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NWRR-WSP-GEN-0000-RP-TR-00002 JUNE 2020 PUBLIC
Northamptonshire County Council
NORTHAMPTON NORTH WEST
RELIEF ROAD
Transport Assessment
Northamptonshire County Council
NORTHAMPTON NORTH WEST RELIEF ROAD
Transport Assessment
PUBLIC
TYPE OF DOCUMENT (VERSION) PUBLIC
PROJECT NO. 70021598
OUR REF. NO. NWRR-WSP-GEN-0000-RP-TR-00002
DATE: JUNE 2020
WSP
The Mailbox
Level 2
100 Wharfside Street, Birmingham
B1 1RT
Phone: +44 121 352 4700
WSP.com
NORTHAMPTON NORTH WEST RELIEF ROAD PUBLIC | WSP Project No.: 70021598 | Our Ref No.: NWRR-WSP-GEN-0000-RP-TR-00002 June 2020 Northamptonshire County Council
QUALITY CONTROL
Issue/revision First issue Revision 1 Revision 2 Revision 3
Remarks
Date 08/06/2020
Prepared by Karishma Khatri
Signature
Checked by Sravani Vuppala
Signature
Authorised by Ian Braddock
Signature
Project number 70021598
Report number NWRR-WSP-GEN-0000-RP-TR-00002
File reference
\\uk.wspgroup.com\central data\Projects\700215xx\70021598 - Northampton NW Relief Road\C Documents\Development Birmingham\Transport Assessment\TA Issued June 2020
NORTHAMPTON NORTH WEST RELIEF ROAD PUBLIC | WSP Project No.: 70021598 | Our Ref No.: NWRR-WSP-GEN-0000-RP-TR-00002 June 2020 Northamptonshire County Council
CONTENTS
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1
2 INTRODUCTION 5
2.1 INTRODUCTION 5
2.2 BACKGROUND 5
2.3 PURPOSE OF THIS REPORT 6
2.4 SCOPE OF ASSESSMENT 6
2.5 STRUCTURE OF REPORT 7
3 POLICY REVIEW 8
3.1 INTRODUCTION 8
3.2 NATIONAL POLICY 8
3.3 REGIONAL POLICY 8
3.4 LOCAL POLICY 10
3.5 POLICY SUMMARY 12
4 EXISTING CONDITIONS 13
4.1 INTRODUCTION 13
4.2 SITE LOCATION 13
4.3 SURROUNDING AREA 14
4.4 WALKING, CYCLING AND EQUESTRIAN 14
4.5 SURROUNDING HIGHWAY NETWORK 16
4.6 EXISTING TRAFFIC CONDITIONS 19
4.7 PERSONAL INJURY COLLISIONS (PICS) 29
5 DEVELOPMENT PROPOSALS 36
NORTHAMPTON NORTH WEST RELIEF ROAD PUBLIC | WSP Project No.: 70021598 | Our Ref No.: NWRR-WSP-GEN-0000-RP-TR-00002 June 2020 Northamptonshire County Council
5.1 INTRODUCTION 36
5.2 PROPOSED NORTH WEST RELIEF ROAD 36
5.3 PROPOSED NEW ACCESS JUNCTIONS 37
5.4 DALLINGTON GRANGE DEVELOPMENT 39
5.5 PROPOSED CYCLE, WALKING AND HORSE RIDING FACILITIES 40
6 TRAFFIC IMPACT ASSESSMENT 44
6.1 INTRODUCTION 44
6.2 MODELLING APPROACH 44
6.3 LOCAL HIGHWAY IMPACT ASSESSMENT 46
6.4 IMPACT ON PERSONAL INJURY COLLISIONS 63
6.5 WIDER BENEFITS OF NWRR SCHEME 64
6.6 SUMMARY 68
7 IMPACT ON INDIVIDUAL JUNCTIONS 70
7.1 INTRODUCTION 70
7.2 MODELLING APPROACH 71
7.3 JUNCTION CAPACITY ASSESSMENTS 72
7.4 SUMMARY 85
8 MITIGATION MEASURES 87
8.1 INTRODUCTION 87
8.2 MITIGATION SCHEMES (OVERVIEW) 87
8.3 MITIGATION SCHEME 1 88
8.4 MITIGATION SCHEME 2 92
8.5 MITIGATION SCHEME 3 93
8.6 MITIGATION SCHEME 4 94
8.7 SUMMARY 96
9 MONITOR & MANAGE STRATEGY 98
NORTHAMPTON NORTH WEST RELIEF ROAD PUBLIC | WSP Project No.: 70021598 | Our Ref No.: NWRR-WSP-GEN-0000-RP-TR-00002 June 2020 Northamptonshire County Council
9.1 INTRODUCTION 98
9.2 PROPOSED MONITOR & MANAGE STRATEGY 98
9.3 J1: A508 HARBOROUGH ROAD / PITSFORD HIGH STREET PRIORITY JUNCTION 99
9.4 J2: A508 HARBOROUGH ROAD / BRAMPTON LANE PRIORITY JUNCTION 99
9.5 J8: ROMAN ROAD / NEW SANDY LANE / BERRYWOOD ROAD / SANDY LANE
PROPOSED ROUNDABOUT 100
9.6 SUMMARY 100
10 SUMMARY & CONCLUSIONS 102
TABLES
Table 4-1 – Details of PICs That Occurred at Key Locations Surrounding the Proposed
Scheme 30
Table 6-1 - 2031 Junctions Volume / Capacity Category (Minimal or Positive Impact) 55
Table 6-2 – 2031 Junction Volume / Capacity Category (Negative Impact) 55
Table 6-3 - 2031 With Scheme and Without Junctions Delay Category (Modelled Area) 61
Table 6-4 - 2031 With Scheme and Without Scheme Junction Delay Category for Key
Junctions Identified 62
Table 6-5 -Wider Traffic Benefits of the NWRR on Selected Links using NSTM flows 67
Table 7-1: A508 Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street Existing Priority Junction 73
Table 7-2 - A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane Existing Priority Junction 74
Table 7-3: A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Existing Roundabout 76
Table 7-4: A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Existing Signalised Junction 77
Table 7-5: A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Existing Priority
Junction 79
Table 7-6 - A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Proposed
Roundabout 80
Table 7-7 - A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane Existing Priority Junction 81
Table 7-8 - A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane / NWRR Proposed Roundabout 82
Table 7-9 - A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Road Existing Roundabout 83
NORTHAMPTON NORTH WEST RELIEF ROAD PUBLIC | WSP Project No.: 70021598 | Our Ref No.: NWRR-WSP-GEN-0000-RP-TR-00002 June 2020 Northamptonshire County Council
Table 7-10 - Roman Road / New Sandy Lane / Berrywood Road / Sandy Lane Proposed
Roundabout 84
Table 8-1 - A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Mitigated Roundabout 92
Table 8-2 - A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Road Mitigated Roundabout 94
Table 8-3 - A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Mitigated Signalised Junction 95
Table 8-4 - Comparison of PRC Values in Existing & Mitigated Layout 96
FIGURES
Figure 3-1 - Committed Highway Schemes 11
Figure 4-1 - NWRR Scheme Location Overview 14
Figure 4-2 - Pedestrian, Cyclist and Equestrian Facilities 15
Figure 4-3 - Local Highway Network Surrounding The Proposed Scheme 17
Figure 4-4 - Signalised Crossing on Northampton Road facing Southwards 18
Figure 4-5 – 2015 Base Year AM Peak Actual Flow 21
Figure 4-6 - 2015 Base Year PM Peak Actual Flow 22
Figure 4-7 – 2015 Base Year AM Peak Junction V/C 24
Figure 4-8 - 2015 Base Year PM Peak Junction V/C 25
Figure 4-9 - 2015 Base Year AM Peak Junction Delay 27
Figure 4-10 – 2015 Base Year PM Peak Junction Delay 28
Figure 4-11 - PIC Plot A: Sandy Lane/Northamton Road/A5199 32
Figure 4-12 - PIC Plot B: Brampton Lane/Vyse Road/A508 33
Figure 4-13 - PIC Plot C: Brampton Lane/A508/High Street 34
Figure 4-14 - PIC Plot D: A508/A5076 35
Figure 5-1 - Full Orbital Route Schematic 37
Figure 5-2 - Proposed NWRR Access Junctions and downgraded section of A5199
Northampton Road (known as Causeway Link) 38
Figure 5-3 - NMU facilities proposed at the Sandy Lane / Northampton Road / NWRR
Roundabout 41
NORTHAMPTON NORTH WEST RELIEF ROAD PUBLIC | WSP Project No.: 70021598 | Our Ref No.: NWRR-WSP-GEN-0000-RP-TR-00002 June 2020 Northamptonshire County Council
Figure 5-4 - NMU facilities proposed at the Northampton Road / Welford Road / Brampton
Lane Roundabout 42
Figure 6-1 – 2031 AM Peak Flow Difference Plot (With Scheme less Without Scheme) 47
Figure 6-2 - 2031 PM Peak Flow Difference Plot (With Scheme less Without Scheme) 48
Figure 6-3 – 2031 AM Without Scheme Junction Volume/ Capacity Ratio 51
Figure 6-4 - 2031 PM Without Scheme Junction Volume/ Capacity Ratio 52
Figure 6-5 - 2031 AM With Scheme Junction Volume/ Capacity Ratio 53
Figure 6-6 – 2031 PM With Scheme Junction Volume/ Capacity Ratio 54
Figure 6-7 - 2031 AM Without Scheme Junction Delay 57
Figure 6-8 - 2031 AM With Scheme Junction Delay 58
Figure 6-9 - 2031 PM Without Scheme Junction Delay 59
Figure 6-10 - 2031 PM With Scheme Junction Delay 60
Figure 7-1 - Assessed Junction Locations 71
Figure 8-1 – Locations of Traffic Calming Measures proposed in Boughton & Moulton 89
Figure 8-2 - A “Give way to oncoming vehicles” pinch point feature 90
Figure 8-3 - The “Give way to oncoming vehicles” pinch point feature located outside the
entrance of Boughton Primary School facing westbound 91
APPENDICES
LHA RESPONSE TO TAA
TRANSPORT ASSESSMENT SCOPING DOCUMENTS AND EMAILS
NORTHAMPTON CYCLE MAPS
PERSONAL INJURY COLLISION (PIC) DATA
NWRR GENERAL ARRANGEMENT DRAWINGS
NORTHAMPTON NORTH WEST RELIEF ROAD PUBLIC | WSP Project No.: 70021598 | Our Ref No.: NWRR-WSP-GEN-0000-RP-TR-00002 June 2020 Northamptonshire County Council
DALLINGTON GRANGE ILLUSTRATIVE MASTERPLAN
NSTM PLOTS
JUNCTION MODELLING OUTPUT REPORTS (EXISTING & MITIGATED)
ROMAN ROAD / NEW SANDY LANE / BERRYWOOD ROAD / SANDY LANE PROPOSED
ROUNDABOUT
BOUGHTON & MOULTON NSTM PLOTS
MITIGATION SCHEME & MONITOR AND MANAGE DRAWINGS
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1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1.1. A Transport Assessment (TA) has been prepared to support a planning application for a new relief
road being proposed to the north-west of Northampton called the North-West Relief Road (NWRR).
1.1.2. The NWRR will be the primary access route into the new Dallington Grange development which
received resolution to grant planning permission in November 2018 and is proposed to support the
additional traffic generated from this development. The NWRR will also help to ease the existing and
forecasted increasing traffic in Northampton Town as it will provide an alternative route option for
vehicles travelling through Northampton and surrounding villages.
1.1.3. A TA for the NWRR scheme was required because it is anticipated that some traffic will reroute and
alter their existing journey patterns to use the new road. Therefore, the TA has assessed the impact
that this rerouting traffic, as well as the newly generated traffic from the Dallington Grange, will likely
have on the surrounding existing road network and whether any measures are needed to mitigate
these impacts. In addition, the cycle, pedestrian and horse riding facilities associated with the
proposed scheme have been assessed to see if they are in line with current recommended policy and
guidance. The impact that re-routing traffic could have on Personal Injury Collisions (PICs) were also
assessed as part of the TA.
1.1.4. The TA only assesses the northern section of the NWRR being delivered by NCC (approximately
1.6km in length and includes the reconfiguration of two junctions along NWRR) and is referred to as
the “proposed scheme” in this TA. The southern section of the NWRR is to be delivered by the
developer of the Dallington Grange housing development site.
1.1.5. The TA demonstrates that the proposed scheme is supported by and adheres to both national and
local transport related policy and guidance. The proposed scheme caters for Non-Motorised Users
(NMUs), including pedestrians, cyclists and horse-riders, by incorporating a range of suitable NMU
facilities within the design.
1.1.6. Work was undertaken to model the NWRR in the Northamptonshire Strategic Transport Model (NSTM)
to understand how traffic will likely reroute and alter existing journey patterns to use the NWRR and
to understand what impact this traffic could have on the surrounding highway network.
1.1.7. Analysis of the NSTM indicated that the NWRR scheme is forecasted to provide significant travel
benefits to Northampton’s residents and users of the local highway network across the whole town
and also on outskirts of the town. More specifically, it will relieve traffic issues already present on the
network along the primary road corridors used for east to west trips in Northampton and relieve traffic
issues along the minor roads that have not been designed for heavy traffic volumes as well as those
utilised as alternative routes to avoid congestion. Whilst the benefits are far reaching, key areas
include:
A43 Lumbertubs Way;
A5076 Red House Road;
A428 Harlestone Road;
A4500 Weedon Road;
A508 Harborough Road;
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Harlestone Road (The Bramptons); and
Mill Lane.
1.1.8. The proposed scheme will also provide additional infrastructure capacity to support movements
generated by forecast development and growth in the region. The key locations and corridors which
showed a reduction in traffic volumes as a result of the NWRR included:
Harlestone Road West of the New Sandy Lane Roundabout;
A508 Kingsthorpe Road / Harborough Road;
A45 Nene Valley Way and A5076 Mere Way;
Brampton Lane (between Lower Harlestone and Pitsford);
Harlestone Road (through the Bramptons); and
Eastern Avenue.
1.1.9. Furthermore, analysis demonstrated that the wider benefits of the NWRR include:
A reduction in traffic flows on a number of significant links and junctions in Northampton when
compared to the Do Minimum case (without the proposed scheme);
A very strong business case with a high Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR) which demonstrates that the
savings, predominantly to travel time, outweigh the cost of delivering the scheme by 7 times, a very
high return for a transport scheme;
Additional capacity on the transport network to support housing growth targets; and
Additional resilience to the Northampton highway network when disruption arises from time to time,
such as planned roadworks, accidents or other foreseen and unforeseen events.
1.1.10. The junctions, at which the NSTM results indicate that the NWRR could have a negative impact were
assessed in more detail. Following the analysis of the individual junction modelling results it was
established that the following locations could experience significant traffic impacts as a result of the
proposed scheme:
The A508 Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street Priority Junction, particularly on the A508
Harborough Road South as there is no stacking capacity for vehicles to turn right;
The A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane Priority Junction, particularly on the A508
Harborough Road North as there is no stacking capacity for vehicles to turn right;
The A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Existing Roundabout, particularly on
the Vyse Road and Brampton Lane arms of the junction;
The A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Road Roundabout; and
The Roman Road / New Sandy Lane / Berrywood Road / Sandy Lane Proposed Roundabout,
particularly on the Berrywood Road and New Sandy Lane arms of the junction.
1.1.11. In addition, analysis of the NSTM results highlighted that the proposed scheme would be likely to
increase the volume of vehicle traffic routing through the villages of Moulton and Boughton.
1.1.12. The TA identifies the following mitigation measures would be required to mitigate the forecast traffic
impact of the proposed scheme at the aforementioned locations:
Mitigation Scheme 1: Traffic Calming in Boughton and Moulton;
Mitigation Scheme 2: Capacity improvements at A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse
Road Roundabout;
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Mitigation Scheme 3: Capacity improvements at A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York
Road (NWRR) Roundabout; and
Mitigation Scheme 4: To help accommodate potential traffic flow diversions associated with
Mitigation Scheme 1, capacity improvements at the A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge
Drive Signalised Junction.
1.1.13. In addition to the mitigation measures proposed above, the remaining junctions which were identified
as being adversely impacted by the proposed scheme have been included in a Monitor and Manage
Strategy.
1.1.14. The Monitor and Manage Strategy is proposed to avoid short-term improvement schemes which may
have limited longevity due to various unknown variables which can make any such schemes abortive.
The locations of these junctions which are adversely impacted by the proposed scheme are influenced
by factors such as the phasing of committed development traffic, committed schemes or additional
infrastructure. These factors attribute to network changes which could influence how traffic is
distributed over time. Therefore, the performance of these junctions will be observed once the
proposed scheme is operational, with traffic counts being undertaken annually to understand the
impact of the reassignment of traffic prior to delivering any mitigation scheme.
1.1.15. The Monitor and Manage Strategy is proposed at the following junctions:
A508 Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street Priority Junction;
A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane Priority Junction; and
New Sandy Lane / Berrywood Road / Roman Road / Sandy Lane Proposed Roundabout.
1.1.16. Indicative layouts for potential mitigation schemes at the junctions have been produced to highlight
measures which could be implemented if mitigation were to be required following the monitor and
manage approach.
1.1.17. Overall, the TA finds that the proposed NWRR will provide benefits to the wider highway network.
These benefits include a reduction in the number of vehicles on certain roads in Northampton Town,
particularly residential areas which will result in less traffic and less congestion contributing to cleaner
air, safer roads and a healthier population in these areas. The proposed scheme is also expected to
provide additional infrastructure capacity to support movements generated by forecast development
and growth within the region.
1.1.18. Where the proposed scheme is forecast to have negative traffic impacts, the TA recommends that the
following should be considered when assessing the proposed scheme:
Any minor negative impacts caused as a result of the proposed scheme should be considered in
the context of the wider traffic benefits of the proposed scheme across the network as a whole;
The proposed scheme will create a balanced network of vehicles using existing and new
infrastructures proposed which will have a positive impact overall; and
Any minor negative impacts caused as a result of the proposed scheme can be mitigated where
appropriate through specific mitigation schemes or included in the Monitor and Manage Strategy.
1.1.19. Taking account of the above, this TA shows that the proposed scheme provides an overall net benefit
to Northampton’s highway network as any negative localised impacts caused as a result of the scheme
NORTHAMPTON NORTH WEST RELIEF ROAD PUBLIC | WSP Project No.: 70021598 | Our Ref No.: NWRR-WSP-GEN-0000-RP-TR-00002 June 2020 Northamptonshire County Council Page 4 of 125
can be satisfactorily mitigated. As such, this TA concludes that the proposed scheme is acceptable in
terms of highways and transport impact.
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2 INTRODUCTION
2.1 INTRODUCTION
2.1.1. WSP have been commissioned by Northamptonshire County Council (NCC) to prepare a Transport
Assessment (TA) to support a planning application for the northern section of a new relief road
proposed to the north-west of Northampton, referred to as the North-West Relief Road (NWRR).
2.1.2. The NWRR will be the primary access route into the new Sustainable Urban Extension known as
Dallington Grange development which received resolution to grant planning permission (ref no:
N/2014/1429) in November 2018 and is therefore proposed to support the additional traffic generated
from this development. The NWRR will also help to ease the existing and forecasted increasing
general traffic growth as it will provide an alternative route option for vehicles travelling through
Northampton Town and its surrounding villages.
2.1.3. The proposed NWRR is of single carriageway standard but designed to enable upgrading to dual
carriageway in the future if required. It will join to the existing road network at the A5199 Northampton
Road via a roundabout to the north and at the Harlestone Road / York Way / New Sandy Lane
Roundabout to the south.
2.1.4. The northern section of the NWRR (approximately 1.61km in length) is being delivered by NCC and
is the subject of this TA and throughout this report, this section will be referred to as the “proposed
scheme”. The remainder of the relief road is to be delivered by the developer of the Dallington Grange
site which will be located to the south-west of the proposed scheme. This is the southern section of
the NWRR which will join the existing highway network at the Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane /
York Way roundabout.
2.1.5. It is anticipated that some traffic will reroute and alter their existing journey patterns to use the new
road once built. This TA assesses the impact that this rerouting traffic and the Dallington Grange traffic
will likely have on the surrounding existing road network and whether any measures are needed to
mitigate these impacts. In addition, the cycle, pedestrian and horse riding facilities associated with the
proposed scheme have been assessed to see if they are in line with and meet current recommended
policy and guidance. The impact that re-routing traffic could have on Personal Injury Collisions (PICs)
has also been assessed as part of this TA.
2.2 BACKGROUND
2.2.1. A planning application for the NWRR was submitted to NCC in June 2019 (Ref: 19/00045/CCDFUL)
and was supported by an original TA, produced by WSP in May 2019. The traffic modelling undertaken
in the original TA was based on the traffic flows derived from the Northamptonshire Strategic Transport
Model (NSTM), as agreed with Northamptonshire Highways (NH) Development Control Team.
2.2.2. Following the submission of the planning application in June 2019, WSP received a number of
comments from various parties in regard to the original TA. As a result, a Transport Assessment
Addendum (TAA) was submitted in September 2019 which addressed the responses below:
There were concerns regarding how representative the future traffic flows extracted from the NSTM
were likely to be of the traffic conditions experienced in reality;
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Concerns were raised over the forecast level of future operational performance and the associated
forecast vehicle queuing and delay for the proposed NWRR junctions; and
The mitigation measures proposed within the original TA would need to be developed further and
assessed which would involve undertaking further capacity assessments and providing
accompanying design drawings where appropriate.
2.2.3. Following the submission of the TAA and associated documentation which accompanied the
application, the Local Highway Authority (LHA ) accepted the proposals subject to planning conditions.
Their response dated 8th November 2019 is provided in Appendix A of this report.
2.3 PURPOSE OF THIS REPORT
2.3.1. Since the submission of the above, the NSTM has been updated following receipt of latest traffic flows
and updated committed development information.
2.3.2. The purpose of this report is to provide an updated TA to account for the changes in the NSTM and
subsequent traffic modelling undertaken. This report therefore supersedes the previous submitted TA
(May 2019) and subsequent TAA (September 2019).
2.3.3. The localised NSTM model utilised in this TA, has been recalibrated and validated in accordance with
the Transport Analysis Guidance (TAG)1 with the latest traffic flows and thus a robust assessment has
been undertaken in the production of the TA.
