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Middle East Cement 2008 M Hossain Basiri | M Rahim Vaseghi Iran – Update on current cement production and future projects production and future projects 29th30th October 2008 ShangriLa Hotel Dubai

Middle East Cement 2008

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Iran – Update on current cement production and future projects 2008

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  • Middle East Cement 2008

    MHossainBasiri|MRahimVaseghi

    Iran Updateoncurrentcementproduction and future projectsproductionandfutureprojects

    29th30thOctober2008ShangriLaHotel Dubaig

  • CEMENTINTHEWORLD

    MostproducedCommodityintheworld 2611milliontonin2006and2700Milliontonin2007

    Produced in 150 countriesProducedin150countries 1400MilliontonsinIndiaandChinain2006and1500milliontonsin2007A i i h illi % f ld Asiawith1800milliontonsowes67%ofworldcementproduction

    Europewith340milliontonsowes12.4%p Iranisthe12th amongthesecountries

  • CEMENTPRODUCTIONINTHEWORLDIN80YEARS

    Year MillionTons Year MillionTons

    1926 62 4 1930 72 41926 62.4 1930 72.4

    1940 81 1950 102

    1955 133 1960 217

    1970 316 1980 8851970 316 1980 885

    1986 1008 1995 1455

    2000 1750 2003 2020

    2004 2345 2005 2510

    Th ld C it h i 42 ti d i 80

    2006 2611 2007 2700

    TheworldCapacityhasincreases42timesduring80years

  • WORLD IN 2025

    Population9Billionwith30%increase

    WORLDIN2025

    p Housingandinfrastructurewillneed40%ofmorecementcapacity

    Countrieswillboundsthemselveswithsustainabledevelopmentregulationsthatincreasesconsumptionofmostcommoditiessuchascementso o o i ie u a e e

    Results: Cement production andResults:Cementproductionandconsumptionwillincrease

  • CEMENT IN IRAN ThefirstIraniancementplantwasstarted75

    CEMENTINIRANp

    yearsagowithcapacityof30,000TPA.

    Thisyearcapacityisrecording60MTPA.

    Iranian capacity has increased 2000 times Iraniancapacityhasincreased2000times

    during75years.

    Iranwillsoonbethe5th intheworld

  • IRANCEMENTINDUSTRYATAGLANCE

    Number of plants 55

    Number of kilns 70

    Current Nominal Capacity (MTA) 60Current Nominal Capacity (MTA) 60

    CurrentproductionCapacity(MTA) 55

    C i i (k ) 700Consumptionpercapita(kg) 700

    Numberofongoingproject 33

    Newcapacitytill2012(milliontons/year) 30

  • IRANCEMENTPRODUCTION,CONSUMPTIONAND,EXPORTINLAST20YEARS

    50

    60

    30

    40

    o

    n

    T

    o

    n

    s

    /

    Y

    e

    a

    r

    10

    20

    M

    i

    l

    l

    i

    o

    0

    Production Consumption ExportProduction Consumption Export

  • TYPES OF IRANIAN CEMENT PRODUCTS

    1 PortlandCementTypeI(I325,I425,I525)

    TYPESOFIRANIANCEMENTPRODUCTS

    2 PortlandCementTypeII3 PortlandCementTypeVyp4 WhitePortlandCement5 SulfateResistanceSlagCementg6 PortlandPozzolanaCement(PP,PPV)7 Portland Lime Cement (PKZ)7 PortlandLimeCement(PKZ)8 RefractoryCement9 Oil Well Cement9 OilWellCement

  • ONGOINGPROJECTS

    Thereare33activeprojectswith40Mtcapacityand70%ofthemareinmorethan50%inprogresstherefore21Mtcapacityareaddedinthenext12

    i lyearscertainly

    80 090.0100.0

    50.060.070.080.0

    10.020.030.040.0

    0.010.0

  • IRANS CEMENT INDUSTRY IN NEXT FEW YEARS TOIRAN SCEMENTINDUSTRYINNEXTFEWYEARSTOCOME

    Number of plants 70

    Guaranteed New Capacity till 2012 (Mt/year) 85

  • BREAKDOWNOF THE CAPACITIES/YEA

    2007 52 Mt

    BREAKDOWNOFTHECAPACITIES/YEA

    2007 52Mt 2008 63Mt00 6 2009 73Mt 2010 78Mt2011 82 Mt 2011 82Mt

    2012 85Mt

  • ESTIMATEDCEMENTPRODUCTIONAND

    90

    CONSUMPTIONINNEXT5YEARS

    80

    90

    s

    /

    Y

    e

    a

    r

    60

    70

    M

    i

    l

    l

    i

    o

    n

    T

    o

    n

    Production

    40

    50

    M Production

    Consumption

    302008 2009 2010 2011 2012

  • PORTLAND GRAY CEMENT PRICE

    XFactoryprices:

    PORTLANDGRAYCEMENTPRICE

    $50.0 $65.0(localcontrolledmarket)Retailprices:p $55 $75(Dependingondistance)Export prices:Exportprices: $100Tax+Localprice!!!!

    Blackmarketprice: Decreasingasaresultofnewcapacitiesandliftingpricecontrol

  • WHITE CEMENTCapacity:

    WHITECEMENTp y

    1,200,000Ton/year World production is 15 million tons Worldproductionis15milliontons Theexistingcapacityismorethanenough for local marketenoughforlocalmarket

    Retailprice: $100 $120$100 $120

  • ATTRACTIONSOFIRANIANCEMENT

    WiderageofgoodqualityrawmaterialsINDUSTRY

    g g q y

    Lowenergycosts

    Localmanufacturingofmorethan80%oftotalmachineriesSkilled manpower in different categories Skilledmanpowerindifferentcategories

    Localperformanceofturnkeycementprojects Supportive regulations from the government Supportiveregulationsfromthegovernment Exportoutlook

  • OPPORTUNITIES

    Extensivedevelopmentplans.p p

    Fastdevelopingdomesticmarketforcement.

    Ch i il bl Cheapenergyisavailable.

    Well trained engineers and experts Welltrainedengineersandexpertsreadilyavailable.

  • CHALLENGES

    Pricecontrol? EnergypriceBa k e ay e t Bankrepayments

    Loadingandunloadingfacilitiesatg gports

    Local roads & rail transportation Localroads&railtransportation Inflation

  • EXPORT PROSPECTUSEXPORTPROSPECTUS

    2025MillionTonsofcementhastobeexported Facilitieshavetoberevised.

    Neighborhoodconditions: GCC:Expandingthecapacity,pricecontrol Iraq:25Mtmarket

    Af h i k i f Afghanistan:weakinfrastructure Northernneighbors:supply=demand

  • h k fThanksforyouryour

    attention