Natural Rubber Industry Situationer Anthony P. Bravo Provincial Director DTI Cotabato Province Agri-Center - Provincial Capitol Brgy Amas, Kidapawan City

Natural Rubber Industry Situationer

Anthony P. BravoProvincial DirectorDTI Cotabato Province

Agri-Center - Provincial CapitolBrgy Amas, Kidapawan City

13 May 2014

Natural Rubber Industry Situationer

- World Market Situation

- Domestic Market Situation

- Pricing Analysis

- Market Outlook

- DTI’s Initiatives

STATISTICAL SUMMARY OF WORL RUBBER SITUATIONhttp://www.rubberstudy.com/documents/WebSiteData_2.0.pdf

NATURAL RUBBER PRODUCTION 2010 2011 2012 2013Asia-Pacific 9,662 10,456 10,797 10,952 EMEA 475 482 502 515 Americas 256 292 304 297 Total 10,393 11,230 11,603 11,764

NATURAL RUBBER CONSUMPTION 2010 2011 2012 2013Asia-Pacific 7,564 7,576 7,895 8,068 EMEA (EU-27) 1,136 1,242 1,077 1,082 EMEA (excluding EU-27) 402 420 389 419 Americas 1,671 1,769 1,666 1,640 Total 10,773 11,007 11,027 11,209

WORLD SUPPLY-DEMAND SURPLUS/DEFICIT (380) 223 576 555

WORLD STOCKS 1402 1,625 2,201 2,756

0

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In "

000

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World Demand & Supply SitutationSource: http://www.rubberstudy.com

NATURAL RUBBER PRODUCTION

NATURAL RUBBER CONSUMPTION

WORLD STOCKS

23/8/2012 Ist Reg Rub Con Philippines 5

Total Production by Members of ANRPC in 2011 ( 10.325 mil ton )

Major Producers of NR INDONESIA 3.414 Million Hectares

THAILAND 2.434 Million Hectares

MALAYSIA 1.248 Million Hectares

INDIA 0.635 Million Hectares

VIETNAM 0.550 Million Hectares

70% of natural rubber goes to the

tire and construction

industries, roads, bridges, buildings, sports race tracks,

etc.

World Natural Rubber Industry

30% goes to non-

tire industry use such as: Industrial & surgical gloves, condoms, rubber

bands & strips, sport wares, shoes,

boots, balls, balloons, rubber

hoses, floor mats, insulators,

waterproofing sheets & pads,

shock absorbers etc……


CAR0% CALABARZON

0%

MIMAROPA0%

CENTRAL VISAYAS

1%

ZAMBOANGA PENINSULA

46%

NORTHERN MINDANAO

4%DAVAO REGION

4%

SOCCSKSARGEN21%

CARAGA6%

ARMM18%

Area Planted (CY2012)

PHILIPPINES - 176,244 CAR 27, CALABARZON- 221 MIMAROPA - 742 CENTRAL VISAYAS - 1,015 ZAMBO PEN - 80,375 N MINDANAO - 6,851 DAVAO REGION - 6,693 SOCCSKSARGEN - 36,713 CARAGA - 11528 ARMM - 32,079

Domestic Market Situation

PHILIPPINES - 442,998 CALABARZON - 35 MIMAROPA - 42 ZAMBO PEN - 188,855 N MINDANAO - 10,792 DAVAO REGION - 16,070 SOCCSKSARGEN -169,745 CARAGA - 16,611 ARMM - 40,849 (In Metric Tons)


Region 12 - 36,713 N Cotabato - 33,388 Sarangani - 445 South Cotabato - 620 Sultan Kudarat - 2,260


Region 12 - 169,745 N Cotabato - 168,936 Sarangani - 459 South Cotabato - 34 Sultan Kudarat – 316( In Metric Tons )


Rubber, No. 3 Smoked Sheet (RSS3), Singapore Commodity Source: Singapore Commodity Exchange (SICOM) / http://www.indexmundi.com/commodities

