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    Third International Conference OnGlobalisation & Competitiveness

    Globalization and recipe for Competitiveness

    of Indian Auto Component Industry.

    Dr Vasant Khisty

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    Introduction Vasant .P.Khisty

    Employed with Fairfield Mfg. USA Working as V.P.International Business Experience in Auto Industry-24 yrs

    Certified Auditor for ISO9000, ISO 14000,QS9000

    Doctorate from Pune UniversityAuthored( How to be exclusive and

    maximise your returns)

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    Presentation Overview

    Introduction To Auto Industry

    Globalization, Its Opportunities and challenges for Indian AutoIndustryStrength , and concerns of IndustryNeed for competitiveness

    Evaluation of competitiveness of Auto component manufacturersEvaluation of Industry AssociationsEvaluation of Government Auto related policiesFindingsRecommendations

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    Introduction

    Auto Industry/Auto component Industry

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    1769 First, true automobile, a steam lorry designed by Nicole -Joseph Cugnot.

    1801World s First Passenger carrying vehicle, built by Richard Trevithick in the U.K.

    1984 Karl Benz builds worlds two seater Tricyle powered by Four-stroke petroleum engine.

    1902 Ford Motor Company formed

    1908 Ford pioneers first moving assembly line with Model T ford.

    1925 Mercedes and Benz companies merge.

    1938 Volks wagon Beetle enters production.

    1958 Mini small car launched in Britain.

    1961 Jaguar car s produces first 150 mph car.

    1872 Sales of VW Beatle reach 15 million.

    1986 Toyota of Japan overtakes VW.

    1994 BMW of Germany acquires Rovers group in worlds largest Industrial merger.1998 Diamler Benz Acquires Chrysler Corporation.

    2000 BMW breaks away from Rover group, GM acquires 20% of Fiat, and Ford buys LandRover.

    2001 Profit warnings at Ford, Renault, Volvo, Daimler Chrysler, Fiat, Delphi, and Visteon.

    2002 Major restructuring launched by Big three US carmakers.

    Future Prediction, Disintegration and Emergence of Asian Companies . Telco currently18 th to grow to 14 th Rank

    Evolution of Auto Industry

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    Country wise share of global car manufacture.

    W-Europe30.6%E-Europe 5.1%

    Australia 0.7%

    Asia 24.8%

    India 1.29%

    latinAmerica2.9%South Africa0.4%USA 33.9%

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    The auto industry employs six lakh families.

    Revenue generation for government is over Rs. 25,000 crores .

    There are several auto manufacturers with a combined turnover of Rs. 25,000

    crores )

    The Evolution of Auto Industry -Indian

    1925-GM India Ltd started assembly of Trucks and Cars

    1930-Ford Motor started assembly of CKD

    1956-Activity terminated due to restriction of Foreign exchange for imports

    1970-75- Slow down in Auto Industry

    1975- 26 new Automobile firm registered

    1980-Growth in Industry, import of capital goods and components permitted

    -Japanese JV in LCV and two wheeler.

    1991-95-Gulf war and recession

    1993-Auto Industry liberalised, license abolished, new JVs in component Industry

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    Statistics- Indian Auto Component Industry

    Local Demand met by Componentindustry 97%Large and Medium Sized firm Over350Small scale ancillary Units-6000Total production 30,000 Crs RsForeign Collaboration-322Japan-92Germany-55USA-38UK-35

    Investments around 7000 Million US$Employment 250,000 Direct.

    Global Share-2%

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    Percentage Component production Mix

    32%

    20%

    17%

    16%

    8%

    Engine Parts

    Others

    Drive , Transmission,Steering

    Suspension braking

    Electrical

    Engine Parts-Others- Drive , Transmission, Steering-- Suspension Braking -- Electrical32% 20% 17% 16% 8 %

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    Auto component investment(U.S. $ million. as on 31st March2001)

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    96 97 98 99 2000 2001 2002 2004

    310031002645264523002300238323832000200018501850181318131705170513151315

    20042004200320032002200220012001200020009999989897979696

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    : Auto component production (Value In U.S. $ million.)

    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04

    6730673054305430447044703804380432503250300030003278327825882588

    0303 --04040202 --03030101 --02020000 --01019898 --99999797 --98989696 --97979595 --9696

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    Auto component exports (U.S. $ mln.).

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04

    10001000760760578578387387350350330330291291267267

    0303 --04040202 --03030101 --02020000 --01019898 --99999797 --98989696 --97979595 --9696

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    Figure-10: Automotive export Destination 2000.

