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8/14/2019 Modelling of Air-Water Exchange of PCBs in the Great Lakes
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www.elsevier.com/locate/atmosenv
Authors Accepted Manuscript
Modelling of air-water exchange of PCBs in the great
lakes
Fan Meng, Deyong Wen, James Sloan
PII: S1352-2310(08)00186-6
DOI: doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2008.02.050
Reference: AEA 8181
To appear in: Atmospheric Environment
Received date: 15 October 2007
Revised date: 17 January 2008
Accepted date: 20 February 2008
Cite this article as: Fan Meng, Deyong Wen and James Sloan, Modelling of
air-water exchange of PCBs in the great lakes, Atmospheric Environment (2008),
doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2008.02.050
This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As
a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. Themanuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting galley proof
before it is published in its final citable form. Please note that during the production process
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to the journal pertain.
http://www.elsevier.com/locate/atmosenvhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2008.02.050http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2008.02.050http://www.elsevier.com/locate/atmosenv8/14/2019 Modelling of Air-Water Exchange of PCBs in the Great Lakes
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Modelling of Air-water Exchange of PCBs in the Great Lakes1
Fan Meng, Deyong Wen, James Sloan*2
Waterloo Center for Atmospheric Sciences, University of Waterloo, Canada3
Corresponding author: James J. Sloan, Waterloo Center for Atmospheric Sciences,5
University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1 Canada e-mail:6
Abstract8
Volatilization from water may be an important emission or reemission process for9
PCBs. In previous work, we have expanded the Community Multi-scale Air Quality10
(CMAQ) model to simulate the transport, chemical transformation, gas/aerosol11
partitioning, deposition and air-water surface exchange of PCBs. The air-water12
surface exchange algorithm is based on a two-film model of the air-water interface.13
Using this expanded version of CMAQ, we simulated the air-water exchange flux of14
gas phase PCBs in the Great Lakes and examined the concentrations and deposition15
patterns of PCBs in North America for 2002. For gas phase PCBs, the volatilization16
from water surfaces is often greater than the absorption (dry deposition) to the water17
surfaces. For example, the net flux of PCBs from the Great Lakes to the atmosphere18
is much larger than the dry and wet deposition of particle phase PCBs to the Great19
Lakes. Thus we conclude that the Great Lakes are currently a source rather than a20
sink for PCBs. For remote areas such as Lake Superior, this air-water exchange21
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appears to be the most important source of PCBs emission. Anthropogenic emission,1
however, is still the dominant source when averaged across the whole North2
American model domain. Transfer resistance calculations show that the transfer3
resistance at the water side of the interface is the biggest resistance, while the4
aerodynamic and air side resistances are approximately the same. The total air-water5
transfer resistance is more sensitive to wind speed than to temperature.6
1. Introduction7
Because they are semi-volatile, gas phase PCBs in the atmosphere can be absorbed to8
and volatilize from surface water, depending on the concentration differences between9
the air and water sides. Estimations based on measured PCBs loading to the Great10
Lakes based on Integrated Atmospheric Deposition Network (IADN) data [Hoff et al.,11
1996; IADN, 1998; IADN, 2000] showed that this surface exchange process can be12
dominant in some regions. When modelling the fate of PCBs in the atmosphere,13
therefore, the volatilization of gas phase PCBs from water should be considered in14
addition to the other particle and gas phase dry and wet deposition processes.15
Generally, the transfer of gas phase pollutants between the atmosphere and a surface16
can be represented by three processes: (1) aerodynamic transport by turbulence17