2.4 SCOPE OF ASSESSMENT
2.4.1. A scoping note and associated email responses from NH are contained within Appendix B.
2.4.2. The scope of this assessment has been agreed with NH’s Development Control Team as follows:
Consideration of relevant planning and transport-related planning policy;
Consideration of baseline transport conditions, including:
- Traffic conditions on the surrounding local road network;
- Pedestrian facilities;
- Cycle facilities;
- Equestrian facilities; and
- PICs that occurred on the surrounding local road network.
Description of the NWRR proposal, including:
- Clarification of the extent of the NWRR that is subject to this assessment;
- Proposed new access junctions;
- The Dallington Grange Development; and
1 TAG is the online transport analysis guidance provided by the Department for Transport (DfT) that provides information on the role of transport modelling and appraisal. TAG provides guidance by which a strategic transport model should be validated to prove that it is fit for purpose to assess a proposed scheme.
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- The walking, cycling and horse-riding facilities that are proposed as part of the scheme.
Undertaking a traffic impact assessment to understand the impacts that re-routing vehicle trips
are likely to have on the local highway network:
- The modelling approach used to inform the traffic impact assessments;
- The assumptions of the NSTM and modelled scenarios;
- The Area of Influence (AOI) and individual junction capacity assessments; and
- The performance of the local highway network without and with the proposed NWRR
scheme.
Consideration of any mitigation measures on the local highway network in light of the traffic
impact assessment; and
Consideration of the wider benefits of the NWRR scheme.
2.5 STRUCTURE OF REPORT
2.5.1. The report is structured as follows:
Chapter 3 summarises the relevant national, local policies and objectives;
Chapter 4 sets out the baseline transport conditions in the local area;
Chapter 5 presents an overview of the NWRR proposals and clarifies the extent of the NWRR that
is subject to this assessment;
Chapter 6 details the operational performance of the local highway network without and with the
proposed NWRR scheme and assesses the impact that building the NWRR would likely have on
the surrounding road network. This chapter also presents the wider benefits of the proposed
scheme, including the key findings from the proposed scheme business case and traffic flow
benefits of the wider area;
Chapter 7 assesses the impacts of the proposed NWRR scheme on individual junctions on the
surrounding highway network;
Chapter 8 sets out the mitigation proposals deemed necessary;
Chapter 9 sets out the Monitor and Manage Strategy proposed as part of the scheme; and
Chapter 10 provides a summary and concludes this TA.
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3 POLICY REVIEW
3.1 INTRODUCTION
3.1.1. This section of the report considers the local, regional and national transport related planning policy
context of the proposals.
3.2 NATIONAL POLICY
National Planning Policy Framework, February 2019
3.2.1. The Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government published the revised National Planning
Policy Framework (NPPF) in July 2018. Following technical consultation on updates to the national
planning policy, an updated version has been published in February 2019.
3.2.2. Paragraph 111 of the NPPF states that, “All developments that will generate significant amounts of
movement should be required to provide a travel plan, and the application should be supported by a
transport statement or transport assessment”.
3.2.3. It is anticipated that the NWRR will cause traffic to reroute and alter their existing journey patterns to
use the new road and thus will generate a significant amount of new and changed movement on the
surrounding road network. A TA is thus required to determine the impact the NWRR is likely to have
on highway safety and the surrounding highway network.
3.2.4. Paragraph 109 of the NPFF states that, “Development should only be prevented or refused on
highways grounds if there would be an unacceptable impact on highway safety, or the residual
cumulative impacts on the road network would be severe”.
3.2.5. This TA demonstrates that the proposed scheme will not impact the safety of the surrounding road
network, nor will it exacerbate any existing safety concerns. This TA also demonstrates that any
negative impacts caused as a result of the proposed scheme can be mitigated where appropriate to
ensure that the cumulative impact on the local highway network is not severe.
3.3 REGIONAL POLICY
The West Northamptonshire Joint Core Strategy, December 2014
3.3.1. The Joint Core Strategy (JCS) sets out the long-term vision and objectives for the whole of the West
Northamptonshire area for the plan period up to 2029, including strategic policies for steering and
shaping development.
3.3.2. The infrastructure section of the document considers that “new development will be supported by and
provide good access to infrastructure” and that “where development generates a need for new
infrastructure, developers will need to demonstrate that provision will be made to meet the necessary
requirements”.
3.3.3. The document also states that “New development will only be permitted if the necessary on and off-
site infrastructure that is required to support it, and mitigate its impact, is either already in place, or
there is a reliable mechanism in place to ensure that it will be delivered”.
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3.3.4. Policy N1 of the JCS states the ‘Regeneration of Northampton’ will be supported by the following
measures:
“Housing development within the existing urban area through urban capacity infill and Sustainable
Urban Extensions at Northampton North, Northampton West, Northampton South, Northampton
South of Brackmills, Northampton Kings Heath, Northampton North of Whitehills, Northampton
Norwood Farm/ Upton Lodge and Northampton Upton Park;
Redevelopment at existing employment sites and SEMLEP Northampton Waterside Enterprise
Zone, with major office and service development focused on the central area;
Provision of local shopping, services and supporting facilities within identified Sustainable Urban
Extensions; and
Improvements to the transport network, public transport, cycling and walking facilities within
Northampton to improve connectivity, safety and journey reliability”.
3.3.5. Considering the above, it is clear that the NWRR is needed to support the Dallington Grange
development, as well as other future committed development. The TA also demonstrates that that any
negative impacts caused as a result of the proposed scheme can be mitigated where appropriate.
JCS Supporting Document: Infrastructure Delivery Plan, September 2017
3.3.6. The Infrastructure Delivery Plan (IDP) aims to identify the strategic priorities for the delivery of key
infrastructure needed to support the implementation of the JCS over the plan period 2011-2031 as
required in the National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF).
3.3.7. In Section 3.24 under Delivered and Funded Infrastructure, it is reiterated that, “It is important for
housing growth to be matched by the necessary and place shaping infrastructure in order to create a
place that meets the vision and aims of the area”.
3.3.8. Again, it is clear that the NWRR is therefore needed to support the visions and aims of the local area,
especially in relation to housing growth and economic prosperity.
The Central Area Action plan (CAAP), January 2013
3.3.9. The CAAP provides a series of consistent and clear policies aimed at securing the improvement and
extension of Northampton’s Central Area whilst seeking to protect the town’s historic built character
and open spaces. The plan, “takes into account other current plans and strategies including the East
Midlands Regional Spatial Strategy and the West Northamptonshire Joint Core Strategy”, which
provide the, “overarching strategic principles for the CAAP”.
3.3.10. The CAAP sets out a sustainability appraisal methodology aimed at appraising the economic effects
of strategies and policies in a local development document. Under the Material Assets Topic: SA14,
one of the objectives is to, “ensure that the housing stock and associated infrastructure meets the
needs of the local people”.
3.3.11. The Cumulative Effects section of the CAAP outlines potential cumulative effects as a result of
infrastructure projects serving developments in north-west Northampton, including the Sandy Lane
Relief Road and Northampton North West By-Pass (also known as the NWRR). It specifies that,
“application of these policies should result in a reduction in unnecessary car use, so the network
improvements will support economic growth”, and that, “the West Northamptonshire Joint Core
Strategy and CAAP are likely to ensure that the cumulative effect will be a minor positive”.
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3.4 LOCAL POLICY
Northampton Local Development Scheme (LDS), February 2017
3.4.1. The Northampton LDS is a continuing plan for the preparation of key planning policy documents. The
LDS covers the key following documents and they relate to each other:
Northampton Local Plans (saved polices) - Adopted 1997;
Northampton Central Area Action Plan – Adopted 2013;
West Northamptonshire Joint Core Strategy Local Plan Part 1 – Adopted 2014; and
Northamptonshire Minerals and Waste Local Plan – Adopted 2014.
Northamptonshire Transportation Plan, 2012
3.4.2. The Northamptonshire Transportation Plan was adopted in April 2012 and sets out
Northamptonshire’s proposed transport goals and priorities from April 2012 onwards.
3.4.3. The plan states NCC’s aim (Strategic Policy 3) is to ensure that all new developments are well
connected to walking and cycling routes which connect to the existing transport network and NCC’s
aim to generally improve the walking and cycling infrastructure across the County to make cycling and
walking viable options for how people travel in Northamptonshire.
Northampton Town Transport Strategy, 2013
3.4.4. The Northampton Town Transport Strategy2 is one of a series of thematic daughter documents to the
Northamptonshire Transportation Plan (set out above). The Northampton Town Transport Strategy
sets out the overarching vision for transport in Northampton and details the strategy to achieve it.
3.4.5. Chapter 5 of the document (titled Highway Strategy) states that “three new road links will provide the
additional highway capacity necessary to support the growth proposals and improve strategic
connections. These sections of new highway infrastructure will be supported by a variety of junction
improvement and smaller schemes”.
3.4.6. The following three road schemes are identified in the Northampton Town Transport Strategy and
illustrated in Figure 3-1:
Completion of the Sandy Lane Relief Road;
Construction of the North – West Bypass, linking the A428 Harlestone Road and the A5199 Welford
Road; and
A43 dualling north of Northampton.
2 Northamptonshire County Council: Northampton Town Strategy (January 2013). Accessed online via https://www.northamptonshire.gov.uk/councilservices/northamptonshire-highways/transport-plans-and-policies/Documents/Northampton%20Town%20Transport%20Strategy.pdf
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Figure 3-1 - Committed Highway Schemes
Source: Northampton Town Strategy (January 2013)
3.4.7. The North West Bypass as referred in Northampton Town Strategy effectively makes up the northern
section of the NWRR (which is the subject of this TA) and the southern section of the NWRR which is
to be delivered by the developer of the Dallington Grange development.
3.4.8. The NWRR is therefore supported by local policy as the proposed scheme is needed to provide
additional highway capacity to support Northampton’s growth proposals.
Northamptonshire Arc
3.4.9. Northamptonshire Arc has been adopted by the council to help guide its investment activities and has
secured wider support from other local partners. It is also used to help secure private sector and
central government investment and attract businesses and jobs into the area.
3.4.10. The Northamptonshire Arc document is a locally developed spatial concept covering the whole county
representing an integrated approach to economic development, the environment and connectivity. It
is underpinned by the pursuit of three high level outcomes which are:
Transformed connectivity;
A naturally resilient and low carbon Northamptonshire; and
A stronger and greener economy.
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3.4.11. The Connecting Northamptonshire3 (October 2011) document makes up part of the Northamptonshire
Arc Publications, but focuses primarily on connectivity, including transport, broadband provision and
access.
3.4.12. Page 8 of the document states that “Northamptonshire is committed to addressing ’infrastructure gaps’
in the road network, making car travel more sustainable and managing traffic better”. The document
explains that parts of the strategic network experience congestion which is already having a negative
impact on economic performance and quality of life. There are concerns that as road traffic grows,
congestion will become more of an issue which could be exacerbated by the large scale housing
developments planned for the county.
3.4.13. Figure 5 of the document illustrates the strategic road connections which provide the main arteries for
economic growth within Northamptonshire. The text underneath the figure states that ‘Northampton’s
Radial Routes’ are in need of an upgrade; this includes the connections through the Dallington Grange
development.
3.4.14. The NWRR makes up part of ‘Northampton’s Radial Routes’ and is therefore needed to support
economic growth, as well as future housing developments which are planned throughout the country.
3.5 POLICY SUMMARY
3.5.1. It is considered that the proposed scheme supported by this Transport Assessment takes into
consideration and adheres to the relevant national and local transport related policy and guidance
summarised above. This is demonstrated in the following sections of this Transport Assessment.
3 Northamptonshire County Council: Northamptonshire Arc Connecting Northamptonshire (October 2011). Assessed online via: https://www.northamptonshire.gov.uk/councilservices/business-and-economy/our-projects/Documents/ConnectingNorthamptonshire_FinalMar2012_lowres.pdf
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4 EXISTING CONDITIONS
4.1 INTRODUCTION
4.1.1. This section of the report sets out the baseline transport conditions at and near the proposed scheme,
including existing traffic conditions and base year results from The Northamptonshire Strategic
Transport Model (NSTM). This section of the report considers the following elements:
The site location;
The surrounding area;
Existing sustainable travel including walking, cycling and horse riding;
Surrounding highway network;
Existing traffic conditions;
Base year NSTM results; and
Personal injury collisions (PICS).
4.1.2. The existing public transport services have been assessed and remain unchanged. The proposed
scheme has no impact on these facilities and therefore public transport services have not been
addressed in this report.
4.2 SITE LOCATION
4.2.1. The North-West Relief Road (NWRR) is a new relief road proposed to the north-west of Northampton.
The northern section of the NWRR is approximately 1.6km in length and is being delivered by NCC
and is the subject of this TA. The southern section of the NWRR is being delivered by the developer
of the Dallington Grange site which will be located to the south-west of the proposed scheme (see
paragraph 5.4 for more details about Dallington Grange).
4.2.2. Figure 4-1 (overleaf) illustrates the extents of both the northern and southern section sections of the
NWRR in the context of the Dallington Grange site location. This Figure also provides the details of
the Sandy Lane Relief Road providing context of the planned schemes in the vicinity of the proposed
scheme.
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Figure 4-1 - NWRR Scheme Location Overview
4.3 SURROUNDING AREA
4.3.1. The proposed scheme is situated to the north west of Northampton; west of the A508 and Boughton,
and east of the Harlestone Nature Reserve and the Brampton Heath Golf Centre. The proposed
scheme crosses the Rugby to Milton Keynes railway line to the south.
4.3.2. The ‘site’ is defined as the area of land considered suitable for development of the proposed scheme.
The site boundary is roughly defined by the A5199 Welford Road and Sandy Lane to the north, the
Brampton Heath Golf Centre to the west, the River Nene to the east, and the Rugby to Milton Keynes
railway line to the south. The site boundary in shown in the General Arrangement drawing contained
within Appendix E.
4.3.3. The site consists largely of agricultural fields which are intersected by small areas of woodland,
hedgerows, and drainage channels that feed into the River Nene.
4.4 WALKING, CYCLING AND EQUESTRIAN
4.4.1. This section of the report sets out the walking, cycling and equestrian facilities that currently exist in
the area surrounding the proposed scheme.
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4.4.2. The area around the proposed scheme currently benefits from a good standard of pedestrian, cyclist
and horse riding provision, with footpaths, bridleways and cycle routes offering connections to various
destinations and facilities. Figure 4-2 below shows the pedestrian, cyclist and equestrian facilities in
the vicinity of the proposed scheme.
Figure 4-2 - Pedestrian, Cyclist and Equestrian Facilities
WALKING
4.4.3. The Northamptonshire Public Rights of Way Definitive Map shows that there is an extensive network
of public footpaths located to the north-west of Northampton linking the villages of Harlestone, Church
Brampton, Chapel Brampton and Holdenby to one another and the outer edges of Northampton. In
addition, there are designated public footpaths located to the north of Northampton routing to and
through the villages of Boughton, Moulton and Pitsford.
4.4.4. There are no national trails but there are four long distance walking routes within 5km of the study
area including:
The Northamptonshire Round;
Brampton Valley Way;
Midshires Way; and
Macmillan Way - Boston to Abbotsbury.
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4.4.5. In addition, it should be noted that many of the local highways that currently exist in the area
surrounding the proposed scheme include pedestrian footways, particularly in the built up and
residential areas.
CYCLING
4.4.6. National Cycle Route (NCR) 6 is a dedicated off-road cycle route which is located approximately 250m
to the east of the proposed scheme, routing north-south almost parallel with the scheme’s proposed
route. The route is part of the National Cycle Network (NCN) which is the national cycling route network
in the United Kingdom and was established to encourage cycling throughout Britain, as well as for the
purposes of cycle touring. The section of the route near the proposed scheme is well signposted,
indicating a shared used for pedestrians and cyclists.
4.4.7. In addition to NCR 6, a designated shared-use footway/cycleway exists on the eastern side of Welford
Road, routing all the way to Harborough Road through Kingsthorpe Village. A designated shared-use
footway/cycleway also exists on the southern side of Brampton Lane, routing all the way to the A508
/ Vyse Road / Brampton Lane Roundabout past the newly built Buckton Fields housing development.
These shared-use footways/cycleways provide cyclists with access and egress from the NCR 6
(Brampton Valley Way) close to the Brampton Lane / Welford Road / Northampton Road Junction.
Appendix C contains the Northampton Cycle Map which shows the cycle facilities across the whole
of Northampton.
4.4.8. Norbital (route 539) is an 29km (18 mile) circular cycle route around Northampton, which connects
residential areas with areas of employment and education such as the University of Northampton,
Brackmills and Moulton Park. The north-western section of the route provides access to Brampton
Valley Way via a signed off-road cycle path which crosses the railway line via Mill Lane (approximately
1.5km south of the proposed scheme). Appendix C contains a map of Norbital and other Key
Northampton Cycle Routes.
HORSE RIDING
4.4.9. There are several bridleways, which horse riders, pedestrians and cyclists can use within the vicinity
of the proposed scheme, as shown in Figure 4-2 above. A description of the bridleways located
closest to the proposed scheme is provided below.
4.4.10. HW6 is a bridleway running in a north-west to south-east alignment along the southern boundary of
the proposed scheme (the northern boundary of the proposed Dallington Grange scheme). From east
to west, Bridleway HW6 routes from Mill Lane in Kings Heath (south of the proposed scheme) in a
north-westerly direction until it meets public footpath HW44. From here the bridleway routes roughly
eastwards until it joins bridleway CC6 and the wider footpath and bridleway network located to the
north of Northampton (west of the proposed scheme).
4.5 SURROUNDING HIGHWAY NETWORK
4.5.1. The local highway network in the vicinity of the proposed scheme is illustrated in Figure 4-3 and the
most relevant links are described below.
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Figure 4-3 - Local Highway Network Surrounding The Proposed Scheme
4.5.2. As stated in paragraph 2.1.4, the northern section of the NWRR (approximately 1.61km in length) is
being delivered by NCC (and is the subject of this TA) whilst the southern section is being delivered
by the developer of the Dallington Grange housing development site. The northern section (the
proposed scheme) will join the existing highway network at a new roundabout junction with Sandy
Lane and the A5199 Northampton Road. The southern section of the NWRR will join the existing
highway network at the Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Way Roundabout.
4.5.3. Sandy Lane is a single carriageway road which is subject to a 40 mile per hour (mph) speed limit and
is approximately 1.5km in length. Extending north-westwards from the A5199 Northampton Road,
Sandy Lane routes through Church Brampton Village until it reaches the junction with Harlestone
Road, thereafter Sandy Lane becomes Holdenby Road after its junction with Church Lane.
4.5.4. The A5199 Northampton Road is a single carriageway road which connects the village of Chapel
Brampton to the north-western outskirts of Northampton. The section of the A5199 Northampton Road
which routes closest to the proposed scheme is subject to a 40mph speed limit, whilst the northern
section of the road, from just north of the existing A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane priority
junction to Chapel Brampton, is subject to the national speed limit. A controlled signalised toucan
crossing is provided at the junction between Northampton Road and NCR 6 enabling Non-Motorised
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Users (NMUs) to cross Northampton Road to access and egress Brampton Valley Way and NCR 6
(see Figure 4-4 below).
Figure 4-4 - Signalised Crossing on Northampton Road facing Southwards
4.5.5. South of the existing A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road priority junction, the
A5199 Northampton Road joins the A5199 Welford Road which routes southwards into the
Kingsthorpe Village area of Northampton. The A5199 Welford Road is of a wide single carriageway
standard and is subject to a 40mph speed limit on the northern section of the road until the pedestrian
crossing, located just north of the A5199 Welford Road / North Western Avenue priority junction.
Thereafter, the speed limit on the A51999 Welford Road reduces to 30mph. To the south, the A5199
Welford Road routes to Kingsthorpe Village Centre joining the A508 Harborough Road at a signalised
junction. The A5199 Welford Road primarily routes through a residential area fronted with set-back
residential properties on either side whilst also routing past two recreational grounds: Spring
Recreation Ground and Kingsthorpe Recreation Ground.
4.5.6. Brampton Lane is located to the east of the proposed scheme and is a single carriageway road that
is subject to a 40mph speed limit. At its most eastern end, Brampton Lane meets the A508 Harborough
Road at the A508 Harborough Road / Vyse Road / Brampton Lane Roundabout. The Brampton Lane
/ Home Farm Drive Roundabout, located on the eastern section of Brampton Lane, is the primary
vehicle access to the currently built section of the Buckton Fields mixed use development. The
development will have its own primary school, convenient local shops and services, open parkland
and play spaces when fully developed.
4.5.7. The A508 Harborough Road acts as a primary access for vehicles routing in and out of Northampton
from areas to the north of Northampton. The road is of single carriageway standard with mainly one
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lane of traffic in each direction, apart from on the approaches to some junctions where additional traffic
lanes are added to the carriageway to facilitate movements at junctions. To the north of the A508
Harborough Road / Vyse Road / Brampton Lane Roundabout, the A508 Harborough Road routes to
and through the villages of Pitsford, Brixworth, Hanging Houghton, Lamport and eventually to Market
Harborough.
4.6 EXISTING TRAFFIC CONDITIONS
4.6.1. The Northamptonshire Strategic Transport Model (NSTM) has been utilised to inform the existing
(baseline) traffic conditions presented in this section of the report. The NSTM is a Simulation and
Assignment of Traffic to Urban Road Networks (SATURN) model which is a suite of flexible network
analysis computer programs that calculates transport assignment on road networks. The existing
traffic conditions provide a representation of traffic along the local highway network, without the NWRR
and Dallington Grange developments in place.
4.6.2. The model was originally calibrated and validated for the baseline year of 2015, using extensive traffic
survey data collated that same year. Following submission of the original TA (May 2019) and
subsequent TAA (September 2019), concerns were raised regarding how representative the traffic
flows extracted from the NSTM were likely to be of the traffic conditions experienced in reality. As a
result, the base NSTM local model has been recalibrated and validated with traffic count data collected
from surveys undertaken in May 2019 for an average weekday at several locations in the proximity of
the proposed scheme (refer to paragraph 6.2.8 for further details).
4.6.3. The 2019 count data has been brought back to a 2015 level using TEMPro growth rates as the NSTM
was originally developed for a 2015 base year. TEMPro is a program developed by the Department
for Transport (DfT), providing traffic growth projections used in transport models and intended to act
as a nationwide standardised distribution of growth in trip ends. The updated NSTM used in this
assessment therefore provides a more realistic and robust assessment of the baseline traffic
conditions along the local highway network.
BASE YEAR NSTM RESULTS
4.6.4. The following section details the results from the 2015 baseline NSTM modelling scenario
summarising the following:
The modelled traffic flows on the roads surrounding the proposed scheme;
The modelled Volume Capacity Ratio (V/C) at the junctions surrounding the proposed scheme; and
The modelled delay at the junctions surrounding the proposed scheme.
