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    Models for ImmigrationManagement Schemes

    Comparison and analysis of existing approachesand a perspective for future reforms

    Kay Hailbronner

    Director

    Konstanz Center for International and European Law

    on Immigration and Asylum

    Rey Koslowski

    Fellow

    Transatlantic Academy

    Associate Professor

    University at Albany

    IMMIGRATION PAPER SERIE S

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    2008 Te German Marshall Fund o the United States. All rights reserved.

    No part o this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any orm or by any means without permission

    in writing rom the German Marshall Fund o the United States (GMF). Please direct inquiries to:

    Te German Marshall Fund o the United States

    1744 R Street, NW

    Washington, DC 20009

    1 202 683 2650

    F 1 202 265 1662

    E [email protected]

    Tis publication can be downloaded or ree at http://www.gmus.org/publications/index.cm. Limited print

    copies are also available. o request a copy, send an e-mail to [email protected].

    GMF Paper Series

    Te GMF Paper Series presents research on a variety o transatlantic topics by sta, ellows, and partners o theGerman Marshall Fund o the United States. Te views expressed here are those o the author and do not neces-

    sarily represent the view o GMF. Comments rom readers are welcome; reply to the mailing address above or by

    e-mail to [email protected].

    About GMF

    Te German Marshall Fund o the United States (GMF) is a non-partisan American public policy and grant-

    making institution dedicated to promoting greater cooperation and understanding between North America

    and Europe.

    GMF does this by supporting individuals and institutions working on transatlantic issues, by convening leaders

    to discuss the most pressing transatlantic themes, and by examining ways in which transatlantic cooperation can

    address a variety o global policy challenges. In addition, GMF supports a number o initiatives to strengthendemocracies.

    Founded in 1972 through a gi rom Germany as a permanent memorial to Marshall Plan assistance, GMF

    maintains a strong presence on both sides o the Atlantic. In addition to its headquarters in Washington, DC,

    GMF has seven ofces in Europe: Berlin, Bratislava, Paris, Brussels, Belgrade, Ankara, and Bucharest.

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    Models or Immigration Management Schemes

    Comparison and analysis of existing approaches and aperspective for future reforms

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    Models or Immigration Management Schemes:

    Comparison and Analysis o Existing Approaches and a Perspective or Future Reorms

    3

    Introduction

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    he German Marshall Fund o the United States4

    2.1. Immigration and immigration policy

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    Selective immigration policies:Different approaches

    Rank 1990 2005

    1 U S A 23.3 U S A 38.4

    2 R F 11.5 R F 12.1

    3 I 7.4 G 10.1

    4 Uk 7.1 Uk 6.8

    5 Pk 6.6 F 6.5

    6 G 5.9 S Ab 6.4

    7 F 5.9 C 6.1

    8 S Ab 4.7 I 5.7

    9 C 4.3 U K 5.4

    10 A 4.0 S 4.8

    Table 1: The ten countries with the highest number of international migrants (in millions)

    S: M Sk: 2005 R, U N D E S A, PD, POP/DB/MIG/R.2005/D, Fb 2006.

    2

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    Ever since the

    development of

    the international

    system of states,

    states have, to

    varying degrees,

    attempted to

    shape the size

    and composition

    of migration

    across their

    borders.

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    Models or Immigration Management Schemes:

    Comparison and Analysis o Existing Approaches and a Perspective or Future Reorms

    5

    Selective

    migration

    policies are

    proliferating

    among migrant

    destination

    countries of

    the developed

    world.

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    1 Q b H S, Skz U Nw Lw EF Wk, Te elegraph, Fb 7, 2006.

