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Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗罗罗罗 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 罗罗罗罗罗罗罗罗罗罗罗罗罗 [email protected] Center for International Cooperation 罗罗罗罗罗罗 DHI Record Analysis In 罗罗 farms DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011 罗罗 罗罗罗罗 罗罗罗罗 :()

Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

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Center for International Cooperation 国际合作中心. DHI Record Analysis In 三元 farms. Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家. [email protected]. 翻译:付海涵(阿菲金). I’m coming from Israel 我来自以色列. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Meori Rosen Ph.D.罗森博士Expert for Dairy Farm Management

EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家[email protected]

Center for International Cooperation国际合作中心

DHI Record Analysis In 三元

farms

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

翻译:付海涵(阿菲金)

Page 2: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

I’m coming from Israel我来自以色列

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 3: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

How DHI system works in Israel ?以色列 DHI 系统是如何运行的?

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 4: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Registration of bulls and cows 牛只注册(包括公牛) Data recording (input) 数据记录(录入) Data validation (logic tests) 数据校验(逻辑校验) Data processing (statistical analysis) 数据处理(数理统计) Genetic evaluation 遗传评估 Special professional production reports (output) 专业化生产报告(输出)

THE ISRAELI DHI – HERD-BOOK以色列 DHI 牛群登记

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 5: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

INSEMINATIONSERVICES配种服务

Sires, Inseminations

LABORATORYof MILK

PRODUCTIONCONTROL牛奶质量实验室控制

Fat, Protein, SCC脂肪,蛋白,体细胞

LABORATORYof MASTITIS

CONTROL实验室细菌数控制

DAIRY FARMS牧场

Milk, Data, Events产奶、数据和事件

VETERINARYDAIRY ASSOC.奶牛兽医组织

Diagnosis, Treatments, Pathology诊断、治疗和病理DAIRY

PLANTS饲草饲料 Bulk MilkInformation主要奶业信息

DHI HERD BOOK DATA BANK

DHI 牛群登记数据库 BREEDING SYSTEM育种系统STATISTICREPORTS统计报告

WEB NETWORKWeb 网络

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 6: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

DATA and EVENTS out of

NORMAL VALUES异常数据和事件REGULAR

REPORTS onPRODUCTIVITY生产常规报告

HEALTHREPORTS健康报告

FERTILITYREPORTS繁育报告

GENETICEVALUATIONS遗传评定

REPORTS onindividualCOWS个体牛只报告

BREEDING SYSTEM育种系统

STATISTIC REPORTS统计报表

DHIHERDBOOK

DATABANK

DHI 牛群登记数据库

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 7: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

When all this started in Israel and what has been achieved ?在以色列,这一切从什么时候开始,而我们又得到了什么?

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 8: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

DHI-recording system summary in Israel – 1939 - 2009Year年份 Herds牛群 Cows牛只 Cow/year Cow/year

Fat %乳脂率 Cow/year1934 12 1,029 3,690 136 3.691939 31 2,878 3,847 139 3.61

1944 69 5,303 4,227 150 3.551949 88 8,733 4,044 142 3.51

1954 198 14,337 4,197 149 3.551959 181 16,917 5,347 186 3.48

1964 202 24,013 5,694 186 3.271969 212 34,132 6,271 204 3.25

1974 214 47,161 6,833 220 3.221979 212 61,947 7,855 256 3.26

1984 205 66,000 8,734 287 3.291989 479 72,645 9,092 288 3.17 273 3.00 561

1994 802 92,175 9,748 302 3.10 289 2.96 5911999 916 98,485 10,469 341 3.26 321 3.07 662

2004 775 99,537 10,668 381 3.57 331 3.10 7122008 688 103,895 11,461 415 3.52 367 3.16 782

Data from the “israeli herdbook report, 2009"

Milk prod.(Kg) 年单产 Fat prod.

