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Volume 30, Issue 12 November 10-16, 2015 CARDINALS-SEAHAWKS IN NFC WEST SHOWDOWN! College Revenge Game Of The Year Goes Saturday! Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping Article Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends Incredible Stat of the Week Analysis on Every Lined Game Best Bets and Key Plays Full Schedule with Opening Lines 83% AWESOME ANGLE INSIDE! www.PLAYBOOK.com 1 . 8 0 0 . P L A Y B O O K GET EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLE GET SMART GET PLAYBOOK COPYRIGHT NOTICE - All materials in this newsletter are protected by United States copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, rebroadcast, displayed, or otherwise published without the prior written permission of Playbook.com. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice, nor may you offer for sale or resale the material included herein.

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Page 1: November 10-16, 2015 College Revenge Game Of The · PDF filevisit Tennessee and the New York Giants, respectively, this Sunday. ... Revenge Game Of The Year – all the way thru November

Volume 30, Issue 12 November 10-16, 2015

CARDINALS-SEAHAWKS INNFC WEST SHOWDOWN!

College Revenge Game Of The Year Goes Saturday!

• ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping Article

• Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends

• Incredible Stat of the Week

• Analysis on Every Lined Game

• Best Bets and Key Plays

• Full Schedule with Opening Lines

83% AWESOME ANGLE INSIDE!

w w w . P L A Y B O O K . c o m 1 . 8 0 0 . P L A Y B O O K

GET EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLEGET SMART GET PLAYBOOKCOPYRIGHT NOTICE - All materials in this newsletter are protected by United States copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, rebroadcast, displayed, or otherwise published

without the prior written permission of Playbook.com. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice, nor may you offer for sale or resale the material included herein.

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page 2 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK

View Marc's Awesome Angle Of The Week at the PLAYBOOK.com website!

ATS W-L Record Since 1980:

20-4(83%)

FORTY TIMES 3PLAY ON any college football

home underdog if they have scored 40 or more points in

each of their last three games.

AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK

T R I V I A T E A S E R

This coach plays with a chip on his shoulder as an underdog against teams he lost to in the previous meeting, going 24-9-1 ATS

in his career, includng 10-0 ATS from Game Ten out. Who is this week’s chip monster?

For the Trivia Teaser answer, turn to page 4.

THIS WEEK'S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY

Be sure to check out the COACHES LEAGUE for ATS records on every College & NFL coach in 16 key situational roles. Simply log on to www.PLAYBOOK.com and click on the COACHES LEAGUE.

T R I V I A T E A S E R

Play ON: TROY TROJANS

Marc Lawrence's

BETCHADIDN'TKNOW

PLAY AGAINST any NFL non-division road favorite off

three straight home games

“ I couldn’t bear to wait an extra minute if you dawdled

My darling be home soon.It’s not just these few hours

but I’ve been waiting since I toddledFor the great relief

of having you to talk to.”

Let’s face it. Like the American Express card, living the good life at home has its rewards. There’s

the comfort of your own bed. Knowing where your favorite remote control is at all times. Lounging in the recliner. The home-cooked meals. As Dorothy said to Toto, “There’s no place like home.”

Athletes agree, too. Playing games at home as opposed to being on the road almost always fi nds a rise in performance levels. No argument here, with NFL home teams – heading into last weekend – going 828-606-3 straight-up this decade. That represents a respectable 57.8% winning edge for home teams.

The problem we have as players in backing home teams is – like prisoners in state or federal institution, they may have the benefi t of calling a jail cell home but it doesn’t get them the money. The same bunch of teams that wins nearly 58% of it’s games on the scoreboard has managed to win the money only 49.7% of the time against the line. And because the warden (read: bookmaker) charges 10% juice for the privilege of making a

play, it just doesn’t pay to back home favorites on the blind.

That’s especially true in non-division games, where single-digit home chalk has broken many a back, going 107-129-3 ATS against losing teams since 2010. And when hosting a sub .500 opponent, these teams shrink up like a hemorrhoid lathered with Preparation H when playing off back-to-back losses, going 16-31-1 ATS.

But that’s a case for another study, as our intention today is to look at how NFL teams fare in road games before returning to the comfy confi nes of home.

More specifi cally, we’re looking to put these teams in their most uncomfortable role after camping out a home for an extended period of time, namely three games in a row at home. That’s because teams in this role are 116-149-2 SU and 125-138-4 ATS in all games since 1980.

Better yet, if we were to –

we would have a dynamite winning angle, considering these teams are just 15-34-1 ATS when hitting the highway after a month of home cooking.

Worse, dress these same guys up as non-division road favorites of more than 3 points off three straight home games and

they disappear quicker than a Bill Clinton cigar on an intern, going 3-19 ATS. Last year Pittsburgh traveled to New York to take on the Jets as 4-point chalk in this role, only to return home a 20-13 loser.

The Carolina Panthers and New England Patriots will try to avoid the home-blues when they pack their bags to visit Tennessee and the New York Giants, respectively, this Sunday.

It’s no surprise in learning that John Sebastian and the Lovin’ Spoonful were also football fans. It suddenly puts a whole new spin on their classic tune above, titled above, doesn’t it?

Do it now: Make plans now to join me for our 10★ NOVEMBER TO REMEMBER Late Phone Service at the special cost of only $299. It includes every one of my red-hot award-winning Late Phone Executive Service plays, including our 10★ College Football Game of the Year and 5★ College Football Game of the Month – plus the College Football Revenge Game Of The Year – all the way thru November 30th. And remember, our 10★ November To Remember went 19-7-1 last year for a net profi t of $3,410!

Sign up online at PLAYBOOK.COM or call toll-free for fast, friendly customer service (all major credit cards accepted) at 1.800.321.7777. You’ll be glad you did!

DARLIN’ BE HOME SOONA Weekly Insight Into The Art Of Sports Handicapping

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Navy is 1-17 ATS at home in games off a SU underdog win, including 0-14 ATS

the last fourteen.Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!

INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK

Thursday, November 12Buffalo 2-15 A aft Miami… 1-6 1st of 3 A vs .500 > opp NY JETS 5-1 Thursday off non-div… 15-3 in 2nd BB H (8-1 w/ rev)

Sunday, November 15Detroit 6-1 w/ rest off SU loss vs .500 > opp… 0-4 bef AFC GREEN BAY SERIES: 6-2 L8 / 4-0 L4H… 17-2 off BB A

Dallas 5-0 A off div vs opp off non-div… 6-2 in 1st BB ATAMPA BAY SERIES: 1-4 L5… 1-7 in 2nd BB H w/ rev vs non-div

Carolina 5-1 .500 > w/ triple rev… 0-4 off 3H & non-div gameTENNESSEE SERIES: 3-1 L4… 5-0 < .500 in 2nd BB NFC vs opp w/ rev

Chicago 5-1 A in AFC sandwich… 3-14 off AFC opp ST. LOUIS SERIES: 2-5 L7 / 1-3 L4H… 0-4 .500 > H btwn 2A

New Orleans 5-0 in AFC sandwich… 5-1 A off BB H vs non-div oppWASHINGTON SERIES: 4-0 L4… 0-4 vs NFC South… 1-7 Home Five favs

MIAMI 11-2 A w/ rev off BB div games… 0-6 in 3rd of 3APHILADELPHIA 0-7 off div vs opp off div… 1-5 favs aft Dallas

Cleveland 9-1 in 2nd BB A off div game… 10-2 A aft Cincinnati PITTSBURGH 1-11 vs < .250 opp… 2-11 off non-div bef rest

Jacksonville 7-0 Away Five… 0-4 off BB ATS wins vs non-div oppBALTIMORE SERIES: 1-3 L4 / 3-1 L4H… 9-0 w/ rest vs non-div opp

Minnesota 6-0 in 2nd BB non-div games… 1-4 off 4 SU wins OAKLAND 4-0 H off A vs non-div opp off H… 4-1 H btwn 2A

Kansas City 5-1 Game Nine off DD SU win… 4-1 off DD SU win DENVER SERIES: 5-1 L6… 1-7 H btwn 2A vs opp off DD SU win

New England 5-1 bef Buffalo vs .500 > opp… 8-2 RF’s vs .500 > NFCNY GIANTS SERIES: 6-1 L7 / 3-0 L3H… 1-6 HD’s or pick

Arizona 7-1 w/ rest vs div opp… 1-7 off SU win in AFC sandwichSEATTLE SERIES: 4-1 L5 / 4-1 L5H… 7-1 in 1st BB div games

Monday, November 16Houston 0-7 MNF… 1-5 dogs w/ rest… 2-10 A off div btwn 2H CINCINNATI SERIES: 1-6 L7 / 1-3 L4H… 5-1 in 2nd BB H off SUATS win

Saturday, November 14Memphis 4-1 as conf RD’s 7 < pts… 7-3 w/ conf revengeHOUSTON SERIES: 4-0 L4… 7-2 vs conf revenge… 2-5 Game Ten

Ohio St SERIES: 5-2 L7… 4-1 aft Minn… 1-4 away vs conf revengeILLINOIS 5-1 aft Purdue… 5-1 bef Minn… 7-3 home off BB RG

Clemson 6-2 Game Ten… 0-5 as RF’s 18 > pts… 2-5 bef Wake ForestSYRACUSE SERIES: Host 2-0… 4-1 as HD’s 14 > pts… 1-3 Game Ten

Wash St SERIES: 3-0 L3… 5-0 Game Ten… 8-2 L10 as DD RD’sUCLA 0-4 as DD conf HF’s… 0-3 Last Road Game… 1-3 aft OSU

Alabama 1-5 vs conf bef non-conf gm… 2-6 away vs conf revengeMISS ST 4-0 L4 as conf HD’s… 3-1 Game Ten… 2-5 bef Arkansas

Miami Fla SERIES: 4-1 L5… 3-0 bef Ga Tech… 7-1 as conf RD’s 6 > ptsN CAROLINA SERIES: 4-1 L5 H… 5-2 aft Duke… 0-3 Last Home Game

Arkansas SERIES: 7-1 L8… 0-4 aft Ole Miss… 1-3 Last Road GameLSU 4-1 bef Miss… 6-2 as conf HF’s 14 < pts… 2-5 Game Ten

Oklahoma SERIES: 7-3 L10 away… 3-0 away w/ conf revengeBAYLOR SERIES: 5-1 L6… 4-0 aft Kansas St… 6-1 Game Nine

Oregon SERIES: Dog 5-2… 8-0 bef Usc… 6-0 away vs conf revengeSTANFORD 7-3 as conf HF’s 14 < pts… 1-4 Game Ten… 1-4 bef Cal

Minnesota 5-0 Game Ten… 4-0 aft Ohio St… 7-1-1 Last Road GameIOWA SERIES: Host 4-1-1… 7-2 w/ conf revenge… 0-5 aft Indiana

College Football Games

2-MINUTE HANDICAP ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog

F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up

FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

All results are ATS – Against The Spread – and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains the exclusive private property of PLAYBOOK™ and PLAYBOOK.COM™ and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

NFL Games

SMARTBOXAS THE NOOSE TIGHTENS

November is, unquestionably, the best time of the season for sports fans. The NFL enters its second-half race, College Football concludes with teams scurrying for bowl bids, and the NBA and College Basketball tip off new campaigns. It’s also a great time for handicappers as value aplenty abounds.

Some of the best value occurs when we focus on beating undefeated teams at this stage of the season. That’s because the deeper these teams get into the year, the more pressure there is on them to remain unbeaten. As a result, the noose certainly gets tighter and tighter each week, especially when these perfect teams take to the road.

This is confi rmed by the fact that, since 1980, undefeated College Football teams playing on the regular season road from Game Ten out are 106-38-1 SU and 61-74-2 ATS.

Worse, when they’re installed as conference favorites off a double-digit win, they fall to 30-45-1 ATS.

A warning signal has been sounded for Clemson, Ohio State and Oklahoma State this week.

And if we bring these choke artists in off a pair of SUATS wins, the last at home, and put them up against avenging opponents, their necks snap like they’re swinging from the gallows, as they’re just 2-16 ATS.

The Cowboys and Tigers look to meet their fi nancial maker this week. Gentlemen, step forward…

WEEK TEN BYES: ATLANTA, INDIANAPOLIS, SAN DIEGO, SAN FRANCISCO

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Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK BEST BET Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 6 Or More Points In Favor Of Your Line

Duck Squadron Strafes The Farm, Brings Down The Tree...Chiefs Give Peyton And Broncos A Mile-High Beating...

THIS WEEK IN FOOTBALL - NOVEMBER 10-16

Tuesday, November 10C MICHIGAN over Toledo by 1

Despite the hype, the previously unbeaten and nationally ranked Rockets did not get rave reviews in last Tuesday’s ‘How the MAC West Was Won’ opener, losing to Northern Illinois, 32-27. However, this four-part mini-series – which concludes the Saturday after Thanksgiving – still fi nds Toledo making more than a cameo the rest of the way as Matt Campbell’s crew is still very much in contention for division honors. For that to happen, though, they must take care of business in this Week Eleven lid-lifter against a Central Michigan squad that is also alive in the MAC West – and one that is 4-0 ATS in weekday play of late, 6-1-1 ATS in Game Ten of the season and, most importantly, playing with confi dence. “The best thing is that we’re relevant and we’re going into November,” fi rst-year head coach John Bonamego stated. The second best thing is they catch a Toledo team in the dreaded ‘Bubble Burst’ role as the Rockets’ perfect season and Top 25 ranking went up in smoke in the aforementioned loss to NIU. And that should make for a (Mt.) Pleasant evening tonight in Chippewa country. Grab the home dogs.