through the atmospheric surface layer to a very thin layer of stagnant air just adjacent18
to the surface (quasi-laminar sub-layer); (2) molecular transport across this19
quasi-laminar sub-layer; (3) transfer processes in the surface side. In the CMAQ20
system, it is customary to use resistance models to describe the dry deposition of gas21
phase model species [Byun and Ching, 1999].22
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Various models based on the concept of a diffusive sub-layer or two films have1
been used to describe molecular transfer at the air-water interface [Liss and Slater,2
1974a; Upstill-Goddard, 2006]. In the present work, we integrate a two-film3
air-water exchange model into the CMAQ system. We report the application of this4
model to the prediction of the temporally and spatially resolved air-water surface5
exchange flux of gas phase PCBs for the Great Lakes region. We also use it to6
calculate the air concentration and deposition processes of gas and particle phase7
PCBs for the entire year of 2002 in a larger domain covering most of North America.8
2. Model Description9
In a recent publication, [Meng et al., 2007] we reported the expansion of the CMAQ10
model to include 22 PCB congenersPCB5, 8, 18, 28, 31, 52, 70, 90, 101, 105, 110,11
118, 123, 132, 138, 149, 153, 158, 160, 180 and 194. We used existing CMAQ12
algorithms to model the atmospheric transport and diffusion of particle and gas phase13
PCBs, dry deposition of particle phase PCBs, and wet deposition of both gas and14
particle phase PCBs. We also added several new components to the gas/particle15
partitioning model, as well as chemical reactions with OH radicals produced by the16
CMAQ gas phase chemical mechanism. We summarize here a few aspects of this17
new model that are important for the present publication.18
Due to the semi-volatile nature of gas phase PCBs, their surface exchange flux with19
water can be either from the atmosphere to the water (negative, deposition or20
absorption) or from the water to the atmosphere (positive, emission). By analogy21
with the CMAQ one-way resistance model for dry deposition[Byun and Ching, 1999;22
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emission at the water side sub-layer.1
The mass transfer coefficients depend on wind speed, atmospheric stability and2
surface conditions (breaking waves, bubble injection). Therefore, many laboratory3
and field studies have tried to relate mass transfer coefficients to wind speed or4
friction velocity [Liss and Merlivat, 1986; Mackay and Yeun, 1983; Wanninkhof,5
Ledwell, and Crusius, 1991]. In this study, we use the equation for Kw proposed by6
[Wanninkhof, Ledwell, and Crusius, 1991] and the equation for Ka suggested by7
[Mackay and Yeun, 1983]8
The mass transfer coefficient for PCBs is correlated with the mass transfer9
coefficient for carbon dioxide [Bidleman and McConnell, 1995; Hornbuckle et al.,10
1994; Wanninkhof, Ledwell, and Crusius, 1991] according to the following relation:11
),(5.0
),(5.0
)()(// 2
2PCBwCOwPCBwCOw
ScSckk = (3)12
where Sc(CO2)
and Sc(PCB)
are the Schmidt numbers of CO2and PCBs.13
The mass transfer coefficient for carbon dioxide through the water film can be14
related to the 10 m height wind speed (u10), which is based on air-water transfer15
experiments using SF6
[Wanninkhof, Ledwell, and Crusius, 1991]:16
64.1
102, 45.0 uk cow = (4)17
The Schmidt number for PCBs can be calculated from:[Reid, Prausnitz, and Polling,18
1987]19
2,
2,
coww
wcow
DSc
= (5)20
PCBww
w
PCBwD
Sc,
,
= (6)21
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where wis the kinetic viscosity of water as a function of temperature. D
w,pcbandD
w,co21
are the solution phase diffusivities of the PCB molecules and carbon dioxide2
molecules calculated by the method of Hayduk and Laudie [Hayduk and Laudie,3
1974].4
For ka
of PCBs, we use Mackays empirical formulation in which wave breaking5
has been considered. The wave breaking increases the air side friction velocity6
non-linearly and therefore increases ka[Mackay and Yeun, 1983].7
67.0
,10
5.0
10
43][)63.01.6(1062.410 ++= pcbaa Scuuk (7)8
The Schmidt number, Sca,pcb
, can be calculated from:9
PCBaa
a
PCBaD
Sc,
,
= (8)10
where a is the kinetic viscosity of water as a function of temperature; D
a,pcbis the11
diffusivity of the PCB molecules in air, which can be calculated using the method of12
