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STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Attracting Financial Sector Participation in Mongolia
Macquarie’s Asia Experience
August 2017
PAGE 2
The material in this presentation has been prepared by Macquarie Group Limited ABN 94 122 169 279 (Macquarie) and is general background information about Macquarie’s activities current as at the date of this presentation. This information is given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. Information in this presentation, including forecast financial information, should not be considered as advice or a recommendation to investors or potential investors in relation to holding, purchasing or selling securities or other financial products or instruments and does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information you should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to these matters, any relevant offer document and in particular, you should seek independent financial advice. All securities and financial product or instrument transactions involve risks, which include (among others) the risk of adverse or unanticipated market, financial or political developments and, in international transactions, currency risk.
This presentation may contain forward looking statements including statements regarding our intent, belief or current expectations with respect to Macquarie’s businesses and operations, market conditions, results of operation and financial condition, capital adequacy, specific provisions and risk management practices. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements. Macquarie does not undertake any obligation to publicly release the result of any revisions to these forward looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. While due care has been used in the preparation of forecast information, actual results may vary in a materially positive or negative manner. Forecasts and hypothetical examples are subject to uncertainty and contingencies outside Macquarie’s control. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance.
Important information
01 Divider title goes here 302 Divider title goes here 8
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Contents1. Macquarie Group overview 5
2. Macquarie’s presence and experience in Asia 12
3. Asia outlook and opportunities 23
4. Mongolia: Future prospects and opportunitiesfor the financial sector
31
PAGE 4
Key Takeaways
Governments have a key role to play in providing the right regulatory environment but its best when they work in
partnership with the private sector
Boring old infrastructure has the potential to transform capital markets in emerging economies
Finance sector opportunities often arise from political, demographic and geopolitical challenges. Disruption is
sometimes a good thing
Financial institutions don't just do finance, they often build “adjacent” businesses
Domestic financial institutions and corporates should consider partnering with niche players rather than generalist
financial institutions
Scale is an issue for Mongolia
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
1Macquarie Group
overview
PAGE 6
Macquarie GroupOverviewMacquarie is a diversified financial group providing clients with asset management and finance, banking, advisory and risk and capital solutions across debt, equity and commodities
Founded in 1969 as the Australian subsidiary of UK merchant bank Hill Samuel Australian banking licence obtained and first retail branch opened as Macquarie
Bank in Sydney in 1985 Listed on Australian Securities Exchange (ASX:MQG) since 1996 Operating groups: Macquarie Asset Management (MAM), Corporate and Asset
Finance (CAF), Banking and Financial Services (BFS), Commodities and Global Markets (CGM) and Macquarie Capital (MacCap)
Macquarie Group by the numbers1Macquarie Group overview
1. Market capitalisation, AUM and staff numbers as of 31 March 2017. 2. Goldman Sachs Bank only rated by Standard & Poor’s from 2012.
Macquarie has a long history of financial success Macquarie has maintained its S&P rating for 26 years2$A2,217m48yearsof profitability
M&A
2007 2017
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Macquarie Bank
JPMorgan Chase Bank
Barclays Bank
Credit Suisse AG
Deutsche Bank
UBS AG Bank of America
Citibank Morgan Stanley Bank
Goldman Sachs Bank
S&P
Cre
dit R
atin
g
BBB+
A-
A
A+
AA-
AA
AA+
$A30b+market capitalisation
$A481.7b in total AUM
13,500+staff in 27 countries
$A2,217m NPAT in
FY17
15.2%ROE inFY17
Annuity-style businesses represent ~70% of the operating groups’
performance
PAGE 7
Macquarie GroupBusiness resilience
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
MBLlisted
BTAustraliaacquired
SydneyAirport
INGAcquired
Asian Financial
Crisis
Russian DebtCrisis
Dot Comcrash
9/11 USRecession
SARS
Thames WaterGiuliani Capital GFC
ConstellationTristone
DelawareFPKBlackmontSal Opp.
ILFCGMACPresidioInnovestREGAL
Onstream
Orion SecuritiesCIT Systems Leasing
Group RestructureSignificant Market Disruption
European rail leasing
GE Capital’s PremiumFunding business
AWAS aircraft operating lease portfolio Esanda
portfolio
$Am
-
20
40
60
80
100
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995
Savings and loan crisisUS banks capital lossesGlobal debt crisis
US recession$A floated MBL
established
First listed property trustEnter stockbroking
Stock market crashLondon office
opens
Hills MotorwayMortgage securitisation
Global real estate crashRecession$A
m
-0.40.81.21.62.0
1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979
Hill Samuel UK opens branch office
in Sydney CurrencyCrisisRecession
$Am
PAGE 8
$A5.5b
Macquarie GroupFinancial position
1. Macquarie Group Limited’s funded balance sheet. 2. Calculated at 8.5% RWA including capital conservation buffer (CCB), as per APRA ADI Prudential Standard 110.