(Kg) 乳脂 Protein prod.(Kg) 蛋白 Protein %蛋白率

Cow/year

Fat and prot Prod. (Kg)

2009 680 83,556 11,945 419 3.51 374 3.13 786

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 9: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

每头牛每年平均产量 1934-2008 (公斤 / 年)ANNUAL AVERAGE PRODUCTION PER COW 1934 - 2008 (KG/YEAR)

产奶量k

gM

ilk Y

ield

(Kg

)

乳脂和乳蛋白重kg

Fat and Protein Yield (Kg)

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,000

10,00011,00012,00013,000

1934

1939

1944

1949

1954

1959

1964

1969

1974

1979

1984

1989

1994

1999

2004

2007

2008

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Milk Fat Protein

数据来《自以色列奶业年鉴 -2008》 Data from the “Israeli Herdbook Report- 2008"

产量

乳脂率

乳蛋白

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 10: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Annual milk production, milk-fat and Milk-protein percent between 1995 - 2009

1995-2009 年间年产量、乳脂及蛋白率M

ILK

(Kg)

% solids in m

ilk (Kg)

Data from the “Israeli Herdbook Report- 2009"

Fat

Protein

Milk

乳脂

蛋白

牛奶

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 11: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

欧洲荷斯坦协会和动物档案国际委员会( International Committee for Animal Recording )的良种家畜登记册记录的泌乳周期( 305 天)平均奶产量

AVERAGE YIELD (305 days) of RECORDEDCOWS REGISTERED by HERDBOOKS of the EUROPEAN HOLSTEIN ASSOCIATION and I.C.A.R.

国家 COUNTRY

年份YEAR

产奶量(305天)

MILK (305D)乳脂率FAT %

乳蛋白率PROTEIN %

总计+?TOTAL F + P

美国 U.S.A. 2003 9830 3.65 3.05 659

加拿大 CANADA 2001 9440 3.68 3.22 651

阿根廷 ARGENTINA 2002 6127 3.50 2.89 392

澳大利亚AUSTRALIA 2004 6643 3.88 3.25 474

日本JAPAN 2002 9013 3.97 3.25 651

荷兰 NETHERLANDS 2004 8403 4.37 3.48 660

法国 FRANCE 2002 7729 4.06 3.32 570

德国GERMANY 2002 7837 4.14 3.36 588

丹麦DENMARK 2004 8900 4.12 3.50 678

瑞典SWEDEN 2004 9521 4.01 3.34 700

英国 UNITED KINGDOM 2003 7856 3.83 3.26 557

意大利 ITALY 2003 8624 3.55 3.25 586

西班牙SPAIN 2002 8400 3.64 3.14 570

以色列 ISRAEL 2004 11092 3.54 3.08 734

Page 12: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Why to increase milk/cow ?为什么会增加单产?

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 13: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

生产性能 Herd Performance• 日均产 Milk/Cow/Day

– 我们的利润来自增加的 3- 5 公斤牛奶The cheapest milk a producer can make is the next 3-5 kg each cow produces

• 固定的成本已经涵盖,除了饲料成本就是利润。 Fixed costs already covered; only additional associated costs are marginal costs – mostly feed

– 目标: 25- 45 公斤 / 天 Goal: 25 – 45 kg/cow/day

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 14: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Feed cost for production of 1 kg of milk in 三元 farms三元的每公斤奶饲料成本Milk/d kg日均产

DMI* kg干物质采食量 NE l* Mcal/kg净能 CP* %粗蛋白比率 Diet Price** ¥日粮价格Cost of

1kg milk ¥公斤奶成本

25 20 1.38 14.1 37.6 1.50

35 23.5 1.49 15.2 47.3 1.35

45 26.5 1.55 16 54.1 1.20

54 30 1.62 16.7 63.8 1.18* NRC 2001 ** December 2010

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 15: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

The effect of milk yield on production profitability产奶量对生产效率的影响

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 16: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Israel- 三元 cooperation in China中国以色列在三元的合作

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 17: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

% so

lids i

n m

ilk (K

g)M

ILK (Kg)Annual milk production, milk-fat and Milk-

protein percent between 2004 – 2010 in 中以 farm

2004至 2010 年中以牧场的年产量以及乳脂率和乳蛋白率

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 18: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

DHI record analysisDHI 记录分析

• I came to China in March 2010 and started my consulting work at 中以 farm.