OHIO U over Kent St by 3 Two MAC teams that don’t have title aspirations and have been ordering off the dollar menu lately are Ohio U and Kent State. The Bobcats have dropped three straight following a promising 5-1 start and are in jeopardy of missing the alleys for a second consecutive season. Meanwhile, the 3-6 Golden Flashes will almost certainly be home for the holidays for a third year in a row following last Thursday’s 18-17 heartbreaker against Buffalo. Series history sides with the Flashes as they are 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS over the last six in this matchup but our MIDWEEK ALERT does not as Kent has been outgained by 148 YPG in MAC play this season. They’re also just 3-13 SU on the road since 2013. Then why are we leaning towards grabbing the points with a team that arrives on just four days rest (played last Thursday)? Well, our other option is backing a bunch of Bobcats that have allowed 152 points in their last three outings and are 4-7 SU and 2-7-2 ATS on Tuesdays, including 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS at home. Thus, the lesser of two evils has us on the take tonight in Athens.

Wednesday, November 11Bowling Green over W MICHIGAN by 1

A possible preview of the MAC title game fi nds the East-leading Falcons soaring into Kalamazoo. The Bee Gees have all but sewn up the division thanks to a six-game winning streak that has seen them light up the scoreboard for 294 points (49 PPG) over that span. However, QB Matt Johnson (1,602 yards/19 TD’s/1 INT last four) and company may not be doing much ‘Jive Talkin’ when this one is said and done as P.J. Fleck’s Broncos are riding a fi ve-game win skein of their own, holding three foes to 14 or less points. And don’t forget, the last time that the Falcons won a game in this series (0-4 SUATS), Martha Stewart was doing her gardening in a federal prison (2004). However with WMU a lousy 5-17-2 ATS as home dogs (though 2-0 ATS under Fleck) since 2002, our love for this game is not that deep. But with the game seemingly more meaningful to the defensive-minded hosts, we say take it or leave it tonight in Waldo Stadium.

Northern Illinois over BUFFALO by 10 Toledo found out the hard way last Tuesday night why the MAC goes through DeKalb as the Huskies kept alive their hopes for a sixth straight MAC West crown with a thrilling, come-from-behind win over the Rockets in the Glass Bowl. And with a 21-2 SU and 18-4-1 ATS record in their last 23 conference roadies – including 12-0 SU and 11-0-1 ATS versus a foe off a SU win – and a 7-0 SU log in this series since 2000, tonight’s SU result appears to be much more than half full. So does the ATS number as the Bulls have only covered two of those contests despite taking double-digits in ALL seven meetings. Yes, we realize the home dogs arrive on a season-saving three-game win skein but we’re not about to take less than a touchdown against a Huskies litter that is 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS as pick or single-digit favorites under third-year HC Rod Cary. Nope, the Bulls’ all-important sixth win will have to wait at least another week as the sled dogs deliver the goods tonight in UB Stadium.

Thursday, November 12

COLLEGE FOOTBALLREVENGE

GAME OF THE YEAR!

MARC LAWRENCE'S

Goes Saturday, November 14thDocumented 13-2 Since 1999!

Last Year’s WINNER:Ohio State (+4) 49, Michigan State 37

$50 Pay After You Win • $30 Prepaid With Guarantee

On The PLAYBOOK CUBE App$50 Pay After You Win • $30 Prepaid With Guarantee

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SOUTH ALABAMA over UL-Lafayette by 3“I want to commend our football players for the guts and mental toughness to be able to come back in a game like that.” Those were the words of South Alabama head coach Joey Jones after his Jaguars rallied from 24 points down last Saturday to beat Idaho, 52-45, and snap a two-game losing streak in the process. Sorry to burst your bubble, Joey, but it was freaking Idaho – the same bunch of Spuds that are 8-48 SU since 2011. How the hell did you get down 24 in the fi rst place? In all fairness, three of those eight wins have come this season but if you disguised Mrs. Potato Head in a black mustache and shoulder pads and put her on the Kibbie Dome fi eld would anyone in Moscow really notice? Also not taking very much notice tonight in Mobile are bowl committees, though both these 4-4 Sun Belt wannabes should come to play as the loser is likely eliminated from post-season contention. As for the numbers, a 3-0 SUATS series log by the host favors the Jags but we’re not interested in laying points with a squad that is 0-5 ATS in their last fi ve as conference chalk. Pass.

GAME OF THE WEEKUPSETUPSET UPSETUPSET

Virginia Tech over GEORGIA TECH by 6 The Hokies need two wins in their fi nal three games to send retiring HC Frank Beamer out in style as that would mark Beamer’s 23rd consecutive bowl appearance. Otherwise, it would be an inglorious ending to a stellar Hall of Fame career. It would also have us calling the Hokies ‘bastards’ and putting a large ‘Pitt’ in our stomachs as we’re big fans of Beamer Ball. That’s the case once again this week as we can see he’s not fond of being an underdog to a team that beat him in a previous matchup (fell at home, 27-24, to the Yellow Jackets last year). Beamer also knows that Coastal-leading UNC is still on the docket so one of those two wins will likely need to come tonight if he hopes to be playing into December. Thankfully, the Jackets appear to be the perfect fodder. At 1-5 in ACC play, Paul Johnson’s jokers currently reside in the Coastal cellar and are 0-4 SUATS as conference chalk this season. Better yet, this has been a visitor’s series with the road team covering eight of the last nine, including each of the last fi ve. However, the main reason we believe the Hokies will win in Atlanta for the fi fth time in sixth tries is supplied by The Clincher: Beamer arrives with a rather large 10-0 ATS chip on his shoulder as spelled out by this week’s TRIVIA TEASER.

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(continued on next page

Saturday, November 14Pittsburgh over DUKE by 3

Did the Devils make a deal with Rod Serling? How else can you explain the strange happenings in Dukeville? First, it was the much-talked-about kickoff return they allowed to Miami on the fi nal play of the game two weeks ago in Durham that was only missing the Stanford band. Then last week it was the 404 passing yards they allowed in the FIRST HALF at Chapel Hill – the fi rst time since 2004 that an FBS defense had given up 400 passing yards in a half. That may get them an immediate invite to join the Big 12 but it takes the Dukies off our Christmas card list as we can’t lay points with a stop-unit that appears to be running on empty (allowed 56 points in the fi rst six games of the season and 139 in the last three). Now they host a Pitt team that has torched them for 106 points over the last two seasons. The good news is they also scored 106 points in those two meetings (lost 58-55 in 2013, won 51-48 last season). The bad news is the Panthers also arrive on a two-game losing skid, and that brings their 11-2 SU and 11-1-1 ATS mark off back-to-back SU losses into play. HC Pat Narduzzi still feels his Cats can capture the ACC Crown (unlikely since they trail UNC by one game and don’t hold the head-to-head tiebreaker) and that confi dence fi gures to be the difference as we can’t wait to see what the Devils do for an encore – other than fall to 1-6 ATS after facing the Tar Heels. A must take.

CINCINNATI over Tulsa by 20Cincinnati and Tulsa bring identical 5-4 records into this AAC fray but that’s where the similarities end. The Golden Hurricane have allowed more yards than they’ve gained this season while the Bearcats are winning the stats by an average of 203 YPG. That has us believing Tommy Tuberville’s ‘Cats are the best 5-4 team in the land. After all, they lost to unbeaten Houston last Saturday by 3 points despite suffering a blocked punt, a lost fumble in the end zone, an interception return for a touchdown, a sack that resulted in a safety and a botched onside kick. Jeez! Next we’ll fi nd out that the refs made them play in high heels. Nonetheless, we were happy with the 33-30 result since the Bearcats (+8) were part of our profi table Late Phone Football weekend package. We’ll look for another cover from the moneymaking Bearcats who have brought home the cash in fi ve of their last six. Still, we can’t quite snap the rubber band with gusto as the Golden Hurricane are 12-1 ATS away after scoring 35 or more points. But with Cincy bringing in more money these days than a baby sitter for the Duggar family, there’s really only one way to look. We say lay it as Tubs and company make a statement tonight in the Queen City.

Utsa over CHARLOTTE by 6The 49ers are still searching for their fi rst C-USA win and could get it today at home if they can keep it close with the not-so elusive Roadrunners from San Antonio. Four of UTSA’s last fi ve losses have been by a touchdown or less and HC Larry Coker fears that the slim setbacks may be weighing on the minds of his players. Said Coker “We have lost the close games. You’ve got to win some of those, for sure.” What we fear is the Roadrunners’ 0-5 ATS record off a SU favorite loss – though we’re not confi dent that the 49ers, losers of seven straight, can take advantage. Our initial reaction was to stay far away from this lightweight tussle (both teams are 3-15 SU combined and a pathetic 1-10 SU in conference play) and we’ll do just that as both the Roadrunners and 49ers are going nowhere fast. Next.

Massachusetts over E MICHIGAN by 3If you thought the C-USA clash in Charlotte was a shoe-in for the weekend’s worst, think again. UMass versus EMU makes the aforementioned tilt between the Roadrunners and 49ers look like a Rocky Balboa-Clubber Lang slugfest. A combined 2-17 on the season, including 0-11 in MAC play, this

Friday, November 13Usc over COLORADO by 10

We’re never keen on laying doubles on the conference highway but series history does suggest there is value in backing the Trojans tonight in Boulder as the men of Troy have been favored by 18.5 or more points in this matchup (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) ever since the Buffaloes roamed onto the Pac-12 plains in 2011. In addition, the Trojans can still claim the South division title should Utah drop one down the stretch and they run the proverbial table. Then why aren’t we on USC like a Walmartian in search of used overalls on Black Friday? Because the Buffs are 16-3 ATS in Last Home Games since 1996, including 10-0 ATS when seeking revenge. We just can’t fade that – not with the Trojans eyeing a couple of season-ending revengers of their own (Oregon and UCLA) to close out the 2015 campaign. Thus, like a Walmart shopper, we’ll ‘save money and live better’ by backing the home dogs tonight in Folsom Field as the Buffaloes, once again, close out their home campaign in AT$ style.

meeting of one-win teams fi nds the Eagles playing the role of conference dog for the 33rd straight game (3-29 SU, 7-24-1 ATS). That shows just how pitiful the EMU’s really are considering the Minutemen had been installed as road chalk only once since joining the FBS in 2013 before today. That was a Halloween prank two weeks ago at Ball State (UMass actually opened as a 3-point dog and closed as a 1-point choice) and they promptly lost the whole game, 20-10. But how can we advise backing an Eagles’ squad that was held to a season-low 193 yards in last week’s 15-point to loss to another MAC dreg, Miami Ohio? Only because someone has to win, we’ll call it UMass by a fi eld goal because the visitors can’t be trusted to lay this many points in any situation while the hosts will fi nd another creative way to lose. In other words, it’s probably best to move on.

Middle Tennessee over FLA ATLANTIC by 3Needing one win in their fi nal three games to become bowl eligible for a third straight year (only received one invite, though), the Blue Raiders couldn’t have hand-picked a better opponent as the 2-7 Owls are dead on the slab. They’re also just 2-12 SU in their last 14 games dating back to last season and a not-so-wise 1-9 ATS in ‘Last Home Games’, including 0-6 ATS the last six. However, the problem for the Raiders is they are ‘Working Overtime’ according to Marc’s 2008 Black Book and that situation reminds us to play against college football road favorites off an overtime win as these teams are just 24-39-1 ATS on the blind. Thus, with bad numbers abounding on both sides, like chili on a fi rst date, it’s probably best to avoid – though we couldn’t blame you for leaning towards an FAU squad that is 5-1 ATS as conference home dogs and 8-3 ATS after allowing 35 or more points (0-2 ATS this year). Your call.

3� BEST BET

We realize that the Wolverines are just two plays from possibly arriving in Bloomington unbeaten (a costly pick-six in the season opener at Utah and, of course, the botched punt against Michigan State) but there’s value aplenty in backing the Hoosiers today at home. For starters, they were 7-point home dogs here last week against undefeated Iowa and are now taking doubles in this building against the 7-2 Wolves. As it is, Indiana is 7-3 ATS as double-digit home dogs since 2009 and 5-0 SUATS at home off a previous home game. And remember – IU has gone toe to toe with every opponent this season, even in defeat. The Penn State and Michigan State losses were infl ated by late scores while both Ohio State and Iowa needed all four quarters to escape Memorial Stadium. And though the Wolverines seem to have gotten rid of some bad habits since Jim Harbaugh’s khakis have replaced Brady Hoke’s sweat pants (has anyone ever seen him and Chris Christie in the same room?) on the Ann Arbor sidelines, we must point out these numbers: Michigan is 1-5 ATS as a road favorite of 10 or more points and 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS away off back-to-back wins before facing Penn State. Which, by the way, pales in comparison to The Clincher: The Wolverines are 3-10 SU and 1-12 ATS away after scoring 35 or more points, including 0-8 SUATS the last eight.