Funded Balance Sheet131 March 2017
Surplus Capital231 March 2017
Credit Ratings 31 March 2017
‘A’ RATED
26 years 20 years 25 years
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
Funding sources Funded assets
$Ab
ST wholesale issued paper (5%)
Other debt maturing in thenext 12 months (9%)
Customer deposits(40%)
Debt maturing beyond12 months (33%)
Equity and hybrids(13%) Equity investments and PPE (6%)
Loan assets (incl. op lease)> 1 year (33%)
Loan assets (incl. op lease)< 1 year (11%)
Trading assets(18%)
Cash, liquids and self securitised assets (32%)
PAGE 9
Macquarie GroupOur operating groups
1. As at 31 Mar 17. 2. Formerly Macquarie Securities Group and Commodities and Financial Markets.
Annuity-style
businesses
Macquarie Asset Management (MAM) Top 50 global asset manager with $A480.0b1 of assets under management Provides clients with access to a diverse range of capabilities and products, including infrastructure and real asset management, securities
investment management and tailored investment solutions over funds and listed equities
Corporate and Asset Finance (CAF) Global provider of specialist finance and asset management solutions, with a $A36.5b1 asset and loan portfolio Global capability in corporate and real estate credit investing and lending Expertise in asset finance including aircraft, motor vehicles, technology, healthcare, manufacturing, industrial, energy, rail and mining equipment
Banking and Financial Services (BFS) Macquarie’s retail banking and financial services business with a $A35.8b1 Australian loan portfolio, funds on platform of $A72.2b1 and BFS
deposits of $A44.5b1 Provides a diverse range of personal banking, wealth management and business banking products and services to retail clients, advisers,
brokers and business clients
Capital markets facing
businesses
Commodities and Global Markets2 (CGM) Integrated, end-to-end offering across global markets including equities, fixed income, foreign exchange and commodities Provides clients with risk and capital solutions across physical and financial markets Diverse platform covering more than 25 market segments, with more than 160 products Growing presence in commodities (natural gas, LNG, NGLs, power, oil, coal, base metals, iron ore, sugar and freight) Global institutional securities house with strong Asia-Pacific foundations covering sales, research, ECM, execution and derivatives and trading
activities Macquarie Capital (MacCap) Global capability in M&A Advisory, Debt and Equity Capital Markets and Principal Investments Focus on six core sectors: Infrastructure, Utilities and Renewables; Real Estate; Telecommunications, Media, Entertainment & Technology;
Resources; Industrials; and Financial Institutions
PAGE 10
Macquarie GroupInfrastructure specialist
World’s leading infrastructure asset manager and advisor
1. As at 31 March 2017. 2. In the year ended 31 March 2017. 3. Based on MSCI Infrastructure Index sector classifications as at 26 June 2017. 4. Willis Tower Watson Global Alternatives Survey 2010 - 2016, measured by assets under management. 5. Institutional Investor’s 2016 European Money Management Awards. 6. InfraDeals FY17, by deal value.. 7. Willis Tower Watson Global Alternatives Survey 2010 - 2016. 8. Private Debt Investor Awards 2014 - 2016. 9. Rankings based on methodology created by Infrastructure Investor, and represents infrastructure direct-investment capital formed based on a rolling 5 year period to measurement date.
$US
118bAUM invested in 135businesses with realised returns of ~17% p.a.1
Over
20Years managing infrastructure equity
$US
6bInvestor commitments ininfrastructure debt
Advised on
83Infrastructure transactions valued at over $US56b2
232Infrastructure stocks under research coverage with combined market cap of $US3.5tr3
Award winning platform
Infrastructure Manager of the
Year Award5
2016
World’s Largest Infrastructure
Asset Manager4
2010, 2011,2013 - 2016
Largest manager of pension fund assets
in Alternatives7
2010 - 2016
Infrastructure debt fund manager of the
Year, Europe8
2014 - 2016
Largest infrastructure direct-investment
programme9
2010 - 2016
No.1 Infrastructure / Project Finance Advisory in UK6
2017
PAGE 11
135 portfolio businesses, ~300 properties and ~4.5 million hectares of farmland1
Macquarie GroupGlobal presence
1. As at 31 March 2017. Represents portfolio businesses which Macquarie Infrastructure and Real Assets manages on behalf of investors with various direct percentage stakes held in each. Portfolio businesses shown on the map are representative and not exhaustive. In some instances they represent the operations of a single business where it has operations across different countries