Fuller et al.[Polling, Prausnitz, and O'Connell, 2000]13
The two-films approach that we used in our volatilization model is similar to that of14
IADN [Hillery et al., 1998; Hoff, 1994; Hoff et al., 1996; IADN, 2000]. In our15
model, however, the fluxes from air to water (deposition) and from water to air16
(volatilization) are both calculated using equation (1). Either volatilization or17
deposition can dominate, depending on the direction of the gradient between the air18
and water concentrations19
The model described in the previous section was integrated into CMAQ and its20
meteorology preprocessor, Meteorology-Chemistry Interface Program (MCIP). In21
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the application of the model, all 22 PCB congeners are simulated separately for all1
model processes such as transport, transformation, gas/particle partitioning,2
deposition/volatilization etc. and the correct parameters for each congener are used in3
these calculations. The results for total PCBs are the sum of the results obtained for4
the 22 PCB congeners.5
3. Modelling configurations and input Data6
3.1 Modelling configurations and meteorology7
The modelling domain covers North America with 132 x 90 36 km grid squares on8
a Lambert projection centered at (40N, 90W) (Figure 1). We used 15 vertical9
terrain-following sigma layers of varying thickness, with the top at 100 hpa and the10
first level at about 75 m. The model simulation used the CB-IV gas-phase chemistry11
mechanism [Gery et al., 1989], which includes 36 species and 93 reactions, including12
9 primary organic species and 11 photolysis reactions.13
Meteorological fields for the year 2002 were derived from MM5, the14
Fifth-Generation PSU/NCAR mesoscale model [Grell and Dudhia, 1994] and15
processed using MCIP, the CMAQ meteorology preprocessor.16
3.2 Emission data17
The accuracy of model simulations depends strongly on the quality of emission data.18
Unfortunately, there are still many uncertainties in both the emission factors and the19
activity data for PCBs in the U.S. and Canada. Therefore we used the global20
emission estimates of Breivik [Breivik, 2002; Breivik et al., 2002] which were21
developed using a mass balance approach. In this work, we use the maximum22
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estimates of 67800 kg/yr and 9200 kg/yr for the U. S. and Canada for the year 20001
respectively. These total emissions were allocated to the model grids by population.2
The total emission was also speciated into the 22 congeners.[Meng et al., 2007].3
Emissions of criteria pollutants such as SO2, NOx, CO, VOCs and PM from point,4
area, biogenic, on-road and non-road mobile sources were obtained from the 1999 U.5
S. NEI emission inventory and 1995 Canadian dataset. All emissions were processed6
using the Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions Modelling system (SMOKE) of7
U.S. EPA, which is the emission preprocessor for the CMAQ model.8
3.3 PCB Water concentrations in the Great Lakes9
The benefit of the modeling approach for calculation of the exchange flux is to10
allow the use of temporally and spatially resolved air concentrations, water11
concentrations and meteorology data. The scarcity of measurement data for water12
bodies, however, is still a serious problem when modelling the exchange process13
between water and the atmosphere. Since there are no water concentration data with14
resolution comparable to that of atmospheric models, we interpolated water15
concentration data when appropriate information is available.16
In the 1993 survey by the Great Lakes National Program Office (GLNPO)17
[Anderson et al., 1999], there are data available for 28 PCBs at 24 locations in the18
open water of the Great Lakes. Generally, Lake Huron and Lake Superior are cleaner19
with lower dissolved-phase PCB concentrations ranging from 60-92 pg / L and20
63-160 pg / L respectively. The dissolved-phase PCB concentrations in Lake Erie,21
Lake Michigan and Lake Ontario range from 52-330 pg / L, 110-140 pg / L and22
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110-190 pg / L respectively. The highest concentrations occur near the west end of1
Lake Erie (close to Winsor, Ontario and Detroit, Michigan). The concentrations are2
