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Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases Department of Medicine University of Alberta

Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

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Page 1: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV

Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Department of Medicine University of Alberta

Page 2: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Learning Objectives

§  To know the currently recommended therapy for chronic HCV infection by genotype

§  To be aware of simpler PegIFN + RBV containing triple therapies for HCV genotype 1 that are expected to be available in Canada in 2014

§  To be aware of promising IFN-free regimens for HCV

§  To be aware of the pros and cons of treating patients for HCV now versus deferring treatment, and how to discuss this with patients

Page 3: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Hepatitis C Epidemiology

§  ~170 million cases worldwide (c/w ~34M with HIV)

§  HCV is the leading cause of chronic liver disease, cirrhosis, liver failure and liver cancer in western countries

§  HCV is the leading indication for liver transplantation worldwide (~40-50% of cases)

§  Unlike HAV & HBV, no vaccine is available (or imminent)

§  HCV is curable with a finite course of antiviral therapy

§  6 major genotypes of HCV exist worldwide (1 to 6), and genotypes can be subtyped, e.g. 1a, 1b, etc.

Page 4: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Jaundice

Ascites

Esophageal Varices/ GI bleed

Hepatic Encephalopathy

Liver Cancer

What We’re Trying to Prevent with Successful Treatment of HCV

Page 5: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

What Else Successful HCV Treatment Can Cure/Prevent

§  Resolution of porphyria cutanea tarda (PCT)

§  Resolution of membranoproliferative glomerulonephritis (MPGN)

§  Resolution of symptomatic cryoglobulinemia (rash, arthritis)

§  Vertical transmission (if women are cured before becoming pregnant)

§  ? Sexual transmission in HIV+ MSM

Page 6: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Curing HCV Saves Lives in the HCV Mono-infected

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

10

20

30 10-year occurence SVR: 1.9% (95%CI 0.0-4.1) non-SVR: 27.4% (95%CI 22.0-32.8)

p<0.001

Follow-up time, years

LR-M

orta

lity,%

Van der Meer AJ, et al. JAMA 2012;308:2584-93.

SVR

Non-SVR

Long-term follow-up of patients treated for HCV with F3/F4 at baseline

Live

r Rel

ated

Mor

talit

y %

Liver Related Mortality

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

10

20

30 10-year occurence SVR: 8.9% (95%CI 3.3-14.5) non-SVR: 26.0% (95%CI 20.2-28.4)

p<0.001

Follow-up time, years

Ove

rall

Mor

talit

y,%

All Cause Mortality

SVR

Non-SVR

Page 7: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) Incidence is Markedly Reduced Post-SVR

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

10

20

30 10-year occurence SVR: 5.1% (95%CI 1.3-8.9) non-SVR: 21.8% (95%CI 16.6-27.0)

p<0.001

Follow-up time, years

HC

C,%

SVR

Non-SVR

Van der Meer AJ, et al. JAMA 2012;308:2584-93.

Page 8: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Berenguer J, et al. Hepatology 2009;50:407-13.

Curing HCV Also Saves Lives in the HIV-HCV Co-infected

All Cause Mortality Liver Related Mortality

Page 9: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Burden of HCV in Canada

§  ~8,000 incident cases annually (>80% IDUs) §  Proportion diagnosed uncertain §  HCV-related complications rising §  Insufficient manpower to treat all cases

Remis R, et al. PHAC 2007

800 900

700 600 500 400 300 200 100

0 1967 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 2022 2027

Year

Cirrhosis

Decomp

HCC Transplant M

odel

led

inci

denc

e

Page 10: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Projected HCV Related Cirrhosis and HCC in the USA

Davis GL, et al. Gastroenterology 2010; 138: 513-21.

HCC

Cirrhosis

111111111111111111111111

Page 11: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Davis GL, et al. Gastroenterology 2010; 138: 513-21.

* Assumes 30% Dx & up to 25% Rx’d in 2010. Outcomes at 2020.