    2 Q b N V, Outlook on Migration PolicyReform in Russia, : IOM, M PEE C A, 2006, . 78.

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    he German Marshall Fund o the United States6

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    2.2. Planned immigration: Admissionfollowing economic forecasts

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    I 2006, France

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    4 Bb B, L Hw, S R. E G Sk M C, D I M A, M 2006

    5 C. U.K.: I R R,Migration News,V. 9, N. 1 (J 2002).

    6 H O, A P-B S: Mk M Wk B. R A 12, 2006 : ://www...k/F/k/C_P1..

    7 H O, -b , R M 4,2008 : ://www.b...k/b//b/.

    8 Q b K B, F k -, International Herald ribune, Fb 10, 2006.

    Canada and

    Australia were

    pioneers of

    immigration

    policies based

    on point

    systems.

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    Models or Immigration Management Schemes:

    Comparison and Analysis o Existing Approaches and a Perspective or Future Reorms

    7

    Point systems

    may take

    fundamentally

    different

    approaches to

    migrant selection

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    2.3. Demand-driven immigration:

    Admission following employers needs

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    11 L Hw, Labour Market Outcomes for MigrantProfessionals: Canada and Australia Compared(Ow: SC 2006).

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    he German Marshall Fund o the United States8

    The German

    concept of

    economic

    immigration

    is mostly

    demand-driven

    and hence

    employment-

    based.

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    b

    30,000 (U.S. S 2008). I k

    w b k b

    12 L B. Lw, H-1B Wk: E P, Wk P N. 12, M 12-13, 2000, C C I S, U C, SD, 2000.

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    Models or Immigration Management Schemes:

    Comparison and Analysis o Existing Approaches and a Perspective or Future Reorms

    9

    An attempt to

    resurrect some

    version of the

    proposal by

    the new U.S.

    administration

    and Congress

    is likely.

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    V C 65,000 115,000 115,000 195,000 195,000 195,000 65,000 65,000 65,000

    V H 240,947 302,326 355,605 384,191 370,490 360,498 386,821 407,418 431,853

    Table 2: H1-B visas

    S: 2006 Yearbook of Immigration Statistics, D H S, b 26.

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    he German Marshall Fund o the United States10

    2011, 2014 B R). W

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    2004,

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    13 S A, D S Ab D, F-Eb-S, B 2008, . 13.

    In 2000,

    the German

    government made

    a first attempt

    at recruiting a

    specified category

    of qualified

    foreigners.

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    Models or Immigration Management Schemes:

    Comparison and Analysis o Existing Approaches and a Perspective or Future Reorms

    11

    The new

    provisions of

    the Residence

    Act have not yet

    had a significant

    impact upon

    the desired

    immigration

    of qualified

    foreigners.

    - k w k ,

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    w 2006

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    E.

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    3. P (w

    ) b k

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    17 A P G J 16, 2008,B-D. (P D) 16/10288.

    b b

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    2004/2007. R A

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    EU z ( )

    w. , k bw

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    ( 3.2.).

    w R A

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    -q

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    G.16 F -

    b , 3,973 w . U

    S 18 R A,

    15 I C, R S, . 7.

    16 F 1.1.2005 1.1.2007, . Mb 2006, . 82.

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    he German Marshall Fund o the United States12

    w -

    b CDU S D

    P (SPD) w

    G,

    w

    . z w

    EU b ,

    b, w j

    b 2011 2014 ( B

    R)

    b k.

    5. F

    q

    ( G

    kw q).

    w

    q

    G w

    j . Lb P (FDP)

    w C D U

    (CDU) z

    w k ,

    Table 3:Newly Arriving Immigrants in Germany, Sorted by Purpose of Residence (2006)

    E(), 18AG

    Hq, 19AG

    S, 21AG

    SWk*, 18, 19BV

    CWk*, 39BV

    A, 60AG

    19,466 80 642 303,492 20,001 21,029

    FR, 27-36AG

    S, 16AG

    OEP, 16, 17AG

    S, 4BVFG

    JwI, 23AG

    50,300 53,554 9,080 7,747 1,079

    S: Mb 2006

    * N 18 AG q EU N.