highly variable within the individual lakes; in Lake Erie, for example, the3
concentration varies by a factor of 6.4
Other data available for comparisons include the lake-wide averaged data of IADN5
[IADN, 2000] and the Canadian Great Lakes database of Environment Canada6
[Waltho, 2006]. These data are summarized in Table 1, which shows that Lake7
Ontario and Lake Erie have higher lake-wide average concentrations (by a factor of 3)8
than Lake Huron, Georgian Bay and Lake Superior and the trends of these9
concentrations with time differ among the lakes. The limited number of samples is10
probably the major reason for this. The interpolated data of 1993 from the Great11
Lakes National Program Office (GLNPO) (see Figure 2) and the 1997-2002 lake-wide12
averaged data from IADN have been used in our work.13
5. Modelling Results and Discussion14
5.1 Temporal variation of air/gas exchange flux15
The aerodynamic resistance (Ra) is determined by the strength of the atmospheric16
turbulence and therefore is the same for all PCB congeners. However, the heavier17
PCB congeners have bigger air-side quasi-laminar layer resistance (Rg) and water-side18
quasi-laminar layer resistance(Rl), although their variations with wind speed are19
similar (Equations 3-8). Figure 3 shows an example ofRa,Rg
andRlof PCB18 for20
1 May 2002 0:00 GMT to 6 May 2002 0:00 GMT at two sites in Lake Ontario and21
Lake Superior (see Figure 2 for detailed locations ). This shows that the most22
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important barrier to exchange from the lowest level of the atmosphere to the water is1
the resistance of the water side. The aerodynamic resistance due to atmospheric2
turbulence and the resistance of the laminar layer on the air side are similar. Equations3
(4) shows that the wind speed is the controlling factor for the water side resistance.4
Figure 4 shows the hourly air-water surface exchange fluxes of total PCBs and5
Figure 5 shows the hourly wind speed at 10m height and five-day average water6
surface temperature at 5 Great Lakes locations (the red dots in Figure2) predicted by7
MM5 during 2002. Comparison of figures 4 and 5 shows that the exchange fluxes8
have an obvious seasonal variation and a dependence on wind speed. The highest9
fluxes, which can be as high as 360 g/hectare/hour, occur in spring and the lowest10
occur in summer, when they are usually below 100 g/hectare/hour. The air11
concentration of PCBs is much smaller than the equilibrium value corresponding to12
the water concentration, so the latter controls the direction of the flux. From the13
Figures 4 and 5 it can also be seen that the exchange fluxes do not increase with14
temperature, indicating that the wind speed is more important than temperature in15
controlling the air-water exchange transfer flux.16
Figure 6 (a) shows the air-water exchange flux of total PCBs and wind speed at 1017
m height at two sites in Lake Ontario and Lake Superior for a five day period from 118
May to 6 May, 2002. The strong correlation between the air-water exchange flux19
and wind speed can be seen clearly from this. The high values of the air-water20
exchange flux correspond to the high wind speeds and are therefore dominated by the21
water side resistance, Rl. Figure 6(b) shows that the temporal variations of the22
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air-water exchange flux do not have an obvious relationship with the air1
concentrations for Lake Ontario and Lake Superior.2
5.2 Spatial distribution of air/water gas exchange flux3
Absorption and volatilization are the two opposing transfer processes in the4
air-water exchange. In the model, the direction of the air-water exchange flux is5
driven by the relative sizes of the air and water concentrations and the relevant6
Henrys law constant. Figure 7 shows the net air-water exchange fluxes of PCB18,7
PCB52, PCB101 and total PCBs for the Great Lakes in 2002. Clearly, the net fluxes8
of PCB18, PCB52, PCB101 and total PCBs are positive except very a few locations9
near the lakeshores (in blue). The PCB concentrations in water are one or two orders10
of magnitude higher than the air concentrationsi.e. cg
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and Lake Michigan the highest temperatures (Figure 8).1
