ST

BoE/PRA ST

Adv. Approach Rule Capital Planning

CCAR /DFA ST

Leverage Ratio

Vickers Reform

LCR1

G-SIB Surcharge2

G-SIB Surcharge2

Capital rules to large foreign banks

PRA Int’l banks

CCAR /

DFAST

SA-CCR3

SA-CCR3

FSB Data Gap Initiative5

FSB Data Gap Initiative5

FSB Data Gap Initiative5

FSB Data Gap Initiative5

BoE/PRA ST

BCBS 239

BCBS 239

CCAR /

DFAST

LCR1

IFRS 9/ CECL (US)

Financial conglomerates

Liquidity ST BHC and FBO

ST

LCR1

NSFR

G-SIB Surcharge2

PRA CAD/Pillar 2

ECB CA6

FRTB

EBA SREP

EBA Liquidity monitoringEU-wide ST

Reg cap CCP exposures

Reg cap CCP exposures

Supplementary leverage ratio

CCAR / DFAST

Concentration Large Exposures

New securitization framework

IRRBB review

Revised SA approach CR

TLAC2

CVA review

Source: Moody’s Analytics market research as of October 2015.1. The implementation of the LCR in the EU will be: 60% in 2015, 70% in 2016, 80% in 2017 and 100% in 2018. In the US, advanced-approach banks will have to meet 80% of the LCR by January 1, 2015 and 100% of the ratio by Jan. 2017.2. The G-SIB surcharge will expand the conservation buffer, subject to a 3 year phase in period. G-SIBs will be required to hold a minimum Total Loss-Absorbing Capacity” (TLAC) between 16% and 20% from 2019. 3. The new standardized approach (SA-CCR) replaces both the Current Exposure Method (CEM) and the Standardized Method (SM) in the capital adequacy framework.4. Regulatory framework for domestic systemically important banks in Australia5. Phase 2 will be implemented in 2015 and will focus on liquidity and Phase 3 will be implemented in 2016 and will focus on additional balance sheet data. banks (G-SIBs). 6. In 2015 the ECB will conduct a comprehensive assessment with 9 European banks

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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43January 6, 2016

Moody’s is a Seasoned Capital Markets Issuer

» Successfully issued across the maturity curve and in multiple currencies» Initial maturities ranging from 5-year to 30-year » Debt denominated in USD and EUR

0.0x

0.5x

1.0x

1.5x

2.0x

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 TTM*3Q'15

$ in

milli

ons

EBITDA** (L) Debt Outstanding*** (L) Gross Debt/EBITDA (R)

Private Placements» 2005: $300m 10yr note» 2007: $300m 10yr note

Public Bond Offerings» 2010: $500m 10yr bond» 2012: $500m 10yr bond» 2013: $500m 10yr bond» 2014: $450m 5yr bond

$300m 30yr bond

Eurobond Offering» 2015: €500m 12yr bond

*Trailing twelve months.**Amount is a non-GAAP measure. See Appendix for a reconciliation of this non-GAAP measure to its comparable US GAAP measure. ***Debt outstanding at end of period.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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Eligible Population MA MIS MCO Corporate Groups***

NEOs* and Other CEO Direct Reports**

• MCO Operating Income

• MCO EPS• MA Operating Income

• MCO Operating Income

• MCO EPS• MIS Operating Income

• MCO Operating Income

• MCO EPS

All Other Management** and Professional Staff

• MA Operating Income• MA Sales

• MIS Operating Income • MCO Operating Income

Annual Cash Incentives

Eligible Population MA MIS MCO Corporate Groups***

“Top 50” including NEOs* and Other CEO Direct Reports**

• MCO EBITDA****• MA Sales

• MCO EBITDA****• MIS Ratings Quality

• MCO EBITDA****• MA Sales• MIS Ratings Quality

Long-Term Stock Incentives – 3-Year Performance Share Plan

Incentive Compensation – Funding Metrics» Funding metrics differ based on level and individual areas of responsibility

» Payout to individual employees based on achievement of individual objectives

» Table below excludes Moody’s Sales team which is subject to a Commission Plan

*NEOs = Named Executive Officers as included in Moody’s proxy statements**Bonus plan for Chief Risk Officer and Compliance/Credit Policy automatically funds at 100% to avoid potential conflicts of interest. Payout to these employees is based on achievement of their individual non-financial goals. Excludes Copal Amba employees except Copal Amba CEO, whose metrics include Copal Amba Sales and Operating Income.***MCO Corporate Groups include Finance, Accounting, Legal, Human Resources, and others. CFO metrics also include Copal Amba operating income.****To better align long-term incentives with Moody’s acquisition strategy, EPS, which was one of the measures used prior to 2012, was replaced by EBITDA

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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45January 6, 2016

Moody’s Global PresenceIntroduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

*As of September 30, 2015.**As of September 30, 2014.