Modelled Traffic Flows
4.6.5. Figure 4-5 and Figure 4-6 (overleaf) illustrate the modelled traffic flows on the roads surrounding the
proposed scheme for the 2015 base year AM (08:00 – 09:00) and PM (17:00 – 18:00) peak hours
respectively. The plots display the actual traffic flow in Passenger Car Units (PCUs) per hour and level
of flow is indicated using bandwidths (thickness of the green lines on the roads), as classified in the
legend.
4.6.6. As expected, both plots show high volumes of traffic using the primary roads, particularly roads routing
into and around Northampton Town Centre. Roads near the proposed scheme that are modelled to
have high traffic flows in 2015 include:
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A43 Lumbertubs Way;
A5076 Red House Road;
A428 Harlestone Road;
A4500 Weedon Road; Harlestone Road (The Bramptons); and
Mill Lane;
4.6.7. It should be noted that Harlestone Road (through Church Brampton and Chapel Brampton), Bants
Lane and Mill Lane are shown to have high traffic flows. Given that that these links are local minor
roads and not designed for heavy traffic volumes, it is reasonable to suggest that drivers are using
these roads to make orbital movements around Northampton.
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Figure 4-5 – 2015 Base Year AM Peak Actual Flow
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Figure 4-6 - 2015 Base Year PM Peak Actual Flow
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Modelled Volume Capacity Ratio (V/C)
4.6.8. Figure 4-7 and Figure 4-8 below show the modelled Volume Capacity Ratio (V/C) at junctions
surrounding the proposed scheme for the 2015 base year AM and PM peak hours respectively.
4.6.9. V/C is used as an indicator of congestion at a junction. Junctions which experience volumes of traffic
approaching their capacity level, typically a V/C of greater than 85%, will begin to experience
increased delay and are likely to be affected by operational constraints, i.e. begin to not be able to
facilitate the movement of all the traffic that wants to use it leading to queueing and increasing delay.
4.6.10. In the AM peak Figure 4-7 shows that none of the junctions within vicinity of the proposed scheme
show V/C greater than 85%. A similar pattern is presented in the PM peak, with only the Lumbertubs
Way / St Gregory’s Road junction in the wider area showing V/C greater than 85%.
4.6.11. It should be noted that Figure 4-7 and Figure 4-8 show that some junctions on Mill Lane have a V/C
between 75% and 85% suggesting that these junctions are approaching the 85% capacity level where
they will begin to experience increased delay and are likely to be affected by operational constraints.
These junctions are the Mill Lane / Tollgate Close and Harlestone Road / Mill Lane in the AM peak
and Mill Lane / Tollgate Close and Witham Way / Mill Lane in the PM peak.
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Figure 4-7 – 2015 Base Year AM Peak Junction V/C
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Figure 4-8 - 2015 Base Year PM Peak Junction V/C
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Modelled Junction Delay
4.6.12. Figure 4-9 and Figure 4-10 present the modelled delay at the junctions surrounding the proposed
scheme for the 2015 base year AM and PM peak hours respectively. The delay is reported in seconds
and is the average delay experienced by each PCU across the modelled time period.
4.6.13. The level of delay is indicated by the size of the points identifying the junction, as classified in the
legend. The highest levels of delay are seen within Northampton Town Centre and further east and
south west of the proposed NWRR. Within the vicinity of the proposed NWRR delay does not exceed
90 seconds per PCU in both time periods.
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Figure 4-9 - 2015 Base Year AM Peak Junction Delay
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Figure 4-10 – 2015 Base Year PM Peak Junction Delay
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Summary
4.6.14. The results from the 2015 baseline NSTM modelling AM and PM peak scenarios, summarised above,
indicate the following regarding the existing traffic conditions on the roads surrounding the proposed
scheme:
Primary roads, particularly roads routing into and around Northampton Town Centre, experience
the most traffic flows routing on them. Of note, there are currently large flows on the A428
Harlestone Road and the A4500 Weedon Road corridors, both of which the NWRR will relieve.
Within the study area, consisting of the Town Centre and the northern approaches to the Town,
junctions where north-south corridors meet those travelling east-west show that they’re in the 50-
75% capacity band, leaving some room for future development but less than may be desired. These
corridors and intersections will benefit from the NWRR scheme.
The modelling shows Harlestone Road (through Church Brampton and Chapel Brampton), Bants
Lane and Mill Lane to experience high traffic flows, suggesting that drivers are using these local
minor roads to make orbital movements around Northampton; and
Junctions on Mill Lane are approaching a capacity level where they will begin to experience
increased delay and are likely to be affected by operational constraints. By providing an alternative
east-west link, the NWRR will relieve capacity issues at Harlestone Road and Mill Lane which will
benefit those living in the towns and villages along the corridor.
4.6.15. The above findings have been used to identify the effect that the NWRR will likely have on existing
traffic conditions in and around Northampton. These findings are similar to the previous NSTM results
presented in the original TA dated May 2019.
4.7 PERSONAL INJURY COLLISIONS (PICS)
4.7.1. Personal Injury Collision (PIC) data has been obtained from Northamptonshire Highways (NH),
covering the period 26/07/2014 to 17/06/2018 at key locations surrounding the proposed scheme.
4.7.2. Table 4-1 shows the available details of the PICs that occurred at these locations between 26/07/2014
to 17/06/2018 with full details provided in Appendix D.
4.7.3. In order to ascertain whether there have been any further incidents recorded in the vicinity of the site
since the submission of the original TA (May 2019), CRASHMAP4 has been investigated for the
remaining period of 2018 and 2019. The data revealed that there have been no further incidents at
the key locations surrounding the proposed scheme during that time. Therefore, the analysis
presented below is still representative for the study area.
4 https://www.crashmap.co.uk/Search
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Table 4-1 – Details of PICs That Occurred at Key Locations Surrounding the Proposed Scheme
Accident Reference
WD121816 WN199215 WD064217 D029318 WD045316 WD181114 WD284915 WD053217 D041518 WN120316 WN136416 N089918
Severity Slight Slight Slight Slight Serious Slight Serious Slight Slight Slight Slight Slight
Number of Vehicles Involved
2 2 2 2 1 3 1 2 2 4 2 2
Number of Casualties
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Date 19/05/2016 02/08/2015 07/09/2017 13/04/2018 24/02/2016 26/07/2014 04/10/2015 30/06/2017 17/06/2018 19/09/2016 15/11/2016 13/11/2018
Day Thursday Sunday Thursday Friday Wednesday Saturday Sunday Friday Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday
Time 13:15:00 15:10:00 05:30:00 14:10:00 05:40:00 09:33:00 01:15:00 08:40:00 14:15:00 15:55:00 14:30:00 14:40:00
Weather Fine (without
high wind) Fine (without
high wind) Fine (without
high wind) Fine (without
high wind) Fine (without
high wind) Fine (without
high wind) Fine (without
high wind) Fine (without
high wind) Fine (without
high wind) Fine (without
high wind) Fine (without
high wind) Fine (without
high wind)
Lighting Daylight Daylight Darkness
(street lights present and lit)
Daylight Darkness
(street lights present and lit)
Daylight Darkness (street
lights present and lit)
Daylight Daylight Daylight Daylight Daylight
Manoeuvre
Going ahead other / Going
ahead but held up
Turning right / Waiting to turn
right
Going ahead other / Going
ahead but held up
Turning right / Turning right
Going ahead other
Turning right / Going ahead
other
Going ahead other
Going ahead other / Waiting
to turn right
Overtaking stat vehicle O/S /
Waiting to turn right
Going ahead other / Going
ahead but held up / Turning right
Going ahead other / Turning
right
Going ahead other /
Turning right
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Accident Reference
WD121816 WN199215 WD064217 D029318 WD045316 WD181114 WD284915 WD053217 D041518 WN120316 WN136416 N089918
Severity Slight Slight Slight Slight Serious Slight Serious Slight Slight Slight Slight Slight
Speed Limit 40 30 40 40 40 60 60 60 50 30 30 30
Road Conditions
Dry Dry Dry Dry Frost/Ice Dry Dry Dry Dry Wet/Damp Wet/Damp Wet/Damp
Vehicle 1 Type Car Car Car Car Van Car Car Car Bus Car Car Car
Vehicle 2 Type Car Van Car Car Car Car Cycle Car Car Car
Vehicle 3 Type Car Car
Vehicle 4 Type Car
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4.7.4. Table 4-1 shows that a total of 12 PICs were recorded in the analysis area of which only 2 were
classified as serious and 10 were classified as slight.
4.7.5. Figure 4-11 to Figure 4-14 below show where the PICs detailed in Table 4-1 occurred.
Figure 4-11 - PIC Plot A: Sandy Lane/Northamton Road/A5199
4.7.6. Figure 4-11 shows the existing road network at the area where the new access junctions at the
northern end of the NWRR are being proposed.
4.7.7. Figure 4-11 shows that four PICs, ranging from a classification of serious to slight, occurred at or near
the A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane priority junction and the A5199 Northampton Road /
Brampton Lane / Welford Road priority junction with three of these PICs occurring at the A5199
Northampton Road / Brampton Lane priority junction.
4.7.8. Further analysis of these PICs revealed that all three of the PICs that occurred at the A5199
Northampton Road / Brampton Lane priority junction involved vehicles turning right, or waiting to turn
right, at the junction from both the Welford Road and Brampton Lane arms.
4.7.9. Although there appears to be an apparent cluster of incidents at this location which could pose safety
concerns, it should be noted that this junction is to be reconfigured into a four arm roundabout as part
of the NWRR scheme. The reconfiguration of this junction will provide several safety benefits
compared to the existing arrangement (see paragraph 6.4.5 for details).
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Figure 4-12 - PIC Plot B: Brampton Lane/Vyse Road/A508
4.7.10. Figure 4-12 shows the Brampton Lane / A508 Harborough Road / Vyse Road Roundabout junction
which is located to the east of the proposed NWRR scheme.
4.7.11. Figure 4-12 shows that a serious PIC occurred on the south-western section circulatory carriageway
of the roundabout. Further analysis revealed that this incident only involved a single party and was
due to driver error.
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Figure 4-13 - PIC Plot C: Brampton Lane/A508/High Street
4.7.12. Figure 4-13 shows the Brampton Lane / A508 Harborough Road priority junction and the A508
Harborough Road / High Street priority junction which are located to the west of Pitsford village which
is located to the north east of the proposed NWRR scheme.
4.7.13. Figure 4-13 shows that four PICs, classified as serious to slight, occurred at this location with two
PICs occurring at each junction.
4.7.14. Further analysis of the PICs that occurred at the A508 Harborough Road / High Street priority junction
revealed no common themes between the two PICs with one PIC involving a pedestrian being run
over and the other PIC occurring due to driver behaviour as two vehicles collided trying to avoid a
vehicle pulling out of the High Street.
4.7.15. Further analysis of the PICs that occurred at the Brampton Lane / A508 Harborough Road priority
junction revealed that one of the PICs involved a vehicle waiting to turn right from A508 Harborough
road to Brampton Lane and the other involved a cyclist waiting to turn right from A508 Harborough
road to Brampton Lane.
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Figure 4-14 - PIC Plot D: A508/A5076
4.7.16. Figure 4-14 shows PICs that occurred at and around the A508 Harborough Road / Holly Lodge Drive
signalised junction which is located to the east of the proposed NWRR scheme.
4.7.17. Figure 4-14 shows that three slight PICs have occurred in this area. Further analysis that two of the
three PICs involved vehicles that were turning right into A5076 Holly Lodge Drive whilst the other PIC
occurred between two vehicles in the left turn lane from A5076 Holly Lodge Drive.
Summary
4.7.18. The PIC analysis has revealed that there were a total of twelve incidents which occurred within the
area of influence of the proposed scheme between the period of 2014 to 2019. Of these incidents, ten
were classified as slight and two were serious.
4.7.19. The data suggests that there are no common patterns or trends in accidents, apart from those which
occurred at the A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road priority junction. However,
it is noted that this junction is proposed to be reconfigured into a four arm roundabout to provide
access to the NWRR, with the reconfiguration anticipated to include associated safety benefits.
4.7.20. Notwithstanding the above, no locations are identified which would experience a change in their safe
operation. The new infrastructure proposed will be constructed to the required standards and will be
subject to road safety audits to ensure safety for all users.
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5 DEVELOPMENT PROPOSALS
5.1 INTRODUCTION
5.1.1. This section of the report describes the different aspects of the proposed scheme, and describes the
related proposed development which provides context as to the reasons why the overall NWRR is
being proposed.
5.2 PROPOSED NORTH WEST RELIEF ROAD
5.2.1. The northern section of the NWRR (approximately 1.61km in length) is being delivered by NCC. The
remainder of the road (referred to the southern section) is to be delivered by the developer of the
Dallington Grange housing development which will be located to the south-west of the proposed
scheme.
5.2.2. The NWRR between the A428 Harlestone Road and the A5199 Welford Road is necessary to enable
and unlock the future development of 6,600 houses and more than 3,000 jobs in Northampton; as
stated in the NWRR’s Outline and Full Business Case5.
5.2.3. As noted in section 4.6 above, the existing traffic conditions on the local highway network experience
congestion in northern Northampton and nearby villages which currently suffer from high volumes of
traffic and associated disturbance. The NWRR will relieve existing pressures on the network, as well
as improving the quality of life for local residents, commuters and enhance the character of nearby
villages by redirecting traffic and reducing local congestion.
5.2.4. In addition, the NWRR will form part of a longer-term strategy to deliver a route from the A4500 near
Junction 16 of the M1 and the A43 north of Northampton, creating an orbital route option around
Northampton. Again, this has the aim of improving the quality of life for existing residents and
commuters as, once completed, less traffic should route through Northampton.
5.2.5. The full orbital route is illustrated on Figure 5-1 overleaf.
5 https://www.northamptonshire.gov.uk/councilservices/northamptonshire-highways/major-highway-projects/Documents/Major%20highways%20projects/300120%20NWRR%20Full%20Business%20Case%20minus%20App%20PDF%206.7MB.pdf
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Figure 5-1 - Full Orbital Route Schematic
5.3 PROPOSED NEW ACCESS JUNCTIONS
5.3.1. The following new access junctions at the northern end of the proposed NWRR have been proposed
to connect it to the existing road network:
A: Sandy Lane / Northampton Road / NWRR Roundabout; and
B: Northampton Road / Welford Road / Brampton Lane Roundabout.
5.3.2. The layout and locations of these junctions along with the downgraded section of A5199 Northampton
Road are illustrated in Figure 5-2 (overleaf).
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Figure 5-2 - Proposed NWRR Access Junctions and downgraded section of A5199
Northampton Road (known as Causeway Link)
A: SANDY LANE / NORTHAMPTON ROAD / NWRR ROUNDABOUT
5.3.3. A four-armed roundabout is proposed at the northern end of the NWRR to connect the NWRR to the
existing road network.
5.3.4. The proposed Sandy Lane / A5199 Northampton Road / NWRR Roundabout will be located
approximately 10m west of the River Nene and 20m south of the existing Sandy Lane Junction which
connects into the A5199 Northampton Road. The proposed roundabout will be on embankment up to
5m above surrounding ground levels.
5.3.5. The proposed roundabout will directly replace the existing priority junction that connects Sandy Lane
with the A5199 Northampton Road. The proposed Sandy Lane Roundabout will include four arms:
The northern arm will connect into the A5199 Northampton Road;
The eastern arm will connect into the proposed carriageway linking the proposed Sandy Lane
Roundabout with the proposed Brampton Lane Roundabout. This proposed carriageway will form
part of the A5199 Northampton Road;
The southern arm will connect into the proposed carriageway linking the proposed Sandy Lane
Roundabout with the Dallington Grange Roundabout; and
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The western arm will connect into Sandy Lane.
5.3.6. Foot/cycleway provisions will be included on the western and northern arms of the roundabout to
ensure there is connectivity to existing NMU provisions. It is proposed to reserve the section of the
A5199 Northampton Road for NMU use only as part of the NWRR scheme which includes the closure
of this section of road to motorised traffic.
5.3.7. The proposed layout is illustrated in Drawing NWRR-WSP-SGN-0000-DR-CH-00004 P02, contained
within Appendix E and shown in Figure 5-3 later in this section.
Alterations to Existing A5199 Northampton Road
5.3.8. Traffic modelling undertaken shows that the existing river bridge on the A5199 Northampton Road
would not be suitable for the predicted traffic flows after opening of the NWRR and following
completion of local developments. Therefore, a short section of the A5199 Northampton Road,
approximately 250m in length (which includes the existing river bridge), will be permanently closed to
motorised vehicle use once the Proposed Scheme is operational.
5.3.9. This short section runs from west to east, starting at the Sandy Lane/A5199 Northampton Road
junction and ends at the Brampton Mill Equestrian Centre side road access. This short section of the
A5199 Northampton Road which is downgraded will remain in place and be open to NMUs and is
shown in Figure 5-2. This section of road will be known as the “Causeway Link”.
B: NORTHAMPTON ROAD / WELFORD ROAD / BRAMPTON LANE ROUNDABOUT
5.3.10. It is proposed that the existing A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road three-
armed priority junction will be converted into a 4-armed roundabout. The proposed Brampton Lane
Roundabout will be located approximately 10m south-west of the Windhover Public House. The
proposed roundabout will be on embankment up to 2m above surrounding ground levels.
5.3.11. The proposed roundabout will directly replace the existing priority junction that connects Brampton
Lane with the A5199 Northampton Road / Welford Road. The proposed Brampton Lane Roundabout
will include four arms:
The northern arm will only provide access to existing residential properties and the Brampton Mill
Equestrian Centre and ensure there is connectivity to existing NMU provision such as Footpath
CC5 and the Brampton Valley Way;
The eastern arm will connect into Brampton Lane;
The southern arm will connect into the A5199 Welford Road; and
The western arm will connect into the proposed new section of the A5199 Northampton Road.
5.3.12. Foot/cycleway provisions will be included on the western, northern and eastern arms of the
roundabout to ensure there is connectivity to existing NMUs.
5.3.13. The proposed layout is illustrated in Drawing NWRR-WSP-SGN-0000-DR-CH-00005 P03, contained
within Appendix E and shown in Figure 5-4 later in this section.
5.4 DALLINGTON GRANGE DEVELOPMENT
5.4.1. Dallington Grange is the development that will be located to the south of the northern section of the
NWRR (the subject of this TA) and west of Kings Heath. Dallington Grange will comprise the
construction of around 3,000 residential dwellings, with a mix of private and affordable units. Dallington
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Grange will also include 10ha of employment uses, two primary schools and some mixed-use areas,
with land reserved for a secondary school on previously undeveloped land.
5.4.2. The site will be accessed by various pedestrian, cyclist and vehicular accesses linking to the current
highway, footpath and cycle network. The northern section of the NWRR will provide the primary
vehicle and cyclist access to Dallington Grange from the north, whilst the southern section of the
NWRR will provide the primary vehicle and cyclist access to Dallington Grange from the south, via the
existing Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Way Roundabout.
5.4.3. The southern section of the NWRR (to be delivered by the developer of the Dallington Grange housing
development site) is approximately 2km (1¼ miles) in length, routing from the internal roundabout
with the northern section of the NWRR in a south-west alignment to join the York Way arm of the
existing Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Way Roundabout.
5.4.4. Appendix F contains the Illustrative Masterplan produced by Pegasus showing the proposals for the
site and the associated transport links. In accordance with the JCS, it is expected that the site will be
completed by 2026.
5.4.5. In November 2018, a resolution to grant planning permission was made for the Dallington Grange
development. This outline planning permission includes the southern section of the NWRR to be
delivered by the developer of the Dallington Grange housing development site.
5.5 PROPOSED CYCLE, WALKING AND HORSE RIDING FACILITIES
5.5.1. This section provides details of the walking, cycling and horse riding facilities that will be delivered as
part of the proposed scheme. Walkers, cyclists and horse riders are referred to as NMUs.
5.5.2. As stated earlier in this section of the report (see paragraph 5.3.8), a short section of the A5199
Northampton Road (known as the Causeway Link) will be permanently closed to motorised use once
the proposed scheme is operational.
5.5.3. Figure 5-2 (provided above) illustrates the short section of the A5199 Northampton Road that will be
permanently closed to motorised use, but will remain open to NMUs once the proposed scheme is
operational.
5.5.4. In addition to the above, a shared foot/cycle way will be provided from the Dallington Grange
Development to the Sandy Lane / Northampton Road / NWRR proposed roundabout via the western
side of the NWRR.
5.5.5. The proposed cycle, walking and horse riding facilities are illustrated in the General Arrangement
drawing contained within Appendix E.
SANDY LANE / NORTHAMPTON ROAD / NWRR ROUNDABOUT NMU FACILITIES
5.5.6. Figure 5-3 (overleaf) illustrates the NMU facilities provided at the proposed Sandy Lane / Northampton
Road / NWRR Roundabout. The drawing shows that foot / cycleway provisions will be included on the
southern, western and northern arms of the roundabout to ensure there is connectivity to existing and
proposed NMU provisions. Figure 5-3 shows that:
An informal pedestrian and cyclist crossing facility will be included on the Sandy Lane (western)
arm of the roundabout; and
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A Toucan and a separate Pegasus crossing will be included on the A5199 Northampton Road
(northern) arms of the roundabout.
5.5.7. The proposed crossing facilities will ensure that there is connectivity to existing NMU user provision
from the roundabout and will provide connectivity to the Causeway Link.
Figure 5-3 - NMU facilities proposed at the Sandy Lane / Northampton Road / NWRR
Roundabout
NORTHAMPTON ROAD / WELFORD ROAD / BRAMPTON LANE ROUNDABOUT
5.5.8. Figure 5-4 (overleaf) illustrates the NMU facilities provided at the proposed Northampton Road /
Welford Road / Brampton Lane Roundabout. The drawing shows that foot / cycleway provisions will
be included on all arms of the roundabout to ensure there is connectivity to existing NMU provisions.
5.5.9. Figure 5-4 shows that the following will be provided:
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A Toucan crossing on the western arm (A5199 Northampton Road) which will join a new footway
that will link to the NCR 6;
A shared use uncontrolled crossing on the northern arm (Causeway Link) of the roundabout which
will join a path that will link to the Brampton Valley Way;
A shared controlled crossing on the eastern arm (Brampton Lane) of the roundabout which will join
a path that will link to the Brampton Valley Way as well as connect to the shared foot / cycleway on
Welford Road; and
A shared use uncontrolled crossing on the southern arm (Welford Road) of the roundabout which
will also join a path that will link to the Brampton Valley Way.