Anti-HCV Therapy Uptake Must be Greatly Increased to Make a Societal Impact

30

20

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Live

r-re

late

d de

ath

vs. n

o tre

atm

ent (

%)

Current* 25% 50% 75% 100%

Proportion of population treated

80% SVR rate 60% SVR rate 40% SVR rate

Page 12: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Annual Age-Adjusted Mortality of HIV, HCV and HBV in the USA, 1999-2007

Ly K, et al. Ann Intern Med 2012;156:271-8.

Page 13: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Distribution of HCV Genotypes in Alberta and the United States

Genotype 1 73%

GT 2 14%

GT 3 8%

Mixed Genotypes 4% Others

(<1%)

Blatt M, et al. J Viral Hepatitis 2000;7:196-202.

Genotype 1 66%

GT 3 21%

GT 2 11%

GT 4 1.2%

GT 6 0.4%

Tang J. Alberta Provincial Laboratory of Public Health

n=6807 n=14,192 (2000-2012)

Page 14: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Importance of HCV Genotype 1

§  The most common HCV genotype worldwide

§  Responds less well to interferon (IFN) ± ribavirin (RBV) therapy than do other genotypes

§  Requires 48 weeks of therapy with PegIFNα + RBV vs 24 weeks for genotypes 2 and 3

§  Expected cure rates with PegIFNα + RBV dual Rx: §  Genotype 1 ~45% (~25% in the HIV co-infected) §  Genotype 2 ~85% §  Genotype 3 ~75% (~62% in the HIV co-infected) §  Genotype 4 ~65%

Page 15: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

SVR in GT 1 Treatment Naïve Patients Over Time (up to 2011)

10

17

44

IFN 24 wk

32

2

SV

R (

%)

IFN 48 wk

IFN+ RBV

24 wk

IFN+ RBV

48 wk

PegIFN + RBV 48 wk

HISTORICAL

63

75

BOC Wk 4-28 + RGT PR 28

or 48 wk

TVR Wk 0-12 + RGT PR 24

or 48 wk

38

PR 48 wk

PR 48 wk

44

SPRINT-2 (boceprevir)

ADVANCE (telaprevir)

P<0.001 P<0.001

Page 16: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Hepatic Fibrosis Adversely Affects Response Rates to HCV Rx

§  SVR rates decline with advancing degrees of hepatic fibrosis

§  The adverse effect of increasing hepatic fibrosis on SVR is strongest with dual Rx with PR, but is still true of DAA-based therapy

§  So, the clinical reality: those HCV patients who most need to be cured have lower cure rates than those in whom treatment is not urgent

Page 17: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

60

51

10

F0

31

70

SVR

(%)

F1 F2 F3 F4

Effect of Hepatic Fibrosis (METAVIR) on SVR in G1

1.  Cheng WSC, et al. J Hepatol 2010;53:616-23. 2.  Jacobson I, et al. NEJM 2011;364:2405-16.

3.  Lawitz E, et al. N Engl J Med 2013;368:1878-87.

53 211 234 97 30 n

PR

81 75

62 62

F0/1 F2 F3 F4

PR + TVR

134 156 52 21

* 89% were G1; 11% G4-6

PR + SOF* 92

80

F4 F0-3

273 54

Page 18: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Prior Treatment Status Strongly Affects SVR Rates with PR + BOC/TVR

Page 19: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Patterns of Virologic Response to PR Therapy

Sustained responder

(SVR = cure)

Null responder (<2 log10 decline in 12 wk)

Baseline Treatment

Time

HCV RNA Undetectable

HC

V R

NA

Relapser

Detection limit

6 months

Partial responder (> 2 log10 decline at 12 wk

but never negative)

Non responders

Page 20: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Triple Therapy with PR + Boceprevir or Telaprevir: SVR by Prior PR Treatment

0

20

40

60

80

100

Pat

ient

s (%

)

Relapsers1

69

n /N = 72/105

Poordad F, et al. NEJM 2011;364:1195-206. Bacon B, et al. NEJM 2011;364:1207-17.

Vierling J, et al. AASLD 2011; Abstract 931. Jacobson I, et al. NEJM 2011;364:2405-16. Zeuzem S, et al. NEJM 2011;364:2417-28.