Roads and RailRenewable Energy Other Transport Services Real EstateCommunicationsAirports Other Real AssetsEnergy UtilitiesWaste Agriculture
Russia■ Brunswick Rail■ GSR Energy Investments■ OGK-5■ Russian Towers
Philippines■ GNPower Kauswagan■ LRT 1 Metro■ Negros Island Solar Power■ NLREC Wind Farm■ Philippine Coastal Storage & Pipeline■ San Carlos Solar Energy
Australia■ Axicom Group■ GWA■ Hobart International Airport■ Lawson Grains (10 farms)■ MREEFs■ Paraway Pastoral (23 farms)■ Prospect Water
New Zealand■ Oceania Healthcare
South Korea■ AJ Parking Tower■ Baekyang Tunnel■ Busan New Port Phase 2-3■ Cheonan-Nonsan Expressway■ CNE Motorway Service Stations■ Daegil Industry / Daegil Environment ■ Daejon Cogeneration■ DB Hotel■ Deok Pyeong Land Company LLC■ D’LIVE■ Goyang Bus Terminal■ Gwangju 2nd Beltway Section 1■ Gwangju 2nd Beltway Section 3-1■ Hangdarm Island■ Hanjin Pacific Corporation■ Incheon Grand Bridge■ Incheon International Airport
Expressway■ Jinju■ Machang Bridge■ Moda■ North East Chemical■ Pyeong Chang Motorway Service
Station■ Saehan Environment Co.■ Seoul Chuncheon Expressway■ Soojungsan Tunnel■ United Terminal Korea Limited■ Woomyunsan Tunnel■ Yeongyang Wind Power■ Yongin-Seoul Expressway■ Youngduk Wind Power
Japan■ Central Tank Terminal■ Hanjin Pacific Corporation
Taiwan■ Hanjin Pacific Corporation■ Taiwan Broadband Communications
Singapore■ Universal Terminal
China■ Dallan Hengji Xinrun Water■ Hengyang Holdings■ Jinko Solar Power Engineering■ Longtan Tianyu Terminal■ Mosaic Xi’an■ Mosaic Beijing■ Mosaic Qingdao■ Mosaic Shanghai■ Mosaic Chongqing■ Shenyang Water Treatment Co.■ Shenyang Zhenxing
Environmental Protection■ Star King■ Tianjin Port Huisheng Terminal■ Zhenxing Wastewater
United Kingdom■ AGS Airports■ Arqiva■ Cadent■ Calon Energy■ Condor Group■ M6 Toll■ National Car Parks■ Race Bank■ Thames Water
India■ Adhunik Power and Natural
Resources■ Ashoka Concessions■ GMR Airports■ GMR Jadcherla Expressways ■ Gujarat Roads & Infrastructure
Corp■ Ind-Barath Energy■ MB Power■ Soham Renewable Energy■ Swarna Tollways Private Limited ■ Trichy Tollways■ Viom Networks
Italy■ Hydro Dolomiti■ Renvico■ Societa’ Gasdotti Italia S.p.A.
Spain■ Viesgo
Sweden■ Arlanda Express
Belgium■ Brussels Airport
Germany■ Open Grid Europe■ TanQuid■ Techem■ Warnow Tunnel
France■ APRR■ Pisto SAS
Poland■ DCT Gdansk■ TanQuid
Denmark■ Copenhagen Airports
Slovakia■ EP Infrastructure■ Vector Parks■ Towercom
Austria■ Energie Steiermark
Portugal■ Viesgo
Czech Republic■ Vector Parks■ Ceske Radiokomunikace■ Czech Gas Networks
United States■ Atlantic Aviation■ Aquarion Company■ Bayonne Energy Center■ Broadrock Renewables■ Cleco Corporation■ Dulles Greenway■ Elizabeth River Tunnels■ Goethals Bridge■ Harley Marine Services■ InSite■ International-Matex Tank Terminals■ Leaf River Gas Storage■ Lordstown Energy Center■ Maher Terminals■ MIC Renewable Energy Holdings■ MIC Hawaii■ NYK Ports■ Penn Terminals■ Puget Energy■ Red Hills Solar■ Waste Industries■ WCA Waste
Canada■ Autoroute 25■ Fraser Surrey Docks■ GFL Environmental ■ Halterm Limited
Brazil■ Cruzeiro do Sul Grãos (3 farms)
Mexico■ Concesionaria Universidad Politécnica■ Decarred■ FIBRA Macquarie México ■ Mareña Renovables■ Mexican Tower Partners■ Parque Solar Coahuila■ San Rafael HydroGen
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
2Macquarie’s presence
and experience in Asia
PAGE 13
Macquarie Group AsiaOur platformAn established presence in Asia since 1995
All data as at 31 Mar 2017. 1. Macquarie is licensed to more than one exchange in 5 markets.
Seoul
Jakarta
Tokyo
Beijing
TaipeiHong Kong
Kuala Lumpur Singapore
Shanghai
Bangkok Manila
Mumbai
Gurugram
13 locations across11
markets
$A1,238mFY17 operating income
3,450 employees~50% global shared services
15 regional stock exchangesmembership licences1
$A49bassets under management
Cross border flowsbetween ANZ, EMEA, US
Strategic allianceswith leading institutions
PAGE 14
Macquarie Asset Management
MIRA manages $A17b across 61 infrastructure and
real estate assets across 7 countries
MIM has 5 investment teams managing $A28b across
Asian equities, fixed income and hedge fund strategies
Raised $A10.3b Asian capital in the last 12 months
Macquarie Asia Infrastructure Fund
Largest Asia-focused fund in the market1
Corporate and Asset Finance
Asset Finance and Lending business: Aircraft,
Technology and Manufacturing
Pan-Asia customer baseFunded $A200m+ leases across Asia in the last 12
months
Semiconductor leasing and trading expertise
Annuity-style businesses
Macquarie Group AsiaKey operating groups
As at 31 Mar 2017. 1. Preqin.
