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Iran – Update on current cement production and future projects 2008
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Middle East Cement 2008
MHossainBasiri|MRahimVaseghi
Iran Updateoncurrentcementproduction and future projectsproductionandfutureprojects
29th30thOctober2008ShangriLaHotel Dubaig
CEMENTINTHEWORLD
MostproducedCommodityintheworld 2611milliontonin2006and2700Milliontonin2007
Produced in 150 countriesProducedin150countries 1400MilliontonsinIndiaandChinain2006and1500milliontonsin2007A i i h illi % f ld Asiawith1800milliontonsowes67%ofworldcementproduction
Europewith340milliontonsowes12.4%p Iranisthe12th amongthesecountries
CEMENTPRODUCTIONINTHEWORLDIN80YEARS
Year MillionTons Year MillionTons
1926 62 4 1930 72 41926 62.4 1930 72.4
1940 81 1950 102
1955 133 1960 217
1970 316 1980 8851970 316 1980 885
1986 1008 1995 1455
2000 1750 2003 2020
2004 2345 2005 2510
Th ld C it h i 42 ti d i 80
2006 2611 2007 2700
TheworldCapacityhasincreases42timesduring80years
WORLD IN 2025
Population9Billionwith30%increase
WORLDIN2025
p Housingandinfrastructurewillneed40%ofmorecementcapacity
Countrieswillboundsthemselveswithsustainabledevelopmentregulationsthatincreasesconsumptionofmostcommoditiessuchascementso o o i ie u a e e
Results: Cement production andResults:Cementproductionandconsumptionwillincrease
CEMENT IN IRAN ThefirstIraniancementplantwasstarted75
CEMENTINIRANp
yearsagowithcapacityof30,000TPA.
Thisyearcapacityisrecording60MTPA.
Iranian capacity has increased 2000 times Iraniancapacityhasincreased2000times
during75years.
Iranwillsoonbethe5th intheworld
IRANCEMENTINDUSTRYATAGLANCE
Number of plants 55
Number of kilns 70
Current Nominal Capacity (MTA) 60Current Nominal Capacity (MTA) 60
CurrentproductionCapacity(MTA) 55
C i i (k ) 700Consumptionpercapita(kg) 700
Numberofongoingproject 33
Newcapacitytill2012(milliontons/year) 30
IRANCEMENTPRODUCTION,CONSUMPTIONAND,EXPORTINLAST20YEARS
50
60
30
40
o
n
T
o
n
s
/
Y
e
a
r
10
20
M
i
l
l
i
o
0
Production Consumption ExportProduction Consumption Export
TYPES OF IRANIAN CEMENT PRODUCTS
1 PortlandCementTypeI(I325,I425,I525)
TYPESOFIRANIANCEMENTPRODUCTS
2 PortlandCementTypeII3 PortlandCementTypeVyp4 WhitePortlandCement5 SulfateResistanceSlagCementg6 PortlandPozzolanaCement(PP,PPV)7 Portland Lime Cement (PKZ)7 PortlandLimeCement(PKZ)8 RefractoryCement9 Oil Well Cement9 OilWellCement
ONGOINGPROJECTS
Thereare33activeprojectswith40Mtcapacityand70%ofthemareinmorethan50%inprogresstherefore21Mtcapacityareaddedinthenext12
i lyearscertainly
80 090.0100.0
50.060.070.080.0
10.020.030.040.0
0.010.0
IRANS CEMENT INDUSTRY IN NEXT FEW YEARS TOIRAN SCEMENTINDUSTRYINNEXTFEWYEARSTOCOME
Number of plants 70
Guaranteed New Capacity till 2012 (Mt/year) 85
BREAKDOWNOF THE CAPACITIES/YEA
2007 52 Mt
BREAKDOWNOFTHECAPACITIES/YEA
2007 52Mt 2008 63Mt00 6 2009 73Mt 2010 78Mt2011 82 Mt 2011 82Mt
2012 85Mt
ESTIMATEDCEMENTPRODUCTIONAND
90
CONSUMPTIONINNEXT5YEARS
80
90
s
/
Y
e
a
r
60
70
M
i
l
l
i
o
n
T
o
n
Production
40
50
M Production
Consumption
302008 2009 2010 2011 2012
PORTLAND GRAY CEMENT PRICE
XFactoryprices:
PORTLANDGRAYCEMENTPRICE
$50.0 $65.0(localcontrolledmarket)Retailprices:p $55 $75(Dependingondistance)Export prices:Exportprices: $100Tax+Localprice!!!!
Blackmarketprice: Decreasingasaresultofnewcapacitiesandliftingpricecontrol
WHITE CEMENTCapacity:
WHITECEMENTp y
1,200,000Ton/year World production is 15 million tons Worldproductionis15milliontons Theexistingcapacityismorethanenough for local marketenoughforlocalmarket
Retailprice: $100 $120$100 $120
ATTRACTIONSOFIRANIANCEMENT
WiderageofgoodqualityrawmaterialsINDUSTRY
g g q y
Lowenergycosts
Localmanufacturingofmorethan80%oftotalmachineriesSkilled manpower in different categories Skilledmanpowerindifferentcategories
Localperformanceofturnkeycementprojects Supportive regulations from the government Supportiveregulationsfromthegovernment Exportoutlook
OPPORTUNITIES
Extensivedevelopmentplans.p p
Fastdevelopingdomesticmarketforcement.
Ch i il bl Cheapenergyisavailable.
Well trained engineers and experts Welltrainedengineersandexpertsreadilyavailable.
CHALLENGES
Pricecontrol? EnergypriceBa k e ay e t Bankrepayments
Loadingandunloadingfacilitiesatg gports
Local roads & rail transportation Localroads&railtransportation Inflation
EXPORT PROSPECTUSEXPORTPROSPECTUS
2025MillionTonsofcementhastobeexported Facilitieshavetoberevised.
Neighborhoodconditions: GCC:Expandingthecapacity,pricecontrol Iraq:25Mtmarket
Af h i k i f Afghanistan:weakinfrastructure Northernneighbors:supply=demand
h k fThanksforyouryour
attention