Michigan over INDIANA by 2

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MARSHALL over Florida International by 6A Marshall win today and the stage is set for an East division showdown with league-leading Western Kentucky on Black Friday. The problem for the Huntington Herd, however, is they’re a home favorite off an overtime loss, making them ‘Out of Gas’ – a system contained inside Marc’s Best of the Black Book which points out a nasty 47-70-3 ATS mark for teams in this role since the inception of overtime in college football. And though the 5-5 Panthers won’t garner much postseason attention (unless they beat both Marshall today and WKU next week), a sixth win would make them bowl eligible – and expose the ugly state of affairs in today’s made-for-TV bowl world, as their previous fi ve victories have come against the likes of Charlotte, Old Dominion, UCF, UTEP (10-27 combined) and FCS foe NC Central. Nonetheless, FIU’s 8-2 ATS log away after scoring 35 or more points has us shopping for points as Doc Holliday’s men may keep the high-caliber ammo at home in anticipation of the Black Grudge Friday shootout. Take what you can get.

Akron over MIAMI OHIO by 3Another MAC dilemma! The 4-5 Zips are still mathematically alive for bowl eligibility but we all know that a Madden junkie who sits on his coach with a control in one hand and a bag of Cheetos in the other has a better shot at getting a postseason invite than a six-win MAC squad. Akron should even their record today as they catch Miami Ohio, losers of 23 of their 26 conference games, off a rare win (yes, it was against Eastern Michigan) and that brings into play the RedHawks’ 0-5 SU and 1-3-1 ATS log after tasting success. But how can we trust an Akron team that has only won four of 29 conference games since 2008 and is 2-6 ATS as a favorite? We can’t – though they did hold UMass QB Blake Frohnapfel to 173 passing yards last game, well below his 300 YPG average. And though we’re not saying the dogs of MAC society howl, there is a far less chance of fi nding the yellow brick road when laying points with losing teams. Another case of take it or leave it.

MICHIGAN ST over Maryland by 10A gut-wrenching loss on a highly disputable call (maybe the side judge bought our LTS and got the Cornhuskers +4 at a bad line) with seconds remaining at Nebraska now fi nds the Spartans in the dreaded ‘Bubble Burst’ role today in East Lansing. From a Big Ten standpoint, not much changes as they still control their destiny in the East (they would’ve had to beat Ohio State anyway to advance to the title game). However, they’ll need help to get back in the national picture so the question becomes two-fold: (1) can HC Mark Dantonio get Sparty quickly off the mat and (2) can he prevent them from looking past a 2-7 Maryland team with a trip to Columbus on deck. “Now we’re going to see how we bounce on the bottom. We’ve been bouncing on the top, so now we’re going to fi nd out a little bit more about ourselves,” said Dantonio following the loss. One thing we know about the Spartans is they own a 2-8 ATS mark as conference favorites of 17 or more points (check line), which doesn’t well against a hungry bale of turtles that is 5-0 ATS versus a foe off a SU

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favorite loss, 5-1 ATS on the Big Ten highway over the past two seasons, and 4-1 ATS as dogs of 17 or more points. The Terps are also playing hard under interim HC Mike Locksley as they scored 24 points last week against Wisconsin – the most the nation’s leading defense (11.0 PPG) has allowed since their season-opening loss to Alabama. That has us going with slow-and-steady today in Spartan Stadium.

HOUSTON over Memphis by 3Another ‘Bubble Burst’ situation fi nds the Tigers in Space City off their fi rst loss of the season but the fact that they can do the same to the unbeaten Cougars has us actually siding with the defl ated Cats from Graceland. Remember, we always look to fade teams off their initial loss of the season when they come favored in the next game, but taking signifi cant points against a team that is starting to feel the pressure (the noose will get real tight next week when they hit the road) is the path we’ll take today. In addition, the Cougars are completely depleted up front on offense as three starting lineman have been lost with season-ending injuries, LG Mason Denley missed the last game while RG Colton Freeman left last week’s contest with a neck stinger. As for the number, series history suggests the Cougars should have their way (4-0 SUATS since 2009) but a deeper search fi nds Houston 1-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 or less points while the Tigers are 4-1 ATS away off back-to-back home games and 4-1 ATS as conference road dogs of 7 or less points. The striped ones are also 7-3 ATS with conference revenge and that payback stems from a loss last season to Houston – their only home loss of the year. In what should be a dandy, we’ll go walking in Memphis despite the fact that the Tigers could be ‘as blue as a boy can be.’

Ohio State over ILLINOIS by 10 We’re not sure if J.T. Barrett celebrated his reinstatement with a few drinks but one thing’s for sure – he got real excited when he found out the Buckeyes were heading to Champaign. In fact, the conversation may have gone something like this: “I hope they have some of that Dom stuff. I haven’t had to drink Brut since I met my fi rst booster.” However, we don’t think Urban should be all too thrilled about heading to Illinois as our SMART BOX warns about the perils of undefeated teams taking to the road from Game Ten out. As it is, the Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS away with conference revenge and 1-4 ATS as conference road favorites of 14 or more points while the Illini are 4-0 ATS as home dogs of 15 or more points. And though we don’t feel Bill Cubit’s 5-4 club has quite enough to become bowl eligible this afternoon at Memorial Stadium with Barrett getting the keys back (to the offense, not the car), we do think the series host will improve to 6-1 ATS. You know what to do.

Tulane over ARMY by 1Is something fi shy going on at West Point or are the Cadets that bad? The 2-7 Green Wave on average have been getting 25 points on the road this season, have been outscored 186-47 in the four roadies and are now getting less than a fi eld goal today in Michie Stadium? We’re not going to bite. That’s because our MIDWEEK ALERT tells us the Wave have surprisingly held two of its last three foes (AAC powers Houston and Memphis) to season-low yardage while the Black Knights are just 2-6 ‘ITS’ this season. Army is also a predictable 5-10 SU and 5-8 ATS in games after facing Air Force, including 1-3 ATS at home. So to answer our fi rst question, yes, Jeff Monken’s men are that bad. And though it may not be the garbage game of the day, it’s certainly not worth watching. That is, unless, you have the cojones to grab Tulane as single-digit dogs. That could mean ‘Waving’ goodbye to your money – though it’s better than the Army option (fi guratively speaking of course).

Clemson over SYRACUSE by 21With the noose-tightening on the No. 1 team in the CFP rankings, Dabo’s dudes (if we have to see him dance one more time, our remote is going through the TV) become another SMART BOX fade. Just as bad, our database (which is always in rhythm) chips in with this little nugget: teams who beat Florida State are 2-11 ATS in their next game, including a dangerous 3-3-1 SU and 0-7 ATS as a favorite. In addition, the Tigers are 0-5 ATS as road chalk of 18 or more points and 2-5 ATS before facing Wake Forest while the Orange are 4-1 ATS as home dogs of 14 or more points and 4-1 ATS at home off back-to-back road games. Thus, we have no ex-Cuses for not backing the Carrier Dome crew as the host improves to 3-0 ATS since the Orange joined the ACC. In fact, we’ll dance all night long with those generous four touchdowns. You know the drill.

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Temple over SOUTH FLORIDA by 6While the Temple defense got the Owls to 7-1 it was the offense that made sure there would be no letdown after the heartbreaking Notre Dame loss. They put up a season-high 536 yards at SMU and, for the third time in the modern era, Temple scored 60 points. Now the Owls take fl ight to South Florida and while they’re being outgained by 38 YPG away from home, they are the ONLY FBS team that is undefeated on the road with fi ve wins under their belt. The Bulls are also recovering from a loss after winning three straight games for the fi rst time since September of 2011, and despite fi ve second-half lead changes, they came out ahead at East Carolina. The pressure now mounts for USF trying to capture its fi rst bowl invite since 2010 and the Bulls have been anything but successful when returning home from back-to-back road games, going 1-11 SU and 0-11-1 ATS. Temple is 7-1 ATS as a conference road favorite versus .600 or less competition, while USF is 1-8-1 ATS as a home dog or 10 points or less. Given the fact that the Owls have also cashed their Last Road Game each of the last three years, we’ll call for them to grab their fourth straight road fi nale while clinching the American East.

Nebraska over RUTGERS by 12Many may have the opinion that Nebraska’s miraculous win over Michigan State was tainted with a highly controversial TD pass in the waning seconds. But don’t waste your breath talking to Cornhusker fans as they have suffered fi ve gut-punch losses under fi rst-year head coach Mike Riley. “I’ll just take it as this: If you keep working, you can do good things,” said the 62-year-old Riley. Now the Big Red can continue to play with post-season aspirations and a win this week and another versus Iowa would send the Huskers bowling. Rutgers also keeps its bowl hopes alive with a win here but the Scarlet Knights are suffering from too much holiday spirit: their defense has been very giving, specifi cally to the tune of 44 PPG and 503 YPG versus Big Ten foes. The Knights have also been outscored during their current thee-game losing skid by 146-33 and are just 2-6 SU and 1-7 ‘In The Stats’ versus FBS opponents this year (0-7 if you don’t count Kansas as an FBS team). The Huskers’ offense hasn’t received much press but on the road at Minnesota, and in last week’s upset versus the Spartans, they put up season-high yards versus both defenses. Finally, Riley is 7-1 ATS away in conference play off a win versus .600 or less opponents. This could be another Rutgers laugher.

Utep over OLD DOMINION by 1Not sure how many Old Dominion backers were left in Las Vegas after they started 0-7 ATS but the Monarchs covered their fi rst game of the season when they upset UTSA as 8-point dogs last Saturday. There was nothing fl uky about the win, either, as QB David Washington tallied 447 of the team’s 548 yards against the Roadrunners. That victory gives ODU a 7-5 record in its previous 12 games going back to last season. And while we know they can win, the mentality of being a favorite is something they haven’t been able to overcome as they sport an all-time 0-6 ATS record when laying points. The Miners are a badly beaten up squad but one player who did emerge from among the injuries is sophomore QB Mack Leftwich, who has led UTEP to a pair of wins with a 5-0 ratio TD/INT ratio since returning to the starting lineup. The Miners are now 4-5 with a realistic chance of becoming bowl eligible with a win here and at North Texas in the season fi nale. With an OL that has allowed only SEVEN sacks on the year, and a solid rushing attack that’s facing a defense allowing 5.2 YPR at home, this has all the makings of an outright road win for the Miners.

TCU over Kansas by 39This might be the epitome of the classic ‘Bubble Burst’ with the Frogs’ chances of crashing the CFB Playoffs reduced to slim and none (and you know where slim just went) after last week’s beatdown by Okie State. “It’s hard,” QB Trevone Boykin said. “You go through your senior year and you try to be perfect, and one stumble, it feels like everything has collapsed on you.” The only Horned Frog hope would be to win out and pray for an OSU loss to be considered Playoff worthy. TCU is also only 1-5 ATS the last six in this series as well as 1-3 ATS at home versus Kansas. Meanwhile, the Jayhawks are setting new records for futility as they are 0-7 ATS as road dogs of 21 or more points and a ghastly 0-12 SUATS away off back-to-back SUATS losses when facing a winning foe. KU’s only hope is that TCU plays down to their level – at least down to their level with a 45 point spread – but we’d be remiss to not mention that the remaining trio of the Big 12’s Fab Four beat the Jayhawks 66-7, 58-10 and 62-7! More of the same.

Kansas St over TEXAS TECH by 1YIKES! Five straight losses, all conference defeats, and a 2-5 SU and 1-6 effort ‘In The Stats’ versus FBS opponents this season. Yes, we’re talking about the Bill Snyder-led Kansas State Wildcats. “I have to help these

young guys understand what it takes in order to get off the mat and win a ballgame and I haven’t done that yet,” said Snyder. While no one in their right mind would equate these numbers to a Kansas State team, it should be noted that they were an underdog in all fi ve games AND four of those opponents have a combined record of 32-2 this season! Texas Tech comes in with three straight losses and is ‘leaking oil’ (lost the stats in each of its last three games) as well. Both coaches have to right the ship as the Red Raiders need a win here or in their fi nale versus Texas on Thanksgiving to go bowling. But this hasn’t been a favorable matchup for TTRR as they are 0-4 SUATS in this series. On the fl ip side, the Wildcats did hold Baylor to its lowest point total of the season, while rushing for a season-high 258 yards in the loss. Like Tammy Wynette, we “stand by our man” and look for Snyder to keep his promise as he improves to 3-0 ATS in his illustrious career in games off fi ve losses-exact.

VANDERBILT over Kentucky by 6Vanderbilt’s players may not recognize their own locker room today: this is only the second time in the last eight games that the Commodores have played in Nashville. That’s good news for the Commies as the series has been controlled by the favorite, cashing fi ve of the last six, while Kentucky is also 1-7 ATS after Georgia and only 1-6 ATS versus a foe seeking revenge. There are plenty of similarities between this offensively fl awed duo as the Wildcats have been outscored by 11 PPG in SEC action and outgained by 58 YPG, compared to Vandy being outscored by 7 PPG and outgained by 46 YPG. And after passing for less than 100 yards for the fi rst time in 21 starts, UK QB Patrick Towles could be headed to the bench. “You do have to look at some options,” Coach Mark Stoops said when asked if the Cats are pondering a switch at quarterback after a 27-3 drubbing at Georgia on Saturday. “In fairness to the team, I think you have to look at everybody.” The saving grace for the host is a defense that has held six foes to season low – or 2nd low – yards this season, including Florida and Houston to season-low marks in the last two games. With Vanderbilt winning the last two at home in this series by a combined score of 60-14, we can expect more of the same this week.