Figures 9, 10 and 11 show, respectively, the wet deposition of total gas phase PCBs2
and the dry and wet depositions of total particle phase PCBs to the Great Lakes. The3
distribution of depositions generally corresponds to the distribution of the air4
concentrations of PCBs (Figure 1). Both air concentrations and depositions are5
mainly controlled by anthropogenic emissions. The contribution of air-water surface6
exchange processes to the air concentration was not significant, especially for the sites7
with high anthropogenic emission, which we have noted based on a sensitivity8
analysis of air-water exchange processes (Figure 9 in [Meng et al., 2007]).9
5.3 Total air-water exchange flux and deposition loading of PCBs10
Figure12 shows the model predicted net air-water surface exchange of total PCBs11
for the Great Lakes using the 1993 PCB water concentration data of the GLNPO12
[Anderson et al., 1999] and the 1997-2000 lake-wide averaged water concentrations13
[IADN, 2000]. The air-water surface exchange flux has also been compared with the14
model predicted depositions as well as the IADN estimation [IADN, 2000] of the net15
exchange flux, volatilization and absorption of the total (suite) PCBs. The model16
predicted air-water surface exchange fluxes for Lakes Superior, Michigan, Huron,17
Erie, and Ontario for 2002, based on the IADN water concentration data of 1997-200018
are 1197.5kg/year, 797.4 kg/year, 993.83 kg/year, 864.3 kg/year and 389.9 kg/year19
respectively. All net exchange fluxes are positive, i.e. volatilization dominates. The20
largest net flux is from Lake Superior and the smallest is from Lake Ontario. The total21
net exchange flux from the Great Lakes for 2002 based on the 1997-2000 IADN water22
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concentration data is 4242.9kg/year, which is close to the estimation by1
IADN(3030.0 kg/year). When using the higher water concentrations of the 19932
GLNPO data, the net flux from Great Lakes is 7334.8kg/year, or about a factor of two3
larger than the estimation by IADN. The total emissions of PCBs of 2000 in the4
U.S. and Canada are 67800 kg/yr and 9200 kg/yr respectively, so the emission or5
reemission due to the air-water surface exchange processes from the Great Lakes is6
not a dominant fraction for whole domain, but it is a significant percentage and is the7
most important contribution for some remote areas.8
In previous work, [Meng et al., 2007], we showed that the contribution of9
volatilization to the air concentrations above the remote lakes (Lake Superior and10
Lake Huron) is more significant than that of the other Great Lakes. However, Lake11
Erie, Ontario and Michigan have the potential to be important PCB emission sources12
in the future, after the anthropogenic emissions decrease, because of their high13
dissolved PCB concentrations.14
PCB deposition to the Great Lakes predicted by the model includes wet deposition15
of gas phase and wet and dry deposition of particle phase. Among these three, the16
particle phase wet deposition is the largest. The total wet and dry deposition of17
particle phase and wet deposition of gas phase PCBs to the Great Lakes for 2002 are18
13.38kg/year, 0.74kg/year and 0.062kg/year respectively. By comparison with the net19
air-water exchange flux, however, these depositions are small. The Great Lakes20
currently act as emission sources, not sinks, of PCBs due to air-water exchange21
processes. For the whole domain, however, the wet and dry deposition of particle22
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phase and wet deposition of gas phase PCBs are 1676.79 kg/year, 102.71 kg/year and1
13.64 kg/year respectively. We ignore dry deposition from the gas phase [Meng et2
al., 2007].3
There are no direct air-water exchange measurement data for comparison with our4
modelling predictions. In the previous work by IADN [IADN, 2000], the net5
exchange fluxes for Lakes Superior, Michigan, Huron, Erie and Ontario are estimated6
to be 720kg/year, 570kg/year, 610kg/year, 810kg/year and 320kg/year respectively.7
These are lower than our predictions, which use the same PCB water concentrations.8
For Lakes Erie and Ontario, where the IADN estimated absorptions are lower, the9
model-predicted net exchange fluxes are very similar to those estimated by IADN.10