Feb 2011 – US$ 280.79/lb

Dec 2001 – US$ 22.12/lb

Price Movement PHP/kg. Equivalent SMR20

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2009 66.14 65.39 66.93 73.94 76.10 77.20 78.52 90.37 98.90 104.54 114.74 126.892010 137.13 138.59 144.23 146.96 130.36 133.72 133.58 138.82 149.46 164.40 181.76 198.452011 231.66 242.55 207.46 215.92 193.90 196.10 194.38 194.12 192.17 175.98 144.61 144.852012 150.33 158.46 159.67 155.38 143.87 121.93 120.57 108.86 113.97 121.91 114.69 118.232013 123.84 123.09 113.57 102.31 103.47 99.04 95.86 102.37 106.44 101.49 100.10 102.302014 99.32 87.39 85.65 81.06

Price Movement PHP/kg Equivalent STR20

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2009 66.98 66.33 66.61 74.24 77.66 78.96 79.15 90.83 101.18 106.23 116.80 129.052010 141.10 143.44 150.75 151.14 139.55 140.21 138.11 142.27 149.10 165.72 186.41 202.142011 236.57 249.80 218.97 237.02 206.89 201.28 197.77 197.19 197.23 178.56 149.76 147.002012 154.49 164.25 163.02 159.54 150.45 130.55 123.21 111.84 116.77 124.24 115.94 118.372013 124.97 123.94 115.20 106.22 104.76 100.39 96.86 100.95 106.94 100.92 99.82 102.832014 99.03 87.83 86.40 83.94

Monthly Summary of Farmgate Prices of rubber Cuplump (2009 - 2014)Source: BAS

jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec2009 21.83 21.82 22.36 24.59 26.47 27.03 26.82 31.78 37.49 39.91 44.07 50.192010 53.88 56.26 59.91 61.27 51.07 52.29 54.29 54.49 54.05 66.45 69.06 79.282011 90.21 90.89 61.32 74.63 77.53 84.63 76.94 81.00 81.56 71.30 42.79 48.952012 56.87 59.41 64.85 59.93 49.10 46.50 46.02 38.94 39.62 46.17 46.70 44.682013 47.90 50.51 43.89 36.80 39.16 36.05 34.13 35.55 37.14 37.70 37.20 37.572014 34.86 31.44 29.84 28.00

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Price Trend: SMR & TSR 20 PhP Equivalent vs Cuplump Farmgate Price(Jan 2009 to April 2014)

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Cuplump Farmgate Price

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Price Movement - 2009

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DTI INITIATIVES DTI regional and provincial offices in nine

(9) regions implemented its Rubber Industry Cluster Initiatives (2013-2016) in coordination with partner agencies and institutions Rubber Quality Improvement Advocacy Productivity improvement for rubber producers,

processors and rubber coops through the SSF Program

Initiated the organization of National Rubber Inter-Agency Technical Working Group (NRIAT) and was renamed as the Philippine Rubber Technical Working Group or PHLRUBBER

DTI INITIATIVES

BPS-DTI through the BPS TC-16 adopted in July 2013 PNS/ISO 2000: 2013 – a standard for Technically Specified Rubber (TSR)

Provided laboratory equipment for the Philippine Rubber Testing Center (PRTC-USM) under the Shared Service Facility (SSF) Program of DTI.

Acts as the Team Leader of the National Inter-agency Technical Working Group (PhlRubber) in pursuing the development of the rubber industry.

BPS-DTI through the BPS TC-16 adopted in July 2013 PNS/ISO 2000: 2013 – a standard for Technically Specified Rubber (TSR)

Provided laboratory equipment for the Philippine Rubber Testing Center (PRTC-USM) under the Shared Service Facility (SSF) Program of DTI.

Acts as the Team Leader of the National Inter-agency Technical Working Group (PhlRubber) in pursuing the development of the rubber industry.

Thank You!!Thank You!!Thank You!!Thank You!!

Documents

Natural Rubber Industry Situationer Anthony P. Bravo Provincial Director DTI Cotabato Province Agri-Center - Provincial Capitol Brgy Amas, Kidapawan City