• 2010 年我来到中以牧场从事顾问工作• In June 2010 I was asked to identify the problems of 金 星 farm that dropped down in milk production.• 2010年 6 月我被要求去金星牧场解决产奶量下降问题• 三元 company publish a weekly list of farms ordered

by their milk per cow production.• 三元集团面向集团发布产奶量周排名• This farm went down from # 5 to # 23 in the list, over

long period of time.• 该牧场从第 5 名下滑到第 23 名

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 19: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Evaluating 金 星 farm problems金星牧场的问题评估1.Analyze 金 星 DHI and Afifarm data分析金星牧场 DHI 和“阿菲金”系统数据2.Compare the analysis of 金 星 使用其他牧场与金星牧场对比

– To 中 以 - the highest milk production farm

– 中以 - 最高水平– To 德 茂 an average farm.– 德茂 - 平均水平

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 20: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

三元绿荷奶牛养殖中心产奶周报2010年 4 月 5 日 -4月 11 日 指标 本 周 总产奶

日 均 总产奶成母牛 泌乳牛 成泌

比% 单位 平均 头数头日 产奶

排名 上周头日产奶头日产增减

平均 头数头日 产奶

排名区里中心 区里 中心

总 计 3982496568928 19484 29.20     29.23 -0.03 17781 32.00     91.3南区管理部 2382622340375 11654 29.21     29.10 0.11 10496 32.43     90.1中 以 207780 29683 896 33.13 1 1 33.45 -0.32 789 37.63 1 1 88.1半截河 112070 16010 571 28.05 12 20 27.42 0.63 511 31.30 10 18 89.6渠 头 130850 18693 692 27.00 14 24 27.15 -0.15 605 30.90 11 19 87.4德 茂 140476 20068 655 30.65 3 6 30.42 0.23 585 34.28 3 3 89.4金银岛 288720 41246 1368 30.15 4 7 30.62 -0.48 1254 32.90 6 8 91.6鹿 牛 129361 18480 631 29.31 9 14 30.00 -0.69 561 32.92 5 7 89.0绿牧园 58100 8300 294 28.20 11 19 27.59 0.62 270 30.72 14 22 91.8金 星 232712 33245 1217 27.33 13 23 27.40 -0.08 1078 30.84 12 20 88.6

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 21: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Weekly list of milk production in三元 farms

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 22: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Milk production/milking cow 金 星金星牧场头均单产

23

7

MIL

K (K

g)

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 23: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

What are the main principles of DHI record

analysisDHI 记录分析的主要原则

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 24: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Management of a dairy herd focuses around these five “Key Management Areas.”牛群管理关键在于以下五个“关键管理方面”

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Key Management Areas关键管理方面Production 产奶

Herd Lactation Status 牛群胎次分布Reproduction 繁殖

Udder Health 乳房健康Culling & Replacements 入群与淘汰

Page 25: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

The performance of a herd in each of the management areas can be quickly assessed using five “Key Performance Indicators.”牛群在每个管理方面的生产性能可以使用五个“生产关键要素”快速评定

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Key Performance Indicators关键生产要素Milk per cow per day 日单产

Days in milk 泌乳天数Pregnancy rate 妊娠率

Somatic cell count 体细胞数Culling rate 淘汰率

Page 26: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

将关键管理方面( KMA )与关键生产要素( KPI )

KMA KPIProduction——Milk/Cow/Day产奶——日产量

Herd Lactation Status——Days in Milk( DIM )牛群胎次分布——泌乳天数Reproduction——Pregnancy rate 繁殖——妊娠率

Udder Health——Somatic cell count 乳房健康——体细胞数Culling & Replacement——Culling rate 死淘——淘汰率

Page 27: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

The analyzing principle分析原则若下降

若下降

若升高

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 28: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

For this work I used材料1. DHI files of 三元 DHI center1. 三元 DHI 中心的 DHI 文件2. AFIFARM reports of the farms2. 阿菲金系统牧场报告3. JMP statistical package3. JMP 统计程序包