5.5.10. The above measures will help maintain suitable and sufficient NMU access to and between the
Brampton Valley Way and NCR 6 and other existing Public Rights of Ways (PRoWs). The above
measure will also provide NMU access to the section of the A5199 Northampton Road that will be
permanently closed from motorised use but will remain in place and be open to NMUs once the
proposed scheme is operational.
Figure 5-4 - NMU facilities proposed at the Northampton Road / Welford Road / Brampton
Lane Roundabout
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OTHER NMU FACILITIES
5.5.11. As stated above, Appendix E contains the General Arrangement drawings of the proposed scheme
which illustrate the shared 3m footway/cycleway that will be on the western side of the NWRR.
5.5.12. The following details a range of other NMU facilities, or facilities that will impact NMU usage, that are
either proposed as part of the proposed scheme or directly related to the proposed scheme:
Adequate street lighting will be installed at both the Sandy Lane / Northampton Road / NWRR and
the Northampton Road / Welford Road / Brampton Lane Proposed Roundabouts;
As part of the Dallington Grange development, public footpath HW44 will be diverted to route to
the existing bridge where the River Nene crosses the railway line rather than using the existing
level crossing, which will provide a safer crossing of the railway line; and
As part of the Dallington Grange scheme, bridleway HW6 is to be diverted and connected to the
wider bridleway network. The rerouted bridleway HW6 will link directly to the eastern arm of the
roundabout located in the Dallington Grange development which will in turn provide NMU access
to the proposed scheme.
WALKING, CYCLING AND HORSE RIDING ASSESSMENT REVIEW
5.5.13. It should be noted that the Walking, Cycling and Horse-Riding Assessment Review (WCHAR) process
has been applied throughout the design and development of the proposed scheme. This has been
with the purpose of facilitating the inclusion of walking, cycling and horse-riding modes of travel in the
highway scheme design process from the earliest stage, enabling the design team to identify
opportunities for improved facilities and integration with the local and national networks.
5.5.14. The WCHAR process is made up of two distinct parts. The first part is an assessment of the existing
situation, the Walking, Cycling & Horse-Riding Assessment, or Assessment Report. The second part
relates to an ongoing review of user opportunities throughout the design process, the Walking, Cycling
& Horse-Riding Review, or Review Report. The WCHAR process concludes prior to the
commencement of construction of a highway scheme.
5.5.15. The first part of the WCHAR has been completed and has identified a range of opportunities to
incorporate pedestrian, cyclist and horse-riding facilities into the scheme and the surrounding area.
These identified opportunities were presented to and considered by the wider design team throughout
the progression of the scheme design. This resulted in a number of these opportunities being
incorporated into the design of the proposed scheme (see the sections above).
5.5.16. It should be noted that the second part of the WCHAR process is an ongoing review of user
opportunities throughout the design process and may therefore identify additional NMU facilities to
include in the proposed scheme if deemed appropriate.
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6 TRAFFIC IMPACT ASSESSMENT
6.1 INTRODUCTION
6.1.1. This section of the report assesses the impact of the proposed scheme on the operation of the local
highway network. It describes the transport modelling approach, development assumptions, and
modelling results, thereby establishing the traffic impact of the scheme. This section also assesses
whether the proposed scheme could exacerbate any existing Personal Injury Collision (PIC) patterns.
Finally, this section of the report uses the results from the local highway impact assessment to build
upon the wider benefits of the proposed scheme.
6.1.2. Following the assessment of the local highway network, individual junction modelling has been
undertaken in Chapter 7 of this report. The mitigation measures identified in support of the proposed
scheme are detailed in Chapter 8. Finally, Chapter 9 sets out the Monitor and Manage Strategy
proposed as part of the scheme.
6.2 MODELLING APPROACH
6.2.1. As agreed with NH’s Development Control Team, the Northamptonshire Strategic Transport Model
(NSTM) has been used as the basis to assess the impact that the proposed scheme is likely to have
on the operation of the surrounding highway network.
6.2.2. It should be noted that a more localised version of the NSTM which models traffic flows on the highway
network in the Area of Influence (AOI) of the proposed NWRR scheme has been developed to assess
the proposed scheme. This has been agreed with NH’s Development Control Team in support of the
previous TA dated May 2019 and therefore deemed appropriate to use for this assessment.
6.2.3. The following modelling scenarios, which were agreed with NH’s Development Control Team, have
been assessed in this TA for both morning and evening peaks:
2015 Base;
2021 DM - Do Minimum (without ‘proposed scheme and also without NWRR Southern Section’);
2021 DS - Do Something (with ‘proposed scheme and also with NWRR Southern Section’);
2031 DM - Do Minimum (without ‘proposed scheme and also without NWRR Southern Section’);
and
2031 DS - Do Something (with ‘proposed scheme and also with NWRR Southern Section’).
6.2.4. The Do Minimum (DM) modelling scenarios includes the forecast additional traffic associated with the
Dallington Grange development along with other committed developments.
6.2.5. The Do Something (DS) modelling scenarios contain everything included in the Do Minimum
scenarios but also the entire extent of the NWRR.
MODELLING ASSUMPTIONS
6.2.6. For the purpose of this TA, it has been assumed that the proposed scheme would open in 2021 and
the future assessment year would be ten years after scheme opening (2031).
6.2.7. It should be noted that the Sandy Lane Relief Road (Phase 2) is also expected to be operational in
2021 and has therefore been included in both future year modelling scenarios. However, if the scheme
was not operational by 2021, it would more than likely reduce the traffic flows that use the NWRR in
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the scheme’s opening year and would therefore result in a scenario with a lower impact. From a traffic
impact point of view, using the current NSTM model assumption would therefore provide a more robust
assessment, as it considers a worst case. It should also be noted that this approach is in line with
what is included in the proposed scheme’s Full Business Case that was submitted in January 2020.
UPDATED NSTM
6.2.8. Following the submission of the original TA (May 2019) and subsequent TAA (September 2019),
concerns were raised regarding how representative the future year traffic flows extracted from NSTM
were likely to be of the traffic conditions experienced in reality. As explained in paragraph 4.6.2, the
NSTM base localised model has since been recalibrated and validated with traffic counts undertaken
in May 2019 for an average weekday at several locations in proximity to the proposed scheme. The
traffic counts derived from the 2019 surveys were brought back to a 2015 level using TEMPro growth
rates as the NSTM was originally developed for a 2015 base year.
6.2.9. The locations where the May 2019 traffic surveys were undertaken include the following sites:
A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane Priority Junction;
A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Priority Junction;
A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Roundabout;
A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane Priority Junction;
A508 Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street Priority Junction;
A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Way Roundabout;
A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Drive Signalised Junction; and
New Sandy Lane / Berrywood Road / Roman Road Double Mini Roundabout.
6.2.10. The NSTM model is validated entirely in line with TAG6 guidance against a broad basket of observed
traffic and journey time data. However, it is also the case that at the local level, there are individual
locations where there are differences between modelled and observed data that need to be
addressed. At these locations, localised adjustment factors have been applied to account for the
differences in the modelled and observed flows in regard to individual junction modelling (refer to
paragraph 7.2.1 for further details) to provide a more robust assessment.
6.2.11. In addition to the above, the NSTM has been updated following revisions to some of the major
committed developments which are likely to have an impact on the scheme. These committed
developments are coded into the model for the future year scenarios (2021 and 2031) as they have
an impact on the flows of the proposed scheme. The analysis of the revised NSTM is presented in
later sections of this report.
6 TAG is the online transport analysis guidance provided by the Department for Transport (DfT) that provides information on the role of transport modelling and appraisal. TAG provides guidance by which a strategic transport model should be validated to prove that it is fit for purpose to assess a proposed scheme.
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6.2.12. It should be noted that the traffic flows from the previous TA (May 2019) have been compared against
the latest updated flows to provide a more robust assessment at specific junctions (detailed in Chapter
7).
6.3 LOCAL HIGHWAY IMPACT ASSESSMENT
6.3.1. This section presents the results of the proposed scheme assessment which has been undertaken
using the NSTM. Results for the future assessment years of 2021 and 2031 have been extracted
from the NSTM for both the AM and PM peak hours.
6.3.2. For this section of the report, the Do Minimum scenario has been referred to as the “Without Scheme”
scenario whilst the Do Something scenario has been referred to as the “With Scheme” scenario.
6.3.3. Analysis of the NSTM results was initially undertaken to understand the impact that the proposed
scheme would have on the wider Northampton highway network (the proposed scheme’s overall
impact). The results extracted and analysed included the following parameters:
Flow Difference;
Junction Volume/ Capacity Ratio (V / C); and
Junction Delay.
FLOW DIFFERENCE
6.3.4. This section includes flow difference plots illustrating the beneficial impacts on the network of the With
(NWRR) Scheme scenario against the Without (NWRR) Scheme scenario. As the only difference
between the two scenarios is the presence of the scheme (in the With Scheme scenario), it is
reasonable to assume that any re-routeing is due to the scheme.
6.3.5. Flow difference plots are presented for the 2031 AM and PM peak hours in Figure 6-1 and Figure 6-
2 (overleaf). These display a graphical comparison between the 2031 With Scheme scenario and
2031 Without Scheme scenario for the AM and PM peak hours, respectively. The plots display the
change in traffic flow in PCUs per hour with the level of change being indicated using bandwidths. As
classified in the legend, green indicates an increase in flow whilst blue indicates a decrease in flow.
6.3.6. The 2021 With Scheme scenario and 2021 Without Scheme scenario flow difference plots can be
found in Appendix G. In 2021, the primary observation is that, even without the delivery of the full
Dallington Grange development, it is apparent that the NWRR will provide relief on the corridors
identified as already experiencing a degree of congestion in 2015 (see section 4.6). This includes the
east-west Mill Lane Corridor and the north-south Harlestone Road and Lumbertubs Way Corridors. It
is therefore apparent that providing the NWRR will alleviate existing issues with traffic having to travel
on Northampton’s primary radial and orbital corridors.
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Figure 6-1 – 2031 AM Peak Flow Difference Plot (With Scheme less Without Scheme)
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Figure 6-2 - 2031 PM Peak Flow Difference Plot (With Scheme less Without Scheme)
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6.3.7. Figure 6-1 and Figure 6-2 above indicate that the proposed scheme delivers two key benefits. Firstly,
several corridors show a reduction in traffic against even the 2015 baseline. These locations include:
A43 Lumbertubs Way;
A5076 Red House Road;
A428 Harlestone Road;
A4500 Weedon Road;
A508 Harborough Road;
Harlestone Road (The Bramptons) and
Mill Lane.
6.3.8. The reduction of traffic on Mill Lane and Harlestone Road (The Bramptons) subsequently
demonstrates the scheme’s benefits in relieving congestion from existing orbital corridors which are
either not fit for purpose (Harlestone Road through the small towns of the Bramptons) or approaching
capacity at access/egress junctions (Mill Lane; see Figure 4-7 and Figure 4-8). As such, there is a
strong benefit to delivering the scheme prior to considering its additional benefits in reducing traffic
produced by the Dallington Grange development.
6.3.9. These observations, in conjunction with reductions in traffic on many other, secondary and/or estate
roads, suggests that the proposed scheme is likely to:
Reduce the unintended vehicular traffic that currently routes through the Brampton villages and
some residential areas of Kingsthorpe; and
Reduce the congestion at roads and junctions on key routes into town; such as on Mill Lane and
the A508 Harborough.
6.3.10. Figure 6-1 and Figure 6-2 also shows the considerable benefits of delivering the NWRR in
conjunction with the Dallington Grange development. This can be seen by a forecast reduction in
traffic flow in both the modelled AM and PM peak time periods on:
Section of Harlestone Road West of the New Sandy Lane Roundabout;
A508 Kingsthorpe Road / Harborough Road7;
A45 Nene Valley Way and A5076 Mere Way;
Brampton Lane (between Lower Harlestone and Pitsford);
Harlestone Road (through the Bramptons); and
Eastern Avenue.
6.3.11. The reduction of traffic on these corridors between the 2031 Without Scheme and With Scheme
scenarios show the importance of the NWRR in allowing traffic to and from Dallington Grange without
having to travel through Northampton Town centre and/or use already congested east-west corridors
7 With the introduction of the NWRR scheme, it is noted that there is a reduction of traffic along this corridor which in turn results in the reduction of delays at the Cock Hotel junctions. This delay reduction includes the intersection outside the Cock Hotel where Mill Lane and the A5095 junction cross the A508. Without the NWRR, this junction is a key access to the Dallington Grange development, as well as a key artery for north-south movements into Northampton.
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to reach locations beyond the centre. This reduction in traffic will prevent excessive congestion and
subsequent issues with delay, pollution, noise and severance.
6.3.12. Figure 6-1 and Figure 6-2 show that the largest forecast increase in traffic flows with the proposed
scheme is along Brampton Lane, New Sandy Lane and the NWRR. In addition, they show that roads
routing through the villages of Moulton and Boughton (such as Vyse Road, Moulton Lane, Boughton
Road and West Street) are forecast to experience an increase in traffic flows with the proposed
scheme as it is forecast that vehicles will reroute along these roads when accessing and egressing
the NWRR. Key junctions which experience congestion as a result of the proposed scheme will be
assessed in Chapter 7 of this report.
6.3.13. Beyond the locations set out in the preceding paragraph, however, it is evident that the impact of the
NWRR overall is highly beneficial in both reducing existing traffic congestion and delay on the network
and in distributing traffic from Dallington Grange and other local/regional development sites in a way
that doesn’t overwhelm Northampton’s existing corridors. A more detailed analysis of the changes in
flow and subsequent benefits realised can be found in Section 6.5below.
JUNCTION VOLUME/ CAPACITY RATIO
6.3.14. As mentioned in paragraph 4.6.9, the Volume / Capacity Ratio (V/C) is used as an indicator of
congestion at a junction. Junctions which experience a V/C of greater than 85%, will begin to
experience increased delay and are likely to be affected by operational constraints.
6.3.15. V/C percentages are presented for junctions within the vicinity of the proposed NWRR location. The
congestion at the junctions have been identified by classifying the V/C ratios into five categories
mentioned below. The V/C ratios used for this analysis are the average turn V/C ratios at the junctions.
Category A: V/C ≥ 100% Ratio - Heavily congested junctions, shown in red dots;
Category B: 85% < V/C ≤100% - Congested junctions, shown in orange dots;
Category C: 75% < V/C ≤ 85% - Junctions approaching congestion, shown in yellow dots;
Category D: 50% < V/C ≤ 75%- Uncongested junctions, shown with small green dots; and
Category E: V/C < 50% - Uncongested junctions, shown with points.
6.3.16. It should be noted however that within NSTM, a V/C ratio is calculated for each permitted turn at a
junction. The average V/C value at each junction is used in this analysis. As the average value is
used, it can be unduly influenced, by turns with much lower and higher V/C. Additionally, it does not
consider tidal flow, where for example movements towards the town centre might be higher in the
morning peak hour than later in the day, and vice-versa. In operational terms, if any movement at a
junction is approaching capacity, queues and delays are likely to form, but this may not be clear from
V/C plots as these are average across the junction and not shown by movement.
6.3.17. Nonetheless, V/C plots form a useful comparative overview between scenarios. The 2021 With
Scheme and Without Scheme Junction V/C plots for both time periods are located in Appendix G.
6.3.18. A comparison of the 2031 With Scheme scenario and 2031 Without Scheme scenario plots for both
peak periods are shown in Figure 6-3 to Figure 6-6 below.
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Figure 6-3 – 2031 AM Without Scheme Junction Volume/ Capacity Ratio
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Figure 6-4 - 2031 PM Without Scheme Junction Volume/ Capacity Ratio
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Figure 6-5 - 2031 AM With Scheme Junction Volume/ Capacity Ratio
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Figure 6-6 – 2031 PM With Scheme Junction Volume/ Capacity Ratio
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6.3.19. Figure 6-3 to Figure 6-6 show a reduction in V/C on a number of junctions in the With Scheme
Scenario in comparison to the Without Scheme scenarios. This includes the A508 and the Harlestone
Road corridors in addition to the Mill Lane east-west route. This demonstrates that the scheme’s
delivery alleviates the volume of traffic passing through these locations, in turn enabling more efficient
operation with less delay; as well as providing reserve capacity for any future growth in the town.
6.3.20. Table 6-1 below summarises key junctions in the study area which experience minimal or positive
impacts in regard to their operational capacity in the With Scheme scenario. The bandwidths are
classified in paragraph 6.3.15 above.
Table 6-1 - 2031 Junctions Volume / Capacity Category (Minimal or Positive Impact)
2031 AM Peak 2031 PM Peak
Junction Without Scheme
With Scheme
Without Scheme
With Scheme
Mill Lane / Nene Way D D D D
Mill Lane / Woodside Way D D D D
A4500 Weedon Road / Rosebery Avenue D D C C
A428 Harlestone Road / Bants Lane / Mill Lane D D D D
Mill Lane / Dallington Grange Access Junction D D D D
Mill Lane / Kingswell Road B C C D
6.3.21. As shown in Table 6-1 above, the With Scheme scenario results show that the impact on Mill Lane is
relatively minimal. The junctions with Nene Way and Woodside Way both remain with a high capacity
available (Band D), whilst the access junction is also projected to flow smoothly (Band D). The
Weedon Road/Rosebery Avenue junction is also unaffected, remaining at existing levels of
congestion. The notable change is at Mill Lane / Kingswell Road where V/C moves down a congestion
band, from B-C in the AM Peak and C-D in the PM peak, giving the junction some headway before
risking going over-capacity in either period.
6.3.22. Table 6-2 below summaries the key junctions which experience negative impacts in regard to their
operational capacity in the With Scheme scenario. These junctions become more congested as they
are located on routes where there is a forecast increase in traffic flows as a result of the NWRR (as
shown on the flow difference plots above).The bandwidths are classified in paragraph 6.3.15 above.
Table 6-2 – 2031 Junction Volume / Capacity Category (Negative Impact)
2031 AM Peak 2031 PM Peak
Junction Without Scheme
With Scheme
Without Scheme
With Scheme
A508 Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street Priority Junction;
C C D B
A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane Priority Junction; D B C C
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2031 AM Peak 2031 PM Peak
Junction Without Scheme
With Scheme
Without Scheme
With Scheme
A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Roundabout;
E C E D
A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Drive Signalised Junction;
D D D D
A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Priority Junction (existing and proposed);
E C E C
A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane Priority Junction (existing and proposed);
E D E D
A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Way Roundabout; and
E C E C
New Sandy Lane / Berrywood Road / Roman Road Double Mini Roundabout.
D D D D
6.3.23. As agreed through the scoping process, the junctions presented in Table 6-2 above have been taken
forward for individual junction capacity assessments to understand what the impact the proposed
scheme will have at these junctions. The results of the junction capacity analysis are presented in
Chapter 7 of this report.
JUNCTION DELAY
6.3.24. This section provides details of the modelled delay at junctions surrounding the proposed scheme.
The 2021 With Scheme and Without Scheme junction delay plots for both time periods are located in
Appendix G.
6.3.25. The modelled delay at the junctions are compared for the 2031 Without Scheme scenario results with
the 2031 With Scheme scenario results for both the AM and PM peak hours.
6.3.26. Figure 6-7 to Figure 6-10 (overleaf) show the modelled average delay in seconds experienced per
PCU at junctions located within the vicinity of the proposed scheme. The level of delay is indicated by
the size of the points identifying the junction, as classified in the legend.
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Figure 6-7 - 2031 AM Without Scheme Junction Delay
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Figure 6-8 - 2031 AM With Scheme Junction Delay
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Figure 6-9 - 2031 PM Without Scheme Junction Delay
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Figure 6-10 - 2031 PM With Scheme Junction Delay
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6.3.27. Figure 6-7 to Figure 6-10 show that the scheme delivers marked reductions in delay at junctions on
the corridors towards Northampton Town Centre. The most notable changes are on Harborough
Road, Harlestone Road and Main Road. The orbital links closer to the city centre also show marked
relief, including Mill Lane and Spencer Bridge Road, as well as some relief of junctions on St James
Road.
6.3.28. Two junctions in the study area show marked increased AM peak hour delay in a With Scheme
scenario, as well as slight increases in the PM peak. These are:
Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road / NWRR; and
Harlestone Road / NWRR / Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane.
6.3.29. There are also small increases in delay in both directions on Sandy Lane and New Sandy Lane, as
well as Brampton Lane and Vyse Lane.
6.3.30. The delay in seconds at the junctions have been identified and classified into seven categories
mentioned below:
Category A: Delay > 300s;
Category B: 180s < Delay ≤ 300s;
Category C: 120s < Delay≤ 180s;
Category D: 90s < Delay ≤ 180s;
Category E: 60s < Delay ≤ 90s;
Category F: 30s < Delay ≤ 60s; and
Category G: Delay ≤ 30s.
6.3.31. Table 6-3 below presents junctions which are modelled to experience the most significant reductions
in delay in the 2031 With Scheme scenario when compared to the Without Scheme scenario
throughout the NSTM modelled area.
Table 6-3 - 2031 With Scheme and Without Junctions Delay Category (Modelled Area)
2031 AM Peak 2031 PM Peak
Junction Without Scheme
With Scheme
Without Scheme
With Scheme
Berrywood / Southfield Road B D G F
A5199 Welford Road / Back Lane G G G G
A508 Harborough Road / High Street (South of Boughton Green Road)
D F G G
A428 Harlestone Road / Lodge Way / Firsview Drive D E E F
A508 Harborough Road / A5095 Kingsthorpe Road / Mill Lane (The Cock Hotel Junction)
E E B E
Tollgate Way / Main Road E F G G
6.3.32. Table 6-3 above shows that the largest benefits are realised at the A508 / A5095 / Mill Lane junction
in the PM peak, where east-west flows intersect with traffic travelling north-south, as well as
movements south-east to north-west. By relieving the need to travel into Town on the A508 to travel
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west, or to use Mill Lane for that purpose, the NWRR removes several minutes of delay from this
intersection. The next largest benefits are realised at the Berrywood / Southfield road intersection in
west Northampton, one of the key roads used for east-west trips. This junction also reduces delay by
several minutes from the approaches to the intersection.
6.3.33. The A508 Harborough Road / High Street (South of Boughton Green Road) and Tollgate Way / Main
Road both show 30-60 second delay reductions in the AM peak, whilst the A428 Harlestone Road /
Lodge Way / Firsview Drive shows benefits in both peaks.
