Next Steps of the P-20 Council Governor’s P-20 Council November 8, 2007

Next Steps of the P-20 CouncilNext Steps of the P-20 Council

Governor’s P-20 CouncilGovernor’s P-20 Council

November 8, 2007November 8, 2007

22

IntroductionIntroduction

► Created by Executive Order in 2005

► Co-chairs: Governor Napolitano and Dr. Rufus Glasper

► Membership■ Superintendent Horne■ Business■ Parent and Community Organizations■ P-20 Education Representatives■ Boards and Commissions

33

VisionVision

“Every graduating student will be prepared for work and postsecondary education in

the 21st century.”

44

Our GoalOur Goal

“Every young person who graduates from Arizona’s schools is truly prepared for a world of competition and innovation.”

-Governor Napolitano

55

P-20 RecommendationsP-20 Recommendations

► The Council presented 32 recommendations to the Governor in December 2006.

► Since that time, the Council has been aggressively working to implement each recommendation.

66

Higher Education Demand & Higher Education Demand & Feasibility StudyFeasibility Study

► Background

■ P-20 Council made a recommendation to conduct the study in December 2006

■ National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (NCHEMS) was selected in April to conduct the study

77

Higher Education Demand & Higher Education Demand & Feasibility StudyFeasibility Study

► Purpose

■ To better understand the ability of Arizona’s higher education system to meet student, business and industry demands

■ To establish a baseline of data

88

Arizona is Behind the U.S. in the

Education Attainment Levels of its

Young Adult Population…

…And is Losing Ground Rapidly.

Study Findings:Study Findings:

99

Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by Age Group—Arizona, U.S. and Leading OECD Countries, 2004

Source: Education at a Glance 2005, Organisation of Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

53.3

51.6 49.1

42.3

40.7

40.4

39.2

39.0

31.8

47.0 45.1

33.5

35.7 32.3 28.9

34.1

39.4 35.6

41.4

32.7

16.4

32.9

25.2 21.5

29.4

40.7 37.234.5

19.2

9.7

27.3

20.0 15.7

23.2

36.2

38.0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada Japan Korea Sweden Belgium Ireland Norway U.S. Arizona

Age 25-34 Age 35-44 Age 45-54 Age 55-64

1010

Percent of Adults with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher by Age Group—Arizona, U.S. and Leading OECD Countries, 2004

Source: Education at a Glance 2005, OECD

37.0

31.8

30.8

30.2 28.2

27.5

23.5

31.8

27.0

26.3

29.5 26.7

22.7

26.3

26.4

26.2

14.0

30.6

20.6

20.0

27.5

21.1

21.8

8.7

28.3

15.6

17.8

29.2

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Norway Netherlands Korea United States Iceland Canada Arizona

Age 25-34 Age 35-44 Age 45-54 Age 55-64

1111

Educational Attainment and Rank Among States—Arizona, 2005 (Percent)

42nd

41st

19th

35th

24th

01020304050

Age 25-64 withGraduate/Prof. Degree

Age 25-64 withBachelor's or Higher

Age 25-64 withAssociate Degree

Age 25-64 withHigh School Diploma

Age 18-24 withHigh School Diploma 77.7%

9.2%

84.2%

9.0%

26.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS

1212

Arizona Historically Has Relied on

In-Migration for Much of its Workforce…

…But this Workforce is Not Bringing High

Levels of Education Attainment with them.


1313

Arizona Net Gain of Residents by Degree Level and Age Group, 1995-2000

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% PUMS Files

22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds

224,491

23,911

40,341

17,547

48,431

49,275

44,986

0 75,000 150,000 225,000

97,626

4,906

19,564

5,414

22,807

18,358

26,577

025,00050,00075,000100,000

Less than HS

High School

Some College

Associate

Bachelor’s

Graduate/Prof.

Total

1414

Becoming Internationally Competitive

Would Require a Large Increase in Annual

Degree Production.

Part of this Increase Would Have tocome from “Re-Entry” Students.