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 29: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Milk production, Lactation curve and stage of lactation奶产量、泌乳曲线和泌乳期

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

First step 第一步

Monthly DHI dataDHI 月报数据

DHI ReportDHI 报告

DHI fileDHI 文件

Yearly dbase file年度数据文件 JMP

analysisJMP 分析

DHI centerDHI 中心

DHI ReportDHI 报告

Page 30: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Lactation curve of 中以 farm in 20102010 年中以牧场泌乳曲线

+2.5

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 31: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Standardized peak phase milk Definition校正高峰产奶量• Standardized peak phase day milk: The expected

production per day at given range days in milk.• 校正高峰产奶量:特定时间内的预期日产量• 50-200 1st lactation 一胎 50-200 天• 30-150 2nd & 3rd lactation 二胎和三胎 30-150 天• It removes the variation in test day production due to

stage of lactation and it allows production on one test day to be compared to production on another test day.

• 该参数消除了测奶日不同产奶时期的影响,并且可以比较不同测奶日的产量DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 32: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Stages of Lactation产奶阶段

Peak milk高峰奶

Peak phase 高峰期

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 33: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Simple average of monthly milk production月平均产奶

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 34: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Monthly milk production in Peak phase月高峰产奶

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 35: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Cows # distribution牛群分布

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 36: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Standardized peak phase day milk (JIB)校正高峰日产奶MILK PRODUCTION

YIELD产奶量

BenchmarkKg/cow/day

校正奶Benchmark

%校正比率

# cows

牛头数Actual

%

实际比率Actual

Kg/cow/day实际产奶

1st. Lactation 50-200 DIM 36.5 75-80 102 83.1 36.61

2nd. Lactation 30-150 DIM 45.3 92-95 63 98.2 43.44

3rd. Lactation + 30-150 DIM 48.7 100 113 100 44.23

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 37: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Peak milk 高峰奶 • Peak milk is the highest daily milk production achieved by

each cow in the herd during their current lactation.• 高峰奶 是指每头牛当前胎次每头牛的高峰期产奶量• Highest value (Kg of milk) in the 6 milk tests (1-6) that are

considered.• 前 6 次测定日中最高产奶量• Peak days The ordinal days of Lactation in which the Peak

of Lactation took place.• 高峰期 高峰产奶出现日• Ideally, a cow will peak around 60-100* DIM and remain at

that level through the next test.• 理想来说,高峰日出现在泌乳期的 60-100 天并且持续到下一个测定日

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

* (1st lactation cows 80-100 d and 2nd +adult 60-80 d)

Page 38: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Stage of lactation 胎次分布

Peak milk高峰奶

Peak phase 高峰阶段

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 39: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Peak milk 高峰奶• Milk peaks directly impact dairy farm

profitability. • 高峰奶直接影响牧场收益• Each increase of one kg in peak milk

production equals an additional 110-140 kg of milk per cow per lactation.

• 高峰日产奶增加 1kg ,整个泌乳期产奶量增加 110-140kg

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 40: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Monthly peak milk production月平均高峰日产奶

DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 41: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Cows # distribution牛群胎次分布

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Page 42: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Peak of lactation胎次高峰PEAK OF LACTATION (Kg)

GoalKg

%lactatio

n

# ofcows

%lactatio

n

Actualkg

1st. Lactation 38.5 75-80 277 76.8 38.142nd. Lactation 48.0 92-95 249 103 49.613rd. Lactation + (ADULT) 50.6 100 263 100 47.94TIME OF PEAK OF LACTATION (months)1st. Lactation 3.3 277 3.262nd. Lactation 2.3 249 2.313rd. Lactation + (ADULT) 2.3 263 2.07

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Page 43: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Persistency 持续力• Persistency is a measure of how well animals are

maintaining production.

• 持续力衡量牛群生产维持能力• Production normally decreases 7 to 8% per month

after peak milk is achieved.

• 到达产奶高峰后,产奶量每月降幅是 7%到 8%

• Larger decreases are referred to as poor persistency.