Sherman K, et al. NEJM 2011;365:1014-24.

19/47 2357

40 40

Partial1,2 Null 3

1.  RGT groups in SPRINT-2 and REDPOND-2 2.  Both RGT and 48 week groups in prior partial responders 3.  PR4 PRB44 in PROVIDE 4.  Both T12PR48 groups combined from REALIZE 5.  ADVANCE and ILLUMINATE combined

Relapsers4 Partial4 Null 4

86

245/286

63

233/368

Naive1 Naive5

73

659/903

57

55/97

31

46/147

Boceprevir Telaprevir

52

3058

RGT 48wk

Page 21: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Null Response to Prior PR Therapy Plus Cirrhosis: A Bad Combination for Current Triple Rx

(all treated with PR + TVR in REALIZE)

0

20

40

60

80

100

SVR

(%)

n/N = 24/59

Pol S, et al. AASLD 2011.

41 42

16/38

14

7/50

F0/1/2

F3 F4

Page 22: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Challenges with BOC/TVR-based Therapy

BOC = 12/d TVR = 6/d

Pill Burden Food Requirement

CYP3A4 PI Metabolites

Drug-Drug Interactions

Resistance RBV = 4-7/d

Page 23: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Compatibility of BOC or TVR with ARVs Specific ARVs Boceprevir Telaprevir NRTIs ZDV, d4T, ddI Not recommended (NR) with PegIFN + RBV 3TC, FTC, TDF Compatible Abacavir 11 patients; probably OK No data; probably OK NNRTIs Efavirenz NR (44% BOC Cmin) OK with 50% TVR dose (47% TVR Cmin) Nevirapine No data No data Rilpivirine Compatible Etravirine NR (29% ETR Cmin) Compatible PIs Atazanavir/r NR (49% ATZ Cmin) Compatible Darunavir/r NR (59% DRV Cmin, 35%BOC Cmin) NR (42% DRV Cmin, 32% TVR Cmin)

Lopinavir/r NR (43% LPV Cmin, 57%BOC Cmin) NR (53% TVR Cmin)

Fosamprenavir/r No data NR (56% FPV Cmin, 30% TVR Cmin)

Others Raltegravir Compatible Dolutegravir Compatible Maraviroc 3.0-fold MVC AUC 9.5-fold MVC AUC

Page 24: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Treating Cirrhotic Patients with PR + BOC or TVR: Not for the Faint of Heart

§  SVR rates, while much improved compared with dual PR Rx, are still lower than in non cirrhotics

§  RGT not recommended in cirrhotics. 48 weeks of PR is recommended for all cirrhotics, even if rapid HCV RNA clearance occurs

§  Higher rate of anemia than in non cirrhotics §  Higher rate of thrombocytopenia than in non cirrhotics §  Risk of sepsis §  Risk of hepatic decompensation §  Risk of death

Page 25: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

CUPIC: Patient Baseline Demographics and Disease Characteristics

(patients were NOT randomized)

Characteristic Telaprevir N=295

Boceprevir N=190

Male, % 201 (68) 133 (70)

Mean age, years (range) Mean BMI, SD (kg/m2)

57 (27-83) 26.5 (18.2-40.4)

57 (34–79) 26.2 (18.1-39.4)

HCV genotype 1 subtype, n (%) 1a 1b Other

98 (33)

162 (55) 33 (11)

77 (41) 96 (51) 16 (8)

HCV RNA ≥ 800,000 IU/mL, n (%) 182 (62) 122 (64) Treatment history, n (%)

Prior relapse Prior partial response Prior null response Others

116 (39) 135 (46) 28 (10) 15 (5)

85 (45) 80 (42)

9 (5) 16 (8)

Exclusion criteria, n (%) REALIZE (TVR) RESPOND-2 (BOC)

99 (34)

137 (46)

52 (27) 73 (38)

Fontaine H, et al. EASL 2013. Abstract 60.

