Mid-Continent Mid-Continent Intensive Intensive Campaign Campaign SynthesisSynthesisStephen M. OgleStephen M. Ogle

Natural Resources Ecology Natural Resources Ecology LaboratoryLaboratory

Colorado State UniversityColorado State UniversityCo-Investigators: K. Davis, A. Andrews, F.J. Breidt, A.S. Denning, D. Cooley, T. West, K. Gurney, A. Hirsch, K. Paustian and P. Tans Contributors (to date): A. Michalak, C. Potter, C. Tonitto, S. Liu, C. Izaurralde, L. HeathData Support: Bob Cook (MAST-DC)

Study RegionStudy Region

C

CO2 CO2

CO2

CO2

CO2

CO2

C

Main Goal of MCI SynthesisMain Goal of MCI Synthesis Compare and reconcile to the extent possible Compare and reconcile to the extent possible

COCO22 fluxes from inventories and atmospheric fluxes from inventories and atmospheric inversionsinversions

Atmospheric Inversions

Inventories

Quantifying Regional COQuantifying Regional CO22 FluxesFluxes

Inventory MethodsInventory Methods Approaches using activity data and Approaches using activity data and

environmental drivers to estimate COenvironmental drivers to estimate CO22 uptake uptake and/or emission at the earth surface, and and/or emission at the earth surface, and these methods typically incorporate these methods typically incorporate measurements and/or modeling (IPCC 2006). measurements and/or modeling (IPCC 2006).

MCI using mostly model-based approaches, MCI using mostly model-based approaches, which are informed by measurementswhich are informed by measurements

e.g., ecosystem simulation modelinge.g., ecosystem simulation modeling Atmospheric InversionsAtmospheric Inversions

Approaches utilizing spatio-temporal data on Approaches utilizing spatio-temporal data on atmospheric concentrations of COatmospheric concentrations of CO22 along with along with transport models to estimate regional fluxes transport models to estimate regional fluxes between the earth surface and atmospherebetween the earth surface and atmosphere

Supporting GoalsSupporting Goals Compare inventories with independent data Compare inventories with independent data

(?)(?) AmerifluxAmeriflux NASS-derived NPP estimates for cropland NASS-derived NPP estimates for cropland Purpose: Inform comparisons with inversionsPurpose: Inform comparisons with inversions

Not a model inter-comparison study!Not a model inter-comparison study! Comparisons of atmospheric inversion Comparisons of atmospheric inversion

resultsresults Purpose: Inform comparisons with inventory dataPurpose: Inform comparisons with inventory data

Evaluation of mechanisms driving net fluxesEvaluation of mechanisms driving net fluxes How well do we understand the key drivers based How well do we understand the key drivers based

on the study?on the study?

Interim SynthesisInterim Synthesis Initial comparison of atmospheric inversions Initial comparison of atmospheric inversions

and inventory of COand inventory of CO22 fluxes for the region fluxes for the region Focus on 2000-05Focus on 2000-05 Serve as a benchmark for evaluating improvement in Serve as a benchmark for evaluating improvement in

flux estimation based on 2007-08 intensive campaignflux estimation based on 2007-08 intensive campaign Test approaches and refine for 2007-08 synthesisTest approaches and refine for 2007-08 synthesis

Tasks to reach the interim synthesis milestoneTasks to reach the interim synthesis milestone Develop protocol and MAST-DC web supportDevelop protocol and MAST-DC web support Locate contributors from NACP and related projectsLocate contributors from NACP and related projects Compile InventoryCompile Inventory Generate ComparisonsGenerate Comparisons ReconcileReconcile

Inventory ContributionsInventory Contributions

Sources T. WestC.

TonittoK.

GurneyS.

OgleL.

Heath S.

LiuC.

PotterC.

Izaurralde

Fossil Fuel Combustion X   X          

Biomass C X X   X X X X  

Litter C   X   X        

Soil Organic C X X   X   X   X

Livestock Respiration X              

Human Respiration X              

Agricultural Product Import/Export X              

Forest Product Import/Export         X      

Waste Management/Landfills                

CO2 Flux from Waterways/Lakes                

Inversion ContributorsInversion Contributors A. S. Denning, Colorado StateA. S. Denning, Colorado State

P. Tans and group, NOAA, P. Tans and group, NOAA, CarbonTrackerCarbonTracker

A. Michalak, MichiganA. Michalak, Michigan

MAST-DCMAST-DC MCI Web pageMCI Web page WebGIS with MCI spatial informationWebGIS with MCI spatial information Select input driver dataSelect input driver data FTP upload site and meta-data tool for data FTP upload site and meta-data tool for data

submissionssubmissions Facilitating discussion among investigators Facilitating discussion among investigators

and synthesis groupsand synthesis groups

Upcoming Time Line and Upcoming Time Line and EventsEvents

Receive remaining contributions – ASAP!!!Receive remaining contributions – ASAP!!! NACP Investigators Meeting, Feb. 2009NACP Investigators Meeting, Feb. 2009

Present results from comparisonsPresent results from comparisons MCI working group meeting to discuss current results and next MCI working group meeting to discuss current results and next

stepssteps San Diego, CASan Diego, CA

Project Workshop in May-June 2009Project Workshop in May-June 2009 Present results and discuss findings in preparation of Present results and discuss findings in preparation of

manuscriptsmanuscripts Colorado State University, Fort Collins, COColorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Investigators and ContributorsInvestigators and Contributors

Submit manuscripts on interim synthesis, summer 2009Submit manuscripts on interim synthesis, summer 2009 … … Followed by initial work on 2007-08 dataFollowed by initial work on 2007-08 data