• 降幅大了持续力差DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 44: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

• Production should increase from the first test to the second test, remain fairly constant from the second test to the third test.

• 产奶量从首测日到第二个测奶日会有增长,第二个测奶日到第三个测奶日保持恒定• After the third test, cows should average 92 to 93% of the

previous month’s production per month throughout the lactation.

• 泌乳期内,从第三个测奶日往后,每月测奶产量是上个测奶日得 92%到 93% • Heifers will average 94 to 96% of the previous months

production from following the third test through the lactation.• 头胎牛是上月的 94%到 96%• Heifers - 94-96% of previous production after the third test• 2nd Lactation & Mature Cows - 92-93% of previous production

after the third test

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Page 45: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Stage of lactation胎次分布DIM 45 75 105 135 165 195 225 255 285 >350

1 20 31 38 35 38 36 35 38 33 28 2 26 44 51 43 43 38 40 38 31 25

3+ 32 41 51 49 41 36 36 38 30 19 start peak peak Avg.

1 Diff. 10.7 6.73 -2.81 3.58 -1.84 -1.28 2.3 -4.52 -4.67 -1.322 Diff. 17.8 7.02 -7.83 0.02 -4.85 1.36 -1.33 -7.23 -5.6 -3.64

3+ Diff. 8.26 10 -2.04 -7.09 -5.77 0.78 1.76 -7.7 -11 -4.44Persistency Avg.

1 0.95 0.97 1.09 0.87 0.85 0.942 0.84 1.00 0.88 1.05 0.95 0.82 0.81 0.91

3+ 0.96 0.84 0.88 1.00 1.06 0.79 0.63 0.88

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Page 46: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Actual milk production yield (kg) JX ZHY DM

1st. Lactation 50-200 dim 32.3 38.5 38.9

2nd. Lactation 30-150 dim 39.7 47.7 42.9

3rd. Lactation + 30-150 dim 26.0 45.3 40.6 Peak of lactation (kg) 1st. Lactation 38.1 39.6 39.2 2nd. Lactation 44.8 48.9 45.1 3rd. Lactation + 44.9 48.1 43.8 Time to peak of lactation (months) 1st. Lactation 3.5 4.5 3.7 2nd. Lactation 2.4 2.4 2.4 3rd. Lactation + 2.5 2.4 2.3 Persistency of lactation (yield at 180dim/yield at peak) 1st. Lactation 92.3% 94.4% 95.4% 2nd. Lactation 76.6% 90.4% 86.8% 3rd. Lactation + 75.8% 80.3% 85.3%

A comparison between JX and the 2 other farms: ZHY (high) and DM (average) in main lactation parameters. 与其它两个牧场主要产奶参数的比较

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Page 47: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

The effect of DIM on milk production泌乳天数对产奶量的影响

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Page 48: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Distribution of cows less than 300 DIM in the 3 farms

3 个牧场的牛群产奶分布

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Page 49: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

JX ZHY DMLess than 300 days (DIM)

300天泌乳日以下 HTM kg

Upper tenth 46 53 46

Lower tenth 19 25.2 23.6More than 300 days (DIM)

300天泌乳日以上

Upper tenth 31 40 36.2

Lower tenth 12 17.5 15.6

The upper and the lower tenths of milk production in the 3 farms最高和最低的 10 头平均产奶量

Page 50: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

• For cows with less than 300 DIM in the upper tenth there are no differences between JX and DM farms, the difference is in the lower tenth.

• 泌乳天数 300 天以内的最高 10 头平均产奶没有差异,最低 10 头平均产奶有差异• Average milk production is lower because of the lower

tenth cows. • 平均产奶低是因为最低 10 头产奶低• As for the cows with more than 300 DIM the upper and

the lower tenth of JX are much lower.• 对于泌乳天数 300 天以上的牛只最高和最低的 10头产奶量都较低

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Page 51: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Distribution of DIM with threshold of 300 DIMDistribution of DIM with threshold of 300 DIM以泌乳天数 300 天为界的牛只比例 JX ZHY DM

Less than 300 DIM %

1st lactation 65.3 70 64

2nd lactation 76.9 88 82

3rd+ lactation 81.9 88 87

More than 300 DIM

1st lactation 34.7 30 36

2nd lactation 23.1 12 17

3rd+ lactation 18.1 12 13DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 52: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

• Cows in the 2 nd and the 3 rd lactation in this farm are the main problem.