Page 26: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

CUPIC: SVR12 According to Prior Treatment Response

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

100

61/116 43/135 8/28

Relapsers

Partial responders

Null responders

53%

32% 29%

p = 0.004

p = 0.001

p = 0.03

TELAPREVIR

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

100

43/85 32/80 1/9

Relapsers

Partial responders

Null responders

51%

40%

11%

p = 0.003

BOCEPREVIR

Fontaine H, et al. EASL 2013. Abstract 60.

Page 27: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

CUPIC: Which Cirrhotics Get in Trouble? Combined Incidence of Sepsis, Liver

Decompensation and Death in Cirrhotics Treated with PR + BOC or TVR, n=429

Platelets > 100,000

Platelets ≤ 100,000

Albumin ≥ 35 3.4% (10/298) 4.3% (3/69) Albumin < 35 7.1% (2/28) 44.1% (15/34)

Fontaine H, et al. EASL 2013. Abstract 60.

Only 8% of patients in CUPIC

Page 28: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

HCV: Treat Now or Wait for Better Treatment Options?

Now Later

Page 29: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Factors to Consider in Deciding Whom to Treat for HCV

Individualize Decision

Patient wishes

Probability of SVR

Comorbidities

Life expectancy

Anticipated availability of better therapy

Severity of liver disease

Presence of extra-hepatic

disease

Concern about infectivity

Risk of Reinfection

Page 30: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Important Comorbidities to Consider in Deciding Whether to Treat for HCV

§  Injection drug use § Risk of reinfection § Commitment to Rx

§  Non injection drug abuse, including EtOH §  Mental illness §  Concomitant medications §  Competing risks for mortality §  Patient motivation

Page 31: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

The Case for Treating HCV Now

Now

Page 32: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

The Case for Treating HCV Now

§  The glass is more than half full. Current treatment can cure > 60% of Rx naïve patients with GTs 1-4.

§  Some patients want treatment now. §  Some patients need treatment now. §  Some patients who are deferred will be lost to

follow-up. §  Some patients who are deferred will develop

comorbidities which make future treatment more difficult, or occasionally contraindicated.

§  Some patients who are deferred will experience disease progression to the point that IFN-based treatment is not possible.

Page 33: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

The Case for Treating HCV Now

§  Public reimbursement of first generation DAAs in Canada was so slow that it bodes poorly for subsequent DAAs.

§  The next advance in treatment for G1 is still PR-based triple therapy, so that PR-related AEs won’t be avoided.

§  PR + BOC/TVR failures can be “rescued” with SOF + DCV, so no need to fear triple Rx treatment failure.

§  We simply don’t know: §  When the new DAAs will be readily available

(i.e. publicly funded) §  Under what conditions they will be available

Page 34: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

The Case for Treating HCV Later

Later

Page 35: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

The Case for Treating HCV Later

§  Some patients will never develop advanced liver disease. They will die of other natural causes and HCV Rx would have been an unnecessary use of resources with decreased QoL while on treatment.

§  Hepatic fibrosis occurs very slowly. With FibroScan, fibrosis can easily be monitored frequently, and treatment started in the F2-F3 range, before cirrhosis occurs. This strategy will reduce the numbers of patients who receive IFN (all GTs) and first generation DAAs (G1).

Page 36: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

The Case for Treating HCV Later

§  Current therapy is not well tolerated, resulting in reduced QoL, time off work, occasional severe adverse effects, and rare cases of death.

§  A significant proportion of patients will not accept IFN-based therapy.

§  Some patients have contraindications to current therapy, including patients with advanced cirrhosis.

§  Some patients have a very low probability of SVR with current Rx (esp. cirrhotic null responders to PR Rx).

Page 37: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

The Case for Treating HCV Later

§  Better tolerated PR-based triple therapy are likely to be available in 12-18 months. The increased risk of anemia with BOC/TVR and rash with TVR can be avoided.

§  IFN-free therapy may be available in ~2 years. This will reduce adverse effects significantly and eliminate nearly all work absenteeism.