NORTHWESTERN over Purdue by 12No one ever said coaching was fair – see Al Golden being let go in Miami with a 4-3 record – but in West Lafayette, where Purdue has lost 13 of its last 15 overall games and stands 3-27 SU versus FBS foes and 2-18 SU versus Big Ten foes under Darrell Hazell, Yahoo Sports’ Pat Forde reports the Boilermaker brain trust is planning to bring back Hazell for the 2016 season. WTF? If you fi nd out why, let us know ASAP. Granted, the Boilermakers are 9-3 ATS as Big Ten road dogs and Northwestern enters just 1-7 ATS their last eight as home chalk, but injuries on both sides keep us from making a defi nite call. With the Wildcats in an obvious letdown role following their last second, come-from-behind win versus Penn State, we’ll table this for the time being.

FLORIDA ST over NC State by 4A vital part of handicapping is deciphering reality versus reputation and with Florida State at 7-2, here’s a lesson from Handicapping 101: These two have four common foes giving us a solid body of work to compare.

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Both teams played at Wake Forest and Boston College and hosted Louisville. Florida State played at Clemson while NC State hosted them so we will make that adjustment with the Las Vegas line. Versus these foes, the Seminoles’ adjusted average line was -7 PPG while the Wolfpack’s was -2 PPG, so the perception is Florida State is slightly better. The Las Vegas Line is Florida State -9.5 so Vegas also believes the Seminoles are better. Now let’s compare apples-to-apples. In games against the four common foes, Florida State was outgained by 14 YPG with an average score of 23-15, while NC State was outgained by 11 YPG with an average score of 28-13. That’s the reality of it. Hence, name and reputation once again win out over form and function. Now add to the mix FSU’s 0-4 ATS mark after Clemson, its 1-9 ATS record as a conference home favorite of 14 or fewer points and the distraction that is Homecoming and Jimbo’s boys have a lot to overcome. NC State is now 9-1 ATS the last ten in this series, including 6-0 ATS when the Pack is .600 or better. With FSU players worried about losing two conference games in a season for the fi rst time since 2011, our money is on the avenging visitor. And that, my friend, is Handicapping 101.

Utah St over AIR FORCE by 10Though we had an early idea of who to pick in this matchup, prep work and the weekend’s results made our choice crystal clear. Air Force just polished off Army and while it may be the least celebrated Commander-In-Chief’s Trophy game, it takes nothing away from the rivalry. The Falcons have proven that, going 1-10 ATS the week after facing the Cadets or Midshipmen, including 0-5 ATS at home. The Aggies controlled their destiny in the MWC prior to last week and after being stunned as a 14-point chalk at New Mexico, they now need to pick up a win just to become bowl eligible. Utah State has gone 2-0 SUATS in this new series and from our always-inquisitive database: college football road teams off a SU road loss as a double-digit favorite are 55-35-2 ATS overall the following game since 1984. While both teams sit at four wins, call us unimpressed with Air Force’s body of work as its four MWC foes have a combined FIVE conference wins. While last week’s loss was costly for Utah State, they did hold the ‘other’ Mountain West option team to 236 total yards and 2.8 YPR, both of which were the lowest the Lobos have put up since September of 2011. No more Aggie-nizing here. It’s USU in a romp.

Georgia St over TEXAS ST by 1Georgia State had only one way to go coming into their third FBS season after going 0-20 SU versus the FBS in their fi rst two years. This season, though, the Panthers are 2-2 SU on the road and despite playing Oregon and Arkansas State (the only team unbeaten in Sun Belt conference play) away from home, they are -4 YPG – which is better then Florida, Mississippi State and Navy, as well as 67 other teams! This week they look for win No. 3 and despite both teams having identical records, the MIDWEEK ALERT tells us the Panthers are -41 YPG in conference play but the Bobcats are bleeding at -167 YPG. Texas State continues to struggle as home chalk, going 1-6 ATS the last three seasons, with one of the losses last week to New Mexico State as a 17-point favorite. Winning is contagious and the Panthers have tasted it. Now we expect them to avenge back-back losses in this series, including last year in their home and season fi nale.

Arkansas State over UL-MONROE by 17Two teams can’t be headed in more opposite directions as Arkansas State has won fi ve straight for the fi rst time since 2012 while ULM is 0-8 SU versus the FBS this year and 1-15 in their last 16 games. The Red Wolves, despite four different head coaches, will be bowling for their fi fth straight season and like most winning programs, they take care of business versus inferior foes, going 11-1 SUATS as favorites of less than 20 points versus foes off a double-digit loss. You would also expect Vegas to have more of a reaction over last week’s disparate results as the Red Wolves covered by 25 points, knocking off the other undefeated Sun Belt team (App State) on the road, while the Warhawks failed to cover by 26 points. A Bye on deck ensures that Arkansas State leaves it all on the fi eld here. This one could be over early: ULM is 0-4 ATS as a home dog and is anticipating a coaching change any day.

UCLA over Washington St by 3For fi ve straight Pac-12 games, the Bruins defense was thrashed for 470 YPG and 36 PPG. Take a look at their numbers now and you’ll see UCLA is outgaining their conference opponents by 66 YPG – not too shabby. The Bruin’ issues, however, are far from fi xed as the ‘bandage’ they applied came courtesy of facing an inept Oregon State offense playing a third-string quarterback who turned the ball over four times in his fi rst start. Now UCLA returns home where they are 0-4 ATS as double-digit conference home favorites, while posting a dismal 0-3 SUATS Last Home Game mark under Jim Mora. Mike Leach’s Cougars continue to fl y under the radar as they have now won fi ve straight games ‘In The Stats’ with an offense that has gained a season-best against each of their last three opponents. Wazzu has also covered three straight in the series and fi ve of six in Pasadena while going 8-2 ATS as a double-digit road dog. We know the Cougars are clearly focused on the Bruins, but the reverse may not be true with UCLA having won fi ve straight in the series and looking toward a revenge match at Utah on deck. Grab the points.

WEST VIRGINA over Texas by 1After the colonoscopy of facing Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Baylor and TCU in four consecutive games, the good news is West Virginia fi nally snapped its four-game losing streak last week versus Texas Tech. But the bad news for Mountaineers fans is that they failed to cover their fi fth straight game. HC Dana Holgorsen should also be concerned that his Mounties scored 31 points against the Red Raiders while QB Skyler Howard went only 12-of-24 with no touchdown passes. Even more troubling is West Virginia’s 0-8 ATS record versus sub .500 opponents off a double-digit SU win and an 0-7 ATS mark as single-digit home favorites. Well, at least Texas is one-dimensional on offense... but wait, the Longhorns displayed a perfectly -balanced (299 rushing yards, 299 passing yards) offensive attach that generated 598 yards in their 59-20 win over Kansas last week. Well, at least Texas hasn’t played well away from Austin... but wait, Texas is 11-2 ATS as a road dog of 2 or more points off a SU win. Given the fact that we cannot fi nd one reason to back the Mountaineers, we’ll leave you with this coaching stat: Charlie Strong is 10-3 ATS away versus foe off a SU win. You know what to do.

NOTRE DAME over Wake Forest by 24Here are the last six regular season games for the Irish and we would like you to rank them in terms of how motivated Notre Dame will be against each particular foe: Home versus USC; at Temple with ESPN Game Day in attendance; a revenge matchup at Pittsburgh; home against Wake Forest; Boston College at Fenway Park; and at Stanford for a possible Playoff spot. That type of schedule, coupled with the fact that the Irish are only 6-13 ATS as double-digit chalk in last Home Games is a very good reason to fade the Dame against this inferior foe today. In addition, the Irish are also only 3-9 ATS home off back-to-back road games while knowing they pounded Wake 38-0 the last time they met in 2012. While this isn’t a ringing endorsement for the Demon Deacons, they are a stellar 12-2 ATS mark as double-digit non-conference road dogs. And remember this dandy: In its last 17 games versus FBS teams, Notre Dame has beaten only ONE by more than 16 points! You make the call.

Alabama over MISSISSIPPI ST by 3Alabama’s fi fth straight win over LSU was the equivalent to a no-hitter in baseball, yet the post-game celebration seemed a bit out of character for the Tide. “I’ve never seen a team be that excited over a win like that because they are a really good team,” fi fth-year starting C Ryan Kelly said. “I think we played, in my opinion, the most overall complete game as a team.” That Bama is 0-4 ATS in games following the Tigers, as well as 2-6 ATS away versus a conference opponent with revenge, becomes a problem today. The host has covered fi ve of six in this series and you can color the Bulldogs dangerous as last season’s loss to the Tide snapped MSU’s 9-0 perfect season, knocking them out of the top spot in the polls and

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The Cyclones did get put through the wringer by Oklahoma last week, 52-16, but just seven days earlier these guys pushed their SU home record to 3-2 after a dominating 24-0 whitewash of Texas. Defense has not been the name of the game at Iowa State recently (496 yards and 37.5 points per game in 2013-14) but this year’s sneaky-good ‘D’ has held three foes to season low – or 2nd low – yardage marks. The MIDWEEK ALERT also comes to the Cyclones’ aid noting that OSU is winng the stats by a mere 56 YPG in conference games this season. If you’re hesitant to buck the 9-0 Cowboys coming off their biggest win in head coach Mike Gundy’s career – and who now sit alone atop the Big 12 standings at 6-0 – don’t be. Even without today’s solid letdown factor, Gundy has not fared well when playing off a SU underdog win of 10 or more points, going just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in those games. Iowa State has yet to be eliminated from bowl consideration and should be fully focused here. Oklahoma State, however, is staring straight down the barrel at a season-ending tandem of Baylor and Oklahoma, so the Pokes could be excused for letting off the gas today. And like we’ve outlined in the SMART BOX on page 3, there’s the noose-tightening pressure that goes with being an undefeated team this late in the season. The fi nal piece of the puzzle comes courtesy of The Clincher: College football double-digit road favorites off a SU conference home dog win are 4-20-1 ATS when facing a greater than .250 foe in its next game.

Oklahoma St over IOWA ST by 3

the College Football Playoffs as well. Under HC Dan Mullen, the Bulldogs are 18-8 ATS home in conference games, including 5-1 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points, and 8-3 SUATS with a win percentage of more than .700. However, we can’t pull the trigger for an upset without looking deeper at the injury list. “We might be the only team coming off a bye week much more banged up than when we went into the Bye week,” Mullen said. “It just must be that type of year for us.” Nonetheless, Mississippi State makes it 5-0 ATS in its last fi ve conference home dog roles today.

N CAROLINA over Miami Fla by 20For the last half-decade, those on the left coast probably thought Florida State was the only team in the ACC, but this year they fi nally realize that Clemson is a member as well. Now it’s time for them to meet North Carolina, a squad that has rattled off EIGHT straight wins since a season-opening loss to South Carolina, a game they should have won but were -3 in turnovers (included a pair of end zone picks that blunted Tar Heel drives). Last week North Carolina rolled up 704 yards and while most head coaches would say they were pleased, Larry Fedora said his team “can be better, I can assure you.” The Hurricanes are 2-0 since jettisoning Al Golden and they keep telling themselves they control their own ACC Coastal destiny... but then so does anybody going up against Ronda Rousey these days. Miami’s two-game win streak fi nds them getting out-fi rst downed by 13 at Duke, and by 6 at home versus the No. 91 offense of Virginia. This week they venture to Chapel Hill where the home team is 3-0 ATS in the series and the Heels own covers in four of the last fi ve. Miami gets exposed and with some help, Fedora’s group can check off goal No. 1 – becoming the ACC Coastal Division Champs.

Southern Miss over RICE by 8Talk about rising from the ashes. After going 4-20 SU and 8-15 ATS in his fi rst two seasons at Hattiesburg, Southern Miss HC Todd Monken has his 6-3 Golden Eagles sitting a mere half-game behind C-USA West division leader Louisiana Tech. And since the two squads close out the regular season with a Nov. 28th meeting at Ruston, Monken’s team could actually fi nd itself in this year’s conference championship game. But dramatic turnarounds come at a price, so the question is are we willing to pay the tariff to continue along on the ride? According to the MIDWEEK ALERT, we should be as the Eagles have outyarded league foes by a whopping 230 YPG this campaign. By comparison, the fading Owls are losing the stats by 50 YPG in C-USA games and need wins in two of their fi nal three games to become bowl-eligible (good thing they’ve got UTSA and Charlotte on the itinerary). Yes, Rice has won and covered four of the last fi ve meetings but current form fi nds David Bailiff’s team on an 0-2 SUATS skid while Smissy can boast a 6-2 ATS mark in lined games this season. Only the fact that Rice was an 8.5-point road favorite in last year’s contest keeps us from going all-in with the high-fl ying Eagles this afternoon. With Southern Miss 4-2 ATS when seeking revenge in 2015 and looking for more of the same here, we may revisit this game later in the week.