US employees non-US employees total employees**

US employees non-US employees total employees*

3,302 6,946 10,248

2015

3,033 6,704 9,737

2014

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Recurring Revenue DetailIntroduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Recurring Revenue

(in $ millions) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014TTM 3Q15

2010 –TTM 3Q15

CAGRCorporate Finance $ 155 $ 190 $ 226 $ 273 $ 327 $ 346 18%

Structured Finance $ 165 $ 165 $ 159 $ 151 $ 162 $ 163 0%

Financial Institutions $ 177 $ 194 $ 204 $ 219 $ 231 $ 230 6%

Public, Project, & Infrastructure Finance $ 111 $ 116 $ 126 $ 137 $ 148 $ 151 7%

MIS Other $ 9 $ 9 $ 11 $ 12 $ 14 $ 17 15%

Moody's Investors Service $ 616 $ 674 $ 725 $ 793 $ 882 $ 907 8%

Moody's Analytics $ 528 $ 563 $ 641 $ 697 $ 785 $ 847 10%

Moody's Corporation $ 1,144 $ 1,236 $ 1,366 $ 1,490 $ 1,668 $ 1,754 9%

Note: Table may not sum to total due to rounding.

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Adjusted Operating Income and Adjusted Operating Margin Reconciliation

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to GAAP

Moody's Corporation Operating Margin Guidance Reconciliation

*Guidance as of November 3, 2015.

(in $ millions) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014As Reported Operating Income $772.8 $888.4 $1,077.4 $1,234.6 $1,439.1Operating Margin 38.0% 39.0% 39.5% 41.5% 43.2%

Add Adjustment:Depreciation & Amortization 66.3 79.2 93.5 93.4 95.6

Restructuring 0.1 - - - -

Goodwill Impairment Charge - - 12.2 - -

Adjusted Operating Income $839.2 $967.6 $1,183.1 $1,328.0 $1,534.7Adjusted Operating Margin 41.3% 42.4% 43.3% 44.7% 46.0%

2015F*Projected Operating Margin - GAAP Approximately 43%Projected impact from Depreciation & Amortization Approximately 3%

Projected Adjusted Operating Margin Approximately 46%

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to GAAP (cont.)

Moody's Corporation Free Cash Flow Reconciliation

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

*Guidance as of November 3, 2015.

(in $ millions) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F*Cash Flow from Operations $ 653.3 $ 803.3 $ 823.1 $ 926.8 $ 1,018.6 Approximately $1.1 billion

Less Adjustment:Capital Expenditures $ 79.0 $ 67.7 $ 45.0 $ 42.3 $ 74.6 Approximately $90 million

Free Cash Flow $ 574.3 $ 735.6 $ 778.1 $ 884.5 $ 944.0 Approximately $1.0 billion

Cash Flow used in Investing Activities $ (228.8) $ (267.6) $ (50.2) $ (261.9) $ (564.9)Cash Flow provided by (used in) Financing Activities $ (241.3) $ (417.7) $ 202.6 $ (498.8) $ (1,064.5)

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49January 6, 2016

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to GAAP (cont.)

Moody's Corporation EPS Reconciliation

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

2010 2011 2012 2013 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 2014 1Q 2015

2Q 2015

3Q2015 2015F*

Diluted EPS - GAAP $2.15 $2.49 $3.05 $3.60 $1.00 $1.48 $1.00 $1.12 $4.61 $1.11 $1.28 $1.14 $4.55 - $4.65

Legacy Tax (0.02) (0.03) (0.06) (0.09) - - (0.03) - (0.03) - - (0.03) (0.03)Impact of litigation settlement - - - 0.14 - - - - - - - -ICRA Gain - - - - - (0.36) - - (0.37) - - -Diluted EPS – Non-GAAP $2.13 $2.46 $2.99 $3.65 $1.00 $1.12 $0.97 $1.12 $4.21 $1.11 $1.28 $1.11 $4.52 - $4.62

Note: Table may not sum to total due to rounding.*Guidance as of November 3, 2015.

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Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to GAAP (cont.)

Moody's Corporation EBITDA Reconciliation

Note: Table may not sum to total due to rounding.