    The opinions

    on the potential

    effect of these

    new measures

    to meet the

    demand for

    highly qualified

    foreigners in the

    German economy

    are split within

    the major

    political parties.

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    Models or Immigration Management Schemes:

    Comparison and Analysis o Existing Approaches and a Perspective or Future Reorms

    13

    w b.18

    w -k U S,

    w EU b A

    C,

    w

    b k b

    w -k -

    b

    w

    b b k

    b .

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    w

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    wk

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    b

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    . k .

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    bj k

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    , ,

    18 Hz W, T C G C I F I S G, I Mb H Sk (P: OECD 2001), . 323.

    3.1. Advantages and drawbacks of planned

    and demand-driven approaches

    ( ) b k

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    3Comparing approaches toselective immigration policies

    Despite

    destination

    countries best

    efforts, skilled

    migrants may

    not necessarily

    respond to the

    selective migratio

    strategies of the

    receiving country

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    he German Marshall Fund o the United States14

    wk, , wk

    195,000 w

    w w. I 2000,

    w k k w w w

    - w

    , w k

    k bbb.

    D . W

    b -k

    b w

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    k k.19

    I , w

    k

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    q

    .

    b

    w P.D.

    b q ,

    ,

    .

    A k

    k b k

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    w b) b

    b k b

    w ,

    w z. F , -k

    Nw Z

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    q Nw Z z.20 S,

    -k b C bq k jb

    b U.S. k.

    - b

    . F,

    w b

    ;

    , kw w w

    .

    b . F , U.S.

    b bb H1-B 195,000 -k

    19 Bb B, L Hw S R,E G Sk M C, D- I M A, M 2006.

    20 R Kwk w w Nw Z D Lb O, Db 2006.

    Demand

    is also a

    function

    of price.

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    Models or Immigration Management Schemes:

    Comparison and Analysis o Existing Approaches and a Perspective or Future Reorms

    15

    Therefore, labor

    markets are

    potentially global

    with prices that,

    if there were no

    government barrie

    to international

    labor mobility,

    would reflect glob

    competition for an

    given position.

    $26/ wk b $110/, wk b q.22 H,

    -

    b

    q b. Ow,

    -k wk b b

    w b . I

    bw k w ,

    b,

    b

    -k wk w

    b b , .

    3.2. Planning demand: Most models combine

    elements of both approaches

    P-

    b b. F ,

    A

    1996 b

    E N S O

    L

    w A

    . M, b C

    A w b k

    w b

    k jb

    ; k H1-B

    j .

    E C A

    b

    w- U S wb

    b

    j .

    22 G C W F. R J., I S H- , Te Baltimore Sun, Fb 21, 2000.

    I k -k

    b wk.

    E jb

    w. F jb k

    jb b

    .

    b jb. ., w

    b

    . , b k

    b w , w

    b b b, w

    b .

    -k

    U S

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    , w

    .

    I , w

    b b

    w (

    U.S. z

    b). S H-1B wk

    U

    S,

    b wk.21 S

    w H1-B wk

    j w

    wk bw w b. S

    wk b q. O

    H1-B wk

    21 N M , H- C Lb, Te WashingtonPost, Sb 12, 2000.

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    he German Marshall Fund o the United States16

    R, G w b k

    b -, -, - b

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    Germany is

    between the

    ideal types

    of the United

    States and

    Canada but

    very close to

    the United

    States.

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    b. W k w z , b,

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    and humanitarian immigration

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    A clear distinctio

    between differen

    immigration

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    4Crosscurrents in differentimmigration streams

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    he German Marshall Fund o the United States18

    b k w

    . A

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    S (48,300), C (11,200), A (9,600),

    Sw (1,800), Nw (1,100), Nw Z

    (740).23 I E ,

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    23 U N H C R,2007 Gb: R, A-k, R, I D- S P, G: 2008, .11.