• 该场第二胎和第三胎牛是主要问题 • Their DIM is too high. • 泌乳天数太大• Milking cows with more than 300 DIM in 2nd and 3rd lactation

should not be more than 13 %. • 第二胎和第三胎牛中泌乳天数超过 300 天的不应该超过 13%• The main reason for high % of cows with more than 300 DIM is

poor fertility that can be a function of malnutrition or bad insemination practice and heat detection accuracy.

• 泌乳天数超过 300 天的牛头数比率过高是由于营养不良、不当输精和发情鉴定失误DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 53: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

JX ZHY DM

Milk yield kg/cow/day

产奶量The situation now

全群 30 37.6 33.6

Only cows with less than 300

DIM 泌乳天数 300天牛只 33 39.5 35.6

Difference 差异 3 1.9 2

Distribution of DIM with threshold of 300 DIMDistribution of DIM with threshold of 300 DIM以泌乳天数 300 天为界的牛只比例

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Page 54: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Milk production vs. DIM产量和泌乳天数的线性相关性

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Page 55: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

• The average DIM of the 3 farms are: 230, 216 and 193 in JX, DM and ZHY respectively (at the time of measurement).

• 三个牧场的泌乳天数: JX230 天, DM216 天, ZHY193天• In order to reduce DIM of JX farm to 190 days we need to

cull 10% of the low producing cows.• 为降低泌乳天数到 190 天,我们需要淘汰 10% 的低产牛

• In a case like this average milk production of JX milk will increase from 30.1 to 33.1 kg.

• 如果这样, JX 牧场的单产会从 30.1 公斤上升到 33.1公斤• Even though the DIM will be shortened still daily milk

yield of JX cows will be lower than the 2 other farms.• 即使是泌乳天数降低, JX 牧场单产依然低于其他两个牧场 • The longer DIM is only part of the story and there are

more elements that influence cow’s milk yield in JX farm.• DIM 仅仅是影响 JX 牧场奶产量的众多因素之一

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Page 56: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Parity 胎次• Milk production increases with lactation number and is

maximized in the fourth or the fifth lactation. • 随着胎次的增加,产奶量逐胎上升,到第四和第五胎到达最高峰• Therefore, the distribution of cows in parities could be

also an important factor that influences the average milk production of a herd.

• 因此,胎次同样也是一个影响牛群产量的重要因素• In ZHY farm 1st lactation cows produce 30.6% of the total

milk where in DM farm 28.9% and in JX farm 35.5%. • 在 ZHY 牧场 一胎牛产奶占总产量的 30.6%, DM 牧场占 28.9%, JX 牧场占 35.5%

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Page 57: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Parity JX ZHY DM

1st 34.6% 34.8% 30.3%

2nd 24.0% 35.7% 26.2%

3rd+ 41.4% 29.5% 43.5%

Distribution of cows by parity牛群胎次分布

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Page 58: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Reproduction 繁殖

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Page 59: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

等待天数VWP

泌乳阶段 12 个月 Lactation stages (12 months)

繁殖 Reproduction Chart

产犊 首配 配孕 产犊首配天数

配准天数

浪费天数 干奶期

怀孕期

繁殖=配准天数=首配天数 +发情鉴定率 +怀孕率

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Page 60: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Reproduction (Terms) 繁殖• For an adequate evaluation of dairy cows fertility, we

need to refer to certain standards.• 为了充分评估牛群繁殖,我们需要依据特定的标准 • Cow fertility is generally evaluated by the 指标如下 : • Average Days to 1st Service: DIM from calving to first

service attempt. This is calculated by summing the days to first service for all cows which have been bred at least once. The sum is divided by the number of those cows.