NAVY over Smu by 16Despite Navy’s 45-point outburst in last week’s upset of unbeaten Memphis, Middies QB Keenan Reynolds did not break Montee Ball’s record for career rushing touchdowns. However, you can mortgage the house on Reynolds notching TD No. 78 this afternoon in front of the home folks against defenseless SMU today. It’s been quite a year for Navy in the program’s fi rst conference affi iliation as the sailors fi nd themselves tied atop the AAC West standings with still-unbeaten Houston. But while the takedown of Memphis was most impressive (outscored the Tigers 28-10 in the second half), our well-oiled machine cautions: teams who upset a 9-0 or greater opponent are just 12-23 ATS favored in regular season followup games, including 4-16 ATS when off back-to-back wins. Too bad SMU can’t put together a full 60 minutes of football. In fact, if these Ponies were racehorses, they would have been put down a year ago as they bring a 2-21 SU mark in their last 23 games into this fray. At least this group averages 30 points and 412 yards per game under fi rst-year mentor Chad Morris, a dramatic improvement over last year’s season-ending 11 points and 269 YPG averages. Still, with the Midshipmen’s recent 1-5 ATS failure as double-digit home chalk and a starring role (albeit a bad one) in this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3, you can understand when we say ‘no swabbies’ for us.

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LSU over Arkansas by 6Let me up, I’ve had enough. There’s no doubt that Les Miles and his Bayou Bengals endured a triple-beating against Alabama last Saturday night. Not only were the unbeaten Tigers physically pounded by the Tide on the playing fi eld, RB Leonard Fournette’s Heisman campaign took a serious detour (19 carries for 31 yards) and LSU’s College Playoff hopes slipped along with the Tigers’ descent in the rankings (fell from 4th to 9th in the Amway Coaches Poll). But while the Baton Rouge boys were having their ‘Bubble Burst’ moment against Bama, Arkansas was experiencing a huge high in a season largely devoid of positive moments. Refusing to quit against a superior Ole Miss squad, the Razorbacks took the Rebels into overtime tied 45-45, then pulled out the 53-52 upset when HC Bret Bielema opted to go for two points and the win. Now nipping at the heels of Alabama and LSU in the SEC West standings and fi elding a full-throttle offense that’s averaging 56.7 PPG in its last three outings, the Hogs look to keep their late-season surge going here against the defl ated Tigers. Bielema has matched up well with Miles in their two previous meetings, losing by just 4 points at Death Valley in 2013, then embarrassing LSU in a 17-0 shutout last year (held Tigers to an incredible 123 offensive yards). In fact, Arky has been in control of the purse strings in the last eight series meetings, posting a super 7-1 ATS mark. And there’s this from our well-oiled machine: in the last 10 years, LSU has lost back-to-back games only twice – and each of the second losses was to Arkansas! The LSU faithful will be out for blood at Tiger Stadium tonight but the Mad Hatter’s weak 1-3 SUATS record off a loss to the Crimson

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Georgia over AUBURN by 3It’s a long way down from the top. In this year’s preseason Coaches Poll, Auburn placed No. 7 while Georgia came close behind at No. 9. This week, the two traditional SEC powers are nowhere in sight, failing to garner even a single vote for the Top 25. No, this isn’t the Georgia-Auburn showdown envisioned back in July when those who cover the SEC pegged the Tigers to win the conference championship and the Bulldogs to roll to the Eastern Division title. Hard to believe the Dawgs are the puppy in this contest, but it’s an indication of how sharply they’ve fallen off the SEC radar in recent weeks. In fact, two of Georgia’s lowest passing yardage outputs since the fi nal game of the 2009 regular season have come in its last fi ve games: 106 yards against Alabama and 90 against Kentucky. The Bulldogs had better not register No. 3 here against an Auburn squad that had a change of its own on offense with quarterback Jeremy Johnson returning as starter for an injured Sean White (knee) against the Aggies. The Tigers’ 26-10 win (as 7.5-point dogs) provided a “shot in the arm right now and some momentum,” coach Gus Malzahn said. Another ray of good news is that Auburn is scoring on 89.2 percent of its trips to the red zone, which is second in the SEC and 22nd nationally. But the bad news is BAD: Aubbie is allowing 438 YPG in SEC play this season, 108 YPG higher that Georgia’s 330 YPG. The Dawgs manhandled the Tigers in last year’s get-together, 34-7, and while we don’t foresee that wide a margin, we still expect to see Georgia pin loss No. 5 on Auburn in this latest battle between cats and dogs.

ARIZONA ST over Washington by 10“We have a lot to play for now, I can tell you that,” Arizona State HC Todd Graham said after his Sun Devils blew a 14-0 lead and lost to Washington State last week, 38-24, “and that is getting these seniors to a bowl game.” Don’t count out the 4-5 hosts in today’s early start at Tempe. In nine college seasons calling the shots, Graham has had only one losing campaign, a 5-7 performance during his second year with Tulsa. Frankly, we’re confused by ASU’s lack of success this season. Last year, the Sun Devils capped a 10-3 effort with a bowl win over Duke, and this year’s team had solid player leadership with 17 returning starters – something that has was lacking in some previous regimes – as well as genuine respect between the coaches and players. Don’t know if that’s the case in Seattle right now as second-year HC Chris ‘You Ain’t In Boise Anymore’ Petersen has struggled to make his team competitive in Pac-12 play (6-9 SU). However, the Huskies are 5-2 ATS with Petersen on the conference road and last week’s 11-point loss to Utah was much closer than the fi nal score: UDub outyarded the Utes but fell thanks to four critical turnovers. Today’s winner gains the major hand in bowl placement (provided each qualifi es) and with the motivated Sun Devils already owning an ATS death grip on the series (9-0 ATS L9, 5-0 ATS home), we look for a big effort from Graham and company here.

Oklahoma over BAYLOR by 1This just in from the Waco Emergency Broadcast System: Circle the wagons, lock up the women and bar the freakin’ doors. Big Game Bob has a pair of very large bones to pick with Art Briles, namely 41-12 in 2013 and 48-14 at Norman last year – the latter being the worst home loss of Stoops’ career at OU. So come with us now and watch Episode Two (Oklahoma State over TCU kicked off the festivities last weekend) of ‘Unbeaten Or Bust’ where the Fab Four Big 12 power teams devour one another down the stretch and drop right out of the Final Four. The Bears have done nothing wrong this season, winning comfortably in nearly every game, but they must avoid a Game Two letdown behind freshman replacement QB Jarrett Stidham, who threw for 419 yards and three touchdowns in his fi rst start in relief of injured Seth Russell last week against Kansas State – by far Baylor’s toughest test of the year. We realize BU coach Briles has won 88% of his games SU since the start of the 2013 season but our powerful database dares to suggest he could be in trouble here, going just 5-18 SU and 11-12 ATS versus .888 or greater foes, including 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS when going into revenge. We’d rather back Bob Stoops, who owns an incredible 23-6 SU record when his Sooners are looking to get even for a previous defeat. Oklahoma has also bagged the cash in seven of its last ten tries here at McLane Stadium and the visitors boast a solid 9-3 ATS effort as conference dogs of 7 or fewer points. Bears go the way of the Frogs as Big Game Bob lives up to his moniker.

Byu over Missouri by 1 (at Kansas City)My, how times have changed. Just 266 miles from the site of today’s game, Joseph Smith, founder and leader of the Latter Day Saints religion, was shot dead by an armed mob of 200 men at the Carthage, Illinois jail in 1844. Now 171 years later, the Mormons of BYU – and possibly some of Smith’s descendants – will be welcomed with open arms at Kansas City’s Arrowhead Stadium. However, head a bit further east on I-70 and the picture changes. Thanks to a rolling boil of racially tinged on-campus incidents at Columbia that forced the resignation of UM President Tim Wolfe on Monday, ‘Are you ready for some football?’ is not what the campus cops want to hear right now. Ironically, the tense situation was not resolved until HC Gary Pinkel and the Mizzou football team pledged their support to the cause. Now that same team needs to apply itself: the Tigers have dropped four straight games while scoring a mere 25 total points in the losses. Meanwhile, the Cougars will be hoping for any good news regarding their recent woes at offensive line. BYU was missing 80% of its starting OL in last week’s lethargic 17-16 win at San Jose State. As a result, against one of the worst run defenses in the nation, the Cougars could only muster a paltry 36 net yards rushing… so we suggest you check their status before getting involved too deeply. While it’s true the Mormons’ only two defeats this season came at the hands of Michigan State and UCLA, they’re also just 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS versus the SEC. Still, it’s hard to back a dysfunctional team like Missouri unless it decides to play some decent football. We just fl ipped a coin – and it came up BYU.

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Ga Southern over TROY by 1Don’t look now but there is a new beast in the Sun Belt – if there is such a thing – and they carry the same nickname as mighty USC. Yes, we’re talking Trojans – as in Troy. Under fi rst-year head coach Neal Brown, the Trojans from Alabama have practically risen from the grave, outyarding each of their last four opponents while piling up 48 PPG points in their last three outings. Hey, it was worthy enough to earn a spot in Marc’s AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK on page 2, and we’re certainly paying attention! As for the Statesboro Eagles, they’re a respectable 6-2 this year but don’t seem nearly as explosive as last year’s model. At one game back in the Sun Belt race, GSU can’t afford to slip up here, but it’s next to impossible for this team NOT to be looking ahead to big brother Georgia next week. Another intriguing twist: Georgia Southern’s players might fi nd their body clocks a bit skewed her as this will mark the team’s fi rst day game of the season. Troy has cashed three straight tickets while the Eagles’ lone cover in their last three contests came two weeks ago in a narrow spread decision over Texas State. In today’s ‘If It Aint Broke, Don’t Fix It’ special, we suggest you fade a GSU squad that gained only 252 yards on offense in its last road outing at Appalachian State. We’re on the take with the Trojans.

NEVADA over San Jose St by 6Unless you watch college football from noon to midnight, there are moments of high drama that are sure to slip by unnoticed. Last week, for example, when San Jose State head coach Ron Caragher went for two points and the win in the fi nal minute of play against BYU last week. But unlike Bret Bielema and Arkansas, the Spartans’ 2-point conversion failed, and they suffered a heartbreaking 17-16 loss. Now faced with the unenviable challenge of winning two of their fi nal three games to become bowl eligible, the Spartans make the trek east dragging the dead weight of a 3-12 ATS mark as dogs of 4 or more points in the fi rst of back-to-back away games. Worse, SJSU has allowed 200 or more rushing yards in fi ve of its eight lined contests, going 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS. Under HC Brian Polian, Nevada is an astonishing 23-4 SU and 11-3 ATS when the Wolves rush for 200 or more yards in a game, including 5-0 SUATS the last fi ve. A win for the hosts today also clinches bowl eligiblilty – and just in time as Nevada’s fi nal two games are on the road against Utah State San Diego State. With the Wolf Pack a dominating 12-1 SU in the series, including 6-0 ATS the last six and 5-1 ATS here at Mackay Stadium, we expect a howlin’ good time in Reno.

CALIFORNIA over Oregon St by 17After last Saturday’s 44-28 loss at Oregon – a 10-0 Cal lead was smothered by 31 unanswered points for the Ducks – Bear fans are putting their picnic baskets in storage and preparing for a long, possibly bowl-less winter. “For whatever reason, a little bit of doubt might have set in. That’s something that should never happen,” said head coach Sonny Dykes. Uhh, you think? We’d be more concerned about four straight setbacks after a 5-0 start, especially with the ‘Win or Be Fired’ mentality that’s currently in vogue. But as disappointing as the Bears have been of late, poor Oregon State is redefi ning awful – both in results and luck. The 2-7 Beavers had more game-ending injuries than they had scoring opportunities in last week’s 41-0 pasting at home against UCLA. Starting QB Seth Collins watched in street clothes with an injured knee. Starter Nick Mitchell was 9 of 19 for 84 yards, threw three interceptions and was sacked three times. Marcus McMaryion took over in the fourth quarter, and was 1 for 5. OSU head coach Gary Andersen took the high road after the roast concluded and said, “I love the fi ght we’re in. Today this fi ght got a whole lot tougher.” It helps the Beavers that they’re 6-2 ATS in the last eight series meetings, though this lousy team contributed nothing to those results. The bottom line is we can’t lay 20 with this bunch of Bears until they come back out of hibernation. With Stanford and Arizona State still on the docket for Cal, we’re not interested.

Appalachian St over IDAHO by 14If you’re ever in need of a motivational speaker, you could do worse than Idaho HC Paul Petrino. Yes, Petrino delivered one of the most stirring pregame speeches since Knute Rockne riled up the Irish, challenging his Vandals to bounce back from the shame of losing to New Mexico State and defeat a 7.5-point favorite South Alabama team at Mobile. “I told them before the game,” Petrino said, “no matter what happens, let’s go out there and give it everything we’ve got. Lay it on the line. We’ll either be happy or we’ll be crushed.” Thirty minutes later, Idaho went into the locker room with a 24-7 lead! Unfortunately, Petrino had failed to specify just how long the magic should last, and reality fought its way back in the form of a 45-21 assault by the Jags. In the end, crushed won out over happy as the Vandals lost a 52-45 shootout. Even so, Idaho’s mental anguish pales in comparison to Appalachian State: last week’s conference loss to Arkansas

State was the Mountaineers’ fi rst in 398 days, dating back to a 47-21 defeat versus South Alabama on Oct. 4, 2014. Now tied for second place with Georgia Southern (who they beat last month) in the Sun Belt race, it could be diffi cult for ASU to get back up off the carpet, especially as 17-point road chalk. In just the Spud Boys’ second home game at the Kibbie Dome since September 26th, you’ll have to pick your poison.