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    b

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    de facto . I

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    4.2. Circular migration

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    What was

    thought to

    be temporary

    migration

    eventually

    became

    permanent

    migration.

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    19

    b. b k b

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    27 C. D , Ewk M: G-b M, ://www.-b./wb//47_1037. .

    28 S M/Q, . 107.

    The assumption

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    Gb C I M, M w: Nw , 2005, . 17.; D R A/K Nw, C- M D: , P R W Fw, M P I, A 2007, . 3.

    25 J 2008, . 5 (Ab ://www.2008./PFUE////PFUE-10_2008/PFUE-15.10.2008/C_-); C E C, D-b 14, 2007.

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    he German Marshall Fund o the United States20

    2006-2007. W E k b

    wk E U

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    , U.S. k

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    U.S. policymakers

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    29 C D 2005/71 12 Ob 2005, Of J EU L 289/15, Nb 3, 2005.

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    Adjusted status

    indicates the

    extent to which

    high-skilled

    labor migration

    to the United

    States yields

    large number

    of permanent

    migrants.

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    K)

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    Table 4: Changes in status from temporary to permanent 2005

    percent of immigrants in group having changed status

    S: International Migration Outlook: SOPEMI 2007 Edition (P: O E C- D, 2007).

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    he German Marshall Fund o the United States22

    jb w .

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    Germany as well

    as other European

    countries uphold

    a strict separation

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    residence title

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    specific purpose

    and a residence

    title for taking up

    employment.

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    b . I z b .

    E C, w

    C

    , b

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    D C

    , ,

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    C kw

    b

    .35 ,

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    - . A

    , - w

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    34 COM (2005) 669 .

    35 b b w 2001, . COM(2001) 386 . A b M- S, D Ewkz EU, B-B2006, . 333-343.

    36 F C , .Eb E, Bw Kz Ab, Z A A-k (ZAR) 2008, . 81-86.

    I domaine rserv .

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    5.1. Immigration policy at the

    European Union level

    R EU b

    bb

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    N w EU b

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    32 D 2003/109/EC, O.J. 2003 L 16/44.

    33 F , . S P, EU JHA Lw, O 2006, .213-231.

    5International context of immigrationmanagement policymaking

    Regulation of

    legal migration

    to EU member

    states is

    probably

    the most

    controversial

    aspect of

    European

    migration policy.

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    he German Marshall Fund o the United States24

    w w , U S.38

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    conditio sine qua non . M,

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    37 T wk -k wk w b b C Ob 2007; wk . T w wb b 2009. C. C R , COM (2005) 669, . 14 .

    The initial

    decision whether

    and to what

    extent there is a

    need for workers

    from third

    countries will

    remain with the

    member states.

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    w D 2003/109 b -

    w b b

    .41 F, b

    bj

    b b

    b b . ,

    b bw EU

    b U.S.

    j .

    5.2. Competition for high-skilled immigration:

    U.S.-EU and intra-EU

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    41

    D b 18 b .

    42 E.. Ew K, MEP, - EP D H k 5 Nb 2008.

    43 C. Jkb Wzk, W E, B PB, I 2006/3.

    It must be

    said that the

    differences

    between the EU

    blue card and

    the U.S. green

    card amount to

    far more than

    just a difference

    in color.

    b . Hw, , EU b

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    w b b

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    q .

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    L- R (2003/109/EC), w b z w w

    .40 B C-D

    39 C. P , . 5. Ab ://www.2008./PFUE////PFUE-10_2008/PFUE-15.10.2008/C_.

    40 C. Sj B-S, CML R. 2005, 1011.

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    b

    k, w,

    b

    k

    .

    bw

    w

    b . b

    ;

    .

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    -k w

    EU b k

    b .

    EU b w

    w b

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    .

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    .

    w

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    k

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    .

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    b. D-, jb

    wk .

    I E, U K F

    ;

    G -

    .

    I ,

    G U S w

    ; w k

    .

    6Conclusions

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