• 头胎牛泌乳天数• Wasted days: The time between DFS to DES.• 浪费天数:配种日期和配准日期间的时间段• Days open: (the interval between calving and

successful AI)• 配准天数:产犊到成功配种的天数

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Page 61: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Reproduction (Terms) 繁殖• Breeding interval : Intervals between Heats and Services is a

summary of the distribution of all intervals (in days) between reported heats and services for cows currently in the herd.

• 繁殖间隔 : 发情间隔的平均值• Calving interval :(the interval between successive calving). • 产犊间隔• Conception rate (CR): The percent of services with known

outcomes over a specified period of time that result in a pregnancy, or, alternatively, the number pregnant divided by number inseminated (and subsequently determined to be pregnant or not pregnant) over some time period.

• 妊娠率• Pregnancy rate (PR): The percentage of eligible cows that

becomes pregnant within a given time frame - usually 21 days.

• 情期受胎率DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 62: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

发情周期天数分布 Cycle length distribution •复配 Double inseminations: 1- 4 天(发情时间长,发情初期开始配) 1-4 days (long heats, inseminations on the

early signs of the heat)1.短周期 Short cycles: 5- 17 天(上次或当前配种时发情异常,卵泡囊肿) 5-17 days (last or current insemination

not on actual heat, cystic cows) 2.正常周期 Normal cycles: 18- 24 天

18-24 days (the usually assumed normal cycle length)3.长周期 Long cycles: 25- 36 天(上次或当前配种时发情异常,胚胎死亡) 25-36 days (last or current

insemination not on actual heat, embryonic death)4.双周期 Double cycles: 36- 48 天(遗漏了一个发情,或上次发情为安静发情) 36-48 days (missed heats,

“quiet” last heat)•超长周期 Very long cycles: 大于 48 天(遗漏了发情,怀孕异常) more than 48 days (usually missed heats,

abnormal pregnancies)DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 63: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Heat Detection

发情鉴定 Heifers 1st lact. 2+ lact. All cows Total

 Distribution of cycles % % % % %

5-17 days -- 7.14 3.33 4.55 3.51

18-25 days 76.92 35.71 30.00 31.82 42.11

26-35 days 7.69 7.14 16.67 13.64 12.28

36-60 days 15.38 50.00 50.00 50.00 42.11

Breeding interval产犊间隔 26.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 33.00

Heat Detection accuracy

发情鉴定准确率 80.00 60.00 60.00 60.00 64.00

Conception rate 受胎率 55.80 38.50 43.60 41.05 45.97

Pregnancy rate 妊娠率 44.64 23.10 26.16 24.63 29.42

AFIFARM Fertility table (JIB)金星牧场“阿菲金”繁殖报表

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发情周期分布情况Cycle length distribution

天天天天后备牛 1 胎 2 胎及以上 全部

后备牛 1 胎 2 胎及以上 全部

天天天天

Breeding Intervals

Page 65: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

发情周期分布 以色列 2009年Heat detection statistic

Israeli Herd-book 2009

发情周期分布 Cycle length distribution

后备牛 1 胎 2 胎及以上 全部DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 66: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Table 6 - Reproductive performance of cows in JX farm (based on AfiFarm)

Heifers 1st

lactation 2+

lactation All

cows Avg. days open 17.31 178 147 157 Avg. days to first service 15.74 79 74 76 Avg. Wasted Days 43 99 73 82 Open more than 150 DIM 36.8% 31.3% 33.1% Avg. inseminations per cow 1.75 2.18 2.01 2.07 Avg. inseminations per pregnancy 1.85 2.47 2.32 2.37

Table 7 - Reproductive performance of cows in ZHY farm (based on AfiFarm)

Heifers 1st

lactation 2+

lactation All

cows Avg. days open 15.48 127 126 126 Avg. days to first service 14.59 103 91 94 Avg. Wasted Days 25 30 43 39 Open more than 150 DIM

