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More Vino Ltd.
Wine Retailer and Wholesaler
Established 2005
Managed by Christian & David Stone
Marketing Analysis
Product
Business divided into wholesale, bar & restaurant, retail, and delivery.
Unexpectedly, bar makes up majority of sales Popular with young professionals on the way
home from work Restaurant added in response to demand Owners want to sell wine accessories
Wholesale efforts relatively unsuccessful
Product Market
Sales up 101% from 2006-2007 Anticipated 40% and 20% sales growth in the
next two years if expansion is made Market for wine estimated at $48 million circa 2005,
with high growth anticipated due to rising incomes Strong economic growth in Trinidad Booming tourism industry Limited competition from specialists
Place
More Vino operates out of a location in Port of Spain, the political and economic capital of Trinidad & Tobago
Located on Ariapita Avenue, nearby many of the island's best restaurants
Includes bar and retail center, along with warehouse and extensive display space
Large garden area that can be renovated to accommodate growing demand
Delivery service
Price
Wine is higher priced relative to local alcoholic beverages
More Vino offers lower prices than other competitors
High COGS (77% 2006, 65% 2007) Planned 30% increase in price in response to 10-
15% rise in costs would bring MV's prices up to its competitor's levels
Promotion
Excellent location More Vino uses customer service practices
from developed economies Provides on-site entertainment for customers Plans to increase marketing efforts to promote
(tentative) new expansion Owners considering wine-tasting events, wine
club, and other promotional efforts
Operations Analysis
Asset Utilization
More Vino distributes wine on both the wholesale and retail level.
Heavy investment in inventory In 2007, inventory made up 66% of assets In 2008, inventory made up 33% of assets 96% of current assets consist of inventory
Asset Utilization
Total Asset Turnover
Fixed Asset Turnover
BreakdownTAT rose 40%FAT fell 1%Sales up 101%Assets rose only 4%
47.5% fall in current assets
107% rise in fixed assets
2006 2007
2.01 2.82
2006 2007
5.84 5.78
Why?
More Vino drew down inventories by 48% to meet growing sales demand.
Investment in fixed assets increased both due to rising sales as well as the need to restructure to accommodate the bar's growing popularity.
Average Collection Period
Fell by 78% A/R decreased 56% A/R balance was never large due to nature of
business
2006 2007
2.15 .47
Inventory Days
Fell by 70% Too much initial inventory
Reduced by 48%; COGS up 69% More Vino needed cash in 2007
2006 2007
148.85 45.89
Human Resources
Managed by Christian & David Stone Degrees in Business Administration and
Economics (respectively) Familiar with business practices in developed
economies First time business owners Partners with Arthur Greenway, vice president
of a beverage firm & Ross Moore, his investment partner
Financial Analysis
Cash Flows: Operations
2005 - 2006 2006 - 2007
Net Income (2,015,034) (987,122)
Amortization 88,888 232,104
Accounts Receivable
(25,380) 14,316
Inventory (1,359,144) 650,160
Accounts Payable 391,932 817,134
Net Flow (2,918,738) 726,592
Cash Flows: Investments
Fixed Assets 2005 - 2006 2006 – 2007
Automobile (85,242) (31,884)
Furniture & Fixtures (254,904) (355,024)
Equipment (194,202) (235,736)
Leasehold Improvements
(293,520) (368,868)
Total (827,868) (911,512)
Cash Flows: Financing
2005 - 2008 2006 – 2007
Bank Credit 1,518,678 67,850
CLTD 74,388 4,396
Bank Loan 260,426 (79,506)
Loan Payable 1,200,000 (400,000)
Shareholder's Loan 0 666,000
Common Stock 720,000 0
Dividends 0 0
Net Flow 3,773,492 258,740
Cash Flows: Summary
2005 - 2006 2006 - 2007
Operations (2,918,738) 726,592
Investing (827,868) (991,512)
Financing 3,773,492 258,740
Total 26,886 (6,180)
Beginning Cash 0 26,886
Ending Cash 26,886 20,706
Cash Flows: Summary
2005 – 2006, More Vino used extensive short and long term debt, along with equity raised through stock issue to fund both investments and operations.
2006 – 20087, More Vino reduced current asset accounts, delayed payments to suppliers, and used shareholder loans to fund further investments.
Operating accounts used to avoid further debt
Liquidity
Ratio 2006 2007
Current 0.71 0.26
Quick 0.03 0.01
AP Days 42.92 78.25
CFL -1.46 .26 Declining current assets, especially inventory, along with a 45% increase in
current liabilities reduced current and quick ratios. A/P balance increased 208% against a 69% rise in COGs; showing More
Vino is choosing to delay payment to bolster cash. Cash generated by both causes CFL to increase 82%
Leverage
Ratio 2006 2007
Debt to Equity -2.66 -1.98
Debt to Common Stock
4.78 6.28
TIE -3.6 -0.4
Cash Interest Coverage
-5.66 2.03
Debt to Equity increased by 26% even though total liabilities increased 31% because losses reduced total equity by 76%.
Interest coverage improved due to reduced losses, even though interest increased 60%.
Profitability: Common Size
Selected Item 2006 2007
Sales 100% 100%
COGS 77.22% 65.1%
Gross Margin 22.78% 34.9%
Rent 15.16% 6.00%
Wages 18.39% 10.64%
Operating Margin -36.53% -3.64%
Interest 10.16% 8.12%
Net Profit Margin -46.69% -11.4%
Profitability
More Vino increased contribution margins, possibly through higher prices, increasing gross profits by 207%
Higher sales helped cover fixed costs, most significantly rent, wages, and interest, improving operating profit (80%) and net profit (50%)
Rent fell absolutely by 20%, indicating More Vino negotiated a better rate
Profitability: DuPont Analysis
2006 2007
RoE 155.6% 42.35%
RoA -93.71% -44.8%
NPM -46.69% -11.4%
TAT 2.01 3.87
D to E -2.66 -1.98
Return on Equity is positive because both net income and total equity are negative
RoE “fell” by 73%
Change in RoE driven by net income: “Fall” in D2E of 26% due
to negative net income Cost controls improved
net income margin by 76%
These two factors overwhelmed the sales-driven 93% improvement in TAT
Summary: Strengths
Improving contribution margin due to higher prices
Strong sales growth over the past two years– Improved ability to cover fixed costs
Successful in negotiating better terms with leaseholder and suppliers
Unique value proposition
Summary: Weakness
More Vino has yet to generate positive net income
High amount of debt combined with high interest charges
Negative equity balance Problems with excess inventory and under-
pricing in the past
Renovation?
Cash flow problems indicate More Vino will require additional financing to support projected increases in inventory and fixed assets other than leasehold improvements
Need long-term credit What rate?
Increased operating margins will bring More Vino close to break even point next year
Further sales expansion will help cover fixed costs, in particular interest, rent, and wages
Careful attention to operating costs will be important Will rent and wages display same fixed cost pattern?