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Nagyfeszültségü gàzszigetelt berendezések (GIS)
élettartam költségeinek szàmitàsa
HV GIS - Life cycle cost calculations
Endre MIKES
AREVA T&D
Senior Expert, Müszaki Tanàcsos
MEE 57. Vàndorgyülés, Siofok, 2010 Szept. 16
2 2Endre Mikes
� LCC calculations cover not only
LCC Calculations
� purchasing costs of S/S’s but
� all costs during the whole life cycle
� Investment cost, land costs
� Operation costs (incl. maintenance, running cost and failure)
� Renewal, disposal cost
� databases, statistics are needed for components, substations, general costs
� calculation of cost for many different cases baywise, substationswise, yearwise or periods
4 4Endre Mikes
� Architecture and basics of AL3C
LCC Calculations – AL3C
� AL3C uses an easy to use graphical user interface
� AL3C can calculate the following cost
� Investment cost
� Operation cost (incl. maintenance, running cost and failure)
� Disposal cost
� AL3C uses two databases a component and substation database
� AL3C calculates the cost baywise with variables
5 5Endre Mikes
AL3C: Implemented LCC scheme
Life Cycle Cost
Investment Cost(Acquisition Cost)
Operation CostDisposal Cost
(Ownership Cost)
RunningCost
ScheduledMaintenance
UnscheduledMaintenance
ComponentReplacement
Cost
Penalty CostOutage Cost
FailureCost
AdditionalInput
Data
(IEC 60300-3-3)
� Implemented life cycle cost scheme
8 8Endre Mikes
� Substation Layout
AL3C: GUI and Input
linebay
trans-former
bay
linebay
transformerbay
9 9Endre Mikes
Life Cycle Cost
Investment Cost
(Acquisition Cost)Operation Cost
Disposal Cost(Ownership Cost)
Running
Cost
Scheduled
Maintenance
Unscheduled
Maintenance
Failure
Cost
� Investment Cost
� Land
� Foundation + Building
� Substation Layout
� Packing + Shipment
� Erection + Commissioning
� Secondary Equipment + Monitoring
� Studies + Management
� Spare Parts
� Training of Personnel
� Special Tools + Test Equipment
� Cost of each component (CB, CT, VT, ES etc)
AL3C: Calculation Basis
10 10Endre Mikes
Life Cycle Cost
Investment Cost
(Acquisition Cost)Operation Cost
Disposal Cost(Ownership Cost)
Running
Cost
Scheduled
Maintenance
Unscheduled
Maintenance
Failure
Cost
� Operation Cost
� Energy Consumption of the Components
� Employee Cost
� Storage of Spare Parts
� Scheduled Maintenance incl. Planningand Financial Loss due to undelivered Power
AL3C: Calculation Basis
11 11Endre Mikes
Life Cycle Cost
Investment Cost
(Acquisition Cost)Operation Cost
Disposal Cost(Ownership Cost)
Running
Cost
Scheduled
Maintenance
Unscheduled
Maintenance
Failure
Cost
� Failure Cost
� Component Replacement Cost in case of Failure
� End of Series Production
� Rise of the Component and ReplacementCost after some Years
� Penalty Cost + additional Failure Cost
� Financial Loss due to undelivered Energyin case of a Failure
AL3C: Calculation Basis
12 12Endre Mikes
Life Cycle Cost
Investment Cost
(Acquisition Cost)Operation Cost
Disposal Cost(Ownership Cost)
Running
Cost
Scheduled
Maintenance
Unscheduled
Maintenance
Failure
Cost
� Failure Probabilities
AL3C: Calculation Basis
design, production, installation:first Weibull-distribution
maintenance: third Weibull-distribution
ageing: second Weibull-distribution
time (years)
failu
rera
te λ
(1)
13 13Endre Mikes
Life Cycle Cost
Investment Cost
(Acquisition Cost)Operation Cost
Disposal Cost(Ownership Cost)
Running
Cost
Scheduled
Maintenance
Unscheduled
Maintenance
Failure
Cost
� Failure Probability of GIS
AL3C: Calculation Basis
Major failures by time in service - 12.2008 - 72.5 kV-245 kV SEH
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33.