10.9% 15.1% 13.8%

Avg. inseminations per cow 1.25 1.19 1.3 1.27 Avg. inseminations per pregnancy 1.6 1.62 1.86 1.78

Table 8 - Reproductive performance of cows in DM farm (based on AfiFarm)

Heifers 1st

lactation 2+

lactation All

cows Avg. days open 16 158 140 147 Avg. days to first service 15.38 57 59 58 Avg. Wasted Days 11 86 68 75 Open more then 150 DIM

25.0% 12.9% 15.4%

Avg. inseminations per cow 1.05 1.11 1.14 1.13 Avg. inseminations per pregnancy 1.42 2.2 2.19 2.19

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JX DM ZHYAge at first calving (months)

初产月龄 28 27 25.5Calving interval (days)

产犊间隔 436 419 409Milking days

泌乳天数 370 350 339Full lactation milk production kg

胎次产奶 11,100 11,760 12,746

Three farms comparison of same production parameters

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Page 68: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Why heat detection is so important ?为什么发情鉴定如此重要

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Somatic Cell CountSCC 体细胞数

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Mastitis and Somatic cell count乳房炎和 SCC • The main disease that affect milk yield of dairy cows is mastitis. • 乳房炎是影响牛只产奶量的主要疾病• A high SCC is an indication of chronic, subclinical mastitis in the

herd and is also an indication of significant economic losses. • 高体细胞数是临床、隐性乳房炎的指标之一 ,也是经济损失的指标• Mastitis is the most important factor affecting the SCC of an

individual cow. • 对于奶牛个体来说,乳房炎是影响 SCC 的最重要因素• General agreement values: less than 100,000 cells/ml for

uninfected cows and greater than 300,000 for cows infected with significant pathogens.

• 一般认为:少于每 ml 奶中体细胞含量少于 100000 的牛只没有感染,而大于 300000 的牛只感染了大量的病原菌• Therefore, analysis of SCC level and distribution can give us a

picture of how much milk is being lost due to the level and the distribution of SCC.

• 因此,分析 SCC 水平和分布让我们直观的看到不同的体细胞水平的奶损失DHI Record Analysis Jinan conference 2011

Page 71: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

The effect of DIM on SCC in the 3 farms泌乳天数对于 SCC 的影响

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XJ

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Milking machine

Manure

Page 73: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Yearly somatic cell count of cows of different lactation by stage of lactation (JIB)不同胎次的年度体细胞数

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Page 74: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

The distribution of SCC in the 3 farms in comparison to the target Israeli distribution以以色列的牧场作为标杆,三家牧场的 SCC 分布

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Page 75: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

• The main reason is the type of the milking equipment. • 主要的原因是挤奶设备的类型• Milking parlor in ZHY and milking at the barn in the 2

other farms. • 中以牧场是挤奶台,而其他两个牧场是管道挤奶• We know that as soon as the milk flow has finished, the

milking unit must be removed to prevent over milking. • 如大家所知,泌乳完成,挤乳器就应该移开以免过渡榨乳• This is one of the most considerable factors causing

mastitis and increasing SCC.• 这是导致乳房炎和体细胞升高的重要影响因素• The more time a milking operator spent on machine

stripping, the higher the SCC. • 挤奶操作人员脱杯操作时间越长,体细胞数越高

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Page 76: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Parlor milking

Barn milking

Free stalls

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SCC group location averages in JX farm金星牧场体细胞数分组

Page 77: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

LSCC- linear Somatic cell count in JIB farmJIB 牧场 LSCC

Infected cows

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Page 78: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Distribution of LSCCLSCC 分布

LSCC 0-1 2-3 4-5-6 7-8-9 %infected

1 57.8% 32.1% 10.1% 0.7% 10.8%

2 22.9% 45.4% 28.1% 3.6% 31.7%

3+ 25.9% 33.1% 34.6% 6.5% 41.1%

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Page 79: Meori Rosen Ph.D. 罗森博士 Expert for Dairy Farm Management EMBASSY OF ISRAEL IN BEIJING 驻以色列大使馆牧场管理专家

Milk loss due to SCCSCC 产生的奶损失

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