Commodities and Global Markets
Risk and Capital solutions across financial and
physical markets
Integrated end-to-end offering across energy;
metals; mining and agriculture; fixed incomeand currencies; futures
Equities execution across 15 exchanges and 960+stocks under coverage
ECM transactions raised $A10.3b for clients in the
last 12 months
Macquarie CapitalFocused on infrastructure,real estate, principal and
Greater China cross border M&A
Growing developmentcapital pipeline in renewable energy
Advised on 2 of first 3 infrastructure privatisation
deals in Japan
Raised $A1.6b of private capital from
Asian investors
Capital markets facing businesses
PAGE 15
Macquarie Group AsiaMacquarie Capital - Projects
Project specialists based in Asia and the Middle East dedicated to assisting clients with their needs
Combining knowledge and skills to anticipate and mitigate risk in the complete matrix of project and investment dynamics is neither natural nor widely available within engineering and construction advisers. Macquarie’s corporate financing and investment background is unique amongst advisers.
Macquarie Projects provides commercial project development advice to Clients regardless of funding arrangements
As one of the world’s largest owner / operators of infrastructure assets, Macquarie has developed a centre of excellence within Project structuring and implementation. Drawing on this experience as an owner allows Macquarie Projects to understand what it means to be responsible for the success or failure of a Project and what commercial arrangements are necessary to meet Client’s requirements
The commercial expertise that Macquarie Projects applies to projects differentiates it from the rest of the market
Hong Kong
SingaporeIndonesia
PhilippinesThailand
ChinaUnited Arab
EmiratesSaudi Arabia
Japan
South Korea
PAGE 16
Who Macquarie Projects can assist
Macquarie Capital – ProjectsService Offerings
Asset ManagementDeliveryDocumentation & ProcurementFeasibility
Technology reviews and assessments
Reconnaissance on existing facilities or greenfield sites
Advice from industry experts with deep sector understanding
Reviewing and commenting on findings / deliverables from Client’s consultants and advisors
Selecting the right procurement model & managing tender process
Structuring achievable commercial arrangements in project documents
Making Client aware of their obligations and deliverables under the Project documents
Identifying and mitigating interface risks.
On time and on budget delivery Owner’s Representation on Site to
manage Contractors and Engineering teams, Independent certifiers / Authorities, etc
Quality, health, safety and environment (QHSE) oversight
Reporting to Owner’s for efficient and effective decisions
Board, Investment Committee representation
Procurement of advisors Accounts management Secretarial function, preparation of
Board papers, taking minutes, etc. Preparation of valuations and
dividend distribution
Project owners (Government / State Owned
Enterprises)Developers
(Public and private)Financiers
(Debt and equity providers) Other stakeholders
Infrastructure Social / Renewables
Water Healthcare Solar / Wind Waste to EnergyWastewater Rail Road Air Schools Food waste
http://www.google.com.sg/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwirtrLNv_bLAhXCu4MKHZ9CDSAQjRwIBw&url=http://cliparts.co/construction-clip-art-free&bvm=bv.118443451,d.amc&psig=AFQjCNG0tUBBCkxUh7ZshuxRa4vNxGfIxQ&ust=1459911277470925
PAGE 17
Macquarie Capital – ProjectsOur team
Macquarie Projects currently has 80 people across Asia and the Middle East
HONG KONG
KOREA (47)
UAE (2)
INDONESIA (7)
TAIWAN (5)
SINGAPORE (4)
JAPAN (15)
Commercial11
Industry Experts30
Technical/Operations30
Support Staff9
80MacPro
SRF Waste to Energy Bio-SRF Waste to Energy Waste Sourcing (Korean market) Offshore wind development Onshore wind development Rooftop Solar Ground mounted Solar
Project Managers Construction Managers Waste to Energy Plant Manager Food waste technology Food waste Facility operations District Cooling technology District Cooling Facility operations
Industrial Land Development Wastewater treatment facilities Wastewater treatment operations Road and bridge development Street Lighting Rail operations Light rail development
Airport development Airport operations Water network development Water storage facilities Master Planning Landscaping Irrigation systems
Specialist expertise
PAGE 18
2017
Cargill Petroleum
acquisition –integration
of Asian business
First India road asset fund exit
Macquarie Group AsiaEvolution
Thailand warrants
QFII
2012
Tokyo (1999) and Seoul (2000)
offices opened
1999, 2000
First China real estate investmentLeasing in Korea
1999
Korean warrants
2007
Listed Asian equities strategy
2009
Adviser for ABC’s HK IPO1
FX, fixed income and commodities on-the-ground presence in Singapore
2010
Discretionary Investment Management (DIM) licensein JapanBFS exitEquities Structured Products exit
2014
Islamic Markets
business
2015
Annuity-style businesses
Capital markets facing businesses
First China and India infrastructure funds
2010
First regional infrastructure fund
2015
First China retail property fundMKIF listingAsian quant hedge fund
2006
Philippine infrastructure fundKorea Private Concession FundMIM Asian Distribution restructured
2012
ING Asset Management Korea acquired
2013
Manila and GurugramShared Service Centres opened
First WFOE2in China
Oil tanking investment
Malaysia warrants
2014 2016
1995Hong Kong and Beijing offices opened
2008
2016MIM Singapore office openedMacquarie Global Alpha FundFirst China retail property fund exit
First Korean infrastructure fund
2000
Development CapitalSale of China Trust
Company JV
ING Asian cash equities business acquired –
Taiwan, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines
and Thailand offices opened
2004
1. Hong Kong IPO of the Agricultural Bank of China ($US22.1b), at the time the world’s largest IPO. 2. Wholly-Foreign Owned Enterprise.
