MDG-F 1656: Strengthening the Philippines' Institutional Capacity to

Adapt to Climate Change

Presented by:Mr. Ricardo M. Sandalo

Programme Manager

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment

Report

(IPCC AR4)

Warming of the climate system is

UNEQUIVOCAL!UNEQUIVOCAL!

on climate trendson climate trends

Recent observations show that ghg emissions and many aspects of the climate are changing near the upper boundary of IPCC projections.

global mean temperature

sea-level rise

Arctic sea-ice extent

CO2 emissions

Methane emissions

Green House Gases

Global Warming

Climate Change

Warmer and more frequent hot days and nights, heat waves over most land areas (99% probability)

More frequent rainfall events over most areas resulting in increased flood, landslide, soil erosion, mudslide, etc. (90% probability)

Increase in tropical cyclone wind and rainfall intensities in some areas. (67% probability)

What to expect in the 21What to expect in the 21stst Century?Century?

s

Humanity is in a new and unprecedented situation;

Accelerated sea level rise (resulting to freshwater intrusion);

Decreased freshwater availability and/or aggravated water scarcity in some areas;

Increased runoff, soil erosion and flooding in others;

Increased frequency of extreme climate event; (considerable damage to agricultural production);

Shifts in ecosystem service provision

Mitigation?

Adaptation?

Current knowledge about responding to climate change

Adaptation is necessary to address impacts resulting from the warming which is already unavoidable

IPCC definition of adaptation An adjustment in natural human

systems in response to actual or expected climate stimuli or their effects, which moderate harm or exploits benefit opportunities

Adaptation means pro-active planning for a range of possible future scenarios

UN-GOP Joint Programme

TitleTitle Strengthening the Strengthening the Philippines’ Institutional Philippines’ Institutional Capacity to Adapt to Capacity to Adapt to Climate ChangeClimate Change

PartnersPartners 9 GOP and 6 UN agencies9 GOP and 6 UN agencies

DurationDuration 3 years (2008-2010)3 years (2008-2010)

AmountAmount 8 million USD8 million USD

OutcomeOutcomess

1. CRR mainstreaming in dev’t 1. CRR mainstreaming in dev’t planningplanning2. Capacity building and awareness2. Capacity building and awareness3. Demonstration and up-scaling3. Demonstration and up-scaling

Examples of Adaptation Water Conservation Water Harvesting and Storage Better Management of Water

Supply Systems Agriculture: forecasts and early

warning Diversify crops and livestock Irrigation solutions

Use of early maturing rice varieties Conserve rain water to extend

cropping period Develop rapid harvesting and

postharvesting Changes in fish stocking and

harvesting Improve fish cage management

Improve access to health care Disease monitoring and emergency

responses Construct sea walls Raise housing Elevate major thoroughfare Modify existing drainage system “Flood-proof” buildings

Hazard mapping and flood warnings

Temporary shelters for affected communities

Relocation Empower communities