For the other three Great Lakes, where the IADN estimated absorptions are higher, the11
model predicted net exchange fluxes are larger than the IADN results. On the other12
hand, the volatilization estimated by IADN is comparable to the model-predicted net13
exchange fluxes (Figure 12), which are mostly volatilization. This is reasonable,14
because our approach to modelling the volatilization is similar to that used in the15
IADN estimation of this quantity and the water concentrations are the same. Thus ,16
the differences noted above must result from differences in the calculation of the17
absorption (dry deposition) of gas phase PCBs.18
5.4 Discussion and conclusion19
Using an expanded version of CMAQ that we have described earlier [Meng et al.,20
2007], we simulated the air-water exchange flux of gas phase PCBs in the Great21
Lakes. The calculation of this exchange flux is based on the simulated air22
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concentrations of PCBs and meteorology parameters. The depositions of PCBs in1
the North American domain for 2002 have also been calculated. For the whole year,2
the volatilization of PCBs dominates for most of the Great Lakes area. This upward3
net exchange flux from the water to the atmosphere is also much larger than the dry4
and wet deposition of particle phase PCBs and wet deposition of gas phase PCBs into5
the Great Lakes. Thus we conclude that the Great Lakes are currently a source6
rather than a sink for PCBs. For remote areas such as Lake Superior, this air-water7
exchange process is the dominant emission process. The emission of PCBs and their8
air concentrations are decreasing and the Great Lakes have a large reservoir of9
dissolved PCBs. Thus, for the Great Lakes region, it is likely that volatilization from10
the lakes will become dominant in the near future and remain so for a long time.11
The PCB water concentrations are one of the key factors affecting the strength of12
the air-water exchange flux. The water concentrations may result from more13
complicated processes such as input from rivers or runoff, or partitioning between14
sediment and suspended particulate matter, in addition to the water-atmosphere15
exchange. In this work, we used both the 1997-2000 IADN and 1993 GLNPO water16
concentration data to calculate the PCB loading of 2002. We assume that the water17
concentration of 2002 is similar to that of the periods 1993 and 1997-2002, based on18
the fact that there is no obvious decreasing or increasing trend of PCB water19
concentration in the Great Lakes. The possible explanations for the relatively stable20
water concentrations of PCBs may be either the huge capacity of the Great Lakes or a21
possible source of PCBs in the Great Lakes sediments. Increasing the spatial and22
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temporal resolution of these concentrations and developing a water PCB transport1
model that can predict spatially and temporally resolved water concentrations and2
incorporate sediment concentrations will improve our ability to model air-water3
exchange.4
In our modeling work, the PCB emission does not have any temporal variation.5
Therefore the air concentrations in the winter are at the same level as in other seasons.6
The small seasonal variation of air concentration only reflects the effects of7
meteorology and chemical reaction. Since the water concentration is 1~2 orders of8
magnitude higher than the air concentration (including the Henrys law constants), the9
use of fixed emission rates did not change the direction of the exchange flux. The10
resistance for the transfer process, which varies with wind therefore is the major11
controlling factor for the exchange flux in our model.12
The Henrys law constants of PCBs are also important factors and a source of some13
uncertainty in calculating the air-water surface exchange flux (Equation 1). In this14
study, we used mean values of these parameters from various authors, but there is still15
significant uncertainty. For example, for PCB52, the Henrys law constant can vary16
from 1.9 to 40 M/atm according to different literature sources ([Sander, 1999]).17
The transfer resistance calculation showed that the transfer resistance on the water18
side is the biggest resistance, while the aerodynamic resistance and resistance of the19