14 (13.3%) External influence
23 (21.2%) Human error
2 ( 1.8%) Transport damage
12 (10.6%) Design fault
12 (10.6%) Manufacturing fault
9 ( 8.8%) Material fault
14 (13.3%) Voltage transformer
21 (20.4%) Insulation defect
14 14Endre Mikes
Life Cycle Cost
Investment Cost
(Acquisition Cost)Operation Cost
Disposal Cost(Ownership Cost)
Running
Cost
Scheduled
Maintenance
Unscheduled
Maintenance
Failure
Cost
� Failure Probability for GIS
AL3C: Calculation Basis
produced GIS bays until 12.2008 - 72.5 kV-245 kV SEH
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2008
2006
2004
2002
2000
1998
1996
1994
1992
1990
1988
1986
1984
1982
1980
1978
1976
1974
1972
1970
15 15Endre Mikes
Life Cycle Cost
Investment Cost
(Acquisition Cost)Operation Cost
Disposal Cost(Ownership Cost)
Running
Cost
Scheduled
Maintenance
Unscheduled
Maintenance
Failure
Cost
� Failure Probability of GIS
AL3C: Calculation Basis
time (years)
failu
rera
te λ
(1)
AL3C uses a constantfailure rate because the
Weibull-distributions arenot seen for GIS
λλλλ
f(t): failure probability density function F(t): failure distribution
R(t): reliability distribution λ: failure rate
Implemented exponential failure distribution
16 16Endre Mikes
Life Cycle Cost
Investment Cost
(Acquisition Cost)Operation Cost
Disposal Cost(Ownership Cost)
Running
Cost
Scheduled
Maintenance
Unscheduled
Maintenance
Failure
Cost
� Failure Probability B65
AL3C: Calculation Basis
B65 GIS with internal failure statistic (2 failures in 2469 bay years)
B65 GIS with Cigré 2000 statistic failure rates
17 17Endre Mikes
Life Cycle Cost
Investment Cost
(Acquisition Cost)Operation Cost
Disposal Cost(Ownership Cost)
Running
Cost
Scheduled
Maintenance
Unscheduled
Maintenance
Failure
Cost
� Failure Probability Calculation
AL3C: Calculation Basis
serial
circuit
parallel
circuit
FS(t): failure distribution of the system Fx(t): failure distribution of the component x
RS(t): reliability distribution of the system Rx(t): reliability distribution of the component x
18 18Endre Mikes
Life Cycle Cost
Investment Cost
(Acquisition Cost)Operation Cost
Disposal Cost(Ownership Cost)
Running
Cost
Scheduled
Maintenance
Unscheduled
Maintenance
Failure
Cost
� Disposal Cost
� Disassembly Cost
� Recycling Cost
AL3C: Calculation Basis
21 21Endre Mikes
F35-4 (145kV)
GL318 (800kV)
GL310 (100kV)
DT2-550 (550kV)
Application of FK3-X mechanisms within AREVA T&D
T155-2 (550kV)
FKG1 (27.5kV)
22 22Endre Mikes
Business-year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Number of CB-bays in
service *2’915 3’145 3’283 3'660 4782
No. of CB-bay-years in
service*34’292 37’283 40'498 44'021 47'000
Major failures in business-
year7 3 3 3 7
Cumulated no of major
failures91 94 97 100 107
Major failure frequency
(Failures/100 bay-years)0.27 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.23
Meantime between major
failures MtbF (years for one
bay)
377 397 418 440 439
*) Number of bays and bay years based on handover date to customer (without load break switch bays)
72.5 – 245 kV GIS from SEH unit
Major failure statistic for December 2007
25 25Endre Mikes
� Example AIS vs. GIS – ADP Orly 225 kV
� 2400 m2 vs. 750 m2
� Length and height of bay 84 & 16 m vs. 21 & 8 m only
S/S Study Example (1)
26 26Endre Mikes
� Example AIS vs. GIS – ADP Orly 225 kV
The Task: Optimization of initial investmentsReduction of energy costsMinimization of substation footprintsCompliance with the airport safety rulesTo not disturb the radio navigation equipment of aircraft
The Results:�The substation will be realized in two steps:Step 1 involves a 40 MVA transformer connected to a GIS circuit breaker bay. Step 2 involves a second 40 MVA transformer to be installed and connected to the GIS with a circuit breaker bay and a busbar element.
PBT: pay back timeADP has calculated the pay back time for both steps of realization. The following equation was taken into account:
Ac(t): Acquisition cost (design, building, commissioning)Op(t): Operation cost (maintenance, replacement)Eg(t): Energy gain (energy transit, profit on resale)
The calculation shows that the substation realized with only one transformer (only step 1) will be paid back in about 8 years.
� If the second transformer and the corresponding switchgear is also realized the cost will be paid back in about 11 years
S/S Study – Example (2)
)()()( tEgtOptAcPBT −+=
27 27Endre Mikes
� Life Demonstration of AL3C
� Comparison between an AIS and a GIS substation with the same layout
� Comparison between a B65 GIS with Areva internal failure data and the same substation with the Cigré brochure 150 1)
failure rates
1) Cigré brochure 150, REPORT ON THE SECOND INTERNATIONAL SURVEY ON HIGH VOLTAGE GAS INSULATED SUBSTATIONS (GIS) SERVICE EXPERIENCE, Working Group 23.02, February 2000
AL3C: Demonstration
28 28Endre Mikes
GIS példàk – a megfelelö alàllomàsi technologiàt akkor, ha…..
Tokozott GIS – igy mindenre, mindenhol és mindig van megoldàs !
29 29Endre Mikes
� Tokozott GIS 31 éve a földalatt, Zürich Sihlfeld S/S, 150/170 kV, 7+1 mezö, 3x40 MVA trafo
� Kérdések?
� Köszönöm szives figyelmüket !