Page 38: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

DAAs Under Development

Phase of Development

NS3 PIs (“previrs”)

NS5A Inhibitors (“asvirs”)

Nucleoside NS5B

Polymerase Inhibitors (“buvirs”)

Non nucleoside NS5B

Polymerase Inhibitors (“buvirs”)

Filed/Phase 3 Simeprevir Sofosbuvir Phase 3 Faldaprevir Daclatasvir ABT-333

ABT-450/r ABT-267 BI-207127 Ledipasvir

Phase 2 Asunaprevir IDX-719 Mericitabine Tegobuvir Sovaprevir PPI-668 VX-135 Setrobuvir Danoprevir/r GS-5816 VX-222 GS-9451 ACH-3102 TMC-647055 MK-5172 MK-8742 GS-9669

GSK-2336805 PPI-383 BMS-791325

Page 39: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Simeprevir Phase 3 SVR12 Results P

atie

nts

achi

evin

g S

VR

12, %

QUEST-1 QUEST-2 PROMISE

Pbo + PR48

SMV + PR

Pbo + PR48

SMV + PR

Pbo + PR48

SMV + PR

Treatment Naive Relapsers to Prior PR

65 130

67 134

49 133

208 257

211 264

205 260

n N

§  85-93% of SMV treated patients met criteria for 24 week PR Rx

Jacobson I, et al., Manns M, et al. EASL 2013.

§  Presence of Q80K polymorphism in G1a reduces PR + SMV SVR to 60% (present in 34% of G1a patients in QUEST-1 and 2.)

Page 40: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

NEUTRINO Phase 3 Clinical Trial of PegIFN + RBV + SOF x 12 wk in G1, 4, 5, 6 Treatment Naive: SVR12

Overall G4-6

90 97

SVR

(%)

89

G1

295 327

261 292

34 35

Lawitz E, et al. N Engl J Med 2013;368:1878-87.

All failures were due to relapse; no SOF resistance detected.

Page 41: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Jacobson et al, Nelson et al, Gane et al. EASL 2013. Amsterdam.

POSITRON PegIFN-unable

SOF + RBV, n=207

PBO, n=71

SVR12

FUSION Treatment Experienced

SOF + RBV, n=103 PBO

SOF + RBV, n=98

SVR12

SVR12

0 12 16 24 36 Week

FISSION Treatment Naïve

SOF + RBV, n=256

PegIFN-2a + RBV 800, n=243

SVR12

SVR12

Sofosbuvir Phase 3 Studies for GT2 and 3

Page 42: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

SOF + RBV Phase 3 Clinical Trials in GT2 and 3: SVR12

FISSION (Rx naïve) (72% G3)

FUSION (prior PR failures) (63% G3)

SVR

(%)

PegIFNα-2a 180 + RBV 800 x 24 wk

SOF 400 + RBV 1000/1200 x 12 wk

POSITRON (47% G3)

67

170 253

78

161 207

67

162 243

50

50 100

73

69 95

SOF 400 + RBV 1000/1200 x 16 wk Jacobson et al, Nelson et al, Gane et al. EASL 2013. Amsterdam.

78

97

G2 G2

52 67

68 70

63

56

G3 G3

110 176

102 183

93

G2

61

G3

101 109

60 98

30

62

G3 G3

39 63

19 64

86

94

G2 G2

30 32

31 36

All SOF + RBV failures were due to relapse; no SOF resistance detected.

Page 43: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

IFN-free Treatment for GT 1

Page 44: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

IFN-Free Rx for HCV GT1 §  Between EASL 2011 and CROI 2013, 7 pharmaceutical companies

have demonstrated IFN-free cures in GT1:

Company IFN-free regimen Comments

AbbVie ABT-450/rABT-267 + ABT-333 + RBV 12 wk regimen; SVR12 77/79 (98%) in phase 2; now in phase 3; ABT-450/ABT-267/r one pill