air side sub-layer are comparable. The total transfer resistance is more related to wind20
speed than temperature. In spite of impressive advances in recent years, our current21
understanding of air-water exchange processes is still rather limited. These are22
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particularly important, however, in costal zones or estuaries because of the interaction1
between waves and the atmosphere, wave breaking and bubble formation2
[Upstill-Goddard, 2006].3
Averaged across the whole North American modelling domain, however,4
anthropogenic emission is still the dominant PCB source. Because PCBs are5
semi-volatile, however, it has been hypothesized that their air-soil exchange process6
may be also important [Cousins, Beck, and Jones, 1999]. Recently, it has been found7
[Backe, Cousins, and Larsson, 2004; Cousins and Jones, 2007] that the dry deposition8
might not be the only important air-soil exchange process, the emission or reemission9
from soil might be important as well. Currently there are no PCB soil concentration10
data available for our modelling domain, so we have not considered air-soil exchange11
in our work. Since anthropogenic emissions are decreasing and air-soil exchange12
might become important in the future, the addition of these processes to the model13
will likely be necessary in the future to understand the fate of PCBs in the14
atmosphere.15
Acknowledgements16
The authors are grateful for the financial assistance of the Ministry of the17
Environment of the Province of Ontario, Ontario Power Generation Inc. and Canadian18
Ortech Inc. Also, we would like to thank Jasmine Waltho of Environment Canada19
for providing PCB water concentration data for the Great Lakes.20
21
22
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Reference List1
2
Anderson, D.J. et al., 1999. Concentration of Polychlorinated Biphenyls in the Water3
Column of the Laurentian Great Lakes: Spring 1993. J.Great Lakes Res. 25,4
160-170.5
Backe, C., Cousins, I.T., and Larsson, P., 2004. PCB in soils and estimated soil-air6
exchange fluxes of selected PCB congeners in the south of Sweden.7
Environmental Pollution 128, 59-72.8
Bidleman, T.F. and McConnell, L.L., 1995. A review of field experiments to9
determine air-water gas exchange of persistent organic pollutants. the Science of10
the Total Environment 101-117.11
Breivik, K., 2002. Towards a global historical emission inventory for selected PCB12
congeners - a mass balance approach 1. Globla production and consumptioin. the13Science of the Total Environment 181-198.14
Breivik, K. et al., 2002. Towards a global historical emission inventory for selected15
PCB congeners - a mass balance approach 2. Emission. the Science of the Total16
Environment 290, 199-224.17
Byun, D.W. and Ching, J.K.S., 1999. Science Algorithms the EPA Model-318
Community Multiscale Air Quality(CMAQ) Modeling System.19
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11
12
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1
Figure 1 Modeling domain and annual averaged gas phase PCB concentrations in2
20023
4
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1
2
Figure 2 Dissolved PCB concentrations in the Great Lakes from Great Lakes3
National Program Office [Anderson et al., 1999]. Red dots are the location where the4
modelling results are extracted (Figure 3, 4,5,6). .5
6
7
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1
10
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
5/1/02
0:00
5/1/02
12
:00
5/2
/02
0:00
5/2
/02
12
:00
5/3/02
0:00
5/3/02
12
:00
5/4/02
0:00
5/4/02
12
:00
5/5
/02
0:00
5/5
/02
12
:00
5/6/02
0:00
s/m
Rl_On
Rg_OnRa_On
Rl_SuRg_Su
Ra_Su
2
Figure 3 Model calculated aerodynamic resistance (Ra), air side quasi-laminar3
boundary layer resistance (Rg) and water side quasi-laminar boundary layer4
resistance (Rl) of PCB18 from 1 May 2002 0:00 GMT to 6 May 2002 0:00 GMT at5
two sites in Lake Ontario (On, blue) and Lake Superior (Su, red).6
7
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1
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
12-3
1-01
0:00
1-2
0-02
0:00
2-9-02
0:00
3-1-02
0:0
0
3-2
1-02
0:0
0
4-10-02
0:0
0
4-3
0-02
0:0
0
5-2
0-02
0:0
0
6-9-02
0:0
0
6-2
9-02
0:0
0
7-19-02
0:0
0
8-8
-02
0:00
8-28
-02
0:0
0
9-17
-02
0:0
0
10-7-02
0:00
10-27
-02
0:0
0
11-16-02
0:0
0