6.3.34. Therefore, whilst outside of the core study area detailed below, it’s evident that the NWRR can reduce
delay and congestion from several key routes into Northampton, as well as on both primary and east-
west movements.
6.3.35. Table 6-4 below presents the changes in modelled junction delay category for the 2031 forecast year
Without Scheme and With Scheme scenarios for both the AM and PM peak at selected key junctions
surrounding the proposed scheme.
Table 6-4 - 2031 With Scheme and Without Scheme Junction Delay Category for Key
Junctions Identified
2031 AM Peak 2031 PM Peak
Junction Without Scheme
With Scheme
Without Scheme
With Scheme
New Sandy Lane / Harlestone Road / York Way Roundabout
G F G G
A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane Priority Junction
G G F G
A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane Priority Junction
F E E E
Brampton Lane / Home Farm Drive Roundabout G G G G
Brampton Lane / A508 Harborough Road / Vyse Road Roundabout
G G G F
A5076 Holly Lodge Drive / A508 Harborough Road Signalised Junction
F G G G
Brampton Lane / A508 Harborough Road Priority Junction
F E E E
A508 Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street Priority Junction
F E G F
6.3.36. As shown in the table and plots above, A508 Harborough Road / High Street priority junction forecast
to experience increases delays in the With Scheme scenario compared to the Without Scheme
scenario for both time periods.
6.3.37. The New Sandy Lane / Harlestone Road / York Way roundabout and A5199 Northampton Road /
Brampton Lane priority junction are forecast to experience increases in delay the With Scheme
scenario compared to the Without Scheme scenario only in the AM peak. There is also a slight
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increase in delay at Brampton Lane / A508 Harborough Road / Vyse Road round in the PM peak hour
only.
6.3.38. There is also a slight reduction in delay at the A5076 Holly Lodge Drive / A508 Harborough Road
signalised junction.
6.3.39. As expected, the junctions that show an increase in modelled delay by change of category correspond
with the junctions that have the largest increases in modelled V/C, along routes where there is a
forecast increase in traffic flow in the With Scheme scenario compared to the Without Scheme
scenario.
6.4 IMPACT ON PERSONAL INJURY COLLISIONS
6.4.1. As set out above, it is unlikely that the traffic forecast to re-route due to the proposed scheme will lead
to a significant increase in PICs occurring on the surrounding highway network.
6.4.2. Firstly, analysis of the PICs that have occurred at selected key locations on the surrounding highway
network between 26/07/2014 to 17/06/2018 revealed that there were only two sites where more than
one PIC occurred within close proximity of one another and were attributable to common causes.
These occurred at the following junctions:
A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane Priority Junction; and
A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Drive Signalised Junction.
A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane Priority Junction
6.4.3. Three of the PICs that occurred at the A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane priority junction
involved vehicles turning right, or waiting to turn right, at the junction from both the Welford Road and
Brampton Lane arms.
6.4.4. The proposed scheme involves reconfiguring this junction from a priority junction into a roundabout
junction (see Section 5.3 for further details), and therefore any site-specific geometric characteristics
that could have contributed to these accidents would no longer be present.
6.4.5. It is also noted that the Design Manual for Roads and Bridges’ (DMRB’s) Advice Note CD 116
“Geometric Design of Roundabouts” document8 states that roundabouts offer safety benefits,
especially when travelling along high speed roads such as dual carriageways. The provision of a
roundabout, especially those equipped with ‘Reduce Speed Now’ signs and/or transverse yellow bar
markings can have the ability to “reduce rear shunt and overshoot accidents by helping to alert the
driver to the presence of the roundabout” as speeds can often be reduced in ample time.
8 Design Manual for Roads and Bridges: CD 116 Geometric Design for Roundabouts. Accessed online via: http://origin.standardsforhighways.co.uk/ha/standards/dmrb/vol6/section2/CD%20116%20revision%201%20Geometric%20design%20of%20roundabouts-web.pdf
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A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Drive Signalised Junction
6.4.6. Further analysis of the PICs that occurred at the A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Drive
Signalised Junction revealed that two of the three PICs involved vehicles that were turning right into
A5076 Holly Lodge Drive whilst the other PIC occurred between two vehicles in the left turn lane from
A5076 Holly Lodge Drive.
6.4.7. As only two of the three PICs that occurred at the A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Drive
Signalised Junction are attributable to a common cause and these two PICs occurred nearly two years
apart from one another, these do not form a pattern. There is therefore no pattern of PICs which could
be exacerbated by changes in traffic at the junction related to the proposed scheme.
6.5 WIDER BENEFITS OF NWRR SCHEME
6.5.1. The results from the local highway impact assessment (presented in section 6.3 above) indicated that
the proposed scheme attracts traffic that would have previously used the parallel / alternative routes.
The forecast reduction in traffic flows suggested that the proposed scheme would:
Reduce routing through traffic through the Brampton villages and some residential areas of
Kingsthorpe; and
Reduce the congestion at roads and junctions on key routes into and throughout the town.
6.5.2. This section of the report builds upon the wider benefits of the proposed scheme as they are key to
demonstrating that the scheme provides a positive outcome on balance for the highway network.
STRONG BUSINESS CASE
6.5.3. The Full Business Case9 (FBC) for the NWRR presents the needs for the scheme and has been critical
to securing funding. The FBC is demonstrated through the production of a number of cases including:
The Strategic Case which assesses the need for investment for the NWRR;
The Economic Case which assesses the impacts of the NWRR and the Value for Money (VfM) to
justify investment;
The Financial Case to determine the affordability of delivering the scheme;
The Commercial Case which provides evidence on the commercial viability of the NWRR; and
The Management Case to assess the deliverability of the proposed NWRR.
6.5.4. The Strategic Case is particularly relevant to the transport impact of the scheme as it sets the scheme
in context within the wider road network, the various developments and local, regional and national
objectives.
6.5.5. The Strategic Case demonstrates there is a need for appropriate infrastructure to provide additional
capacity on the transport network to support housing growth targets. This additional housing will add
9 WSP: Northampton North West Relief Road Full Business Case (January 2020). Accessed online via: https://www.northamptonshire.gov.uk/councilservices/northamptonshire-highways/major-highway-projects/Documents/Major%20highways%20projects/300120%20NWRR%20Full%20Business%20Case%20minus%20App%20PDF%206.7MB.pdf
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demand to the existing highway infrastructure, therefore increasing journey times, congestion and
potentially creating adverse impacts on journey time reliability. The case concludes that there is a
need for the NWRR to support housing growth by providing additional highway capacity to the network.
Specifically, the NWRR would support local developments by increasing highway capacity in the local
area and providing a new east-west link between the A428 and A5199.
6.5.6. Modelling outputs indicate trips with an origin or destination at Buckton Fields and Dallington Grange
would use the NWRR, providing an essential east-west link in the north-west of Northampton to
support these developments. Without the NWRR, traffic arising from the developments would fully
load onto the existing road network, such as Mill Lane and the Cock Hotel junctions; causing
congestion and restricting the full development potential of the Dallington Grange site.
6.5.7. The modelling highlights that, without the NWRR, traffic loading onto the Dallington Grange
development is via Harlestone Road and Mill Lane. However, with the NWRR scheme going ahead,
traffic loading from Dallington Grange would be more evenly distributed. The modelling demonstrates
the relief road takes a substantial amount of traffic flows from Dallington Grange, which relieves
pressure on the existing network, due to a reduced amount of development traffic loading onto Mill
Lane and Harlestone Road.
6.5.8. In addition, modelling outputs also produced volume capacity ratios for the highway network at
junctions should Dallington Grange be delivered with and without the NWRR. In comparison, the
modelling outputs highlight that there is a greater likelihood of congestion on Harlestone Road and
Mill Lane should the NWRR not be delivered.
6.5.9. The Economic Case sets out the value for money for the scheme based on the Benefit/Cost Ratio
(BCR). The BCR is used in analysis to summarise the overall relationship between the relative costs
and benefits of a proposed project. The Economic Case for the scheme revealed that the overall travel
time savings resulted in a high BCR of 7:1. This demonstrates that the savings, predominantly to travel
time, outweigh the cost of delivering the scheme by 7 times, a very high return for a transport scheme.
The BCR calculation also includes benefits associated with accident reductions and severity,
greenhouse gases, noise and air quality.
6.5.10. To summarise, the delivery of the relief road would add additional highway capacity to the local
highway network and contribute towards alleviating the growing pressures on the network, to support
a reduction in journey times and emissions. If nothing is done, housing and employment growth will
continue to add to congestion; whereas the relief road will enhance connectivity and capacity. The
NWRR will promote economic growth by providing greater connectivity to the Strategic Road Network
(SRN) to support access to jobs and provide growth for businesses in the north-west of Northampton.
TRAFFIC BENEFITS
6.5.11. The NSTM is validated in line with TAG guidance against a broad range of observed traffic and journey
time data. It is therefore valid to use the NSTM flows for consideration of the wider benefits of the
scheme. It should be noted that the Do Minimum scenario excludes the NWRR but includes the
Dallington Grange development, whilst the Do Something scenario includes both NWRR and the
Dallington Grange development.
6.5.12. Plots are shown for the 2021 and 2031 future year scenarios in both the AM and PM peak periods
contained within Appendix G.
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6.5.13. Figure 6-1 and Figure 6-2 (presented above in this chapter) shows the flow difference plots between
the 2031 Do Something and 2031 Do Minimum scenarios. This provides an illustration of the wider
benefits of the scheme which extend across the whole of Northampton Town. Some specific links
have been drawn from the plots to illustrate the wider benefits of the proposed scheme as shown in
Table 6-5 below.
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Table 6-5 -Wider Traffic Benefits of the NWRR on Selected Links using NSTM flows
Location Description
Peak Hour
2021 Two- Way Flow 2031 Two-Way Flow
Without NWRR
With NWRR
% Change Without NWRR
With NWRR
% Change
Harlestone Road West of the New Sandy Lane
AM 1826 1025 -44% 1997 1550 -22%
PM 1848 1033 -44% 1974 1342 2%
Harlestone Road (between Lower Harlestone and the Bramptons)
AM 1197 495 -59% 1420 962 -32%
PM 1386 571 -59% 1468 941 -36%
Harlestone Road (through the Bramptons)
AM 611 199 -68% 729 575 -21%
PM 667 206 -69% 794 536 -33%
Mill Lane (West of the Harborough Road)
AM 2100 1816 -14% 2448 2196 -10%
PM 2038 1720 -16% 2107 2090 -1%
Harborough Road (North of Boughton Green Road)
AM 1178 1107 -6% 1166 997 -15%
PM 1281 1160 -9% 1469 1152 -22%
Harlestone Road (at Dallington Cemetery)
AM 1063 1269 19% 1722 1663 -3%
PM 976 1155 18% 1462 1441 -1%
Eastern Avenue (North of Kingsland Avenue)
AM 1104 939 -15% 1397 1061 -24%
PM 1097 846 -23% 1399 1075 -23%
6.5.14. Table 6-5 shows that the primary corridor to benefit from the NWRR is Harlestone Road, where there
are marked decreases in flow in compared to without the scheme. The Eastern Avenue corridor also
shows a reduction in traffic with the NWRR in place, although to a lesser degree than the change
observed on Harlestone Road.
6.5.15. The 2021 scenario shows an increase in traffic with the NWRR on the Harborough Road corridor; due
to the road feeding into the NWRR. In 2031 however, this corridor shows a decrease in traffic with the
NWRR, as without the scheme the corridor takes more development traffic compared to 2021.
OVERALL BENEFIT
6.5.16. Throughout this TA, it has been understood that the scheme has been designed with the aim of
achieving the optimum balance between wider benefits and local impacts and that the scheme has an
overall benefit. The locations selected above provide an indication of the benefits on some of the more
significant links, but other links around these will also experience changes to flows and travel patterns.
These changes can be seen on the plots contained in Appendix G.
6.5.17. However, the economic assessment included in the Business Case gives the best indication of the
overall effect on the network. The overall travel time savings result in a high Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR)
of 7:1 which demonstrates that the savings, predominantly to travel time, outweigh the cost of
delivering the scheme by 7 times, a very high return for a transport scheme. The BCR calculation also
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includes benefits associated with accident reductions and severity, greenhouse gases, noise and air
quality.
6.5.18. Another benefit is the additional resilience provided by this extra infrastructure. It is inevitable that
network disruption will occur from time to time, either due to planned roadworks, accidents or other
foreseen and unforeseen events. The NWRR therefore provides high quality additional infrastructure
to NCC’s highway portfolio, giving additional options and flexibility should it be required.
6.5.19. The NWRR will also promote economic growth and regeneration proposals in Northampton town
centre. Key strategic and policy documents (outlined in Chapter 3) set out the desire to underpin
Northampton as the key regional centre by increasing retail and employment floorspace. These growth
proposals for the town centre are forecast to generate additional traffic into the town. The NWRR
provides the opportunity to facilitate these additional vehicles, to support journey times and congestion
not only in the north-west, but also on the highway network in the town centre. This enhanced
connectivity would contribute to encouraging businesses to invest and locate in Northampton,
supporting Policy N1 ‘The Regeneration of Northampton’ within the West Northamptonshire Joint Core
Strategy. The growth of the local economy would also contribute towards further employment and
education opportunities, this along with increased accessibility, would promote the reduction in
unemployment and deprivation within areas of Northampton.
6.5.20. The scheme would also promote an improvement in the quality of life for Northamptonshire residents,
as by providing additional highway capacity through the scheme, capacity is released on existing
routes. This release of capacity will serve to encourage more active travel (cycling and walking trips).
Additionally, significant attention to sustainable modes has been included in the scheme design.
6.6 SUMMARY
6.6.1. This Chapter has assessed the impact of the proposed scheme on the operation of the local highway
network by comparing the future traffic conditions with and without the proposed scheme. The scheme
provides large benefits to the residents of Northampton by decreasing congestion against current
conditions, reducing unintended vehicular traffic through villages, providing capacity for further growth
and by providing an alternative access/egress route for the Dallington Grange development which
would otherwise be focused on the already congested Mill Lane.
6.6.2. The primary locations where benefits can be observed are:
Harlestone Road and A508 Harborough Road where the scheme reduces the number of trips
travelling on the radial corridor to travel east-west via connections to Mill Lane or Spencer Bridge
Road, both of which also show reductions in traffic flow with scheme;
There is also a concurrent reduction in congestion and delay at the intersections of the above
roads, such as The Cock Hotel junction.
Eastern Avenue and Lumbertubs way, which both show reductions in traffic in the With Scheme
scenario due to their need to relieve the core A508 being reduced.
Harlestone Road (through the Bramptons) which was previously being used as a rat-run avoiding
congestion on the aforementioned Mill Lane/Spencer Bridge routes.
6.6.3. All of these corridors show substantial reduction in traffic, thereby reducing congestion, traffic delay,
pollution and severance in the long term in comparison to a scenario without the NWRR and/or present
traffic conditions.
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6.6.4. The results from the local highway impact assessments identified increases in traffic flows along
Brampton Lane and New Sandy Lane, as well as the roads routing through the villages of Moulton
and Boughton (such as Vyse Road, Moulton Lane, Boughton Road and West Street) as a result of the
proposed scheme. As expected, it is forecasted that vehicles will reroute along these roads / junctions
in order to access and egress the NWRR. Key junctions which experience congestion as a result of
the proposed scheme are assessed in Chapter 7 of this report.
6.6.5. In regard to the impact on PICs, it has been concluded that the proposed scheme will not exacerbate
any existing patterns of PICs occurring on the surrounding highway network.
6.6.6. This Chapter of the TA has also set out that the NWRR will provide a number of wider benefits to
Northampton, summarised as follows:
The scheme will reduce traffic flows on a number of significant links and junctions in Northampton
when compared to the Do Minimum case;
The scheme has a strong business case with a high Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR) which demonstrates
that the savings, predominantly to travel time, outweigh the cost of delivering the scheme by 7
times, a very high return for a transport scheme;
The scheme provides additional capacity on the transport network to support housing growth
targets; and
The scheme will provide additional resilience to the Northampton highway network when disruption
arises from time to time, such as planned roadworks, accidents or other foreseen and unforeseen
events.
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7 IMPACT ON INDIVIDUAL JUNCTIONS
7.1 INTRODUCTION
7.1.1. From the Traffic Impact Assessment detailed in Chapter 6, a number of junctions have been taken
forward for individual junction capacity assessments. These junctions were informed by the analysis
of the NSTM results which showed that the proposed scheme would have a significant impact. The
scope of the capacity assessments has been agreed with NH’s Development Control Team.
7.1.2. This Chapter assesses the impacts of the NWRR on individual junctions on the surrounding highway
network. Following this, Chapter 8 sets out the mitigation proposals deemed necessary as a result of
the impact of the proposed scheme and Chapter 9 re-evaluates those impacts and sets out the
Monitor and Manage Strategy proposed.
7.1.3. The following eight junctions have been taken forward for individual junction capacity assessments,
with their locations illustrated in Figure 7-1 (overleaf):
J1: A508 Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street Priority Junction;
J2: A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane Priority Junction;
J3: A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Roundabout;
J4: A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Drive Signalised Junction;
J5: A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Priority Junction (existing and
proposed);
J6: A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane Priority Junction (existing and proposed);
J7: A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Way Roundabout; and
J8: New Sandy Lane / Berrywood Road / Roman Road Double Mini Roundabout.
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Figure 7-1 - Assessed Junction Locations
7.2 MODELLING APPROACH
7.2.1. The strategic traffic modelling analysis presented in section 6.3 identified that the above junctions
would become congested as a result of the proposed scheme. These junctions are located on routes
where there is a forecast increase in traffic flows and high junction volume / capacity ratio as shown
in Table 6-2.
7.2.2. Modelled traffic flows for the scenarios detailed in paragraph 6.2.3 have been extracted from the
NSTM and used in the individual junction models. These traffic flows utilised for the individual junction
model are the demand flows which suggest that a more robust case has been considered in analysing
the junction capacity assessment. However, as noted in paragraph 6.2.10 above, localised adjustment
factors have been applied to a number of junctions to account for the differences in the base year
modelled and observed flows. In order to account for these differences, 2015 proportions (turning
count percentages) have been applied to the NSTM modelled flows for a number of junctions which
were not calibrated against the 2015 observed flows. Applying these proportions to the NSTM
modelled flows provides a more realistic interpretation of the traffic movements at the following
individual junctions:
J1: A508 Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street Priority Junction
J3: A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Roundabout
J5: A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Priority Junction
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J5: A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Proposed Roundabout
J7: A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Way Roundabout
7.2.3. The following industry standard software programs have been used to individually model the different
junction types and layouts:
PICADY, which is part of the Junctions 9 software, has been used to model priority junctions;
ARCADY, which is also part of the Junctions 9 software, has been used to model roundabout
junctions; and
LINSIG, has been used to model signalised junctions.
7.2.4. The outputs from the above software programs provide information about a junction’s operation via a
number of key parameters which indicate a junction’s operational performance. The key measures for
each software program have been highlighted and described in more detail below.
Junctions 9 (ARCADY and PICADY)
7.2.5. The main measures of junction performance in ARCADY and PICADY are:
Ratio of Flow to Capacity (RFC);
Maximum Queue Length; and
Delay in seconds per vehicle.
7.2.6. The main indication of a junction’s performance is provided by the RFC for each arm. The industry
agreed ideal RFC maximum is 0.85 (equivalent to 85%), as when junctions approach and exceed this
value, traffic queues and delays increase exponentially.
LINSIG
7.2.7. The main measures of junction performance in LINSIG are:
Practical Reserve Capacity (PRC)
Degree of Saturation (DoS); and
Mean Maximum Queue (MMQ).
7.2.8. The main indication of a junction’s performance is provided by the junction’s PRC. In traffic
engineering, the PRC of a traffic signal junction is a commonly used measure of its available spare
capacity. The practical reserve capacity is related to the degree of saturation of a traffic signal junction.
A positive PRC indicates that a junction has spare capacity and may be able to accept more traffic. A
negative PRC indicates that the junction is over capacity and is suffering from traffic congestion. A
junction where the degree of saturation exceeds a threshold of 90% on most movements is likely to
have a negative PRC and therefore would be operating above its practical capacity.
7.3 JUNCTION CAPACITY ASSESSMENTS
7.3.1. The results of the individual junction capacity assessments undertaken for the existing and proposed
layouts are provided in the following sub-sections.
J1: A508 Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street Priority Junction
7.3.2. The existing Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street priority junction has been modelled using
Junctions 9 software for all scenarios listed in paragraph 6.2.3. As noted above in paragraph 7.2.1,
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the traffic flows used in this junction model have been proportioned by the 2015 observed flows to
provide a more robust assessment.
7.3.3. The results are presented in Table 7-1 below, with the full output report provided in Appendix H.
Table 7-1: A508 Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street Existing Priority Junction
AM PM
Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC
2015 Base
High Street (left turn onto Harborough Road S)
0.3 11.06 0.20 0.2 9.60 0.16
High Street (right turn onto Harborough Road N)
0.6 26.12 0.37 0.4 23.70 0.31
Harborough Road S (straight on / right turn onto High Street)
2.5 9.01 0.55 2.1 5.91 0.47
2021 DM
High Street (left turn onto Harborough Road S)
0.4 16.27 0.3 0.2 11.15 0.19
High Street (right turn onto Harborough Road N)
1.2 50.48 0.57 0.7 36.7 0.41
Harborough Road S (straight on / right turn onto High Street)
5.9 15.47 0.74 4.8 8.95 0.66
2021 DS
High Street (left turn onto Harborough Road S)
0.3 14.11 0.23 1.7 54.1 0.67
High Street (right turn onto Harborough Road N)
0.9 46.45 0.49 3.4 119.37 0.83
Harborough Road S (straight on / right turn onto High Street)
6.1 16.33 0.75 7.3 12.5 0.76
2031 DM
High Street (left turn onto Harborough Road S)
0.3 14.31 0.21 0.1 10.84 0.12
High Street (right turn onto Harborough Road N)
1.3 76.5 0.59 0.7 61.64 0.42
Harborough Road S (straight on / right turn onto High Street)
13.5 36.07 0.89 42.4 95.38 1.01
2031 DS
High Street (left turn onto Harborough Road S)
0.2 14.35 0.19 5.1 179.72 1.09
High Street (right turn onto Harborough Road N)
0.8 51.52 0.46 4.7 218.43 1.01
Harborough Road S (straight on / right turn onto High Street)
5.4 15.89 0.72 70.9 154.08 1.07
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7.3.4. The results in Table 7-1 indicate that the junction operates within capacity in the 2015 base year and
the 2021 future year scenarios during both peak hours.