COLORADO ST over Unlv by 11Hard to believe but eight of the past 11 Rebels teams – and many more before that – failed to go as far as UNLV under fi rst-year head coach Tony Sanchez in 2015. The benchmark? Three SU wins… not a sign of greatness, but at UNLV it does show improvement. “That number three has been kind of elusive,” said Sanchez after his Vegas team clobbered Hawaii last Saturday, 41-21. “Honestly, I’m just happy for our guys.” But this is where the feel-good story ends for Tony’s Rebels. Colorado State needs two wins in its fi nal three games (all of which are against beatable foes) to become bowl eligible for the third straight year, and UNLV’s 5-1 ATS mark versus sub .500 opponents off a double-digit SU win is the only defense the Rebs can muster. The host in this series has cashed nine of the last ten tickets, including 5-0 ATS the last fi ve. Yes, the Rams are banged up along the OL but that unit was impressive in last week’s 26-7 win at rival Wyoming, with CSU rushing for a season-high 228 yards. In a battle between two rookie head coaches, we’ll back Bobo over Sanchez in this welterweight matchup.

LOUISVILLE over Virginia by 16There was a moment of heart-stopping horror in last week’s Virginia-Miami game. When the Cavaliers scored with 5:28 remaining to take a 15-14 lead, our fi rst thought was ‘Oh my god, can they actually save Mike London’s job?’ Nah. The Canes rallied for a 27-21 win in a microcosm of the season for Virginia: untimely penalties, red zone woes and explosive plays from the opposition. Now sitting at 3-6, it’s win or go home for UVA from here on out… not a likely outcome considering the Cavs’ SU road losing streak stands at 14 games! London certainly won’t get any sympathy from a Louisville team that’s just now starting to meet expectations, as Bobby Petrino’s Cardinals can turn a sluggish 0-3 start to the year into a bowl-eligible season by stopping Virginia. Petrino lucked out last week against Syracuse: with his fi rst and second string quarterbacks injured, he put the ball in Kyle Bolin’s hands and was rewarded with 41-17 victory over the Orange. Bolin was 24-of-35 for 362 yards and three TDs, his fi rst action since playing against Clemson on September 17th. If Petrino can keep his one-hit wonder on course this evening at Papa John’s, the Cards have a shot at an 8-4 regular season fi nish. However, a fourth straight year of missing the bowls fi gures to seal the deal as far as Mike London is concerned. Lay it if you play it on Senior Day.

ARIZONA over Utah by 3With over 60% of FBS teams slated for a postseason appearance in 2015, just about every game in mid-to-late November is all about the bowls. This one is no exception. With their backs to the proverbial bowl wall, the 5-win Wildcats fi gure to bring the kitchen sink and more in a desperate bid to bag a fourth consecutive postseason trip for HC Rich Rodriguez. It’s entirely possible – Rich Rod has had his way with the Salt Lake City boys, winning all three meetings by scores of 34-24, 35-24 and 42-10. Last year’s 32-point pasting on the road marked the Utes’ worst loss of the season and while the revenge factor is certainly a dynamic to consider, Utah’s recent 1-4 ATS failure as Pac-12 road chalk says it won’t mean much. Arizona has rung the register in four of the last fi ve series shootouts and posted an identical 4-1 ATS record as a series dog to the Utes. Sitting at No. 13 in this week’s Coaches Poll, Utah rolls into the desert off a SU win as a dog at Washington where the Huskies actually won the yardage battle. And now the Utes are conference road chalk? We don’t think so, not when the Wildcats have clawed their way to an impressive 11-2-1 ATS record as home dogs of 3 or more points. The wily Rodriguez continues his mastery of Kyle Whittingham with an outright ‘upset’ win.

TENNESSEE over North Texas by 36The 59 points scored by Tennessee in its season-opening shellacking of Bowling Green is the most ever tallied under HC Butch Jones. So let’s do the math: the spread is around UT -41, so if the Vols match their season-high, North Texas will need to score 19 points against Rocky Top. As George Herbert Walker Bush so famously said, “Ain’t gonna happen” – these guys held Alabama to 19 points three weeks ago! Only a soft spot in Jones’ heart, along with the opportunity to give seldom-used players some time on the fi eld, can keep the Lean Green under the number in tonight’s bloodletting. Even so, a 41-point Homecoming favorite in an

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SEC sandwich situation will NEVER make our ticket, despite the possible return of four key players from the injury list, and head coach Butch Jones’ 6-0 ATS career log as a favorite of more than 17 points. Oh, North Texas sure makes it tempting with its dreadful 1-8 SU and 0-9 record ‘In The Stats’ this season but Tennessee won’t unload the entire arsenal with a pair of conference games against Missouri and Vanderbilt waiting in the wings. We’re not saying Mean Green interim head coach Mike Canales will improve his ATS mark to 4-1 after tonight, just show some restraint and lay off the Vols.

Florida over SOUTH CAROLINA by 3Ever had an ‘Is this really happening to me’ moment in your life? Florida HC Jim McElwain had one that lasted more than three hours last week. Just seven days after embarrassing Georgia in this year’s Cocktail Party, McElwain and his Gators crashed but didn’t quite burn in an agonizing 9-7 win over Vanderbilt. With Florida’s offense thrashing about like a senior citizen in a riptide, the Commodore defense held UF to just 258 yards of offense and a paltry 9 points – 3 of which came on the game-winning fi eld goal with 2:22 remaining. “Let’s face it, we stole one,” McElwain said, and with the SEC East title tucked in their back pocket, we wouldn’t be surprised to see the Gators fall fl at for a second week. Meanwhile, it seems like everybody buried the Gamecocks after The Ol’ Ball Coach called it quits earlier in the season… everybody but those clever enough to keep backing South Carolina. Interim HC Shawn Elliott has his team playing with renewed energy, grabbing the green in three straight games while going 1-2 SU (losses were by only 7 and 3 points). Remember, the Golden Nugget in Las Vegas posted USC as a 2.5-point favorite in this contest before the season kicked off and with Florida a money-burning 3-11 ATS when playing with conference revenge, the ‘Cocks’ 6-1 ATS mark as home dogs of more than 7 points is calling our name. A solid take – even with Steve Spurrier not in attendance in a Florida/South Carolina contest snce before he won a Heisman Trophy as the Gators quarterback in 1966.

5� BEST BET

Talk about a heavyweight rivalry. The winner of this affair has gone to the conference championship game for four straight years but the outcome of tonight’s contest will not decide the Pac-12 North. Still, after a rocky 3-3 start that left the Ducks with zero national signifi cance, they quietly put together a 3-game SUATS win streak over the conference’s middle tier teams. Now it’s time for Oregon to step up in class against No. 7 Stanford, a team enjoying a fat 2.5-game lead in the North division – and a bunch of Farm boys that are dead set on getting even for last year’s 45-16 destruction by the Ducks. To which we say: not so fast, my friends. The mean machine reminds us the Cardinal have been the favorite only TWICE in the last 14 meetings between these two – and they lost both of those games straight up. The key for Oregon is having QB Vernon Adams back healthy and behind center, a factor that makes the Ducks’ 6-0 ATS record on the road versus a conference revenger and their 5-2 ATS mark as series dogs more appealing. Stanford has won the money only once in its last three tries at Pac-12 revenge and we don’t see the Cardinal improving on that mark here. While the scoreboard operator stocks up on spare bulbs, it’s time to bring on The Clincher: Oregon is 34-17 ATS as a dog, including 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS the last seven years.

Oregon over STANFORD by 3

BOISE ST over New Mexico by 24If you were savvy enough to have played a two team moneyline parlay with each of the New Mexico’s last week (14 and 17-point SU underdog winners), you’re probably reading this on a yacht in Monte Carlo. As for all you grinders out there who’ll never visit the Principality or sun bathe on the French Riviera, keep in mind that the Lobos from Albuquerque need one more win in their fi nal three game to go bowling for the fi rst time since 2007. And while they likely won’t get it here, the Wolves have home games with Air Force and Colorado State to close out the season. Kudos to the New Mexico Athletic Department for sticking with HC Bob Davie through three lean years and an 11-26 record. Davie now has the Lobos above .500 for the fi rst time since Rocky Long patrolled the sidelines in ’07. Sure, it’s tough to fade a Broncos team that wins by an intimidating 32.5 PPG on the blue carpet at Boise. But the simple truth is New Mexico has covered four straight in the series while BSU owns a jaw-droppingly-awful 4-17 ATS record as conference home chalk of more than 7 points. Most important, the Broncos have a huge battle with Air Force next week with the winner likely claiming the MWC Mountain division crown. We’ll run with the Lobos and their 238 YPG ground attack against a Broncos’ rush defense that’s allowed 123 rushing YPG in their last four outings.

IOWA over Minnesota by 2At 9-0, Iowa is off to its best start in school history – and we like fading teams that set records in their most recent game. “I hate to use the cliché but Minnesota might be the best 1-4 team in any conference,” ABC’s Brad Nessler said after the gutty Gophers held No. 1 Ohio State to just 28 points in a loss at the Horseshoe last Saturday night. Minny played the Buckeyes without three starting offensive linemen (Ben Lauer, Brian Bobek and Josh Campion) and both starting defensive tackles (Steven Richardson and Scott Ekpe). They’ve also been without safety Damarius Travis and tight end Lincoln Plsek for most of the season. Cornerback Jalen Myrick injured his ribs on Saturday’s opening kickoff… yet Minnesota still took down the cash in Columbus, losing by 14 points as a 23.5-point underdog. Based on that outstanding performance, there were indications that the university will remove Tracy Claeys’ interim tag and promote him to head football coach of the Golden Gophers. A win for the Hawkeyes tonight would give them their fi rst undefeated home season since 2004 (Iowa just 10-11 SU at home the previous three years). But with a feeble 1-8-1 ATS effort as conference home chalk of 10 or more points, getting the money may prove diffi cult. Iowa’s 2-5 ATS log in the fi rst of consecutive home games fi ts like a glove with Minnesota’s 7-1-1 ATS streak in its Last Road Game of the season. Throw in the ever-tightening noose that threatens all undefeated teams and a take looks to be in order in Iowa City.

SAN DIEGO ST over Wyoming by 20Uhh-ohh. This looks like something from a ‘Mad Max’ movie where the bad guys have you strapped to the front of a gasoline tanker going about 100 MPH: the possibility for carnage is great. San Diego State has won seven straight conference games dating back to last season (now an eye-opening 23-5 SU in its last 28 MWC contests) and rides a 5-0 SUATS win skien entering this game. As if that’s not impressive enough, Aztecs QB Maxwell

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All you needed to do was catch a glimpse of Aaron Rodgers throwing down the clipboard in the fi nal moments of last week’s loss at Carolina to see the look of utter disgust on his face. From 7-0 to 7-2, in the blink of an eye. Worse, the Packers now trail the Panthers in all tiebreakers for home fi eld advantage in the playoffs. Expect amends to be made immediately, starting today. For openers, Rodgers’ counterpart Matthew Stafford is ultra-unreliable in road games versus greater than .700 opposition, going 0-12 SU and 3-8-1 ATS in his NFL career. In addition, Stafford is 1-7 ATS in games against division foes off a SUATS loss. Green Bay’s 17-2 ATS mark in games off back-to-back travelers speaks volumes. As does its 24-0 SU and 17-5-2 ATS record as a host in this series. But it’s the picture of Olivia Munn’s boy-toy tossing the clipboard that resonates with us. That and The Clincher: Aaron Rodgers is 13-2 SU and ATS off a loss when facing a division opponent in his NFL career.

GREEN BAY over Detroit by 21

Smith has now attempted 125 consecutive passes without throwing an interception and has eight touchdowns over that span. In fact, it’s been seven straight games since the SDSU offense tossed an INT, extending the program’s longest streak in its Division I history (since 1969). So how come we’re willing to side with the guy strapped to the front of the runaway rig? For openers, the Cowboys from Laramie are a perfect 7-0 ATS as road dogs of less than 24 points off back-to-back SU wins. The series visitor has also cashed in three of the last four battles between these two. Best of all for Wyoming, starting QB Cameron Coffman is expected back and hopefully healthy behind center, bringing his 66% completion percentage and 15 aerial TDs to tonight’s fray at Qualcomm Stadium. But if Coffman doesn’t go, neither do we.

Fresno St over HAWAII by 1Tall order for Hawaii to be competitive last week on the road after popular 4th-year HC Norm Chow was fi red a few days earlier, and the Warriors couldn’t keep up with UNLV, posting their third consecutive SUATS loss in the 41-21 defeat. The grass skirts are now riding a 7-game losing streak (1-6 ATS), while being outgained 158 YPG for the season – and we think things will get worse before they get better. It all adds up to the OMG Garbage Can Game of the Week, pitting the toothless Bulldogs from Fresno (2-7, 1-5) against the Warriors (2-8, 0-6) in a battle for sole possession of the MWC West division basement. We’re a bit surprised to see Hawaii open as a 5-point favorite considering FSU has claimed victory in the last four games of the series. And the Warriors have been a losing investment when laying points, especially when installed as chalk against a conference foe, going 1-6 ATS in their last seven tries. Honestly, you’d be better off carving up some fresh pineapple and kicking back to watch reruns of ‘Hawaii 5-0’ (the original, with Jack Lord as Steve McGarrett) instead of getting involved here. But if you can’t resist playing this fi nal game on Saturday’s card, we say hold your nose and take the points.