($ Millions) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014TTM 3Q15

Net Income attributable to Moody's $560.8 $753.9 $701.5 $457.6 $402.0 $507.8 $571.4 $690.0 $804.5 $988.7 $959.7

Provision for Income Taxes $373.9 $506.6 $415.0 $268.2 $239.1 $201.0 $261.8 $324.3 $353.4 $455.0 $432.5 Interest Expense, Net ($5.0) ($3.0) $24.3 $52.2 $33.4 $52.5 $62.1 $63.8 $91.8 $116.8 $116.3 Depreciation & Amortization $35.2 $39.5 $42.9 $75.1 $64.1 $66.3 $79.2 $93.5 $93.4 $95.6 $111.8 EBITDA $964.9 $1,297.0 $1,183.7 $853.1 $738.6 $827.6 $974.5 $1,171.6 $1,343.1 $1,656.1 $1,620.3

Introduction | Financial Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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Website: http://ir.moodys.com

Email: [email protected]

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52January 6, 2016

© 2015 Moody’s Corporation, Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their licensors and affiliates (collectively, “MOODY’S”). All rights reserved.

CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. AND ITS RATINGS AFFILIATES (“MIS”) ARE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S (“MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS”) MAY INCLUDE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES. MOODY’S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL, FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS MAY ALSO INCLUDE QUANTITATIVE MODEL-BASED ESTIMATES OF CREDIT RISK AND RELATED OPINIONS OR COMMENTARY PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S ANALYTICS, INC. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. NEITHER CREDIT RATINGS NOR MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY’S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS AND PUBLISHES MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL, WITH DUE CARE, MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.

MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE BY RETAIL INVESTORS AND IT WOULD BE RECKLESS FOR RETAIL INVESTORS TO CONSIDER MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS OR MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS IN MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION. IF IN DOUBT YOU SHOULD CONTACT YOUR FINANCIAL OR OTHER PROFESSIONAL ADVISER.

ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, COPYRIGHT LAW, AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED, DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODY’S PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT.

All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY’S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided “AS IS” without warranty of any kind. MOODY'S adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources MOODY'S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, MOODY’S is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process or in preparing the Moody’s Publications.

To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability to any person or entity for any indirect, special, consequential, or incidental losses or damages whatsoever arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information, even if MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers is advised in advance of the possibility of such losses or damages, including but not limited to: (a) any loss of present or prospective profits or (b) any loss or damage arising where the relevant financial instrument is not the subject of a particular credit rating assigned by MOODY’S.

To the extent permitted by law, MOODY’S and its directors, officers, employees, agents,

representatives, licensors and suppliers disclaim liability for any direct or compensatory losses or damages caused to any person or entity, including but not limited to by any negligence (but excluding fraud, willful misconduct or any other type of liability that, for the avoidance of doubt, by law cannot be excluded) on the part of, or any contingency within or beyond the control of, MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees, agents, representatives, licensors or suppliers, arising from or in connection with the information contained herein or the use of or inability to use any such information.

NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH RATING OR OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODY’S IN ANY FORM OR MANNER WHATSOEVER.

Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody’s Corporation (“MCO”), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,500 to approximately $2,500,000. MCO and MIS also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of MIS’s ratings and rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold ratings from MIS and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading “Investor Relations — Corporate Governance — Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy.”

For Australia only: Any publication into Australia of this document is pursuant to the Australian Financial Services License of MOODY’S affiliate, Moody’s Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399 657AFSL 336969 and/or Moody’s Analytics Australia Pty Ltd ABN 94 105 136 972 AFSL 383569 (as applicable). This document is intended to be provided only to “wholesale clients” within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. By continuing to access this document from within Australia, you represent to MOODY’S that you are, or are accessing the document as a representative of, a “wholesale client” and that neither you nor the entity you represent will directly or indirectly disseminate this document or its contents to “retail clients” within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. MOODY’S credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail clients. It would be dangerous for “retail clients” to make any investment decision based on MOODY’S credit rating. If in doubt you should contact your financial or other professional adviser.

For Japan only: Moody's Japan K.K. (“MJKK”) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Group Japan G.K., which is wholly-owned by Moody’s Overseas Holdings Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of MCO. Moody’s SF Japan K.K. (“MSFJ”) is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of MJKK. MSFJ is not a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization (“NRSRO”). Therefore, credit ratings assigned by MSFJ are Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings. Non-NRSRO Credit Ratings are assigned by an entity that is not a NRSRO and, consequently, the rated obligation will not qualify for certain types of treatment under US laws. MJKK and MSFJ are credit rating agencies registered with the Japan Financial Services Agency and their registration numbers are FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. 2 and 3 respectively.

MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) hereby disclose that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to MJKK or MSFJ (as applicable) for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from JPY200,000 to approximately JPY350,000,000.

MJKK and MSFJ also maintain policies and procedures to address Japanese regulatory requirements.