China Trust Company JV
2009
2017
PAGE 19
Macquarie Korea
1. As at 31 March 2017. 2. Includes permanent and temporary staff.
Providing essential services to the Korean economy 220 million road users / year
1.6 million TEU / year
2.4 million cable TV subscribers
346.8 GwH power / year
336,817 Gcal heat / year
2.14 million tons of steam delivered / year
2.56 million tons of waste treated / year
540 tons food waste treated / day
600 tons of combustible recycling capacity / day
Leveraging its global network and local expertise, Macquarie Group has contributed to the Korean economy by partnering with local clients, stakeholders and the community for 17 years
Key businesses
220+Staff employed across 4 key businesses
36Assets invested in infrastructure, renewables and waste
LargestForeign asset manager
Macquarie Asset Management
$US31b under management across equities, fixed income, alternatives and infrastructure
Macquarie Capital Principal investment and advisory specialising in the environmental and energy sectors
Corporate and Asset Finance
Semi-conductor and IT equipment leasing
Commodities and Global Markets
Integrated end-to-end offering: equities, fixed income, foreign exchange and commodities
3,794Staff employed at invested assets2
PAGE 20
Macquarie KoreaPlatform evolution
Pre 2000IMMKookminalliance
JV with Shinhan
Infrastructure Fund capitalized with KRW 247 billion
2002
2003Woori Macquarie Equities Derivatives Co-operation
2004First listed REIT on Korea Exchange
Macquarie Securities Ltd. Seoul Branch
Macquarie Korea Opportunities Fund established
2005
Infrastructure Fund lists on Seoul and London stock exchanges
2006Woori Macquarie Business co-operation begins trade in commodity derivatives
MSKL converted from branch to locally incorporated subsidiary
2007-8Macquarie IMM sold to Goldman Sachs
MSKL OTC license received March 2007
Top Advisor in Korea on 2008 M&A Financial Advisory Thomson League Table
2009Macquarie SamchullyAsset Management
Attempt to acquire Prudential Securities Korea
Bank branch commences operation Q1 and receives OTC derivatives license in Q4
2010
Korea Macquarie Growth Fund (KMGF) established
2011
2012Macquarie purchased 50% common shares in MSIAM, renamed the entity as ‘Macquarie Korea Asset Management’ ending Shinhan JVsCAF / KDB JVMIRA - New commercial concessions fundKIC mandate on emerging market equitiesAcquire Merrill Lynch’s mortgages
Acquisition of ING Investment Management KoreaAttempt to buy Woori Bank NPL business
2013
New unlisted domestic fundMREK sale to ARA
2014
2015MIRA: MKOF3 established(KRW 605b/$AU 700m) and
deployed KRW 122b ($AU 141m); KPCF3 established (KRW 520b/$AU 601m), MacCap – Waste Sector Company
MacCap: Acquired ReClean and established waste management related entities
2016
Seoul officeTech. Equip LeasingKookmin JVMIMM FM JV
2000-1
PAGE 21
Case study: MKIFEvolutionOnly listed infrastructure fund in Korea / Largest portfolio of toll roads in Asia
Pioneered best practice infrastructure fund management in Korea, serving as an education platform for local financial institutions
MKIF history
1. As at 31 March 2017. 2. MKIF delisted from LSE in March 2016
2002MKIF established
2003-5Capital raising and investing
2006IPO listing
2007 onwardsActive asset and capital management
2015
Mandate expansion
PresentMarket leader
Manager: Macquarie - Shinhan JV (Oct 2002)
Manager:Macquarie buy-out(June 2012)
1st raising of $A290m 19 investors (17 domestic)
Investment in 15 toll road & 1 subway line(8 brownfield & 8 greenfield)
8 greenfield completion 1 investment / 4 divestments 5 fund refinancing and bond
offering 11 asset capital restructuring 5 court dispute resolutions
IPO ($A1.2bn) 32% of IRR to pre-
IPO investors Dual listing on
KRX and LSE2
Restriction on public concession (BTO) alleviated
Capacity to transition from time restricted concession to a diversified infrastructure conglomerate
More scope to buy& sell Potential for fund to be priced for intrinsic
value rather than short term yield
Establishment/Listing
2002 / 2006Mandate
Core / Core+(Korean only)
Portfolio
11 toll roads / 1 port(all concessions)
Market capitalisation
$A3.1bn1(KRX top 80)
AUM $A1.85b (30 Jun 17)
PAGE 22
Korea asset portfolio40 assets across infrastructure, energy, waste and others
Current assets as of 31 March 2017. 1. Includes MIRA and MacCap assets