NEW YORK JETS over Buffalo by 6Rex Ryan battles his former team. Sounds like a WWE Thursday night wrestling match to us. So the question is how bad does Rex really want this game? If you looked up enormous in the dictionary it would not only show you a picture of Ryan before undergoing lap band surgery but also his massive desire to take down the Jets. In order to keep Rex from getting the next-to-last laugh – these two close out the regular season at Buffalo – fi rst-year HC Todd Bowles will have to do better than last week’s gigantic ‘inside-out’ win over the Jaguars, a game in which the Flyboys prevailed, 28-23, despite being outyarded 426-290. Fortunately for Bowles, Buffalo’s naughty 2-15 ATS mark away in games after facing Miami, coupled with New York’s haughty 15-3 ATS record at home off a home game, is highly promising. Expect the Bills to hit the mat and be counted out here tonight.

TAMPA BAY over Dallas by 6 Let’s see. Since losing Tony Romo the Cowboys are 0-6 and drowning like a Lance Armstrong rat under oath at a Senate Committee hearing. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers own more victories than the Cowboys, they’re at home, and this game is virtually a pick ‘em affair. What are we missing? And there is this from Marc’s weekly NFL column in the USA TODAY SPORTS WEEKLY: At the halfway point of the 2015 season, Dallas has declined 4 games net from this year to last at the same stage of the season, while Tampa Bay has improved 2 games net. When you toss in the Cowboys’ rancid 1-5 SUATS record in its last six games versus the NFC South, and the fact that the Bucs have already held New Orleans and Carolina to season-low yards this year, we’ll gladly fade Matt Cassel and his 1-6 SU log in his last seven road games. You should, too.

TENNESSEE over Carolina by 3Not quite the Superhero or MVP that Tom Brady is, Carolina’s Superman – aka Cam Newton – leads his 8-0 charges into Nashville after having disposed of Green Bay, Indianapolis, Philadelphia and Seattle in successive weeks. That is quite a body of work, to say the least. The mission today, should the caped warrior decide to accept it, is to NOT play down to the level of opposition. That’s a tall task to ask of teams taking to the road who have enjoyed the luxury of having just completed a 3-game home sweep as these teams are just 24-18 SU and 15-27 ATS as favorites, including 10-10 SU and 5-15 ATS when facing sub .375 opposition. Coupled with Carolina’s crummy 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS all-time mark as a visitor off three straight home games, and Tennessee’s terrifi c 6-1 ATS record in games versus a triple avenging opponent, it points to one less undefeated team headed to Game Ten next week. And for what its worth, the Panthers are one of the subjects of Marc’s Betcha Didn’t Know article on page 2. Tennessee is Cam Newton’s kryptonite today.

ST. LOUIS over Chicago by 4The Rams return home with their horns dragging following last week’s overtime loss to the Vikings in Minnesota. Meanwhile, the Bears hit the highway again after taking down the Chargers Monday night in San Diego. Sounds like the perfect set-up for St. Louis. And it is… until you factor in the line. That’s because Louis is a lousy 6-16 ATS as a favorite of 7 or more points, while Chicago owns a 12-7 ATS dog log of 7 or more points. Toss in the Bears’ 6-0 ATS record in games with a sub .500 win-loss record after playing on Monday night, and the Rams’ 1-5 ATS mark as a home favorite off a non-division game before back-to-back away games, and it suddenly blows the perfect set-up to shreds. Given the fact we don’t like shredding losing tickets, our money is on Da Bears.

WASHINGTON over New Orleans by 3This game has the look and feel of perception written all over it. And the perception being the Redskins are a rotten team and the Saints are not. But the fact of the matter is both teams own 5 losses this season, with one of them owning 6 PPG and 42 YPG the better defense – and it’s not New Orleans. And when you’re talking Cajun, the word defense is simply nowhere to be found in their dialect. According to Mike Mains, our astute NFL correspondent from California, New Orleans DC Rob Ryan’s defenses have ranked in the lower half of the league in 8 of his 11 years as an NFL defensive coordinator... and soon to be 9 of 12 by season’s end. No surprise to see the Hogs improve to 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in this series in this bacon-maker.

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Monday, November 16CINCINNATI over Houston by 6

Our tireless database has been working overtime examining undefeated teams in the NFL this season. With more 6-0 teams than ever, we’ve been going through lithium batteries like they’re candy. Luckily we didn’t pass any of them out this past Halloween. What we do know is that 8-0 or greater teams in the league are 55-16 SU moving forward, with 33 of the wins coming by 10 or more points. And those 22 who failed to win by a double-digit margin were only 5-17 ATS in those games. The moral of the study being if you’re going to back any of these 8-0 or better teams, you have to feel comfortable in hoping a double-digit victory is in order. According to our history book, the Bengals are 4-5 SU and 3-6 ATS in this series, with only ONE win by 10 or more points – and that was in Houston’s expansion year in 2002. Furthermore, the Bengals have managed to win only 3 of their 22 Monday night game by more than 10 points. Now, given Houston’s 10-2-1 ATS franchise record in its 5th away games of the season, including 6-0 ATS when facing a foe off a pair of wins, and Cincinnati’s 1-6 ATS mark on Monday nights off a win versus non-division opponents, we’re goin’ Texan.

5� BEST BET

Talk about visions rolling around in your head. ESPN midday radio host Dan LeBatard painted the picture best, saying that when he thinks of Andy Reid he envisions a man hovering over a box of doughnuts, wiggling his fi ngers saying, “I don’t mind if I do.” Yes, the Pillsbury Dough Boy is back after a full week of hitting the morning drive-thru at Dunkin’ Donuts, ready to make his move following a 2-game win streak prior to the Bye week. The Chiefs enter 4-1 ATS In games off a double-digit win, and 20-11-1 ATS as division dogs versus foes off a SU favorite loss. And speaking of dumping as a favorite, the Broncos saw their perfect season go down the drain at Indianapolis last Sunday, setting themselves up in a classic ‘Bubble Burst’ role. And with that thought in mind, the all-knowing database jumps in, noting that NFL teams who suffered their fi rst loss after starting the season 4-0 or better are 1-7 ATS when facing a rested foe in the following game, including 0-5 ATS as a favorite. But rest assured, we think Andy is just dandy in his optimum role here today. And so does The Clincher: Chiefs head coach Andy Reid is 17-3 SU when playing with rest in his NFL career, including 5-0 SUATS in games in which his team owns a losing record, and 5-0 SUATS versus opponents off a loss.

Kansas City over DENVER by 6

4� BEST BET

Yes, we realize its push-comes-to-shove time for the defending Super Bowl losing Seahawks who fi nd themselves two games back of the NFC West leaders from Arizona, but it’s never hard backing the better team getting points. Especially in Sunday night primetime games where division hosts have struggled (0-2 ATS this season). In fact, bring them in as home favorites against greater than .600 division rivals off a win and they melt down like a Reese’s peanut butter cup on the beach, going 6-16-1 SU and 3-19-1 ATS. Toss in Arizona’s glossy 7-1 ATS record with rest versus division opponents, and Seattle’s squeamish 1-10 ATS mark in games with rest versus opponents off a SUATS win, and you get our drift. The bottom line is the Seabags are simply not the same team that’s appeared in the past two Super Bowls. On the other hand, the Cardinals are poised and ready to take their place. The Clincher: Arizona head coach Bruce Arians is 15-1 ATS in his NFL career as a dog of less than 7 points.

Arizona over SEATTLE by 7

PHILADELPHIA over Miami by 3Life for Miami interim coach Dan Campbell has taken a 180 as his troops have dropped two in a row following an eye-opening 2-0 debut. Now being assailed after being lauded, Campbell is learning quickly that no job is safe in the NFL. Good thing for him that Miami is 8-1 ATS as a visitor in games off double-digit and back-to-back defeats when tackling a non-division opponent. The Fish are also 11-2 ATS away from the beautiful climes of South Beach when playing off back-to-back division games and seeking revenge. Philly returns home off Sunday night’s overtime win in Dallas just 5-20 ATS when favored in games after defeating the Cowboys. We’re guessing Campbell comes close to fi nding his way out of the hot soup he’s suddenly swimming in.

PITTSBURGH over Cleveland by 3At fi rst glance, you notice a winning team laying less than a touchdown to a losing division rival it was embarrassed by in its last gathering – a 21-point win by Cleveland in the Dawg Pound last year. The same team that has allowed the most points of any team in the AFC this season. And the same group that is 2-11 in its last thirteen games. So why is it we’re not all over the Steelers like a dog in a meat market? Because without Ben Roethlisberger, there is no sense in ordering up a tainted burger. Besides, the Browns are 11-2 ATS away after facing the Bengals, while Pittsburgh – who let us down in a major way last week after Big Ben went down again – is 1-11-1 ATS versus sub .250 opponents. And you can bet your last penny on the fact the oddsmakers fully know what they’re doing in setting the price on this contest. No Landry Jones for us, thank you.

BALTIMORE over Jacksonville by 7As alluded to in the Tampa / Dallas analysis above, Marc’s weekly NFL column in the USA TODAY SPORTS WEEKLY issued report cards on every team in the NFL at the halfway point of the 2015 season. In comparing results from this season to last, the Ravens have slipped 3 games net overall in the win-loss column and are just 1-6-1 in the ATS wars this season. Talk about a frustrating season. However, there is not a better elixir for teams struggling in the NFL than the Bye week. Perhaps it will serve the Ravens well this week (it can’t get any worse). Coming to their aid this week is a dazzling 10-0 SUATS record with rest in regular season games versus non-division opponents. The Blackbirds are also 5-0 ATS home off a home game when hosting a non-division opponent off an away game. Meanwhile, the Jaguars sport a 0-4 ATS record in games off a pair of ATS losses when facing a non-division opponent. Only Jacksonville’s 8-0 ATS mark in away games before tackling Tennessee keeps us from possibly snapping the rubber band. Put this on hold for now. We may have more on this on the Weekend Update line later in the week.

Minnesota over OAKLAND by 3A meeting of two vastly improved teams in 2015 fi nds the Vikings with a +3 overall improvement mark at the halfway point, and the Raiders at +4. The main difference being the Vikings have gone 7-1 ATS this season, trailing only the Bengals at 7-0-1 ATS, while Oakland is just 4-4 ATS on the year. Word at press time is that QB Teddy Bridgewater is expected back for Minnesota, and that’s good news for Viking fans. And bad news for Raider fans considering Oakland is just 4-14 ATS as a home favorite in games off three consecutive spread wins in a row, including 0-9 ATS when the Black-and-Silver owns a win percentage of less than .666 on the season. Furthermore, Minnesota has been feasting on AFC teams, taking down the money in its last six contests (3-0 this season) and is also 6-0 ATS in the second of back-to-back non-division contests (3-0 this season). With Oakland 1-7 ATS in the fi rst of back-to-backers against the NFC, there is certainly a bridge over troubled water in this game… provided Teddy is ready.

New England over NY GIANTS by 3Superhero and his cast of characters invade the Big Apple with a case of TRIPLE REVENGE on their minds. Not that Tom Brady and company need any extra incentive these days, but the fact of the matter is Giselle’s guy is just 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in his Hall of Fame career in this series, including 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in games in which the G-Men are playing off a win. That ties hand-in-hand with Giants QB Eli Manning’s fabulous 10-1 SU and 8-2 ATS career mark in games against the AFC East – including 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS against the Pats. Combined with the fact that New England shows up in Marc’s Betcha Didn’t Know article on page 2, it makes running with Tommy Veneers impractical today – unless you’re looking to chip a tooth. If you still think otherwise, here’s a subtle reminder from the well-intentioned machine: 8-0 NFL teams, facing a foe off a win of 7 or more points, are 5-1 SU but a staggering 0-6 ATS in Game Nine since 1980. Now smile and chew on that for a while.

Expert Advice. Expert Handicappers.You Win Or You Don’t Pay.

Never Pay For A Losing Pick Again.

XXPB pertswww.playbook.com

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To view the entire Wise Guys standings, including Triple, Double and Single plays, visit www.PLAYBOOK.com and cash in this weekend for only $12!

Below are the current Top 20 Contestants from the 2015 Wise Guys Contest – One Point Single Plays Listed

Wash State (+9.5)

Oklahoma St (-14)

COWBOYS (+2)

South Florida (+3.5)

NY JETS (-3)

BENGALS (-10.5)

Syracuse (+28)

Louisville (-11)

BUCCANEERS (-2)

CHIEFS (+7)

9-9 / 5-4 / 14 pts

8-10 / 6-3 / 14 pts

10-8 / 5-4 / 15 pts

11-7 / 7-2 / 18 pts

10-8 / 4-5 / 14 pts

13-5 / 7-2 / 20 pts

10-8 / 6-3 / 16 pts

11-7 / 5-4 / 16 pts

9-8-1 / 5-4 / 14 pts

11-6-1 / 5-3-1 / 16 pts

WISE GUYS CONTESTA $10,000 Contest Sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com

Now in its 30th year, the WISE GUYS CONTEST is a $10,000 winners-take-all handicapping event sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com. All plays are graded against the lines posted after 4:00 PM Mondays on the WISE GUYS CONTEST page at PLAYBOOK.com. Each week below we'll post Single Plays from the Top 20 point-earners. Following the play is their overall Win-Loss record / Double Play record / Total Points earned to date.