1515

The “Gap”—Difference in Annual Degrees Currently Produced and Annual Degrees Needed to Meet Benchmark

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, PUMS and Population Projections, IPEDS Completions Survey 2004-05

Accounting for MigrationN

orth

Da

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131,749

94,162

140,533

29,19028,84628,582

25,22724,87224,37423,77723,424

21,467 16,21415,34314,47714,45514,43414,14414,09013,67512,82612,07311,943

10,78810,410

9,4658,811

6,9486,9416,054

4,2624,2323,7263,639

2,392

1,551959950411290

-719-2,122-3,195-3,372-4,028 -8,768

-11,369

7698

-18,389

1,944

-20,000

-10,000

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

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Georgia

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Louisiana

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ichiganK

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Arkansas

Sou

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Alabam

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ashington

Virg

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ennsylvania

Oreg

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isconsin

Maryland

IllinoisM

ississippiO

klahoma

Missouri

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IdahoA

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onnecticut

Maine

Ha

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Monta

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yoming

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Ham

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innesota

Sou

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ermont

Arizona’s 29,190 = 101% Increase (Assuming All Growth in Public Sector)

1616

Closing the Gap in the Educational Pipeline

Source: “Making Opportunity Affordable” project (Lumina, Jobs for the Future, NCHEMS), Summer 2007

2,7

88

893,504

12

2,0

61

0

150,000

300,000

450,000

600,000

750,000

900,000

Te

xas

Flo

ridaC

aliforn

iaN

ew

Jersey

Te

nnesse

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eva

daLo

uisiana

Arkansas

Ke

ntuckyN

orth

Carolina

Arizo

naM

ississippi

Oh

ioS

outh C

arolin

aA

labam

aW

est V

irgin

iaA

laska

Oklaho

ma

Oreg

onM

ichiga

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Mexico

Wiscon

sinM

ain

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hoM

ontan

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aw

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Wyom

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aryland

Co

nnecticut

Missou

riInd

iana

1,333,645

In order to reach international competitiveness by 2025, the U.S. and 32 states cannot close the gap with even

current best performance with traditional college students. They must rely on the re-entry pipeline—getting older adults back

into the education system and on track to attaining college degrees.

1717

To Be Internationally Competitive, To Be Internationally Competitive, Arizona Must…Arizona Must…

► Increase its bachelor’s degree production levels■ Produce about 29,000 more degrees each year to

close the education attainment gap by 2025

■ Engage re-entry students in attaining bachelor’s degrees

■ Close its race/ethnic gap

■ Not rely on educated in-migrants to meet workforce needs

1818

► Major Strategies Include

■ Increasing the state’s competitiveness nationally and internationally

■ Ensuring that students enroll and complete college, with a particular focus on increasing the number of bachelor’s degrees in Arizona

■ Developing effective funding models and governance structures for higher education

Moving Forward…Moving Forward…

1919


► Action Steps■ Expanding university branches in high-growth areas

■ Allowing community colleges to provide expanded degrees in areas where universities can or will not

■ Expanding 2+2 and similar agreements

■ Using matching funds to increase our innovation capacity

■ Developing hybrid models of education delivery, such as university centers on community college campuses

■ Increasing early college options for high school students

2020


To do this effectively, we are encouraging:► Increased collaboration among the community colleges,

universities and private institutions.■ To increase transfer and articulation, 2+2 programs, and

university centers on community college campuses, among other things.

► Increased collaboration among postsecondary institutions and K-12 system to ensure that students are ready for college.

■ For example, Arizona’s math standard and State Board of Education's proposal to increase graduation requirements.

2121

Arizona’s Math StandardArizona’s Math Standard► Goal – To revise Arizona’s math standard in

partnership with the Arizona Department of Education (ADE) to effectively prepare students for college and work.

► A team of university and community college math faculty worked with ADE and the P-20 Council earlier this year to revise Arizona’s math standard and ensure that it was equivalent to Achieve, Inc.’s national benchmark.

2222

Arizona’s Math StandardArizona’s Math Standard► The team continues its work with ADE and other

teachers as they take a comprehensive look at K-12 math standards.

► This work has impacted the State Board of Education’s proposal to increase graduation requirements, and includes a level of rigor that all students need to be college and work ready.

2323

QuestionsQuestions

WWW.AZGOVERNOR.GOV/P20

Documents

Next Steps of the P-20 Council Governor’s P-20 Council November 8, 2007