Boehringer Ingelheim FDV + BI 207127 + RBV In phase 3 for genotype 1b

BMS DCV + Asunaprevir Genotype 1b only; ASV has hepatotoxicity Gilead SOF + RBV Relapse is a problem in G1 (and G3) Gilead GS-9451 + LDV +TGV + RBV Borderline potency; no further development Gilead SOF + LDV ± RBV 12 wk regimen; SOF/LDV now co-formulated Roche Danoprevir/r + Mericitabine + RBV Genotype 1b only; development uncertain Vertex TVR + VX-222 + RBV Potency marginal (BT and relapse), esp in 1a BMS + Gilead DCV + SOF Impressive in G1,2,3; Gilead will “fly solo”

by combining SOF with their own NS5A LDV Janssen + Gilead Simeprevir + SOF ± RBV 12 & 24 wk regimens being studied, with and

without RBV;

Page 45: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

SVR24

§  SVR12 in all 68 patients who have reached time point

SVR Rates With SOF + DCV ± RBV x 24 or 12 Wk (all non cirrhotic, treatment naive)

Sulkowski MS, et al. AASLD 2012. Abstract LB-2.

SOF + DCV + RBV SOF LI + DCV SOF + DCV

93

GT2/3

88 93 94

GT1

HC

V R

NA

< LL

OQ

(%)

100

80

60

40

20

0 EOT* SVR24 EOT*

100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

*EOT includes patients who discontinued early, with last visit considered EOT.

24 week treatment arms

SOF + DCV (12 wk) SOF + DCV + RBV (12 wk)

100

80

60

40

20

EOT* SVR4

98 95 100 100

0

12 week treatment arms

Page 46: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Sulkowski M, et al. EASL 2013. Abstract 1417.

Page 47: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Sulkowski M, et al. EASL 2013. Abstract 1417.

Page 48: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

SOF + RBV (treatment-naïve)

SOF + RBV (PR null responders)

84% SVR12

10% SVR12

Week 0 Week 4 Week 8 Week 12

n = 10

n = 25

ELECTRON GT1 Update: CROI 2013

n = 25 SOF + LDV + RBV (treatment-naïve)

n = 9 SOF + LDV + RBV (PR null responders)

Addition of the HCV NS5A inhibitor ledipasvir was studied in the hope that it would reduce relapse, as suggested in AI444-040

100% SVR12

100% SVR12

4 clinical trials with SOF/LDV FDC ± RBV are ongoing:

§  ION-1 (treatment naïve, n=800) §  ION-2 (treatment experienced, n= 400, fully enrolled) §  ION-3 (treatment naïve, non-cirrhotic, n= 600) §  LONESTAR (treatment naive and triple Rx failures, n=100, fully enrolled)

Gane E, et al. CROI 2013; Atlanta. 41LB. Gilead Press Releases. Jan 7, Mar 26, May 2, 2013.

Page 49: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

LONESTAR Preliminary Results

Treatment Duration Population Results SOF + LDV 8 wk G1 naive 95% (19/20) SVR8 SOF + LDV + RBV 8 wk G1 naive 100% (21/21) SVR 8 SOF + LDV 12 wk G1 naive 100% (19/19) SVR4 SOF + LDV 12 wk G1 TF 95% (18/19) SVR4 SOF + LDV + RBV 12 wk G1 TF 95% (20/21) SVR4

Gilead Press Release. May 2, 2013.

ION-3 will randomize 600 non-cirrhotic G1 treatment naïve patients to:

SOF + LDV x 8 wk SOF + LDV + RBV x 12 wk SOF + LDV x 12 wk

Page 50: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Aviator Study: IFN-Free in HCV GT1, non Cirrhotics

450/267/333/RBV

450/333/RBV

450/267/RBV

450/267/333

450/267/333/RBV

450/267/333/RBV

450/267/RBV

450/267/333/RBV

450/267/333/RBV

n 80

41

79

79

79

80

45

45

43

ABT-450/r Dose (QD)

150/100

150/100

150/100

200/100

Wk 8 Wk 12

Wk 24

PR Null Responders

Treatment Naive

HCV GT1, non cirrhotics; RBV dose 1000/1200 mg/d; ABT-267 dose 25 mg QD; ABT-333 dose 400 mg BID

100/100, 200/100

100/100, 150/100

100/100, 150/100

100/100, 150/100

100/100, 150/100

Kowley KV, et al. AASLD 2012. ABT-450 is a NS3 PI; ABT-267 is a NS5AI; ABT-333 is a NNI