Roads / TunnelIncheon International ExpresswayIncheon Grand BridgeYongin Seoul ExpresswayGwangju 2nd Beltway,Section 1Gwangju 2nd Beltway,Section 3-1Seoul–Chuncheon ExpresswayWoomyunsan TunnelCheonan– Nonsan ExpresswayBaekyang TunnelSoojungsan TunnelMachang Bridge
WasteDaegil Industry / Daegil EnvironmentJinju IndustryM-IcheonM-Prum / Re-CleanM-DaonM-HamanSaehan Environmental
Power / UtilitiesNorth East ChemicalsDaejeon Combined Heat and Power Plant
Private ConcessionCNE Motorway Service Station (MSS)Haengdam MSSGoyang TerminalDongja Business HotelPyeongChang MSSDukpyeong MSSMODA Outlet DaeguAJ Parking
MediaD’Live
Renewable EnergyYoungduk Wind PowerYeongyang Wind Power
PortHanjin Terminals(US, Japan, Taiwan)Busan New Port Phase 2-3
VentureYello Mobile
StorageUnited Terminal Korea
1
https://www.google.co.kr/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwixpNPa3prMAhUnG6YKHRnYAm8QjRwIBw&url=https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Map_of_South_Korea-blank.svg&psig=AFQjCNGYAOu_rTUiW-KMs2O24HUGGMBJkA&ust=1461156589821886
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
3Asia outlook
and opportunities
PAGE 24
Positive macro outlook
45%48%
51%
-
1b
2b
3b
2010 2015 2020F
Population % of total population
27%35%
45%
-
1b
2b
2010 2015 2020F
Population % of global middle class population
GDP3 ($UStr)
26%30% 33%
-
10
20
30
40
2010 2015 2020F
GDP % of global GDP
Total savings4 ($UStr)
29%
34%
40%
-
5
10
2010 2015 2020F
Savings % of global savings
1. United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs. 2. Brookings Institute (Middle class defined as $US10-$US100 earnings per person per day). 3. IMF WEO Database as at 12 Apr 17. 4. World Bank, ‘Capital for the Future’.
Urban population1 Middle class population2
PAGE 25
Growing capital poolsChinese insurers’ asset allocation3Asia’s capital market and M&A activity1 Assets under management (AUM)2
1. Deal value per Dealogic as at 31 Dec 16; monthly stock market turnover per World Federation of Exchanges as at 31 Dec 16. 2. Asset management industry AUM estimates per PwC, ‘Asset Management 2020 – A Brave New World’. 3. China Insurance Regulatory Commission as at 30 Jun 16.
-
300
600
900
1,200
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016ECMM&A
-
2
4
6
8
Stock market turnover (RHS)Stock market turnover (ex A-share, RHS)
($UStr)($USb) ($UStr)
CAGR
+9.3%
+4.5%33.2
41.3
7.7
12.0
-
15
30
45
60
2012 2016Asia North America
CAGR
+56.5%
+18.0%
+7.4%
+0.6%
+15.0%$US1.0tr $US1.8tr
Cash
Fixed Income
Equity
-
25%
50%
75%
100%
2012 2016
Alternatives
PAGE 26
Supported by strong policy and reform agendas
Significant opportunity across key markets
ChinaMoving to the Market
Urbanisation
Major infrastructure needs
Rising middle class
Cross-border investment
Financial market liberalisation
Japan
Abenomics
Large institutional investors
Renewable energy policies
Cross-border investment by trading companies
South Korea
Moon Economy
Large institutional investors
Renewable energy policies
Few limitations on foreign investment
Large corporates
High tech sector
India
The Modi Project Urbanisation
Major infrastructure needs
Rising middle class
Improving transparency
Taiwan
Reviving Economy Renewable energy
DIGI+ Plan and thehigh tech sector
Large institutional investors
Developing and repatriating talent from abroad
Trade agreements: TPP, NSP & FTAs
PhilippinesCatch-Up EconomyGrowing young population
National savings institutions
Strong government push for infrastructure development
Large conglomerates expanding into infrastructure
PAGE 27
Asia’s required infrastructure funding requirement is significant and currently not matched by available sources of capital
Asia’s Infrastructure funding gap
Asia Infrastructure Projected Demand for Capacity and Replacement (2016-2030)
7.0 Transport
0.7 Water/Sanitation2.0 Telecommunications1.5 Renewables
9.0 Electricity
$20.2 trillion1
$13 trillionfrom China alone
$4 trillionfrom India
$3 trillionfrom Southeast Asia
Resulting to an infrastructure funding gap of
$3-4 trillionAugmented by robust brownfield opportunities, as a result of
Non-core asset sales and capital recycling for new infrastructure
Of the $20.2 trillion projected demand…
1. Calculated from Macquarie’s analysis of Asian Development Bank’s ‘Meeting Asia’s Infrastructure Needs’ report dated Feb 2017.