12
-6-02
0:0
0
12
-2
6-02
0:0
0
ug/hectare/h
Lake Superio
Lake Huron
Lake MichiganLake Erie
Lake Ontario
2
Figure 4 Air/water surface exchange flux of total PCBs at the 5 locations in the Great3
Lakes. We use the convention that a positive exchange flux is upward from water to4
atmosphere.5
6
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1
220
230
240
250
260
270
280
290
300
310
1-1-02
1:00
1-26
-02
1:00
2-20
-02
1:00
3-17
-02
1:00
4-11
-02
1:00
5-6-02
1:00
5-31
-02
1:00
6-25
-02
1:00
7-20
-02
1:00
8-14
-02
1:00
9-8-02
1:00
10
-3-02
1:00
10-28
-02
1:00
11-22
-02
1:00
12-17
-02
1:00
Temperature(K)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
WindSpeed(m/s)
Temp_Su(K)
Temp_Hu(K)
Temp_Mi(K)
Temp_Er(K)
Temp_On(K)
Wsped10_Su(m/s)
Wsped10_Er(m/s)
Wsped10_On(m/s)
2
Figure 5 MM5 predicted hourly wind-speed at 10m height and five-day average3
surface temperature at the 5 Great Lakes locations indicated by the red dots in Figure4
25
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1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
5-1-02
0:00
5-1-02
12:00
5-2-02
0:00
5-2-02
12:00
5-3-02
0:00
5-3-02
12:00
5-4-02
0:00
5-4-02
12:00
5-5-02
0:00
5-5-02
12:00
5-6-02
0:00
Windspeed(m/s)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
g/hectare
Wspd10_SuWspd10_OnFlux_Su
Flux_On
2
(a)3
0.00E+00
5.00E-09
1.00E-08
1.50E-08
2.00E-08
2.50E-08
5/1/02
1:00
5/1/02
13
:00
5/2
/02
1:00
5/2
/02
13
:00
5/3
/02
1:00
5/3
/02
13
:00
5/4/02
1:00
5/4/02
13
:00
5/5
/02
1:00
5/5
/02
13
:00
ppm
Superior
Ontario
4
(b)5
Figure 6 (a)Air-water exchange flux of PCBs (solid line) and wind speed at 10m6
height (dashed line) at two sites in Lake Ontario and Lake Superior; (b) averaged air7
concentrations of Lake Ontario and Lake Superior (first layer of the model); for 58
day period from May 1 0:00GMT to May 6 0:00GMT, 2002.9
10
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(a)1
2
(b)3
4
(c)5
6
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1
(d)2
3
(e)4
Figure 7 Total exchange flux of PCB18 (a), PCB52 (b), PCB101 (c) and PCBs (d) for5
Great Lakes during 2002, using IADN 2000 PCB water concentration data. (e)6
Exchange flux of PCBs of Great Lakes for 2002 using PCBs water concentration of7
1993 GLNPO survey data. Positive value is the volatilization from Lakes.8
9
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1
(a)2
3
(b)4
Figure 8 Annual averaged wind speed at 10 meter height (a) and averaged surface5
temperature (b) of Great Lake of 20026
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1
2
Figure 9 Wet deposition to Great Lakes of total PCBs in gaseous phase3
4
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1
2
Figure 10 Wet deposition to Great Lakes of total PCBs in particle phase3
4
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1
2
Figure 11 Dry deposition to Great Lakes of total PCBs in particle phase3
4
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1
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
18002000
2200
2400
Exchan
gefluxa
Exchan
gefluxb
Dryd
ep.of
partic
leph
ase
Wet
dep.o
fparticle
phas
e
Wet
dep.o
fgas
phase
IADN
Net
exch
ange
flux
IADN
Volatili
zatio
ns
IADN
Abs
orpti
on
kg/year
Lake Superior
Lake Michigan
Lake Huron
Lake Erie
Lake Ontario
2
Figure 12 Exchange and deposition for Great Lakes. Model predicted exchange flux3
of PCBs of gas phase using water concentrations of a. the survey data of 1993 by4
GLNPO [Anderson et al., 1999]; b. 1997-2000 average data by IADN[IADN, 2000];5
model predicted dry deposition of PCBs in particle phase; wet deposition of PCBs in6
particle phase; wet deposition of PCBs in gas phase; net exchange flux, volatilization7
and absorption of PCBs estimated by IADN [IADN, 2000]. (Note: positive net fluxes8
are volatilization flux and negative flux is deposition).9
10
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Year Lake
Ontario
Lake
Erie
Lake
Huron
Lake
Michigan
Lake
Superior
2004a 381.71 217.63 102.36d / 58.86
1997-2000b 78.0b 132.0 53 47.0 47.0 b
1993c 15000 17367 6833 1300 930
Average 203.2 174.43 71.56 88.5 66.3
Table 1 Lake-wide average PCBs concentration (pg/L) a. 2004 data from2
Environment Canada[Waltho, 2006] b.1997-2000 average data[IADN, 2000]; the3
survey data of 1993 by GLNPO [Anderson et al., 1999]; d. average of Lake Huron4
(102.4) and Geogian Bay(84.3).5
6
7