7.3.5. The junction starts to operate over capacity in the 2031 Do Minimum scenario with an RFC of 0.89 in
the AM peak hour and 1.01 in the PM peak hour on Harborough Road South. This is likely due to
queueing as there is no stacking capacity for vehicles to turn right, therefore one PCU can block the
junction, resulting in queues on the major arm. The junction operates over-capacity for all movements
in the Do Something scenario where RFC values range from 1.01-1.09 in the PM peak hour.
7.3.6. Although the junction performs worse in the Do Something scenario when the proposed scheme is
introduced, no mitigation is proposed at this current time. Instead, this junction will be included as part
of the Monitor and Manage Strategy, and the reasons why this junction has been chosen for this
Strategy is explained in Chapter 9 of this report.
J2: A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane Priority Junction
7.3.7. The existing Harborough Road / Brampton Lane priority junction south of the A508 Harborough Road
/ Pitsford High Street junction has been modelled in the Junctions 9 software for all the scenarios
listed in paragraph 6.2.3. The results are presented in Table 7-2 below, with the full output report
provided in Appendix H.
Table 7-2 - A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane Existing Priority Junction
AM PM
Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC
2015 Base
Brampton Lane (left turn onto Harborough Road N)
0.8 11.77 0.44 1.1 15.28 0.52
Brampton Lane (right turn onto Harborough Road S)
0.0 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00
Harborough Road N (straight on / right turn onto Brampton Lane)
4.8 15.02 0.73 4.0 14.42 0.71
2021 DM
Brampton Lane (left turn onto Harborough Road N)
1.5 16.94 0.60 2.3 25.48 0.71
Brampton Lane (right turn onto Harborough Road S)
0.0 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00
Harborough Road N (straight on / right turn onto Brampton Lane)
26.2 79.55 0.98 36.4 132.60 1.04
2021 DS
Brampton Lane (left turn onto Harborough Road N)
0.2 8.75 0.14 0.2 11.02 0.17
Brampton Lane (right turn onto Harborough Road S)
0.0 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00
Harborough Road N (straight on / right turn onto Brampton Lane)
3.1 7.13 0.54 2.3 5.76 0.44
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AM PM
Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC
2031 DM
Brampton Lane (left turn onto Harborough Road N)
1.9 20.84 0.66 31.4 285.61 1.30
Brampton Lane (right turn onto Harborough Road S)
0.2 63.24 0.16 4.2 526.88 1.11
Harborough Road N (straight on / right turn onto Brampton Lane)
98.8 326.34 1.17 74.8 276.39 1.16
2031 DS
Brampton Lane (left turn onto Harborough Road N)
0.5 10.79 0.32 27.7 295.56 1.42
Brampton Lane (right turn onto Harborough Road S)
0.2 54.12 0.15 3.2 561.62 1.20
Harborough Road N (straight on / right turn onto Brampton Lane)
107.7 314.81 1.17 70.1 229.60 1.13
7.3.8. The results in Table 7-2 above indicate that the existing priority junction operates within capacity in
the 2015 base year scenario during both peak hours. The junction becomes over-capacity in the 2021
Do Minimum scenario with the A508 Harborough Road North experiencing RFC values of 0.98 and
1.05. This is likely to be caused by vehicles waiting to turn right onto Brampton Lane as there is no
stacking capacity for vehicles to turn right, therefore one PCU can block the junction, resulting in
queues on the major arm.
7.3.9. The junction operates within capacity in the 2021 Do Something scenario, due to a reduced amount
of traffic forecast to right from Harborough Road North to Brampton Lane and traffic turning left from
Brampton Lane to Harborough Road North with the scheme built, thereby enabling increased
throughput of traffic along the major arm.
7.3.10. In both the 2031 Do Minimum and Do Something scenarios, the junction is expected to operate over-
capacity. Brampton Lane experiences capacity issues in the 2031 Do Minimum scenario, with an RFC
of 1.30 in the PM peak hour. The A508 Harborough Lane North continues to operate over-capacity in
both the peak hours, with RFC’s of 1.17 and 1.16 in the AM and PM peak hours, respectively.
7.3.11. The results show the junction operates the worse in the PM peak hour of the Do Something scenario,
with RFC values ranging from 1.13-1.42 on all movements. Although the queues are low, and delays
are only slightly higher than the Do Minimum scenario.
7.3.12. Although the junction performs worse in the Do Something scenario when the proposed scheme is
introduced, no mitigation is proposed at this current time. Instead, this junction will be included as part
of the Monitor and Manage Strategy, and the reasons why this junction has been chosen for this
Strategy is explained in Chapter 9 of this report.
J3: A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Existing Roundabout
7.3.13. The existing A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road roundabout in Boughton, has been
modelled in the Junctions 9 software for all the scenarios listed in paragraph 6.2.3. As noted in
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paragraph 7.2.1, the traffic flows used in this junction model have been proportioned by the 2015
observed flows to provide a more robust assessment.
7.3.14. The results are presented in Table 7-3 below, with the full output report provided in Appendix H.
Table 7-3: A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Existing Roundabout
AM PM
Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC
2015 Base
Arm A – Vyse Road (E) 0.6 7.61 0.37 1.3 9.88 0.57
Arm B – A508 Harborough Road (S) 0.6 3.15 0.35 1.1 4.34 0.52
Arm C – Brampton Lane (W) 1.5 9.72 0.60 0.8 8.20 0.44
Arm D - A508 Harborough Road (N) 0.8 4.47 0.44 0.5 3.21 0.33
2021 DM
Arm A – Vyse Road (E) 0.9 9.75 0.47 2.3 14.85 0.71
Arm B – A508 Harborough Road (S) 0.8 3.59 0.42 1.3 5.07 0.57
Arm C – Brampton Lane (W) 2.0 12.22 0.67 1.1 10.32 0.53
Arm D - A508 Harborough Road (N) 1.1 5.25 0.51 0.5 3.33 0.34
2021 DS
Arm A – Vyse Road (E) 15.7 110.46 1.00 172.1 997.14 1.53
Arm B – A508 Harborough Road (S) 0.9 4.15 0.46 1.3 5.00 0.57
Arm C – Brampton Lane (W) 176.7 655.11 1.35 150.8 645.15 1.34
Arm D - A508 Harborough Road (N) 3.2 11.90 0.76 2.0 7.47 0.66
2031 DM
Arm A – Vyse Road (E) 3.9 28.65 0.81 49.9 190.36 1.11
Arm B – A508 Harborough Road (S) 1.0 4.4 0.50 2.8 8.87 0.74
Arm C – Brampton Lane (W) 37.0 139.86 1.06 4.1 30.35 0.82
Arm D - A508 Harborough Road (N) 1.4 6.69 0.57 0.6 3.60 0.37
2031 DS
Arm A – Vyse Road (E) 76.9 422.27 1.26 234.7 1138.71 1.53
Arm B – A508 Harborough Road (S) 1.0 4.49 0.50 1.8 6.15 0.64
Arm C – Brampton Lane (W) 613.1 2271.16 1.86 395.6 1716.8 1.74
Arm D - A508 Harborough Road (N) 2.8 10.73 0.73 1.0 4.99 0.51
7.3.15. The results in Table 7-3 above indicate that the junction is operating within capacity in the 2015 base
year and the 2021 Do Minimum scenario in both peak hours.
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7.3.16. The junction starts to operate over-capacity in the 2021 Do Something scenario in both peak hours
as Vyse Road (E) and Brampton Lane (W) experience RFC values over 1.00. The junction continues
to operate over-capacity in the 2031 Do Minimum scenario when the proposed scheme is built, albeit
RFC values on both Vyse Road (E) and Brampton Lane (W) are slightly lower when compared to the
2021 Do Something scenario.
7.3.17. In the 2031 Do Something scenario, the junction continues to operate over-capacity, with RFC values
recorded at 1.26 and 1.53 at Vyse Road (E) and 1.86 and 1.74 at Brampton Lane (W) during the
respective AM and PM peak hours. Significant delays are also expected, with 19 minute delays in the
PM peak hour on Vyse Road (E) and 38 minute delays in the AM peak hour on Brampton Lane (W).
7.3.18. In summary, the A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Roundabout operates within
capacity in the 2015 Base Year and 2021 Do Minimum scenarios. The roundabout is forecast to
operate over capacity and experience congestion and delays in the 2021 Do Something and both
2031 future year scenarios.
7.3.19. As the junction operates over-capacity in both 2031 future year scenarios, mitigation measures have
been designed and will be implemented at this location as part of the NWRR proposals. The mitigated
design is detailed and assessed in section 8.4 of this report
J4: A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Drive Existing Signalised Junction
7.3.20. The existing layout of the A508 Harborough Road / A5076 signalised junction has been modelled in
LinSig for all scenarios listed in paragraph 6.2.3. The junction operates on a single controller and
stage stream with both traffic and pedestrian phases using MOVA. The model has been run with a
cycle time of 120 seconds for each scenario.
7.3.21. The results are presented in Table 7-4 below, with the full output report provided in Appendix H.
Table 7-4: A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Existing Signalised Junction
Arm Lane Description
AM PM
DoS (%) Mean Max
Queue (PCU) DoS
Mean Max Queue (PCU)
2015 Base
1/2+1/1. Holly Lodge Drive Left Right
63.9% 10.6 84.1% 22.2
2/1+2/2 Harborough Road S Right + Ahead
47.3% 7.5 85.5% 22.9
3/2+3/1 Harborough Road N Left + Ahead
64.4% 8.6 63.8% 8.6
PRC (Over All Lanes) 39.4% 5.3%
2021 DM
1/2+1/1. Holly Lodge Drive Left Right
73.1% 13.7 87.2% 23.3
2/1+2/2 Harborough Road S Right + Ahead
50.6% 8.8 87.6% 25.0
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Arm Lane Description
AM PM
DoS (%) Mean Max
Queue (PCU) DoS
Mean Max Queue (PCU)
3/2+3/1 Harborough Road N Left + Ahead
74.4% 11.1 67.0% 9.2
PRC (Over All Lanes) 20.9% 2.7%
2021 DS
1/2+1/1. Holly Lodge Drive Left Right
71.2% 14.4 80.8% 20.2
2/1+2/2 Harborough Road S Right + Ahead
52.4% 8.7 80.9% 20.1
3/2+3/1 Harborough Road N Left + Ahead
71.2% 9.6 64.9% 8.4
PRC (Over All Lanes) 26.4% 11.3%
2031 DM
1/2+1/1. Holly Lodge Drive Left Right
85.5% 19.0 101.3% 40.3
2/1+2/2 Harborough Road S Right + Ahead
49.7% 8.9 100.5% 49.6
3/2+3/1 Harborough Road N Left + Ahead
85.1% 14.0 79.2% 12.2
PRC (Over All Lanes) 5.3% -12.5%
2031 DS
1/2+1/1. Holly Lodge Drive Left Right
73.8% 17.1 86.1% 22.0
2/1+2/2 Harborough Road S Right + Ahead
47.9% 7.0 86.2% 23.6
3/2+3/1 Harborough Road N Left + Ahead
74.8% 12.3 68.4% 11.2
PRC (Over All Lanes) 20.3% 4.4%
7.3.22. The modelling results shown in Table 7-4 above indicate that the junction operates over capacity in
the 2031 Do Minimum scenario in the PM peak, however it will operate well within capacity in all the
future year Do Something scenarios. This is due to reassignment of the traffic flows due to the NWRR
and showing benefit at this junction. Accordingly, it is concluded that the proposed scheme will have
a positive traffic impact at this junction.
7.3.23. Despite the above, NH requested that this junction be improved as traffic is likely to access the NWRR
at this location rather than routing through the villages of Boughton and Moulton, where traffic calming
is proposed in support of this TA. As a result, mitigation measures will be implemented at this junction
as part of the NWRR proposals. The mitigated design is detailed and assessed in Section 8.6 of this
report.
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J5: A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Existing Priority Junction
7.3.24. As detailed in Section 5.3, the A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road existing
priority junction will be converted into a four-arm roundabout junction as part of the proposed scheme.
Therefore, the existing A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Priority Junction
has been modelled in the Junctions 9 software for just the 2015 Base, 2021 and 2031 Do Minimum
scenarios where the proposed scheme does not get built.
7.3.25. As noted in paragraph 7.2.1, the traffic flows used in this junction model have been proportioned by
the 2015 observed flows to provide a more robust assessment. The results are presented in Table 7-
5 below, with the full output report provided in Appendix H.
Table 7-5: A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Existing Priority
Junction
AM PM
Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC
2015 Base
Arm A - Northampton Road (left turn onto Brampton Lane)
0.5 11.49 0.33 0.20 9.59 0.16
Arm B - Brampton Lane (right turn onto Northampton Road)
3.0 48.4 0.76 15.5 167.62 1.03
Arm C - Welford Road (straight on / Right turn onto Brampton Lane)
0.9 7.28 0.32 0.60 6.18 0.25
2021 DM
Arm A - Northampton Road (left turn onto Brampton Lane)
0.7 13.9 0.41 0.20 10.04 0.18
Arm B - Brampton Lane (right turn onto Northampton Road)
6.4 89.4 0.9 36.5 349.57 1.2
Arm C - Welford Road (straight on / Right turn onto Brampton Lane)
0.8 7.26 0.31 0.80 6.36 0.28
2031 DM
Arm A - Northampton Road (left turn onto Brampton Lane)
1.5 22.3 0.61 0.3 11.73 0.25
Arm B - Brampton Lane (right turn onto Northampton Road)
75.8 849.59 1.51 141.3 1461.52 1.76
Arm C - Welford Road (straight on / Right turn onto Brampton Lane)
1.8 9.04 0.48 1.1 7.12 0.35
7.3.26. Table 7-5 show all arms but one approach is operating within capacity in the 2015 base year scenario.
This exception is at Brampton Lane with an RFC value of 1.03 in the PM peak hour. Similarly, in the
2021 Do Minimum scenario, Brampton Lane operates at capacity in the AM peak with an RFC value
of 0.9 and over capacity in the PM peak hour with an RFC value of 1.2.
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7.3.27. In the 2031 Do Minimum scenario, Brampton Lane is forecast to operate over capacity with an RFC
value of 1.51 in the AM peak hour and 1.76 in the PM peak hour, resulting in significant delays of 14
and 24 minutes in the AM and PM hours, respectively.
J5: A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Proposed Roundabout
7.3.28. As part of the NWRR proposals, the existing layout of the A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane
/ Welford Road Priority Junction will be reconfigured into a four-arm roundabout. The proposals include
the realignment of the existing A5199 Northampton Road with Brampton Road as described in Section
5.3 and shown in Figure 5-4 above.
7.3.29. The proposed A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Roundabout has been
modelled in the Junctions 9 software for the 2021 and 2031 Do Something scenarios.
7.3.30. The proposed roundabout has been modelled with a flat traffic profile for each movement, rather than
a synthesised peak (as per the existing priority junction). This is appropriate in this case, given that
the network is likely to experience increased congestion in 2021 and 2031, thereby flattening traffic
profiles across the network. Additionally, as noted in paragraph 7.2.1, the traffic flows used in this
junction model have been proportioned by the 2015 observed flows to provide a more robust
assessment.
7.3.31. The results are presented in Table 7-6 below, with the full output report provided in Appendix H.
Table 7-6 - A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Proposed Roundabout
AM PM
Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC
2021 DS
Arm A - A5199 Northampton Road (W)
6.3 14.39 0.87 6.3 14.30 0.87
Arm B – Boughton Farm (N) 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00
Arm C - Brampton Lane (E) 2.2 7.52 0.69 3.0 9.35 0.75
Arm D - A5199 Welford Road (S) 1.1 5.72 0.50 1.8 8.76 0.64
2031 DS
Arm A - A5199 Northampton Road (W)
6.4 14.53 0.87 6.9 15.17 0.88
Arm B – Boughton Farm (N) 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00
Arm C - Brampton Lane (E) 4.0 11.46 0.80 3.5 10.70 0.78
Arm D - A5199 Welford Road (S) 1.1 6.11 0.51 1.1 6.62 0.51
7.3.32. As shown in Table 7-6, the proposed roundabout is expected to operate broadly within capacity in
both the 2021 and 2031 Do Something scenarios, when the proposed scheme is built. The A5199
Northampton Road (W) experiences an RFC of 0.87 and 0.88 in the AM and PM peak hours,
respectively, with minimal queueing and delay. As such, it can be concluded that the proposed layout
is therefore appropriate for future year operation.
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J6: A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane Existing Priority Junction
7.3.33. As detailed in Section 5.3, the A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane existing priority junction will
be converted into a four-arm roundabout junction as part of the proposed scheme. Therefore, the
existing priority junction has been modelled in Junctions 9 only for the 2015 Base, 2021 and 2031 Do
Minimum scenarios where the proposed scheme isn’t built.
7.3.34. The results are presented in Table 7-7 below, with the full output report provided in Appendix H.
Table 7-7 - A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane Existing Priority Junction
AM PM
Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC
2015 Base
Arm A - A5199 Northampton Road E (right turn onto Sandy Lane)
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arm B - Sandy Lane (left onto A5199 Northampton Road E)
2.0 26.90 0.67 12.8 120.05 0.99
Arm C - A5199 Northampton Road W (straight on/ left turn onto Sandy Lane)
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2021 DM
Arm A - A5199 Northampton Road E (right turn onto Sandy Lane)
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Arm B - Sandy Lane (left onto A5199 Northampton Road E)
2.6 34.19 0.74 28.7 232.99 1.11
Arm C - A5199 Northampton Road W (straight on/ left turn onto Sandy Lane)
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2031 DM
Arm A - A5199 Northampton Road E (right turn onto Sandy Lane)
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Arm B - Sandy Lane (left onto A5199 Northampton Road E)
62.7 549.39 1.31 53.6 467.96 1.28
Arm C - A5199 Northampton Road W (straight on/ left turn onto Sandy Lane)
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
7.3.35. The results in Table 7-7 above indicate that the junction currently operates at-capacity during the PM
peak hour in the 2015 base year scenario. Sandy Lane (for vehicles turning right onto Northampton
Road) experiences an RFC of 0.99 in the PM peak hour. This is likely a result of vehicles being unable
to find sufficient gaps to turn on to the main arm of the junction (A5199 Northampton Road) due to
high volumes of through traffic, thereby causing queuing (up to 13 PCUs) on Sandy Lane as vehicles
are unable to exit the junction.
7.3.36. The capacity issues are exacerbated in the 2021 and 2031 Do Minimum scenarios. Sandy Lane
becomes significantly over-capacity for both left and right turn movements, with the maximum RFC
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reaching 1.31 in the AM peak hour and 1.28 in the PM peak hour. Again, this is likely due to a high
volume of through traffic along A5199 Northampton Road, causing queuing on Sandy Lane.
J6: A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane / NWRR Proposed Roundabout
7.3.37. The A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane / NWRR four arm Roundabout is a new proposed layout
that will provide the northern connection of the NWRR to the existing road network. The proposed
layout will convert the existing A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane Junction into a four-arm
roundabout with the southern arm providing the NWRR link. The proposals are described in more
detail in Section 5.3 and shown in Figure 5-3 above.
7.3.38. The proposed A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane / NWRR Roundabout has been modelled in
Junctions 9 for the 2021 Do Something and 2031 Do Something scenarios. Similarly, to the proposed
A5199 Northampton Road / Brampton Lane / Welford Road Roundabout, the A5199 Northampton
Road / Sandy Lane / NWRR proposed roundabout junction has been modelled with a flat traffic profile
for each movement, rather than a synthesised peak (as per the existing priority junction). This is
appropriate in this case, given that the network is likely to experience increased congestion in 2021
and 2031, thereby flattening traffic profiles across the network.
7.3.39. The results are presented in Table 7-8 below, with the full output report provided in Appendix H.
Table 7-8 - A5199 Northampton Road / Sandy Lane / NWRR Proposed Roundabout
AM PM
Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC
2021 DS
Arm A – Sandy Lane (W) 0.1 3.67 0.09 0.3 5.10 0.23
Arm B – A5199 Welford Road (N) 0.6 4.11 0.37 0.3 3.69 0.23
Arm C - A5199 Welford Road (E) 2.3 5.59 0.69 3.6 8.05 0.77
Arm D - NWRR (S) 1.0 3.85 0.49 1.2 4.49 0.55
2031 DS
Arm A – Sandy Lane (W) 0.2 5.07 0.14 0.6 7.07 0.34
Arm B – A5199 Welford Road (N) 0.7 4.94 0.42 0.5 4.60 0.30
Arm C - A5199 Welford Road (E) 6.1 12.67 0.86 4.4 9.43 0.82
Arm D - NWRR (S) 3.4 9.14 0.78 3.7 9.22 0.79
7.3.40. The results shown in Table 7-8 indicate that the proposed junction is expected to operate within
capacity in the 2021 Do Something scenario for both peak hours. The proposed junction is forecast
to operate broadly within capacity in the 2031 Do Something scenario in the AM peak hour, with an
RFC of 0.86 experienced on the A5199 Welford Road (E) with minimal queueing and delays. As such,
it can therefore be concluded that the proposed layout is appropriate for future year operation.
J7: A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Road Existing Roundabout
7.3.41. The A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Road Roundabout has been modelled in the
Junctions 9 software for all the scenarios listed in paragraph 6.2.3. The roundabout will provide the
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Southern connection of the NWRR to the existing road network with the NWRR joining the York Way
(W) arm of the junction.
7.3.42. As noted in paragraph 7.2.1, the traffic flows used in this junction model have been proportioned by
the 2015 observed flows to provide a more robust assessment.
7.3.43. The modelling results are presented in Table 7-9 below, with the full Junctions 9 output report provided
in Appendix H.