    EuropeAsia

    Africa

    USA

    Others

    Europe Asia Africa USA Others

    36% 16% 13% 27% 8%

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    GLOBALISATION

    Globalisation is an economic phenomenon, involving the increasinginteraction, or integration, of national economic systems through thegrowth in international trade, investment and capital flows.

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    MAIN FEATURES OF INDUSTRIAL GLOBALIZATION

    a) The unprecedented increase in competition between firmsin different markets

    b) Second feature of global competitiveness is theinternationalization of production.

    c) A third feature has to do with the pattern of international

    trade.d) A fourth feature is the growing interdependence between

    the various levels of globalisation, namely direct

    investment, trade, transfers of technology and capitaltransfers.

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    Opportunity for Auto Industry in Globalised Economy

    Worlds one of the most favoured source for Auto components

    Indian Car manufacturer poised to be Global players. E.g Scorpio,Indica

    15 car makers have out sourcing office in India

    Combined budget 1.5 billion us $

    90 Indian firms upgraded to Tier I status

    Two firms awarded Deming award (only 5 in the world)

    Export up from 450 million in 2000 to 800 million US$ in 2003

    30% growth expected in current year

    $2.5 billion by 2010

    Experts feel it would grow to 25 billion $ by 2010.

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    Why This Opportunity

    Overall slow down and large scale bankruptcies

    The three Global giants are loosing money

    European market has flattened out

    Japanese market has shrunk

    This puts cost pressure on manufacturers

    India offers them 15-20% cheaper parts at low volume andequivalent quality.

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    Auto component Industry-Globalization and Challenges

    Turnover worldwide is concentrated with few firms. The top thirty global firms accountfor over fifty per cent of component industry.

    As the Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMS) move production to match markets;they are taking their key suppliers with them.

    OEMS are moving towards modular manufacturing

    The Component Industry will be dominated by Mega suppliers having four characteristics

    A. They will have entire Global coverage( Delphi , Visteon)B. They will have huge research and development capability( Robert Bosch)C. They will have a critical mass of $ Three to Four million in revenue

    D. They will be suppliers of complete systems.

    This will result into elimination of Component manufacturers whowill not gear up to compete with these Giants and give total Monopol

    To mega suppliers forcing Indian OEMS to buy at a higher cost.

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    Responsibilities SuppliersOEMs

    Product Planning/Maketting

    R&D

    Design ,Engineering &Testing

    Quality

    Pragramme management

    Supply chain management

    Manufacturing

    After Sales activity(Warranty)

    Environmental performance

    Responsibility Transition

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    Strength Component Industry

    Cost Competitiveness

    The Indian component Industry is on an average 20% to 30% cheaper thanJapanese supplier despite lower productivity.

    Profit 5%

    Over heads andothers 20%

    Depreciation 4%Labour 32%

    Material andcapital 30%

    Profit 10-12%Over heads andothers 15-18%Depreciation 5-8%

    Material andcapital 55 to 60%

    Labour 8to 10%

    Cost is low despite the fact that the productivity is50%to 75%lower than International standard

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    CONCERNS OF COMPONENT INDUSTRY

    Small Size by global standardsFinancial standing of Auto component Manufacturers

    400 firms in organised sector75% of sales

    5000firms inUnorganised sector

    25%of sales

    Mostly to aftermarket

    17 firms sales >$40 M

    155 firmsSales between 5 40 m$

    180firms sales

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    Rejected parts per million (PPM).

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    Global best

    qualitycompanies

    Global low

    qualitycompanies

    European

    average

    Japanese

    average

    Leading Indian

    Firms

    Poor Quality Of parts and Services

    Inferior Technological capabilities Lower competitiveness due to non tired structure Higher cost of Finance In IndiaHigher cost of LogisticsHigh cost of raw material

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    Partners Responsible for Industrycompetitiveness

    The Auto component manufacturer

    The Industry association

    The Government (policies)

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    Individuals , Organisations, Industries,Associations , Countries

    which are can only Surviveand flourish in the Globalised Economy.

    Competitive

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    GAP ANALYSIS AUTOCOMPONENT MANUFACTURERS

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    Findings And Recommendations

    Business Strategy -Rating :65%

    Strategic alliance / Joint VenturesCutting edge strategyAllocation of corporate capital fairly

    Product development- Rating:27%

    Involvement of customers in product development

    Poor capability assessment of new inquiriesVirtual prototyping for process and product design

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    Manufacturing capability-Rating:61%

    Lean ManufacturingSix SigmaKaizenToyota Production System

    Quality Assurance -Rating:40%

    Implementation of QS9000

    Implementation of TS14969

    Implementation of six sigma

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    Supply chain management-Rating :50%

    MRP systems Global sourcing initiative

    Human Resource management-Rating:25%

    Action Learning

    Making rewards and recognition a wholesome experience

    Performance appraisal

    Flexibility

    Finding and keeping Top Talent

    Investing in Spiritual Capital

    Managing Intellectual capital

    Organisational Environment Survey

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    Information systems-38%

    Enterprise Information systems

    Exploring future Business opportunities-40%

    Business research

    Market research

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    Industry Associations-An Evaluation

    Structure of Associations :

    Confederation of Indian Industry CII is the apex body for Indian industries ingeneral.

    Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers SIAM represents the Indianautomobile manufacturers.

    ACMA spelt, as The auto component manufacturers association is theassociation, which represents the auto component manufacturers in India.

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    Recommendations for Industry Associations:

    1. Resource Sharing2. Lobbying with Government3. Technological improvements4. Educational Institutes

    (National Institute of Global Competitiveness)

    5. Develop volume based supply chain6. Leverage Knowledge7. Low cost virtual association8. Facilitate and manage focused growth of clusters

    9. Facilitate Infrastructural development

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    Evaluation Government Policies

    A t P li 2002

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    Vision and Policy Objectives

    (i) Exalt the sector as a lever of industrial growth and employment and toachieve a high degree of value addition in the country.

    (ii) Promote a globally competitive automotive industry and emerge as a global

    source for auto components.

    (iii) Establish an international hub for manufacturing small, affordable passengercars and a key center for manufacturing tractors and two-wheelers in the world

    (iv) Ensure a balanced transition to open trade at a minimal risk to the Indianeconomy and local industry.

    (v) Induce modernization of the industry and facilitate indigenous design,research and development.

    (vi) Steer India's software industry into automotive technology.

    (vii) Assist development of vehicles propelled by alternate energy sources

    (viii)Development of domestic safety and environmental standards at par withinternational standards.

    Auto Policy-2002

    Fi di

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    Findings

    1.China announced Auto policy in 1994 where as India in 20022. More stress on analysis of current status and less emphasis onnew measures

    3. Policy Lacks objectiveness and transparency

    4. More focus on small cars neglecting other segments

    5. No incentive for foreign Investors

    6. Neglected Tierisation process

    7. No focus on Global opportunities

    8. Policy not focusing on Auto components

    The most important needs of Global customers are:

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    The most important needs of Global customers are:

    higher value for money

    regular cost reduction

    customer focus

    world class products made on world class equipment

    just in time supplies

    flexibility in supplies

    small batch sizes

    Ethical business practices

    cordial labour relations ships

    friendly business interaction

    E-Compatibility

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    Final Recommendations

    A

    D EF Tier 1

    Tier 2

    Tier 3

    Auto Manufacturers

    Parts

    Sub-assembl y

    Modules/Systems

    A EDCB F

    AA

    B B

    A

    BB

    Proposed Model for Global Competitiveness

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    F I R M S

    Environment+ve

    -veGovernment Policies

    LE

    ADERSHIp

    Industry Association- Facilitatorfacilitators

    Proposed Model for Global Competitiveness

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    Govt

    Education

    Associatio ns R&D

    Firms

    Global Resource and Knowledge Integration

    Competitiveness comes through the ability to collaborate andnetwork resources and

    competencies across the world

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    Task force Structure

    Task force

    R &DUnivesities

    NationalInstitute

    OfCompetitiveness

    IndustryAssociations

    Ministry of IndustryFinance , commerce, etc

    Financial institutes

    Repre sentation

    InternationalConsultants/

    Advisor

    Industry Stalwarts

    S up po rt

    FIRMS

    In the current knowledge society competitiveness would be derivedfrom the ability to reorganise and integrate all form of knowledge

    leading to innovation in every area of human endeavor.

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    Summary

    There needs to be a serious and an integrated approach from the government,associations and the firms manufacturing auto components.

    In order to chanelise the efforts a task force is needed. The task force shoulddevelop a blue print for all the three participants and monitor their progress. Acertain degree of empowerment should be provided to this autonomous body.The task force should formulate strategies and should carry outcompetitiveness assessment periodically to assess the effectiveness of thestrategies.

    At firm, level researcher strongly recommends that the componentmanufacturers should go up the value chain and evolve into module/systemsupplier in order to exist and prosper.

    Formalise Ministry for Global competitiveness and develop National Institute ofGlobal competitiveness, which will provide service , advice and control.

    Overall, a very encouraging future is anticipated for the firms with proactiveleadership.

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    ThanksThanksNo research is ever quite complete. It is the glory of a good bit of work that it opens the way for something still better, and this

    repeatedly leads to its own eclipse --Mervin Gordon