NEWLATINOVOICE POLL: NEVADA CAUCUS Update with 1001 cases

In Nevada Latinos make up 17.2% of eligible electorate and 27.8% of the total population.

Sample characteristics

Language Preference

64%

36%

English Spanish

N=1001

If you vote, will you vote Republican or Democratic?

66%

34%

Democrats Republicans

N=1001

If the caucus were held today for which of the following candidates would you vote?

3.9 2.9 .7

32.0

4.7 2.7

1.0

5.6

33.9

12.7

Bush Carson Christie Clinton Cruz Fiorina Kasich Rubio Sanders Trump

N=1001

Are you registered to vote? [Yes/No]

47% 53%

0%

No Yes DK

N=1001

Gender

63%

37%

Male Female

N=1001

Age

40.8

25.8 21.0

12.5

18-25 26-35 36-55 56+

N=1001

Do you consider yourself….

48.1

28.9

18.2

4.8

Democratic Independent Republican Don't Know

N=1001

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming caucus?

18.2

40.6

14.2 16 11.1

Likely Very Likely Unlikely Very Unlikely Don't Know

N=1001

Which of the following is the most important issue facing the country today?

8.2

16.5 20.0

28.5

9.0

17.9

Gun Control Education Employment and the Economy

Immigration Healthcare DK

N=1001

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s performance as president of the United States?

37.9

20.3 20.4 21.5

Approve Disapprove DK NR

Data missing, not a valid response N=1001

N=341

Republicans

If the caucus were held today for which of the following candidates would you vote?

11.4% 8.5%

2.1%

13.5%

7.9% 2.9%

16.4%

37.2%

Bush Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Kasich Rubio Trump

If the caucus were held today for which of the following candidates would you vote?

  4. Gender Age

Male Female 18-25 26-35 36-55 56+ Total

Bush 10.9% 12.5% 13.0% 9.6% 11.3% 10.2% 11.4%

Carson 8.3% 8.9% 11.6% 4.8% 8.5% 6.1% 8.5%

Christie 1.7% 2.7% 2.2% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1%

Cruz 14.4% 11.6% 13.0% 15.7% 15.5% 8.2% 13.5%

Fiorina 7.4% 8.9% 7.2% 9.6% 8.5% 6.1% 7.9%

Kasich 3.5% 1.8% 2.2% 1.2% 5.6% 4.1% 2.9%

Rubio 13.5% 22.3% 12.3% 21.7% 11.3% 26.5% 16.4%

Trump 40.2% 31.3% 38.4% 32.5% 39.4% 38.8% 37.2%

Are you registered to vote? [Yes/No]

49% 51%

No Yes

Are you registered to vote? [Yes/No]

 

4. Gender Edad

Male Female Total 18-25 26-35 36-55 56+ Total

No 45.6% 55.4% 48.8% 61.6% 42.2% 27.1% 55.1% 48.8%

Yes 54.4% 44.6% 51.2% 38.4% 57.8% 72.9% 44.9% 51.2%

Do you consider yourself….

24.1%

34.4%

41.6%

DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT REPUBLICAN

Do you consider yourself…

 

4. Gender Age

Male Female 18-25 26-35 36-55 56+ Total

Democratic 28.4% 15.2% 35.2% 19.0% 11.6% 21.3% 24.1%

Independent 29.8% 43.8% 32.8% 31.6% 34.8% 42.6% 34.4%

Republican 41.9% 41.0% 32.0% 49.4% 53.6% 36.2% 41.6%

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming caucus?

17.9% 18.3% 18.3%

45.5%

Likely Unlikely Very Unlikely Very Likely

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming caucus?

  Gender Age

Male Female 18-25 26-35 36-55 56+ Total

Likely 18.9% 16.0% 17.8% 17.8% 21.5% 13.3% 17.9%

Unlikely 22.4% 10.0% 17.8% 16.4% 21.5% 17.8% 18.3%

Very Unlikely 15.4% 24.0% 20.3% 16.4% 7.7% 31.1% 18.3%

Very likely 43.3% 50.0% 44.1% 49.3% 49.2% 37.8% 45.5%

Which of the following is the most important issue facing the country today?

13.0%

21.1% 22.8%

33.3%

9.8%

Gun Control Education Employment and the economy

Immigration Healthcare

Which of the following is the most important issue facing the country today?

  4. Gender Age

Male Female 18-25 26-35 36-55 56+ Total

Gun Control 14.9% 9.3% 15.8% 8.8% 4.8% 25.0% 13.0%

Education 17.6% 27.8% 28.9% 20.6% 11.1% 15.0% 21.1%

Employment and the Economy

25.0% 18.6% 15.8% 27.9% 34.9% 15.0% 22.8%

Immigration 33.5% 33.0% 31.6% 35.3% 34.9% 32.5% 33.3%

Health 9.0% 11.3% 7.9% 7.4% 14.3% 12.5% 9.8%

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s performance as president of the United States?

30.3%

42.3%

27.4%

Approve Disapprove Don't Know

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s performance as president of the United States?

  Gender Age

Male Female 18-25 26-35 36-55 56+ Total

Approve 34.1% 23.2% 38.7% 20.0% 29.5% 24.3% 30.3%

Disapprove 40.2% 46.3% 34.2% 46.2% 52.5% 43.2% 42.3%

Don’t know 25.7% 30.5% 27.0% 33.8% 18.0% 32.4% 27.4%