Table 7-9 - A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Road Existing Roundabout
AM PM
Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC
2015 Base
Arm A – York Way (E) 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00
Arm B – A428 Harlestone Road (S) 1.7 6.45 0.63 1.1 5.44 0.53
Arm C – New Sandy Lane (W) 0.9 4.64 0.46 0.5 3.5 0.32
Arm D - A428 Harlestone Road (N) 0.4 2.94 0.25 0.8 3.82 0.43
2021 DM
Arm A – York Way (E) 0.0 2.42 0.04 0.0 2.85 0.03
Arm B – A428 Harlestone Road (S) 4.0 12.11 0.80 2.1 7.82 0.67
Arm C – New Sandy Lane (W) 0.6 4.28 0.36 0.7 4.13 0.40
Arm D - A428 Harlestone Road (N) 0.3 2.87 0.25 0.7 3.75 0.40
2021 DS
Arm A – York Way (E) 2.2 6.89 0.69 3.5 10.85 0.78
Arm B – A428 Harlestone Road (S) 3.1 15.99 0.76 1.2 9.34 0.54
Arm C – New Sandy Lane (W) 3.3 13.48 0.77 2.1 8.41 0.68
Arm D - A428 Harlestone Road (N) 1.0 4.84 0.48 2.4 8.96 0.71
2031 DM
Arm A – York Way (E) 0.0 2.74 0.05 0.0 3.13 0.04
Arm B – A428 Harlestone Road (S) 10.8 30.7 0.93 6.4 19.76 0.87
Arm C – New Sandy Lane (W) 1.1 5.99 0.53 1.0 5.07 0.48
Arm D - A428 Harlestone Road (N) 0.6 3.57 0.38 1.0 4.52 0.49
2031 DS
Arm A – York Way (E) 3.2 9.73 0.77 5.3 15.23 0.85
Arm B – A428 Harlestone Road (S) 59.6 188.03 1.11 17.2 77.3 0.99
Arm C – New Sandy Lane (W) 95.2 255.49 1.14 16.4 50.3 0.97
Arm D - A428 Harlestone Road (N) 1.2 6.1 0.54 2.5 11.02 0.72
7.3.44. As shown in Table 7-9, the roundabout is currently operating within capacity in the 2015 base year,
and will continue to do in both 2021 future year scenarios.
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7.3.45. In the 2031 Do Minimum 2031 scenario, the results indicate that the roundabout will operate over-
capacity on Harlestone Road South, with an RFC value of 0.93 and 0.87 in the AM and PM peak
hours, respectively. The situation is exacerbated in the 2031 Do Something scenario as both
Harlestone Road South and New Sandy Lane operate significantly over-capacity, with RFC’s of above
1.0 and delays of over 4 minutes in the AM peak hour.
7.3.46. In summary, the modelling results indicate that the A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York
Road Roundabout operates within capacity in the 2015 base year and will continue to operate within
capacity in both 2021 future year scenarios. However, it is forecast that the roundabout will operate
over capacity in both 2031 future year scenarios.
7.3.47. As the junction operates over-capacity in both 2031 future year scenarios, mitigation measures have
been designed and will be implemented at this location as part of the NWRR proposals. The mitigated
design is detailed and assessed in section 8.5 of this report.
J8: Roman Road / New Sandy Lane / Berrywood Road / Sandy Lane Proposed Roundabout
7.3.48. As part of the Norwood Farm development proposals (which propose a residential-led mixed use
sustainable urban extension on land south of Roman Road), the existing junction (double mini-
roundabout) will be reconfigured into a single four-arm single roundabout which will connect to the
Sandy Lane Relief Road and the Norwood Farm proposed development site . This change in junction
layout is scheduled to happen whether or not the proposed scheme is built and therefore an
assessment of the existing junction has not been undertaken.
7.3.49. In agreement with NH and NCC, the reconfiguration of the existing Double Mini-Roundabout into a
single four arm roundabout has been included as a committed highway infrastructure scheme in both
the 2021 and 2031 future year modelling scenarios in the NSTM. Therefore, the proposed roundabout
has been modelled in Junctions 9 for all the 2021 and 2031 future year scenarios. The modelling
results are presented in Table 7-10 below, with the full Junctions 9 output report provided in Appendix
H.
7.3.50. The proposed junction layout prepared by Peter Brett Associated (PBA) is shown on Drawing
32486/2501/SK08 Rev D, provided in Appendix I.
Table 7-10 - Roman Road / New Sandy Lane / Berrywood Road / Sandy Lane Proposed
Roundabout
AM PM
Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC
2021 DM
Arm A – Berrywood Road (E) 1.6 9.34 0.62 0.6 5.22 0.37
Arm B – Sandy Lane (S) 1.5 6.12 0.59 2.6 8.79 0.71
Arm C – Roman Road (W) 0.9 6.42 0.46 0.5 5.52 0.31
Arm D - New Sandy Lane (N) 1.1 4.79 0.51 1.2 4.95 0.53
2021 DS
Arm A – Berrywood Road (E) 2.1 12.53 0.69 0.7 6.52 0.42
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AM PM
Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC
Arm B – Sandy Lane (S) 1.7 6.80 0.62 4.5 13.72 0.82
Arm C – Roman Road (W) 1.0 7.26 0.50 0.5 6.43 0.34
Arm D - New Sandy Lane (N) 1.6 6.02 0.61 2.1 7.34 0.65
2031 DM
Arm A – Berrywood Road (E) 18.3 86.81 1.00 2.3 13.80 0.70
Arm B – Sandy Lane (S) 5.1 16.39 0.84 30.5 76.00 1.01
Arm C – Roman Road (W) 3.9 20.89 0.80 1.8 13.20 0.65
Arm D - New Sandy Lane (N) 4.6 15.9 0.82 4.2 14.33 0.81
2031 DS
Arm A – Berrywood Road (E) 28.1 131.63 1.05 3.8 25.50 0.80
Arm B – Sandy Lane (S) 10.1 29.69 0.92 95.6 200.00 1.13
Arm C – Roman Road (W) 9.9 51.90 0.94 2.2 15.79 0.69
Arm D - New Sandy Lane (N) 7.7 21.18 0.89 6.9 19.59 0.88
7.3.51. The modelling results in Table 7-10 above indicate that the proposed roundabout will operate well
within capacity during the 2021 Do Something and Do Minimum future year scenarios in both peak
hours.
7.3.52. However, the junction is expected to operate significantly over capacity in both 2031 future year
scenarios. Both Berrywood Road and Sandy Lane are predicted to exceed theoretical capacity with
RFC values above 1.00 in the 2031 Do Minimum scenario in either the AM or PM peak hours. In the
2031 Do Something scenario, all arms are recorded to exceed theoretical capacity in the AM peak,
with RFC values ranging from 0.89 – 1.05 in the AM peak. In the PM peak hour, New Sandy Lane
also exceeds practical capacity with an RFC value of 0.88, whereas Sandy Lane exceeds theoretical
capacity with an RFC value of 1.13, experiencing significant delays and queuing.
7.3.53. Although the junction performs worse in the 2031 Do Something scenario when the proposed scheme
is introduced, no mitigation is proposed at this current time. Instead, this junction will be included as
part of the Monitor and Manage Strategy, and the reasons why this junction has been chosen for this
Strategy is explained in Chapter 9 of this report.
7.4 SUMMARY
7.4.1. The results of the junction capacity assessments indicate that the proposed scheme is likely to have
an adverse effect on a number of individual off-site junctions along the surrounding highway network.
As a result, high-level mitigation measures have been designed at the following junctions. These are
detailed and assessed in Chapter 8 of this report. The mitigation schemes are designed for:
J3: A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Roundabout; and
J7: A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Way Roundabout.
7.4.2. In addition to the above, a number of other junctions have also been identified as being adversely
impacted by the proposed scheme, although mitigation measures are not proposed at this current
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time. Instead, a Monitor and Manage Strategy has been proposed at the following junctions which are
discussed in Chapter 9 of this report.
J1: A508 Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street Priority Junction;
J2: A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane Priority Junction; and
J8: New Sandy Lane / Berrywood Road / Roman Road / Sandy Lane Proposed Roundabout.
7.4.3. The junction capacity assessments also revealed that the proposed access junctions are expected to
operate within theoretical capacity in both the 2021 and 2031 Do Something future year scenarios
and are therefore appropriate for future year operation.
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8 MITIGATION MEASURES
8.1 INTRODUCTION
8.1.1. This section puts forward the proposed measures, deemed necessary, that will mitigate the impacts
of the proposed scheme following the Traffic Impact Assessment contained within Chapter 6 and the
junction capacity assessments contained within Chapter 7. This section also details the mitigation
measures provided following further analysis of the modelling results, as well as scoping discussions
with NH’s Development Control Team.
8.1.2. In addition to the mitigation measures identified in this Chapter, a Monitor and Manage Strategy is
proposed at some junctions detailed in Chapter 9 of this report.
8.1.3. It should be noted that all mitigation schemes will be subject to the road safety audit process in
accordance with the DMRB GG 11910.
8.2 MITIGATION SCHEMES (OVERVIEW)
8.2.1. Comparisons of the modelling results for the Do Minimum and the Do Something scenarios and
discussions with officers from NH’s Development Control team highlighted that the following would be
likely to occur which are attributable to the proposed scheme:
Increased volume of vehicle traffic routing through the villages of Moulton and Boughton;
Vehicles would experience significant congestion and delay at A508 Harborough Road / Brampton
Lane / Vyse Road Existing Roundabout, particularly on the Vyse Road and Brampton Lane arms
of the junction (J3); and
Vehicles would experience significant congestion and delay at the A428 Harlestone Road / New
Sandy Lane / York Road Roundabout, particularly on the A428 Harlestone Road and New Sandy
Lane (J7).
8.2.2. In addition to the above, following the submission of the original TA (May 2019), NH requested that
the TAA provided details of a mitigation scheme at the A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge
Drive signalised junction (J4). The reasoning for this is that traffic is likely to access the NWRR via the
A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Drive junction, rather than routing through the villages
of Boughton and Moulton, given the strategic nature of the A508 and A5076 and the fact that measures
are proposed to make the routes through Boughton and Moulton less attractive.
8.2.3. Following the submission of the TAA in September 2019, traffic calming measures are still proposed
in the villages of Moulton and Boughton (see paragraph 8.3.4 below) and therefore a mitigation
scheme is provided at the A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Drive signalised junction to
encourage users to travel through this junction, rather than rat-running through the villages.
10 Design Manual for Roads and Bridges: General Principles and Scheme Governance (GG 119) Road Safety Audit
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8.2.4. Based on the latest NSTM model runs and the individual junction modelling assessment undertaken
in this TA, the measures identified in the original TA (May 2019) and TAA (September2019) are still
appropriate.
8.2.5. In light of the above, the following mitigation measures will be implemented as part of the NWRR
proposals:
Mitigation Scheme 1: Traffic Calming in Boughton and Moulton;
Mitigation Scheme 2: Capacity Improvements at A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse
Road Roundabout (J3);
Mitigation Scheme 3: Capacity Improvements at A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York
Road Roundabout (J7); and
Mitigation Scheme 4: Capacity improvements at the A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge
Drive Signalised Junction (J4).
8.2.6. The mitigation schemes identified above are detailed and assessed in the following sub-sections of
this report.
8.3 MITIGATION SCHEME 1
8.3.1. During pre-application scoping discussions with NH (refer to Appendix J) in support of the TA dated
May 2019, it was understood that although the proposed scheme would result in a significant uplift in
vehicle trips within the villages of Boughton and Moulton, mitigation targeted at individual junctions
along these routes would only provide extra capacity, therefore encouraging their usage and potential
rat-running. Instead, it was agreed that any mitigation proposed would need to discourage vehicles
from routing through Boughton and Moulton in order to reduce the traffic forecasted to route through
these villages.
8.3.2. Following the submission of the original TA (May 2019) and subsequent TAA (September 2019), the
Do Minimum and Do Something traffic flows in Boughton and Moulton have been reviewed to
understand whether the updated NSTM forecasts a significant uplift in traffic in such areas. The results
confirm that traffic flows have been reassigned when the proposed scheme is introduced which would
lead to an increase in traffic in some areas. As a result, it has been determined that mitigation should
still be proposed in the form of traffic calming measures. The SATURN plots which show this uplift in
trips are contained within Appendix J.
8.3.3. Liaison has been undertaken with members of NH’s Road Safety Team and Highways Engineering
Team. The purpose of this has been to understand better the likely impacts of the different potential
traffic calming measures and to understand better the deliverability, feasibility and acceptability of
various measures in the context of the local area. The liaison has led to the following refined selection
of traffic calming measures being proposed as part of the scheme:
Traffic Calming Scheme A: The introduction of a “Give way to oncoming vehicles” pinch point
feature on the section of Vyse Road between Harborough Road and Howard Lane; and
Traffic Calming Scheme B: Enhancing the “Give way to oncoming vehicles” pinch point feature
located outside the entrance of Boughton Primary School.
8.3.4. The above traffic calming measures have been proposed to make the villages less attractive as a
through route. Therefore, to complement the above, capacity improvements will also be provided at
the A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Drive Signalised Junction (see description provided
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in paragraph 8.6.2 below for further details). This is because the junction forms part of the strategic
route that any vehicles discouraged from travelling through the villages may use as an alternative to
access the NWRR.
8.3.5. The primary aim of Mitigation Scheme 1 is to encourage drivers who do not have an origin or
destination in or around Moulton and Boughton to use more appropriate routes to access and egress
the NWRR rather than routing through the villages. The traffic calming measures outlined above will
create new, or enhance existing, pinch-points for vehicles travelling through Boughton and Moulton,
lengthening the journey times which will therefore result in a less attractive route option to access and
egress the NWRR. This would reduce the number of additional vehicles forecast to route through
these villages with the NWRR scheme in place, thereby mitigating a portion of the forecast impact of
the NWRR on Boughton and Moulton.
8.3.6. Figure 8-1 below (drawing NWRR-WSP-51505-001) shows the approximate locations of the
proposed traffic calming measures.
Figure 8-1 – Locations of Traffic Calming Measures proposed in Boughton & Moulton
8.3.7. The sections below describe the forecast impact of the two individual elements of Mitigation Scheme
1.
TRAFFIC CALMING SCHEME A
8.3.8. A “Give way to oncoming vehicles” pinch point feature (see Figure 8-2 below), also known as a Priority
Give way with pinch point, is where the road is narrowed to one lane for a short distance, sometimes
up to 10 metres. Priority signage and road markings are implemented to allow priority to vehicles from
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one direction. By implementing this measure, free-flow of vehicles travelling in one direction can be
restricted by oncoming traffic. This has the impact, particularly at busy times, of slowing traffic and
reducing the convenience of a route.
Figure 8-2 - A “Give way to oncoming vehicles” pinch point feature
8.3.9. Therefore, installing a “Give way to oncoming vehicles” pinch point feature on the section of Vyse
Road between Harborough Road and Howard Lane may serve to discourage vehicles from routing on
this section of this road as it would slow traffic, increase journey times and make it a generally less
convenient route to navigate. This should discourage longer strategic trips (e.g. trips to and from the
NWRR) from routing on these roads resulting in less vehicles using this route which would help
mitigate the increase of vehicle traffic forecast on these roads as a result of the NWRR.
8.3.10. It is proposed that the “Give way to oncoming vehicles” pinch point feature will be located within sight
of the A508 but far enough away to reduce the likelihood of vehicles backing up on to the A508
Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Roundabout.
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TRAFFIC CALMING SCHEME B
8.3.11. There is currently a “Give way to oncoming vehicles” pinch point feature located outside the entrance
of Boughton Primary School where the pavement is built out on both sides of the road so the
carriageway narrows to a single lane width (see Figure 8-3 below). Vehicles travelling eastbound
have priority over those travelling westbound.
Figure 8-3 - The “Give way to oncoming vehicles” pinch point feature located outside the
entrance of Boughton Primary School facing westbound
8.3.12. Enhancing the “Give way to oncoming vehicles” pinch point feature located outside the entrance of
Boughton Primary School by narrowing the carriageway at the restriction as far as practical would
likely discourage drivers from routing through Boughton for longer strategic trips (e.g. trips to and from
the NWRR) as vehicles would be forced to slow down when navigating through it which would disrupt
their journey and lengthen journey time. Consideration could also be given to lengthening the “Give
way to oncoming vehicles” pinch point feature along the road which will lengthen the amount of time
a vehicle takes to travel through the feature, lengthening the time it has to travel at a slower speed
and thus lengthening their journey time and the journey time of any oncoming vehicles waiting to
proceed. This would reinforce the perception that the roads through Boughton are not an appropriate
through route, thereby helping mitigate the increase number of vehicles forecast to route through
Boughton as a result of building the NWRR.
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8.4 MITIGATION SCHEME 2
8.4.1. The results from the junction capacity assessments (refer to Table 7-3) suggest that the A508
Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Roundabout (J3) is forecast to operate over capacity
and experience congestion and delays in both the Do Minimum and Do Something 2031 future year
scenarios. As a result, the following measures have been proposed to mitigate the forecast impact of
the proposed scheme:
The flare length of the entry arm on Brampton Lane has been increased from 4.5 metres to 60.2
metres to allow for a dedicated right-hand lane into Far Barrows;
The entry width of the entry arm on Brampton Lane has been increased from 5.8 metres to 8.0
metres to allow for dedicated left / straight-ahead and right turn lanes;
A short left-turn flare lane has been added to the Vyse Road approach arm by widening the entry
width from 5.2 metres to 9.0 metres; and
The approach road half width of the entry arm on Vyse Road with has been increased from 2.8
metres to 4.0 metres.
8.4.2. Both entry improvements are considered to be the maximum possible within the highway without land
acquisition. Whilst it would appear to be possible to lengthen the proposed flare on the Vyse Road
approach even further along the southern verge, in practice this would result in steep verge crossings
for the existing private driveways along this side of Vyse Road as well as reducing the visibility splays
currently enjoyed by each driveway, which would raise road safety concerns. It is therefore considered
that this scheme is the maximum realistic mitigation scheme that can cost-effectively achieved at this
location.
8.4.3. The mitigated design is shown on Drawing No: NWRR-WSP-HGN-0000-SK-CH-00001 P03,
contained within Appendix K.
8.4.4. The mitigation scheme for the A508 Harborough Lane / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Roundabout has
been modelled in Junctions 9 for the 2021 and 2031 future year scenarios for both peak hours. The
mitigated roundabout has been modelled with a flat traffic profile for each movement, rather than a
synthesised peak (as per the existing junction). This is appropriate in this case, given that the network
is likely to experience increased congestion in 2021 and 2031, thereby flattening traffic profiles across
the network. The results are provided in Table 8-1 below, with the full Junctions 9 output report is
provided in Appendix H.
Table 8-1 - A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Mitigated Roundabout
AM PM
Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC
2021 DS
Arm A – Vyse Road (E) 1.2 9.09 0.54 4.5 22.97 0.82
Arm B – A508 Harborough Road (S) 0.7 3.82 0.41 1.3 5.19 0.56
Arm C – Brampton Lane (W) 2.6 8.67 0.72 2.4 9.34 0.70
Arm D - A508 Harborough Road (N) 3.2 12.80 0.75 1.8 7.56 0.65
2031 DS
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Arm A – Vyse Road (E) 3.6 21.65 0.79 16.5 69.84 0.96
Arm B – A508 Harborough Road (S) 0.9 4.36 0.46 1.7 6.69 0.63
Arm C – Brampton Lane (W) 30.8 80.40 0.98 8.0 26.86 0.89
Arm D - A508 Harborough Road (N) 8.7 36.83 0.90 1.2 6.49 0.55
8.4.5. The results summarised in Table 8-1 above indicate that the mitigation scheme for the A508
Harborough Lane / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Roundabout operates within capacity in the 2021 Do
Something scenario. However, the junction starts to operate over-capacity in the 2031 Do Something
scenario, albeit the mitigated layout remains within theoretical capacity, with RFC values under 1.00.
8.4.6. The mitigated layout performs better overall when compared to the existing layout in the 2031 Do
Minimum scenario, especially on the Vyse Road and Brampton Lane arms. The RFC value on Vyse
Road has reduced from 1.10 in the Do Minimum scenario to 0.96 in the Do Something scenario in the
PM peak hour. Similarly, the RFC value on Brampton Lane has decreased from 1.03 in the Do
Minimum scenario to 0.98 in the Do Something scenario in the AM peak hour. The mitigated layout
therefore provides a betterment to the existing junction in the 2031 future year scenario as the
roundabout is able to operate within theoretical capacity.
8.4.7. Although the mitigated layout provides an overall betterment to the operation of the junction, the A508
Harborough Road (N) arm performs slightly worse when compared to the existing junction in the 2031
Do Minimum scenario. The RFC value on the A508 Harborough Road (N) has increased from 0.57 to
0.90 in the AM peak hour and 0.37 to 0.55 in the PM peak hour. However, given that the mitigated
junction performs better overall than the existing layout, the mitigation scheme should be considered
acceptable.
8.4.8. Overall, the fact that the operation of the junction following the NWRR provides a betterment to the
existing junction, as well as the wider benefits of the scheme along the network and the proposed
mitigation scheme is the maximum cost-effective mitigation which can realistically be achieved, the
proposed mitigation scheme should be considered appropriate for mitigating the impacts of the
proposed NWRR scheme.
8.5 MITIGATION SCHEME 3
8.5.1. The results from the junction capacity assessments (refer to Table 7-9) suggest that the A428
Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Road Roundabout (J7) is forecast to operate over capacity
in both the Do Minimum and Do Something 2031 future year scenarios. As a result, the following
measures have been proposed to mitigate the forecast impact of the proposed scheme:
The left-side flare lane on Harlestone Road South has been lengthened from 16 metres to 50
metres;
The entry width on New Sandy Lane has been slightly increased from 7.2 metres to 8 metres and
the flare length has been increased from 17 metres to 30 metres;
All exit arms of the junction are marked as two lane exits; and
Lane markings provided on the circulatory carriageway of the roundabout.
8.5.2. The mitigated design is shown on Drawing No: NWRR-WSP-HGN-0000-SK-CH-00003 P02,
contained within Appendix K.
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8.5.3. The mitigation scheme for the A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Road Roundabout
has been modelled in Junctions 9 for the 2021 and 2031 future year scenarios for both peak hours.
The mitigated roundabout has been modelled with a flat traffic profile for each movement, rather than
a synthesised peak (as per the existing junction). This is appropriate in this case, given that the
network is likely to experience increased congestion in 2021 and 2031, thereby flattening traffic
profiles across the network.
8.5.4. The results are provided in Table 8-2 below, with the full Junctions 9 output report is provided in
Appendix H.
Table 8-2 - A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Road Mitigated Roundabout
AM PM
Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC Queue (PCU)
Delay (s/PCU)
RFC
2021 DS
Arm A – York Way (E) 2.4 8.27 0.71 3.9 13.07 0.80
Arm B – A428 Harlestone Road (S) 1.1 6.34 0.53 0.6 5.12 0.37
Arm C – New Sandy Lane (W) 1.6 6.97 0.61 1.3 5.47 0.55
Arm D - A428 Harlestone Road (N) 0.9 4.90 0.46 2.1 8.36 0.67
2031 DS
Arm A – York Way (E) 3.7 12.39 0.79 6.2 19.48 0.86
Arm B – A428 Harlestone Road (S) 3.4 13.23 0.77 2.0 10.01 0.67
Arm C – New Sandy Lane (W) 13.6 40.50 0.94 3.6 11.91 0.78
Arm D - A428 Harlestone Road (N) 1.2 6.66 0.53 2.1 9.72 0.67
8.5.5. The results summarised in Table 8-2 above show that the mitigation scheme for the A428 Harlestone
Road / New Sandy Lane / York Road Roundabout operates within capacity in the 2021 future year
scenario during both peak. The junction would operate close to its theoretical capacity with an RFC of
0.94 on the New Sandy Lane arm during the AM peak hour in the 2031 Do Something scenario.