Big Board [email protected]

Bob Dietzintegritysports.com

Brad Diamonddiamondquickpicks.com

Brad Powersbradpowerssports.com

California Sportscaliforniasports.com

CfbRefStats.comcfbrefstats.com

Doc’s Sportsdocsports.com

Fairway Jayvegassportszone.com

Hurricane Billplaybook.com

Joe Nelsonnellysports.com

Boise State (-30)

Notre Dame (-27)

TITANS (+4.5)

Arkansas (+8)

New Mexico (+30)

Navy (-21.5)

Colorado St (-7.5)

NC State (+9.5)

W Michigan (+3)

CARDINALS (+3)

10-7-1 / 4-4-1 / 14 pts

10-8 / 4-5 / 14 pts

10-8 / 5-4 / 15 pts

13-5 / 7-2 / 20 pts

12-6 / 7-2 / 19 pts

10-8 / *6-3 / 17 pts

9-8-1 / 5-3-1* / 14 pts

12-6 / 7-2 / 19 pts

11-6-1 / 5-4 / 16 pts

10-6-2 / 6-2-1 / 16 pts

Ken Thomsonsportsxradio.com

Norm Hitzgesnormsclubhouse.com

Richard Wittplaybook.com

Ross Benjaminrossbenjaminsports.com

Scott Landauscottlandau.com

Stan Lisowskiplaybook.com

Steve Merrilprosportsinfo.com

Stormin Normanfreesportsinfo.com

Toby Scot610.288.5252

Victor Kingplaybook.com

GAME MATCHUPS KEY OVER/UNDER STATS

2 0 1 5 N AT I O N A L F O O T B A L L L E A G U E – W E E K T E N

The fi rst 8 games of the NFL schedule are listed below. As always, the number listed fi rst is the ‘OVER’ and the number listed second is the ‘UNDER’. The ENTIRE 2-minute Handicap (all 16 gms) along with this week’s 3 NFL O/U BEST BETS will appear in the 2015 ‘TOTALS’ TIPSHEET by Victor King – the defi nitive weekly OU newsletter. Current record for 2015: 16-11 ATS. A single issue is only $8.00 (or $45 for the season). Sent via email on Tuesdays. Call the PLAYBOOK offi ces to get on the 2015 “Totals Train”! …*This week’s Playbook O/U TREND play: Saints @ Redskins ’UNDER’ the TOTAL.

AN 'OVER / UNDER' REPORT ON THIS WEEK'S NFL CARDBY VICTOR KING

THE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP: O/U STYLE

BuffaloNY JETS

DetroitGREEN BAY

DallasTAMPA BAY

CarolinaTENNESSEE

ChicagoST LOUIS

New Orleans WASHINGTON

Miami PHILADELPHIA

ClevelandPITTSBURGH

5-0 O/U L5 away vs NYJ (57.2)... 3-0 O/U in 1st of BB RG... but 0-3 O/U aft Mia... 1-4 O/U Thursdays... 3-10 O/U Gm 94-0 O/U as favs w/ div revenge... 8-1 O/U favs aft score 28 > pts... 6-2 O/U Gm 9... but 1-3 O/U Thursday HG

7-0 O/U bef Oak... 5-1 O/U off SU loss 21 > pts... 9-3 O/U aft score 10 < pts... but 1-7 O/U L8 div RG... 3-8 O/U aft Bye4-1 O/U Gm 9... 4-1 O/U in 1st of BB div gms... 8-2 O/U home off BB RG... but 1-5 O/U as DD favs... 3-6 O/U L9 vs Det (42.9)

4-1 O/U vs NFC South... 3-1 O/U aft Phil... 3-1-1 O/U Gm 9... but 2-10 O/U off OT loss... 2-7-1 O/U L8 vs TBay (31.7)6-1 O/U Gm 9... 8-3 O/U in 2nd of BB HG... but 1-11 O/U bef Phil... 1-6 O/U aft NYG... 1-4 O/U off SU home loss 14 > pts

8-2 O/U away off BB HG... but 1-5 O/U vs AFC South... 2-7 O/U aft GBay... 1-3 O/U L4 vs Ten (37.8)... 2-5 O/U non-div RF’s 4 >6-1 O/U non-conf HD’s > 3 pts... 4-1 O/U Bef Jax... but 0-3 O/U aft Norl... 1-5 O/U home off road dog win... 1-3 O/U bef Thur gm

6-1 O/U vs NFC West... but 0-4 O/U as dogs 4 > pts... 1-3 O/U aft SD... 2-6 O/U Gm 9... 1-3 O/U L4 vs Stl (37.0) 7-1-1 O/U gm 9... but 1-6 O/U as favs vs .333 < opp... 1-5 O/U vs opp off Mon gm... 2-7 O/U Bef Balt... 1-3 O/U aft Min

6-1 O/U vs NFC East... 6-1 O/U away vs non-div off SU home loss... 3-1 O/U bef Bye Week... 6-2 O/U aft Ten 3-0 O/U L3 vs Norl (62.7)... 4-1 O/U as dogs aft allow 27 > pts BBB... 4-1 O/U off non-conf RG... 6-2 O/U aft NEng

4-0 O/U non-div RD’s 4 > pts... 5-1 O/U aft score 17 < pts... 3-1 O/U 3rd straight RG... but 0-7 O/U L7 vs NFC East 5-0 O/U non-div HF’s 4 > pts... 40 O/U bef TBay... 7-1 O/U Gm 9... but 0-7-1 O/U aft Dal... 1-3 O/U L4 vs Mia (37.5)

5-1-1 O/U aft Thur gm... but 1-6 O/U aft Cin... 1-5 O/U off SU loss 21 > pts... 1-4 O/U in 2nd of BB div gms... 1-3 O/U Gm 103-1 O/U in 3rd straight HG... 3-1 O/U bef Bye... but 1-5 O/U div HF’s 4 > pts... 1-3 O/U aft Oak... 2-6 O/U aft allow 35 > pts

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2015 COLLEGE & PRO FOOTBALL - NOVEMBER 10-16

A REVIEW OF THE CURRENT STAR-RATED BEST BET SELECTIONSTHIS WEEK'S BEST BETS

2 FOR WEEK ENDING MONDAY,NOVEMBER 16, 2015 4� BEST BET3� BEST BET 5� BEST BET

COLLEGE

NFL

UPSET GAME

INDIANA IOWA STATE OREGON

PACKERS CARDINALS CHIEFS

VIRGINIA TECH“Your purchase of the information in this publication is intended strictly for the private use of the subscriber and/or purchaser. The redistribution of any por tion of this information, in any form, without the express written consent of Preferred Picks® (or Playbook® or Playbook.com®) is strictly prohibited and is subject to the laws of the jurisdictions involved.”

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Listed next to the games below are two entries: OL is the SportsOptions.com opening line on the contest and PB is the PLAYBOOK margin. You have a PLAYBOOK Recommendation whenever our predicted margin of victory is 6 or more points off the opening line. Remember, opening

lines are subject to change during the week so always check YOUR CURRENT LINE against the PLAYBOOK line to determine a fi nal play.

OL PB OL PB OL PB OL PB7’

21’

13’

3’

8

14

3

10

TOLEDO 8:00 PM C MICHIGAN ESPN2KENT ST 8:00 PM OHIO U ESPNU

101 102

103 104

4’

1

7 3

BOWLING GREEN 8:00 PM W MICHIGAN ESPN2NO ILLINOIS 8:00 PM BUFFALO ESPNU

105 106

107 108

3’ 1

6 10

BUFFALO 8:25 PM NY JETS NFLVIRGINIA TECH 7:30 PM GA TECH ESPNUL-LAFAYETTE 7:30 PM S ALABAMA ESPNU

109 110

111 112

113 114

3’ 6

3’

6

USC 9:00 PM COLORADO ESPN2

115 116

16 10

1

3

117 118

119 120

121 122

123 124

125 126

127 128

129 130

131 132

7

6 3

3

11’ 2

3’

3

6 6

PITTSBURGH 12:00 PM DUKE ESPNN

TULSA 7:30 PM TIME CHANGE CINCINNATI ESPNN

UTSA 2:00 PM TIME CHANGE CHARLOTTE

MASSACHUSETTS 3:00 PM TIME CHANGE E MICHIGAN

MIDDLE TENNESSEE 12:00 PM FLA ATLANTIC

MICHIGAN ABC 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE INDIANA ESPN2

FLORIDA INT’L 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE MARSHALL

AKRON 12:00 PMMIAMI OHIO

16 20

12 6

7 3

133 134

135 136

137 138

139 140

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143 144

145 146

147 148

149 150

151 152

153 154

155 156

157 158

159 160

161 162

163 164

165 166

167 168

169 170

171 172

173 174

7’ 3

17

8 1

18

Pk

10

10

3’

1

MARYLAND ESPN2 12:00 PM MICHIGAN ST

MEMPHIS 7:00 PM TIME CHANGE HOUSTON ESPN2

OHIO ST 12:00 PM ILLINOIS ABC

TULANE 12:00 PM ARMY CBSSN

CLEMSON ESPN2 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE SYRACUSE ABC

TEMPLE 7:00 PM TIME CHANGE S FLORIDA CBSSN

NEBRASKA 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE RUTGERS BTN

UTEP 12:00 PM OLD DOMINION

KANSAS 12:00 PM TCU FS1

KANSAS ST 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE TEXAS TECH FS1

KENTUCKY 4:00 PM TIME CHANGE VANDERBILT SEC

PURDUE 12:30 PM N’WESTERN BTN

NC STATE 12:30 PM FLORIDA ST

UTAH ST 2:00 PM AIR FORCE

GEORGIA ST 4:00 PM TIME CHANGE TEXAS ST

ARKANSAS ST 3:00 PM UL-MONROE

WASHINGTON ST 10:45 PM TIME CHANGE UCLA ESPN

TEXAS 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE W VIRGINIA ESPNU

WAKE FOREST 3:30 PM NOTRE DAME NBC

ALABAMA 3:30 PM MISSISSIPPI ST CBS

MIAMI FLORIDA 3:30 PM N CAROLINA ESPNU

9’ 4

28 24

7 3

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 10

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 11

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 12

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 13

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 14

6 3

17 10

2’

1

26’ 21

4 6

9’ 12

3’

1

44 39

5’

1

4 6

13 12

14’

11 20

175 176

177 178

179 180

181 182

183 184

185 186

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199 200

201 202

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213 214

215 216

SOUTHERN MISS 3:30 PM RICE

SMU 3:30 PM NAVY CBSSN

OKLAHOMA ST 3:30 PM IOWA ST ESPN

ARKANSAS 7:15 PM TIME CHANGE LSU ESPN

GEORGIA 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE AUBURN

WASHINGTON 3:00 PM TIME CHANGE ARIZONA ST

OKLAHOMA 8:00 PM TIME CHANGE BAYLOR ABC

BYU @Kansas City 7:30 PM TIME CHANGE MISSOURI SEC

GA SOUTHERN 3:30 PM TROY

SAN JOSE ST 4:00 PM NEVADA

OREGON ST 10:30 PM TIME CHANGE CALIFORNIA

APPALACHIAN ST 5:00 PM IDAHO

UNLV 7:00 PM COLORADO ST

VIRGINIA 12:30 PM TIME CHANGE LOUISVILLE

UTAH 10:00 PM TIME CHANGE ARIZONA

NORTH TEXAS 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE TENNESSEE SEC

FLORIDA 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE S CAROLINA ESPN

OREGON 7:30 PM STANFORD FOX

NEW MEXICO 10:15 PM TIME CHANGE BOISE ST ESPNU

MINNESOTA 8:00 PMIOWA BTN

WYOMING CBSSN 10:30 PM SAN DIEGO ST

8’ 6

1’

3

5

1

3’ 1

4 1

1 6

20’ 16

17 14

7 11

10 16

5

3

40’ 36

7’ 3

8’

3

11’ 3

251 252

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263 264

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DETROIT 1:00 PM GREEN BAY

DALLAS 1:00 PM TAMPA BAY

CAROLINA 1:00 PM TENNESSEE

CHICAGO 1:00 PM ST. LOUIS

NEW ORLEANS 1:00 PM WASHINGTON

MIAMI 1:00 PM PHILADELPHIA

CLEVELAND 1:00 PM PITTSBURGH

JACKSONVILLE 1:00 PM BALTIMORE

MINNESOTA 4:05 PM OAKLAND

KANSAS CITY 4:25 PM DENVER

NEW ENGLAND 4:25 PM NY GIANTSARIZONA 8:30 PM SEATTLE NBC

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 15

FRESNO ST 11:00 PM TIME CHANGE HAWAII

217 218 5

1

23’ 20

30 27

12

1

6’

7

Pk

6

4’

6

3

7

7

3’

21

6

3

4

3

3

3

7

3

6

3

7

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 16

HOUSTON 8:30 PM CINCINNATI ESPN

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NFL WEEK TEN BYESATLANTA, INDIANAPOLIS,

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12 6

Marc Lawrence’sCOLLEGE FOOTBALL

REVENGE GAME OF THE YEARGoes Saturday!