PAGE 28Source: International Energy Agency - World Energy Outlook 2016
Electricity access in Asia
Power and energy
512mpeople have no access to
electricity
Power generation is expected to nearly double from 10,850TWh in 2016 to 20,119TWh in 2040
48%growth by 2035
Growth in energy consumption
2Xincrease in power
generation
Growth in energy production
Power generation will be a key focus in the region driven by urbanisation and industrialisation
56%of global energy
production by 2040
Share of global energy production
74%of regional total.
Will build 3,243GW by 2040
China and India to be leaders in power generation
and consumptions
PAGE 29
Regulatory supportChanges to renewable energy policies across the region have been creating new opportunities in the sector
Renewable energy mix targets 20%by 2025 24%by 203020%by 2030
DOUBLEDfrom 10%
Scaling back on coal and nuclear power shutting down coal firing plants (total 3.3GW) and nuclear reactor
4th Industrial Revolution is key agenda, with renewable energy a critical part -pledging 50,000 new jobs in sector
President Tsai is proactive in renewable energy sector significantly increasing installation targets by >50% by 2025
“Million Solar Rooftop PV’s” and “Thousand Wind Turbines” projects:
— Solar PV: 3,100MW by 2030— Wind: 4,200MW by 2030
Government implemented a new feed in tariff to support the development of renewable energy post Fukushima
Solar is the top renewable energy source in the country. If the 2030 target is met, Japan’s installed capacity will hit 64GW
PAGE 30
Acquisition of Green Investment BankThe combined businessThe combination of the Green Investment Bank and Macquarie will create a clear market leader in green infrastructure investment
Targeting $US3.8 billion of investment over three years
A clear market leader A combined principal investment platform
for European green infrastructure
£4 billion of green projects under management for investors including USS, the UK Government and Macquarie's MEIF5
Offices in Edinburgh and London
Committed to Green Investment Bank’s green purpose and approach to green investment
Committed to investing in the low carbon economy, across all technologies
Note: USD1=GBP0.79
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
4Mongolia: Future prospects
and opportunities for the financial sector
PAGE 32
MongoliaMacroeconomic overview
1. Asia Development Bank as at 16 Aug 17. 2. Bank of Mongolia, policy rate effective 15 Jun 17. 3. MSE Top 20 Index, Bloomberg as at 16 Aug 17. 4. UNCTAD, World Investment Report, 2017. Decline mainly due to negative intracompany loans, changes in commodity prices and regulatory/legal uncertainty for FDI projects. 5. Looser fiscal policy was a major driver (along with commodity price declines) for Mongolia’s high debt 6. With China and South Korea
Mongolia economic indicators Total GDP (2016) / GDP growth (2017F)1 $US11.2b / 2.5%
Sovereign rating / Long term outlook (S&P) B- / stable
Key benchmark rate2 12.0%
Stock market YTD performance3 14,640 (+18.5%)
FDI net inflows (2016)4 -$US4b (-433% yoy)
3.1mPopulation
~80% Of all exports
to China
~90%Of GDP is
from mining
Economic and political developments Financial aid from IMF, IFC (World Bank) and various
international agencies to support economic recovery Financial and structural reforms: fiscal consolidation5,
monetary tightening, governance and tariff/tax policies Industry diversification: technology and renewables Poverty reduction and reallocating social welfare
Trade ‘Mongolia First’ economic independence initiative Proposed Free Trade Agreements6 Expanding trade relations with India, Russia and Japan
Infrastructure Modernising energy and wastewater infrastructure Developing new transport and industrial infrastructure
to facilitate trade, mining and Belt and Road Initiative(s)
Current themes
PAGE 33
MongoliaKey policy initiatives
Economic diversification1 and trade agreements to offer significant import and export opportunities
New legislation2 and councils3 to enhance FDI, entrepreneurship and business confidence
Trade and investment stimulated through accommodative monetary policy and flexible exchange rates
Developing/partnering with educational institutions to bridge skill gaps
Government initiatives to promote renewable energy development and infrastructure (transportation and social)
Privatisation of state-assets4 including PPP development of infrastructure
1. Agriculture, livestock (meat and cashmere), renewable energy (solar and wind) and tourism sectors. 2. Aimed at anti-corruption, promoting Small Medium Enterprises (SME) and governance and transparency. 3. Newly established National Development Agency and Investor Dispute Resolution Council. 4. Although announced in Parliament’s 2016 National Action Plan, no specific assets have been nominated for sale yet.