Page 51: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

AVIATOR: SVR12 Rates With ABT-450/RTV, ABT-267, ABT-333, and RBV

§  SVR12 rates ~100% in pts with GT1b HCV but also high in pts with GT1a HCV §  12-wk regimen with all 3 DAAs + RBV produced highest SVR12 rates

§  No drug-related SAEs reported; 2 pts discontinued tx due to drug-related AEs

8 wks 12 wks 12 wks

82 86

0

20

40

60

80

100

SV

R12

(%)

96 100 100 100 100 100

84 96

56 24

79

100

29 12

85

100

52 27

83 96

52 25

96 100

54 25

81

100

26 18

89 100

28 17

Observed data (above bar)

ITT (within bar)

n =

81

98 88 88

100 89

1a 1b 1a 1b 1a 1b 1a 1b 1a 1b 1a 1b 1a 1b ABT-450 ABT-267 ABT-333

RBV

ABT-450 ABT-333

RBV

ABT-450 ABT-267

RBV

ABT-450 ABT-267 ABT-333

ABT-450 ABT-267 ABT-333

RBV

ABT-450 ABT-267

RBV

ABT-450 ABT-267 ABT-333

RBV

Treatment-Naive Patients Prior Null Responders

Kowdley KV, et al. AASLD 2012. Abstract LB-1.

Page 52: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Aviator Follow-Up

§  Phase 3 trials of ABT-450/r + ABT-267 + ABT-333 + RBV started in Q1 2013, separately in GT1 naïve and GT1 treatment failure populations in non-cirrhotics (SAPPHIRE-1 and SAPPHIRE-2) and separately in cirrhotics (TURQUOISE-1)

§  These studies use a single tablet of co-formulated ABT-450/ABT-267/ritonavir

§  ABT-333 and RBV are dosed separately

§  SVR data are expected Q4 2013 (noncirrhotics) and Q2 2014 (cirrhotics)

Page 53: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

So, which patients should we treat for HCV now?

Page 54: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Patients to Treat Now for HCV: Treatment Naive Non G1

§  All, unless contra-indicated

G1, independent of fibrosis §  Extra-hepatic disease (PCT, MPGN, etc) §  Surgeons and dentists §  Young women who wish to have HCV cleared before

becoming pregnant G1, dependent on fibrosis

§  F2 and F3 disease §  Cirrhotics with albumin > 35 and PLT > 90 §  F0-1 disease, if patients are keen to be treated AND

they are informed that they have the alternative of waiting for IFN-free therapy

Page 55: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Patients to Treat Now for HCV: Treatment Failure

Non G1 §  None, unless under-dosed and/or poorly adherent

G1 relapsers to PR §  These patents have a higher probability of achieving

SVR with PR + BOC/TVR than treatment naïve patients. They should generally be treated now.

G1b partial responders to PR §  These patients have acceptable SVR rates to triple

therapy (19/40 [48%] in BOC phase 3 trials and 27/40 (68%) in TVR phase 3 trial; They are worth considering for treatment now.

Page 56: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

CUPIC Multivariate Analysis: Baseline Predictors of SVR

Predictors OR 95%CI p-value Relapser vs Partial or null responders

2.03

1.38-3.00

0.0003

Genotype 1b vs Genotype non 1b

1.92

1.3-2.84

0.0011

Fontaine H, et al. EASL 2013. Abstract 60.

G1b is more response than G1a to HIV NS3 PIs

Page 57: Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV€¦ · Meeting the Current and Future Challenges of HCV Stephen D. Shafran, MD, FRCPC, FACP Professor, Division of Infectious Diseases

Patients to Treat Now for HCV: Treatment Failure

G1a partial responders to PR §  These patients have borderline SVR rates to triple

therapy (21/53 [48%] in BOC phase 3 trials and 25/55 (47%) in TVR phase 3 trial.

§  I favor deferral if F0-2, but will treat if patients insist

G1 null responders to PR §  These patients have low SVR rates with current triple

Rx, especially if cirrhotic. §  I favor deferral