Additionally, the York Way arm just slightly exceeds practical capacity with an RFC of 0.86 in the PM
peak hour in the 2031 Do Something scenario.
8.5.6. However, the mitigated layout of the junction performs much better than if no interventions were
proposed which therefore provides a betterment, albeit a similar level of operation compared to the
2031 Do Minimum Scenario. Similarly to the above, this coupled with the wider benefits as a result of
the NWRR scheme, means that the measures proposed at this junction should be considered
appropriate for mitigating the impact of the proposed scheme.
8.6 MITIGATION SCHEME 4
8.6.1. As explained in paragraph 8.3.4, measures have been proposed at the A508 Harborough Road /
A5076 Holly Lodge signalised junction (J4) to improve capacity and encourage vehicles to use this
junction as oppose to routing through the villages of Boughton and Moulton to access and egress the
NWRR, following traffic calming measures contained within Mitigation Scheme 1.
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8.6.2. The following measures have been proposed to the A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge
signalised junction:
The left turn lane on the A5076 Holly Lodge Drive is lengthened by 50m from 40m to 90m; and
The left turn lane on the A508 Harborough Road North is lengthened by 50m from 70m to 120m.
8.6.3. The above changes are illustrated on Drawing No: NWRR-WSP-HGN-0000-SK-CH-00002, contained
within Appendix K.
8.6.4. The mitigation scheme for the A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Drive signalised junction
has been modelled in LinSig for the 2021 and 2031 future year scenarios for both peak hours. The
junction operates on a single controller and stage stream, with both traffic and pedestrian phases
using MOVA. The LinSig model has been run with a cycle time of 120 seconds for each scenario.
8.6.5. The results are provided in Table 8-3 below, with the full LinSig output report provided in Appendix
H.
Table 8-3 - A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Mitigated Signalised Junction
Arm Lane Description
AM PM
DoS Mean Max
Queue (PCU) DoS
Mean Max Queue (PCU)
2021 DS
1/2+1/1 Holy Lodge Drive Left Right
54.9% 10.1 74.4% 16.9
2/1 Harborough Road S Ahead
50.8% 9.8 74.4% 18.3
2/2 Harborough Road S Right
43.1% 4.6 27.7% 3.1
3/1 Harborough Road N Left
50.4% 8.4 46.9% 7.4
3/2 Harborough Road N Ahead
53.7% 10.2 42.0% 8.0
PRC (Over All Lanes) 63.9% 21.0%
2031 DS
1/2+1/1 Holy Lodge Drive Left Right
60.5% 11.6 76.2% 17.4
2/1 Harborough Road S Ahead
44.5% 7.6 77.4% 20.1
2/2 Harborough Road S Right
59.5% 6.1 38.7% 5.1
3/1 Harborough Road N Left
60.5% 11.6 57.8% 10.8
3/2 Harborough Road N Ahead
59.7% 10.0 30.3% 5.5
PRC (Over All Lanes) 48.8% 16.3%
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8.6.6. As can be seen above, the results show that the updated junction works within capacity during both
future year scenarios in both peak hours. Table 8-4 below compares the PRC results from Table 8-3
above with the results presented in Table 7-4 for the existing junction layout with the same traffic
flows.
Table 8-4 - Comparison of PRC Values in Existing & Mitigated Layout
Scenario Existing Layout Mitigated Layout
2021 AM Peak 26.4% 63.9%
2021 PM Peak 11.3% 21.0%
2031 AM Peak 20.3% 48.8%
2031 PM Peak 4.4% 16.3%
8.6.7. As shown in Table 8-4 above, the mitigation scheme proposed provides a betterment to the existing
junction in all scenarios during both peak hours as the PRC values are much higher in the proposed
mitigated layout than the existing. This betterment will serve to accommodate any diverted traffic due
to the implementation of the traffic calming measures included as part of Mitigation Scheme 1 (traffic
calming through Boughton and Moulton).
8.7 SUMMARY
8.7.1. This Chapter has provided details on the off-site mitigation measures proposed as part of the scheme
and includes the results of junction capacity assessments where relevant. The proposed mitigation
measures, the locations of and necessity for which has been agreed with NH’s Development Control
team, are listed below:
Mitigation Scheme 1: Traffic calming improvements in the villages of Moulton and Boughton;
Mitigation Scheme 2: Capacity mitigation improvements at the A508 Harborough Road /
Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Existing Roundabout (J3);
Mitigation Scheme 3: Capacity mitigation improvements at the A428 Harlestone Road / New
Sandy Lane / York Road Roundabout (J7); and
Mitigation Scheme 4: To help accommodate potential traffic flow diversions associated with
Mitigation Scheme 1, capacity improvements at the A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge
Drive Signalised Junction (J4).
8.7.2. Following discussion with Northamptonshire Highways’ Road Safety Team and Highways Engineering
team, it is proposed that Mitigation Scheme 1 will consist of the introduction of a priority give-way
pinch-point feature on Vyse Road and the enhancement of an existing priority give-way pinch-point
feature near Boughton primary School. It is considered that these features will make the villages less
attractive as a through route for vehicles seeking to travel to and from the proposed NWRR.
8.7.3. Mitigation Scheme 2, at the A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Roundabout,
consists of flare length, approach road half width and entry width improvements to the Brampton Lane
and Vyse Road arms. The level of improvement proposed is the maximum which can be realistically
and cost effectively achieved within highway land. The modelling results of the proposed mitigation
scheme suggest that in 2031, the junction will operate within theoretical capacity which is a betterment
compared to the existing Do Minimum scenario. As such, it is considered that the mitigation scheme
is acceptable for mitigating the impacts of the proposed scheme.
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8.7.4. Mitigation Scheme 3, at the A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Road Roundabout,
consists of flare improvements on Harlestone Road south and New Sandy Lane, as well as lining
amendments to the circulatory carriageways and exits. The modelling results suggest that in the 2031
Do Something scenario, the mitigated junction operates close to theoretical capacity on the New
Sandy Lane arm and exceeds practical capacity on the York Way arm. This level of operation can be
considered acceptable as the mitigation layout performs much better than if no interventions were
proposed and a similar level of operation to the Do Minimum scenario, as well as the significant wider
benefits that the proposed NWRR will bring.
8.7.5. Proposed Mitigation Scheme 4, at the A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge Drive Signalised
Junction, consists of lengthened left turn lanes on the Holly Lodge Drive and A508 Harborough Road
North approaches to the junction. The modelling results indicate that the scheme would increase the
available spare capacity at the junction, thereby making capacity available for a level of traffic which
could be diverted through the junction as a result of Mitigation Scheme 1.
8.7.6. It is concluded that the proposed package of mitigation schemes, when considered alongside the
wider benefits of the scheme, will mitigate the impact of the NWRR such that the traffic impact should
not be judged severe in terms of NPPF.
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9 MONITOR & MANAGE STRATEGY
9.1 INTRODUCTION
9.1.1. Following the results of the junction capacity assessments undertaken in Chapter 7, this section of
the report introduces the Monitor and Manage Strategy which is proposed at several junctions which
were identified as being adversely impacted by the proposed scheme and were not mitigated in the
previous chapter.
9.1.2. This Monitor and Manage Strategy is proposed to avoid short-term improvement schemes which may
have limited longevity due to various unknown variables which can make any such schemes abortive.
These junctions which are adversely impacted by the proposed scheme are influenced by factors such
as the phasing of committed development traffic, committed schemes or additional infrastructure,
which could influence how traffic is distributed over time. Therefore, the performance of these junctions
will be observed by NCC once the proposed scheme is operational, with traffic counts being
undertaken annually to understand the impact of the reassignment of traffic prior to delivering any
mitigation scheme.
9.1.3. The Monitor and Manage Strategy is proposed at the following junctions:
A508 Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street Priority Junction;
A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane Priority Junction; and
New Sandy Lane / Berrywood Road / Roman Road / Sandy Lane Proposed Roundabout.
9.1.4. The details of the schemes that could be delivered as part of the Monitor and Manage Strategy are
explained in more detail below.
9.2 PROPOSED MONITOR & MANAGE STRATEGY
9.2.1. As demonstrated in Chapter 7, comparisons of the modelling results for the Do Minimum and the Do
Something scenarios has highlighted the following potential issues would likely occur and be
attributable to the proposed scheme being built:
J1: Vehicles would experience significant congestion and delay at the A508 Harborough Road /
Pitsford High Street Priority Junction, particularly on the A508 Harborough Road South as there is
no stacking capacity for vehicles to turn right;
J2: Vehicles would experience significant congestion and delay at the A508 Harborough Road /
Brampton Lane Priority Junction, particularly on the A508 Harborough Road North as there is no
stacking capacity for vehicles to turn right; and
J8: Vehicles would experience significant congestion and delay at the Roman Road / New Sandy
Lane / Berrywood Road / Sandy Lane Proposed Roundabout, particularly on the Berrywood Road
and New Sandy Lane arms of the junction
9.2.2. In light of the above, potential mitigation options have been investigated in the event that mitigation
would be required for the above junctions. Indicative layouts for potential mitigation schemes have
been produced to highlight measures which could be implemented if mitigation were to be required
following the monitor and manage approach.
9.2.3. The following sub-sections details the potential mitigation schemes designed to address the capacity
issues experienced as a result of the proposed scheme at the junctions identified above.
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9.3 J1: A508 HARBOROUGH ROAD / PITSFORD HIGH STREET PRIORITY
JUNCTION
9.3.1. The results from the junction capacity assessments (refer to Table 7-1) suggest that the A508
Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street priority junction is forecast to operate over capacity and
experience congestion and delays in both the 2031 Do Something future year scenario. This is likely
due to queueing as there is no stacking capacity for vehicles to turn right, therefore one PCU can
block the junction, resulting in queues on the major arm.
9.3.2. Mitigation is not proposed at this current time because it is considered that delivering an improvement
scheme at this location will increase capacity, thereby allowing more traffic to travel through the
junction, encouraging more traffic through the villages of Boughton and Moulton. Additionally, the
future year traffic flows are dependent on committed developments and highway infrastructure coming
forward in the area which will also have an influence on future travel patterns. For instance, the NWRR
will form part of a longer-term strategy to deliver a route from the A4500 near the M1 Junction 16 and
the A43 north of Northampton, creating the Northampton Northern Orbital Route (NNOR), illustrated
in Figure 5-1 (above). The introduction of the NNOR would have further impact on the traffic flows
identified at this junction which could render any short-term improvements abortive. In light of this, it
has been determined that a Monitor and Manage Strategy is better suited at this location.
9.3.3. Despite the above, a potential mitigation option has been investigated in the event that mitigation
would be required. An indicative layout of a potential mitigation scheme is shown in Drawing NWRR-
WSP-HGN-0000-SK-CH-00006 P01, contained within Appendix K. The indicative layout shows the
addition of a right turn lane with the storage capacity of more than 2 PCUs on the A508 Harborough
Road which can be delivered within the extent of the Highway Boundary.
9.3.4. However, the junction operation should be observed once the scheme is opened to traffic, with traffic
counts undertaken annually to understand the impact of the reassignment of traffic prior to delivering
any mitigation scheme.
9.4 J2: A508 HARBOROUGH ROAD / BRAMPTON LANE PRIORITY
JUNCTION
9.4.1. The results from the junction capacity assessments (refer to Table 7-2) suggest that the junction
performs worse in the 2031 Do Something scenario when the proposed scheme is introduced. This is
likely due to queueing as there is no stacking capacity for vehicles to turn right, therefore one PCU
can block the junction, resulting in queues on the major arm.
9.4.2. As explained above, mitigation is not proposed at this current time because doing so would likely
increase capacity and encouraging more trips through the villages of Boughton and Moulton.
Additionally, the future year traffic flows are dependent on committed developments and highway
infrastructure (i.e. NNOR) coming forward in the area which will have an influence on future travel
patterns. It has therefore been determined that a Monitor and Manage Strategy is better suited at this
location.
9.4.3. A potential mitigation option has been investigated in the event that mitigation would be required. An
indicative layout of a potential mitigation scheme is shown in Drawing NWRR-WSP-HGN-0000-SK-
CH-00006 P01, contained within Appendix K. The indicative layout shows the addition of a right turn
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lane with the storage capacity of more than 2 PCUs on the A508 Harborough Road which can be
delivered within the extent of the Highway Boundary.
9.4.4. However, the junction operation should be observed once the scheme is opened to traffic, with traffic
counts undertaken annually to understand the impact of the reassignment of traffic prior to delivering
any mitigation scheme.
9.5 J8: ROMAN ROAD / NEW SANDY LANE / BERRYWOOD ROAD / SANDY
LANE PROPOSED ROUNDABOUT
9.5.1. The results from the junction capacity assessments (refer to Table 7-10) suggest that the junction
performs worse in the 2031 Do Something scenario when the proposed scheme is introduced,
although no mitigation is currently proposed.
9.5.2. Mitigation measures are not proposed at this current time because it is understood that there are two
Sustainable Urban Extensions (SUE) in the vicinity of the proposed roundabout. These include the
Norwood Farm development (who are implementing the planned improvement scheme) and
Northampton West. The planned improvement scheme accommodates the development traffic from
both SUEs. It should be noted that both these developments will have a larger traffic impact than the
proposed scheme considering their proximity to the junction. Therefore, proposing a condition to
deliver a mitigation scheme on top of the already identified planned improvement prior to the opening
of the NWRR is not justified at this stage.
9.5.3. In addition to the above, the travel patterns and phasing of these developments will have an impact
on the operation of the junction. However, this cannot be determined until both schemes are built out
and operational. The future year traffic flows used in the junction capacity assessments have been
derived from the NSTM which assumes that both developments will be built to capacity by 2021. In
reality, this is unlikely to be the case and therefore it is suggested that this junction be included in the
Monitor and Manage Strategy prior to implementing any design changes.
9.5.4. Despite the above, a potential mitigation option has been investigated in the event that mitigation
would be required. The measures which can be delivered within the extent of the Highway Boundary
include:
Increasing the flare length on the entry arm of Berrywood Road East to 25m; and
Increasing the entry width on the entry arm of Sandy Lane to 10m to allow for dedicated left /
straight-ahead and right turn lanes, as well as increasing the flare length to 30m.
9.5.5. An indicative layout of a potential mitigation scheme is shown in Drawing NWRR-WSP-HGN-0000-
SK-CH-00007 P01, contained within Appendix K.
9.5.6. However, the junction operation should be observed once the scheme is opened to traffic, with traffic
counts undertaken annually to understand the impact of the reassignment of traffic prior to delivering
any mitigation scheme.
9.6 SUMMARY
9.6.1. This chapter provides details of the Monitor and Manage Strategy to be applied for the three junctions
assessed in the TA. Indicative layouts of the proposed scheme are also provided. However, it is
suggested that the junctions should be monitored once the scheme is operational, with traffic counts
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undertaken annually to understand the operation of reassigned traffic prior to implementing any
mitigation schemes.
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10 SUMMARY & CONCLUSIONS
10.1.1. This Transport Assessment (TA) has been prepared to support a planning application for a new relief
road proposed to the north-west of Northampton called the North-West Relief Road (NWRR). The
road proposed is of single carriageway standard, with the capacity to be upgraded to dual carriageway
in the future. It will join to the existing road network at the A5199 Northampton Road via a roundabout
to the north and at the A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane / York Way Roundabout to the south.
The northern section of the NWRR (approximately 1.61 km in length) is being delivered by NCC and
is the section of road that is the subject of this TA.
10.1.2. Chapter 3 demonstrates that the proposed scheme is supported by and adheres to both national and
local transport related policy and guidance.
10.1.3. Chapter 4 demonstrates that the proposed scheme caters for Non-Motorised Users (NMUs), including
pedestrians, cyclists and horse-riders, by incorporating a range of suitable NMU facilities within the
design of the proposed scheme. The chapter also outlined the conditions on Northampton’s Roads as
reported in the Northamptonshire Strategic Transport Model (NSTM); in turn validated and calibrated
against observed traffic flows in 2015.This highlighted several corridors and locations in the study area
where existing traffic volumes were leading to congestion and delay. These included:
A43 Lumbertubs Way;
A5076 Red House Road;
A428 Harlestone Road;
A4500 Weedon Road; Harlestone Road (The Bramptons); and
Mill Lane;
10.1.4. Chapter 5 detailed the different aspects of the proposed scheme, as well as the context as to why the
scheme is needed in relation to the Dallington Grange development. This chapter also described the
two access junctions proposed, as well as the NMUs facilities proposed within the design of the
scheme.
10.1.5. Chapter 6 assessed the impact of the proposed scheme on the operation of the local highway
network, as well as detailing the scheme’s wider benefits. Analysis of the NSTM indicated that the
proposed scheme provides benefits to Northampton’s road users and residents. It will relieve traffic
issues already present in the 2015 base year on road corridors used for east-west trips in
Northampton. The proposed scheme will also provide benefit along the minor roads that weren’t
designed for heavy traffic volumes, or those utilised as alternative ‘rat-run’ routes to avoid congested
corridors into Northampton. These benefits are spread across the town and key areas include:
A43 Lumbertubs Way;
A5076 Red House Road;
A428 Harlestone Road;
A4500 Weedon Road;
A508 Harborough Road;
Harlestone Road (The Bramptons) and
Mill Lane.
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10.1.6. The proposed scheme will also provide additional infrastructure capacity to support movements
generated by forecast development and growth in the region. The key locations and corridors which
showed a reduced 2031 traffic volume as a result of the NWRR included:
Harlestone Road West of the New Sandy Lane Roundabout;
A508 Kingsthorpe Road / Harborough Road;
A45 Nene Valley Way and A5076 Mere Way;
Brampton Lane (between Lower Harlestone and Pitsford);
Harlestone Road (through the Bramptons); and
Eastern Avenue.
10.1.7. Additionally, analysis of the wider benefits of the NWRR include:
A reduction in traffic flows on a number of significant links and junctions in Northampton when
compared to the Do Minimum case;
A very strong business case with a high Benefit/Cost Ratio (BCR) which demonstrates that the
savings, predominantly to travel time, outweigh the cost of delivering the scheme by 7 times, a very
high return for a transport scheme;
Additional capacity on the transport network to support housing growth targets; and
Additional resilience to the Northampton highway network when disruption arises from time to time,
such as planned roadworks, accidents or other foreseen and unforeseen events.
10.1.8. Chapter 7 compared the modelling results for the Do Minimum and the Do Something scenarios at
individual junctions. The results of the junction capacity assessments identified that the following
capacity issues would likely occur and be attributable to the proposed scheme:
Increased volume of vehicle traffic routing through the villages of Moulton and Boughton;
J1: Vehicles would experience significant congestion and delay at the A508 Harborough Road /
Pitsford High Street Priority Junction, particularly on the A508 Harborough Road South as there is
no stacking capacity for vehicles to turn right;
J2: Vehicles would experience significant congestion and delay at the A508 Harborough Road /
Brampton Lane Priority Junction, particularly on the A508 Harborough Road North as there is no
stacking capacity for vehicles to turn right;
J3: Vehicles would experience significant congestion and delay at the A508 Harborough Road /
Brampton Lane / Vyse Road Existing Roundabout, particularly on the Vyse Road and Brampton
Lane arms of the junction;
J7: Vehicles would experience significant congestion and delay at the A428 Harlestone Road /
New Sandy Lane / York Road Roundabout; and
J8: Vehicles would experience significant congestion and delay at the Roman Road / New Sandy
Lane / Berrywood Road / Sandy Lane Proposed Roundabout, particularly on the Berrywood Road
and New Sandy Lane arms of the junction.
10.1.9. Chapter 8 identified that the following mitigation measures would be required to mitigate the forecast
traffic impact of the proposed scheme:
Mitigation Scheme 1: Traffic Calming in Boughton and Moulton;
Mitigation Scheme 2: Capacity improvements at A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane /
Vyse Road Roundabout (J3);
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Mitigation Scheme 3: Capacity improvements at A428 Harlestone Road / New Sandy Lane /
York Road Roundabout (J7); and
Mitigation Scheme 4: To help accommodate potential traffic flow diversions associated with
Mitigation Scheme 1, capacity improvements at the A508 Harborough Road / A5076 Holly Lodge
Drive Signalised Junction (J4).
10.1.10. Chapter 9 addressed the remaining junctions which were identified as being adversely impacted by
the proposed scheme and have been included in the Monitor and Manage Strategy. Indicative layouts
for potential mitigation schemes have been produced to highlight measures which could be
implemented if mitigation were to be required following the monitor and manage approach. The
junctions included in the Monitor and Manage Strategy are:
J1: A508 Harborough Road / Pitsford High Street Priority Junction;
J2: A508 Harborough Road / Brampton Lane Priority Junction; and
J8: New Sandy Lane / Berrywood Road / Roman Road / Sandy Lane Proposed Roundabout.
10.1.11. Monitoring of traffic flows at these junctions are suggested after the scheme is operational, with traffic
counts undertaken annually (by NCC) to understand the impacts of any reassignment of traffic prior
to the delivery of any mitigation measures at these locations.
10.1.12. Overall, this Transport Assessment has shown that the proposed scheme provides a benefit to road
users across Northampton and the surrounding network. The proposed scheme is expected to relieve
existing traffic congestion at certain locations in Northampton, as well as provide additional
infrastructure capacity to support movements generated by forecast development and growth within
the region. However, where the NWRR is forecast to have some negative traffic impacts, the following
should be considered when assessing the proposed scheme:
Any negative impacts caused as a result of the proposed scheme should be considered in the
context of the wider traffic benefits across the network as a whole;
The proposed scheme will create a balanced network of vehicles using existing and the new
infrastructures proposed which will have a positive impact overall; and
Any negative impacts caused as a result of the proposed scheme can be mitigated where
appropriate or included in the Monitor and Manage Strategy.
10.1.13. Taking account of the above, this Transport Assessment has shown that the proposed scheme
provides an overall net benefit to the highway network and any negative localised impacts caused as
a result of the scheme can be satisfactorily mitigated. As such, this Transport Assessment concludes
that the proposed scheme is acceptable in terms of highways and transport impact.