PAGE 34
MongoliaFinancial sector
Potential Opportunities
Banking system reforms1 to improve the regulatory
framework and resilience of commercial banks
Proposed establishment of an asset management company2
to hold NPLs3 from domestic banks to free up capital
Establishment of a tax administration to strengthen tax
policy and budgetary controls
EBRD4 approved its 4-year investment plan into Mongolia
Recent developments
Consolidation of Mongolia’s banking sector – M&A
Advisory for banks – balance sheet recapitalisation
JVs between domestic banks with foreign niche FI5
JVs between Mongolian corporates with FI (domestic and
foreign) for infrastructure development
Financing for priority industries such as resources and
infrastructure (with government support) as well as SMEs
Infrastructure project preparation and management
Development of new financial products: asset-backed
lending, securitisations and high yield investments2
Commodities and FX hedging6
Development of a National Savings regime1. Including Asset Quality Review, Deposit Insurance Scheme and AML/CTF policies mainly as a result of the IMF $US5.5b aid program. 2. 12 Jun 17, Mongolia moots asset management company to tackle bad loans, FT.3. Non Performing Loans. 4. European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. 5. Financial institutions. 6. For the mining and agricultural sectors
PAGE 35
Super-grid project connecting Northeast Asia1
Smart Energy Belt of One Asia
1. Mongolia, Korea, China, Japan and Russia. 2. Korean Electric Power Co
Project highlights
Constructing solar and wind energy farms in Mongolia to
deliver power for neighbouring countries
Aims to reduce pollution, emissions, energy prices and
establish a joint economic community in the region
Partnership discussions held between KEPCO2 and
Softbank on new energy, big data and technology
MOU signed between KEPCO and State Grid Corp (China)
and Rossetti (Russia)
Spearheaded by Korean and Japan with full support from
President Moon in KoreaProposed energy belt: Mongolia to benefit from energy infrastructure and power
PAGE 36
Infrastructure investment is more than just building things
A private infrastructure industry
Strong link between growing capital markets and
infrastructure development – one gigawatt of wind
translates into $2b of investment
Attracts foreign debt and equity capital, opening up
opportunities for domestic savings
Job creation across industries not just the financial sector
Facilitates diversification of banks
Infrastructure Development
Government policies and regulationEPC O & M
Advisers
Predictable investment products for customers
IPOs (New)• Domestic listings
• Dual listings
Banks
Equity Debt
Investment Institutions
Domestic Foreign
PAGE 37
Wind Energy’s Economic “Ripple Effect”
Project Development & On-Site Labour ImpactConstruction Phase: Over 600 FTE jobs $55million to local economies
Operational Phase: 60 long-term jobs $4 million/year to Texas $5 million/year in land owner revenue $7 million/year in property taxes
Local Revenue, Turbine, & Supply Chain ImpactConstruction Phase: Over 1,000 FTE jobs $140 million to local
economies
Operational Phase: 100 jobs Over $21 million/year to
local economies
Induced ImpactConstruction Phase: Over 500 FTE jobs Over $65 million to
local economies
Operational Phase: 80 jobs Near $10 million/year
to local economies
From developing 1,000 MW of wind energy in Texas
Attracting Financial Sector Participation in Mongolia Important informationSlide Number 3Key TakeawaysSlide Number 5Macquarie Group�OverviewMacquarie Group�Business resilienceMacquarie Group�Financial positionMacquarie Group�Our operating groupsMacquarie Group�Infrastructure specialistMacquarie Group�Global presenceSlide Number 12Macquarie Group Asia�Our platformMacquarie Group Asia�Key operating groupsMacquarie Group Asia�Macquarie Capital - ProjectsMacquarie Capital – Projects�Service OfferingsMacquarie Capital – Projects�Our teamMacquarie Group Asia�EvolutionMacquarie KoreaMacquarie Korea�Platform evolutionCase study: MKIF�EvolutionKorea asset portfolio�40 assets across infrastructure, energy, waste and othersSlide Number 23Positive macro outlookGrowing capital poolsSignificant opportunity across key markets�Asia’s Infrastructure funding gapPower and energyRegulatory supportAcquisition of Green Investment Bank�The combined businessSlide Number 31Mongolia�Macroeconomic overviewMongolia�Key policy initiativesMongolia�Financial sectorSmart Energy Belt of One AsiaA private infrastructure industryWind Energy’s Economic “Ripple Effect”